摘要
本文从中国的经济发展特点出发,研究了中国汽车燃料消费与生产的特点及供需趋势。2000年和2010年的中国人均GDP可能分别达到1250和2590美元。从1996年起,在汽车保有量迅速增长的同时,中国汽车的类型结构以及汽车燃料结构、质量均将开始出现变化,总趋势与世界潮流一致。为了适应这一变化,中国将调整加工装置的配置;进一步提高优质汽油比例,提高柴油质量。预计在2000年和2010年原油加工量分别达到1.9和2.8亿吨的前提下,中国基本上可以在数量和质量两方面满足对汽车燃料的需求。
The article examines the features and trends of China's auto fuel consumption and production from the standpoint of China's economic development . China's per capita GDP is expected to rise to $ 1250 by the year 2000 and $ 2590 by 2010 . From 1996 on, China's total automobile stock will increase rapidly , while automobile stock and fuel structure, as well as auto fuel quality, will start to approach world trends. In order for the domestic auto fuel production to meet changing demands, it will be necessary to adjust the distribution of processing facilities, further increase the proportion of premium gasoline , and improve the quality of diesel fuel. It is estimated that in order for China to meet domestic demand for auto fuel both in quantity and in quality, curde throughput must reach 190 Mt by the year 2000 and 280 Mt by 2010.
出处
《国际石油经济》
1996年第3期12-18,共7页
International Petroleum Economics
