As a prominent mode of variability in the tropical stratosphere on the interannual timescale,the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation(QBO)can significantly influence global atmospheric circulation and weather patterns.This stud...As a prominent mode of variability in the tropical stratosphere on the interannual timescale,the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation(QBO)can significantly influence global atmospheric circulation and weather patterns.This study explores the dynamic processes of QBO disruptions using the integrated climate model of the China Meteorological Administration(CMA)by nudging the tropical zonal winds toward observations.A comparative analysis with ERA5 reanalysis data shows that the nudged runs accurately replicate the general characteristics of the QBO,including the alternating QBO wind regimes and QBO disruption events.The evolution of the QBO winds is diagnosed using empirical orthogonal function and root-mean-square difference analyses,and the rarity of the disruption events is confirmed in the CMA model.Different aspects of the QBO disruptions and the relevant dynamics are present in the model.Firstly,the momentum budget analysis highlights the crucial roles of extratropical Rossby waves and non-orographic gravity waves in the transition from westerly to easterly winds during a disruption.Secondly,Kelvin waves and non-orographic gravity waves explain much of the transition from easterly to westerly winds near 40 hPa.Thirdly,the positive tendency from enhanced vertical advection further accelerates westerly momentum development via secondary meridional circulation.These findings underscore the importance of nudging techniques in understanding QBO dynamics,which provides valuable insights for future climate model improvements toward better forecasting QBO-related climate variability.Notably,due to model limitations,no QBO disruptions were simulated in the free-run experiments.展开更多
This paper describes the access to, and the content, characteristics, and potential applications of the tropical cyclone(TC) database that is maintained and actively developed by the China Meteorological Administratio...This paper describes the access to, and the content, characteristics, and potential applications of the tropical cyclone(TC) database that is maintained and actively developed by the China Meteorological Administration, with the aim of facilitating its use in scientific research and operational services. This database records data relating to all TCs that have passed through the western North Pacific(WNP) and South China Sea(SCS) since 1949. TC data collection has expanded over recent decades via continuous TC monitoring using remote sensing and specialized field detection techniques,allowing collation of a multi-source TC database for the WNP and SCS that covers a long period, with wide coverage and many observational elements. This database now comprises a wide variety of information related to TCs, such as historical or real-time locations(i.e., best track and landfall), intensity, dynamic and thermal structures, wind strengths, precipitation amounts, and frequency. This database will support ongoing research into the processes and patterns associated with TC climatic activity and TC forecasting.展开更多
Since the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics was the first Winter Olympics in history held in continental winter monsoon climate conditions across complex terrain areas,there is a deficiency of relevant research,operational...Since the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics was the first Winter Olympics in history held in continental winter monsoon climate conditions across complex terrain areas,there is a deficiency of relevant research,operational techniques,and experience.This made providing meteorological services for this event particularly challenging.The China Meteorological Administration(CMA)Earth System Modeling and Prediction Centre,achieved breakthroughs in research on short-and medium-term deterministic and ensemble numerical predictions.Several key technologies crucial for precise winter weather services during the Winter Olympics were developed.A comprehensive framework,known as the Operational System for High-Precision Weather Forecasting for the Winter Olympics,was established.Some of these advancements represent the highest level of capabilities currently available in China.The meteorological service provided to the Beijing 2022 Games also exceeded previous Winter Olympic Games in both variety and quality.This included achievements such as the“100-meter level,minute level”downscaled spatiotemporal resolution and forecasts spanning 1 to 15 days.Around 30 new technologies and over 60 kinds of products that align with the requirements of the Winter Olympics Organizing Committee were developed,and many of these techniques have since been integrated into the CMA’s operational national forecasting systems.These accomplishments were facilitated by a dedicated weather forecasting and research initiative,in conjunction with the preexisting real-time operational forecasting systems of the CMA.This program represents one of the five subprograms of the WMO’s high-impact weather forecasting demonstration project(SMART2022),and continues to play an important role in their Regional Association(RA)II Research Development Project(Hangzhou RDP).Therefore,the research accomplishments and meteorological service experiences from this program will be carried forward into forthcoming highimpact weather forecasting activities.This article provides an overview and assessment of this program and the operational national forecasting systems.展开更多
Aiming at the needs of mechanism analysis of rainstorms and development of numerical prediction models in south China, the Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology of China Meteorological Administration ...Aiming at the needs of mechanism analysis of rainstorms and development of numerical prediction models in south China, the Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology of China Meteorological Administration and the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences jointly set up the Longmen Cloud Physics Field Experiment Base,China Meteorological Administration. This paper introduces the instruments and field experiments of this base, provides an overview of the recent advances in retrieval algorithms of microphysical parameters, improved understanding of microphysical characteristics, as well as the formation mechanisms and numerical prediction of heavy rainfalls in south China based on the field experiments dataset.展开更多
This paper investigates the homogeneity of United States aircraft reconnaissance data and the impact of these data on the homogeneity of the tropical cyclone(TC)best track data for the seasons 1949-1987 generated by t...This paper investigates the homogeneity of United States aircraft reconnaissance data and the impact of these data on the homogeneity of the tropical cyclone(TC)best track data for the seasons 1949-1987 generated by the China Meteorological Administration(CMA).The evaluation of the reconnaissance data shows that the minimum central sea level pressure(MCP)data are relatively homogeneous,whereas the maximum sustained wind(MSW)data show both overestimations and spurious abrupt changes.Statistical comparisons suggest that both the reconnaissance MCP and MSW were well incorporated into the CMA TC best track dataset.Although no spurious abrupt changes were evident in the reconnaissance-related best track MCP data,two spurious changepoints were identified in the remainder of the best-track MCP data.Furthermore,the influence of the reconnaissance MSWs seems to extend to the best track MSWs unrelated to reconnaissance,which might reflect the optimistic confidence in making higher estimates due to the overestimated extreme wind“observations”.In addition,the overestimation of either the reconnaissance MSWs or the best track MSWs was greater during the early decades compared to later decades,which reflects the important influence of reconnaissance data on the CMA TC best track dataset.The wind-pressure relationship(WPR)used in the CMA TC best track dataset is also evaluated and is found to overestimate the MSW,which may lead to inhomogeneity within the dataset between the aircraft reconnaissance era and the satellite era.展开更多
The“Outline for High-Quality Development of Meteorology(2022-2035)”was published by the State Council of the People’s Republic of China in April 2022(1).This publication highlights the essential role of meteorologi...The“Outline for High-Quality Development of Meteorology(2022-2035)”was published by the State Council of the People’s Republic of China in April 2022(1).This publication highlights the essential role of meteorological disaster warnings,particularly cold spell warnings,in preventing and mitigating disasters.The outline also sets forth stricter expectations for enhancing the overall capacity of society in terms of meteorological disaster preparedness and response.展开更多
Understanding the evolution and lag effects of droughts is critical to effective drought warning and water resources management.However,due to limited hydrological data,few studies have examined hydrological droughts ...Understanding the evolution and lag effects of droughts is critical to effective drought warning and water resources management.However,due to limited hydrological data,few studies have examined hydrological droughts and their lag time from meteorological droughts at a daily scale.In this study,precipitation data were collected to calculate the standardized precipitation index(SPI),and runoff data simulated by the variable infiltration capacity(VIC)model were utilized to compute the standardized runoff index(SRI).The three-threshold run theory was used to identify drought characteristics in China.These drought characteristics were utilized to investigate spatiotemporal variations,seasonal trends,and temporal changes in areas affected by meteorological and hydrological droughts.Additionally,the interconnections and lag effects between meteorological and hydrological droughts were explored.The results indicated that(1)drought occurred during approximately 28%of the past 34 years in China;(2)drought conditions tended to worsen in autumn and weaken in winter;(3)drought-affected areas shifted from northwest to northeast and finally to southern China;and(4)the correlation between meteorological and hydrological droughts was lower in the northwest and higher in the southeast,with all correlation coefficients exceeding 0.7.The lag times between meteorological and hydrological droughts were longest(5 d)in the Yangtze River,Yellow River,and Hai River basins,and shortest(0 d)in the Tarim River Basin.This study provides a scientific basis for effective early warning of droughts.展开更多
With the intensification of global climate change,flood disasters have become increasingly frequent,and satellite remote sensing has become a core technical means for flood monitoring.The Fengyun meteorological satell...With the intensification of global climate change,flood disasters have become increasingly frequent,and satellite remote sensing has become a core technical means for flood monitoring.The Fengyun meteorological satellites,independently developed by China,hold irreplaceable application value in the timely and efficient monitoring of flood disasters.As a systematic review,this study aims to address the lack of systematic regarding the evolutionary trajectory and application status of Fengyun satellites in flood monitoring.By integrating relevant domestic and international research,it systematically reviws the FengYun-1 to FengYun-4 satellite series in flood monitoring and their application practices on a global scale,and clarifies the complete evolutionary of water body identification technologies—from the early visual interpretation method and the threshold method that dominated in the 1980s–1990s,to the machine learning method emerged in the 1990s,and further to the mixed-pixel decomposition technology pursuing sub-pixel-level accuracy.This study identifies the applicable scenarios and limitations of various water body identification technologies,analyzes the key issues in current applications,summarizes the core advantages of Fengyun meteorological satellites and technical bottlenecks that need to be overcome,and provides an outlook on future development directions in flood monitoring.Finally,it offers systematic theoretical references and practical guidance for the technological upgrading and operational application of flood monitoring based on China’s independent satellite remote sensing.展开更多
Cold pools(CPs)significantly influence coastal heavy rainfall,but detailed observations of them are limited due to the lack of vertical measurement instruments.This study statistically characterizes CPs in the coastal...Cold pools(CPs)significantly influence coastal heavy rainfall,but detailed observations of them are limited due to the lack of vertical measurement instruments.This study statistically characterizes CPs in the coastal monsoon region of South China using unique data from the 356-m-high Shenzhen Meteorological Tower.CP occurrence correlates with convective activities influenced by the summer monsoon in the seasonal variations and land–sea breeze activities in the diurnal cycle.The CPs predominantly dry the atmosphere,highlighting the dominant role of dry entrainment through convective downdrafts in their formation,with a minor role of hydrometeor evaporation.The average CP depth is estimated at 668.0 m,deeper than tropical CPs but shallower than midlatitude counterparts.The CP properties exhibit diurnal variability,largely influenced by mesoscale convective system(MCS)activities.MCS-induced CPs are deeper and more intense than those from individual convective cells,while linear-MCS-produced CPs are the most intense.These observations from the coastal monsoon region contribute to a comprehensive global understanding of CP characteristics,complementing existing studies from midlatitude and tropical regions.展开更多
The calculation of viewing and solar geometry angles is a critical first step in retrieving atmospheric and surface variables from geostationary satellite observations.Whereas the viewing angles for geostationary sate...The calculation of viewing and solar geometry angles is a critical first step in retrieving atmospheric and surface variables from geostationary satellite observations.Whereas the viewing angles for geostationary satellites are not timevarying,a primary source of inaccuracy in solar positioning is the use of a single timestamp.Since pixel scanning times can differ significantly across the field-of-view disk(e.g.,by approximately 13 min for Fengyun-4B),this practice leads to errors of up to±2°in solar zenith angle,which translates to±50 W m^(−2) in extraterrestrial irradiance;the errors in solar azimuth angle can exceed±100°.Beyond scanning time,this work also quantifies the impact of other inputs—including altitude,surface pressure,air temperature,difference between Terrestrial Time and Universal Time,and atmospheric refraction—on the resulting angles.A comparison of our precise calculations with the official National Satellite Meteorological Center L1_GEO product shows an accuracy within 0.1°,confirming its utility for most retrieval tasks.To facilitate higher precision when required,this work releases the corresponding satellite and solar positioning codes in both R and Python.展开更多
This study presents a comprehensive analysis of 132 tornadic events in northeastern China from 2004 to 2023,utilizing radar and ERA5 reanalysis data to investigate the climatology,environmental drivers,and synoptic li...This study presents a comprehensive analysis of 132 tornadic events in northeastern China from 2004 to 2023,utilizing radar and ERA5 reanalysis data to investigate the climatology,environmental drivers,and synoptic linkages with Northeast China cold vortices(NCCVs)of tornadic storms under different convective modes.Results reveal that discrete storms account for 70%of events,with clustered cells(CC)being the most frequent mode,while significant tornadoes(EF2+)are primarily associated with isolated cells(IC)and broken lines(BL).The storm mode distribution in northeastern China resembles that of the central United States but with a higher proportion of CC and lower IC.In contrast,southern China exhibits a higher frequency of quasi-linear(QL)modes(>50%),similar to European patterns.Although no single parameter clearly differentiates between all tornado modes,distinct morphological characteristics emerge through specific parameter combinations:NL modes are characterized by high 0-1 km storm-relative helicity(SRH1)and humidity but low 0-6 km shear(SR6),whereas IC modes display contrasting features with low SRH1 and high CAPE.Notably,83%of tornadoes are associated with NCCVs,preferentially forming in southeastern/southwestern quadrants.Strong tornadoes favor southeastern quadrants,while NCCV intensity correlates with tornadic distance from vortex centers.Three characteristic synoptic configurations emerge:(T1)strong deep vortices with vertically aligned cold troughs,generating southeast-dominant tornado clusters characterized by a high proportion of BL and QL modes;(T2)weaker vortices featuring sub-synoptic troughs,with southern-distributed events dominated by a predominance of the CC mode;(T3)transverse-trough systems exhibiting CAPE-SRH decoupling and reduced tornadic activity.This study enhances our understanding of tornadoes in northeastern China,informing future research on formation mechanisms,prediction methods,and disaster prevention strategies.展开更多
FY-3G is the first polar-orbiting satellite equipped with a precipitation measurement radar(PMR)operating at Ku-andKa-band frequencies in China.In this study,we compare the reflectivity data from the FY-3G PMR Ku prod...FY-3G is the first polar-orbiting satellite equipped with a precipitation measurement radar(PMR)operating at Ku-andKa-band frequencies in China.In this study,we compare the reflectivity data from the FY-3G PMR Ku product and groundbasedradars(GRs)during 2024.Also,the FY-3G PMR is used as a third-party reference to evaluate the reflectivityconsistency among different GRs.The FY-3G PMR and GRs share similarities in their general distribution,characteristics,and intensity of reflectivity in strong precipitation cloud systems,though the former presents less detailed system structure.Systematic deviations between the FY-3G PMR and GRs and between GRs are comparable,albeit the reflectivity of the FY-3G PMR is generally slightly stronger than that of GRs(especially X-band GRs),with a mean bias ranging from 0.7 to 1.7dB.S-band GRs exhibit the smallest systematic deviation(STD=3.09 dB)from the FY-3G PMR,whereas the X-band GRsshow the largest(STD=3.61 dB),indirectly indicating the highest internal consistency among S-band GRs and the lowestamong X-band GRs.Besides,both S-and C-band GRs display similar deviations when paired with the FY-3G PMR as wellas when paired with their adjacent S/C-band GRs,suggesting good consistency between these two bands.In contrast,XbandGRs exhibit relatively poor consistency with S-band GRs and the FY-3G PMR,showing a deviation ranging from 3.0to 4.6 dB.展开更多
The Northeast China Cold Vortex(NCCV)is a common cut-off low-pressure system in Northeast China,frequently causing localized heavy rainfall,strong winds,and thunderstorms during the early summer.In this study,the clea...The Northeast China Cold Vortex(NCCV)is a common cut-off low-pressure system in Northeast China,frequently causing localized heavy rainfall,strong winds,and thunderstorms during the early summer.In this study,the clear-sky radiance of 48 longwave channels from the FY-4B Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder(GIIRS)is assimilated into the China Meteorological Administration mesoscale model(CMA-MESO)to evaluate its impact on NCCV development and its effects on rainfall forecasting.The results show that after assimilating the GIIRS radiance data,the warm center at 200 hPa and the cold center at 850 hPa of the NCCV are strengthened,and the dry intrusion at 850 hPa becomes more pronounced.This leads to a stronger NCCV intensity in the following 24 hours and brings the precipitation intensity and area closer to the observation,resulting in significant improvements compared to the experiments that do not assimilate GIIRS radiance data.Furthermore,it is found that the enhancement of the precipitation forecast is associated with the strengthening of cold air in the middle and lower troposphere,which intensifies the uplift of the warm,moist airflow.These results highlight the potential value of GIIRS data assimilation in enhancing early warnings and forecasts of extreme weather events influenced by the NCCV.展开更多
The infrared channels of the FY-4B advanced geosynchronous radiation imagers(AGRI) play a crucial role in temperature and humidity analyses for mesoscale numerical weather prediction, particularly in enhancing the ini...The infrared channels of the FY-4B advanced geosynchronous radiation imagers(AGRI) play a crucial role in temperature and humidity analyses for mesoscale numerical weather prediction, particularly in enhancing the initial field quality and the forecasting accuracy of the model. This study assimilated FY-4B AGRI data into the CMA-MESO model and analyzed the bias characteristics and correction methods. Analysis of the AGRI data revealed a clear diurnal variation in the bias, which was positively correlated with the solar elevation angle. However, the diurnal variation in the bias lagged behind the solar elevation angle, likely owing to temperature changes and delayed instrument responses resulting from solar radiation. To address this issue, we propose a correction method that utilizes the solar elevation angle after an optimal time shift. Using the time-shifted solar elevation angle as a predictor effectively reduces the diurnal variation in bias and significantly improves the correction effect. This approach provides theoretical support for the assimilation of FY-4B AGRI data into mesoscale numerical weather predictions, thereby enhancing the reliability of the assimilation results.展开更多
In this study, the ground potential rise(GPR) phenomenon caused by a lightning current injected into a field-shaped artificial grounding grid, as well as the potential difference between two different nodes at the edg...In this study, the ground potential rise(GPR) phenomenon caused by a lightning current injected into a field-shaped artificial grounding grid, as well as the potential difference between two different nodes at the edge of the grounding grid, was observed and analyzed under artificially triggered lightning conditions. Based on circuit theory and measured current data, a π-equivalent circuit was established to simulate the transient response of the grounding grid.Nineteen return strokes from three artificially triggered lightning events were analyzed. The peak currents of the 19 return strokes range from -6.7 to -25.1 kA, and the mean value was -14.3 kA. The GPR decreased rapidly and formed a subpeak after reaching the initial peak, with the mean value of the initial peak being -148.65 kV and the mean value of the subpeak being -92.87 kV. The GPR induced by the triggered lightning currents exhibited a subpeak phenomenon. Simulation results indicate that the subpeak phenomenon is related to localized corrosion of the vertical grounding electrode. The potential difference at the grounding grid edge exhibited a multi-pulse waveform with alternating polarity, dominated by positive pulses. The peak values of both the positive and negative polarity pulses gradually decreased, with the first positive pulse displaying a significantly higher intensity than that of subsequent pulses.展开更多
The coastal regions of southern China experience the country's most frequent convective weather.Accurately representing the low-level upstream atmospheric state over the data-sparse South China Sea(SCS)is crucial ...The coastal regions of southern China experience the country's most frequent convective weather.Accurately representing the low-level upstream atmospheric state over the data-sparse South China Sea(SCS)is crucial for reliable convection predictions in numerical models.Utilizing 10 years of radiosonde observations launched over the SCS,this study presents the upstream offshore convective environments and evaluates the global model data performance including NCEP FNL,ERA5,CRA-40,JRA-3Q,and MERRA-2.Results show that thermodynamic state variables such as temperature and humidity exhibit greater biases than kinetic variables,particularly at low levels.Deeper-layer parameters exhibit smaller uncertainties,especially wind-related variables,while moisture-related parameters have the largest uncertainties,compared to shallower-layer parameters.All model data tend to underestimate the conditional instability and equilibrium level,while overestimating the condensation level,storm relative helicity(SRH),with minimal bias in lapse rate,convective inhibition,vertical wind shear(VWS),and mean winds.These biases primarily arise from the model data's underestimation of temperature and moisture below 700 hPa and lower wind speeds below 950 hPa.Among the global models,CRA-40 performs best in dynamic parameters,with highest correlation and lowest mean absolute error in low-level winds,SRH,VWS,and mean winds.ERA5 excels in thermodynamic parameters.Additional convective-permitting numerical experiments indicate that minor initial condition errors over the upstream ocean significantly affect coastal rainfall production.The rainfall production on windward coasts is most sensitive to the low-level air temperature errors during nocturnal hours,while the rainfall over the PRD is most sensitive to the low-level wind errors.展开更多
Accurate retrieval of atmospheric vertical profiles is critical for improving weather prediction and climate monitoring.However,the complexity of atmospheric processes in cloudy regions poses challenges compared to th...Accurate retrieval of atmospheric vertical profiles is critical for improving weather prediction and climate monitoring.However,the complexity of atmospheric processes in cloudy regions poses challenges compared to those of clear sky scenarios.This study presents a novel framework that integrates Bayesian optimization and machine learning approaches to retrieve atmospheric vertical profiles—including temperature,humidity,ozone concentration,cloud fraction,ice water content(IWC),and liquid water content(LWC)—from hyperspectral infrared observations.Specifically,a Bayesian method was used to refine ERA5 reanalysis data by minimizing brightness temperature(BT)discrepancies against FY-4B Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder(GIIRS)observations,generating a high-quality profile database(~2.8 million profiles)across diverse weather systems.The optimized profiles improve radiative consistency,reducing BT biases from>40 K to<10 K in cloudy regions.To further overcome the limitations of the Bayesian method,we developed a Transformer-Resnet hybrid model(TERNet),which achieved superior performance with RMSE values of 1.61 K(temperature),5.77%(humidity),and 2.25×10^(–6)/6.09×10^(–6)kg kg^(–1)(IWC/LWC)across the entire vertical levels in all-sky conditions.The TERNet outperforms both ERA5 in cloud parameter retrieval and the GIIRS L2 product in thermodynamic profiling.Independent verification with radiosonde and Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations(CALIPSO)datasets confirms the framework's reliability across various meteorological regimes.This work demonstrates the capability of combining physics-informed Bayesian methods with data-driven machine learning to fully exploit hyperspectral IR data.展开更多
The relative dispersion of cloud and fog droplets has significant impacts on aerosol indirect effects,radiative transfer,and microphysical processes.However,previous studies have been mostly concerned with clouds,with...The relative dispersion of cloud and fog droplets has significant impacts on aerosol indirect effects,radiative transfer,and microphysical processes.However,previous studies have been mostly concerned with clouds,with limited studies on fog,particularly those that examine the combined influences of all key physical processes and their roles during fog evolution.As such,this study aims to conduct a comprehensive investigation by examining the relationships between relative dispersion and other microphysical variables,as well as the underlying microphysical and dynamic processes,based on field fog campaigns in polluted and clean conditions.In polluted fog,droplet concentrations are higher,leading to smaller droplets and increased dispersion.The correlation between dispersion and droplet volume-mean radius is positive in the polluted fog,but shifts to negative in clean fog.We attribute the difference to various microphysical processes like aerosol activation,condensation,collision-coalescence,and entrainment-mixing.In polluted fog,high aerosol concentrations,low supersaturations,and strong turbulence(entrainment-mixing)provide suitable conditions for the simultaneous occurrence of droplet condensation and aerosol activation,resulting in a positive correlation between dispersion and volume-mean radius,especially during the fog formation stage.In contrast,during the mature stage in clean fog,condensation is dominant with weak aerosol activation leading to a negative correlation between relative dispersion and volume-mean radius.The collision-coalescence process is more active in the mature stage,increasing radii and leading to the negative correlation between dispersion and volume-mean radius.This result sheds new light on understanding the relative dispersion and mechanisms in fog under different aerosol backgrounds.展开更多
Low-visibility phenomena strongly impact the environment,as well as transportation,aviation and other fields that are closely related to people's livelihoods;thus,they represent important ecological issues of soci...Low-visibility phenomena strongly impact the environment,as well as transportation,aviation and other fields that are closely related to people's livelihoods;thus,they represent important ecological issues of social concern.Based on observation data concerning low-visibility phenomena derived from 105 national meteorological stations in Xinjiang,China over the past 20 years,we systematically analyzed the differences between manual and instrument observations for six types of low-visibility phenomena,with a focus on exploring their spatiotemporal distribution characteristics using instrument data.The results revealed that low-visibility phenomena were dominated by fog-and haze-related events(mist,fog,and haze)in northern Xinjiang and dust-related events(dust storms,blowing sand,and floating dust)in southern Xinjiang,with transitional characteristics observed in eastern Xinjiang.Compared with manual observations,the instrument measurements significantly improved the fine-scale low-visibility phenomenon identification process.On the basis of the instrument observation data,spatial-dimension analysis results indicated that low-visibility phenomena in Xinjiang were significantly influenced by terrain factors.Constrained by the Tianshan Mountains,haze-like phenomena formed a core agglomeration area in northern Xinjiang,whereas dust-and sand-related phenomena radiated outward,with the Taklimakan Desert at the center.Moreover,the gripping effect of the terrain promoted dust transmission along low-altitude channels.Temporally,fog-and haze-related phenomena occurred mainly during autumn and winter,and the proportion of these events decreased from 76.7%to 55.1%.The fog-and haze-related phenomena demonstrated a U-shaped rebound trend,while the proportion of mist phenomena decreased by 34.2%.Dust storms occurred during spring,accounting for 23.3%to 44.9%of all storms.Instrument measurement technology has the advantages of high spatial and temporal resolutions and multiparameter coordination but provides a limited dust-haze mixed-pollution identification capacity.This study provides crucial reference data for enhancing the understanding of low-visibility events in Xinjiang and the potential responses while improving the accuracy of pollution source tracking and meteorological process diagnosis tasks.展开更多
AdshtT Marine stratocumulus clouds profoundly affect Earth's energy budget by reflecting solar radiation over extensive oceanic areas.Yet,after using a large-eddy simulation(LES)and a Lagrangian microphysics schem...AdshtT Marine stratocumulus clouds profoundly affect Earth's energy budget by reflecting solar radiation over extensive oceanic areas.Yet,after using a large-eddy simulation(LES)and a Lagrangian microphysics scheme(Super-Droplet Method,SDM)for entrainment-mixing studies,uncertainty remains in the grid resolution and super-droplet number concentration(SDNC)required for accurate homogeneity capture.This study analyzes the homogeneous mixing degree(HMD)and the Damkohler number(Da)in stratocumulus using an LES with SDM,from microphysical and dynamical perspectives,respectively.Results show that HMD and Da both display a top-to-base gradient,with more intense inhomogeneity near the cloud top and relatively homogeneous conditions toward the base,although the upper region is more complex.Even at a fine horizontal resolution of 12.5 m and vertical resolution of 2.5 m,HMD remains sensitive and does not converge,whereas Da converges at coarser grid spacings(up to horizontal and vertical spacings of 25 m and 10 m,respectively)in the mid-cloud region.Similarly,HMD requires an SDNC well above 128 per cell for near-complete convergence,while Da converges once SDNC exceeds about 16 per cell.This difference arises because HMD depends on microphysical details,thereby demanding a high SDNC to capture local droplet inhomogeneities,whereas Da reflects turbulence-evaporation timescales that converge more readily once extreme droplet gradients are resolved.We further find that HMD and Da exhibit a significant negative correlation,with stronger anti-correlations emerging under finer spatial resolutions,reinforcing their complementary roles in diagnosing mixing regimes.Overall,these findings provide guidelines for selecting numerical configurations in entrainment-mixing simulations,ensuring that both turbulence-driven and microphysical processes are adequately resolved,.展开更多
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42275056).
文摘As a prominent mode of variability in the tropical stratosphere on the interannual timescale,the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation(QBO)can significantly influence global atmospheric circulation and weather patterns.This study explores the dynamic processes of QBO disruptions using the integrated climate model of the China Meteorological Administration(CMA)by nudging the tropical zonal winds toward observations.A comparative analysis with ERA5 reanalysis data shows that the nudged runs accurately replicate the general characteristics of the QBO,including the alternating QBO wind regimes and QBO disruption events.The evolution of the QBO winds is diagnosed using empirical orthogonal function and root-mean-square difference analyses,and the rarity of the disruption events is confirmed in the CMA model.Different aspects of the QBO disruptions and the relevant dynamics are present in the model.Firstly,the momentum budget analysis highlights the crucial roles of extratropical Rossby waves and non-orographic gravity waves in the transition from westerly to easterly winds during a disruption.Secondly,Kelvin waves and non-orographic gravity waves explain much of the transition from easterly to westerly winds near 40 hPa.Thirdly,the positive tendency from enhanced vertical advection further accelerates westerly momentum development via secondary meridional circulation.These findings underscore the importance of nudging techniques in understanding QBO dynamics,which provides valuable insights for future climate model improvements toward better forecasting QBO-related climate variability.Notably,due to model limitations,no QBO disruptions were simulated in the free-run experiments.
基金supported by the Key Projects of the National Key R&D Program (Grant No. 2018YFC1506300)the Key Program for International S&T Cooperation Projects of China (Grant No. 2017YFE0107700)。
文摘This paper describes the access to, and the content, characteristics, and potential applications of the tropical cyclone(TC) database that is maintained and actively developed by the China Meteorological Administration, with the aim of facilitating its use in scientific research and operational services. This database records data relating to all TCs that have passed through the western North Pacific(WNP) and South China Sea(SCS) since 1949. TC data collection has expanded over recent decades via continuous TC monitoring using remote sensing and specialized field detection techniques,allowing collation of a multi-source TC database for the WNP and SCS that covers a long period, with wide coverage and many observational elements. This database now comprises a wide variety of information related to TCs, such as historical or real-time locations(i.e., best track and landfall), intensity, dynamic and thermal structures, wind strengths, precipitation amounts, and frequency. This database will support ongoing research into the processes and patterns associated with TC climatic activity and TC forecasting.
基金This work was jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41975137,42175012,and 41475097)the National Key Research and Development Program(Grant No.2018YFF0300103).
文摘Since the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics was the first Winter Olympics in history held in continental winter monsoon climate conditions across complex terrain areas,there is a deficiency of relevant research,operational techniques,and experience.This made providing meteorological services for this event particularly challenging.The China Meteorological Administration(CMA)Earth System Modeling and Prediction Centre,achieved breakthroughs in research on short-and medium-term deterministic and ensemble numerical predictions.Several key technologies crucial for precise winter weather services during the Winter Olympics were developed.A comprehensive framework,known as the Operational System for High-Precision Weather Forecasting for the Winter Olympics,was established.Some of these advancements represent the highest level of capabilities currently available in China.The meteorological service provided to the Beijing 2022 Games also exceeded previous Winter Olympic Games in both variety and quality.This included achievements such as the“100-meter level,minute level”downscaled spatiotemporal resolution and forecasts spanning 1 to 15 days.Around 30 new technologies and over 60 kinds of products that align with the requirements of the Winter Olympics Organizing Committee were developed,and many of these techniques have since been integrated into the CMA’s operational national forecasting systems.These accomplishments were facilitated by a dedicated weather forecasting and research initiative,in conjunction with the preexisting real-time operational forecasting systems of the CMA.This program represents one of the five subprograms of the WMO’s high-impact weather forecasting demonstration project(SMART2022),and continues to play an important role in their Regional Association(RA)II Research Development Project(Hangzhou RDP).Therefore,the research accomplishments and meteorological service experiences from this program will be carried forward into forthcoming highimpact weather forecasting activities.This article provides an overview and assessment of this program and the operational national forecasting systems.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(U22422203,42030610,41975138,41975046,42075086,42275008)the High-level Science and Technology Journals Projects of Guangdong Province(214040990009)+1 种基金National Key Research and Development Program of China under Grant(2017YFC1501701,2017YFC1501703)Science and Technology Foundation of CAMS(2020KJ021)。
文摘Aiming at the needs of mechanism analysis of rainstorms and development of numerical prediction models in south China, the Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology of China Meteorological Administration and the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences jointly set up the Longmen Cloud Physics Field Experiment Base,China Meteorological Administration. This paper introduces the instruments and field experiments of this base, provides an overview of the recent advances in retrieval algorithms of microphysical parameters, improved understanding of microphysical characteristics, as well as the formation mechanisms and numerical prediction of heavy rainfalls in south China based on the field experiments dataset.
文摘This paper investigates the homogeneity of United States aircraft reconnaissance data and the impact of these data on the homogeneity of the tropical cyclone(TC)best track data for the seasons 1949-1987 generated by the China Meteorological Administration(CMA).The evaluation of the reconnaissance data shows that the minimum central sea level pressure(MCP)data are relatively homogeneous,whereas the maximum sustained wind(MSW)data show both overestimations and spurious abrupt changes.Statistical comparisons suggest that both the reconnaissance MCP and MSW were well incorporated into the CMA TC best track dataset.Although no spurious abrupt changes were evident in the reconnaissance-related best track MCP data,two spurious changepoints were identified in the remainder of the best-track MCP data.Furthermore,the influence of the reconnaissance MSWs seems to extend to the best track MSWs unrelated to reconnaissance,which might reflect the optimistic confidence in making higher estimates due to the overestimated extreme wind“observations”.In addition,the overestimation of either the reconnaissance MSWs or the best track MSWs was greater during the early decades compared to later decades,which reflects the important influence of reconnaissance data on the CMA TC best track dataset.The wind-pressure relationship(WPR)used in the CMA TC best track dataset is also evaluated and is found to overestimate the MSW,which may lead to inhomogeneity within the dataset between the aircraft reconnaissance era and the satellite era.
文摘The“Outline for High-Quality Development of Meteorology(2022-2035)”was published by the State Council of the People’s Republic of China in April 2022(1).This publication highlights the essential role of meteorological disaster warnings,particularly cold spell warnings,in preventing and mitigating disasters.The outline also sets forth stricter expectations for enhancing the overall capacity of society in terms of meteorological disaster preparedness and response.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2023YFC3006505)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China(Grant No.B240203007)the National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention(Grant No.524015222)。
文摘Understanding the evolution and lag effects of droughts is critical to effective drought warning and water resources management.However,due to limited hydrological data,few studies have examined hydrological droughts and their lag time from meteorological droughts at a daily scale.In this study,precipitation data were collected to calculate the standardized precipitation index(SPI),and runoff data simulated by the variable infiltration capacity(VIC)model were utilized to compute the standardized runoff index(SRI).The three-threshold run theory was used to identify drought characteristics in China.These drought characteristics were utilized to investigate spatiotemporal variations,seasonal trends,and temporal changes in areas affected by meteorological and hydrological droughts.Additionally,the interconnections and lag effects between meteorological and hydrological droughts were explored.The results indicated that(1)drought occurred during approximately 28%of the past 34 years in China;(2)drought conditions tended to worsen in autumn and weaken in winter;(3)drought-affected areas shifted from northwest to northeast and finally to southern China;and(4)the correlation between meteorological and hydrological droughts was lower in the northwest and higher in the southeast,with all correlation coefficients exceeding 0.7.The lag times between meteorological and hydrological droughts were longest(5 d)in the Yangtze River,Yellow River,and Hai River basins,and shortest(0 d)in the Tarim River Basin.This study provides a scientific basis for effective early warning of droughts.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under grant No.U2542205.
文摘With the intensification of global climate change,flood disasters have become increasingly frequent,and satellite remote sensing has become a core technical means for flood monitoring.The Fengyun meteorological satellites,independently developed by China,hold irreplaceable application value in the timely and efficient monitoring of flood disasters.As a systematic review,this study aims to address the lack of systematic regarding the evolutionary trajectory and application status of Fengyun satellites in flood monitoring.By integrating relevant domestic and international research,it systematically reviws the FengYun-1 to FengYun-4 satellite series in flood monitoring and their application practices on a global scale,and clarifies the complete evolutionary of water body identification technologies—from the early visual interpretation method and the threshold method that dominated in the 1980s–1990s,to the machine learning method emerged in the 1990s,and further to the mixed-pixel decomposition technology pursuing sub-pixel-level accuracy.This study identifies the applicable scenarios and limitations of various water body identification technologies,analyzes the key issues in current applications,summarizes the core advantages of Fengyun meteorological satellites and technical bottlenecks that need to be overcome,and provides an outlook on future development directions in flood monitoring.Finally,it offers systematic theoretical references and practical guidance for the technological upgrading and operational application of flood monitoring based on China’s independent satellite remote sensing.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2024YFC3013003)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 42475002)+2 种基金the Innovation Group Project of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) (Grant Nos. SML2024SP035, SML2024SP012, and 311024001)the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation (Grant Nos. 2025A1515011974, 2024A1515510005 and 2020B0301030004)the Key Innovation Team of China Meteorological Administration (Grant No. CMA2023ZD08)
文摘Cold pools(CPs)significantly influence coastal heavy rainfall,but detailed observations of them are limited due to the lack of vertical measurement instruments.This study statistically characterizes CPs in the coastal monsoon region of South China using unique data from the 356-m-high Shenzhen Meteorological Tower.CP occurrence correlates with convective activities influenced by the summer monsoon in the seasonal variations and land–sea breeze activities in the diurnal cycle.The CPs predominantly dry the atmosphere,highlighting the dominant role of dry entrainment through convective downdrafts in their formation,with a minor role of hydrometeor evaporation.The average CP depth is estimated at 668.0 m,deeper than tropical CPs but shallower than midlatitude counterparts.The CP properties exhibit diurnal variability,largely influenced by mesoscale convective system(MCS)activities.MCS-induced CPs are deeper and more intense than those from individual convective cells,while linear-MCS-produced CPs are the most intense.These observations from the coastal monsoon region contribute to a comprehensive global understanding of CP characteristics,complementing existing studies from midlatitude and tropical regions.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42375192).
文摘The calculation of viewing and solar geometry angles is a critical first step in retrieving atmospheric and surface variables from geostationary satellite observations.Whereas the viewing angles for geostationary satellites are not timevarying,a primary source of inaccuracy in solar positioning is the use of a single timestamp.Since pixel scanning times can differ significantly across the field-of-view disk(e.g.,by approximately 13 min for Fengyun-4B),this practice leads to errors of up to±2°in solar zenith angle,which translates to±50 W m^(−2) in extraterrestrial irradiance;the errors in solar azimuth angle can exceed±100°.Beyond scanning time,this work also quantifies the impact of other inputs—including altitude,surface pressure,air temperature,difference between Terrestrial Time and Universal Time,and atmospheric refraction—on the resulting angles.A comparison of our precise calculations with the official National Satellite Meteorological Center L1_GEO product shows an accuracy within 0.1°,confirming its utility for most retrieval tasks.To facilitate higher precision when required,this work releases the corresponding satellite and solar positioning codes in both R and Python.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42305013)Joint Research Project for Meteorological Capacity Improvement(Grant Nos.23NLTSQ002 and 24NLTSQ001)+2 种基金China Meteorological Administration Tornado Key Laboratory(Grant No.TKL202307)the China Meteorological Administration Youth Innovation Team Fund(Grant No.CMA2024QN05)a research project of the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Science(Grant No.2023Z019)。
文摘This study presents a comprehensive analysis of 132 tornadic events in northeastern China from 2004 to 2023,utilizing radar and ERA5 reanalysis data to investigate the climatology,environmental drivers,and synoptic linkages with Northeast China cold vortices(NCCVs)of tornadic storms under different convective modes.Results reveal that discrete storms account for 70%of events,with clustered cells(CC)being the most frequent mode,while significant tornadoes(EF2+)are primarily associated with isolated cells(IC)and broken lines(BL).The storm mode distribution in northeastern China resembles that of the central United States but with a higher proportion of CC and lower IC.In contrast,southern China exhibits a higher frequency of quasi-linear(QL)modes(>50%),similar to European patterns.Although no single parameter clearly differentiates between all tornado modes,distinct morphological characteristics emerge through specific parameter combinations:NL modes are characterized by high 0-1 km storm-relative helicity(SRH1)and humidity but low 0-6 km shear(SR6),whereas IC modes display contrasting features with low SRH1 and high CAPE.Notably,83%of tornadoes are associated with NCCVs,preferentially forming in southeastern/southwestern quadrants.Strong tornadoes favor southeastern quadrants,while NCCV intensity correlates with tornadic distance from vortex centers.Three characteristic synoptic configurations emerge:(T1)strong deep vortices with vertically aligned cold troughs,generating southeast-dominant tornado clusters characterized by a high proportion of BL and QL modes;(T2)weaker vortices featuring sub-synoptic troughs,with southern-distributed events dominated by a predominance of the CC mode;(T3)transverse-trough systems exhibiting CAPE-SRH decoupling and reduced tornadic activity.This study enhances our understanding of tornadoes in northeastern China,informing future research on formation mechanisms,prediction methods,and disaster prevention strategies.
基金supported by the Innovation and Development Special Project of the China Meteorological Administration(Grant No.CXFZ2024J058)the Guangdong Province Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation Meteorological Joint Fund Project(Grant No.2024A1515510036)+1 种基金the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2022YFC3004101)the Technical Innovation Team Project of Guangzhou Meteorological Satellite Ground Station(Grant No.CXTD202401).
文摘FY-3G is the first polar-orbiting satellite equipped with a precipitation measurement radar(PMR)operating at Ku-andKa-band frequencies in China.In this study,we compare the reflectivity data from the FY-3G PMR Ku product and groundbasedradars(GRs)during 2024.Also,the FY-3G PMR is used as a third-party reference to evaluate the reflectivityconsistency among different GRs.The FY-3G PMR and GRs share similarities in their general distribution,characteristics,and intensity of reflectivity in strong precipitation cloud systems,though the former presents less detailed system structure.Systematic deviations between the FY-3G PMR and GRs and between GRs are comparable,albeit the reflectivity of the FY-3G PMR is generally slightly stronger than that of GRs(especially X-band GRs),with a mean bias ranging from 0.7 to 1.7dB.S-band GRs exhibit the smallest systematic deviation(STD=3.09 dB)from the FY-3G PMR,whereas the X-band GRsshow the largest(STD=3.61 dB),indirectly indicating the highest internal consistency among S-band GRs and the lowestamong X-band GRs.Besides,both S-and C-band GRs display similar deviations when paired with the FY-3G PMR as wellas when paired with their adjacent S/C-band GRs,suggesting good consistency between these two bands.In contrast,XbandGRs exhibit relatively poor consistency with S-band GRs and the FY-3G PMR,showing a deviation ranging from 3.0to 4.6 dB.
基金sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42275171)the Basic Research Operating Expenses of the Institute of Meteorological Sciences,CMA(Grant No.2023Z019)+3 种基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2022YFF0801304)the China Meteorological Administration Youth Innovation Team Fund(Grant No.CMA2024QN05)a Liaoning Provincial Meteorological Bureau Project(Grant No.D202201)Shenyang Institute of Atmospheric Environment Projects(Grant Nos.2022SYIAEJY13 and 2018SYIAEZD5).
文摘The Northeast China Cold Vortex(NCCV)is a common cut-off low-pressure system in Northeast China,frequently causing localized heavy rainfall,strong winds,and thunderstorms during the early summer.In this study,the clear-sky radiance of 48 longwave channels from the FY-4B Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder(GIIRS)is assimilated into the China Meteorological Administration mesoscale model(CMA-MESO)to evaluate its impact on NCCV development and its effects on rainfall forecasting.The results show that after assimilating the GIIRS radiance data,the warm center at 200 hPa and the cold center at 850 hPa of the NCCV are strengthened,and the dry intrusion at 850 hPa becomes more pronounced.This leads to a stronger NCCV intensity in the following 24 hours and brings the precipitation intensity and area closer to the observation,resulting in significant improvements compared to the experiments that do not assimilate GIIRS radiance data.Furthermore,it is found that the enhancement of the precipitation forecast is associated with the strengthening of cold air in the middle and lower troposphere,which intensifies the uplift of the warm,moist airflow.These results highlight the potential value of GIIRS data assimilation in enhancing early warnings and forecasts of extreme weather events influenced by the NCCV.
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China (2022YFC3004004)National Natural Science Foundation of China (42075155,12241104)National Natural Science Foundation of China Joint Fund (U2342213)。
文摘The infrared channels of the FY-4B advanced geosynchronous radiation imagers(AGRI) play a crucial role in temperature and humidity analyses for mesoscale numerical weather prediction, particularly in enhancing the initial field quality and the forecasting accuracy of the model. This study assimilated FY-4B AGRI data into the CMA-MESO model and analyzed the bias characteristics and correction methods. Analysis of the AGRI data revealed a clear diurnal variation in the bias, which was positively correlated with the solar elevation angle. However, the diurnal variation in the bias lagged behind the solar elevation angle, likely owing to temperature changes and delayed instrument responses resulting from solar radiation. To address this issue, we propose a correction method that utilizes the solar elevation angle after an optimal time shift. Using the time-shifted solar elevation angle as a predictor effectively reduces the diurnal variation in bias and significantly improves the correction effect. This approach provides theoretical support for the assimilation of FY-4B AGRI data into mesoscale numerical weather predictions, thereby enhancing the reliability of the assimilation results.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(42575091)Marine Meteorological Science and Data Center Program (2024B1212070014)。
文摘In this study, the ground potential rise(GPR) phenomenon caused by a lightning current injected into a field-shaped artificial grounding grid, as well as the potential difference between two different nodes at the edge of the grounding grid, was observed and analyzed under artificially triggered lightning conditions. Based on circuit theory and measured current data, a π-equivalent circuit was established to simulate the transient response of the grounding grid.Nineteen return strokes from three artificially triggered lightning events were analyzed. The peak currents of the 19 return strokes range from -6.7 to -25.1 kA, and the mean value was -14.3 kA. The GPR decreased rapidly and formed a subpeak after reaching the initial peak, with the mean value of the initial peak being -148.65 kV and the mean value of the subpeak being -92.87 kV. The GPR induced by the triggered lightning currents exhibited a subpeak phenomenon. Simulation results indicate that the subpeak phenomenon is related to localized corrosion of the vertical grounding electrode. The potential difference at the grounding grid edge exhibited a multi-pulse waveform with alternating polarity, dominated by positive pulses. The peak values of both the positive and negative polarity pulses gradually decreased, with the first positive pulse displaying a significantly higher intensity than that of subsequent pulses.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42030610,42275006,41805035,and 42305001)the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(Grant No.2024A1515030210)+2 种基金the Guangdong Provincial Marine Meteorology Science Data Center(Grant No.2024B1212070014)the Open Project of the Xiamen Key Laboratory of Straits Meteorology(Grant Nos.HXQX202304 and 2024KF02)the Key Innovation Team of the China Meteorological Administration(Grant No.CMA2023ZD08)。
文摘The coastal regions of southern China experience the country's most frequent convective weather.Accurately representing the low-level upstream atmospheric state over the data-sparse South China Sea(SCS)is crucial for reliable convection predictions in numerical models.Utilizing 10 years of radiosonde observations launched over the SCS,this study presents the upstream offshore convective environments and evaluates the global model data performance including NCEP FNL,ERA5,CRA-40,JRA-3Q,and MERRA-2.Results show that thermodynamic state variables such as temperature and humidity exhibit greater biases than kinetic variables,particularly at low levels.Deeper-layer parameters exhibit smaller uncertainties,especially wind-related variables,while moisture-related parameters have the largest uncertainties,compared to shallower-layer parameters.All model data tend to underestimate the conditional instability and equilibrium level,while overestimating the condensation level,storm relative helicity(SRH),with minimal bias in lapse rate,convective inhibition,vertical wind shear(VWS),and mean winds.These biases primarily arise from the model data's underestimation of temperature and moisture below 700 hPa and lower wind speeds below 950 hPa.Among the global models,CRA-40 performs best in dynamic parameters,with highest correlation and lowest mean absolute error in low-level winds,SRH,VWS,and mean winds.ERA5 excels in thermodynamic parameters.Additional convective-permitting numerical experiments indicate that minor initial condition errors over the upstream ocean significantly affect coastal rainfall production.The rainfall production on windward coasts is most sensitive to the low-level air temperature errors during nocturnal hours,while the rainfall over the PRD is most sensitive to the low-level wind errors.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant U2442219Fengyun Satellite Application Pioneer Program(2023)Special Initiative on Numerical Weather Prediction(NWP)Applications,the Civil Aerospace Technology Pre-Research Project(D040405)the Joint Funds of the Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.LZJMZ23D050003。
文摘Accurate retrieval of atmospheric vertical profiles is critical for improving weather prediction and climate monitoring.However,the complexity of atmospheric processes in cloudy regions poses challenges compared to those of clear sky scenarios.This study presents a novel framework that integrates Bayesian optimization and machine learning approaches to retrieve atmospheric vertical profiles—including temperature,humidity,ozone concentration,cloud fraction,ice water content(IWC),and liquid water content(LWC)—from hyperspectral infrared observations.Specifically,a Bayesian method was used to refine ERA5 reanalysis data by minimizing brightness temperature(BT)discrepancies against FY-4B Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder(GIIRS)observations,generating a high-quality profile database(~2.8 million profiles)across diverse weather systems.The optimized profiles improve radiative consistency,reducing BT biases from>40 K to<10 K in cloudy regions.To further overcome the limitations of the Bayesian method,we developed a Transformer-Resnet hybrid model(TERNet),which achieved superior performance with RMSE values of 1.61 K(temperature),5.77%(humidity),and 2.25×10^(–6)/6.09×10^(–6)kg kg^(–1)(IWC/LWC)across the entire vertical levels in all-sky conditions.The TERNet outperforms both ERA5 in cloud parameter retrieval and the GIIRS L2 product in thermodynamic profiling.Independent verification with radiosonde and Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations(CALIPSO)datasets confirms the framework's reliability across various meteorological regimes.This work demonstrates the capability of combining physics-informed Bayesian methods with data-driven machine learning to fully exploit hyperspectral IR data.
基金supported by the Chinese National Natural Science Foundation under Grant Nos.(41975181,42325503,42375197,42575207,42205090)Y.LIU is supported by the U.S.Department of Energy’s Atmospheric System Research(ASR)program.
文摘The relative dispersion of cloud and fog droplets has significant impacts on aerosol indirect effects,radiative transfer,and microphysical processes.However,previous studies have been mostly concerned with clouds,with limited studies on fog,particularly those that examine the combined influences of all key physical processes and their roles during fog evolution.As such,this study aims to conduct a comprehensive investigation by examining the relationships between relative dispersion and other microphysical variables,as well as the underlying microphysical and dynamic processes,based on field fog campaigns in polluted and clean conditions.In polluted fog,droplet concentrations are higher,leading to smaller droplets and increased dispersion.The correlation between dispersion and droplet volume-mean radius is positive in the polluted fog,but shifts to negative in clean fog.We attribute the difference to various microphysical processes like aerosol activation,condensation,collision-coalescence,and entrainment-mixing.In polluted fog,high aerosol concentrations,low supersaturations,and strong turbulence(entrainment-mixing)provide suitable conditions for the simultaneous occurrence of droplet condensation and aerosol activation,resulting in a positive correlation between dispersion and volume-mean radius,especially during the fog formation stage.In contrast,during the mature stage in clean fog,condensation is dominant with weak aerosol activation leading to a negative correlation between relative dispersion and volume-mean radius.The collision-coalescence process is more active in the mature stage,increasing radii and leading to the negative correlation between dispersion and volume-mean radius.This result sheds new light on understanding the relative dispersion and mechanisms in fog under different aerosol backgrounds.
基金supported by the Central Government Guidance Funds for Local Science and Technology Development Program(grant no.ZYYD2025ZY21)the Science and Technology Plan Project of the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps(2023AB036)+1 种基金the Xinjiang Meteorological Bureau High-Level Key Talent Programthe Natural Science Foundation of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region(2023D01A17 and 2025D01A109).
文摘Low-visibility phenomena strongly impact the environment,as well as transportation,aviation and other fields that are closely related to people's livelihoods;thus,they represent important ecological issues of social concern.Based on observation data concerning low-visibility phenomena derived from 105 national meteorological stations in Xinjiang,China over the past 20 years,we systematically analyzed the differences between manual and instrument observations for six types of low-visibility phenomena,with a focus on exploring their spatiotemporal distribution characteristics using instrument data.The results revealed that low-visibility phenomena were dominated by fog-and haze-related events(mist,fog,and haze)in northern Xinjiang and dust-related events(dust storms,blowing sand,and floating dust)in southern Xinjiang,with transitional characteristics observed in eastern Xinjiang.Compared with manual observations,the instrument measurements significantly improved the fine-scale low-visibility phenomenon identification process.On the basis of the instrument observation data,spatial-dimension analysis results indicated that low-visibility phenomena in Xinjiang were significantly influenced by terrain factors.Constrained by the Tianshan Mountains,haze-like phenomena formed a core agglomeration area in northern Xinjiang,whereas dust-and sand-related phenomena radiated outward,with the Taklimakan Desert at the center.Moreover,the gripping effect of the terrain promoted dust transmission along low-altitude channels.Temporally,fog-and haze-related phenomena occurred mainly during autumn and winter,and the proportion of these events decreased from 76.7%to 55.1%.The fog-and haze-related phenomena demonstrated a U-shaped rebound trend,while the proportion of mist phenomena decreased by 34.2%.Dust storms occurred during spring,accounting for 23.3%to 44.9%of all storms.Instrument measurement technology has the advantages of high spatial and temporal resolutions and multiparameter coordination but provides a limited dust-haze mixed-pollution identification capacity.This study provides crucial reference data for enhancing the understanding of low-visibility events in Xinjiang and the potential responses while improving the accuracy of pollution source tracking and meteorological process diagnosis tasks.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42325503 and 42230604)The appointment of Chunsong Lu at Nanjing University of Information Science&Technology is partially supported by the Jiangsu Specially-Appointed Professor(Grant No.R2024T01).This research partly used the computational resources of Hokkaido University through the HPCI System Research Project(project IDs:hp200078,hp210059,hp220062,hp230166,and hp240151)and the computer facilities of the Center for Cooperative Work on Data Science and Computational Science,University of Hyogo.Shin-ichiro SHIMA was supported by JSPS KAKENHI,Grant 20H00225 and 23H00149and JST(Moonshot R and D)(Grant JPMJMS2286).We acknowledge the High-Performance Computing Center of the Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology for their support of this work.This study was also supported by the National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project“Earth System Science Numerical Simulator Facility”(EarthLab,2024-EL-PT-000615).Chongzhi YIN would like to thank Lei Zhu for his generous support and informative discussions.
文摘AdshtT Marine stratocumulus clouds profoundly affect Earth's energy budget by reflecting solar radiation over extensive oceanic areas.Yet,after using a large-eddy simulation(LES)and a Lagrangian microphysics scheme(Super-Droplet Method,SDM)for entrainment-mixing studies,uncertainty remains in the grid resolution and super-droplet number concentration(SDNC)required for accurate homogeneity capture.This study analyzes the homogeneous mixing degree(HMD)and the Damkohler number(Da)in stratocumulus using an LES with SDM,from microphysical and dynamical perspectives,respectively.Results show that HMD and Da both display a top-to-base gradient,with more intense inhomogeneity near the cloud top and relatively homogeneous conditions toward the base,although the upper region is more complex.Even at a fine horizontal resolution of 12.5 m and vertical resolution of 2.5 m,HMD remains sensitive and does not converge,whereas Da converges at coarser grid spacings(up to horizontal and vertical spacings of 25 m and 10 m,respectively)in the mid-cloud region.Similarly,HMD requires an SDNC well above 128 per cell for near-complete convergence,while Da converges once SDNC exceeds about 16 per cell.This difference arises because HMD depends on microphysical details,thereby demanding a high SDNC to capture local droplet inhomogeneities,whereas Da reflects turbulence-evaporation timescales that converge more readily once extreme droplet gradients are resolved.We further find that HMD and Da exhibit a significant negative correlation,with stronger anti-correlations emerging under finer spatial resolutions,reinforcing their complementary roles in diagnosing mixing regimes.Overall,these findings provide guidelines for selecting numerical configurations in entrainment-mixing simulations,ensuring that both turbulence-driven and microphysical processes are adequately resolved,.
