摘要
运用计量经济学原理对我国1952年以来国内工业生产总值进行动态分析,建立了分析模型,并利用历史数据论证模型的正确性,研究工业总产值变化趋势和特征,给出了国内工业总产值的预测方法。
The gross industrial output value has been analyzed in China since 1952 with the theory of econometrics, and an analysis model has been established, which was proved correct based on some historical data. After analyzing the variation trend and characteristics of gross industrial output value, it also proposed a forecasting method for gross industrial output value in China.
出处
《矿冶工程》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2005年第4期89-92,共4页
Mining and Metallurgical Engineering
关键词
国内工业总产值
时间序列
ARMA模型
gross industrial output value in China
times series
ARMA model
