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决策的困惑和人口均衡政策——中国未来人口发展问题的探讨 被引量:11

The Bewilderment of Decision-making and the Policy of a Balanced Population: An Inquiry into China's Future Population Growth
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摘要 中国未来人口的发展表明,从一孩向二孩人口政策的过渡不仅仅是时间的问题,也是风险和利润怎样均衡的问题。根据中国的人口国情,运用人口经济学理论,本文提出了人口均衡政策的新观点。这一观点可以服务于中国现行的生育政策。 AbstractChina's future population growth indicates that a transition from the policy of one child per couple to that of two children per couple is not merely a question of when; it is also a question of how: how to balance risks with benefits. On the basis of China's national conditions in terms of population and with the help of the theory of population economics, this paper puts forward the idea of a balanced population policy. This idea not only serves China's current birth policy; it also provides a new theoretical basis for the possible change in the future of this policy.
作者 李涌平
出处 《北京大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》 CSSCI 北大核心 1996年第1期66-71,134-135,共8页 Journal of Peking University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)
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