摘要
本文论述了事故预测对铁路行车安全的重要性,并应用灰色预测模型和概率回归估计法模型研制了预测软件,进行铁路行车事故的宏观及微观预测,为采取有针对性的防范措施提供一个可靠信息。
This paper discussed the importance of accident prediction to railway driving safety , applied the models of Grey prediction and REEP to manufacture accident prediction software,carried out macroscopic and microcosmic prediction to railway driving accidents as well, which will offer a reliable information for preventive measures to driving accidents.
出处
《中国安全科学学报》
CAS
CSCD
1993年第2期26-31,共6页
China Safety Science Journal
关键词
铁路运输
事故
安全
灰色预测
Railway driving accident Safety Grey prediction Regression estimation of event probabilities(REEP)
