Typhoons are strong air–sea interactions that significantly affect the physical and biogeochemical processes of the upper ocean. Based on the Regional Ocean Modeling System-Carbon–Silicate–Nitrate Ecosystem coupled...Typhoons are strong air–sea interactions that significantly affect the physical and biogeochemical processes of the upper ocean. Based on the Regional Ocean Modeling System-Carbon–Silicate–Nitrate Ecosystem coupled model, the influence of Typhoon Bolaven(2012) on physical and ecological variables in the East China Sea and the underlying mechanisms were investigated. The results showed that the typhoon induced intense vertical mixing in the upper ocean,leading to sea surface cooling, increased salinity, nutrient concentrations, and phytoplankton blooms. Conversely, warming,reduced salinity, and decreased nutrient concentrations occurred in the subsurface layer. In the Yangtze River Estuary, the passage of typhoons effectively affected wind and current directions, shaping the dipole distribution patterns of the environmental elements. Diagnostic analysis indicated that tropical cyclone-induced horizontal advection is key in driving changes in both the physical and ecological variables within the estuary region. This study provides novel insights into the physical-ecological coupling processes and driving mechanisms governing oceanic environmental changes during typhoon events, particularly in the waters adjacent to the Yangtze River Estuary.展开更多
In 2021,Cempaka,a tiny tropical cyclone,made landfall in China.As the TC intensified prior to landfall,the tropical cyclone size measured with precipitation decreased significantly.A numerical simulation was conducted...In 2021,Cempaka,a tiny tropical cyclone,made landfall in China.As the TC intensified prior to landfall,the tropical cyclone size measured with precipitation decreased significantly.A numerical simulation was conducted to examine the possible processes modulating the storm size.Azimuthally mean potential vorticity(PV)was found to decrease mainly in the middle to upper troposphere between 50-and 80-km radii.The PV budget results indicate that the advection and generation of mean PV associated with asymmetric processes,rather than the symmetric processes,primarily contributed to the decrease in mean PV.These asymmetric processes leading to a negative PV tendency were likely associated with inactive outer rainbands.In contrast,the tangential winds simultaneously expanded radially outward,possibly related to inner-core diabatic heating.The findings here emphasize the importance of outer rainband activity in tropical cyclone size change.展开更多
This study investigates the width of the secondary eyewall(SE)immediately following its formation in tropical cyclones with surface environmental winds aligned and counter-aligned with environmental vertical wind shea...This study investigates the width of the secondary eyewall(SE)immediately following its formation in tropical cyclones with surface environmental winds aligned and counter-aligned with environmental vertical wind shear(VWS),using idealized numerical experiments.Results reveal that the SE develops greater radial extent when surface winds align with VWS compared to counter-aligned conditions.In alignment configurations,shear-enhanced surface winds on the right flank amplify surface enthalpy fluxes,thereby elevating boundary-layer entropy within the downshear outer-core region.Subsequently,more vigorous outer rainbands develop,inducing marked acceleration of tangential winds in the outer core preceding SE formation.The resultant radial expansion of supergradient winds near the boundary-layer top triggers widespread convective activity immediately beyond the inner core.Progressive axisymmetrization of this convective forcing ultimately generates an expansive SE structure.展开更多
Typhoon Chan-Hom （2015） underwent a weakening in the tropical western North Pacific （WNP） when it interacted with a monsoon gyre, but all operational forecasts failed to predict this intensity change. A recent obs...Typhoon Chan-Hom （2015） underwent a weakening in the tropical western North Pacific （WNP） when it interacted with a monsoon gyre, but all operational forecasts failed to predict this intensity change. A recent observational study indicated that it resulted from its interaction with a monsoon gyre on the 15-30-day timescale. In this study, the results of two numerical experiments are presented to investigate the influence of the monsoon gyre on the intensity changes of Typhoon Chan-Hom （2015）. The control experiment captures the main observed features of the weakening process of Chan-Hom （2015） during a sharp northward turn in the Philippine Sea, including the enlargement of the eye size, the development of strong convection on the eastern side of the monsoon gyre, and the corresponding strong outer inflow. The sensitivity experiment suggests that intensity changes of Chan-Hom （2015） were mainly associated with its interaction with the monsoon gyre. When Chan-Horn （2015） initially moved westward in the eastern part of the monsoon gyre, the monsoon gyre enhanced the inertial stability for the intensification of the typhoon. With its coalescence with the monsoon gyre, the development of the strong convection on the eastern side of the monsoon gyre prevented moisture and mass entering the inner core of Chan-Hom （2015）, resulting in the collapse of the eyewall. Thus, the weakening happened in the deep tropical WNP region. The numerical simulations confirm the important effects of the interaction between tropical cyclones and monsoon gyres on tropical cyclone intensity.展开更多
准确地合成满足大气湍流边界层风场特征的大涡模拟入流脉动风场是当前研究山区地形绕流风场特征的关键问题.文章在NSRFG(narrowband synthesis random flow generation)方法的基础上,通过对空间调谐因子γ_(j)进行空间相关性修正,同时...准确地合成满足大气湍流边界层风场特征的大涡模拟入流脉动风场是当前研究山区地形绕流风场特征的关键问题.文章在NSRFG(narrowband synthesis random flow generation)方法的基础上,通过对空间调谐因子γ_(j)进行空间相关性修正,同时引入时间尺度修正系数τ_(0)和谱能量修正系数λ_(j),提出了一种改进的大涡模拟入流脉动合成方法——INSRFG(improved NSRFG),并采用该方法进行了三维山丘绕流风场大涡模拟研究,通过与风洞试验结果及B类风场规范风剖面的对比分析,验证了改进方法的有效性.结果表明,与NSRFG方法相比,改进后的INSRFG方法模拟得到的脉动风速场,能更好地满足脉动风速功率谱、时间相关性和空间相关性等湍流风场的基本特征;在三维山丘绕流风场方面,基于INSRFG方法模拟得到的山丘的平均和脉动风场,与风洞试验结果具有更好的一致性,特别是在流动较为复杂的山丘背风面,其与风洞试验结果之间的相对误差更小;与NSRFG方法相比,INSRFG方法模拟得到的山丘周围的流场结构分布更加合理,特别是在山丘背风面,能够更好地重现山丘流场结构的多尺度性.展开更多
A numerical simulation was performed using the Thompson microphysics scheme to preliminarily investigate the features of the microphysical processes involved in the record-breaking rainfall event that occurred in Hena...A numerical simulation was performed using the Thompson microphysics scheme to preliminarily investigate the features of the microphysical processes involved in the record-breaking rainfall event that occurred in Henan Province,China,on 20 July 2021.The simulation results showed that a strong meso-𝛾-scale vortical updraft was concurrent with the torrential rainfall.The main finding is that this event was characterized by typical midlatitude warm-rain processes.The simulation with the Thompson microphysics scheme further indicated that highly efficient collision-coalescence of cloud water to rainwater resulted in a considerably active rain droplet growth,leading to this record-breaking rainfall event.展开更多
This study investigates the characteristics of secondary eyewall formation(SEF)in idealized tropical cyclones embedded in vertical wind shear(VWS)at different heights.The results show that upper-layer VWS at a relativ...This study investigates the characteristics of secondary eyewall formation(SEF)in idealized tropical cyclones embedded in vertical wind shear(VWS)at different heights.The results show that upper-layer VWS at a relatively low shear height is more favorable for SEF than upper-layer VWS at a relatively high shear height and lowerlayer VWS.In the experiments with upper-layer VWS at a relatively low shear height,better-organized stratiform clouds are located in the downwind sector of outer rainbands.The low-level descending inflow associated with the stratiform sector is stronger in these experiments than in the experiments with upper-layer VWS at a relatively high shear height and lower-layer VWS.The enhanced descending inflow can trigger supergradient winds and convergence near the top of the boundary layer,close to three times the radius of the maximum wind,where convection is locally forced.The subsequent convection axisymmetrization leads to SEF.展开更多
Tropical cyclones(TCs)are one of the most serious types of natural disasters,and accurate TC activity predictions are key to disaster prevention and mitigation.Recently,TC track predictions have made significant progr...Tropical cyclones(TCs)are one of the most serious types of natural disasters,and accurate TC activity predictions are key to disaster prevention and mitigation.Recently,TC track predictions have made significant progress,but the ability to predict their intensity is obviously lagging behind.At present,research on TC intensity prediction takes atmospheric reanalysis data as the research object and mines the relationship between TC-related environmental factors and intensity through deep learning.However,reanalysis data are non-real-time in nature,which does not meet the requirements for operational forecasting applications.Therefore,a TC intensity prediction model named TC-Rolling is proposed,which can simultaneously extract the degree of symmetry for strong TC convective cloud and convection intensity,and fuse the deviation-angle variance with satellite images to construct the correlation between TC convection structure and intensity.For TCs'complex dynamic processes,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to learn their temporal and spatial features.For real-time intensity estimation,multi-task learning acts as an implicit time-series enhancement.The model is designed with a rolling strategy that aims to moderate the long-term dependent decay problem and improve accuracy for short-term intensity predictions.Since multiple tasks are correlated,the loss function of 12 h and 24 h are corrected.After testing on a sample of TCs in the Northwest Pacific,with a 4.48 kt root-mean-square error(RMSE)of 6 h intensity prediction,5.78 kt for 12 h,and 13.94 kt for 24 h,TC records from official agencies are used to assess the validity of TC-Rolling.展开更多
This study investigates the size characteristics and related temporal variations of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the Western North Pacific(WNP)and those affecting East China(EC)using Joint Typhoon Warning Center(JTWC)da...This study investigates the size characteristics and related temporal variations of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the Western North Pacific(WNP)and those affecting East China(EC)using Joint Typhoon Warning Center(JTWC)data during 2001-20.The average size of EC TCs is found to be similar to that over the WNP.Furthermore,the annual maximum lifetime maximum size(LMS)of EC TCs shows a statistically significant increasing trend,implying a more severe impact on the EC region.Composite analyses of intensity and size variation over the entire lifetime of TCs,before and after re-curvature,and before and after rapid intensification(RI),show that there are significant differences between them in some key areas:(1)The intensity begins to rapidly decrease after the TC has reached its highest intensity,but the size remains quasi-constant;(2)When a TC recurves south of 15°N or north of 30°N,the variation trend for both intensity and size are broadly similar before and after curvature,but their variation trends are opposite when the recurvature occurs between 15°-30°N;(3)After RI,the intensity reaches its peak value within 24 h,whereas the size reaches its LMS after30-48 h.A significant correlation is also found between the rate of change in intensity and that of size during the development stage,with a correlation coefficient of 0.67 and 0.73 for TCs in the WNP and EC,respectively.However,no significant correlation exists during the weakening stage.展开更多
为了研究WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)模式模拟飑线的低层温度偏差问题,选取2009年6月14日发生在江苏省北部的一次飑线个例进行分析。通过WRF模式对此次飑线过程的模拟发现,WRF模式模拟的低层日最高气温滞后实际观测2~3 h,且...为了研究WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)模式模拟飑线的低层温度偏差问题,选取2009年6月14日发生在江苏省北部的一次飑线个例进行分析。通过WRF模式对此次飑线过程的模拟发现,WRF模式模拟的低层日最高气温滞后实际观测2~3 h,且模拟的傍晚低层气温的降温幅度低于实际观测2~3℃。对比试验证实,通过改变边界层参数化方案可以减弱边界层与自由大气的温度交换,进而在一定程度上改善模拟结果,即模拟的飑线强度和低层温度均与实际观测更加相近;在不改变边界层方案的情况下,将地面自动加密观测站数据加入模拟中也可起到相同的作用。展开更多
An overview of tropical cyclone(TC)observational field campaigns across the globe is provided,with an emphasis on field campaigns in the Western North Pacific basin.A history of airborne experiments is first presented...An overview of tropical cyclone(TC)observational field campaigns across the globe is provided,with an emphasis on field campaigns in the Western North Pacific basin.A history of airborne experiments is first presented for both the Atlantic and Western North Pacific basins.Some noteworthy research results arising from field campaigns in the Western North Pacific basin in the past 10-15 years are then discussed.The current airborne capabilities for monitoring typhoons are discussed.Finally,a case for an international typhoon field campaign in the Western North Pacific is presented.Challenges and opportunities for such an international field campaign are described as a part of this discussion.展开更多
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(42192552,42475011)。
文摘Typhoons are strong air–sea interactions that significantly affect the physical and biogeochemical processes of the upper ocean. Based on the Regional Ocean Modeling System-Carbon–Silicate–Nitrate Ecosystem coupled model, the influence of Typhoon Bolaven(2012) on physical and ecological variables in the East China Sea and the underlying mechanisms were investigated. The results showed that the typhoon induced intense vertical mixing in the upper ocean,leading to sea surface cooling, increased salinity, nutrient concentrations, and phytoplankton blooms. Conversely, warming,reduced salinity, and decreased nutrient concentrations occurred in the subsurface layer. In the Yangtze River Estuary, the passage of typhoons effectively affected wind and current directions, shaping the dipole distribution patterns of the environmental elements. Diagnostic analysis indicated that tropical cyclone-induced horizontal advection is key in driving changes in both the physical and ecological variables within the estuary region. This study provides novel insights into the physical-ecological coupling processes and driving mechanisms governing oceanic environmental changes during typhoon events, particularly in the waters adjacent to the Yangtze River Estuary.
基金jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers U2342202 and 42175005]the Qing Lan Project[grant number R2023Q06]。
文摘In 2021,Cempaka,a tiny tropical cyclone,made landfall in China.As the TC intensified prior to landfall,the tropical cyclone size measured with precipitation decreased significantly.A numerical simulation was conducted to examine the possible processes modulating the storm size.Azimuthally mean potential vorticity(PV)was found to decrease mainly in the middle to upper troposphere between 50-and 80-km radii.The PV budget results indicate that the advection and generation of mean PV associated with asymmetric processes,rather than the symmetric processes,primarily contributed to the decrease in mean PV.These asymmetric processes leading to a negative PV tendency were likely associated with inactive outer rainbands.In contrast,the tangential winds simultaneously expanded radially outward,possibly related to inner-core diabatic heating.The findings here emphasize the importance of outer rainband activity in tropical cyclone size change.
基金jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers U2342202,42175005,and 42175016]the Qing Lan Project[grant number R2023Q06]。
文摘This study investigates the width of the secondary eyewall(SE)immediately following its formation in tropical cyclones with surface environmental winds aligned and counter-aligned with environmental vertical wind shear(VWS),using idealized numerical experiments.Results reveal that the SE develops greater radial extent when surface winds align with VWS compared to counter-aligned conditions.In alignment configurations,shear-enhanced surface winds on the right flank amplify surface enthalpy fluxes,thereby elevating boundary-layer entropy within the downshear outer-core region.Subsequently,more vigorous outer rainbands develop,inducing marked acceleration of tangential winds in the outer core preceding SE formation.The resultant radial expansion of supergradient winds near the boundary-layer top triggers widespread convective activity immediately beyond the inner core.Progressive axisymmetrization of this convective forcing ultimately generates an expansive SE structure.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant Nos.2013CB430103 and 2015CB452803)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.41605032,41375056,41675051,41575083,41675009 and 41730961)+4 种基金a project of the Specially Appointed Professorship of Jiangsu Provincethe Natural Science Foundation for Higher Education Institutions in Jiangsu Province (Grant No.12KJA170002)the Open Project of the State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather,Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (Grant No.2015LASW-A06)the China Scholarship Council (CSC)the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions (PAPD)
文摘Typhoon Chan-Hom （2015） underwent a weakening in the tropical western North Pacific （WNP） when it interacted with a monsoon gyre, but all operational forecasts failed to predict this intensity change. A recent observational study indicated that it resulted from its interaction with a monsoon gyre on the 15-30-day timescale. In this study, the results of two numerical experiments are presented to investigate the influence of the monsoon gyre on the intensity changes of Typhoon Chan-Hom （2015）. The control experiment captures the main observed features of the weakening process of Chan-Hom （2015） during a sharp northward turn in the Philippine Sea, including the enlargement of the eye size, the development of strong convection on the eastern side of the monsoon gyre, and the corresponding strong outer inflow. The sensitivity experiment suggests that intensity changes of Chan-Hom （2015） were mainly associated with its interaction with the monsoon gyre. When Chan-Horn （2015） initially moved westward in the eastern part of the monsoon gyre, the monsoon gyre enhanced the inertial stability for the intensification of the typhoon. With its coalescence with the monsoon gyre, the development of the strong convection on the eastern side of the monsoon gyre prevented moisture and mass entering the inner core of Chan-Hom （2015）, resulting in the collapse of the eyewall. Thus, the weakening happened in the deep tropical WNP region. The numerical simulations confirm the important effects of the interaction between tropical cyclones and monsoon gyres on tropical cyclone intensity.
基金jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers U2342202 and 42175005]the Qing Lan Project[grant number R2023Q06]。
文摘A numerical simulation was performed using the Thompson microphysics scheme to preliminarily investigate the features of the microphysical processes involved in the record-breaking rainfall event that occurred in Henan Province,China,on 20 July 2021.The simulation results showed that a strong meso-𝛾-scale vortical updraft was concurrent with the torrential rainfall.The main finding is that this event was characterized by typical midlatitude warm-rain processes.The simulation with the Thompson microphysics scheme further indicated that highly efficient collision-coalescence of cloud water to rainwater resulted in a considerably active rain droplet growth,leading to this record-breaking rainfall event.
基金jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[Grant Nos.U2342202 and 42175005]the Qing Lan Project[Grant No.R2023Q06]。
文摘This study investigates the characteristics of secondary eyewall formation(SEF)in idealized tropical cyclones embedded in vertical wind shear(VWS)at different heights.The results show that upper-layer VWS at a relatively low shear height is more favorable for SEF than upper-layer VWS at a relatively high shear height and lowerlayer VWS.In the experiments with upper-layer VWS at a relatively low shear height,better-organized stratiform clouds are located in the downwind sector of outer rainbands.The low-level descending inflow associated with the stratiform sector is stronger in these experiments than in the experiments with upper-layer VWS at a relatively high shear height and lower-layer VWS.The enhanced descending inflow can trigger supergradient winds and convergence near the top of the boundary layer,close to three times the radius of the maximum wind,where convection is locally forced.The subsequent convection axisymmetrization leads to SEF.
基金jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42075138 and 42375147)the Program on Key Basic Research Project of Jiangsu(Grant No.BE2023829)。
文摘Tropical cyclones(TCs)are one of the most serious types of natural disasters,and accurate TC activity predictions are key to disaster prevention and mitigation.Recently,TC track predictions have made significant progress,but the ability to predict their intensity is obviously lagging behind.At present,research on TC intensity prediction takes atmospheric reanalysis data as the research object and mines the relationship between TC-related environmental factors and intensity through deep learning.However,reanalysis data are non-real-time in nature,which does not meet the requirements for operational forecasting applications.Therefore,a TC intensity prediction model named TC-Rolling is proposed,which can simultaneously extract the degree of symmetry for strong TC convective cloud and convection intensity,and fuse the deviation-angle variance with satellite images to construct the correlation between TC convection structure and intensity.For TCs'complex dynamic processes,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to learn their temporal and spatial features.For real-time intensity estimation,multi-task learning acts as an implicit time-series enhancement.The model is designed with a rolling strategy that aims to moderate the long-term dependent decay problem and improve accuracy for short-term intensity predictions.Since multiple tasks are correlated,the loss function of 12 h and 24 h are corrected.After testing on a sample of TCs in the Northwest Pacific,with a 4.48 kt root-mean-square error(RMSE)of 6 h intensity prediction,5.78 kt for 12 h,and 13.94 kt for 24 h,TC records from official agencies are used to assess the validity of TC-Rolling.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under(Grant No.U2142206)the Shanghai Natural Science Foundation(21ZR1477300)+1 种基金Shanghai Science and Technology Commission Project(23DZ1204701)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42075056)。
文摘This study investigates the size characteristics and related temporal variations of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the Western North Pacific(WNP)and those affecting East China(EC)using Joint Typhoon Warning Center(JTWC)data during 2001-20.The average size of EC TCs is found to be similar to that over the WNP.Furthermore,the annual maximum lifetime maximum size(LMS)of EC TCs shows a statistically significant increasing trend,implying a more severe impact on the EC region.Composite analyses of intensity and size variation over the entire lifetime of TCs,before and after re-curvature,and before and after rapid intensification(RI),show that there are significant differences between them in some key areas:(1)The intensity begins to rapidly decrease after the TC has reached its highest intensity,but the size remains quasi-constant;(2)When a TC recurves south of 15°N or north of 30°N,the variation trend for both intensity and size are broadly similar before and after curvature,but their variation trends are opposite when the recurvature occurs between 15°-30°N;(3)After RI,the intensity reaches its peak value within 24 h,whereas the size reaches its LMS after30-48 h.A significant correlation is also found between the rate of change in intensity and that of size during the development stage,with a correlation coefficient of 0.67 and 0.73 for TCs in the WNP and EC,respectively.However,no significant correlation exists during the weakening stage.
文摘为了研究WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)模式模拟飑线的低层温度偏差问题,选取2009年6月14日发生在江苏省北部的一次飑线个例进行分析。通过WRF模式对此次飑线过程的模拟发现,WRF模式模拟的低层日最高气温滞后实际观测2~3 h,且模拟的傍晚低层气温的降温幅度低于实际观测2~3℃。对比试验证实,通过改变边界层参数化方案可以减弱边界层与自由大气的温度交换,进而在一定程度上改善模拟结果,即模拟的飑线强度和低层温度均与实际观测更加相近;在不改变边界层方案的情况下,将地面自动加密观测站数据加入模拟中也可起到相同的作用。
基金support of NSFC with No.U214226 and“Typhoon Scientific and Technological Inno-vation Group of CMA” 2023ZD06.
文摘An overview of tropical cyclone(TC)observational field campaigns across the globe is provided,with an emphasis on field campaigns in the Western North Pacific basin.A history of airborne experiments is first presented for both the Atlantic and Western North Pacific basins.Some noteworthy research results arising from field campaigns in the Western North Pacific basin in the past 10-15 years are then discussed.The current airborne capabilities for monitoring typhoons are discussed.Finally,a case for an international typhoon field campaign in the Western North Pacific is presented.Challenges and opportunities for such an international field campaign are described as a part of this discussion.
