摘要
论文将国际资本流动划分为FDI与非FDI两部分,利用我国1996—2009年间的FDI、非FDI、海洋经济周期时间序列数据,运用VAR模型、脉冲响应分析、方差分解等方法,实证分析了国际资本流动对我国海洋经济周期的影响。研究发现国际资本流动对我国海洋经济周期的影响首先是负向的,随着时间的推移逐渐转变为正向影响。针对FDI与非FDI对我国海洋经济周期波动造成的重要影响提出减少外资依赖、加强国际资本监管等措施。
This article put both FDI and non FDI as influencing factors,through the empirical analysis of time series data of FDI,non-FDI and other marine economic cycle between 1996 and 2009, it explores the specific effect which the international capital flows brings to China's ocean economic cycle is negative first,and gradually into a positive impact.Finally it puts forward a series of corresponding measures such as reducing foreign dependence and strengthening the supervision of international capital to promote Marine economic development.
出处
《中国渔业经济》
2012年第2期30-36,共7页
Chinese Fisheries Economics
基金
国家海洋软科学基金项目"基于国际金融形势视角的我国海洋经济发展周期研究"(911187100)资助
