摘要
利用二次函数模型和凸分布函数模型方法分析云南旅游片区春节黄金周的人流量.首先,选择旅游人数较多的7个地区,分为滇中、滇西、滇西北、滇东南4个片区,给出每个区的二次模型,并估计它们在初六、初七的旅游人数及床位出租率.其次,利用凸分布模型给出4个片区高峰天旅游人数及床位出租率的概率,以及2007年春节黄金周高峰天旅游人数和床位出租率预测.
A quadratic function model and convex function model methods are applied to analyze the tourists in the touring areas of Yunnan province during the Traveling Week of Spring Festival.At first,seven main touring areas are chosen and divided into four big areas named as mid Dian,west Dian,northwest Dian,and southeast Dian.Then,the quadratic models given for each district of these four areas and used for predicting the tourists and the ratios of rent of beds are on the sixth and seventh days.Finally,probabiliti...
出处
《云南大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2006年第S1期15-18,共4页
Journal of Yunnan University(Natural Sciences Edition)
基金
云南省引进人才工作经费(2003)
云南师范大学数学学院"数学建模课外实习与科技活动"(2005
2006)
云南省现代教师教育教学改革项目-数学专业(2005-2010)
关键词
二次模型
凸分布密度函数
黄金周
quadratic model
density function of convex distribution
Traveling Week
