This study investigates climate-and human-induced hydrological changes in the Zavkhan River-Khyargas Lake Basin,a highly sensitive arid and semi-arid region of Central Asia.Using Mann-Kendall,innovative trend analysis...This study investigates climate-and human-induced hydrological changes in the Zavkhan River-Khyargas Lake Basin,a highly sensitive arid and semi-arid region of Central Asia.Using Mann-Kendall,innovative trend analysis,and Sen's slope estimation methods,historical climate trends(1980-2100)were analyzed,while land cover changes represented human impacts.Future projections were simulated using the MIROC model with Shared Socioeconomic Pathways(SSPs)and the Tank model.Results show that during the past 40 years,air temperature significantly increased(Z=3.93^(***)),while precipitation(Z=-1.54^(*))and river flow(Z=-1.73^(*))both declined.The Khyargas Lake water level dropped markedly(Z=-5.57***).Land cover analysis reveals expanded cropland and impervious areas due to human activity.Under the SSP1.26 scenario,which assumes minimal climate change,air temperature is projected to rise by 2.0℃,precipitation by 21.8 mm,and river discharge by 1.61 m^(3)/s between 2000 and 2100.These findings indicate that both global warming and intensified land use have substantially altered hydrological and climatic processes in the basin,highlighting the vulnerability of western Mongolia's water resources to combined climatic and anthropogenic influence.展开更多
The middle reaches of the Yellow River represent a critically ecologically sensitive and fragile area within the Yellow River Basin(YRB),holding significant scientific value for ecological security assessment and envi...The middle reaches of the Yellow River represent a critically ecologically sensitive and fragile area within the Yellow River Basin(YRB),holding significant scientific value for ecological security assessment and environmental management strategies.This study comprehensively evaluates the evolution of the eco-environment in the“Two Mountains,Seven Rivers,and One Basin”(TSO)area of Shanxi Province from 2000 to 2020 based on fraction vegetation cover(FVC)derived from the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI),net primary productivity(NPP)calculated via the Carnegie–Ames–Stanford approach(CASA),and the remote sensing ecological index(RSEI).The results indicate a significant improvement in the TSO’s eco-environment from 2000 to 2020,with the RSEI values increased from 0.34 in 2000 to 0.41 in 2020(an increase of 17.76%).Both FVC and NPP demonstrated notable upward trends,with FVC increasing by 22.74%and NPP by 53.11%.Spatially,FVC rose by 21.84%,19.72%and 26.06%,respectively in the Two Mountains,Seven Rivers,and the YRB in Shanxi Province.Similarly,the NPPs increased by 51.60%,48.60%,and 61.65%in these regions over the past 21 years.Both FVC and NPP exhibited decreasing patterns from southeast to northwest,with significant eco-environmental improvements in the northern region and slower recovery in the southern region.Precipitation was the primary causes influencing vegetation recovery,showing positive trends in the central and northern TSO regions,while this trend reversed in the southern.The RSEI value indicate substantial eco-environment improvements in the central and northern areas(Sanggan,Daqing and Hutuo River Basins),whereas the southern regions(e.g.,Zhang,Qin,Fen and Sushui River Basins)remain in poor grade.Human activities,particularly land use/cover changes marked by increased forestation and urbanization alongside decreased cultivated land,significantly affected vegetation cover patterns.This study provides scientific references for formulating policies on ecological construction and high-quality development in the YRB.展开更多
Accelerating the transition from old to new economic drivers(TONED)is fundamental to building a modernized economic system,and the digital economy(DE)has the potential to expedite this process.This study uses panel da...Accelerating the transition from old to new economic drivers(TONED)is fundamental to building a modernized economic system,and the digital economy(DE)has the potential to expedite this process.This study uses panel data that encompassed 273 prefecturelevel cities in China from 2011 to 2020,to empirically examine the effect and underlying mechanisms of the DE on the TONED.The findings indicate that both the DE and TONED exhibit a distinct spatial differentiation,characterized by significantly higher development in the eastern regions compared to the western regions.Furthermore,the robustness test conducted to address the endogeneity problem verifies that DE has a significant positive driving effect on the TONED.In addition,industrial structure upgrading is a significant channel for DE to influence the TONED.Under the constraint of the level of economic development,DE exhibits a non-linear impact on the TONED,and the marginal effect is incremental after passing a specific threshold.Moreover,in the eastern region,non-resource cities,and urban agglomeration areas,DE has a more significant favorable effect on the TONED.The findings provide robust empirical evidence supporting the role of the DE in facilitating the TONED and offer valuable policy insights for developing countries aiming to advance economic transformation.展开更多
Clarifying the mechanisms through which coal mining affects groundwater storage(GWS)variations is crucial for water resource conservation and sustainable development.The Ordos Mining Region in China,a key energy base ...Clarifying the mechanisms through which coal mining affects groundwater storage(GWS)variations is crucial for water resource conservation and sustainable development.The Ordos Mining Region in China,a key energy base in China with significant strategic importance,has undergone intensive coal mining activities that have substantially disrupted regional groundwater circulation.This study integrated data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment Satellite(GRACE)and Famine Early Warning Systems Network(FEWS NET)Land Data Assimilation System(FLDAS)models,combined with weighted downscaling methodology and water balance principles,to reconstruct high-resolution(0.01°)terrestrial water storage(TWS)and GWS changes in the Ordos Mining Region,China from April 2002 to December 2021.The accuracy of GWS variations were validated through pumping test measurements.Subsequently,Geodetector analysis was implemented to quantify the contributions of natural and anthropogenic factors to groundwater storage dynamics.Key findings include:1)TWS in the study area showed a fluctuating but overall decreasing trend,with a total reduction of 8901.11 mm during study period.The most significant annual decrease occurred in 2021,reaching 1696.77 mm.2)GWS exhibited an accelerated decline,with an average annual change rate of 44.35 mm/yr,totaling a decrease of 887.05 mm.The lowest annual groundwater storage level was recorded in 2020,reaching 185.69 mm.3)Precipitation(PRE)contributed the most to GWS variation(q=0.52),followed by coal mining water consumption(MWS)(q=0.41).The interaction between PRE and MWS exhibited a nonlinear enhancement effect on GWS changes(0.54).The synergistic effect of natural hydrological factors has a great influence on the change of GWS,but coal mining water consumption will continue to reduce GWS.These findings provide critical references for the management and regulation of groundwater resource in mining regions.展开更多
Transboundary rivers,traversing multiple national borders,integrate sovereign states into a unified ecological system,complicating water resource governance amid rising global water scarcity and geopolitical tensions....Transboundary rivers,traversing multiple national borders,integrate sovereign states into a unified ecological system,complicating water resource governance amid rising global water scarcity and geopolitical tensions.Consequently,transboundary river governance exemplifies the public resource dilemma.This study,framed by constructivist international relations theory,examines the Lancang-Mekong River Basin as a case study,using data from multiple sources and socioeconomic indicators to explore the evolution of collective identity among riparian countries and its influencing factors.Key findings include:(1)The collective identity of riparian countries evolved in three phases:emergence(1971-1991),formation(1992-2014),and development(2015–2022).During this process,basin governance evolved from limited mechanisms to a more comprehensive,basin-wide system,with an expanded issue range and an increasing number of cooperation agreements.Cooperative attitudes transitioned from broadly positive to differentiated,ultimately aligning more favorably.(2)Economic interdependence is critical to the formation of collective identity among riparian countries,while diplomatic alignment enhances cooperation.(3)Extreme weather events and political globalization exert dual effects on collective identity formation:extreme weather fosters cooperation but also prioritizes domestic recovery,complicating agreements and expanding issues.Political globalization has facilitated institutionalization and normalization of cooperation,though external involvement has deepened divisions in cooperative attitudes.This study contributes to theoretical perspectives on transboundary river governance and supports collective action in global environmental governance.展开更多
Siberian taimen Hucho taimen(Pallas,1773)is a broadly distributed and popular sport fish with high economic value.However,low abundance and hard-to-reach habitat make the Siberian taimen a relatively understudied spec...Siberian taimen Hucho taimen(Pallas,1773)is a broadly distributed and popular sport fish with high economic value.However,low abundance and hard-to-reach habitat make the Siberian taimen a relatively understudied species.Here we describe the morphological variability of two size groups of Siberian taimen juveniles from the eastern(Amur River basin)and western(Kama River basin)parts of the species distribution.The largest morphological differentiation of Siberian taimen juveniles was observed at the inter-basin level.In the Amur River basin,Siberian taimen juveniles also differed morphologically even at sites located at a distance of 20 km from each other,which may be explained by a small home-range inhabitation of juveniles leading to the formation of their morphotype determined by local environmental conditions.The pattern of allometry varies in taimen from different rivers,which could be related to the ontogenetic shift of ecological niches and the level of heterogeneity of the river environment.展开更多
Invasive alien plant species(IAPS)pose severe threats to global biodiversity conservation.Effective management of IAPS requires mapping their distribution and identifying the environmental factors that drive their spr...Invasive alien plant species(IAPS)pose severe threats to global biodiversity conservation.Effective management of IAPS requires mapping their distribution and identifying the environmental factors that drive their spread.The Gaoligong Mountains,a renowned biodiversity hotspot in southwestern China,currently face the dual challenges of IAPS invasion and climate change.However,we know little about the distribution patterns,key environmental drivers,and sensitivity of IAPS to future climate change in this region.In this study,we mapped IAPS richness distribution and identified invasion hotspots throughout the Gaoligong Mountains.In addition,we assessed the relative importance of environmental variables in shaping the spatial distribution of IAPS richness and projected potential shifts in IAPS richness under various climate change scenarios.We identified 161 IAPS,primarily concentrated in the low-elevation tropical and subtropical regions along river valleys,forming belt-like invasion hotspots.The key factors shaping IAPS richness included disturbance complexity,elevation,seasonal precipitation,and vegetation types.Notably,IAPS richness significantly declined with increasing elevation and latitude but increased with higher disturbance complexity.Moreover,IAPS were more prevalent in grasslands and shrublands than in forested areas.Ensemble modeling of future climate scenarios predicted that the distribution of IAPS richness would shift to progressively higher elevations.These findings provide valuable insights for managing IAPS in mountainous regions that play a crucial role in global biodiversity conservation.展开更多
Competitive use of transboundary freshwater resources is becoming one of the key factors influencing regional peace and political relationship among states.In China, 18 major international river basins are concentrate...Competitive use of transboundary freshwater resources is becoming one of the key factors influencing regional peace and political relationship among states.In China, 18 major international river basins are concentrated in three regions, of which the total annual outflow at the border is 7320×108 m3, occupying 26.8% of the total annual runoff of China, and the inflow at the border is only 172×108 m3.In this paper, we analyzed the major drivers affecting shared water vulnerability in China, namely:(1) changes in physical conditions affecting the availability of water;(2) competing objectives between economic development and ecological conservation;(3) lack of emergency response mechanisms;(4) unsound administrative institutions;and(5) shortcomings in the development of regional cooperation based on transboundary waters.We concluded by identifying four pathways for reducing vulnerability:(1) encouraging scientific research cooperation;(2) constructing information-sharing channels;(3) establishing early-warning mechanisms;and(4) promoting further coordination and negotia-tion.展开更多
With the regional population growth, socioeconomic development, more and more attention has been paid to issues on the shared water allocation and the transboundary eco-security conservation during the development of ...With the regional population growth, socioeconomic development, more and more attention has been paid to issues on the shared water allocation and the transboundary eco-security conservation during the development of water resources in the international rivers. In this paper, the existing major problems on transboundary waters in different sub-regions of Asia, such as water shortage, transboundary waters pollution, fragile eco-environment are discussed. Then, the key scientific issues to be concerned in the next study progress on the basis of the analyses of the new research directions and focus fields are raised： （1） unpredicted changes of the hydrologic and water system, and their impacts on the allocation of the sharing waters by global changes; （2） models of the international cooperation on the international rivers on the studies of international and national water laws or regulations, policies, the relative experiences and the case studies; （3） quantificational assessment on environmental flow, available water, and the comprehensive functions and values of the international watercourse system; （4） studies on transboundary aquatic bio-diversity maintenance, transboundary pollution supervision and treatment under the rules and principles accepted by the riparian states; （5） issues on transboundary compensation at the rules of ＂payments for using＂, ＂payments for harm＂ and ＂compensation for benefit＂; （6） using advanced 3S techniques to promote the integrated watershed development and management; and so on.展开更多
In this paper, the discussion is concentrated on the properties of the polluted sediments and the combination of clean-up and disposal process for the upper layer heavily polluted sediments with good flowability. Base...In this paper, the discussion is concentrated on the properties of the polluted sediments and the combination of clean-up and disposal process for the upper layer heavily polluted sediments with good flowability. Based on the systematic analyses of various clean-up processes, a suitable engineering process has been evaluated and recommended. The process has been applied to the river reclamation in Yangpu District of Shanghai City, China. An improved centrifuge is used for dewatering the dredged sludge, which plays an important role in the combination of clean-up and disposal process. The assessment of the engineering process shows its environmental and technical economy feasibility, which is much better than that of traditional dredging-disposal processes.展开更多
The spatial distribution of valley setting （laterally-unconfined, partly-confined, or confined） and fluvial morphology in the source region of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers is contrasted and analyzed. The source reg...The spatial distribution of valley setting （laterally-unconfined, partly-confined, or confined） and fluvial morphology in the source region of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers is contrasted and analyzed. The source region of the Yangtze River is divided into 3 broad sections （I, II and III） based on valley setting and channel gradient, with the upstream and downstream sections being characterized by confined （some reaches partly-confined） valleys while the middle section is characterized with wide and shallow, laterally-unconfined valleys. Gorges are prominent in sections I and III, while braided channel patterns dominate section II. By contrast, the source region of the Yellow River is divided into 5 broad sections （sections I-V） based on valley characteristics and channel gradient. Sections I, II and IV are alluvial reaches with mainly laterally-unconfined （some short reaches partly-confined） valleys. Sections III and V are mainly confined or partly-confined. Greater morphological diversity is evident in the source region of the Yellow River relative to the upper Yangtze River. This includes braided, anabranching, anastomosing, meandering and straight alluvial patterns, with gorges in confined reaches. The macro-relief （elevation, gradient, aspect, valley alignment and confinement） of the region, linked directly to tectonic movement of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, tied to climatic, hydrologic and biotic considerations, are primary controls upon the patterns of river diversity in the region.展开更多
Transition from old to new economic drivers(TONED) is of great significance for optimizing economic structures. Using a combination of methods including entropy weight technique for order preference by similarity to i...Transition from old to new economic drivers(TONED) is of great significance for optimizing economic structures. Using a combination of methods including entropy weight technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution, geospatial analysis, and optimal parameter geodetector, this study investigates the patterns and mechanisms of China's TONED in the prefecture-level cities from 2011 to 2020. The findings reveal that(1) the TONED exhibited a spatial distribution characterized by higher levels in the east and lower levels in the west, along with a pyramidal hierarchy of levels. The distribution of hot and cold spots roughly followed the Heihe-Yulin line.(2) The informatization levels, openness to the outside world, and urbanization played a dominant role in the TONED. The types of dual-factor interactions exhibited both dual-factor enhancement and non-linear enhancement effects.(3) The eastern and central regions were more likely to promote the TONED through enhanced informatization levels, whereas the western region relied more on increasing openness. This study finds that the TONED results from the combined effects of three geographical natures, each playing a distinct role. The recommendations provided can serve as a reference for China and other developing countries to implement the TONED in the context of deglobalization.展开更多
Globally climate change has threatened agriculture and food security which is of great importance to the economy of a nation. In Nigeria it has become a great concern to the government and people because of the obviou...Globally climate change has threatened agriculture and food security which is of great importance to the economy of a nation. In Nigeria it has become a great concern to the government and people because of the obvious changes in the climate systems, therefore, assessing the impact of climate change on crop yield in an oil producing state is of great importance especially where rain fed agriculture is the main determinant for crop yield. Expost-facto research method in the context of quasi experimental research design was adopted for the study. Data for rainfall and temperature and that for crop yields were obtained from Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET) and federal ministry of Agriculture;Agricultural Development Program (ADP) respectively. Analysis of data was achieved using descriptive statistics, trend graphs and multiple linear regressions. Results showed that there had been a steady but gradual increase in the annual minimum, maximum and mean temperatures over the study period of thirty years and a decrease in rainfall. Mean temperature is increasing annually at the rate of 0.0253 per annum and rainfall is decreasing at the rate of -0.5817 mm per annum. The multiple regression model showed r2 values of 0.28 for maize and 0.29 for cassava revealing that only 28% - 29% of maize and cassava yields could be explained by rainfall and temperature in the state and the result was significant at p < 0.05 revealing that cassava and maize yields significantly depended on rainfall and temperature. This study strongly advocates for a better and practicable environmental policies and improved agricultural techniques alternative source of water which will include irrigation farming, mulching since it is evident that there is a reduction in rainfall and increase in temperature in the state while creating sustainable food security.展开更多
In this article the meaning of the quantity and quality of environmental flows of river in dualistic water cycle is discussed, and compared with the meaning of unitary water cycle. Based on the analysis of the relatio...In this article the meaning of the quantity and quality of environmental flows of river in dualistic water cycle is discussed, and compared with the meaning of unitary water cycle. Based on the analysis of the relationship between environmental flows of river requirements, the efficiency of water resource usage, the consumption coefficient, and the concentration of waste water elimination, the water quantity and water quality calculation method of the environmental flows of river requirements in dualistic water cycle is developed, and the criteria for environmental flows of river requirements are established, and therefore the water quantity-quality combined evaluation of natural river flows requirements are realized Taking the Liaohe River as a model, the environmental flows of river requirements for Xiliao River, Dongliao River, mainstream Liaohe River, Huntai River and northeast rivers along the coasts of the Yellow and Bohai seas in unitary water cycle are calculated, each taking up 39.3%, 63.0%, 43.9%, 43.3% and 43.5% of runoff respectively. Evaluated according to Tennant recommended flow, the results show that： except Xiliao River is ＂median＂, the rest are all upon ＂good＂, the Dongliao River is even ＂very good＂. The corresponding results in dualistic water cycle are that, the proportion of natural flows for each river is 57.5%, 74.1%, 60.8%, 60.3% and 60.4%; while the combined evaluation results show that： considering ＂quantity＂, except Xiliao River, the rest rivers can all achieve the ＂quantity＂ criteria of the en- vironmental flows of river requirements, but if considering the aspect of ＂quality＂, only Dongliao River can reach the ＂quality＂ standard. By water quantity-quality combined evaluation method, only Dongliao River can achieve the criteria. So the water quality is the main factor that determines whether the environmental flows can meet the river ecosystem demands.展开更多
Rivers are basic natural resources supporting ecosystems and human societies,and the health of rivers is crucial to the Earth's sustainable development.Under the profound influence of climate change and human acti...Rivers are basic natural resources supporting ecosystems and human societies,and the health of rivers is crucial to the Earth's sustainable development.Under the profound influence of climate change and human activities,great changes have recently occurred in the circulation and development of rivers,as well as the ways in which they are utilized.In this context,achieving an effective balance between river protection and human development is necessary.In this paper,the essential role of rivers is discussed from three aspects:the formation and evolution of rivers,the shaping of biodiversity,and the cultivation of human civilization.The paper analyzes the challenges brought to the sustainable development of rivers by climate change,human activities,and increased water demand,and proposes four dimensions of future research:scientifically balancing the relationship between river development and protection,improving the adaptability of river development and utilization in the context of climate change,improving the integrity and intelligence level of river management,and building a more fair and sustainable comprehensive river management model.展开更多
The physico-chemistry of tidal Elechi Creek in the upper Bonny Estuary was investigated to assess the toxicity of the water body as this could have adverse effects on the native organisms that form part of the ecosyst...The physico-chemistry of tidal Elechi Creek in the upper Bonny Estuary was investigated to assess the toxicity of the water body as this could have adverse effects on the native organisms that form part of the ecosystem and to evaluate the extent and magnitude of petroleum hydrocarbon and heavy metal concentration in the water body. Standard field procedures were adopted in sample collection while laboratory analysis was carried out also following standard methods. Parameters measured include pH, temperature, dissolved oxygen (DO), biological oxygen demand (BOD), electrical conductivity, salinity and total dissolved solids (TDS). Heavy metals namely Copper (Cu), Lead (Pb), Zinc (Zn), nitrate (NO3), sulphate (SO4), Ammonia (NH4), and Total Hydrocarbon Concentration (THC) in the surface water body were also determined on samples collected from five (5) sampling stations spread along the creek in both dry and wet seasons. The results showed that the surface water body is oligohaline with low acidity, pH values ranging from 6.2 to 7.6. Temperature varies from 27°C to 30°C. Dissolved Oxygen (DO) concentration ranges from 2.9 to 7.5 mg/l which is adequate for aquatic organism with Biological Oxygen Demand (BOD) values varying from 0.45 to 7.0 mg/l. The values of total dissolved solids (TDS) vary from 11,700 mg/l to 26,250 mg/l with the highest mean value obtained at the study station located downstream. The mean nutrient concentration showed that the study area is not eutropic. Anthropogenic activities were very high at the sites throughout the period of the study and may have resulted in the stress conditions of the area. Pollution trend along the study stations showed that no one station is unpolluted. The study recommends the introduction of enforceable and stringent waste management plans to highlight and discourage direct discharge of untreated waste and storm water runoff into an aquatic environment.展开更多
Western China includes 12 provincial divisions (the 7 provinces of Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai and; 5 autonomous regions of Tibet, Ningxia, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia and Guangxi; and one city of C...Western China includes 12 provincial divisions (the 7 provinces of Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai and; 5 autonomous regions of Tibet, Ningxia, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia and Guangxi; and one city of Chongqing), which comprise 71.4% of the national land area, 28.5% of the national population and produce 17.5% of the national GDP in China. There are 17 countries that have riparian relationships with western China, most of which are water-short countries. All are listed by UN ESCAP as countries with potential water crisis. The co-operative development and coordinated management of international rivers in western China is an important step toward the implementation of the national Great Western Development program. Taking into account of the national strategy and object hierarchy, as well as the development demand of the western region, it is necessary to pursue the multi-disciplinary study of the equitable allocation, utilisation, and eco-environment protection of transboundary water resources in the region. Such efforts will undoubtedly provide scientific evidence and support for the decision-making of the environmental protection and ecological construction and management in the western regions, the enforcement of the sub-regional economic co-operation, mitigation of trans-boundary conflicts, and enhancing bio-diversity conservation.展开更多
Mountain rivers are characterized by wide grain size distributions and complex bed surface structures,which significantly affect bedload transport.Owing to the lack of a clear understanding of the quantitative influen...Mountain rivers are characterized by wide grain size distributions and complex bed surface structures,which significantly affect bedload transport.Owing to the lack of a clear understanding of the quantitative influence of the bed surface structure on the bedload transport rate,existing methods for estimating the bedload transport rate in mountain rivers produce large errors.Based on theoretical analysis andflume experiments,this study reveals the influence of bed surface structure on nonuniform bedload transport and proposes a method for estimating bedload transport rate considering the quantitative influence of bed surface structure.Thefindings of the present study provide theoretical methodological support for predicting the sediment transport and bed evolution in mountain rivers.展开更多
Flood disasters pose serious threats to human life and property worldwide.Exploring the spatial drivers of flood disasters on a macroscopic scale is of great significance for mitigating their impacts.This study propos...Flood disasters pose serious threats to human life and property worldwide.Exploring the spatial drivers of flood disasters on a macroscopic scale is of great significance for mitigating their impacts.This study proposes a comprehensive framework for integrating driving-factor optimization and interpretability,while considering spatial heterogeneity.In this framework,the Optimal Parameter-based Geographic Detector(OPGD),Recursive Feature Estimation(RFE),and Light Gradient Boosting Machine(LGBM)models were utilized to construct the OPGD–RFE–LGBM coupled model to identify the essential driving factors and simulate the spatial distribution of flood disasters.The SHapley Additive ExPlanation(SHAP)interpreter was employed to quantitatively explain the driving mechanisms behind the spatial distribution of flood disasters.Yunnan Province,a typical mountainous and plateau area in Southwest China,was selected to implement the proposed framework and conduct a case study.For this purpose,a flood disaster inventory of 7332 historical events was prepared,and 22 potential driving factors related to precipitation,surface environment,and human activity were initially selected.Results revealed that flood disasters in Yunnan Province exhibit high spatial heterogeneity,with geomorphic zoning accounting for 66.1%of the spatial variation in historical flood disasters.The OPGD–RFE–LGBM coupled model offers clear advantages over a single LGBM in identifying essential driving factors and quantitatively analyzing their impacts.Moreover,the simulation performance shows a slight improvement(a 6%average decrease in RMSE and an average increase of 1%in R2)even with reduced factor data.Factor explanatory analysis indicated that the combination of the essential driving factor sets varied across different subregions;nevertheless,precipitation-related factors,such as precipitation intensity index(SDII),wet days(R10MM),and 5-day maximum precipitation(RX5day),were the main driving factors controlling flood disasters.This study provides a quantitative analytical framework for the spatial drivers of flood disasters at large scales with significant heterogeneity,offering a reference for disaster management authorities in developing macro-strategies for disaster prevention.展开更多
Ever since the impoundment of Three Gorges Reservoir（TGR）, the seismicity in head region of TGR has increased significantly. Coupled with wide fluctuation of water level each year, it becomes more important to study...Ever since the impoundment of Three Gorges Reservoir（TGR）, the seismicity in head region of TGR has increased significantly. Coupled with wide fluctuation of water level each year, it becomes more important to study the deformation forecasting of landslides beside TGR. As a famous active landslide beside TGR, Huangtupo riverside landslide is selected for a case study. Based on long term water level fluctuation and seismic monitoring, three typical adverse conditions are determined. With the established 3D numerical landslide model, seepage-dynamic coupling calculation is conducted under the seismic intensity of V degree. Results are as follows： 1. the dynamic water pressure formed by water level fluctuation will intensify the deformation of landslide; 2. under seismic load, the dynamic hysteresis is significant in defective geological bodies, such as weak layer and slip zone soil, because of much higher damping ratios, the seismic accelerate would be amplified in these elements; 3. microseisms are not intense enough to cause the landslide instability suddenly, but long term deformation accumulation effect of landslide should be paid more attention; 4. in numerical simulation, the factors of unbalance force and excess pore pressure also can be used in forecasting deformation tendency of landslide.展开更多
基金The National University of Mongolia,No.P2024-4814The Mongolian Science and Technology Foundation,No.CHN-2022/274The‘Chey Institute for Advanced Studies’International Scholar Exchange Fellowship for the Academic Year of 2025-2026。
文摘This study investigates climate-and human-induced hydrological changes in the Zavkhan River-Khyargas Lake Basin,a highly sensitive arid and semi-arid region of Central Asia.Using Mann-Kendall,innovative trend analysis,and Sen's slope estimation methods,historical climate trends(1980-2100)were analyzed,while land cover changes represented human impacts.Future projections were simulated using the MIROC model with Shared Socioeconomic Pathways(SSPs)and the Tank model.Results show that during the past 40 years,air temperature significantly increased(Z=3.93^(***)),while precipitation(Z=-1.54^(*))and river flow(Z=-1.73^(*))both declined.The Khyargas Lake water level dropped markedly(Z=-5.57***).Land cover analysis reveals expanded cropland and impervious areas due to human activity.Under the SSP1.26 scenario,which assumes minimal climate change,air temperature is projected to rise by 2.0℃,precipitation by 21.8 mm,and river discharge by 1.61 m^(3)/s between 2000 and 2100.These findings indicate that both global warming and intensified land use have substantially altered hydrological and climatic processes in the basin,highlighting the vulnerability of western Mongolia's water resources to combined climatic and anthropogenic influence.
基金This research was supported by the Fundamental Research Program of Shanxi Province(202203021212497,20210302123265)the Shanxi Normal University School Fund(Research Project on Major Issues of High-Quality Development in Shanxi Province,GZLFZ2327).
文摘The middle reaches of the Yellow River represent a critically ecologically sensitive and fragile area within the Yellow River Basin(YRB),holding significant scientific value for ecological security assessment and environmental management strategies.This study comprehensively evaluates the evolution of the eco-environment in the“Two Mountains,Seven Rivers,and One Basin”(TSO)area of Shanxi Province from 2000 to 2020 based on fraction vegetation cover(FVC)derived from the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI),net primary productivity(NPP)calculated via the Carnegie–Ames–Stanford approach(CASA),and the remote sensing ecological index(RSEI).The results indicate a significant improvement in the TSO’s eco-environment from 2000 to 2020,with the RSEI values increased from 0.34 in 2000 to 0.41 in 2020(an increase of 17.76%).Both FVC and NPP demonstrated notable upward trends,with FVC increasing by 22.74%and NPP by 53.11%.Spatially,FVC rose by 21.84%,19.72%and 26.06%,respectively in the Two Mountains,Seven Rivers,and the YRB in Shanxi Province.Similarly,the NPPs increased by 51.60%,48.60%,and 61.65%in these regions over the past 21 years.Both FVC and NPP exhibited decreasing patterns from southeast to northwest,with significant eco-environmental improvements in the northern region and slower recovery in the southern region.Precipitation was the primary causes influencing vegetation recovery,showing positive trends in the central and northern TSO regions,while this trend reversed in the southern.The RSEI value indicate substantial eco-environment improvements in the central and northern areas(Sanggan,Daqing and Hutuo River Basins),whereas the southern regions(e.g.,Zhang,Qin,Fen and Sushui River Basins)remain in poor grade.Human activities,particularly land use/cover changes marked by increased forestation and urbanization alongside decreased cultivated land,significantly affected vegetation cover patterns.This study provides scientific references for formulating policies on ecological construction and high-quality development in the YRB.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42371188)National Social Science Foundation of China(No.20BJL104)+3 种基金Major Bidding Program of Key Research Base of Humanities and Social Sciences of the Ministry of Education(No.22JJD790016)Major Applied Research Program of Philosophy and Social Sciences in Universities of Henan Province(No.2023-YYZD-03)Special Research Project of Think Tanks in Universities of Henan Province(No.2025ZKYJ07)Funding Program for Young Talents in Publicity,Ideology and Culture,Publicity Department of the CPC Central Committee(No.2021QNYC073)。
文摘Accelerating the transition from old to new economic drivers(TONED)is fundamental to building a modernized economic system,and the digital economy(DE)has the potential to expedite this process.This study uses panel data that encompassed 273 prefecturelevel cities in China from 2011 to 2020,to empirically examine the effect and underlying mechanisms of the DE on the TONED.The findings indicate that both the DE and TONED exhibit a distinct spatial differentiation,characterized by significantly higher development in the eastern regions compared to the western regions.Furthermore,the robustness test conducted to address the endogeneity problem verifies that DE has a significant positive driving effect on the TONED.In addition,industrial structure upgrading is a significant channel for DE to influence the TONED.Under the constraint of the level of economic development,DE exhibits a non-linear impact on the TONED,and the marginal effect is incremental after passing a specific threshold.Moreover,in the eastern region,non-resource cities,and urban agglomeration areas,DE has a more significant favorable effect on the TONED.The findings provide robust empirical evidence supporting the role of the DE in facilitating the TONED and offer valuable policy insights for developing countries aiming to advance economic transformation.
基金Under the National Key R&D Program Key Project(No.2021YFC3201201)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52360032)+2 种基金Basic Scientific Research Business Fee Project of Colleges And Universities Directly Under the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region(No.JBYYWF2022001)Development Plan of Innovation Team of Colleges And Universities in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region(No.NMGIRT2313)the Innovation Team of‘Grassland Talents’。
文摘Clarifying the mechanisms through which coal mining affects groundwater storage(GWS)variations is crucial for water resource conservation and sustainable development.The Ordos Mining Region in China,a key energy base in China with significant strategic importance,has undergone intensive coal mining activities that have substantially disrupted regional groundwater circulation.This study integrated data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment Satellite(GRACE)and Famine Early Warning Systems Network(FEWS NET)Land Data Assimilation System(FLDAS)models,combined with weighted downscaling methodology and water balance principles,to reconstruct high-resolution(0.01°)terrestrial water storage(TWS)and GWS changes in the Ordos Mining Region,China from April 2002 to December 2021.The accuracy of GWS variations were validated through pumping test measurements.Subsequently,Geodetector analysis was implemented to quantify the contributions of natural and anthropogenic factors to groundwater storage dynamics.Key findings include:1)TWS in the study area showed a fluctuating but overall decreasing trend,with a total reduction of 8901.11 mm during study period.The most significant annual decrease occurred in 2021,reaching 1696.77 mm.2)GWS exhibited an accelerated decline,with an average annual change rate of 44.35 mm/yr,totaling a decrease of 887.05 mm.The lowest annual groundwater storage level was recorded in 2020,reaching 185.69 mm.3)Precipitation(PRE)contributed the most to GWS variation(q=0.52),followed by coal mining water consumption(MWS)(q=0.41).The interaction between PRE and MWS exhibited a nonlinear enhancement effect on GWS changes(0.54).The synergistic effect of natural hydrological factors has a great influence on the change of GWS,but coal mining water consumption will continue to reduce GWS.These findings provide critical references for the management and regulation of groundwater resource in mining regions.
基金National Science and Technology Support Program of China,No.2013BAB06B03National Key Research and Development Program of China,No.2016YFA0601600。
文摘Transboundary rivers,traversing multiple national borders,integrate sovereign states into a unified ecological system,complicating water resource governance amid rising global water scarcity and geopolitical tensions.Consequently,transboundary river governance exemplifies the public resource dilemma.This study,framed by constructivist international relations theory,examines the Lancang-Mekong River Basin as a case study,using data from multiple sources and socioeconomic indicators to explore the evolution of collective identity among riparian countries and its influencing factors.Key findings include:(1)The collective identity of riparian countries evolved in three phases:emergence(1971-1991),formation(1992-2014),and development(2015–2022).During this process,basin governance evolved from limited mechanisms to a more comprehensive,basin-wide system,with an expanded issue range and an increasing number of cooperation agreements.Cooperative attitudes transitioned from broadly positive to differentiated,ultimately aligning more favorably.(2)Economic interdependence is critical to the formation of collective identity among riparian countries,while diplomatic alignment enhances cooperation.(3)Extreme weather events and political globalization exert dual effects on collective identity formation:extreme weather fosters cooperation but also prioritizes domestic recovery,complicating agreements and expanding issues.Political globalization has facilitated institutionalization and normalization of cooperation,though external involvement has deepened divisions in cooperative attitudes.This study contributes to theoretical perspectives on transboundary river governance and supports collective action in global environmental governance.
文摘Siberian taimen Hucho taimen(Pallas,1773)is a broadly distributed and popular sport fish with high economic value.However,low abundance and hard-to-reach habitat make the Siberian taimen a relatively understudied species.Here we describe the morphological variability of two size groups of Siberian taimen juveniles from the eastern(Amur River basin)and western(Kama River basin)parts of the species distribution.The largest morphological differentiation of Siberian taimen juveniles was observed at the inter-basin level.In the Amur River basin,Siberian taimen juveniles also differed morphologically even at sites located at a distance of 20 km from each other,which may be explained by a small home-range inhabitation of juveniles leading to the formation of their morphotype determined by local environmental conditions.The pattern of allometry varies in taimen from different rivers,which could be related to the ontogenetic shift of ecological niches and the level of heterogeneity of the river environment.
基金supported by the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research(STEP)Program(Grant No.2019QZKK0502)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U23A20160)Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Action Plan(Grant No.23015810100).
文摘Invasive alien plant species(IAPS)pose severe threats to global biodiversity conservation.Effective management of IAPS requires mapping their distribution and identifying the environmental factors that drive their spread.The Gaoligong Mountains,a renowned biodiversity hotspot in southwestern China,currently face the dual challenges of IAPS invasion and climate change.However,we know little about the distribution patterns,key environmental drivers,and sensitivity of IAPS to future climate change in this region.In this study,we mapped IAPS richness distribution and identified invasion hotspots throughout the Gaoligong Mountains.In addition,we assessed the relative importance of environmental variables in shaping the spatial distribution of IAPS richness and projected potential shifts in IAPS richness under various climate change scenarios.We identified 161 IAPS,primarily concentrated in the low-elevation tropical and subtropical regions along river valleys,forming belt-like invasion hotspots.The key factors shaping IAPS richness included disturbance complexity,elevation,seasonal precipitation,and vegetation types.Notably,IAPS richness significantly declined with increasing elevation and latitude but increased with higher disturbance complexity.Moreover,IAPS were more prevalent in grasslands and shrublands than in forested areas.Ensemble modeling of future climate scenarios predicted that the distribution of IAPS richness would shift to progressively higher elevations.These findings provide valuable insights for managing IAPS in mountainous regions that play a crucial role in global biodiversity conservation.
基金The National Key Project for Basic Research on Ecosystem Changes in Longitudinal Range-Gorge Region and Transboundary Eco-security of Southwest China,No.2003CB415105
文摘Competitive use of transboundary freshwater resources is becoming one of the key factors influencing regional peace and political relationship among states.In China, 18 major international river basins are concentrated in three regions, of which the total annual outflow at the border is 7320×108 m3, occupying 26.8% of the total annual runoff of China, and the inflow at the border is only 172×108 m3.In this paper, we analyzed the major drivers affecting shared water vulnerability in China, namely:(1) changes in physical conditions affecting the availability of water;(2) competing objectives between economic development and ecological conservation;(3) lack of emergency response mechanisms;(4) unsound administrative institutions;and(5) shortcomings in the development of regional cooperation based on transboundary waters.We concluded by identifying four pathways for reducing vulnerability:(1) encouraging scientific research cooperation;(2) constructing information-sharing channels;(3) establishing early-warning mechanisms;and(4) promoting further coordination and negotia-tion.
基金National Key Project for Basic Research, No.2003CB415100 National Natural Science Foundation of China National Key Science and Technology Project of China
文摘With the regional population growth, socioeconomic development, more and more attention has been paid to issues on the shared water allocation and the transboundary eco-security conservation during the development of water resources in the international rivers. In this paper, the existing major problems on transboundary waters in different sub-regions of Asia, such as water shortage, transboundary waters pollution, fragile eco-environment are discussed. Then, the key scientific issues to be concerned in the next study progress on the basis of the analyses of the new research directions and focus fields are raised： （1） unpredicted changes of the hydrologic and water system, and their impacts on the allocation of the sharing waters by global changes; （2） models of the international cooperation on the international rivers on the studies of international and national water laws or regulations, policies, the relative experiences and the case studies; （3） quantificational assessment on environmental flow, available water, and the comprehensive functions and values of the international watercourse system; （4） studies on transboundary aquatic bio-diversity maintenance, transboundary pollution supervision and treatment under the rules and principles accepted by the riparian states; （5） issues on transboundary compensation at the rules of ＂payments for using＂, ＂payments for harm＂ and ＂compensation for benefit＂; （6） using advanced 3S techniques to promote the integrated watershed development and management; and so on.
文摘In this paper, the discussion is concentrated on the properties of the polluted sediments and the combination of clean-up and disposal process for the upper layer heavily polluted sediments with good flowability. Based on the systematic analyses of various clean-up processes, a suitable engineering process has been evaluated and recommended. The process has been applied to the river reclamation in Yangpu District of Shanghai City, China. An improved centrifuge is used for dewatering the dredged sludge, which plays an important role in the combination of clean-up and disposal process. The assessment of the engineering process shows its environmental and technical economy feasibility, which is much better than that of traditional dredging-disposal processes.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41001008 No.51209010+1 种基金 International Science ＆ Technology Cooperation Program of China, No.2011DFA20820 No.2011DFG93160Acknowledgements Gary Brierley gratefully acknowledges support from a Visiting Professorship awarded by the Chinese Academy of Sciences.
文摘The spatial distribution of valley setting （laterally-unconfined, partly-confined, or confined） and fluvial morphology in the source region of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers is contrasted and analyzed. The source region of the Yangtze River is divided into 3 broad sections （I, II and III） based on valley setting and channel gradient, with the upstream and downstream sections being characterized by confined （some reaches partly-confined） valleys while the middle section is characterized with wide and shallow, laterally-unconfined valleys. Gorges are prominent in sections I and III, while braided channel patterns dominate section II. By contrast, the source region of the Yellow River is divided into 5 broad sections （sections I-V） based on valley characteristics and channel gradient. Sections I, II and IV are alluvial reaches with mainly laterally-unconfined （some short reaches partly-confined） valleys. Sections III and V are mainly confined or partly-confined. Greater morphological diversity is evident in the source region of the Yellow River relative to the upper Yangtze River. This includes braided, anabranching, anastomosing, meandering and straight alluvial patterns, with gorges in confined reaches. The macro-relief （elevation, gradient, aspect, valley alignment and confinement） of the region, linked directly to tectonic movement of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, tied to climatic, hydrologic and biotic considerations, are primary controls upon the patterns of river diversity in the region.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42371188National Social Science Foundation of China,No.20BJL104+2 种基金Major Project of Key Research Bases of Humanities and Social Sciences,Ministry of Education,No.22JJD790016Major Project of Applied Research in Philosophy and Social Sciences at Colleges and Universities in Henan Province,No.2023-YYZD-03Program of Excellence for Graduate Students of Henan University,No.SYLYC2023123。
文摘Transition from old to new economic drivers(TONED) is of great significance for optimizing economic structures. Using a combination of methods including entropy weight technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution, geospatial analysis, and optimal parameter geodetector, this study investigates the patterns and mechanisms of China's TONED in the prefecture-level cities from 2011 to 2020. The findings reveal that(1) the TONED exhibited a spatial distribution characterized by higher levels in the east and lower levels in the west, along with a pyramidal hierarchy of levels. The distribution of hot and cold spots roughly followed the Heihe-Yulin line.(2) The informatization levels, openness to the outside world, and urbanization played a dominant role in the TONED. The types of dual-factor interactions exhibited both dual-factor enhancement and non-linear enhancement effects.(3) The eastern and central regions were more likely to promote the TONED through enhanced informatization levels, whereas the western region relied more on increasing openness. This study finds that the TONED results from the combined effects of three geographical natures, each playing a distinct role. The recommendations provided can serve as a reference for China and other developing countries to implement the TONED in the context of deglobalization.
文摘Globally climate change has threatened agriculture and food security which is of great importance to the economy of a nation. In Nigeria it has become a great concern to the government and people because of the obvious changes in the climate systems, therefore, assessing the impact of climate change on crop yield in an oil producing state is of great importance especially where rain fed agriculture is the main determinant for crop yield. Expost-facto research method in the context of quasi experimental research design was adopted for the study. Data for rainfall and temperature and that for crop yields were obtained from Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET) and federal ministry of Agriculture;Agricultural Development Program (ADP) respectively. Analysis of data was achieved using descriptive statistics, trend graphs and multiple linear regressions. Results showed that there had been a steady but gradual increase in the annual minimum, maximum and mean temperatures over the study period of thirty years and a decrease in rainfall. Mean temperature is increasing annually at the rate of 0.0253 per annum and rainfall is decreasing at the rate of -0.5817 mm per annum. The multiple regression model showed r2 values of 0.28 for maize and 0.29 for cassava revealing that only 28% - 29% of maize and cassava yields could be explained by rainfall and temperature in the state and the result was significant at p < 0.05 revealing that cassava and maize yields significantly depended on rainfall and temperature. This study strongly advocates for a better and practicable environmental policies and improved agricultural techniques alternative source of water which will include irrigation farming, mulching since it is evident that there is a reduction in rainfall and increase in temperature in the state while creating sustainable food security.
基金Major consultation programs of Chinese Academy of EngineeringKey Scientific and Technological Pro-grams of the Ministry of Education, No.105042"973" Project,No.G1999043601
文摘In this article the meaning of the quantity and quality of environmental flows of river in dualistic water cycle is discussed, and compared with the meaning of unitary water cycle. Based on the analysis of the relationship between environmental flows of river requirements, the efficiency of water resource usage, the consumption coefficient, and the concentration of waste water elimination, the water quantity and water quality calculation method of the environmental flows of river requirements in dualistic water cycle is developed, and the criteria for environmental flows of river requirements are established, and therefore the water quantity-quality combined evaluation of natural river flows requirements are realized Taking the Liaohe River as a model, the environmental flows of river requirements for Xiliao River, Dongliao River, mainstream Liaohe River, Huntai River and northeast rivers along the coasts of the Yellow and Bohai seas in unitary water cycle are calculated, each taking up 39.3%, 63.0%, 43.9%, 43.3% and 43.5% of runoff respectively. Evaluated according to Tennant recommended flow, the results show that： except Xiliao River is ＂median＂, the rest are all upon ＂good＂, the Dongliao River is even ＂very good＂. The corresponding results in dualistic water cycle are that, the proportion of natural flows for each river is 57.5%, 74.1%, 60.8%, 60.3% and 60.4%; while the combined evaluation results show that： considering ＂quantity＂, except Xiliao River, the rest rivers can all achieve the ＂quantity＂ criteria of the en- vironmental flows of river requirements, but if considering the aspect of ＂quality＂, only Dongliao River can reach the ＂quality＂ standard. By water quantity-quality combined evaluation method, only Dongliao River can achieve the criteria. So the water quality is the main factor that determines whether the environmental flows can meet the river ecosystem demands.
文摘Rivers are basic natural resources supporting ecosystems and human societies,and the health of rivers is crucial to the Earth's sustainable development.Under the profound influence of climate change and human activities,great changes have recently occurred in the circulation and development of rivers,as well as the ways in which they are utilized.In this context,achieving an effective balance between river protection and human development is necessary.In this paper,the essential role of rivers is discussed from three aspects:the formation and evolution of rivers,the shaping of biodiversity,and the cultivation of human civilization.The paper analyzes the challenges brought to the sustainable development of rivers by climate change,human activities,and increased water demand,and proposes four dimensions of future research:scientifically balancing the relationship between river development and protection,improving the adaptability of river development and utilization in the context of climate change,improving the integrity and intelligence level of river management,and building a more fair and sustainable comprehensive river management model.
文摘The physico-chemistry of tidal Elechi Creek in the upper Bonny Estuary was investigated to assess the toxicity of the water body as this could have adverse effects on the native organisms that form part of the ecosystem and to evaluate the extent and magnitude of petroleum hydrocarbon and heavy metal concentration in the water body. Standard field procedures were adopted in sample collection while laboratory analysis was carried out also following standard methods. Parameters measured include pH, temperature, dissolved oxygen (DO), biological oxygen demand (BOD), electrical conductivity, salinity and total dissolved solids (TDS). Heavy metals namely Copper (Cu), Lead (Pb), Zinc (Zn), nitrate (NO3), sulphate (SO4), Ammonia (NH4), and Total Hydrocarbon Concentration (THC) in the surface water body were also determined on samples collected from five (5) sampling stations spread along the creek in both dry and wet seasons. The results showed that the surface water body is oligohaline with low acidity, pH values ranging from 6.2 to 7.6. Temperature varies from 27°C to 30°C. Dissolved Oxygen (DO) concentration ranges from 2.9 to 7.5 mg/l which is adequate for aquatic organism with Biological Oxygen Demand (BOD) values varying from 0.45 to 7.0 mg/l. The values of total dissolved solids (TDS) vary from 11,700 mg/l to 26,250 mg/l with the highest mean value obtained at the study station located downstream. The mean nutrient concentration showed that the study area is not eutropic. Anthropogenic activities were very high at the sites throughout the period of the study and may have resulted in the stress conditions of the area. Pollution trend along the study stations showed that no one station is unpolluted. The study recommends the introduction of enforceable and stringent waste management plans to highlight and discourage direct discharge of untreated waste and storm water runoff into an aquatic environment.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNo.49631020+1 种基金The Key Project of "inth Five-Year Plan" of the National Program for Science and TechnologyNo.2000-K01-02-01
文摘Western China includes 12 provincial divisions (the 7 provinces of Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai and; 5 autonomous regions of Tibet, Ningxia, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia and Guangxi; and one city of Chongqing), which comprise 71.4% of the national land area, 28.5% of the national population and produce 17.5% of the national GDP in China. There are 17 countries that have riparian relationships with western China, most of which are water-short countries. All are listed by UN ESCAP as countries with potential water crisis. The co-operative development and coordinated management of international rivers in western China is an important step toward the implementation of the national Great Western Development program. Taking into account of the national strategy and object hierarchy, as well as the development demand of the western region, it is necessary to pursue the multi-disciplinary study of the equitable allocation, utilisation, and eco-environment protection of transboundary water resources in the region. Such efforts will undoubtedly provide scientific evidence and support for the decision-making of the environmental protection and ecological construction and management in the western regions, the enforcement of the sub-regional economic co-operation, mitigation of trans-boundary conflicts, and enhancing bio-diversity conservation.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,Grant/Award Number:U2040219Sichuan Science and Technology Program,Grant/Award Number:2023NSFSC1989Fok Ying Tung Education Foundation,Grant/Award Number:171067。
文摘Mountain rivers are characterized by wide grain size distributions and complex bed surface structures,which significantly affect bedload transport.Owing to the lack of a clear understanding of the quantitative influence of the bed surface structure on the bedload transport rate,existing methods for estimating the bedload transport rate in mountain rivers produce large errors.Based on theoretical analysis andflume experiments,this study reveals the influence of bed surface structure on nonuniform bedload transport and proposes a method for estimating bedload transport rate considering the quantitative influence of bed surface structure.Thefindings of the present study provide theoretical methodological support for predicting the sediment transport and bed evolution in mountain rivers.
基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2022YFF1302405)the Yunnan Province Key Research and Development Program(Grant No.202203AC100005)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42061005,42067033)Applied Basic Research Programs of Yunnan Province(Grant No.202101AT070110,202001BB050073).
文摘Flood disasters pose serious threats to human life and property worldwide.Exploring the spatial drivers of flood disasters on a macroscopic scale is of great significance for mitigating their impacts.This study proposes a comprehensive framework for integrating driving-factor optimization and interpretability,while considering spatial heterogeneity.In this framework,the Optimal Parameter-based Geographic Detector(OPGD),Recursive Feature Estimation(RFE),and Light Gradient Boosting Machine(LGBM)models were utilized to construct the OPGD–RFE–LGBM coupled model to identify the essential driving factors and simulate the spatial distribution of flood disasters.The SHapley Additive ExPlanation(SHAP)interpreter was employed to quantitatively explain the driving mechanisms behind the spatial distribution of flood disasters.Yunnan Province,a typical mountainous and plateau area in Southwest China,was selected to implement the proposed framework and conduct a case study.For this purpose,a flood disaster inventory of 7332 historical events was prepared,and 22 potential driving factors related to precipitation,surface environment,and human activity were initially selected.Results revealed that flood disasters in Yunnan Province exhibit high spatial heterogeneity,with geomorphic zoning accounting for 66.1%of the spatial variation in historical flood disasters.The OPGD–RFE–LGBM coupled model offers clear advantages over a single LGBM in identifying essential driving factors and quantitatively analyzing their impacts.Moreover,the simulation performance shows a slight improvement(a 6%average decrease in RMSE and an average increase of 1%in R2)even with reduced factor data.Factor explanatory analysis indicated that the combination of the essential driving factor sets varied across different subregions;nevertheless,precipitation-related factors,such as precipitation intensity index(SDII),wet days(R10MM),and 5-day maximum precipitation(RX5day),were the main driving factors controlling flood disasters.This study provides a quantitative analytical framework for the spatial drivers of flood disasters at large scales with significant heterogeneity,offering a reference for disaster management authorities in developing macro-strategies for disaster prevention.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 51409011 and 51309029)the Basic Scientific Research Operating Expenses of Central-Level Public Academies and Institutes (Nos. CKSF2014057/YT and CKSF2015051/YT)
文摘Ever since the impoundment of Three Gorges Reservoir（TGR）, the seismicity in head region of TGR has increased significantly. Coupled with wide fluctuation of water level each year, it becomes more important to study the deformation forecasting of landslides beside TGR. As a famous active landslide beside TGR, Huangtupo riverside landslide is selected for a case study. Based on long term water level fluctuation and seismic monitoring, three typical adverse conditions are determined. With the established 3D numerical landslide model, seepage-dynamic coupling calculation is conducted under the seismic intensity of V degree. Results are as follows： 1. the dynamic water pressure formed by water level fluctuation will intensify the deformation of landslide; 2. under seismic load, the dynamic hysteresis is significant in defective geological bodies, such as weak layer and slip zone soil, because of much higher damping ratios, the seismic accelerate would be amplified in these elements; 3. microseisms are not intense enough to cause the landslide instability suddenly, but long term deformation accumulation effect of landslide should be paid more attention; 4. in numerical simulation, the factors of unbalance force and excess pore pressure also can be used in forecasting deformation tendency of landslide.
