摘要
在应用各种预报方法作每日的天气预报时，常遇到各种预报方法的结果不一致的情形，这时需集各预报结果为一体作为群体决策意见。作者介绍了后置群体评价方法在天气预报决策中的具体应用，用该方法进行决策，取得了较理想的效果。
he application of the group post-appraising method in weather forecasting is presented.It happens that the result is of difference to the forecasting of a certain day from different technological sources when possible weather situation prediction is made,or that each predictor will draw a different conclusion based on forecasters'own technological devices or approaches.Only then is it necessary by the approach to piece together various results as a whole so that group decision can be reached.The application is to make an overall evaluation of each result about rainfall and rain region plus the result based on experience.It has proved that the application is unique in this field and more effective and has actually become one of the effective approaches.
出处
《气象》
CSCD
北大核心
1995年第5期14-17,共4页
Meteorological Monthly
关键词
个体评价
群体评价
模糊频数
天气预报
simple appraising
group appraising
appraising object
decision
fuzzy frequency number
fuzzy Borda number
