摘要
茅坪滑坡体是清江库区一个十分典型和重要的滑坡体，１９９３年雨季和水库蓄水以来，滑坡体位移日趋明显，表现为具有整体滑移特征。本文通过建立滑坡体不同时段位移的ＧＭ（１，１）灰色模型，对位移变化趋势作了分析，结果表明，位移模型拟合精度高，预测成果达到了中、短期预报的目的，对清江隔河岩水利工程的建设与管理具有重要的参考价值。
Maoping landslip is a typical and important slip- mass in the Qingjiang reservoir region andmanifested as characteristic of gliding on a whole. Through establishing the grey model ,GM(1,1),oflandslip mass displacing in various time-intenal ,this paper made an analysis of the trend of variationin displacement.Results show that displacement medel has such a high precision that prediction resultscan make mid-and short- range forecast. This is of conference value to construction and managementof the Geheyan Project of the Qingjiang.
出处
《长江科学院院报》
CSCD
北大核心
1994年第3期72-79,共8页
Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute
关键词
水利枢纽
滑坡
位移
监测
预测
Geheyan project
landslip
displacement monitoring
grey model
prediction
