Immunization is a noteworthy and proven tool for eliminating lifethreating infectious diseases,child mortality and morbidity.Expanded Program on Immunization(EPI)is a nation-wide program in Pakistan to implement immun...Immunization is a noteworthy and proven tool for eliminating lifethreating infectious diseases,child mortality and morbidity.Expanded Program on Immunization(EPI)is a nation-wide program in Pakistan to implement immunization activities,however the coverage is quite low despite the accessibility of free vaccination.This study proposes a defaulter prediction model for accurate identification of defaulters.Our proposed framework classifies defaulters at five different stages:defaulter,partially high,partially medium,partially low,and unvaccinated to reinforce targeted interventions by accurately predicting children at high risk of defaulting from the immunization schedule.Different machine learning algorithms are applied on Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey(2017–18)dataset.Multilayer Perceptron yielded 98.5%accuracy for correctly identifying children who are likely to default from immunization series at different risk stages of being defaulter.In this paper,the proposed defaulters’prediction framework is a step forward towards a data-driven approach and provides a set of machine learning techniques to take advantage of predictive analytics.Hence,predictive analytics can reinforce immunization programs by expediting targeted action to reduce dropouts.Specially,the accurate predictions support targeted messages sent to at-risk parents’and caretakers’consumer devices(e.g.,smartphones)to maximize healthcare outcomes.展开更多
基金This research was supported by Korea Institute for Advancement of Technology(KIAT)grant funded by the Korea Government(MOTIE)(P0012724,The Competency DevelopmentProgram for Industry Specialist)the Soonchunhyang University Research Fund.
文摘Immunization is a noteworthy and proven tool for eliminating lifethreating infectious diseases,child mortality and morbidity.Expanded Program on Immunization(EPI)is a nation-wide program in Pakistan to implement immunization activities,however the coverage is quite low despite the accessibility of free vaccination.This study proposes a defaulter prediction model for accurate identification of defaulters.Our proposed framework classifies defaulters at five different stages:defaulter,partially high,partially medium,partially low,and unvaccinated to reinforce targeted interventions by accurately predicting children at high risk of defaulting from the immunization schedule.Different machine learning algorithms are applied on Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey(2017–18)dataset.Multilayer Perceptron yielded 98.5%accuracy for correctly identifying children who are likely to default from immunization series at different risk stages of being defaulter.In this paper,the proposed defaulters’prediction framework is a step forward towards a data-driven approach and provides a set of machine learning techniques to take advantage of predictive analytics.Hence,predictive analytics can reinforce immunization programs by expediting targeted action to reduce dropouts.Specially,the accurate predictions support targeted messages sent to at-risk parents’and caretakers’consumer devices(e.g.,smartphones)to maximize healthcare outcomes.
