摘要
本文主要探讨了灰色关联分析方法和灰预测方法在油田注水开发中的应用。首先建立了用灰色关联分析方法来评价油田注水效果的模型。其次用灰色预测的GM模型分析了油田产量、压力和温度的变化规律,并预测了油田的剩余储量、产量、压力和温度,实际表明预测精度很高,平均相对误差约5%。最后在前面研究的基础上提出了一种简易可行的配产配注方法,由此可以得到合理的配产配注方案,对实际生产有指导意义。
The application of the grey relative analysis method and grey forecast method to injection development oil field is presented in this paper. The model of evaluating injection water effect about oil field is first set up with grey relative analysis. Then the forecast model of production, pressure and temperature of oil field is Set up with grey forecast GM model. At the same time, production, pressure and temperature of oil field are predicated with forecast model, with the relative error no more than 5%, the results are satisfactorg. Finally, a mcthod of allocating procdution and injection rate is obtained. so that reasonable injection-production strategy can be obtained, with has practical guide signifcance.
出处
《系统工程》
CSCD
1993年第4期52-59,共8页
Systems Engineering
关键词
灰色系统
油田开发
Grey relative Analysis, Grey forecast, Oil field deveiopment
