摘要
本文使用西太平洋海温格点和热带气旋的年月频数资料，计算相关系数，选取若干组合因子，用权重回归、多项式曲线、指数曲线等预报原理和方法，对西太平洋。
In this article, by using the grid point data of sea-surface temperature (SST) of Pacific ocean and the frequency data of yearly or monthly tropical cyclone, the correlation coefficient between the two parameters has been calculated and a group of factors have been selected. And using the methods of weight regression, polynomial curve and exponent curve, the yearly and monthly frequency of tropical cyclone that landed in China are forecasted, and the results show reasonably good.
出处
《海洋预报》
北大核心
2000年第4期60-68,共9页
Marine Forecasts
基金
国家"九五"重点项目"我国短期气候预测系统的研究"!(96-908-05-01)资助
