The purpose of this study was to address the challenges in predicting and classifying accuracy in modeling Container Dwell Time (CDT) using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). This objective was driven by the suboptimal...The purpose of this study was to address the challenges in predicting and classifying accuracy in modeling Container Dwell Time (CDT) using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). This objective was driven by the suboptimal outcomes reported in previous studies and sought to apply an innovative approach to improve these results. To achieve this, the study applied the Fusion of Activation Functions (FAFs) to a substantial dataset. This dataset included 307,594 container records from the Port of Tema from 2014 to 2022, encompassing both import and transit containers. The RandomizedSearchCV algorithm from Python’s Scikit-learn library was utilized in the methodological approach to yield the optimal activation function for prediction accuracy. The results indicated that “ajaLT”, a fusion of the Logistic and Hyperbolic Tangent Activation Functions, provided the best prediction accuracy, reaching a high of 82%. Despite these encouraging findings, it’s crucial to recognize the study’s limitations. While Fusion of Activation Functions is a promising method, further evaluation is necessary across different container types and port operations to ascertain the broader applicability and generalizability of these findings. The original value of this study lies in its innovative application of FAFs to CDT. Unlike previous studies, this research evaluates the method based on prediction accuracy rather than training time. It opens new avenues for machine learning engineers and researchers in applying FAFs to enhance prediction accuracy in CDT modeling, contributing to a previously underexplored area.展开更多
Purpose: This study aimed to enhance the prediction of container dwell time, a crucial factor for optimizing port operations, resource allocation, and supply chain efficiency. Determining an optimal learning rate for ...Purpose: This study aimed to enhance the prediction of container dwell time, a crucial factor for optimizing port operations, resource allocation, and supply chain efficiency. Determining an optimal learning rate for training Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) has remained a challenging task due to the diverse sizes, complexity, and types of data involved. Design/Method/Approach: This research used a RandomizedSearchCV algorithm, a random search approach, to bridge this knowledge gap. The algorithm was applied to container dwell time data from the TOS system of the Port of Tema, which included 307,594 container records from 2014 to 2022. Findings: The RandomizedSearchCV method outperformed standard training methods both in terms of reducing training time and improving prediction accuracy, highlighting the significant role of the constant learning rate as a hyperparameter. Research Limitations and Implications: Although the study provides promising outcomes, the results are limited to the data extracted from the Port of Tema and may differ in other contexts. Further research is needed to generalize these findings across various port systems. Originality/Value: This research underscores the potential of RandomizedSearchCV as a valuable tool for optimizing ANN training in container dwell time prediction. It also accentuates the significance of automated learning rate selection, offering novel insights into the optimization of container dwell time prediction, with implications for improving port efficiency and supply chain operations.展开更多
文摘The purpose of this study was to address the challenges in predicting and classifying accuracy in modeling Container Dwell Time (CDT) using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). This objective was driven by the suboptimal outcomes reported in previous studies and sought to apply an innovative approach to improve these results. To achieve this, the study applied the Fusion of Activation Functions (FAFs) to a substantial dataset. This dataset included 307,594 container records from the Port of Tema from 2014 to 2022, encompassing both import and transit containers. The RandomizedSearchCV algorithm from Python’s Scikit-learn library was utilized in the methodological approach to yield the optimal activation function for prediction accuracy. The results indicated that “ajaLT”, a fusion of the Logistic and Hyperbolic Tangent Activation Functions, provided the best prediction accuracy, reaching a high of 82%. Despite these encouraging findings, it’s crucial to recognize the study’s limitations. While Fusion of Activation Functions is a promising method, further evaluation is necessary across different container types and port operations to ascertain the broader applicability and generalizability of these findings. The original value of this study lies in its innovative application of FAFs to CDT. Unlike previous studies, this research evaluates the method based on prediction accuracy rather than training time. It opens new avenues for machine learning engineers and researchers in applying FAFs to enhance prediction accuracy in CDT modeling, contributing to a previously underexplored area.
文摘Purpose: This study aimed to enhance the prediction of container dwell time, a crucial factor for optimizing port operations, resource allocation, and supply chain efficiency. Determining an optimal learning rate for training Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) has remained a challenging task due to the diverse sizes, complexity, and types of data involved. Design/Method/Approach: This research used a RandomizedSearchCV algorithm, a random search approach, to bridge this knowledge gap. The algorithm was applied to container dwell time data from the TOS system of the Port of Tema, which included 307,594 container records from 2014 to 2022. Findings: The RandomizedSearchCV method outperformed standard training methods both in terms of reducing training time and improving prediction accuracy, highlighting the significant role of the constant learning rate as a hyperparameter. Research Limitations and Implications: Although the study provides promising outcomes, the results are limited to the data extracted from the Port of Tema and may differ in other contexts. Further research is needed to generalize these findings across various port systems. Originality/Value: This research underscores the potential of RandomizedSearchCV as a valuable tool for optimizing ANN training in container dwell time prediction. It also accentuates the significance of automated learning rate selection, offering novel insights into the optimization of container dwell time prediction, with implications for improving port efficiency and supply chain operations.
