摘要
用模糊均生函数（ＦＭＧＦ）建模方案建立宁镇（南京、镇江）地区夏季旱涝趋势预测模型，其拟合效果，特别是对大旱大涝的拟合效果十分理想。１９９４年用该模型预测宁镇地区梅雨量，结果与实况较为接近。
prediction model for summer floods/droughts in the Nanjing-Zhengjiang region by fuzzy mean generating function is developed. The model is satisfactory, especially in cases of severe floods/droughts. The results of the precipitation prediction in this region during the Meiyu period in 1994 is close to actual precipitation.
出处
《气象》
CSCD
北大核心
1995年第12期32-34,共3页
Meteorological Monthly
关键词
模糊均生函数
旱涝
预测
暴雨
夏季
uzzy mean generating function
floods/droughts
prediction
