Socialization of meteorological services is important guarantee of servicing national major development strategy,strategic selection of adapting to national reform,urgent need of meeting the development of related ind...Socialization of meteorological services is important guarantee of servicing national major development strategy,strategic selection of adapting to national reform,urgent need of meeting the development of related industries,and necessary way of solving public demand on meticulous,targeted and personalized meteorological services. At present,socialization construction of meteorological services in China still has many problems,such as weak service capability of intelligent weather,inadequate and imbalanced urban-rural and regional development,insufficient sharing and opening of meteorological data,and deficient role of social organization. It should vigorously impel socialization of meteorological services by exploring sharing and opening mechanism of basic meteorological data,establishing policy,regulation and standard system adapting to socialization of meteorological services,establishing operation mechanism for socialization of meteorological services of government dominance combining market,enriching content and means of meteorological socialization service.展开更多
With complex terrain and developed economy, Zhejiang Province has suffered a lot from the frequent geological disasters, which have done great damages to the construction and development of the whole province. Therefo...With complex terrain and developed economy, Zhejiang Province has suffered a lot from the frequent geological disasters, which have done great damages to the construction and development of the whole province. Therefore, it is particularly important to improve the geological disasters meteorological service. Electronic sand table system, a high-tech product of three-dimensional visualization, can provide the geological disaster meteorological service with the intuitive and visual application environment. In this study, we developed electronic sand table system based on GIS and established the geological disasters meteorological service database. In addition, we also analyzed and discussed the applications of meteorological service in online weather forecast, meteorological warning message, and multimedia meteorological electronic display. The application of electronic sand table system in geological disaster meteorological services for disaster prevention and mitigation is of great importance that it provides intuitive terrain analysis data for the forecast of geological disasters warning, which greatly enhances the ability of geological disasters meteorological service.展开更多
The continuous rainy precipitation process from February to March in 2019 was selected to analyze the effect of meteorological service in Tangpu Reservoir basin,so as to sum up service experience and then lay a better...The continuous rainy precipitation process from February to March in 2019 was selected to analyze the effect of meteorological service in Tangpu Reservoir basin,so as to sum up service experience and then lay a better foundation for subsequent services.In response to the rainy weather from December 2018 to early 2019,three rounds of flood discharge were carried out in Tangpu Reservoir.During February-March in 2019,the hit rate of short-term area rainfall forecast for Tangpu Reservoir was 80.0%.Compared with the median of forecast interval,the average absolute error was 7.6 mm,and the relative error was 32.7%.The large deviation in the forecast from March 27 to 28 was deeply analyzed,and it is found that the main reasons were excessive reliance on and trust in a single model,insufficient correction of the actual situation,and insufficient judgment of the nature of precipitation.For the future reservoir meteorological service,three aspects of thinking were put forward,such as further strengthening the sharing of hydrological and meteorological information,improving the forecasting ability,and deepening the research of runoff forecast models.展开更多
To study the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources to serve agricultural production and economic development. The climate data from 1958 to 2017 were selected, and the temporal and spatial changes of heat res...To study the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources to serve agricultural production and economic development. The climate data from 1958 to 2017 were selected, and the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources in Liaoning, China were analyzed by using the method of climate diagnosis and analysis. The results show that: the southern coastal area of Liaoning has the most heat resources, the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area the least, and the central plain area in the middle distribution pattern;compared with 1958-1980, 1981-2017 ≥0°C, ≥10°C accumulated temperature, etc. The value line is advanced 100-160km northward. The accumulated temperature of ≥0°C and ≥10°C in Liaoning experienced abrupt changes in climate in 1993 and 1994, and the climate abrupt change in the southern coastal area was earlier than that in the inland. , the increase in the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area is less than that in the central plain area and the southern coastal area. The study on the impact on meteorological services found that the increase or decrease of heat resources has a significant impact on agro-meteorological services, which can prolong the growing season of crops, relatively reduce the damage of frost, improve comprehensive utilization of land, and increase crop yields;at the same time, with the increase of heat resources and the northward expansion of the isoline of accumulated temperature, the area affected by pests and diseases has expanded, which has aggravated the harm to agriculture economic burden.展开更多
An evaluation index is a prerequisite for the scientific evaluation of a public meteorological service.This paper aims to explore a technical method for determining and screening evaluation indicators.Based on public ...An evaluation index is a prerequisite for the scientific evaluation of a public meteorological service.This paper aims to explore a technical method for determining and screening evaluation indicators.Based on public satisfaction survey data obtained in Wafangdian,China in 2010,this study investigates the suitability of fuzzy clustering analysis method in establishing an evaluation index.Through quantitative analysis of multilayer fuzzy clustering of various evaluation indicators,correlation analysis indicates that if the results of clustering were identical for two evaluation indicators in the same sub-evaluation layer,then one indicator could be removed,or the two indicators merged.For evaluation indicators in different sub-evaluation layers,although clustering reveals attribute correlations,these indicators may not be substituted for one another.Analysis of the applicability of the fuzzy clustering method shows that it plays a certain role in the establishment and correction of an evaluation index.展开更多
The present situation of meteorological services for ecological tourism in Shaanxi Province was analyzed firstly,and then the problems existing in the meteorological services were analyzed.Finally,corresponding measur...The present situation of meteorological services for ecological tourism in Shaanxi Province was analyzed firstly,and then the problems existing in the meteorological services were analyzed.Finally,corresponding measures were put forward.展开更多
Based on the survey data of public meteorological services,differences between users' needs for public meteorological services were analyzed by using Maslow's hierarchy of needs and the principle of informatio...Based on the survey data of public meteorological services,differences between users' needs for public meteorological services were analyzed by using Maslow's hierarchy of needs and the principle of information availability in behavioral economics. The results show that users' needs for meteorological services follow certain laws,and the public's needs for meteorological information are driven by physiological needs firstly and then by safety needs,while they are driven by upper needs finally. Meanwhile,users' needs for meteorological services have particularity.Under special backgrounds,there are certain differences between users' needs and laws of basic needs,and users' needs are inconsistent with the " ideal needs" of meteorological departments. Studying the laws and particularity of differences between users' needs for meteorological services in detail is conducive to a survey of the public's needs for meteorological services and improvement of meteorological service quality.展开更多
The rapid development of the social economy and the urgent needs of building a low-carbon, ecologic and livable city ask for a higher requirement for urban meteorological service, which requires higher, better and mor...The rapid development of the social economy and the urgent needs of building a low-carbon, ecologic and livable city ask for a higher requirement for urban meteorological service, which requires higher, better and more specialized service. To Shenzhen, the year of2011 is featured by ＂Universiade＂ and ＂Quality＂. In this year, the first national meteorological service standardization pilot and demonstration unit is stationed in Shenzhen, which has more far-reaching significance, richer connotation and heavier responsibility.展开更多
In this paper,the design idea,working process and functional characteristics of Nanjing Urban Specialized Meteorological Service System are systematically described.Some advanced techniques,such as Internet/Intranet(W...In this paper,the design idea,working process and functional characteristics of Nanjing Urban Specialized Meteorological Service System are systematically described.Some advanced techniques,such as Internet/Intranet(WWW)technique,Active Server Pages(ASP)design and Automatic Voice Composition etc.,are adopted here.By using Opening TCP/IP Agreement.the system realizes connecting the three networks of Novell,Windows NT and 9210 project (Meteorological Satellite Integrated Application Professional System)with ground meteorological special telephone line,thus the new process for collecting and processing data,making and disseminating specialized meteorological information,serving and managing users is established.展开更多
In order to strengthen the construction of forestry meteorological service capacity and improve the quality of forestry meteorological services,the national forestry meteorological disaster risk survey and service ben...In order to strengthen the construction of forestry meteorological service capacity and improve the quality of forestry meteorological services,the national forestry meteorological disaster risk survey and service benefit assessment were carried out from November 2016 to May2017. A total of 196 risk sites in Guangxi were collected by means of questionnaire survey,expert evaluation and field survey. The results showed that fire,pest and wind hazards are the main types of risk points in Guangxi. The survey showed that there were 77 monitoring stations around the disaster risk sites belonging to the Forestry Sector,which mainly monitor fire hazards,while other disasters had no monitoring point yet. Early warning facilities were still constantly improving. The meteorological disasters that affecting forestry production were drought,gale,and heavy rainfall,and the main meteorological hazard factors were temperature,wind speed,and precipitation. Forest fire prevention,forestry resources development and utilization,forestation and tending demand for meteorological services were relatively large. It was hoped that forestry meteorological service products would be obtained through telephone,SMS and early warning systems. In addition,experts objectivly evaluated the contribution rate of meteorological services in Guangxi. The contribution rate of forest meteorological services in the whole region was8. 41%. The scale of Guangxi's total forestry output value was 31. 478 billion yuan in 2016. According to the calculation of this value,the service benefit value had reached 2. 647 billion yuan. In conclusion,strengthening the cooperation in forestry meteorological monitoring,technology development,and emergency response,and further improving forestry meteorological services and effective reducing forestry disaster losses are the top priorities of the meteorological department.展开更多
Based on the number of asthmatic children in the Children's Hospital of Yulin City,the monitoring data of daily pollen concentration,and routine meteorological and environmental monitoring data of Yulin City from ...Based on the number of asthmatic children in the Children's Hospital of Yulin City,the monitoring data of daily pollen concentration,and routine meteorological and environmental monitoring data of Yulin City from 2020 to 2022,the meteorological and environmental conditions of a thunderstorm asthma event in Yulin City in northern Shaanxi on September 9,2022 were analyzed.The results show that the strong convective weather was accompanied by a strong thunderstorm,lightning,gusts,short-time heavy precipitation and small hail,and the convective activity lasted for nearly 7 h.The short-term abrupt change of allergenic substances such as artemisia pollen caused by lightning,gusts and precipitation,the sudden drop in temperature,the inversion near the surface and the stimulation of cold air were the key meteorological conditions for the subsequent outbreak of asthma.In early September in 2022,the daily average pollen concentration in Yulin City was up to 1067.9 particles/1000 mm^(2),which was 113.3%and 41.2%higher than that of the same period in 2021 and 2020,respectively.The day before the thunderstorm,the pollen concentration soared to 2680 particles/1000 mm^(2),reaching the maximum of the year.The synergistic effect of the thunderstorm event and the sharp increase in pollen concentration on the previous day provided the background of heavy pollen pollution for this outbreak of thunderstorm asthma.O_(3)concentration was consistently high on the day of thunderstorm and the day before,and the peaks of O_(3)and PM 10 concentration appeared subsequently in the afternoon of the day,which became the background of air pollution for the asthma outbreak.展开更多
Satellite remote sensing is essential for solar energy meteorology.The 14-channel Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager of the Fengyun-4 series of satellites performs a full-disc scan over greater China every 15 min...Satellite remote sensing is essential for solar energy meteorology.The 14-channel Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager of the Fengyun-4 series of satellites performs a full-disc scan over greater China every 15 min,providing highgranularity information that allows the retrieval of cloud properties,aerosol optical depth,and precipitable water vapor content,which can facilitate the acquisition of surface solar irradiance components through physical methods.Machinelearning methods have also shown potential in providing accurate end-to-end surface solar radiation retrievals.Albeit the physical principles of irradiance retrieval and machine-learning algorithms are fairly well known,the public service concerning disseminating the irradiance product to the energy and power industry still lacks robustness and consistency.In this perspective article,the status quo of Fengyun-4 irradiance products is first reviewed.Then,from the perspective of solar resource assessment and forecasting,three fundamental characteristics of the kind of irradiance products that are most serviceable to the solar energy sector are identified,namely,coverage,timeliness,and accessibility.Finally,an outlook on the new-generation Fengyun radiation service is put forward,and the prospective scientific and practical challenges are elaborated.展开更多
Video imagery enables both qualitative characterization and quantitative retrieval of low-visibility conditions.These phenomena exhibit complex nonlinear dependencies on atmospheric processes,particularly during moist...Video imagery enables both qualitative characterization and quantitative retrieval of low-visibility conditions.These phenomena exhibit complex nonlinear dependencies on atmospheric processes,particularly during moisture-driven weather events such as fog,rain,and snow.To address this challenge,we propose a dual-branch neural architecture that synergistically processes optical imagery and multi-source meteorological data(temperature,humidity,and wind speed).The framework employs a convolutional neural network(CNN)branch to extract visibility-related visual features from video imagery sequences,while a parallel artificial neural network(ANN)branch decodes nonlinear relationships among the meteorological factors.Cross-modal feature fusion is achieved through an adaptive weighting layer.To validate the framework,multimodal Backpropagation-VGG(BP-VGG)and Backpropagation-ResNet(BP-ResNet)models are developed and trained/tested using historical imagery and meteorological observations from Nanjing Lukou International Airport.The results demonstrate that the multimodal networks reduce retrieval errors by approximately 8%–10%compared to unimodal networks relying solely on imagery.Among the multimodal models,BP-ResNet exhibits the best performance with a mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of 8.5%.Analysis of typical case studies reveals that visibility fluctuates rapidly while meteorological factors change gradually,highlighting the crucial role of high-frequency imaging data in intelligent visibility retrieval models.The superior performance of BP-ResNet over BP-VGG is attributed to its use of residual blocks,which enables BP-ResNet to excel in multimodal processing by effectively leveraging data complementarity for synergistic improvements.This study presents an end-to-end intelligent visibility inversion framework that directly retrieves visibility values,enhancing its applicability across industries.However,while this approach boosts accuracy and applicability,its performance in critical low-visibility scenarios remains suboptimal,necessitating further research into more advanced retrieval techniques—particularly under extreme visibility conditions.展开更多
On August 1,2022,a rainstorm process occurred in Bayannur City,Inner Mongolia.An extreme precipitation event occurred in Wuyuan County,Urat Middle Banner and Urat Front Banner,causing rainstorm,flood,strong convective...On August 1,2022,a rainstorm process occurred in Bayannur City,Inner Mongolia.An extreme precipitation event occurred in Wuyuan County,Urat Middle Banner and Urat Front Banner,causing rainstorm,flood,strong convective wind and other disasters,thereby resulting in crop damage,livestock death and other losses.Meteorological departments made a series of forecast and early warning,meteorological service and basin joint prevention for the rainstorm process,set an example for dealing with the rainstorm disaster,and accumulated experience for the forecast service of rainstorm in future.展开更多
Based on the data of conventional meteorological observation, NCEP reanalysis data and atmospheric composition observation, a comprehensive analysis of the three kinds of persistent fog and haze in eastern China in Ja...Based on the data of conventional meteorological observation, NCEP reanalysis data and atmospheric composition observation, a comprehensive analysis of the three kinds of persistent fog and haze in eastern China in January 2013 was carried out. The results show that the process of persistent fog and haze is in the background of static weather, and the zonal circulation in the middle and high latitudes is not conducive to the south of the cold air. In the eastern part of China, near-surface wind speed is low under the controlled of pressure field, which is conducive to the formation and maintenance of haze. The formation of inversion layer, the height of the mixed layer, the stratified structure of the upper dry layer, the ground wind speed and so on can represent the static stability of the atmosphere. In the actual forecast, fog and haze can be distinguished from the angle of relative humidity, PM2.5 concentration, diurnal variation characteristics, mixed layer height and energy structure, industrial structure and local and surrounding economic development level.展开更多
Based on data of meteorological elements in the meteorological station in North Yandang Mountains during 1960- 2013,temporal variations in days of sea of clouds over Yandang Mountains in nearly 50 years and their rela...Based on data of meteorological elements in the meteorological station in North Yandang Mountains during 1960- 2013,temporal variations in days of sea of clouds over Yandang Mountains in nearly 50 years and their relation with air temperature,precipitation,relative humidity and wind speed were analyzed. The results showed that annual average days of sea of clouds over Yandang Mountains were 164. 92 d,and the maximum and minimum were 215 and 58 d,so there was a big difference between various years. The days of sea of clouds were the most in spring,and average days of sea of clouds（ average days of sea of clouds with low cloud cover ≥80%） were 50. 89 d（ 32. 77 d）,while they were the least in autumn. There was an obvious positive correlation between the days of sea of clouds and relative humidity. Precipitation occurred the day before or on the day when sea of clouds with low cloud cover ≥80% formed. On the day when sea of clouds with low cloud cover ≥80% appeared,average relative humidity was ≥80%,and average wind speed was ≤4. 5 m/s.展开更多
Taking Meteorological Knowledge official micro-blog ＂ Meteorological Knowledge＂ and Beijing Meteorological Bureau official micro-blog ＂ Meteorology Beijing＂ as the research objects,the differences of different typ...Taking Meteorological Knowledge official micro-blog ＂ Meteorological Knowledge＂ and Beijing Meteorological Bureau official micro-blog ＂ Meteorology Beijing＂ as the research objects,the differences of different types of meteorological government micro-blog and the contribution of each factor were analyzed by comparing changes of the number of fans,micro-blog comments and forwarding and other key elements during March1 to May 31 in 2012. The results showed that the number of fans was one of important indexes to determine the influence of meteorological government micro-blog,and the high active fans played a more prominent role. During the period of study,the fans number of ＂ Meteorology Beijing＂ was far more than ＂ Meteorological Knowledge＂,the daily micro-blog released number and comment forwarding number were both more than ＂ Meteorological knowledge＂,but the proportion of active fans of ＂ Meteorological knowledge＂ was larger than ＂ Meteorology Beijing＂. Timeliness was of greater contribution to advancing the meteorological government micro-blog influence. During the period of study,the proportions of comments and forwarding number of morning weather forecast were the largest,the evening weather forecast took the second place,and the noon was the smallest.But the influence of noon weather forecast micro-blog increased most highly approximately by 15% because of the higher timeliness. The content and form also made great contribution to the influence of meteorological government micro-blog. Comparison of different types of meteorological micro-blog showed that,the number of fans and the influence of meteorological government micro-blog which mainly published real-time meteorological information were larger than which mainly published meteorological popular science knowledge.展开更多
In the recent years,with rapid development of mobile internet,new media platform has been developing at full speed,such as twitter,WeC hat and APP. It has wide information dissemination channels,fast release frequency...In the recent years,with rapid development of mobile internet,new media platform has been developing at full speed,such as twitter,WeC hat and APP. It has wide information dissemination channels,fast release frequency and efficient interactive mode. According to the characteristics of new media,we set forth the current situation of public weather service. Through the questionnaire survey,we have analyzed the actual demand of public from three aspects,including the public reading habits,characteristics of sharing and transmission and defect of information distribution. Finally,we have discussed the future trend of meteorological new media,which will promote public service effectiveness of meteorological new media by considering requirement,applying new technology and reasonably using platform.展开更多
Through the investigation and analysis of the operation status and training needs of the agrometeorological observation work of the grass-roots meteorological department,as well as the evaluation of training effects,t...Through the investigation and analysis of the operation status and training needs of the agrometeorological observation work of the grass-roots meteorological department,as well as the evaluation of training effects,the development of a modular curriculum system for agrometeorological observation posts was carried out. Research has shown that the structure and distribution of academic qualifications,age and professional title of the agrometeorological observation personnel currently on the job is basically reasonable,human resources are abundant and the observation work is comprehensive. However,there are problems such as lack of professional knowledge and skills,fewer training opportunities and large training needs. Therefore,the pilot training of agricultural meteorological observation still has room for improvement in terms of training frequency,curriculum arrangement,and quality of remote training.展开更多
In this paper, the main meteorological disasters in the Sheshan National Tourist and Vacation Areas are analyzed by using the climate data from 1955 to 2014, such as average temperature, relative humidity, wind speed,...In this paper, the main meteorological disasters in the Sheshan National Tourist and Vacation Areas are analyzed by using the climate data from 1955 to 2014, such as average temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, insolation duration. The influences of meteorological parameters on this area are studied with the climate comfort evaluation and meteorological disaster climate trend. It is found that the major meteorological disasters in this area including fog, typhoon, storm, wind, thunderstorms and high temperature, were occurred in different periods with higher frequency from May to October. Nineteen comfortable ten-day periods in a year are suitable for tourist activities, during March and May, late September and the end of December. And seventeen ten-day periods in a year are not suitable for tourist activities, from January to February and from June to the middle of September. Some suggestions for tourism weather service on the basis of these results are listed in the conclusion.展开更多
基金Supported by Soft Science Research Project of Hubei Meteorological Bureau in 2018(02)
文摘Socialization of meteorological services is important guarantee of servicing national major development strategy,strategic selection of adapting to national reform,urgent need of meeting the development of related industries,and necessary way of solving public demand on meticulous,targeted and personalized meteorological services. At present,socialization construction of meteorological services in China still has many problems,such as weak service capability of intelligent weather,inadequate and imbalanced urban-rural and regional development,insufficient sharing and opening of meteorological data,and deficient role of social organization. It should vigorously impel socialization of meteorological services by exploring sharing and opening mechanism of basic meteorological data,establishing policy,regulation and standard system adapting to socialization of meteorological services,establishing operation mechanism for socialization of meteorological services of government dominance combining market,enriching content and means of meteorological socialization service.
基金Supported by the Program of the Science and Technology Department of Zhejiang Province(2011C23052)
文摘With complex terrain and developed economy, Zhejiang Province has suffered a lot from the frequent geological disasters, which have done great damages to the construction and development of the whole province. Therefore, it is particularly important to improve the geological disasters meteorological service. Electronic sand table system, a high-tech product of three-dimensional visualization, can provide the geological disaster meteorological service with the intuitive and visual application environment. In this study, we developed electronic sand table system based on GIS and established the geological disasters meteorological service database. In addition, we also analyzed and discussed the applications of meteorological service in online weather forecast, meteorological warning message, and multimedia meteorological electronic display. The application of electronic sand table system in geological disaster meteorological services for disaster prevention and mitigation is of great importance that it provides intuitive terrain analysis data for the forecast of geological disasters warning, which greatly enhances the ability of geological disasters meteorological service.
文摘The continuous rainy precipitation process from February to March in 2019 was selected to analyze the effect of meteorological service in Tangpu Reservoir basin,so as to sum up service experience and then lay a better foundation for subsequent services.In response to the rainy weather from December 2018 to early 2019,three rounds of flood discharge were carried out in Tangpu Reservoir.During February-March in 2019,the hit rate of short-term area rainfall forecast for Tangpu Reservoir was 80.0%.Compared with the median of forecast interval,the average absolute error was 7.6 mm,and the relative error was 32.7%.The large deviation in the forecast from March 27 to 28 was deeply analyzed,and it is found that the main reasons were excessive reliance on and trust in a single model,insufficient correction of the actual situation,and insufficient judgment of the nature of precipitation.For the future reservoir meteorological service,three aspects of thinking were put forward,such as further strengthening the sharing of hydrological and meteorological information,improving the forecasting ability,and deepening the research of runoff forecast models.
文摘To study the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources to serve agricultural production and economic development. The climate data from 1958 to 2017 were selected, and the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources in Liaoning, China were analyzed by using the method of climate diagnosis and analysis. The results show that: the southern coastal area of Liaoning has the most heat resources, the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area the least, and the central plain area in the middle distribution pattern;compared with 1958-1980, 1981-2017 ≥0°C, ≥10°C accumulated temperature, etc. The value line is advanced 100-160km northward. The accumulated temperature of ≥0°C and ≥10°C in Liaoning experienced abrupt changes in climate in 1993 and 1994, and the climate abrupt change in the southern coastal area was earlier than that in the inland. , the increase in the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area is less than that in the central plain area and the southern coastal area. The study on the impact on meteorological services found that the increase or decrease of heat resources has a significant impact on agro-meteorological services, which can prolong the growing season of crops, relatively reduce the damage of frost, improve comprehensive utilization of land, and increase crop yields;at the same time, with the increase of heat resources and the northward expansion of the isoline of accumulated temperature, the area affected by pests and diseases has expanded, which has aggravated the harm to agriculture economic burden.
基金National Science Foundation of China(91637105,41775048 and 41475041)National Key R&D Program of China(2018YFC1507800)Research on Tourism Traffic Meteorological Service Products in Heilongjiang Province(HQZD2017004)
文摘An evaluation index is a prerequisite for the scientific evaluation of a public meteorological service.This paper aims to explore a technical method for determining and screening evaluation indicators.Based on public satisfaction survey data obtained in Wafangdian,China in 2010,this study investigates the suitability of fuzzy clustering analysis method in establishing an evaluation index.Through quantitative analysis of multilayer fuzzy clustering of various evaluation indicators,correlation analysis indicates that if the results of clustering were identical for two evaluation indicators in the same sub-evaluation layer,then one indicator could be removed,or the two indicators merged.For evaluation indicators in different sub-evaluation layers,although clustering reveals attribute correlations,these indicators may not be substituted for one another.Analysis of the applicability of the fuzzy clustering method shows that it plays a certain role in the establishment and correction of an evaluation index.
文摘The present situation of meteorological services for ecological tourism in Shaanxi Province was analyzed firstly,and then the problems existing in the meteorological services were analyzed.Finally,corresponding measures were put forward.
基金Supported by the Meteorological Science and Technology Program of Zhejiang Meteorological Bureau(2015YB04)
文摘Based on the survey data of public meteorological services,differences between users' needs for public meteorological services were analyzed by using Maslow's hierarchy of needs and the principle of information availability in behavioral economics. The results show that users' needs for meteorological services follow certain laws,and the public's needs for meteorological information are driven by physiological needs firstly and then by safety needs,while they are driven by upper needs finally. Meanwhile,users' needs for meteorological services have particularity.Under special backgrounds,there are certain differences between users' needs and laws of basic needs,and users' needs are inconsistent with the " ideal needs" of meteorological departments. Studying the laws and particularity of differences between users' needs for meteorological services in detail is conducive to a survey of the public's needs for meteorological services and improvement of meteorological service quality.
文摘The rapid development of the social economy and the urgent needs of building a low-carbon, ecologic and livable city ask for a higher requirement for urban meteorological service, which requires higher, better and more specialized service. To Shenzhen, the year of2011 is featured by ＂Universiade＂ and ＂Quality＂. In this year, the first national meteorological service standardization pilot and demonstration unit is stationed in Shenzhen, which has more far-reaching significance, richer connotation and heavier responsibility.
文摘In this paper,the design idea,working process and functional characteristics of Nanjing Urban Specialized Meteorological Service System are systematically described.Some advanced techniques,such as Internet/Intranet(WWW)technique,Active Server Pages(ASP)design and Automatic Voice Composition etc.,are adopted here.By using Opening TCP/IP Agreement.the system realizes connecting the three networks of Novell,Windows NT and 9210 project (Meteorological Satellite Integrated Application Professional System)with ground meteorological special telephone line,thus the new process for collecting and processing data,making and disseminating specialized meteorological information,serving and managing users is established.
基金Supported by Project of National Natural Science Foundation(41575051)
文摘In order to strengthen the construction of forestry meteorological service capacity and improve the quality of forestry meteorological services,the national forestry meteorological disaster risk survey and service benefit assessment were carried out from November 2016 to May2017. A total of 196 risk sites in Guangxi were collected by means of questionnaire survey,expert evaluation and field survey. The results showed that fire,pest and wind hazards are the main types of risk points in Guangxi. The survey showed that there were 77 monitoring stations around the disaster risk sites belonging to the Forestry Sector,which mainly monitor fire hazards,while other disasters had no monitoring point yet. Early warning facilities were still constantly improving. The meteorological disasters that affecting forestry production were drought,gale,and heavy rainfall,and the main meteorological hazard factors were temperature,wind speed,and precipitation. Forest fire prevention,forestry resources development and utilization,forestation and tending demand for meteorological services were relatively large. It was hoped that forestry meteorological service products would be obtained through telephone,SMS and early warning systems. In addition,experts objectivly evaluated the contribution rate of meteorological services in Guangxi. The contribution rate of forest meteorological services in the whole region was8. 41%. The scale of Guangxi's total forestry output value was 31. 478 billion yuan in 2016. According to the calculation of this value,the service benefit value had reached 2. 647 billion yuan. In conclusion,strengthening the cooperation in forestry meteorological monitoring,technology development,and emergency response,and further improving forestry meteorological services and effective reducing forestry disaster losses are the top priorities of the meteorological department.
基金Supported by the People's Government of Yulin City(2023-SF-09)Yulin Meteorological Bureau(2024Y-02)Open Research Fund Project of Key Laboratory of Ecological Environment and Meteorology in the Qinling Mountains and Loess Plateau(2022Y-21).
文摘Based on the number of asthmatic children in the Children's Hospital of Yulin City,the monitoring data of daily pollen concentration,and routine meteorological and environmental monitoring data of Yulin City from 2020 to 2022,the meteorological and environmental conditions of a thunderstorm asthma event in Yulin City in northern Shaanxi on September 9,2022 were analyzed.The results show that the strong convective weather was accompanied by a strong thunderstorm,lightning,gusts,short-time heavy precipitation and small hail,and the convective activity lasted for nearly 7 h.The short-term abrupt change of allergenic substances such as artemisia pollen caused by lightning,gusts and precipitation,the sudden drop in temperature,the inversion near the surface and the stimulation of cold air were the key meteorological conditions for the subsequent outbreak of asthma.In early September in 2022,the daily average pollen concentration in Yulin City was up to 1067.9 particles/1000 mm^(2),which was 113.3%and 41.2%higher than that of the same period in 2021 and 2020,respectively.The day before the thunderstorm,the pollen concentration soared to 2680 particles/1000 mm^(2),reaching the maximum of the year.The synergistic effect of the thunderstorm event and the sharp increase in pollen concentration on the previous day provided the background of heavy pollen pollution for this outbreak of thunderstorm asthma.O_(3)concentration was consistently high on the day of thunderstorm and the day before,and the peaks of O_(3)and PM 10 concentration appeared subsequently in the afternoon of the day,which became the background of air pollution for the asthma outbreak.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(project no.42375192)。
文摘Satellite remote sensing is essential for solar energy meteorology.The 14-channel Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager of the Fengyun-4 series of satellites performs a full-disc scan over greater China every 15 min,providing highgranularity information that allows the retrieval of cloud properties,aerosol optical depth,and precipitable water vapor content,which can facilitate the acquisition of surface solar irradiance components through physical methods.Machinelearning methods have also shown potential in providing accurate end-to-end surface solar radiation retrievals.Albeit the physical principles of irradiance retrieval and machine-learning algorithms are fairly well known,the public service concerning disseminating the irradiance product to the energy and power industry still lacks robustness and consistency.In this perspective article,the status quo of Fengyun-4 irradiance products is first reviewed.Then,from the perspective of solar resource assessment and forecasting,three fundamental characteristics of the kind of irradiance products that are most serviceable to the solar energy sector are identified,namely,coverage,timeliness,and accessibility.Finally,an outlook on the new-generation Fengyun radiation service is put forward,and the prospective scientific and practical challenges are elaborated.
基金Foundation of Key Laboratory of Smart Earth(KF2023ZD03-02)China Meteorological Administration Innovation development project(CXFZ2025J116)+1 种基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(42205197)Basic Research Fund of CAMS(2022Y023,2022Y025)。
文摘Video imagery enables both qualitative characterization and quantitative retrieval of low-visibility conditions.These phenomena exhibit complex nonlinear dependencies on atmospheric processes,particularly during moisture-driven weather events such as fog,rain,and snow.To address this challenge,we propose a dual-branch neural architecture that synergistically processes optical imagery and multi-source meteorological data(temperature,humidity,and wind speed).The framework employs a convolutional neural network(CNN)branch to extract visibility-related visual features from video imagery sequences,while a parallel artificial neural network(ANN)branch decodes nonlinear relationships among the meteorological factors.Cross-modal feature fusion is achieved through an adaptive weighting layer.To validate the framework,multimodal Backpropagation-VGG(BP-VGG)and Backpropagation-ResNet(BP-ResNet)models are developed and trained/tested using historical imagery and meteorological observations from Nanjing Lukou International Airport.The results demonstrate that the multimodal networks reduce retrieval errors by approximately 8%–10%compared to unimodal networks relying solely on imagery.Among the multimodal models,BP-ResNet exhibits the best performance with a mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of 8.5%.Analysis of typical case studies reveals that visibility fluctuates rapidly while meteorological factors change gradually,highlighting the crucial role of high-frequency imaging data in intelligent visibility retrieval models.The superior performance of BP-ResNet over BP-VGG is attributed to its use of residual blocks,which enables BP-ResNet to excel in multimodal processing by effectively leveraging data complementarity for synergistic improvements.This study presents an end-to-end intelligent visibility inversion framework that directly retrieves visibility values,enhancing its applicability across industries.However,while this approach boosts accuracy and applicability,its performance in critical low-visibility scenarios remains suboptimal,necessitating further research into more advanced retrieval techniques—particularly under extreme visibility conditions.
基金Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,China(2019BS04001,2021MS04019)。
文摘On August 1,2022,a rainstorm process occurred in Bayannur City,Inner Mongolia.An extreme precipitation event occurred in Wuyuan County,Urat Middle Banner and Urat Front Banner,causing rainstorm,flood,strong convective wind and other disasters,thereby resulting in crop damage,livestock death and other losses.Meteorological departments made a series of forecast and early warning,meteorological service and basin joint prevention for the rainstorm process,set an example for dealing with the rainstorm disaster,and accumulated experience for the forecast service of rainstorm in future.
文摘Based on the data of conventional meteorological observation, NCEP reanalysis data and atmospheric composition observation, a comprehensive analysis of the three kinds of persistent fog and haze in eastern China in January 2013 was carried out. The results show that the process of persistent fog and haze is in the background of static weather, and the zonal circulation in the middle and high latitudes is not conducive to the south of the cold air. In the eastern part of China, near-surface wind speed is low under the controlled of pressure field, which is conducive to the formation and maintenance of haze. The formation of inversion layer, the height of the mixed layer, the stratified structure of the upper dry layer, the ground wind speed and so on can represent the static stability of the atmosphere. In the actual forecast, fog and haze can be distinguished from the angle of relative humidity, PM2.5 concentration, diurnal variation characteristics, mixed layer height and energy structure, industrial structure and local and surrounding economic development level.
基金Supported by the Key Project of Zhejiang Meteorological Bureau(2013ZD08)
文摘Based on data of meteorological elements in the meteorological station in North Yandang Mountains during 1960- 2013,temporal variations in days of sea of clouds over Yandang Mountains in nearly 50 years and their relation with air temperature,precipitation,relative humidity and wind speed were analyzed. The results showed that annual average days of sea of clouds over Yandang Mountains were 164. 92 d,and the maximum and minimum were 215 and 58 d,so there was a big difference between various years. The days of sea of clouds were the most in spring,and average days of sea of clouds（ average days of sea of clouds with low cloud cover ≥80%） were 50. 89 d（ 32. 77 d）,while they were the least in autumn. There was an obvious positive correlation between the days of sea of clouds and relative humidity. Precipitation occurred the day before or on the day when sea of clouds with low cloud cover ≥80% formed. On the day when sea of clouds with low cloud cover ≥80% appeared,average relative humidity was ≥80%,and average wind speed was ≤4. 5 m/s.
基金Supported by the Public Industry(Meteorology) Special Funds for Scientific Research Projects(GYHY201106037)
文摘Taking Meteorological Knowledge official micro-blog ＂ Meteorological Knowledge＂ and Beijing Meteorological Bureau official micro-blog ＂ Meteorology Beijing＂ as the research objects,the differences of different types of meteorological government micro-blog and the contribution of each factor were analyzed by comparing changes of the number of fans,micro-blog comments and forwarding and other key elements during March1 to May 31 in 2012. The results showed that the number of fans was one of important indexes to determine the influence of meteorological government micro-blog,and the high active fans played a more prominent role. During the period of study,the fans number of ＂ Meteorology Beijing＂ was far more than ＂ Meteorological Knowledge＂,the daily micro-blog released number and comment forwarding number were both more than ＂ Meteorological knowledge＂,but the proportion of active fans of ＂ Meteorological knowledge＂ was larger than ＂ Meteorology Beijing＂. Timeliness was of greater contribution to advancing the meteorological government micro-blog influence. During the period of study,the proportions of comments and forwarding number of morning weather forecast were the largest,the evening weather forecast took the second place,and the noon was the smallest.But the influence of noon weather forecast micro-blog increased most highly approximately by 15% because of the higher timeliness. The content and form also made great contribution to the influence of meteorological government micro-blog. Comparison of different types of meteorological micro-blog showed that,the number of fans and the influence of meteorological government micro-blog which mainly published real-time meteorological information were larger than which mainly published meteorological popular science knowledge.
基金Supported by Soft Science Project of Beijing Meteorological Bureau[2017Y05]
文摘In the recent years,with rapid development of mobile internet,new media platform has been developing at full speed,such as twitter,WeC hat and APP. It has wide information dissemination channels,fast release frequency and efficient interactive mode. According to the characteristics of new media,we set forth the current situation of public weather service. Through the questionnaire survey,we have analyzed the actual demand of public from three aspects,including the public reading habits,characteristics of sharing and transmission and defect of information distribution. Finally,we have discussed the future trend of meteorological new media,which will promote public service effectiveness of meteorological new media by considering requirement,applying new technology and reasonably using platform.
文摘Through the investigation and analysis of the operation status and training needs of the agrometeorological observation work of the grass-roots meteorological department,as well as the evaluation of training effects,the development of a modular curriculum system for agrometeorological observation posts was carried out. Research has shown that the structure and distribution of academic qualifications,age and professional title of the agrometeorological observation personnel currently on the job is basically reasonable,human resources are abundant and the observation work is comprehensive. However,there are problems such as lack of professional knowledge and skills,fewer training opportunities and large training needs. Therefore,the pilot training of agricultural meteorological observation still has room for improvement in terms of training frequency,curriculum arrangement,and quality of remote training.
文摘In this paper, the main meteorological disasters in the Sheshan National Tourist and Vacation Areas are analyzed by using the climate data from 1955 to 2014, such as average temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, insolation duration. The influences of meteorological parameters on this area are studied with the climate comfort evaluation and meteorological disaster climate trend. It is found that the major meteorological disasters in this area including fog, typhoon, storm, wind, thunderstorms and high temperature, were occurred in different periods with higher frequency from May to October. Nineteen comfortable ten-day periods in a year are suitable for tourist activities, during March and May, late September and the end of December. And seventeen ten-day periods in a year are not suitable for tourist activities, from January to February and from June to the middle of September. Some suggestions for tourism weather service on the basis of these results are listed in the conclusion.
