Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both g...Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both global and regional climates.This study assesses the performance of models participating in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project in simulating interannual variability modes of Northern Hemisphere 500-hPa geopotential height during winter and summer,distinguishing predictable(potentially predictable on seasonal or longer timescales)and unpredictable(intraseasonal and essentially unpredictable at long range)components,using reanalysis data and a variance decomposition method.Although most models effectively capture unpredictable modes in reanalysis,their ability to reproduce dominant predictable modes-specifically the Pacific-North American pattern,Arctic Oscillation,and Western Pacific Oscillation in winter,and the East Atlantic and North Atlantic Oscillations in summer-varies notably.An optimal ensemble is identified to distinguish(a)predictable-external modes,dominated by external forcing,and(b)predictable-internal modes,associated with slow internal variability,during the historical period(1950-2014)and the SSP5-8.5 scenario(2036-2100).Under increased radiative forcing,the leading winter/summer predictable-external mode exhibits a more uniform spatial distribution,remarkably larger trend and annual variance,and enhanced height-sea surface temperature(SST)covariance under SSP5-8.5 compared to historical conditions.The dominant winter/summer predictable-internal modes also exhibit increased variance and height-SST covariance under SSP5-8.5,along with localized changes in spatial configuration.Minimal changes are observed in spatial distribution or variance for dominant winter/summer unpredictable modes under SSP5-8.5.This study,from a predictive perspective,deepens our understanding of model uncertainties and projected changes in circulations.展开更多
On August 10,2019,due to the effect of a rainstorm caused by Super Typhoon Lekima,a landslide occurred in Shanzao Village,China.It blocked the Shanzao stream,forming a barrier lake,and then the barrier lake burst.This...On August 10,2019,due to the effect of a rainstorm caused by Super Typhoon Lekima,a landslide occurred in Shanzao Village,China.It blocked the Shanzao stream,forming a barrier lake,and then the barrier lake burst.This is a rare natural disaster chain of typhoon-rainstorm-landslide-barrier lake-flooding.This study was built on field surveys,satellite image interpretation,the digital elevation model(DEM),engineering geological analysis and empirical regression.The purpose was to reveal the characteristics and causes of the landslide,the features and formation process of the barrier lake and the dam break flooding discharge.The results show that the volume of the landslide deposit is approximately 2.4×105 m3.The burst mode of the landslide dam is overtopping,which took only 22 minutes from the formation of the landslide dam to its overtopping.The dam-break peak flow was 1353 m3/s,and the average velocity was 2.8–3.0 m/s.This study shows that the strongly weathered rock and soil slope has low strength and high permeability under the condition of heavy rainfall,which reminds us the high risk of landslides and the importance of accurate early warning of landslides under heavy rainfalls in densely populated areas of Southeast China,as well as the severity of the disaster chain of typhoon-rainstorm-landslide-barrier lake-flooding.展开更多
Based on the Chinese Meridian Project(CMP),the International Meridian Circle Program(IMCP)aims to coordinate the deployment of a comprehensive ground-based monitoring network along the 120°E-60°W Great Merid...Based on the Chinese Meridian Project(CMP),the International Meridian Circle Program(IMCP)aims to coordinate the deployment of a comprehensive ground-based monitoring network along the 120°E-60°W Great Meridian Circle to track the propagation and evolution of space weather events from the Sun to the Earth,as well as the imprints of other major natural and anthropic hazards on the ionosphere,the middle and upper atmosphere.Currently,we have completed the IMCP headquarters building in Beijing and established the China-Brazil Joint Laboratory for Space Weather in cooperation with Brazil.Meanwhile,the Chinese Meridian Project PhaseⅡand different components of the IMCP observation system are under construction.展开更多
On May 22,2021,the M_(S)7.4 earthquake occurred in Madoi County,Qinghai Province;it was another strong event that occurred within the Bayan Har block after the Dari M_(S)7.7 earthquake in 1947.An earthquake is bound t...On May 22,2021,the M_(S)7.4 earthquake occurred in Madoi County,Qinghai Province;it was another strong event that occurred within the Bayan Har block after the Dari M_(S)7.7 earthquake in 1947.An earthquake is bound to cast stress to the surrounding faults,thus affecting the regional seismic hazard.To understand these issues,a three-dimensional viscoelastic finite element model of the eastern Bayan Har block and its adjacent areas was constructed.Based on the co-seismic rupture model of the Madoi earthquake,we analyzed the co-and postseismic Coulomb stress change caused by the Madoi earthquake on the surrounding major faults.The results show that the Madoi earthquake caused significant co-seismic stress increases in the Tuosuo Lake and Maqin-Maqu segments of the East Kunlun fault(>10 kPa),which exceeded the proposed threshold of stress triggering.By integrating the accumulation rate of the inter-seismic tectonic stress,we conclude that the Madoi earthquake caused future strong earthquakes in the Tuosuo Lake and Maqin-Maqu segments of the East Kunlun fault to advance by 55.6-623 and 24.7-123 a,respectively.Combined with the influence of the Madoi earthquake and the elapsed time of the last strong earthquake,these two segments have approached or even exceeded the recurrence interval of the fault prescribed by previous research.In the future,it is necessary to focus greater attention on the seismic hazard of the Maqin-Maqu and Tuosuo Lake segments.This study provides a mechanical reference to understand the seismic hazard of the East Kunlun fault in the future,particularly to determine the seismic potential region.展开更多
The M_(S)6.8 Luding earthquake in 2022 is located on the NNW-trending Moxi segment of the Xianshuihe fault with left-lateral strike-slip behavior.This area is where the Xianshuihe,Anninghe,Daliangshan and Longmenshan ...The M_(S)6.8 Luding earthquake in 2022 is located on the NNW-trending Moxi segment of the Xianshuihe fault with left-lateral strike-slip behavior.This area is where the Xianshuihe,Anninghe,Daliangshan and Longmenshan faults intersect.China Earthquake Administration has identified that intersection area,among the Moxi segment of the Xianshuihe fault,the Anninghe fault,the Daliangshan fault and the southern part of the Longmenshan fault,as a high-magnitude earthquake hazard area.According to existing data on the Luding earthquake,including the focal parameters,the spatial distribution of re-located aftershocks,dominated azimuth of the earthquake intensities and earthquake-induced ground fissures,we built a 3D earthquake fault model.We found that two discontinuous NNW-trending vertical strike-slip faults with left stepping were the seismogenic faults of the Luding earthquake.Its coseismic left-lateral dislocation triggered transtensional slips and aftershocks on the NW-trending secondary faults at its northernmost tensile area.Meanwhile,local crustal coseismic shortening on the side of Mt.Gongga triggered the aftershocks on the NE-and NW-trending secondary conjugated strike-slip faults,which were confirmed by GNSS observations and In SAR deformation field around the epicenter.This earthquake rupturing pattern also controlled the spatial distribution of the earthquake intensity IX area and earthquake chain hazards.The Coulomb stress calculation shows that the Luding earthquake increases the risk of high-magnitude earthquake occurrence on the southernmost part of the Xianshuihe fault and the Anninghe fault.Finally,we suggested doing good monitoring of the Anninghe fault and the southernmost part of the Xianshuihe fault and avoiding active faults with seismogenic capacity and areas prone to earthquake-chained hazards during the site selection and planning of reconstruction.展开更多
The China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite(CSES-01)launched on February 2,2018,has been steadily operating in orbit for more than six years,exceeding its designed five-year lifespan expectation.The evaluation results ...The China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite(CSES-01)launched on February 2,2018,has been steadily operating in orbit for more than six years,exceeding its designed five-year lifespan expectation.The evaluation results suggest that the satellite platform and the majority of payloads are performing well,and still providing reliable measurements.This report briefly introduces the representative scientific results obtained from CSES-01's fiveyear observations.The first result is the long-term global geophysical field data accumulated for the first time,including the global geomagnetic field,the electromagnetic field and waves in a broad frequency band,the in-situ and profile ionospheric plasma parameters,and the energetic particles.The second result is that a series of data processing and validation methods were obtained,and some of the methods are unique worldwide.The third result is that the geomagnetic field,lithospheric magnetic field,and ionospheric electron density 3D models were built based on CSES-01's data.The fourth result is that statistical features of seismic-ionospheric disturbances were revealed and the direct observational evidence for the electromagnetic wave propagation models in the lithosphere-atmosphere-ionosphere was also confirmed.The fifth result is the physical processing of the space weather events was clearly described,showing CSES-01's good capability of monitoring space weather conditions.展开更多
The China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite(CSES) was successfully launched in February 2018. The high precision magnetometer(HPM) on board the CSES has captured high-quality magnetic data that have been used to derive...The China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite(CSES) was successfully launched in February 2018. The high precision magnetometer(HPM) on board the CSES has captured high-quality magnetic data that have been used to derive a global lithospheric magnetic field model. While preparing the datasets for this lithospheric magnetic field model, researchers found that they still contained prominent residual trends within the magnetic anomaly even once signals from other sources had been eliminated. However, no processing was undertaken to deal with the residual trends during modeling to avoid subjective processing and represent the realistic nature of the data. In this work, we analyze the influence of these residual trends on the lithospheric magnetic field modeling.Polynomials of orders 0–3 were used to fit the trend of each track and remove it for detrending. We then derived four models through detrending-based processing, and compared their power spectra and grid maps with those of the CSES original model and CHAOS-7model. The misfit between the model and the dataset decreased after detrending the data, and the convergence of the inverted spherical harmonic coefficients improved. However, detrending reduced the signal strength and the power spectrum, while detrending based on high-order polynomials introduced prominent distortions in details of the magnetic anomaly. Based on this analysis, we recommend along-track detrending by using a zero-order polynomial(removing a constant value) on the CSES magnetic anomaly data to drag its mean value to zero. This would lead to only a slight reduction in the signal strength while significantly improving the stability of the inverted coefficients and details of the anomaly.展开更多
On April 3,2024,an M 7.3 earthquake occurred in the offshore area of Hualien County,Taiwan,China.The seismogenic structure at the epicentral location was highly complex,and studying this earthquake is paramount for un...On April 3,2024,an M 7.3 earthquake occurred in the offshore area of Hualien County,Taiwan,China.The seismogenic structure at the epicentral location was highly complex,and studying this earthquake is paramount for understanding regional fault activity.In this study,we employed ascending and descending orbit Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar(SAR)data and utilized differential interferometry(InSAR)technique to obtain the co-seismic deformation field of this event.The line-of-sight deformation field revealed that the main deformation caused by this earthquake was predominantly uplift,with maximum uplift values of approximately 38.8 cm and 46.1 cm for the ascending and descending orbits,respectively.By integrating the three-dimensional GNSS coseismic deformation field,we identified the seismogenic fault located in the offshore thrust zone east of Hualien,trending towards the northwest.The fault geometry parameters,obtained through the inversion of an elastic half-space homogeneous model,indicated an optimal fault strike of 196°,a dip angle of 30.9°,and an average strike-slip of 0.4 m and dip-slip of-2.6 m.This suggests that the predominant motion along the seismogenic fault is thrusting.The distribution of post-seismic Coulomb stress changes revealed that aftershocks mainly occurred in stress-loaded regions.However,stress loading was observed along the northern segment of the Longitudinal Valley Fault,with fewer aftershocks.This highlights the importance of closely monitoring the seismic hazard associated with this fault segment.展开更多
The 18^(th)Academic Conference of the Seismological Society of China was held in Guiyang,China,on August 7,2023,fostering academic exchanges on the latest advancements in earthquake science.The conference featured 170...The 18^(th)Academic Conference of the Seismological Society of China was held in Guiyang,China,on August 7,2023,fostering academic exchanges on the latest advancements in earthquake science.The conference featured 170 abstracts and nearly 300 academic presentations.In this paper,we classify and summarize the scholars'presentations,analyzing the current state and progress of earthquake science in China from four key perspectives:crustal structure dynamics,earthquake mechanisms,seismic resilience of urban and rural infrastructure,and innovative earthquake services.The presentations reveal that research primarily focuses on detecting crustal structures in southwest China,with seismic imaging technology and magnetotelluric detection being the most commonly used methods.Studies on earthquake mechanisms are centered on recent destructive events,such as the 2023 M_(W)7.8 and M_(W)7.6 Türkiye earthquakes,the 2022 M_(W)6.7 Luding earthquake,and the 2021 M_(W)7.4 Madoi earthquake.Regarding seismic resilience,the focus is on shock resistance and seismic isolation experiments involving large-scale hybrid structures,as well as the formation mechanisms and risk assessments of earthquake-triggered disaster chains.Additionally,significant progress has been made in smart earthquake services,particularly in rapid disaster assessment,earthquake disaster information extraction technology,the China Seismic Experimental Site,and the strong-motion Flatfile database for China's Mainland.Overall,this conference highlighted that earthquake science in China has reached a new level of development.However,numerous scientific challenges and critical technologies remain to be addressed,such as acquiring higher-resolution crustal structures and applying big data and artificial intelligence to diverse seismic models and earthquake services,which requires the continued collaboration of researchers in the field.展开更多
Geochemistry of the fault gouge record information on fault behaviors and environmental conditions.We investigated variations in the mineralogical and geochemical compositions of the fault gouge sampled from the margi...Geochemistry of the fault gouge record information on fault behaviors and environmental conditions.We investigated variations in the mineralogical and geochemical compositions of the fault gouge sampled from the margin zone(MZ)to the slip central zone(CZ)of the fault gouge in the Beichuan-Yingxiu surface rupture zone of the Wenchuan Earthquake.Results show that the clay minerals contents increase from the MZ to CZ,and the quartz and plagioclase contents slight decrease.An increasing enrichment in Al_(2)O_(3),Fe_(2)O_(3),and K_(2)O are observed toward the CZ;the decomposition of quartz and plagioclase,as well as the depletion of Si O_(2),Ca O,Na_2O,and P_(2)O_(5)suggest that the alkaline-earth elements are carried away by the fluids.It can be explained that the stronger coseismic actions in the CZ allow more clay minerals to form,decompose quartz and plagioclase,and alter plagioclase to chlorite.The mass loss in the CZ is larger than that in MZ,which is maybe due to the more concentrated stress in the strongly deformed CZ,however other causes will not be excluded.展开更多
This study aimed to evaluate the wake effect on the electric field detector(EFD) onboard the China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite(CSES-01). Through a series of experiments and analyses, we confirmed that the disturb...This study aimed to evaluate the wake effect on the electric field detector(EFD) onboard the China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite(CSES-01). Through a series of experiments and analyses, we confirmed that the disturbance phenomenon from probe B of the EFD is not caused by the boom layout. To validate and determine whether it is influenced by the wake effect, we conducted two experiments. In the first experiment, the entire satellite platform underwent a 90° counterclockwise yaw maneuver to allow probe B to avoid the plasma wake region. We then verified whether the disturbance was improved. In the second experiment, the satellite platform performed a 180° counterclockwise yaw maneuver, positioning probe B on the ram side of the satellite and completely avoiding all satellite wakes. The plasma wake effect of the satellite did not significantly influence the spherical probes of the EFD because the measurement accuracy stayed relatively stable under the two experiments, despite the observed abnormalities in the operating state of spherical probe B. This consistency in performance is important for electric field detection missions because the spatial electric field vector data obtained from these probes continue to effectively reflect information on spatial electromagnetic disturbances. These two experimental results showed that probe B consistently exhibited data jump phenomena under various maneuver states, whereas probes A, C, and D did not display such phenomena in any maneuver state.展开更多
Many planets,including the Earth,possess a global dipolar magnetic field.To diagnose the interior source of the dipolar field,researchers usually adopt a dipole model consisting of six parameters to fit the observed d...Many planets,including the Earth,possess a global dipolar magnetic field.To diagnose the interior source of the dipolar field,researchers usually adopt a dipole model consisting of six parameters to fit the observed dataset of the magnetic field.However,the simultaneous fitting of these parameters often leads to multiple local optimal parameter sets.To address this fitting dilemma,Rong ZJ et al.(2021)recently developed a current loop model.This technique can successively separate and invert the loop parameters.Here,we further show how this technique can be reduced and modified to fit a dipole model.Applications of this reduced technique to the International Geomagnetic Reference Field model and the Martian crustal field model highlight its unique ability to diagnose both the planetary global dipolar field and the local crustal field anomaly,a capability that sets it apart from existing methods.The potential impact of this technique on geomagnetism and planetary magnetism is significant,given its unique ability to diagnose both the planetary global dipolar field and the local crustal field anomaly.展开更多
No earthquake of magnitude six or greater has been recorded historically in the southern segment of the Red River Fault(RRF).This absence constitutes a significant seismic gap, suggesting a risk of future strong earth...No earthquake of magnitude six or greater has been recorded historically in the southern segment of the Red River Fault(RRF).This absence constitutes a significant seismic gap, suggesting a risk of future strong earthquakes. The China Earthquake Science Experimental Site intends to conduct drilling exploration in this area, which necessitates improved knowledge of the fault zone's geometric distribution characteristics and deep structure. We obtained and analyzed audio and broadband magnetotelluric(MT) data collected at one of the alternative drilling stations(in the Dazhai Village of Honghe County). We have used these data to obtain a highresolution 3-D electrical model of this study area's subsurface to a depth of 5 km. We report that the electrical structure from the surface to 0.5 km is relatively complex, characterized by alternating high and low resistivity;below 0.5 km, the electrical structure becomes more simplified. The RRF extends northwest-southeast orientation along the high and low resistivity boundary, dipping northeastward. The electrical structure of the Red River Valley, which the fault zone traverses, reveals low resistivity characteristics with a lateral width of up to2 km. This study offers critical electromagnetic constraints that enhance our understanding of the tectonic characteristics of the RRF. The findings will inform and aid in the design of drilling plans for the southern segment of the RRF region.展开更多
At 20:08,on September 18,2024,an M4.7 earthquake occurred along the Tanlu fault zone in the Feidong County of Hefei,Anhui Province.This earthquake is the largest event in the modern history of Hefei,which caused subst...At 20:08,on September 18,2024,an M4.7 earthquake occurred along the Tanlu fault zone in the Feidong County of Hefei,Anhui Province.This earthquake is the largest event in the modern history of Hefei,which caused substantial social impact.To reveal the seismogenic structure of the M4.7 Feidong earthquake sequence and assess seismic risks,we use data from both the permanent seismic network and a temporary dense nodal array deployed in the epicentral region prior to the mainshock for:(1)accurate location of the earthquake sequence and determination of the focal mechanisms;(2)obtaining the spatiotemporal distribution,b-value,and half-day occurrence frequency of the earthquake sequence.The Sentinel-1 satellite data are used to analyze the coseismic displacement.Additionally,velocity models from regional tomography and local high-resolution 2D active-and passive-source surveys across the Tanlu fault zone in the epicentral area are also used to reveal the detailed geometry of the seismogenic fault.The results indicate:(1)the M4.7 Feidong earthquake sequence is concentrated around 10.5 km in depth along a NW-dipping,subvertical fault which trends NE and is approximately 5 km in length;the focal mechanism solution also reveals that the fault hosting the mainshock is a subvertical strike-slip fault,driven by the regional compressional stress in ENE-WSW;the coseismic horizontal displacement on the surface caused by the M4.7 mainshock has a maximum value close to 1 mm;(2)the regional velocity model shows significant lateral variation in v_(S) in the source region,with the mainshock occurring in the area with higher velocity;high-resolution P-wave velocity structures obtained by full waveform inversion from active sources,and S-wave velocity structures from passive-source ambient noise tomography indicate that the mainshock occurred along the boundary between high-and low-velocity bodies,and the seismogenic fault dips NW;the deep seismic reflection profiling shows that the mainshock occurred within the Jurassic strata;(3)based on these results,we suggest the seismogenic fault for the M4.7 Feidong earthquake is either the Zhuding-Shimenshan fault,one of the major faults in the Tanlu fault zone,or a hidden fault to the east;the intersection of the NE-trending Tanlu fault zone and the WNW-trending Feizhong fault,along with significant velocity variations,likely create local stress concentrations which could have triggered the M4.7 Feidong earthquake sequence;(4)the strong aftershocks following the M4.7 Feidong mainshock did not further extend the fault rupture zone;the active period of the Zhuding-Shimenshan fault was the late Early Pleistocene to Middle Pleistocene,and the imaging results indicate that this fault does not cut through the shallow Feidong depression.In conjunction with the small coseismic rupture area,it is inferred that the probability of surface-rupturing earthquakes in the future is relatively low.展开更多
This paper presents results from a series of stress-controlled undrained cyclic triaxial tests on the undisturbed marine silty clay,silt,and fine sand soils obtained from the Bohai Sea,China.Emphasis is placed on the ...This paper presents results from a series of stress-controlled undrained cyclic triaxial tests on the undisturbed marine silty clay,silt,and fine sand soils obtained from the Bohai Sea,China.Emphasis is placed on the major factors for predominating the dynamic shear modulus(G)and damping ratio(λ)in the shear strain amplitude(γ_(a))from 10^(-5) to 10^(-2),involving depth,sedimentary facies types,and water content of marine soils.The empirical equations of the small-strain shear modulus(G_(max))and damping ratio(λ_(min))using a single-variable of depth H are established for the three marine soils.A remarkable finding is that the curves of shear modulus reduction(G/G_(max))and the damping ratio(λ)with increasing γ_(a) of the three marine soils can be simply determined through a set of explicit expressions with the two variables of depth H and water content W.This finding is validated by independent experimental data from the literature.At the similar depths,the G value of the marine soils of terrestrial facies is the largest,followed b_(y) the neritic facies,and the G value of the marine soils of abyssal facies is the smallest.The sedimentary facies types of the marine soils have slight effect on theλvalue.Another significant finding is that the shear modulus reduction curves plotted against the γ_(a) of the three marine soils at the similar depths are significantly below those of the corresponding terrigenous soils,while the damping curves plotted against γ_(a) are just the opposite.The results presented in this paper serve as a worthful reference for the evaluation of seabed seismic site effects in the Bohai Sea due to lack of experimental data.展开更多
The M_(w)6.4 earthquake on November 18, 2017 in Milin County, Nyingchi City, Tibet triggered thousands of landslides. By comparing visual interpretation of satellite images acquired shortly before and after the earthq...The M_(w)6.4 earthquake on November 18, 2017 in Milin County, Nyingchi City, Tibet triggered thousands of landslides. By comparing visual interpretation of satellite images acquired shortly before and after the earthquake and field survey, we have created a new landslide database which includes 3 130 coseismic landslides, each with an area of 0.01 to 4.35 km^(2). Six factors(elevation, slope angle, slope aspect, lithology, distance from the epicenter and distance from the seismogenic fault) were selected to correlate with the coseismic landslides. In addition, the area and density of landslides were counted as indicators. Results show that most landslides occurred where the elevation is between 2 000–3 000 m, with a 40°–50° slope angle and S, E or SE slope aspect, schist or gneiss lithologies, 10–15 km from the epicenter, and 5 km within the seismogenic fault. Most of the landslides, triggered by the M_(w)6.4 earthquake, are concentrated near the seismogenic fault rather than at the epicenter, indicating that the seismogenic structure is more influential than the location of the epicenter. Our findings may differ from other landslide database due to temporal image acquisition, interference from weather, and image resolution.展开更多
Choice of appropriate mapping units is important in landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM).There are various possible units for this choice,while it remains unclear which one is better in performance.The purpose of thi...Choice of appropriate mapping units is important in landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM).There are various possible units for this choice,while it remains unclear which one is better in performance.The purpose of this study is to make a quantitative comparison of two commonly-used units:slope-unit(SU)and raster-unit(RU)based on the landslides triggered by the 2013 Minxian,Gansu,China Mw5.9 earthquake.Ten landslide influencing factors were considered in this analysis.For each type of mapping units,the 70%samples were randomly selected and trained 20 times on the LR model,yielding 20 susceptibility maps,and the remaining 30%samples were tested for the accuracy of the modeling outcome.Different metrics,including the mean probability,model uncertainty,and model prediction skills,were used to evaluate the quality of the susceptibility maps.The results show that the resultant probability maps using two mapping units can largely predict the distribution of actual landslides,on which the high susceptibility area corresponds to the landslide-prone area.The AUC(area under curve)values,ranging from 0.8 to 0.86,show that the prediction ability of two mapping units is roughly the same.While comparing with the RU,the use of SU can lower the model uncertainties caused by the variation of training sets.We converted the RU-based assessment results into SU-based scheme.The results show that two assessment results are well fitted with good linear relationship,which implies that it is feasible to convert the RU-based landslide susceptibility mapping into the SU-based scheme.This analysis indicates that compared with the RU,the SU cannot improve the performance and accuracy of seismic landslide susceptibility mapping.展开更多
Understanding the joint effects of earthquakes and driving factors on the spatial distribution of landslides is helpful for targeted disaster prevention and mitigation in earthquake-prone areas.By far,little work has ...Understanding the joint effects of earthquakes and driving factors on the spatial distribution of landslides is helpful for targeted disaster prevention and mitigation in earthquake-prone areas.By far,little work has been done on this issue.This study analyzed the co-seismic landslide of the Ms8.0 Wenchuan earthquake in 2008 and 2014.The joint effects and spatiotemporal characteristics of the driving factors in seismic regions were revealed.Results show that(a)between 2008 and 2014,the dominant driving-factor for landslides has changed from earthquake to rock mass;(b)driving factors with weak driving force have a significant enhancement under the joint effects of other factors;(c)the joint effects of driving factors and earthquake decays with time.The study concluded that the strong vibration of the Wenchuan earthquake and the rock mass strength are the biggest contributors to the spatial distribution of landslides in 2008 and 2014,respectively.It means that the driving force of the earthquake is weaker than that of the rock mass after six years of the Wenchuan earthquake.Moreover,the landslide spatial distribution can be attributed to the joint effects of the Wenchuan earthquake and driving factors,and the earthquake has an enhanced effect on other factors.展开更多
Tectonic stress fields are the key drivers of tectonic events and the evolution of regional structures.The tectonic stress field evolution of the Tanlu fault zone in Shandong Province,located in the east of the North ...Tectonic stress fields are the key drivers of tectonic events and the evolution of regional structures.The tectonic stress field evolution of the Tanlu fault zone in Shandong Province,located in the east of the North China Craton(NCC),may have preserved records of the NCC’s tectonic history.Borehole television survey and hydraulic fracturing were conducted to analyze the paleo and present tectonic stress fields.Three groups of tensile fractures were identified via borehole television,their azimuths being NNW-SSE,NW-SE and NE-SW,representing multiple stages of tectonic events.Hydraulic fracturing data indicates that the study region is experiencing NEE-SWW-oriented compression and nearly-N-Soriented extension,in accordance with strike-slip and compression.Since the Cretaceous,the orientation of the extensional stress has evolved counterclockwise and sequentially from nearly-NW-SE-oriented to NE-SW-oriented and even nearly N-S-oriented,the stress state having transitioned from strike-slip-extension to strike-slip-compression,in association with the rotating and oblique subduction of the Pacific Plate beneath the NCC,with the participation of the Indian Plate.展开更多
In recent years, the coastal region of Southeast China has witnessed a significant increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events associated with landfalling typhoons. The hilly and mountainous ter...In recent years, the coastal region of Southeast China has witnessed a significant increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events associated with landfalling typhoons. The hilly and mountainous terrain of this area, combined with rapid rainfall accumulation, has led to a surge in flash floods and severe geological hazards. On August 10, 2019, Typhoon Lekima made landfall in Zhejiang Province, China, and its torrential rainfall triggered extensive landslides, resulting in substantial damage and economic losses. Utilizing high-resolution satellite images, we compiled a landslide inventory of the affected area, which comprises a total of 2,774 rainfallinduced landslides over an area of 2965 km2. The majority of these landslides were small to mediumsized and exhibited elongated, clustered patterns. Some landslides displayed characteristics of high-level initiation, obstructing or partially blocking rivers, leading to the formation of debris dams. We used the inventory to analyze the distribution pattern of the landslides and their relationship with topographical, geological, and hydrological factors. The results showed that landslide abundance was closely related to elevation, slope angle, faults, and road density. The landslides were predominantly located in hilly and low mountainous areas, with elevations ranging from 150 to 300 m, slopes of 20 to 30 degrees, and a NE-SE aspect. Notably, we observed the highest Landslide Number Density(LND) and Landslide Area Percentage(LAP) in the rhyolite region. Landslides were concentrated within approximately 4 km on either side of fault zones, with their size and frequency negatively correlated with distances to faults, roads, and river systems. Furthermore, under the influence of typhoons, regions with denser vegetation cover exhibited higher landslide density, reaching maximum values in shrubland areas. In areas experiencing significantly increased concentrated rainfall, landslide density also showed a corresponding rise. In terms of spatial distribution, the rainfall-triggered landslides primarily occurred in the northeastern part of the study area, particularly in regions characterized by complex topography such as Shanzao Village in Yantan Town, Xixia Township, and Shangzhang Township. The research findings offer crucial data on the rainfallinduced landslides triggered by Typhoon Lekima, shedding light on their spatial distribution patterns. These findings provide valuable references for mitigating risks and planning reconstruction in typhoon-affected area.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.U2342210 and 42275043)the National Institute of Natural Hazards,Ministry of Emergency Management of China(Grant Nos.J2223806,ZDJ2024-25 and ZDJ2025-34)。
文摘Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both global and regional climates.This study assesses the performance of models participating in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project in simulating interannual variability modes of Northern Hemisphere 500-hPa geopotential height during winter and summer,distinguishing predictable(potentially predictable on seasonal or longer timescales)and unpredictable(intraseasonal and essentially unpredictable at long range)components,using reanalysis data and a variance decomposition method.Although most models effectively capture unpredictable modes in reanalysis,their ability to reproduce dominant predictable modes-specifically the Pacific-North American pattern,Arctic Oscillation,and Western Pacific Oscillation in winter,and the East Atlantic and North Atlantic Oscillations in summer-varies notably.An optimal ensemble is identified to distinguish(a)predictable-external modes,dominated by external forcing,and(b)predictable-internal modes,associated with slow internal variability,during the historical period(1950-2014)and the SSP5-8.5 scenario(2036-2100).Under increased radiative forcing,the leading winter/summer predictable-external mode exhibits a more uniform spatial distribution,remarkably larger trend and annual variance,and enhanced height-sea surface temperature(SST)covariance under SSP5-8.5 compared to historical conditions.The dominant winter/summer predictable-internal modes also exhibit increased variance and height-SST covariance under SSP5-8.5,along with localized changes in spatial configuration.Minimal changes are observed in spatial distribution or variance for dominant winter/summer unpredictable modes under SSP5-8.5.This study,from a predictive perspective,deepens our understanding of model uncertainties and projected changes in circulations.
基金supported by the Natural Science Research Project of the Colleges and Universities in Anhui Province(KJ2020ZD34)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41807267 and 42077259).
文摘On August 10,2019,due to the effect of a rainstorm caused by Super Typhoon Lekima,a landslide occurred in Shanzao Village,China.It blocked the Shanzao stream,forming a barrier lake,and then the barrier lake burst.This is a rare natural disaster chain of typhoon-rainstorm-landslide-barrier lake-flooding.This study was built on field surveys,satellite image interpretation,the digital elevation model(DEM),engineering geological analysis and empirical regression.The purpose was to reveal the characteristics and causes of the landslide,the features and formation process of the barrier lake and the dam break flooding discharge.The results show that the volume of the landslide deposit is approximately 2.4×105 m3.The burst mode of the landslide dam is overtopping,which took only 22 minutes from the formation of the landslide dam to its overtopping.The dam-break peak flow was 1353 m3/s,and the average velocity was 2.8–3.0 m/s.This study shows that the strongly weathered rock and soil slope has low strength and high permeability under the condition of heavy rainfall,which reminds us the high risk of landslides and the importance of accurate early warning of landslides under heavy rainfalls in densely populated areas of Southeast China,as well as the severity of the disaster chain of typhoon-rainstorm-landslide-barrier lake-flooding.
基金Supported by the International Partnership Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences(183311KYSB20200003)。
文摘Based on the Chinese Meridian Project(CMP),the International Meridian Circle Program(IMCP)aims to coordinate the deployment of a comprehensive ground-based monitoring network along the 120°E-60°W Great Meridian Circle to track the propagation and evolution of space weather events from the Sun to the Earth,as well as the imprints of other major natural and anthropic hazards on the ionosphere,the middle and upper atmosphere.Currently,we have completed the IMCP headquarters building in Beijing and established the China-Brazil Joint Laboratory for Space Weather in cooperation with Brazil.Meanwhile,the Chinese Meridian Project PhaseⅡand different components of the IMCP observation system are under construction.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(under grants 41874116, 41904007)Science for Earthquake Resilience of China Earthquake Administ (XH20083).
文摘On May 22,2021,the M_(S)7.4 earthquake occurred in Madoi County,Qinghai Province;it was another strong event that occurred within the Bayan Har block after the Dari M_(S)7.7 earthquake in 1947.An earthquake is bound to cast stress to the surrounding faults,thus affecting the regional seismic hazard.To understand these issues,a three-dimensional viscoelastic finite element model of the eastern Bayan Har block and its adjacent areas was constructed.Based on the co-seismic rupture model of the Madoi earthquake,we analyzed the co-and postseismic Coulomb stress change caused by the Madoi earthquake on the surrounding major faults.The results show that the Madoi earthquake caused significant co-seismic stress increases in the Tuosuo Lake and Maqin-Maqu segments of the East Kunlun fault(>10 kPa),which exceeded the proposed threshold of stress triggering.By integrating the accumulation rate of the inter-seismic tectonic stress,we conclude that the Madoi earthquake caused future strong earthquakes in the Tuosuo Lake and Maqin-Maqu segments of the East Kunlun fault to advance by 55.6-623 and 24.7-123 a,respectively.Combined with the influence of the Madoi earthquake and the elapsed time of the last strong earthquake,these two segments have approached or even exceeded the recurrence interval of the fault prescribed by previous research.In the future,it is necessary to focus greater attention on the seismic hazard of the Maqin-Maqu and Tuosuo Lake segments.This study provides a mechanical reference to understand the seismic hazard of the East Kunlun fault in the future,particularly to determine the seismic potential region.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41941016)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1839204)。
文摘The M_(S)6.8 Luding earthquake in 2022 is located on the NNW-trending Moxi segment of the Xianshuihe fault with left-lateral strike-slip behavior.This area is where the Xianshuihe,Anninghe,Daliangshan and Longmenshan faults intersect.China Earthquake Administration has identified that intersection area,among the Moxi segment of the Xianshuihe fault,the Anninghe fault,the Daliangshan fault and the southern part of the Longmenshan fault,as a high-magnitude earthquake hazard area.According to existing data on the Luding earthquake,including the focal parameters,the spatial distribution of re-located aftershocks,dominated azimuth of the earthquake intensities and earthquake-induced ground fissures,we built a 3D earthquake fault model.We found that two discontinuous NNW-trending vertical strike-slip faults with left stepping were the seismogenic faults of the Luding earthquake.Its coseismic left-lateral dislocation triggered transtensional slips and aftershocks on the NW-trending secondary faults at its northernmost tensile area.Meanwhile,local crustal coseismic shortening on the side of Mt.Gongga triggered the aftershocks on the NE-and NW-trending secondary conjugated strike-slip faults,which were confirmed by GNSS observations and In SAR deformation field around the epicenter.This earthquake rupturing pattern also controlled the spatial distribution of the earthquake intensity IX area and earthquake chain hazards.The Coulomb stress calculation shows that the Luding earthquake increases the risk of high-magnitude earthquake occurrence on the southernmost part of the Xianshuihe fault and the Anninghe fault.Finally,we suggested doing good monitoring of the Anninghe fault and the southernmost part of the Xianshuihe fault and avoiding active faults with seismogenic capacity and areas prone to earthquake-chained hazards during the site selection and planning of reconstruction.
基金a project funded by the China National Space Administration(CNSA)China Earthquake Administration(CEA)+3 种基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China 2023YFE0117300the National Natural Science Foundation of China Grant 4187417the APSCO Earthquake Research Project PhaseⅡ,and the Dragon 5 cooperation 2020–2024(ID.59236)the CSES02 project。
文摘The China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite(CSES-01)launched on February 2,2018,has been steadily operating in orbit for more than six years,exceeding its designed five-year lifespan expectation.The evaluation results suggest that the satellite platform and the majority of payloads are performing well,and still providing reliable measurements.This report briefly introduces the representative scientific results obtained from CSES-01's fiveyear observations.The first result is the long-term global geophysical field data accumulated for the first time,including the global geomagnetic field,the electromagnetic field and waves in a broad frequency band,the in-situ and profile ionospheric plasma parameters,and the energetic particles.The second result is that a series of data processing and validation methods were obtained,and some of the methods are unique worldwide.The third result is that the geomagnetic field,lithospheric magnetic field,and ionospheric electron density 3D models were built based on CSES-01's data.The fourth result is that statistical features of seismic-ionospheric disturbances were revealed and the direct observational evidence for the electromagnetic wave propagation models in the lithosphere-atmosphere-ionosphere was also confirmed.The fifth result is the physical processing of the space weather events was clearly described,showing CSES-01's good capability of monitoring space weather conditions.
基金a project funded by the China National Space Administration (CNSA) and the Ministry of Emergency Management of Chinasupported by the Civil Aerospace Technology Pilot Research Project (D040203)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42004051, 42274214)the APSCO Earthquake Research Project Phase Ⅱ and Dragon 6 cooperation 2025-2029 (95437)。
文摘The China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite(CSES) was successfully launched in February 2018. The high precision magnetometer(HPM) on board the CSES has captured high-quality magnetic data that have been used to derive a global lithospheric magnetic field model. While preparing the datasets for this lithospheric magnetic field model, researchers found that they still contained prominent residual trends within the magnetic anomaly even once signals from other sources had been eliminated. However, no processing was undertaken to deal with the residual trends during modeling to avoid subjective processing and represent the realistic nature of the data. In this work, we analyze the influence of these residual trends on the lithospheric magnetic field modeling.Polynomials of orders 0–3 were used to fit the trend of each track and remove it for detrending. We then derived four models through detrending-based processing, and compared their power spectra and grid maps with those of the CSES original model and CHAOS-7model. The misfit between the model and the dataset decreased after detrending the data, and the convergence of the inverted spherical harmonic coefficients improved. However, detrending reduced the signal strength and the power spectrum, while detrending based on high-order polynomials introduced prominent distortions in details of the magnetic anomaly. Based on this analysis, we recommend along-track detrending by using a zero-order polynomial(removing a constant value) on the CSES magnetic anomaly data to drag its mean value to zero. This would lead to only a slight reduction in the signal strength while significantly improving the stability of the inverted coefficients and details of the anomaly.
基金supported by Shaanxi Province Natural Science Foundation Research Program[Grant number 2023JC-QN-0296]。
文摘On April 3,2024,an M 7.3 earthquake occurred in the offshore area of Hualien County,Taiwan,China.The seismogenic structure at the epicentral location was highly complex,and studying this earthquake is paramount for understanding regional fault activity.In this study,we employed ascending and descending orbit Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar(SAR)data and utilized differential interferometry(InSAR)technique to obtain the co-seismic deformation field of this event.The line-of-sight deformation field revealed that the main deformation caused by this earthquake was predominantly uplift,with maximum uplift values of approximately 38.8 cm and 46.1 cm for the ascending and descending orbits,respectively.By integrating the three-dimensional GNSS coseismic deformation field,we identified the seismogenic fault located in the offshore thrust zone east of Hualien,trending towards the northwest.The fault geometry parameters,obtained through the inversion of an elastic half-space homogeneous model,indicated an optimal fault strike of 196°,a dip angle of 30.9°,and an average strike-slip of 0.4 m and dip-slip of-2.6 m.This suggests that the predominant motion along the seismogenic fault is thrusting.The distribution of post-seismic Coulomb stress changes revealed that aftershocks mainly occurred in stress-loaded regions.However,stress loading was observed along the northern segment of the Longitudinal Valley Fault,with fewer aftershocks.This highlights the importance of closely monitoring the seismic hazard associated with this fault segment.
基金supported by research grants from National Institute of Natural Hazards,Ministry of Emergency Management of China(ZDJ2024-16,2023-JBKY-57)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42077259,42002225).
文摘The 18^(th)Academic Conference of the Seismological Society of China was held in Guiyang,China,on August 7,2023,fostering academic exchanges on the latest advancements in earthquake science.The conference featured 170 abstracts and nearly 300 academic presentations.In this paper,we classify and summarize the scholars'presentations,analyzing the current state and progress of earthquake science in China from four key perspectives:crustal structure dynamics,earthquake mechanisms,seismic resilience of urban and rural infrastructure,and innovative earthquake services.The presentations reveal that research primarily focuses on detecting crustal structures in southwest China,with seismic imaging technology and magnetotelluric detection being the most commonly used methods.Studies on earthquake mechanisms are centered on recent destructive events,such as the 2023 M_(W)7.8 and M_(W)7.6 Türkiye earthquakes,the 2022 M_(W)6.7 Luding earthquake,and the 2021 M_(W)7.4 Madoi earthquake.Regarding seismic resilience,the focus is on shock resistance and seismic isolation experiments involving large-scale hybrid structures,as well as the formation mechanisms and risk assessments of earthquake-triggered disaster chains.Additionally,significant progress has been made in smart earthquake services,particularly in rapid disaster assessment,earthquake disaster information extraction technology,the China Seismic Experimental Site,and the strong-motion Flatfile database for China's Mainland.Overall,this conference highlighted that earthquake science in China has reached a new level of development.However,numerous scientific challenges and critical technologies remain to be addressed,such as acquiring higher-resolution crustal structures and applying big data and artificial intelligence to diverse seismic models and earthquake services,which requires the continued collaboration of researchers in the field.
基金supported by the research grant from Institute of Crustal Dynamics,China Earthquake Administration(No.ZDJ2019-02)。
文摘Geochemistry of the fault gouge record information on fault behaviors and environmental conditions.We investigated variations in the mineralogical and geochemical compositions of the fault gouge sampled from the margin zone(MZ)to the slip central zone(CZ)of the fault gouge in the Beichuan-Yingxiu surface rupture zone of the Wenchuan Earthquake.Results show that the clay minerals contents increase from the MZ to CZ,and the quartz and plagioclase contents slight decrease.An increasing enrichment in Al_(2)O_(3),Fe_(2)O_(3),and K_(2)O are observed toward the CZ;the decomposition of quartz and plagioclase,as well as the depletion of Si O_(2),Ca O,Na_2O,and P_(2)O_(5)suggest that the alkaline-earth elements are carried away by the fluids.It can be explained that the stronger coseismic actions in the CZ allow more clay minerals to form,decompose quartz and plagioclase,and alter plagioclase to chlorite.The mass loss in the CZ is larger than that in MZ,which is maybe due to the more concentrated stress in the strongly deformed CZ,however other causes will not be excluded.
基金a project funded by the China National Space Administration (CNSA) and China Earthquake Administration (CEA)supported by the National Key R&D Program of Intergovernmental Cooperation in Science and Technology (Grant No. 2023YFE0117300)+3 种基金the International Space Science Institute (ISSI in Bern, Switzerland, and ISSI-BJ in Beijing, China)supporting International Team 23-583 led by Dedalo Marchetti and Essam Ghamrythe Hebei Province Graduate Professional Degree Excellent Teaching Case (Library) Construction Project (Grant No. KCJPZ2023060)the Open Fund for the Key Laboratory of Seismic Disaster Instruments and Monitoring Technology in Hebei Province (Grant No. FZ224104)。
文摘This study aimed to evaluate the wake effect on the electric field detector(EFD) onboard the China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite(CSES-01). Through a series of experiments and analyses, we confirmed that the disturbance phenomenon from probe B of the EFD is not caused by the boom layout. To validate and determine whether it is influenced by the wake effect, we conducted two experiments. In the first experiment, the entire satellite platform underwent a 90° counterclockwise yaw maneuver to allow probe B to avoid the plasma wake region. We then verified whether the disturbance was improved. In the second experiment, the satellite platform performed a 180° counterclockwise yaw maneuver, positioning probe B on the ram side of the satellite and completely avoiding all satellite wakes. The plasma wake effect of the satellite did not significantly influence the spherical probes of the EFD because the measurement accuracy stayed relatively stable under the two experiments, despite the observed abnormalities in the operating state of spherical probe B. This consistency in performance is important for electric field detection missions because the spatial electric field vector data obtained from these probes continue to effectively reflect information on spatial electromagnetic disturbances. These two experimental results showed that probe B consistently exhibited data jump phenomena under various maneuver states, whereas probes A, C, and D did not display such phenomena in any maneuver state.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42388101)the Key Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.ZDBS-SSW-TLC00103)the Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences(IGGCAS-202102).
文摘Many planets,including the Earth,possess a global dipolar magnetic field.To diagnose the interior source of the dipolar field,researchers usually adopt a dipole model consisting of six parameters to fit the observed dataset of the magnetic field.However,the simultaneous fitting of these parameters often leads to multiple local optimal parameter sets.To address this fitting dilemma,Rong ZJ et al.(2021)recently developed a current loop model.This technique can successively separate and invert the loop parameters.Here,we further show how this technique can be reduced and modified to fit a dipole model.Applications of this reduced technique to the International Geomagnetic Reference Field model and the Martian crustal field model highlight its unique ability to diagnose both the planetary global dipolar field and the local crustal field anomaly,a capability that sets it apart from existing methods.The potential impact of this technique on geomagnetism and planetary magnetism is significant,given its unique ability to diagnose both the planetary global dipolar field and the local crustal field anomaly.
基金supported by research grants from the National Institute of Natural Hazards, MEMC (ZDJ2020-13)the Innovation Team Project from National Institute of Natural Hazards, MEMC (2023-JBKY-59)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42174093)。
文摘No earthquake of magnitude six or greater has been recorded historically in the southern segment of the Red River Fault(RRF).This absence constitutes a significant seismic gap, suggesting a risk of future strong earthquakes. The China Earthquake Science Experimental Site intends to conduct drilling exploration in this area, which necessitates improved knowledge of the fault zone's geometric distribution characteristics and deep structure. We obtained and analyzed audio and broadband magnetotelluric(MT) data collected at one of the alternative drilling stations(in the Dazhai Village of Honghe County). We have used these data to obtain a highresolution 3-D electrical model of this study area's subsurface to a depth of 5 km. We report that the electrical structure from the surface to 0.5 km is relatively complex, characterized by alternating high and low resistivity;below 0.5 km, the electrical structure becomes more simplified. The RRF extends northwest-southeast orientation along the high and low resistivity boundary, dipping northeastward. The electrical structure of the Red River Valley, which the fault zone traverses, reveals low resistivity characteristics with a lateral width of up to2 km. This study offers critical electromagnetic constraints that enhance our understanding of the tectonic characteristics of the RRF. The findings will inform and aid in the design of drilling plans for the southern segment of the RRF region.
基金supported by the Anhui Province Science and Technology Breakthrough Plan Project(Key Project,No.202423l10050030)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Fundamental Science Center Category B,No.4248830017)+4 种基金the Joint Funds of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.U2139204)the National Natural Science Foundation of China Project(No.42104063)the Hefei Government Key Construction Project(No.2024BFFFD02048)the Earthquake Science and Technology Spark Program of the China Earthquake Administration(Nos.XH23020YA,XH24020B)the Anhui Mengcheng National Geophysical Observatory Joint Open Fund(No.MENGO-202307).
文摘At 20:08,on September 18,2024,an M4.7 earthquake occurred along the Tanlu fault zone in the Feidong County of Hefei,Anhui Province.This earthquake is the largest event in the modern history of Hefei,which caused substantial social impact.To reveal the seismogenic structure of the M4.7 Feidong earthquake sequence and assess seismic risks,we use data from both the permanent seismic network and a temporary dense nodal array deployed in the epicentral region prior to the mainshock for:(1)accurate location of the earthquake sequence and determination of the focal mechanisms;(2)obtaining the spatiotemporal distribution,b-value,and half-day occurrence frequency of the earthquake sequence.The Sentinel-1 satellite data are used to analyze the coseismic displacement.Additionally,velocity models from regional tomography and local high-resolution 2D active-and passive-source surveys across the Tanlu fault zone in the epicentral area are also used to reveal the detailed geometry of the seismogenic fault.The results indicate:(1)the M4.7 Feidong earthquake sequence is concentrated around 10.5 km in depth along a NW-dipping,subvertical fault which trends NE and is approximately 5 km in length;the focal mechanism solution also reveals that the fault hosting the mainshock is a subvertical strike-slip fault,driven by the regional compressional stress in ENE-WSW;the coseismic horizontal displacement on the surface caused by the M4.7 mainshock has a maximum value close to 1 mm;(2)the regional velocity model shows significant lateral variation in v_(S) in the source region,with the mainshock occurring in the area with higher velocity;high-resolution P-wave velocity structures obtained by full waveform inversion from active sources,and S-wave velocity structures from passive-source ambient noise tomography indicate that the mainshock occurred along the boundary between high-and low-velocity bodies,and the seismogenic fault dips NW;the deep seismic reflection profiling shows that the mainshock occurred within the Jurassic strata;(3)based on these results,we suggest the seismogenic fault for the M4.7 Feidong earthquake is either the Zhuding-Shimenshan fault,one of the major faults in the Tanlu fault zone,or a hidden fault to the east;the intersection of the NE-trending Tanlu fault zone and the WNW-trending Feizhong fault,along with significant velocity variations,likely create local stress concentrations which could have triggered the M4.7 Feidong earthquake sequence;(4)the strong aftershocks following the M4.7 Feidong mainshock did not further extend the fault rupture zone;the active period of the Zhuding-Shimenshan fault was the late Early Pleistocene to Middle Pleistocene,and the imaging results indicate that this fault does not cut through the shallow Feidong depression.In conjunction with the small coseismic rupture area,it is inferred that the probability of surface-rupturing earthquakes in the future is relatively low.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.51978334 and 51978335。
文摘This paper presents results from a series of stress-controlled undrained cyclic triaxial tests on the undisturbed marine silty clay,silt,and fine sand soils obtained from the Bohai Sea,China.Emphasis is placed on the major factors for predominating the dynamic shear modulus(G)and damping ratio(λ)in the shear strain amplitude(γ_(a))from 10^(-5) to 10^(-2),involving depth,sedimentary facies types,and water content of marine soils.The empirical equations of the small-strain shear modulus(G_(max))and damping ratio(λ_(min))using a single-variable of depth H are established for the three marine soils.A remarkable finding is that the curves of shear modulus reduction(G/G_(max))and the damping ratio(λ)with increasing γ_(a) of the three marine soils can be simply determined through a set of explicit expressions with the two variables of depth H and water content W.This finding is validated by independent experimental data from the literature.At the similar depths,the G value of the marine soils of terrestrial facies is the largest,followed b_(y) the neritic facies,and the G value of the marine soils of abyssal facies is the smallest.The sedimentary facies types of the marine soils have slight effect on theλvalue.Another significant finding is that the shear modulus reduction curves plotted against the γ_(a) of the three marine soils at the similar depths are significantly below those of the corresponding terrigenous soils,while the damping curves plotted against γ_(a) are just the opposite.The results presented in this paper serve as a worthful reference for the evaluation of seabed seismic site effects in the Bohai Sea due to lack of experimental data.
基金This study was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2018YFC1504703)。
文摘The M_(w)6.4 earthquake on November 18, 2017 in Milin County, Nyingchi City, Tibet triggered thousands of landslides. By comparing visual interpretation of satellite images acquired shortly before and after the earthquake and field survey, we have created a new landslide database which includes 3 130 coseismic landslides, each with an area of 0.01 to 4.35 km^(2). Six factors(elevation, slope angle, slope aspect, lithology, distance from the epicenter and distance from the seismogenic fault) were selected to correlate with the coseismic landslides. In addition, the area and density of landslides were counted as indicators. Results show that most landslides occurred where the elevation is between 2 000–3 000 m, with a 40°–50° slope angle and S, E or SE slope aspect, schist or gneiss lithologies, 10–15 km from the epicenter, and 5 km within the seismogenic fault. Most of the landslides, triggered by the M_(w)6.4 earthquake, are concentrated near the seismogenic fault rather than at the epicenter, indicating that the seismogenic structure is more influential than the location of the epicenter. Our findings may differ from other landslide database due to temporal image acquisition, interference from weather, and image resolution.
基金supported by the Basic Scientific and Research Fund from the National Institute of Natural Hazards,Ministry of Emergency Management of China(former Institute of Crustal Dynamics,China Earthquake Administration)(No.ZDJ2019-25)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41661144037)。
文摘Choice of appropriate mapping units is important in landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM).There are various possible units for this choice,while it remains unclear which one is better in performance.The purpose of this study is to make a quantitative comparison of two commonly-used units:slope-unit(SU)and raster-unit(RU)based on the landslides triggered by the 2013 Minxian,Gansu,China Mw5.9 earthquake.Ten landslide influencing factors were considered in this analysis.For each type of mapping units,the 70%samples were randomly selected and trained 20 times on the LR model,yielding 20 susceptibility maps,and the remaining 30%samples were tested for the accuracy of the modeling outcome.Different metrics,including the mean probability,model uncertainty,and model prediction skills,were used to evaluate the quality of the susceptibility maps.The results show that the resultant probability maps using two mapping units can largely predict the distribution of actual landslides,on which the high susceptibility area corresponds to the landslide-prone area.The AUC(area under curve)values,ranging from 0.8 to 0.86,show that the prediction ability of two mapping units is roughly the same.While comparing with the RU,the use of SU can lower the model uncertainties caused by the variation of training sets.We converted the RU-based assessment results into SU-based scheme.The results show that two assessment results are well fitted with good linear relationship,which implies that it is feasible to convert the RU-based landslide susceptibility mapping into the SU-based scheme.This analysis indicates that compared with the RU,the SU cannot improve the performance and accuracy of seismic landslide susceptibility mapping.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42071375)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2018YFC1504703-3)。
文摘Understanding the joint effects of earthquakes and driving factors on the spatial distribution of landslides is helpful for targeted disaster prevention and mitigation in earthquake-prone areas.By far,little work has been done on this issue.This study analyzed the co-seismic landslide of the Ms8.0 Wenchuan earthquake in 2008 and 2014.The joint effects and spatiotemporal characteristics of the driving factors in seismic regions were revealed.Results show that(a)between 2008 and 2014,the dominant driving-factor for landslides has changed from earthquake to rock mass;(b)driving factors with weak driving force have a significant enhancement under the joint effects of other factors;(c)the joint effects of driving factors and earthquake decays with time.The study concluded that the strong vibration of the Wenchuan earthquake and the rock mass strength are the biggest contributors to the spatial distribution of landslides in 2008 and 2014,respectively.It means that the driving force of the earthquake is weaker than that of the rock mass after six years of the Wenchuan earthquake.Moreover,the landslide spatial distribution can be attributed to the joint effects of the Wenchuan earthquake and driving factors,and the earthquake has an enhanced effect on other factors.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41574088)the Key Program of Chinese Central Government for Basic Scientific Research Operations in Commonwealth Research Institutes(Grant No.ZDJ2019-16)。
文摘Tectonic stress fields are the key drivers of tectonic events and the evolution of regional structures.The tectonic stress field evolution of the Tanlu fault zone in Shandong Province,located in the east of the North China Craton(NCC),may have preserved records of the NCC’s tectonic history.Borehole television survey and hydraulic fracturing were conducted to analyze the paleo and present tectonic stress fields.Three groups of tensile fractures were identified via borehole television,their azimuths being NNW-SSE,NW-SE and NE-SW,representing multiple stages of tectonic events.Hydraulic fracturing data indicates that the study region is experiencing NEE-SWW-oriented compression and nearly-N-Soriented extension,in accordance with strike-slip and compression.Since the Cretaceous,the orientation of the extensional stress has evolved counterclockwise and sequentially from nearly-NW-SE-oriented to NE-SW-oriented and even nearly N-S-oriented,the stress state having transitioned from strike-slip-extension to strike-slip-compression,in association with the rotating and oblique subduction of the Pacific Plate beneath the NCC,with the participation of the Indian Plate.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (42277136)Natural Science Research Project of Anhui Educational Committee (2023AH030041)National Key Research and Development Program of China (2021YFB3901205)。
文摘In recent years, the coastal region of Southeast China has witnessed a significant increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events associated with landfalling typhoons. The hilly and mountainous terrain of this area, combined with rapid rainfall accumulation, has led to a surge in flash floods and severe geological hazards. On August 10, 2019, Typhoon Lekima made landfall in Zhejiang Province, China, and its torrential rainfall triggered extensive landslides, resulting in substantial damage and economic losses. Utilizing high-resolution satellite images, we compiled a landslide inventory of the affected area, which comprises a total of 2,774 rainfallinduced landslides over an area of 2965 km2. The majority of these landslides were small to mediumsized and exhibited elongated, clustered patterns. Some landslides displayed characteristics of high-level initiation, obstructing or partially blocking rivers, leading to the formation of debris dams. We used the inventory to analyze the distribution pattern of the landslides and their relationship with topographical, geological, and hydrological factors. The results showed that landslide abundance was closely related to elevation, slope angle, faults, and road density. The landslides were predominantly located in hilly and low mountainous areas, with elevations ranging from 150 to 300 m, slopes of 20 to 30 degrees, and a NE-SE aspect. Notably, we observed the highest Landslide Number Density(LND) and Landslide Area Percentage(LAP) in the rhyolite region. Landslides were concentrated within approximately 4 km on either side of fault zones, with their size and frequency negatively correlated with distances to faults, roads, and river systems. Furthermore, under the influence of typhoons, regions with denser vegetation cover exhibited higher landslide density, reaching maximum values in shrubland areas. In areas experiencing significantly increased concentrated rainfall, landslide density also showed a corresponding rise. In terms of spatial distribution, the rainfall-triggered landslides primarily occurred in the northeastern part of the study area, particularly in regions characterized by complex topography such as Shanzao Village in Yantan Town, Xixia Township, and Shangzhang Township. The research findings offer crucial data on the rainfallinduced landslides triggered by Typhoon Lekima, shedding light on their spatial distribution patterns. These findings provide valuable references for mitigating risks and planning reconstruction in typhoon-affected area.
