摘要
本文简要地阐明了湖南省森林能源的资源量及消费现状,提出了一个森林能源需求预测的数学模型,并对全省2000年森林能源的需求量进行了预测。结果表明,到2000年,全省农村人口生活与生产所需森林能源量为13071000t标煤。以1986年可供森林能源资源量为基准,尚需发展森林能源7457300t标煤,任务极为艰巨,必须加强规划,搞好薪炭林基地建设。
On the basis of the resources and consumption of forest energy inHunan, a mathematical model for predicting the demand and supply offorest energy by the year 2000 has been constructed. The results indicatethat the projected demand for forest energy used in living and productionof the rural people in the province in 2000 will be 13 071 000 ton of referen-ce fuel. Taking the available supply of forest energy in 1986 as base.7 457 300ton of reference fuel of forest energy will be needed. To strengthen theestablishment of fuelwood forest bases is an arduous task which needsplanning carefully.
出处
《中南林学院学报》
CSCD
1989年第2期140-144,共5页
Journal of Central South Forestry University
关键词
湖南
森林能源
需求
预测
数学模型
forest energy
demand-supply forecast
mathematical model
