Systematically analyzing the impact mechanisms of policy on Land Use Conflict(LUC)is crucial for constructing effective conflict mitigation strategies.However,previous research on how policy influences LUC remains rel...Systematically analyzing the impact mechanisms of policy on Land Use Conflict(LUC)is crucial for constructing effective conflict mitigation strategies.However,previous research on how policy influences LUC remains relatively limited.Focusing on the indirect driving role of policy on LUC,this study proposed County Development Level(CDL)under Major Function Oriented Zone Planning(MFOZP)guidance as an intermediary variable,bridging the implicit influence of MFOZP and the explicit changes in LUC.Using the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(BTH)region in China as a case study,we analyzed the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of LUC and CDL for the periods 2000-2010 and 2010-2020,before and after MFOZP implementation.Panel models and Geographically Weighted Regression(GWR)were employed to explore the mechanism by which CDL influences LUC under MFOZP guidance.The results show that:1)MFOZP implementation effectively alleviates land use pressure from regional development,with LUC continuously declining at a rate of 2.41%,while CDL exhibits slight growth(3.84%),during 2010-2020.2)Under MFOZP guidance,CDL reduces pressure on Land Use Structure Conflict(LUSC)and Land Use Process Conflict(LUPC),enhances its inhibitory effect on Land Use Function Conflict(LUFC),and significantly contributes to LUC coordination,with notable spatial heterogeneity.3)The coupling relationship between CDL and LUC has improved post-implementation.Based on this,tailored LUC coordination strategies are proposed for different functional zones.This study confirms the effectiveness of MFOZP in coordinating LUC and provides a scientific reference for LUC research under policy frameworks and the governance of LUC in the BTH region.展开更多
Urban forests are essential components of green infrastructure,however,rapid urbanization-induced changes in landscape patterns may affect their ecosystem services through complex ecological processes.A total of 184 s...Urban forests are essential components of green infrastructure,however,rapid urbanization-induced changes in landscape patterns may affect their ecosystem services through complex ecological processes.A total of 184 sample plots in the built-up areas of Nanchang,China,were used as research sites.Urbanization intensities were categorized by the rate of impervious surface area,and forest types were classified into landscape and relaxation forest,attached forest(AF),road forest(RF),and ecological public welfare forest.This study aimed to explore the spatial variations in vegetation characteristics and landscape pattern indices of different forest types under rapid urbanization.The results indicated that the largest patch index(LPI),aggregation index(AI),and percentage of landscape(PLAND)in RF and AF were lower than those in the other forest types(p<0.05).With increasing urbanization intensity,the mean perimeter-area ratio increased by 130.84%,whereas the PLAND,LPI,and AI decreased by 22−86%(p<0.05).Redundancy analysis and variation partitioning suggested that the interpretation rate of landscape pattern indices for variations in vegetation characteristics increased from low to heavy urbanization areas.Especially,the landscape shape index,patch connection index,PLAND,and mean patch size were significantly correlated with vegetation characteristics(e.g.,tree richness,herb coverage,and tree height).In the future,appropriate landscape layout superiority cases should be considered in different urbanization areas and forest types;for instance,increasing the patch connection index will beneficially improve the diversity of trees and herbs in heavy urbanization areas and the RF.This study serves as a reference for maximizing the ecosystem services of urban forests.展开更多
Rapidly improving infertile croplands and enhancing their soil organic carbon(SOC)pool necessitate substantial organic materials incorporation.Converting loose crop straw into granulated form facilitates uniform incor...Rapidly improving infertile croplands and enhancing their soil organic carbon(SOC)pool necessitate substantial organic materials incorporation.Converting loose crop straw into granulated form facilitates uniform incorporation within the plough soil layer.As an innovative soil amelioration approach,the efficiency and patterns of SOC accumulation remain unclear.Two field experiments were conducted in infertile subtropical upland and paddy soils with 0,30,60,and 90 Mg ha^(-1)granulated straw incorporation.After one year,SOC accumulation efficiency from straw input remained stable in upland(30.8–37.5%)with increasing amounts of straw incorporation,while declined from 60.0 to 38.3%in paddy.In both croplands,the contributions of lignin phenols to SOC increased with increasing straw incorporation,while the contributions from amino sugars remained constant at higher straw input levels.Subsequently,the ratios of lignin phenols to amino sugars increased with increasing straw incorporation,indicating faster plant residue accumulation compared to microbial necromass,as the granulation approach limited microbial involvement in straw transformation.Thus,single-time incorporation of substantial granulated straw presents an effective agricultural strategy for rapid amelioration of infertile croplands.展开更多
The lateral transport of labile organic carbon represents a critical pathway for soil organic carbon(SOC) loss,reducing organic carbon sequestration and increasing the risk of waterbody pollution.Livestock manure appl...The lateral transport of labile organic carbon represents a critical pathway for soil organic carbon(SOC) loss,reducing organic carbon sequestration and increasing the risk of waterbody pollution.Livestock manure application on croplands serves as a common fertilizer reduction practice to sustain crop yields,enhance SOC sequestration,and reduce water erosion.However,limited quantitative assessments have examined the effects of livestock manure substitution on labile organic carbon lateral loss and fluxes in long-term experiments.This study conducted a three-year field investigation on subtropical sloping croplands to assess the impact of livestock manure substitution on dissolved organic carbon(DOC) and particulate organic carbon(POC) loss via surface runoff,interflow and eroded sediments.There are four treatments:no fertilization(CK);chemical nitrogen fertilizer(SF),40% nitrogen substitution with pig manure(PMF),and 100% nitrogen substitution from pig manure(PM).Compared to SF treatment,long-term livestock manure substitution in PMF and PM treatments significantly(P<0.05) reduced annual cumulative surface runoff fluxes by 13.5 and 21.6%,respectively.Manure applications decreased annual sediment fluxes by 12.9 and 19.1%,respectively.Soil water stable aggregates for mean weight diameter(MWD) increased significantly by 37.7 and 73.6%.Annual cumulative POC loss flux via eroded sediment under PMF and PM treatments increased significantly(P<0.05) by 61.1 and 47.9%,respectively.The labile organic carbon loss fluxes,including DOC and POC losses,under PMF and PM treatments increased significantly(P<0.05) by 11.9 and 31.4%,respectively.These results demonstrate that while water erosion intensity decreases due to enhanced soil aggregate stability,the risk of labile organic carbon loss increases after long-term livestock manure substitution in subtropical sloping croplands.Future research should examine labile organic carbon lateral migration under various soil types and slope gradients for livestock manure application in subtropical agricultural ecosystem croplands to better understand extreme rainfall effects.展开更多
Wetlands play a number of vital roles in the ecosystem, such as serving as nutrient sinks, preventing floods, storing carbon, and filtering water. Encroachment on wetlands has led to substantial economic and environme...Wetlands play a number of vital roles in the ecosystem, such as serving as nutrient sinks, preventing floods, storing carbon, and filtering water. Encroachment on wetlands has led to substantial economic and environmental losses, including water quality degradation, loss of biodiversity and natural habitats, reduced climate mitigation as well as social and health risks. This study evaluated the effect of different land use types on nutrient stock distribution across varying soil depths in Busega wetland. The soil samples were collected in three different land uses (annually cultivated areas, perennially cultivated areas, and the undisturbed wetland area) at three different depths (0 - 10 cm, 10 - 20 cm, and 20 - 30 cm) in 2021. The soil samples were analyzed for physicochemical soil properties including soil texture and nitrogen, phosphorus, calcium, and potassium concentrations. The interaction between land use type and soil depth did not have a significant effect on nutrient distribution. However, our results showed that the main effects of land use type and soil depth influenced nutrient stock distribution across the wetland. Higher nutrient concentrations were observed under perennial cropping system than in both annual cropping system and the undisturbed wetland area. Soils under perennial cropping systems had the highest soil organic matter (1.45%), calcium (2.06 Cmol/Kg) and potassium (0.091 Cmol/Kg) levels. Higher soil organic matter (1.40%), nitrogen (0.22%), calcium (1.74 Cmol/Kg), and potassium (0.07 Cmol/Kg) were found at the mid-soil depth of 10 - 20 cm. Our results show substantial nutrient changes due to agricultural activities in the Busega wetland, suggesting further research is urgently needed to determine if these changes have adverse effects on biodiversity and water quality of the wetland and nearby water resources.展开更多
Agricultural land development is a pivotal strategy for addressing the global food security crisis.Barren grassland,especially those in mountainous regions,constitutes critical areas where cultivation can substantiall...Agricultural land development is a pivotal strategy for addressing the global food security crisis.Barren grassland,especially those in mountainous regions,constitutes critical areas where cultivation can substantially enhance land resources.This study highlights the necessity for a precise correlation between land development initiatives and constraints in order to optimize efficiency and enhance the effectiveness of such projects,with the core being the seamless integration of land development engineering and techniques to eliminate agricultural constraints.This study employs a systems engineering approach to classify improvement factors into mobile and fixed categories,elucidating the integration methods of constraint factors.Adhering to the Wooden Barrel Principle,these constraints were rigorously analyzed based on soil quality,land topography,water availability,and agricultural infrastructure.An innovative method of engineering type combination is proposed,which effectively explains the correlation between natural factors combination,project type combination,and target factors combination.It provides a convenient way for the selection of barren grassland development projects and lays a foundation for land planning,development project establishment,program selection,engineering design,and budget preparation.Taking Tang County of China as an example,it is divided into 19 factor improvement areas,a quick reference table of engineering types is established,and 14 main types of engineering combinations are obtained,which lays a foundation for the application of theoretical framework in practice.展开更多
Ecological security patterns are paramount to the advancement of an ecological civilization in China,aiming to enhance the stability and service functions of ecosystems to achieve sustainable regional development.Howe...Ecological security patterns are paramount to the advancement of an ecological civilization in China,aiming to enhance the stability and service functions of ecosystems to achieve sustainable regional development.However,current regional ecological protection efforts have not been effectively integrated into the regional development planning of ecological security pattern.This study systematically assessed the effectiveness of ecological protection projects in Yanchi County,Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,China,through the evaluation of landscape ecological quality.Based on the evaluation results of landscape ecological quality,this study used morphological pattern analysis(MSPA),minimum cumulative resistance(MCR)model,and gravity model together to construct the ecological security pattern of Yanchi County.The findings revealed that from 1990 to 2020,with the implementation of ecological protection projects started from 2000,the landscape stability of Yanchi County first decreased and then increased,and the intensity of landscape disturbance first intensified but then decreased,indicating an improvement in the landscape ecological quality and a significant enhancement of the ecological environment in Yanchi County.The ecological security pattern of Yanchi County consisted of 10 ecological sources,10 ecological source points,23 ecological corridors,and 27 ecological nodes.The ecological security pattern of Yanchi County exhibited distinct spatial variations,with stronger ecological security observed in the southern part than in northern part of the county.The ecological sources were denser in the southern part than in the northern part of the county,and accordingly,the length of ecological corridors was shorter and denser in the southern than that in the northern part of the county.Based on the spatial distribution of landscape ecological quality and the characteristics of ecological security pattern of Yanchi County in 2020,we suggested Yanchi County to build four zones to optimize the ecological security pattern construction:the Haba Lake ecological conservation zone,the urban ecological planning zone,the ecological environment restoration zone,and the ecological security improvement zone.This study can provide essential guidance for the construction of ecological security pattern in farming-pastoral areas both in China and worldwide.展开更多
Quantifying grassland changes and their drivers is essential to ensure the stability of grassland resources in China.We established a research framework with two primary objectives:to evaluate grassland degradation an...Quantifying grassland changes and their drivers is essential to ensure the stability of grassland resources in China.We established a research framework with two primary objectives:to evaluate grassland degradation and restoration over the past 30 years,and to quantify the contributions of climate change and anthropogenic activities to these changes across different grassland cover types.The results revealed that despite a net loss of 6.87×10^(4)km^(2)in China's total grassland area from 1990 to 2020,the proportion of high-coverage grassland increased by 2.45%,demonstrating an improvement in productivity per unit area.Conversion of grassland to cropland was the dominant land change type,with 80.83%occurring in the western part of the Northwest Ecological Region.Although the total degraded grassland area reached 3.33×10^(5)km^(2)during 1990-2020,this degradation was overwhelmingly dominated by the mild level(94.98%),with severe degradation accounting for only 5.02%.A comparison of the periods 2000-2010 and 1990-2000 revealed that grassland restoration became enhanced in the northeastern part of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Ecological Region but degradation intensified in the southwestern part.Moreover,mobile grazing emerged as the primary anthropogenic driver of grassland changes.These new findings provide an important scientific basis for adaptable grassland resource protection and grassland-livestock balanced management.展开更多
This paper first analyzes the fundamental characteristics and the advantages and disadvantages in the development and utilization of land resources in China s mountainous areas. It then explores the five major strateg...This paper first analyzes the fundamental characteristics and the advantages and disadvantages in the development and utilization of land resources in China s mountainous areas. It then explores the five major strategic tasks facing the sustainable development and utilization of mountainous land resources in China. From the perspective of human-land coordination and sustainable development, the paper proposes countermeasures and recommendations for the sustainable development and utilization of land resources in China s mountainous areas.展开更多
Based on the Google Earth Engine cloud computing data platform,this study employed three algorithms including Support Vector Machine,Random Forest,and Classification and Regression Tree to classify the current status ...Based on the Google Earth Engine cloud computing data platform,this study employed three algorithms including Support Vector Machine,Random Forest,and Classification and Regression Tree to classify the current status of land covers in Hung Yen province of Vietnam using Landsat 8 OLI satellite images,a free data source with reasonable spatial and temporal resolution.The results of the study show that all three algorithms presented good classification for five basic types of land cover including Rice land,Water bodies,Perennial vegetation,Annual vegetation,Built-up areas as their overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient were greater than 80%and 0.8,respectively.Among the three algorithms,SVM achieved the highest accuracy as its overall accuracy was 86%and the Kappa coefficient was 0.88.Land cover classification based on the SVM algorithm shows that Built-up areas cover the largest area with nearly 31,495 ha,accounting for more than 33.8%of the total natural area,followed by Rice land and Perennial vegetation which cover an area of over 30,767 ha(33%)and 15,637 ha(16.8%),respectively.Water bodies and Annual vegetation cover the smallest areas with 8,820(9.5%)ha and 6,302 ha(6.8%),respectively.The results of this study can be used for land use management and planning as well as other natural resource and environmental management purposes in the province.展开更多
Land-sea coordination is a crucial strategy for ensuring the sustainable and rapid development of coastal cities.Assessing the level of land-sea coordination is vital for understanding the degree of coordination and i...Land-sea coordination is a crucial strategy for ensuring the sustainable and rapid development of coastal cities.Assessing the level of land-sea coordination is vital for understanding the degree of coordination and identifying imbalances within land-sea systems.However,empirical research in this area remains scarce,necessitating further investigation.Using coastline,land use,and socio-economic data for the Taizhou coastal zone of China across seven time periods from 1990 to 2021,this study analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of coastal zone development intensity,developed a comprehensive evaluation model for land-sea coordination,and examined its evolutionary dynamics.The results indicated a substantial rise in development intensity within the Taizhou coastal zone,accompanied by significant alterations in coastline morphology and structure.These changes included a marked reduction in the extent of natural coastline and a corresponding expansion of artificial coastline.The intensity of coastal land use also increased,primarily driven by the expansion of built-up areas and aquaculture ponds.The development level of land-sea systems,as well as the overall coordination of the Taizhou land-sea system,demonstrated a consistent upward trend,advancing from basic to intermediate coordination.These findings provide actionable insights for enhancing land-sea coordination strategies to support the sustainable development of coastal cities.展开更多
The application of ecosystem services(ES)theories in land consolidation is a confusing issue that has long plagued scholars and government officials.As the upgraded version of traditional land consolidation,comprehens...The application of ecosystem services(ES)theories in land consolidation is a confusing issue that has long plagued scholars and government officials.As the upgraded version of traditional land consolidation,comprehensive land consolidation(CLC)emphasizes ecological benefits,but it does not achieve the expected effect during the pilot phase.This study first proposed a theoretical analysis framework based on ES knowledge to answer the three key questions of why,where,and how to implement CLC better.Taking mountainous counties as the study area,we found that ES trade-offs/synergies,bundles,and drivers were significantly affected by scale effects.ES knowledge can play a crucial role in designing multi-scale CLC strategies regarding the objective,zoning,intensity,and mode.Specifically,mitigating the significant trade-offs between recreational opportunities,food production,and other ES is the top priority of CLC.Land consolidation zoning based on the ES bundles analysis is more rational and can provide the scientific premise for designing locally adapted CLC measures.Land consolidation can be classified into high-intensity direct intervention and low-intensity indirect intervention modes,based on the major drivers of ES.These findings help narrow the gap between ES and CLC practices.展开更多
The results of mass appraisal in many countries are used as a basis for calculating the amount of real estate tax,therefore,regardless of the methods used to calculate it,the resulting value should be as close as poss...The results of mass appraisal in many countries are used as a basis for calculating the amount of real estate tax,therefore,regardless of the methods used to calculate it,the resulting value should be as close as possible to the market value of the real estate to maintain a balance of interests between the state and the rights holders.In practice,this condition is not always met,since,firstly,the quality of market data is often very low,and secondly,some markets are characterized by low activity,which is expressed in a deficit of information on asking prices.The aim of the work is ecological valuation of land use:how regression-based mass appraisal can inform ecological conservation,land degradation,and sustainable land management.Four multiple regression models were constructed for AI generated map of land plots for recreational use in St.Petersburg(Russia)with different volumes of market information(32,30,20 and 15 units of market information with four price-forming factors).During the analysis of the quality of the models,it was revealed that the best result is shown by the model built on the maximum sample size,then the model based on 15 analogs,which proves that a larger number of analog objects does not always allow us to achieve better results,since the more analog objects there are.展开更多
The well-facilitated farmland projects(WFFPs)involve the typical sustainable intensification of farmland use and play a key role in raising food production in China.However,whether such WFFPs can enhance the nitrogen(...The well-facilitated farmland projects(WFFPs)involve the typical sustainable intensification of farmland use and play a key role in raising food production in China.However,whether such WFFPs can enhance the nitrogen(N)use efficiency and reduce environmental impacts is still unclear.Here,we examined the data from 502 valid questionnaires collected from WFFPs in the major grain-producing area,the Huang-Huai-Hai Region(HHHR)in China,with 429 samples for wheat,328 for maize,and 122 for rice.We identified gaps in N use efficiency(NUE)and N losses from the production of the three crops between the sampled WFFPs and counties based on the statistical data.The results showed that compared to the county-level(wheat,39.1%;maize,33.8%;rice,35.1%),the NUEs for wheat(55.2%),maize(52.1%),and rice(50.2%)in the WFFPs were significantly improved(P<0.05).In addition,the intensities of ammonia(NH3)volatilization(9.9-12.2 kg N ha–1),N leaching(6.5-16.9 kg N ha–1),and nitrous oxide(N2O)emissions(1.2-1.6 kg N ha–1)from crop production in the sampled WFFPs were significantly lower than the county averages(P<0.05).Simulations showed that if the N rates are reduced by 10.0,15.0,and 20.0%for the counties,the NUEs of wheat,maize,and rice in the HHHR will increase by 2.9-6.3,2.4-5.2,and 2.6-5.7%,respectively.If the N rate is reduced to the WFFP level in each county,the NUEs of the three crops will increase by 12.9-19.5%,and the N leaching,NH3,and N2O emissions will be reduced by 48.9-56.2,37.4-42.9,and 46.0-66.5%,respectively.Our findings highlight that efficient N management practices in sustainable intensive farmland have considerable potential for reducing environmental impacts.展开更多
Land change science has become an interdisciplinary research direction for understanding human-natural coupling systems.As a process-oriented modelling approach,agent based model(ABM)plays an important role in reveali...Land change science has become an interdisciplinary research direction for understanding human-natural coupling systems.As a process-oriented modelling approach,agent based model(ABM)plays an important role in revealing the driving forces of land change and understanding the process of land change.This paper starts from three aspects:The theory,application and modeling framework of ABM.First,we summarize the theoretical basis of ABM and introduce some related concepts.Then we expound the application and development of ABM in both urban land systems and agricultural land systems,and further introduce the case study of a model on Grain for Green Program in Hengduan Mountainous region,China.On the basis of combing the ABM modeling protocol,we propose the land system ABM modeling framework and process from the perspective of agents.In terms of urban land use,ABM research initially focused on the study of urban expansion based on landscape,then expanded to issues like urban residential separation,planning and zoning,ecological functions,etc.In terms of agricultural land use,ABM application presents more diverse and individualized features.Research topics include farmers’behavior,farmers’decision-making,planting systems,agricultural policy,etc.Compared to traditional models,ABM is more complex and difficult to generalize beyond specific context since it relies on local knowledge and data.However,due to its unique bottom-up model structure,ABM has an indispensable role in exploring the driving forces of land change and also the impact of human behavior on the environment.展开更多
Zoning system is the basic mode of establishment of overall land use planning. In this study,the zoning mode and practice in the three rounds of overall land use planning that have been carried out in China were analy...Zoning system is the basic mode of establishment of overall land use planning. In this study,the zoning mode and practice in the three rounds of overall land use planning that have been carried out in China were analyzed and summarized firstly,and then some obvious problems existing in the implementation of the zoning mode were analyzed. Finally,countermeasures and suggestions were put forward to provide necessary reference for further development and improvement of the zoning mode and the development of overall land use planning at all levels in China.展开更多
In the new phase of sustainable development,agriculture is seeking sustainable management of the water-land-energy-economy-environment-food nexus.At present,there are few studies on optimizing crop planting structure ...In the new phase of sustainable development,agriculture is seeking sustainable management of the water-land-energy-economy-environment-food nexus.At present,there are few studies on optimizing crop planting structure and analyzing its spatial layout with consideration of natural and socio-economic factors.Herein,we proposed a framework for addressing this issue.In this framework,the NSGA-II algorithm was used to construct the multi-objective optimization model of crop planting structures with consideration of water and energy consumption,greenhouse gas(GHG)emissions,economic benefits,as well as food,land,and water security constraints,while the model for planting spatial layout optimization was established with consideration of crop suitability using the MaxEnt model and the improved Hungarian algorithm.This framework was further applied in the Black Soil Region of Northeast China(BSRNC)for analyzing optimized crop planting structures and spatial layouts of three main crops(rice,maize,and soybean)under various scenarios.This study showed that the sown area of rice in the BSRNC decreased by up to 40.73%and 35.30%in the environmental priority scenario and economic-environmental balance scenario,respectively,whereas that of soybean increased by up to 112.44%and 63.31%,respectively.In the economic priority scenario,the sown area of rice increased by up to 93.98%.Expanding the sown area of soybean was effective in reducing GHG emissions.On the contrary,rice production led to greater environmental costs though it provided higher economic returns.Among the three crops,maize exhibited an advantage in balancing environmental and economic benefits.Hegang-Jixi area in the northeast of the BSRNC was identified as the key area with the most intense crop planting transfer among different scenarios.Overall,this framework provides a new methodology for optimizing crop planting structures and spatial layouts with con-sideration of the nexus of various factors.Moreover,the case study demonstrates the applicability and expansion potential of the framework in the fields of sustainable agricultural development and food security assurance.展开更多
Intensive land use( ILU) policies affect the demand and supply of land. These policies promote efficient land use, and demands for land must therefore be evaluated in terms of the level of land-use intensity. If the d...Intensive land use( ILU) policies affect the demand and supply of land. These policies promote efficient land use, and demands for land must therefore be evaluated in terms of the level of land-use intensity. If the demand is considered excessive, ILU policies act like a "valve"to restrict the land supply. Drawing on data from Chengdu,China,where developable land is scarce,we construct a model using system dynamics( SD) to simulate two scenarios: ILU development and non-ILU development. The results show that when ILU leads to positive land-use efficiency,land supply will exceed demand,resulting in an appropriate level of real demand for the current population level and GDP. Thus,artificial demand( inflated by investors) is reduced. By contrast,when non-ILU leads to negative land-use efficiency,land demand will exceed supply. In this scenario,artificial demand is higher than real demand.展开更多
Conversion of dryland to paddy fields(CDPF)is an effective way to transition from rain-fed to irrigated agricul ture,helping to mitigate the effects of climate change on agriculture and increase yields to meet growing...Conversion of dryland to paddy fields(CDPF)is an effective way to transition from rain-fed to irrigated agricul ture,helping to mitigate the effects of climate change on agriculture and increase yields to meet growing food demand.However,the suitability of CDPF is spatio-temporally dynamic but has often been neglected in previous studies.To fill this knowledge gap,this research developed a novel method for quantifying the suitability of CDPF,based on the MaxEnt model for application in Northeast China.We explored the spatiotemporal characteristics of the suitability of CDPF under the baseline scenario(2010-2020),and future projections(2030-2090)coupled with climate change and socioeconomic development scenarios(SSP126,SSP245,and SSP585),and revealed the driving factors behind it.Based on this,we identified potential priority areas for future CDPF implementation.The results show that the suitability of CDPF projects implemented in the past ten years is relatively high.Com pared with the baseline scenario,the suitability of CDPF under the future scenarios will decline overall,with the lightest decrease in the RCP585 and the most severe decrease in the RCP245.The key drivers affecting the suitability of CDPF are elevation,slope,population count,total nitrogen,soil organic carbon content,and precip itation seasonality.The potential priority areas for the future CDPF range from 6,284.61 km^(2)to 37,006.02 km^(2).These findings demonstrate the challenges of CDPF in adapting to climate change and food security,and provide insights for food-producing regions around the world facing climate crises.展开更多
基金Under the auspices of the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2018YFD1100803)the Fundamental Research Fund for the Central Universities(Ph.D.Top Innovative Talents Fund of CUMTB)(No.BBJ2024029)。
文摘Systematically analyzing the impact mechanisms of policy on Land Use Conflict(LUC)is crucial for constructing effective conflict mitigation strategies.However,previous research on how policy influences LUC remains relatively limited.Focusing on the indirect driving role of policy on LUC,this study proposed County Development Level(CDL)under Major Function Oriented Zone Planning(MFOZP)guidance as an intermediary variable,bridging the implicit influence of MFOZP and the explicit changes in LUC.Using the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(BTH)region in China as a case study,we analyzed the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of LUC and CDL for the periods 2000-2010 and 2010-2020,before and after MFOZP implementation.Panel models and Geographically Weighted Regression(GWR)were employed to explore the mechanism by which CDL influences LUC under MFOZP guidance.The results show that:1)MFOZP implementation effectively alleviates land use pressure from regional development,with LUC continuously declining at a rate of 2.41%,while CDL exhibits slight growth(3.84%),during 2010-2020.2)Under MFOZP guidance,CDL reduces pressure on Land Use Structure Conflict(LUSC)and Land Use Process Conflict(LUPC),enhances its inhibitory effect on Land Use Function Conflict(LUFC),and significantly contributes to LUC coordination,with notable spatial heterogeneity.3)The coupling relationship between CDL and LUC has improved post-implementation.Based on this,tailored LUC coordination strategies are proposed for different functional zones.This study confirms the effectiveness of MFOZP in coordinating LUC and provides a scientific reference for LUC research under policy frameworks and the governance of LUC in the BTH region.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(32460380,42007042)State Key Laboratory of Subtropical Silviculture(SKLSSKF2023-06)+2 种基金Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province(20242BAB25389)National Undergraduate Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program(202410410029X)Jiangxi Province Graduate Student Innovation Special Fund Project(YC2024-S330).
文摘Urban forests are essential components of green infrastructure,however,rapid urbanization-induced changes in landscape patterns may affect their ecosystem services through complex ecological processes.A total of 184 sample plots in the built-up areas of Nanchang,China,were used as research sites.Urbanization intensities were categorized by the rate of impervious surface area,and forest types were classified into landscape and relaxation forest,attached forest(AF),road forest(RF),and ecological public welfare forest.This study aimed to explore the spatial variations in vegetation characteristics and landscape pattern indices of different forest types under rapid urbanization.The results indicated that the largest patch index(LPI),aggregation index(AI),and percentage of landscape(PLAND)in RF and AF were lower than those in the other forest types(p<0.05).With increasing urbanization intensity,the mean perimeter-area ratio increased by 130.84%,whereas the PLAND,LPI,and AI decreased by 22−86%(p<0.05).Redundancy analysis and variation partitioning suggested that the interpretation rate of landscape pattern indices for variations in vegetation characteristics increased from low to heavy urbanization areas.Especially,the landscape shape index,patch connection index,PLAND,and mean patch size were significantly correlated with vegetation characteristics(e.g.,tree richness,herb coverage,and tree height).In the future,appropriate landscape layout superiority cases should be considered in different urbanization areas and forest types;for instance,increasing the patch connection index will beneficially improve the diversity of trees and herbs in heavy urbanization areas and the RF.This study serves as a reference for maximizing the ecosystem services of urban forests.
基金financially supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(2021YFD1901203 and 2021YFD1901204)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA0440404)+2 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42377348)the Science Foundation for Distinguished Young Scholars of Hunan Province,China(2024JJ2052)the Natural Science Foundation of Guangxi,China(2025GXNSFAA069337)。
文摘Rapidly improving infertile croplands and enhancing their soil organic carbon(SOC)pool necessitate substantial organic materials incorporation.Converting loose crop straw into granulated form facilitates uniform incorporation within the plough soil layer.As an innovative soil amelioration approach,the efficiency and patterns of SOC accumulation remain unclear.Two field experiments were conducted in infertile subtropical upland and paddy soils with 0,30,60,and 90 Mg ha^(-1)granulated straw incorporation.After one year,SOC accumulation efficiency from straw input remained stable in upland(30.8–37.5%)with increasing amounts of straw incorporation,while declined from 60.0 to 38.3%in paddy.In both croplands,the contributions of lignin phenols to SOC increased with increasing straw incorporation,while the contributions from amino sugars remained constant at higher straw input levels.Subsequently,the ratios of lignin phenols to amino sugars increased with increasing straw incorporation,indicating faster plant residue accumulation compared to microbial necromass,as the granulation approach limited microbial involvement in straw transformation.Thus,single-time incorporation of substantial granulated straw presents an effective agricultural strategy for rapid amelioration of infertile croplands.
基金funded by the Joint Funds of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (U20A20107 and U22A20562)the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2023YFD1900201-3)the International Cooperation Project,Ministry of Science and Technology of China (G2023019005L)。
文摘The lateral transport of labile organic carbon represents a critical pathway for soil organic carbon(SOC) loss,reducing organic carbon sequestration and increasing the risk of waterbody pollution.Livestock manure application on croplands serves as a common fertilizer reduction practice to sustain crop yields,enhance SOC sequestration,and reduce water erosion.However,limited quantitative assessments have examined the effects of livestock manure substitution on labile organic carbon lateral loss and fluxes in long-term experiments.This study conducted a three-year field investigation on subtropical sloping croplands to assess the impact of livestock manure substitution on dissolved organic carbon(DOC) and particulate organic carbon(POC) loss via surface runoff,interflow and eroded sediments.There are four treatments:no fertilization(CK);chemical nitrogen fertilizer(SF),40% nitrogen substitution with pig manure(PMF),and 100% nitrogen substitution from pig manure(PM).Compared to SF treatment,long-term livestock manure substitution in PMF and PM treatments significantly(P<0.05) reduced annual cumulative surface runoff fluxes by 13.5 and 21.6%,respectively.Manure applications decreased annual sediment fluxes by 12.9 and 19.1%,respectively.Soil water stable aggregates for mean weight diameter(MWD) increased significantly by 37.7 and 73.6%.Annual cumulative POC loss flux via eroded sediment under PMF and PM treatments increased significantly(P<0.05) by 61.1 and 47.9%,respectively.The labile organic carbon loss fluxes,including DOC and POC losses,under PMF and PM treatments increased significantly(P<0.05) by 11.9 and 31.4%,respectively.These results demonstrate that while water erosion intensity decreases due to enhanced soil aggregate stability,the risk of labile organic carbon loss increases after long-term livestock manure substitution in subtropical sloping croplands.Future research should examine labile organic carbon lateral migration under various soil types and slope gradients for livestock manure application in subtropical agricultural ecosystem croplands to better understand extreme rainfall effects.
文摘Wetlands play a number of vital roles in the ecosystem, such as serving as nutrient sinks, preventing floods, storing carbon, and filtering water. Encroachment on wetlands has led to substantial economic and environmental losses, including water quality degradation, loss of biodiversity and natural habitats, reduced climate mitigation as well as social and health risks. This study evaluated the effect of different land use types on nutrient stock distribution across varying soil depths in Busega wetland. The soil samples were collected in three different land uses (annually cultivated areas, perennially cultivated areas, and the undisturbed wetland area) at three different depths (0 - 10 cm, 10 - 20 cm, and 20 - 30 cm) in 2021. The soil samples were analyzed for physicochemical soil properties including soil texture and nitrogen, phosphorus, calcium, and potassium concentrations. The interaction between land use type and soil depth did not have a significant effect on nutrient distribution. However, our results showed that the main effects of land use type and soil depth influenced nutrient stock distribution across the wetland. Higher nutrient concentrations were observed under perennial cropping system than in both annual cropping system and the undisturbed wetland area. Soils under perennial cropping systems had the highest soil organic matter (1.45%), calcium (2.06 Cmol/Kg) and potassium (0.091 Cmol/Kg) levels. Higher soil organic matter (1.40%), nitrogen (0.22%), calcium (1.74 Cmol/Kg), and potassium (0.07 Cmol/Kg) were found at the mid-soil depth of 10 - 20 cm. Our results show substantial nutrient changes due to agricultural activities in the Busega wetland, suggesting further research is urgently needed to determine if these changes have adverse effects on biodiversity and water quality of the wetland and nearby water resources.
基金funded by Science and Technology Project of Hebei Education Department[QN2023085].
文摘Agricultural land development is a pivotal strategy for addressing the global food security crisis.Barren grassland,especially those in mountainous regions,constitutes critical areas where cultivation can substantially enhance land resources.This study highlights the necessity for a precise correlation between land development initiatives and constraints in order to optimize efficiency and enhance the effectiveness of such projects,with the core being the seamless integration of land development engineering and techniques to eliminate agricultural constraints.This study employs a systems engineering approach to classify improvement factors into mobile and fixed categories,elucidating the integration methods of constraint factors.Adhering to the Wooden Barrel Principle,these constraints were rigorously analyzed based on soil quality,land topography,water availability,and agricultural infrastructure.An innovative method of engineering type combination is proposed,which effectively explains the correlation between natural factors combination,project type combination,and target factors combination.It provides a convenient way for the selection of barren grassland development projects and lays a foundation for land planning,development project establishment,program selection,engineering design,and budget preparation.Taking Tang County of China as an example,it is divided into 19 factor improvement areas,a quick reference table of engineering types is established,and 14 main types of engineering combinations are obtained,which lays a foundation for the application of theoretical framework in practice.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41807519)the Open Fund Project of Key Laboratory of Deserts and Desertification,Chinese Academy of Sciences(KLDD-2018-002).
文摘Ecological security patterns are paramount to the advancement of an ecological civilization in China,aiming to enhance the stability and service functions of ecosystems to achieve sustainable regional development.However,current regional ecological protection efforts have not been effectively integrated into the regional development planning of ecological security pattern.This study systematically assessed the effectiveness of ecological protection projects in Yanchi County,Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,China,through the evaluation of landscape ecological quality.Based on the evaluation results of landscape ecological quality,this study used morphological pattern analysis(MSPA),minimum cumulative resistance(MCR)model,and gravity model together to construct the ecological security pattern of Yanchi County.The findings revealed that from 1990 to 2020,with the implementation of ecological protection projects started from 2000,the landscape stability of Yanchi County first decreased and then increased,and the intensity of landscape disturbance first intensified but then decreased,indicating an improvement in the landscape ecological quality and a significant enhancement of the ecological environment in Yanchi County.The ecological security pattern of Yanchi County consisted of 10 ecological sources,10 ecological source points,23 ecological corridors,and 27 ecological nodes.The ecological security pattern of Yanchi County exhibited distinct spatial variations,with stronger ecological security observed in the southern part than in northern part of the county.The ecological sources were denser in the southern part than in the northern part of the county,and accordingly,the length of ecological corridors was shorter and denser in the southern than that in the northern part of the county.Based on the spatial distribution of landscape ecological quality and the characteristics of ecological security pattern of Yanchi County in 2020,we suggested Yanchi County to build four zones to optimize the ecological security pattern construction:the Haba Lake ecological conservation zone,the urban ecological planning zone,the ecological environment restoration zone,and the ecological security improvement zone.This study can provide essential guidance for the construction of ecological security pattern in farming-pastoral areas both in China and worldwide.
基金The Postgraduate Research Innovation Project of Department of Education of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,No.KC2024029BThe Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,No.XDA23100201The Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program,No.2019QZKK0608。
文摘Quantifying grassland changes and their drivers is essential to ensure the stability of grassland resources in China.We established a research framework with two primary objectives:to evaluate grassland degradation and restoration over the past 30 years,and to quantify the contributions of climate change and anthropogenic activities to these changes across different grassland cover types.The results revealed that despite a net loss of 6.87×10^(4)km^(2)in China's total grassland area from 1990 to 2020,the proportion of high-coverage grassland increased by 2.45%,demonstrating an improvement in productivity per unit area.Conversion of grassland to cropland was the dominant land change type,with 80.83%occurring in the western part of the Northwest Ecological Region.Although the total degraded grassland area reached 3.33×10^(5)km^(2)during 1990-2020,this degradation was overwhelmingly dominated by the mild level(94.98%),with severe degradation accounting for only 5.02%.A comparison of the periods 2000-2010 and 1990-2000 revealed that grassland restoration became enhanced in the northeastern part of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Ecological Region but degradation intensified in the southwestern part.Moreover,mobile grazing emerged as the primary anthropogenic driver of grassland changes.These new findings provide an important scientific basis for adaptable grassland resource protection and grassland-livestock balanced management.
文摘This paper first analyzes the fundamental characteristics and the advantages and disadvantages in the development and utilization of land resources in China s mountainous areas. It then explores the five major strategic tasks facing the sustainable development and utilization of mountainous land resources in China. From the perspective of human-land coordination and sustainable development, the paper proposes countermeasures and recommendations for the sustainable development and utilization of land resources in China s mountainous areas.
文摘Based on the Google Earth Engine cloud computing data platform,this study employed three algorithms including Support Vector Machine,Random Forest,and Classification and Regression Tree to classify the current status of land covers in Hung Yen province of Vietnam using Landsat 8 OLI satellite images,a free data source with reasonable spatial and temporal resolution.The results of the study show that all three algorithms presented good classification for five basic types of land cover including Rice land,Water bodies,Perennial vegetation,Annual vegetation,Built-up areas as their overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient were greater than 80%and 0.8,respectively.Among the three algorithms,SVM achieved the highest accuracy as its overall accuracy was 86%and the Kappa coefficient was 0.88.Land cover classification based on the SVM algorithm shows that Built-up areas cover the largest area with nearly 31,495 ha,accounting for more than 33.8%of the total natural area,followed by Rice land and Perennial vegetation which cover an area of over 30,767 ha(33%)and 15,637 ha(16.8%),respectively.Water bodies and Annual vegetation cover the smallest areas with 8,820(9.5%)ha and 6,302 ha(6.8%),respectively.The results of this study can be used for land use management and planning as well as other natural resource and environmental management purposes in the province.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Fundation(No.42276234,41976209,42206236)。
文摘Land-sea coordination is a crucial strategy for ensuring the sustainable and rapid development of coastal cities.Assessing the level of land-sea coordination is vital for understanding the degree of coordination and identifying imbalances within land-sea systems.However,empirical research in this area remains scarce,necessitating further investigation.Using coastline,land use,and socio-economic data for the Taizhou coastal zone of China across seven time periods from 1990 to 2021,this study analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of coastal zone development intensity,developed a comprehensive evaluation model for land-sea coordination,and examined its evolutionary dynamics.The results indicated a substantial rise in development intensity within the Taizhou coastal zone,accompanied by significant alterations in coastline morphology and structure.These changes included a marked reduction in the extent of natural coastline and a corresponding expansion of artificial coastline.The intensity of coastal land use also increased,primarily driven by the expansion of built-up areas and aquaculture ponds.The development level of land-sea systems,as well as the overall coordination of the Taizhou land-sea system,demonstrated a consistent upward trend,advancing from basic to intermediate coordination.These findings provide actionable insights for enhancing land-sea coordination strategies to support the sustainable development of coastal cities.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42171255,No.41971216。
文摘The application of ecosystem services(ES)theories in land consolidation is a confusing issue that has long plagued scholars and government officials.As the upgraded version of traditional land consolidation,comprehensive land consolidation(CLC)emphasizes ecological benefits,but it does not achieve the expected effect during the pilot phase.This study first proposed a theoretical analysis framework based on ES knowledge to answer the three key questions of why,where,and how to implement CLC better.Taking mountainous counties as the study area,we found that ES trade-offs/synergies,bundles,and drivers were significantly affected by scale effects.ES knowledge can play a crucial role in designing multi-scale CLC strategies regarding the objective,zoning,intensity,and mode.Specifically,mitigating the significant trade-offs between recreational opportunities,food production,and other ES is the top priority of CLC.Land consolidation zoning based on the ES bundles analysis is more rational and can provide the scientific premise for designing locally adapted CLC measures.Land consolidation can be classified into high-intensity direct intervention and low-intensity indirect intervention modes,based on the major drivers of ES.These findings help narrow the gap between ES and CLC practices.
基金financed as part of the project“Development of a methodology for instrumental base formation for analysis and modeling of the spatial socio-economic development of systems based on internal reserves in the context of digitalization”(FSEG-2023-0008)funded by the Russian Science Foundation(Agreement 23-41-10001,https://doi.org/https://rscf.ru/project/23-41-10001/).
文摘The results of mass appraisal in many countries are used as a basis for calculating the amount of real estate tax,therefore,regardless of the methods used to calculate it,the resulting value should be as close as possible to the market value of the real estate to maintain a balance of interests between the state and the rights holders.In practice,this condition is not always met,since,firstly,the quality of market data is often very low,and secondly,some markets are characterized by low activity,which is expressed in a deficit of information on asking prices.The aim of the work is ecological valuation of land use:how regression-based mass appraisal can inform ecological conservation,land degradation,and sustainable land management.Four multiple regression models were constructed for AI generated map of land plots for recreational use in St.Petersburg(Russia)with different volumes of market information(32,30,20 and 15 units of market information with four price-forming factors).During the analysis of the quality of the models,it was revealed that the best result is shown by the model built on the maximum sample size,then the model based on 15 analogs,which proves that a larger number of analog objects does not always allow us to achieve better results,since the more analog objects there are.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFB3903505)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(72221002)。
文摘The well-facilitated farmland projects(WFFPs)involve the typical sustainable intensification of farmland use and play a key role in raising food production in China.However,whether such WFFPs can enhance the nitrogen(N)use efficiency and reduce environmental impacts is still unclear.Here,we examined the data from 502 valid questionnaires collected from WFFPs in the major grain-producing area,the Huang-Huai-Hai Region(HHHR)in China,with 429 samples for wheat,328 for maize,and 122 for rice.We identified gaps in N use efficiency(NUE)and N losses from the production of the three crops between the sampled WFFPs and counties based on the statistical data.The results showed that compared to the county-level(wheat,39.1%;maize,33.8%;rice,35.1%),the NUEs for wheat(55.2%),maize(52.1%),and rice(50.2%)in the WFFPs were significantly improved(P<0.05).In addition,the intensities of ammonia(NH3)volatilization(9.9-12.2 kg N ha–1),N leaching(6.5-16.9 kg N ha–1),and nitrous oxide(N2O)emissions(1.2-1.6 kg N ha–1)from crop production in the sampled WFFPs were significantly lower than the county averages(P<0.05).Simulations showed that if the N rates are reduced by 10.0,15.0,and 20.0%for the counties,the NUEs of wheat,maize,and rice in the HHHR will increase by 2.9-6.3,2.4-5.2,and 2.6-5.7%,respectively.If the N rate is reduced to the WFFP level in each county,the NUEs of the three crops will increase by 12.9-19.5%,and the N leaching,NH3,and N2O emissions will be reduced by 48.9-56.2,37.4-42.9,and 46.0-66.5%,respectively.Our findings highlight that efficient N management practices in sustainable intensive farmland have considerable potential for reducing environmental impacts.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.41571098,No.41530749National Key R&D Program of China,No.2017YFC1502903,No.2018YFC1508805。
文摘Land change science has become an interdisciplinary research direction for understanding human-natural coupling systems.As a process-oriented modelling approach,agent based model(ABM)plays an important role in revealing the driving forces of land change and understanding the process of land change.This paper starts from three aspects:The theory,application and modeling framework of ABM.First,we summarize the theoretical basis of ABM and introduce some related concepts.Then we expound the application and development of ABM in both urban land systems and agricultural land systems,and further introduce the case study of a model on Grain for Green Program in Hengduan Mountainous region,China.On the basis of combing the ABM modeling protocol,we propose the land system ABM modeling framework and process from the perspective of agents.In terms of urban land use,ABM research initially focused on the study of urban expansion based on landscape,then expanded to issues like urban residential separation,planning and zoning,ecological functions,etc.In terms of agricultural land use,ABM application presents more diverse and individualized features.Research topics include farmers’behavior,farmers’decision-making,planting systems,agricultural policy,etc.Compared to traditional models,ABM is more complex and difficult to generalize beyond specific context since it relies on local knowledge and data.However,due to its unique bottom-up model structure,ABM has an indispensable role in exploring the driving forces of land change and also the impact of human behavior on the environment.
文摘Zoning system is the basic mode of establishment of overall land use planning. In this study,the zoning mode and practice in the three rounds of overall land use planning that have been carried out in China were analyzed and summarized firstly,and then some obvious problems existing in the implementation of the zoning mode were analyzed. Finally,countermeasures and suggestions were put forward to provide necessary reference for further development and improvement of the zoning mode and the development of overall land use planning at all levels in China.
基金funded by the Foundation for Innovative Research Groups of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.72221002)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.XDA28060200)National Natural Science Foundation of Youth Project(Grant No.72303087).
文摘In the new phase of sustainable development,agriculture is seeking sustainable management of the water-land-energy-economy-environment-food nexus.At present,there are few studies on optimizing crop planting structure and analyzing its spatial layout with consideration of natural and socio-economic factors.Herein,we proposed a framework for addressing this issue.In this framework,the NSGA-II algorithm was used to construct the multi-objective optimization model of crop planting structures with consideration of water and energy consumption,greenhouse gas(GHG)emissions,economic benefits,as well as food,land,and water security constraints,while the model for planting spatial layout optimization was established with consideration of crop suitability using the MaxEnt model and the improved Hungarian algorithm.This framework was further applied in the Black Soil Region of Northeast China(BSRNC)for analyzing optimized crop planting structures and spatial layouts of three main crops(rice,maize,and soybean)under various scenarios.This study showed that the sown area of rice in the BSRNC decreased by up to 40.73%and 35.30%in the environmental priority scenario and economic-environmental balance scenario,respectively,whereas that of soybean increased by up to 112.44%and 63.31%,respectively.In the economic priority scenario,the sown area of rice increased by up to 93.98%.Expanding the sown area of soybean was effective in reducing GHG emissions.On the contrary,rice production led to greater environmental costs though it provided higher economic returns.Among the three crops,maize exhibited an advantage in balancing environmental and economic benefits.Hegang-Jixi area in the northeast of the BSRNC was identified as the key area with the most intense crop planting transfer among different scenarios.Overall,this framework provides a new methodology for optimizing crop planting structures and spatial layouts with con-sideration of the nexus of various factors.Moreover,the case study demonstrates the applicability and expansion potential of the framework in the fields of sustainable agricultural development and food security assurance.
基金Hundred-Talent Program of Ministry of Land and Resources,China
文摘Intensive land use( ILU) policies affect the demand and supply of land. These policies promote efficient land use, and demands for land must therefore be evaluated in terms of the level of land-use intensity. If the demand is considered excessive, ILU policies act like a "valve"to restrict the land supply. Drawing on data from Chengdu,China,where developable land is scarce,we construct a model using system dynamics( SD) to simulate two scenarios: ILU development and non-ILU development. The results show that when ILU leads to positive land-use efficiency,land supply will exceed demand,resulting in an appropriate level of real demand for the current population level and GDP. Thus,artificial demand( inflated by investors) is reduced. By contrast,when non-ILU leads to negative land-use efficiency,land demand will exceed supply. In this scenario,artificial demand is higher than real demand.
基金supported by the Ministry of Education of Human-ities and Social Science project,China(Grant No.21YJA630121)the National Key Technology R&D Program of Ministry of Science and Technology of China(Grant No.2023YFD1500103)+2 种基金the Tsinghua Rural Studies PhD Scholarship(Grant No.202323)2023 Gradu-ate Innovation Fund Project of China University of Geosciences,Beijing(Grant No.ZD2023YC043)National Social Science Fund of China(Grants No.19ZDA096 and 20&ZD090)。
文摘Conversion of dryland to paddy fields(CDPF)is an effective way to transition from rain-fed to irrigated agricul ture,helping to mitigate the effects of climate change on agriculture and increase yields to meet growing food demand.However,the suitability of CDPF is spatio-temporally dynamic but has often been neglected in previous studies.To fill this knowledge gap,this research developed a novel method for quantifying the suitability of CDPF,based on the MaxEnt model for application in Northeast China.We explored the spatiotemporal characteristics of the suitability of CDPF under the baseline scenario(2010-2020),and future projections(2030-2090)coupled with climate change and socioeconomic development scenarios(SSP126,SSP245,and SSP585),and revealed the driving factors behind it.Based on this,we identified potential priority areas for future CDPF implementation.The results show that the suitability of CDPF projects implemented in the past ten years is relatively high.Com pared with the baseline scenario,the suitability of CDPF under the future scenarios will decline overall,with the lightest decrease in the RCP585 and the most severe decrease in the RCP245.The key drivers affecting the suitability of CDPF are elevation,slope,population count,total nitrogen,soil organic carbon content,and precip itation seasonality.The potential priority areas for the future CDPF range from 6,284.61 km^(2)to 37,006.02 km^(2).These findings demonstrate the challenges of CDPF in adapting to climate change and food security,and provide insights for food-producing regions around the world facing climate crises.
