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Development of data acquisition system for induction heating equipment of large caliber coated tubes
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作者 HE Chunyao WEN Hongquan 《Baosteel Technical Research》 2025年第1期41-46,共6页
In the anticorrosive coating line of a welded tube plant, the current status and existing problems of the medium-frequency induction heating equipment were discussed.Partial renovations of the power control cabinet ha... In the anticorrosive coating line of a welded tube plant, the current status and existing problems of the medium-frequency induction heating equipment were discussed.Partial renovations of the power control cabinet have been conducted.Parameters such as the DC current, DC voltage, intermediate frequency power, heating temperature, and the positioning signal at the pipe end were collected.A data acquisition and processing system, which can process data according to user needs and provide convenient data processing functions, has been developed using LabVIEW software.This system has been successfully applied in the coating line for the automatic control of high-power induction heating equipment, production management, and digital steel tube and/or digital delivery. 展开更多
关键词 induction heating data acquisition data processing coating line welded steel tube
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Exploration and practice of low-carbon operation in the Tube,Pipe & Bar Business Unit of Baosteel
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作者 YU Lu LU Wei 《Baosteel Technical Research》 2025年第2期23-34,共12页
The Tube, Pipe & Bar Business Unit of Baosteel(hereinafter referred to as the Business Unit) actively practices the concept of green and low-carbon development and is committed to building a near-zero carbon pro-d... The Tube, Pipe & Bar Business Unit of Baosteel(hereinafter referred to as the Business Unit) actively practices the concept of green and low-carbon development and is committed to building a near-zero carbon pro-duction line.The low-carbon operation of the Business Unit is explored from seven aspects, including low-carbon and energy-saving operation in an electric arc furnace and extreme energy efficiency.Currently, extreme energy efficiency is the best practice for energy conservation and carbon reduction, and the research and development of low-carbon metallurgical technology, green energy development, biomass utilization, and carbon capture, utilization, and storage are important measures for achieving emission reduction goals, requiring further investments, research, and development.The Business Unit works closely with users in carrying out demonstration projects, continuously enhancing the influence of low-carbon products and continuing efforts to achieve the “Dual Carbon” goal. 展开更多
关键词 low carbon ultimate energy efficiency electric arc furnace BIOCHAR
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Key vacuum technology issues to be solved in evacuated tube transportation 被引量:14
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作者 Yaoping ZHANG Daryl OSTER +2 位作者 Masayuki KUMADA Jianye YU Shengshan LI 《Journal of Modern Transportation》 2011年第2期110-113,共4页
Evacuated tube transportation (ETT) will be one of the ultra-large-scale vacuum application areas. This paper lists some key vacuum technology issues in ETT: (1) how to construct ultra-large-scale vacuum chamber ... Evacuated tube transportation (ETT) will be one of the ultra-large-scale vacuum application areas. This paper lists some key vacuum technology issues in ETT: (1) how to construct ultra-large-scale vacuum chamber with lower cost and high reliability, (2) how to evacuate gas out of the ETT tube in short time, (3) how to release heat or reduce temperature in the vacuum tube, (4) how to avoid vacuum discharge, (5) how to make vehicles with airproof shells and life support system, and (6) how to detect leaks and find leak positions efficiently. At the same time, some solutions are proposed. 展开更多
关键词 vacuum technology evacuated tube transportation vacuum tube MAGLEV
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FE SIMULATION OF CENTER CRACK OCCURRENCE IN TUBE ROUNDS DURING TWO-ROLL ROTARY ROLLING PROCESS 被引量:8
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作者 S.Z. Li J. Xu +4 位作者 Y.D. Yin J.G. Xue F. Pan J.M. Zheng J.H. Yoon 《Acta Metallurgica Sinica(English Letters)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第3期225-234,共10页
With the aid of FE (finite element) code MSC.Superform 2005, 2-D coupled thermo-mechanical simulation of center-crack occurrence in round billet during 2-roll rotary rolling process was presented using Oyane ductile... With the aid of FE (finite element) code MSC.Superform 2005, 2-D coupled thermo-mechanical simulation of center-crack occurrence in round billet during 2-roll rotary rolling process was presented using Oyane ductile fracture criteria. A simple modeling is put forward based on the spiral motion of the workpiece as an essential characteristic in movement. The influence of the feed angle and the entry cone angle of the main roll on the process was taken into account in the modeling. The soundness for simplifying the 3-D rotary rolling into a 2-D problem was discussed. By adopting the parameters of Diescher piercer in 140mm mandrel mill of Bao Steel, the distribution and development of strain/stress were analyzed, and the eigen value of ductile fracture as well. The critical percentage of diameter reduction was obtained from the simulation. The result showed a good agreement with the experimental value, and therefore was of widely guiding significance to the practical process for rationally formulating the deformation parameters of steel tube piercing. 展开更多
关键词 numerical simulation inside crack tube piercing rotary rolling seamless tube deformation
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Review of the development of tube and pipe products at Baosteel over the past 30 years
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作者 Yin Guanghong 《Baosteel Technical Research》 CAS 2008年第3期24-32,共9页
The history of the development of the tube & pipe division of Baosteel was reviewed in the article, focusing on the process of technical innovation and the product category enrichment. Thanks to the technical innovat... The history of the development of the tube & pipe division of Baosteel was reviewed in the article, focusing on the process of technical innovation and the product category enrichment. Thanks to the technical innovation, the Ф 140 product line has become the most efficient one in the world. With the advance of conglomeracy and the construction of the most advanced weld pipe line and the Ф460 premium quality finishing (PQF) line ,the catalogue of Baosteel tube &pipe products has covered the extensive range from the hot roll to cold roll, the seamless to the welded, and all of the product dimension scope from 25.4 mm to 610 ram. To meet the requirements of relevant industries such as energy ,transportation, machinery,ammunition and other relevant industries, the product variety is diverting from carbon steel to alloy steel, stainless steel and special alloys. As the Baosteel Steel Tubing Plant increased its number of production units, expanded its production capacity and developed new products ,it has grown into a pipe and tube supplier with global competitiveness. 展开更多
关键词 pipe and tube OCTG boiler tube weld pipe
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Evacuated tube transport technologies (ET3)^(tm):a maximum value global transportation network for passengers and cargo 被引量:27
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作者 Daryl OSTER Masayuki KUMADA Yaoping ZHANG 《Journal of Modern Transportation》 2011年第1期42-50,共9页
Evacuated Tube Transport Technologies (ET3) offers the potential for more than an order of magnitude improvement in transportation efficiency, speed, cost, and effectiveness. An ET3 network may be optimized to susta... Evacuated Tube Transport Technologies (ET3) offers the potential for more than an order of magnitude improvement in transportation efficiency, speed, cost, and effectiveness. An ET3 network may be optimized to sustainably displace most global transportation by car, ship, truck, train, and jet aircraft. To do this, ET3 standards should adhere to certain key principals: maximum value through efficiency, reliability, and simplicity; equal consideration for passenger and cargo loads; optimum size; high speed/high frequency operation; demand oriented; random accessibility; scalability; high granularity; automated control; full speed passive switching; open standards of implementation; and maximum use of existing capacities, materials, and processes. 展开更多
关键词 evacuated tube transport energy-savings high speed CARGO PASSENGER optimization GLOBAL network
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Simulation of Tube Forming Process in Mannesmann Mill 被引量:7
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作者 陆璐 王照旭 +2 位作者 王辅忠 朱光亚 张兴祥 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2011年第3期281-285,共5页
The finite element method(FEM)is used for simulation of the tube piercing process in Mannesmann mill.The numerical model is described with taking into consideration thermal phenomena in metal during forming. The simul... The finite element method(FEM)is used for simulation of the tube piercing process in Mannesmann mill.The numerical model is described with taking into consideration thermal phenomena in metal during forming. The simulated results visualize dynamic distributions of mean stresses,temperature,velocity and shear stresses, especially inside the workpiece.On the basis of the basic parameters,the phenomenon in the piercing process is analyzed.The model is verified by comparing the values of calculated force parameters of the piercing process and those measured in laboratory conditions. 展开更多
关键词 finite element method(FEM) SIMULATION tube piercing process Mannesmann mill
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Design and development of high linearity millimeter wave traveling-wave tube for satellite communications 被引量:2
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作者 何俊 黄明光 +5 位作者 李现霞 李海强 赵磊 赵建东 李跃 赵石雷 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第10期172-176,共5页
The linearity of the traveling-wave tube is a very important characteristic for a modern communication system. To improve the linearity of the traveling-wave tube at no expense of the saturated output power and overal... The linearity of the traveling-wave tube is a very important characteristic for a modern communication system. To improve the linearity of the traveling-wave tube at no expense of the saturated output power and overall efficiency, a modified pitch profile combined with a small adjustment of operating parameters is proposed. The optimal design of the helix circuit is evaluated theoretically by a large signal analysis, and the experimental test is also carried out to make a comparison of performance between the novel and original designed traveling-wave tubes. The experiments show that the saturated output powers and efficiencies of these two tubes are close to each other, while the linearity of the traveling-wave tube is obviously improved. The total phase shift and AM/PM conversion at saturation of the novel tube, averaged over the operating band, are only 30.6°/d B and 2.5°/d B, respectively, which are 20.1°/d B and 1.6°/d B lower than those of the original tube, respectively. Moreover, the third-order intermodulation of the novel tube is up to 2.2 d Bc lower than that of the original tube. 展开更多
关键词 helix traveling-wave tube digital modulation nonlinear distortion pitch profile optimization
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Numerical simulation and analysis of aerodynamic drag on a subsonic train in evacuated tube transportation 被引量:19
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作者 Yaoping ZHANG 《Journal of Modern Transportation》 2012年第1期44-48,共5页
The aerodynamic drag on a train running in an evacuated tube varies with tube air pressure, train speed and shape, as well as blockage ratio. This paper uses numerical simulations to study the effects of different fac... The aerodynamic drag on a train running in an evacuated tube varies with tube air pressure, train speed and shape, as well as blockage ratio. This paper uses numerical simulations to study the effects of different factors on the aerodynamic drag of a train running at subsonic speed in an evacuated tube. Firstly, we present the assumption of a steady state, two dimensional, incompressible viscous flow with lubricity wall conditions. Subsequently, based on the Navier-Stokes equation and the k-c turbulent models, we calculate the aerodynamic drag imposed on the column train with a 3-meter diameter running under different pressure and blockage ratio conditions in an evacuated tube transporta- tion (ETT) system. The simulation is performed with FLUENT 6.3 software package. An analyses of the simulation re- sults suggest that the blockage ratio for ETT should be in the range of 0.25-0.7, and the tube internal diameter in the range of 2-4 m, with the feasible vacuum pressure in the range of 1-10 000 Pa for the future subsonic ETT trains. 展开更多
关键词 subsonic train evacuated tube transportation aerodynamic drag blockage ratio
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Velocity Field and Variation of Wall Thickness During Tube Dieless Upsetting 被引量:1
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作者 王忠堂 栾瑰馥 张士宏 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2004年第2期218-222,共5页
Theoretical analyses show that the variation of wall thickness is in direct proportion to outer-diameter, inter-diameter, and (1+R_s)^(1/2) (Rs is sectional increase ratio of tube), the theoretical calculated results ... Theoretical analyses show that the variation of wall thickness is in direct proportion to outer-diameter, inter-diameter, and (1+R_s)^(1/2) (Rs is sectional increase ratio of tube), the theoretical calculated results of wall thickness during tube dieless upsetting are very approximate to the experimental one. As the width of deformation field increases, both the variation of wall thickness and the derivative of wall thickness variation to width of deformation field (to/tf) reduce. 展开更多
关键词 dieless upsetting TUBE wall thickness velocity field
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Drug-Induced Hypothyroidism during Anti-Tuberculosis Treatment of Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis: Notes from the Field 被引量:2
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作者 Somashekar Munivenkatappa Singarajipura Anil +8 位作者 Balaji Naik Tyson Volkmann Karuna D. Sagili Jayachamarajapura S. Akshatha Shashidhar Buggi Manchenahalli A. Sharada Sudhendra Kulkarni Vineet K. Chadha Patrick K. Moonan 《Journal of Tuberculosis Research》 2016年第3期105-110,共7页
We followed 188 euthyroidic persons undergoing treatment for multidrug resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) in the state of Karnataka, India to determine the incidence of hypothyroidism during anti-tuberculosis treatment. ... We followed 188 euthyroidic persons undergoing treatment for multidrug resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) in the state of Karnataka, India to determine the incidence of hypothyroidism during anti-tuberculosis treatment. Overall, among MDR-TB patients with valid thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) values, about 23% developed hypothyroidism (TSH value ≥10 mIU/ml) during anti-tuberculosis treatment;the majority (74%) occurring after 3 months of treatment. Among 133 patients who received a regimen that contained ethionamide, 42 (32%) developed hypothyroidism. Among 17 patients that received a regimen that contained para-aminosalicylate sodium, 6 (35%) developed hypothyroidism. Among 9 HIV positive patients on antiretroviral treatment, 4 (44%) developed hypothyroidism. These results differ from previously reported 4% incidence of hypothyroidism amongst patients who passively reported thyroidal symptoms during treatment, suggesting routine serologic monitoring of TSH throughout the course of treatment for MDR-TB is warranted. 展开更多
关键词 HYPOTHYROIDISM Multidrug Resistance TUBERCULOSIS Thyroid-Stimulating
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Some possible station layouts and characteristics of evacuated tube transportation
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作者 Yaoping ZHANG Benlin LIU Yong ZHAO 《Journal of Modern Transportation》 2011年第3期181-185,共5页
Since Maglev vehicles will run in a closed vacuum tube,the layout of the terminal stations of evacuated tube transportation(ETT) will differ from the traditional railway stations.This paper deals with some possible ... Since Maglev vehicles will run in a closed vacuum tube,the layout of the terminal stations of evacuated tube transportation(ETT) will differ from the traditional railway stations.This paper deals with some possible station layouts of ETT,e.g.,a station with an airlock,a station without an airlock,above ground and underground stations,and stations with either level arrayed or rotation platforms.Then different station layouts are compared,and characteristics of each are analyzed.Finally,a more secure mode for ETT station layouts is suggested,which can be the basis for future ETT station layout and designs. 展开更多
关键词 station layout TERMINAL VACUUM evacuated tube transportation airlock
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Numerical simulation of multistage induction heating of coated steel tubes in Baosteel
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作者 HE Chunyao WEN Hongquan WU Cunyou 《Baosteel Technical Research》 CAS 2022年第1期42-46,共5页
The electromagnetic and temperature fields in the multistage intermediate-frequency induction heating of coated steel tubes were calculated using a numerical simulation.The influence of the voltage and frequency on th... The electromagnetic and temperature fields in the multistage intermediate-frequency induction heating of coated steel tubes were calculated using a numerical simulation.The influence of the voltage and frequency on the parameters of power circuit and heating temperature of the steel pipe was also analyzed.The results indicate that:(1) the electromagnetic field of induction heating is concentrated between the induction coil and steel tube and dissipated more at both ends of the coil;(2) during the induction heating,the temperature difference between the outer and inner walls of the steel pipe is approximately 3040 K,and the two temperatures rapidly tend to be the same after exiting the induction heater;(3)during the natural cooling,the temperature drop of the steel tube in the low-temperature section is approximately 10 K,and that in the high-temperature section is approximately 20 K;(4)the appropriate induction heating frequency and matching capacitance should be selected,so that the temperature of the steel pipe,especially at the outer wall,meets the coating process requirements,and as to achieve a synchronous improvement of the power efficiency and heating efficiency.This study is beneficial to building a more low-consumption and high-efficiency coating line of large-diameter steel pipes in Baosteel. 展开更多
关键词 steel tube coating line induction heating numerical simulation
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Research on horizontal electromagnetic continuous casting of copper tube blanks
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作者 Xintao LI Tingju LI +3 位作者 Qiulin LI Yanqin SONG Jinli ZHANG Junze JIN 《China Foundry》 SCIE CAS 2005年第2期108-111,共4页
The effect of commercial frequency electromagnetic field on the solidification structure and mechanical propertiesof copper hollow blanks prepared by horizontal continuous casting method was investigated. The results ... The effect of commercial frequency electromagnetic field on the solidification structure and mechanical propertiesof copper hollow blanks prepared by horizontal continuous casting method was investigated. The results show thatwhen the electromagnetic field is imposed, columnar grains are evidently refined and fine equiaxed grains areobtained in the inner side of the cross-section. Moreover, with the increase of input current, the equiaxed grain regionwidens and the grains distribute more uniformly in the circumferential direction. Meanwhile, the mechanical properties areremarkably improved by the application of electromagnetic field. When the input current is 140 A, the tensile strengthincreases 15% and the elongation increases 10%. However, the electromagnetic field has no effect on the distribution ofmicroelements. 展开更多
关键词 ELECTROMAGNETIC field HORIZONTAL CONTINUOUS CASTING copper HOLLOW BLANKS mechanical properties solidificationstructure
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真空管道磁浮交通试验平台建设及管内气动特性研究进展 被引量:1
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作者 邓自刚 胡啸 +2 位作者 王潇飞 李宗澎 张卫华 《机械工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期181-197,共17页
作为一种新型交通系统,真空管道运输系统将悬浮列车技术和低气压管道技术相结合,理论上能够最大限度地减小列车高速运行时的摩擦阻力和气动阻力,有望突破地面轨道交通的速度极限,实现时速1000 km及以上的超高速轨道交通。为了促进真空... 作为一种新型交通系统,真空管道运输系统将悬浮列车技术和低气压管道技术相结合,理论上能够最大限度地减小列车高速运行时的摩擦阻力和气动阻力,有望突破地面轨道交通的速度极限,实现时速1000 km及以上的超高速轨道交通。为了促进真空管道运输系统的发展,首先概述国内外真空管道交通试验平台建设的研究现状,包括美国、韩国以及中国等国家,目前最高的模型试验速度高达1152 km/h;并重点分析了管内气动基础科学问题,从管内流动状态、气动载荷、管内复杂波系现象、气动热以及气动噪声5方面梳理管内气动特性研究进展,最后对真空管道交通的发展前景进行了探讨与展望,并指出精细化数值模拟方法、缓解或延迟流动雍塞的方法、适用于真空管道交通系统的散热途径、列车长时间运行时管道流场特征演化这几个方面是今后需要重点研究的气动基础问题。 展开更多
关键词 真空管道 磁悬浮 气动特性 气动热 雍塞流动
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低真空超高速轨道交通研究进展与思考 被引量:2
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作者 张卫华 邓自刚 +3 位作者 毕海权 李田 李艳 李海涛 《机车电传动》 2025年第1期1-13,共13页
低真空超高速轨道交通具有显著的应用前景,也有部分科学技术问题亟待攻克。文章全面回顾了低真空管道超高速轨道交通技术的起源、发展和当前的国际研究态势,分析了开展该技术研究的必要性与可行性,详细讨论了低气压环境下磁浮列车的悬... 低真空超高速轨道交通具有显著的应用前景,也有部分科学技术问题亟待攻克。文章全面回顾了低真空管道超高速轨道交通技术的起源、发展和当前的国际研究态势,分析了开展该技术研究的必要性与可行性,详细讨论了低气压环境下磁浮列车的悬浮技术适应性及其面临的主要技术挑战,如散热和绝缘问题。此外,针对低真空管道交通系统的救援与逃生问题,文章也提出了相应的技术解决方案和适应措施。 展开更多
关键词 超高速 低真空 磁浮列车 低真空管道 救援与逃生
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基于压力脉冲检测技术的油气管道沉积物检测应用研究
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作者 亢春 曹兴滨 +4 位作者 朱丽丽 王一帆 马孝亮 刘宗胜 邓帮辉 《化工设备与管道》 北大核心 2025年第1期70-75,共6页
油气管道内部沉积物对管道输送效率和设备安全具有一定影响,通过采取有效手段对其进行检测诊断和合理管控清除可以确保油气管道系统的安全可靠运行。文章分析探讨了几种管道内部沉积物检测技术,并重点介绍了压力脉冲检测技术的基本原理... 油气管道内部沉积物对管道输送效率和设备安全具有一定影响,通过采取有效手段对其进行检测诊断和合理管控清除可以确保油气管道系统的安全可靠运行。文章分析探讨了几种管道内部沉积物检测技术,并重点介绍了压力脉冲检测技术的基本原理以及其在两段在役天然气输送管道的实际应用情况,其中一段曾出现过卡堵事故。检测结果显示,针对前期出现卡堵事故的输气管道,压力脉冲检测技术给出的管道内部沉积物位置与前期清管器卡堵位置基本一致,沉积物体积估算结果与后期除盐溶解液中的盐结晶体积相差仅2m^(3),另一段管道内部较为洁净,沉积物较少。综上所述,压力脉冲检测技术对于管道内部沉积物的检测评价效果良好,能够准确获取沉积物的体积、厚度和位置分布等关键信息,可为油气管道内部沉积物的有效清除及安全运行提供科学支持。 展开更多
关键词 压力脉冲 检测技术 油气管道 沉积物检测 现场应用 检测评价
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Ni、Si元素的添加对Cu-7Sn合金组织及力学性能的影响
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作者 樊文欣 高阳 +5 位作者 王鹏飞 陈燕 原霞 彭丽军 付亚波 张忠涛 《有色金属科学与工程》 北大核心 2025年第1期85-95,共11页
在传统的固溶强化型Cu-7Sn合金的基础上,通过相图热力学和第一性原理结果对合金化成分及热处理制度进行设计,探究了不同温度条件下合金的物相组成,并对材料的微观组织演变进行表征。通过分析不同合金成分及温度条件下的物相组成,设计并... 在传统的固溶强化型Cu-7Sn合金的基础上,通过相图热力学和第一性原理结果对合金化成分及热处理制度进行设计,探究了不同温度条件下合金的物相组成,并对材料的微观组织演变进行表征。通过分析不同合金成分及温度条件下的物相组成,设计并制备出一种新型沉淀强化型Cu-7Sn-1Ni-0.4Si合金。研究表明,根据相图及第一性原理计算结果,将Ni和Si元素作为合金化元素,采用熔铸法制备的Cu-7Sn-1Ni-0.4Si合金,在850℃条件下进行3 h的固溶处理及400℃条件下进行5 h的时效处理后,大量δ-Ni2Si相析出,显著提升了合金的力学性能。此时,合金的维氏硬度、抗拉强度和延伸率分别可达160.7 HV、550 MPa和18%。 展开更多
关键词 Cu-7Sn合金 热处理 析出相 力学性能
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衡钢特殊间隙接箍螺纹接头研发
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作者 胡志立 李小兵 +2 位作者 吴丹 张垂贵 李建亮 《焊管》 2025年第10期68-73,共6页
为了满足严苛工况对特殊螺纹接头的性能要求,针对塔里木油田某巨厚盐膏层油气区块的开发需求,研发了特殊间隙接箍螺纹接头,采用有限元方法对其应力分布及密封性能进行分析。结果表明,接头上扣曲线线性较好,在复合载荷条件下,特殊间隙接... 为了满足严苛工况对特殊螺纹接头的性能要求,针对塔里木油田某巨厚盐膏层油气区块的开发需求,研发了特殊间隙接箍螺纹接头,采用有限元方法对其应力分布及密封性能进行分析。结果表明,接头上扣曲线线性较好,在复合载荷条件下,特殊间隙接箍螺纹接头内、外密封面均保持良好的密封接触压力和密封接触长度,密封面接触状态稳定,密封指数实际值远超理论临界值,证明该接头具备优异的密封特性。经过苛刻的全尺寸实物试验,验证了该接头具有优异的密封性能,拉伸效率和压缩效率均达到了管体性能的65%,表明其压缩强度达到了连接强度同等水平。该特殊间隙螺纹接头成功应用于塔里木油田某具有盐膏层的岩性复杂气井,取得了良好的应用效果。 展开更多
关键词 特殊间隙接箍螺纹接头 有限元分析 密封性能 油套管
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灰色-马尔科夫链模型在预测区域管道一般性腐蚀趋势中的应用
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作者 徐东 许晓伟 +3 位作者 孔艳军 徐龙 王霞 王娜 《全面腐蚀控制》 2025年第9期80-84,共5页
针对等间距灰色GM(1, 1)模型在预测埋地管道腐蚀寿命中面临的数据量不足、非等间距问题,依托同一区域多条相似管道(或管段)历史检测数据,根据“最不利原则”筛选出一个反映区域管道一般性腐蚀趋势的腐蚀深度序列,并对该序列进行等间距... 针对等间距灰色GM(1, 1)模型在预测埋地管道腐蚀寿命中面临的数据量不足、非等间距问题,依托同一区域多条相似管道(或管段)历史检测数据,根据“最不利原则”筛选出一个反映区域管道一般性腐蚀趋势的腐蚀深度序列,并对该序列进行等间距插值处理,而后建立GM(1, 1)模型进行拟合及预测。依据该预测结果,结合具体管道规格、管道腐蚀状态分级表~([1])统计出该管道固定步长下的腐蚀状态一步转移概率矩阵,设定管道初始状态即可预测其未来所处状态的概率分布。在长庆油田第二采气厂辖区内使用该方法建模,结果与实际运营状况表现出较高的一致性。 展开更多
关键词 灰色GM(1 1)模型 马尔科夫链 区域管道 腐蚀趋势
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