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深度学习在ENSO预测中的应用研究
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作者 方巍 付海燕 罗京佳 《大气科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期429-437,共9页
厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(El Nino-Southern Oscillation,ENSO)是自然界气候变化中年际变化最显著的异常信号。ENSO会在全球范围内引发天气和气候异常,由此造成的自然灾害给人类生命和财产安全带来了巨大危害。随着人工智能的发展,ENSO预测方... 厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(El Nino-Southern Oscillation,ENSO)是自然界气候变化中年际变化最显著的异常信号。ENSO会在全球范围内引发天气和气候异常,由此造成的自然灾害给人类生命和财产安全带来了巨大危害。随着人工智能的发展,ENSO预测方法已从传统方法拓展到了深度学习技术。因此,对ENSO预测进行了较为全面的论述:概述了ENSO相关知识;回顾了传统的预测方法;介绍了深度学习模型在ENSO预测中的应用,分析了它们的优势、局限性以及改进方向;基于当前方法面临的挑战,对未来ENSO预测的发展趋势进行了展望。 展开更多
关键词 ENSO预测 人工智能 深度学习 气候变化 气象灾害
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中国西北地区复合极端高温-降水事件可能成因 被引量:2
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作者 杨怡蓉 袁潮霞 《大气科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期62-76,共15页
基于1961—2018年欧洲中期天气预报中心的再分析资料、中国高分辨率格点资料,采用合成分析方法,揭示了中国西北地区复合极端高温-降水事件(compound extreme heat-precipitation events,CEHPE)的成因,并探讨了与无强降水热浪事件的异同... 基于1961—2018年欧洲中期天气预报中心的再分析资料、中国高分辨率格点资料,采用合成分析方法,揭示了中国西北地区复合极端高温-降水事件(compound extreme heat-precipitation events,CEHPE)的成因,并探讨了与无强降水热浪事件的异同。结果表明,CEHPE是由上游向东南方向传播的准正压反气旋环流异常引起:当异常环流中心接近关键区(95°~105°E,35°~40°N)时,与之相关的异常下沉运动一方面使得大气下沉增温,增加了低层大气温度;另一方面下沉运动减少云量,增强了向下短波辐射并加热地表,被加热的地表又向上释放了更多的长波辐射,进一步加热低层大气,最终导致了热浪的形成。在热浪发生时,由于地表热强迫,对流层低层发展出低压异常,其伴随的异常辐合,引导东南方向水汽至关键区,提高关键区大气水汽含量。增加的大气水汽含量和增高的气温使得热浪期间关键区大气不稳定能量异常增强。当准正压反气旋异常东移出关键区时,热浪结束,同时上游方向有异常气旋靠近,关键区位于对流层中高层的槽前脊后,有助于高层辐散低层辐合,因此强对流迅速发展,关键区出现极端降水,完成一次CEHPE的过程。无强降水热浪事件与CEHPE的热浪在强度和形成机制上几乎相同,但在热浪结束时,准正压反气旋异常水平范围较大,虽强度减弱,但中心仍位于关键区附近,因此对流层低层低压及其伴随的辐合上升异常的发展受到压制,导致对流层低层气旋、水平水汽辐合、垂直水汽输送以及不稳定能量异常小于同时期的CEHPE,无法引发强降水事件。 展开更多
关键词 复合极端天气和气候事件 热浪 强降水 中国西北
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Improving the Seasonal Forecast of Summer Precipitation in Southeastern China Using a CycleGAN-based Deep Learning Bias Correction Method 被引量:1
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作者 Song YANG Fenghua LING +1 位作者 Jing-Jia LUO Lei BAI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第1期26-35,共10页
Accurate seasonal precipitation forecasts,especially for extreme events,are crucial to preventing meteorological hazards and their potential impacts on national development,social activity,and security.However,the int... Accurate seasonal precipitation forecasts,especially for extreme events,are crucial to preventing meteorological hazards and their potential impacts on national development,social activity,and security.However,the intensity of summer precipitation is often largely underestimated in many current dynamic models.This study uses a deep learning method called Cycle-Consistent Generative Adversarial Networks(CycleGAN)to improve the seasonal forecasts for June-JulyAugust precipitation in southeastern China by the Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Climate Forecast System(NUIST-CFS 1.0).The results suggest that the CycleGAN-based model significantly improves the accuracy in predicting the spatiotemporal distribution of summer precipitation compared to the traditional quantile mapping(QM)method.Using the unpaired bias-correction model,we can also obtain advanced forecasts of the frequency,intensity,and duration of extreme precipitation events over the dynamic model predictions.This study expands the potential applications of deep learning models toward improving seasonal precipitation forecasts. 展开更多
关键词 bias correction CycleGAN QM NUIST-CFS 1.0 extreme precipitation
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Impact of ocean data assimilation on the seasonal forecast of the 2014/15 marine heatwave in the Northeast Pacific Ocean
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作者 Tiantian Tang Jiaying He +1 位作者 Huihang Sun Jingjia Luo 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2025年第1期24-31,共8页
A remarkable marine heatwave,known as the“Blob”,occurred in the Northeast Pacific Ocean from late 2013 to early 2016,which displayed strong warm anomalies extending from the surface to a depth of 300 m.This study em... A remarkable marine heatwave,known as the“Blob”,occurred in the Northeast Pacific Ocean from late 2013 to early 2016,which displayed strong warm anomalies extending from the surface to a depth of 300 m.This study employed two assimilation schemes based on the global Climate Forecast System of Nanjing University of Information Science(NUIST-CFS 1.0)to investigate the impact of ocean data assimilation on the seasonal prediction of this extreme marine heatwave.The sea surface temperature(SST)nudging scheme assimilates SST only,while the deterministic ensemble Kalman filter(EnKF)scheme assimilates observations from the surface to the deep ocean.The latter notably improves the forecasting skill for subsurface temperature anomalies,especially at the depth of 100-300 m(the lower layer),outperforming the SST nudging scheme.It excels in predicting both horizontal and vertical heat transport in the lower layer,contributing to improved forecasts of the lower-layer warming during the Blob.These improvements stem from the assimilation of subsurface observational data,which are important in predicting the upper-ocean conditions.The results suggest that assimilating ocean data with the EnKF scheme significantly enhances the accuracy in predicting subsurface temperature anomalies during the Blob and offers better understanding of its underlying mechanisms. 展开更多
关键词 Seasonal forecast Ocean data assimilation Marine heatwave Subsurface temperature
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OHIO spectrum as a proposed modified nomenclature for polycystic ovary syndrome
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作者 Sukanti Bhattacharyya Sudarsan Saha Sukumar Barik 《Asian pacific Journal of Reproduction》 2025年第5期191-193,共3页
“What's in a name?That which we call a rose by any other name would smell as sweet”-William Shakespeare Polycystic ovary syndrome(PCOS)is one of the commonest endocrinopathy in the reproductive age group,as depi... “What's in a name?That which we call a rose by any other name would smell as sweet”-William Shakespeare Polycystic ovary syndrome(PCOS)is one of the commonest endocrinopathy in the reproductive age group,as depicted in a study among the North Indian population[1].The nomenclatures,the diagnostic criteria,the pathophysiology,and the modalities of treatment are full of controversies.Other names for this syndrome include Stein-Leventhal syndrome,polycystic ovary disease(PCOD),polycystic ovarian disease,functional ovarian hyperandrogenism,ovarian hyperthecosis and sclerocystic ovary syndrome,etc. 展开更多
关键词 stein leventhal syndrome modality treatment NOMENCLATURE diagnostic criteria polycystic ovary syndrome PATHOPHYSIOLOGY ovary disease pcod polycystic ovarian diseasefunctional polycystic ovary syndrome pcos
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The importance of sulphur in oilseed production–A South Asian context
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作者 V.Visha Kumari K.A.Gopinath +5 位作者 M.A.Sarath Chandran B.Sunitha K.Sriram M.A.Ansari M.S.Rao V.K.Singh 《Oil Crop Science》 2025年第2期118-130,共13页
Sulphur(S)is essential for the quality of oilseed crops,ranking as the fourth major nutrient after nitrogen(N),phosphorus(P),and potassium(K).While crops need sulphur in slightly lower amounts than phosphorus,maintain... Sulphur(S)is essential for the quality of oilseed crops,ranking as the fourth major nutrient after nitrogen(N),phosphorus(P),and potassium(K).While crops need sulphur in slightly lower amounts than phosphorus,maintaining optimum sulphur levels is crucial for oilseed yield and quality.Factors such as sulphur dynamics,impact of deficiency,application methods,and climate change must be addressed to improve agricultural practices.In South Asian countries like India,Pakistan,and Bangladesh,oilseeds are vital to the agricultural economy,supporting food security,livelihoods,and economic growth.However,climate change,marginal land cultivation,and a shift to more profitable crops like wheat and maize have led to a decline in oilseed productivity.Sulphur is particularly important for vital plant functions,including protein synthesis,chlorophyll formation,and resistance to abiotic stress.Proper management of sulphur can significantly enhance the yield,oil content,and seed quality.Sulphur fertilization improves crop resilience to pests,diseases,and environmental stresses,resulting in healthier plants.To optimize oilseed production,best practices for sulphur management like integrated nutrient management,regular soil testing,and the strategic application of sulphur-enriched fertilizers must be adopted.Despite its significance,many South Asian soils suffer from sulphur deficiency due to inadequate replenishment and reliance on high-analysis fertilizers.By enhancing sulphur availability,oilseed producers can significantly increase crop yields,improve oil content,and promote overall plant health,contributing to the agricultural economy and food security in the region.This manuscript aims to evaluate the critical role of sulphur in enhancing the yield,oil quality,and stress resilience of oilseed crops in South Asia. 展开更多
关键词 SULPHUR Crop yield Oil content Stress tolerance Sulphur fertilizers
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Improving water productivity of sprinkler-irrigated cumin through deficit irrigation in arid areas
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作者 Hari Mohan MEENA Deepesh MACHIWAL +2 位作者 Priyabrata SANTRA Vandita KUMARI Saurabh SWAMI 《Journal of Arid Land》 2025年第6期791-807,共17页
Integrating sprinkler with deficit irrigation system is a new approach to improve crop water productivity and ensure water and food security in arid areas of India.This study undertook a field experiment of sprinkler-... Integrating sprinkler with deficit irrigation system is a new approach to improve crop water productivity and ensure water and food security in arid areas of India.This study undertook a field experiment of sprinkler-irrigated cumin(variety GC-4)with a mini-lysimeter setup at an experimental research farm in Jodhpur,India during 2019-2022.Four irrigation treatments T_(1),T_(2),T_(3),and T4 were designed at irrigation water/cumulative pan evaporation(IW/CPE)of 1.0,0.8,0.6,and 0.4,respectively,with three replications.Daily actual crop evapotranspiration(ETc)was recorded and weekly soil moisture was monitored over the crop growth period.Quantities of applied water and drainage from mini-lysimeters were also measured at every irrigation event.Yield of cumin was recorded at crop maturity.Furthermore,change in farmer's net income from 1-hm2 land was computed based on the cost of applying irrigation water and considering yield variations among the treatments.Results indicated the highest mean seasonal actual ETc(371.7 mm)and cumin yield(952.47 kg/hm2)under T_(1)(with full irrigation).Under T_(2),T_(3),and T4,the seasonal actual ETc decreased by 10.4%,27.6%,and 41.3%,respectively,while yield declined by 5.0%,28.4%,and 50.8%,respectively,as compared to the values under T_(1).Furthermore,crop water productivity of 0.272(±0.068)kg/m3 under T_(2)was found relatively higher in comparison to other irrigation treatments,indicating that T_(2)can achieve improved water productivity of cumin in arid areas at an optimum level of deficit irrigation.The results of cost-economics indicated that positive change in farmer's net income from 1-hm2 land was 108.82 USD under T_(2),while T_(3)and T4 showed net losses of 5.33 and 209.67 USD,respectively.Moreover,value of yield response factor and ratio of relative yield reductions to relative ETc deficits were found to be less than 1.00 under T_(2)(0.48),and more than 1.00 under T_(3)(1.07)and T4(1.23).This finding further supports that T_(2)shows the optimized level of deficit irrigation that saves 20.0%of water with sacrificing 5.0%yield in the arid areas of India.Findings of this study provide useful strategies to save irrigation water,bring additional area under irrigation,and improve crop water productivity in India and other similar arid areas in the world. 展开更多
关键词 cumin crop crop water productivity crop evapotranspiration deficit irrigation mini-sprinkler irrigation yield response factor
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典型和非典型大西洋尼诺对前冬ENSO的响应及其在春夏季的反馈
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作者 杨萌洲 袁潮霞 +1 位作者 姜蕾杉 山形俊男 《大气科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第6期894-912,共19页
热带大西洋与热带太平洋间存在复杂的相互作用和反馈过程,理解这些相互作用及机制将为气候预测奠定基础。本文采用1940—2022年共83 a的观测和再分析资料,使用合成分析和相关分析等统计方法,分别研究了典型大西洋尼诺(Canonical Atlanti... 热带大西洋与热带太平洋间存在复杂的相互作用和反馈过程,理解这些相互作用及机制将为气候预测奠定基础。本文采用1940—2022年共83 a的观测和再分析资料,使用合成分析和相关分析等统计方法,分别研究了典型大西洋尼诺(Canonical Atlantic Niño,CA)和非典型大西洋尼诺(Non-canonical Atlantic Niño,NCA)对前冬厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(El Niño-Southern Oscillation,ENSO)的响应及对衰退中ENSO的反馈过程及物理机制。结果表明,观测中前冬拉尼娜(La Niña)和厄尔尼诺(El Niño)可通过不同物理过程分别引起CA和NCA,而NCA可加速前冬El Niño的衰退并向La Niña转换。这是因为,前冬La Niña在热带大西洋的松野-吉尔(Matsuno-Gill)响应为西风异常,可通过局地皮耶克尼斯(Bjerknes)反馈导致CA。而前冬El Niño可通过太平洋-北美遥相关在热带北大西洋形成反气旋异常和暖海温异常,其海表暖水在埃克曼辐合的作用下被输送至次表层,进而由气候态的南向平流增暖赤道大西洋并发展为NCA。此外,由前冬El Niño引起的热带印度洋暖海温异常和NCA可分别激发东传的大气上升开尔文(Kelvin)波至海洋性大陆附近,形成东风异常并导致水汽辐合和对流增强,最终可通过热带太平洋的Bjerknes正反馈过程促使前冬El Niño向La Niña演变。耦合模式可再现上述现象及机制,即有效验证了观测中CA和NCA对前冬ENSO的响应和反馈过程。 展开更多
关键词 典型大西洋尼诺 非典型大西洋尼诺 厄尔尼诺-南方涛动 响应 反馈
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Effect of long-term restoration on soil phosphorus transformation and desorption in the semi-arid degraded land,India
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作者 Jyotirmay ROY Dipak Ranjan BISWAS +5 位作者 Biraj Bandhu BASAK Ranjan BHATTACHARYYA Shrila DAS Sunanda BISWAS Renu SINGH Avijit GHOSH 《Journal of Arid Land》 2025年第6期846-864,共19页
Understanding how different vegetation-based restoration practices alter soil chemical and microbial characteristics is crucial,as restoration practices influence phosphorus(P)transformation and fractions and modify P... Understanding how different vegetation-based restoration practices alter soil chemical and microbial characteristics is crucial,as restoration practices influence phosphorus(P)transformation and fractions and modify P adsorption behavior during the restoration process of degraded land.This study investigated the impacts of vegetation-based restoration practices on soil chemical and microbial parameters,P fractions,and patterns of P adsorption and desorption,and highlighted the combined influence on P availability.To evaluate the impact of vegetation-based restoration practices on P fractions and adsorption behavior in the semi-arid degraded land in India,this study compared three distinct tree-based restoration systems,including Leucaena leucocephala(Lam.)de Wit-based silviculture system(SCS),Acacia nilotica(L.)Willd.ex Delile-based silvopasture system(SPS),and Emblica officinalis Gaertn-based hortipasture system(HPS),with a natural grassland system(NGS)and a degraded fallow system(FS)as control.The soil samples across various soil depths(0-15,15-30,and 30-45 cm)were collected.The findings demonstrated that SCS,SPS,and HPS significantly improved soil organic carbon(SOC)and nutrient availability.Moreover,SCS and SPS resulted in increased microbial biomass phosphorus(MBP)content and phosphatase enzyme activity.The P fractionation analysis revealed that ferrum-associated phosphorus(Fe-P)was the major P fraction,followed by aluminum-associated phosphorus(Al-P),reflecting the dominance of ferrum(Fe)and aluminum(Al)oxides in the semi-arid degraded land.Compared with FS,vegetation-based restoration practices significantly increased various P fractions across soil depths.Additionally,P adsorption and desorption analysis indicated a lower adsorption capacity in tree-based restoration systems than in FS,with FS soils adsorbing higher P quantities in the adsorption phase but releasing less P during the desorption phase.This study revealed that degraded soils responded positively to ecological restoration in terms of P fraction and desorption behavior,influencing the resupply of P in restoration systems.Consequently,litter rich N-fixing tree-based restoration systems(i.e.,SCS and SPS)increased total phosphorus(TP)stock for plants and sustained the potential for long-term P supply in semi-arid ecosystems.With the widespread adoption of restoration practices across degraded landscapes,SCS and SPS would significantly contribute to soil restoration and improve productivity by maintaining the soil P supply in semi-arid ecosystems in India. 展开更多
关键词 phosphorus fixation phosphorus fraction phosphorus adsorption phosphorus desorption land restoration structural equation model
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Genome-Wide Identification of Dopamineβ-Monooxygenase N-Terminal Gene Family in Rice and Its Role in Response to Blast Disease and Abiotic Stress
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作者 Mareyam MUKHTAR Amresh KUMAR +5 位作者 Ashfak S.MUJAWAR Bhuvnesh SAREEN Suhas G.KARKUTE Rohini SREEVATHSA Amitha Mithra SEVANTHI Amolkumar U.SOLANKE 《Rice science》 2025年第5期685-703,I0088-I0094,共26页
Dopamine β-monooxygenase N-terminal(DOMON)domain-containing genes are present across all taxa and are critical in cell signaling and redox transport.Despite their significance,these genes remain understudied in plant... Dopamine β-monooxygenase N-terminal(DOMON)domain-containing genes are present across all taxa and are critical in cell signaling and redox transport.Despite their significance,these genes remain understudied in plant species.In this study,we identified 15 DOMON genes in rice and analyzed their phylogenetic relationships,conserved motifs,and cis-regulatory elements.Phylogenetic analysis revealed distinct clustering of OsDOMON genes in rice and other monocots,compared with Arabidopsis thaliana.Promoter analysis showed a higher abundance of stress-related regulatory elements in Tetep,a well-known blast and abiotic stress-tolerant cultivar,compared with Nipponbare and HP2216.OsDOMON genes displayed differential expression under biotic stress(Magnaporthe oryzae infection)and abiotic stresses(drought,heat,and salinity)in contrasting cultivars.Tetep exhibited significantly higher expression levels of specific OsDOMON genes during early blast infection stages,particularly OsDOMON6.1 and OsDOMON9.2,suggesting their roles in cell wall fortification and reactive oxygen species signaling.Under abiotic stress,genes like OsDOMON3.3,OsDOMON8.1,and OsDOMON9.2 showed higher expression in Tetep,indicating their involvement in stress tolerance mechanisms.This study provides a foundation for future functional studies of OsDOMON genes,paving the way for developing rice cultivars resistant to biotic and abiotic stresses. 展开更多
关键词 abiotic stress biotic stress dopamineβ-monooxygenase N-terminal Magnaporthe oryzae RICE reactive oxygen species
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Chak-hao,Forbidden Rice of Manipur and Its Sustainable Protection from Post-Harvest Storage Pests Using Indigenous Botanical Plant Powders
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作者 Arati NINGOMBAM Aruna BEEMROTE +9 位作者 Romila AKOIJAM Sushmita THOKCHOM C.H.BASUDHA C.H.SONIA C.H.PREMABATI N.Ajitkumar SINGH L.Langlentombi CHANU Y.Prabhabati DEVI H.Lembisana DEVI A.Gangarani DEVI 《Rice science》 2025年第3期298-302,I0031,I0032,共7页
Chak-hao,the Forbidden Rice from Manipur,India,is an aromatic,purplish-black rice variety that has been awarded a geographical indication tag to preserve and promote its traditional cultivation in Manipur,India.Althou... Chak-hao,the Forbidden Rice from Manipur,India,is an aromatic,purplish-black rice variety that has been awarded a geographical indication tag to preserve and promote its traditional cultivation in Manipur,India.Although Chak-hao is a hardy landrace with field tolerance to biotic stress,its grains are highly susceptible to storage pest infestations,particularly those caused by the rice weevil(Sitophilus oryzae).This severely compromises its commercial storage quality,as pest damage reduces both nutritional value and quantity. 展开更多
关键词 geographical indication tag chak hao PESTS rice weevil sitophilus oryzae forbidden rice sustainable protection post harvest storage storage pest infestationsparticularly
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Changes in tropical cyclone response to the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation in the western North Pacific under global warming in EC-Earth3P-HR
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作者 Zhefan Gao Chaoxia Yuan 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2025年第2期22-28,共7页
EC-Earth3P-HR reproduces well the observed Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation(BSISO)and its impacts on tropical cyclone genesis(TCG)in the western North Pacific(WNP).Hence,the historical simulation(1950-1979)and ... EC-Earth3P-HR reproduces well the observed Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation(BSISO)and its impacts on tropical cyclone genesis(TCG)in the western North Pacific(WNP).Hence,the historical simulation(1950-1979)and future projection under the SSP5-8.5 scenario(2020-2049)in EC-Earth3P-HR are adopted to explore possible changes in the BSISO’s modification of WNP TCG under global warming to enhance the understanding of TC activities in the WNP.Results show that the BSISO circulation in the WNP shifts northeastward under global warming.This leads to enhanced convection in a northwest-southeast-oriented band crossing the WNP.Along the band,the BSISO-related TCG anomalies are enhanced.Analyses of genesis potential index show that changes in the BSISO-related mid-tropospheric relative humidity play the dominant role in modifying the BSISO’s impacts on WNP TCG under global warming.The enhanced BSISO convection in the band moistens the middle troposphere,which helps reduce the entrainment of generally dry mid-tropospheric air in the updrafts and the modification of the boundary layer by the downdraft of generally dry mid-tropospheric air,leading to enhanced TCG. 展开更多
关键词 Global warming Tropical cyclones BSISO
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Global warming intensifies once-in-a-decade extreme precipitation in summer in China
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作者 Aoqi Zhou Chaoxia Yuan 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2025年第4期48-53,共6页
The intensification of extreme precipitation(EP)under global warming presents a substantial risk to human safety and societal progress.Studying the specific impacts of global warming on rare EP events in China not onl... The intensification of extreme precipitation(EP)under global warming presents a substantial risk to human safety and societal progress.Studying the specific impacts of global warming on rare EP events in China not only enhances the comprehension of these shifts,but also paves the way for the development of proactive strategies to alleviate associated damages.Results from large-ensemble simulation data demonstrate that global warming has led to an enhancement in once-in-a-decade EP events in parts of western and central China over the past few decades,with the strengthening of the South Asia high(SAH)caused by global warming playing a dominant role.The strengthening of the SAH corresponds to an intensification and westward extension of the western Pacific subtropical high in the lower troposphere.The region between these two systems experiences enhanced upward motion and increased southwesterly water vapor transport,leading to a rise in climatological precipitation in western and central China,thereby raising the threshold for once-in-a-decade EP events. 展开更多
关键词 Global warming Extreme precipitation Climatological precipitation South Asia high
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Sub-Seasonal Forecast of Global Marine Heatwaves Based on NUIST CFS1.1
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作者 Jiale HU Jianxiang XU +3 位作者 Jing-Jia LUO Jiaqing XUE Yujie NIE Da ZHI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第7期1285-1300,共16页
Marine heatwaves(MHWs),which can exert devastating socioeconomic and ecological impacts,have attracted much public interest in recent years.In this study,we evaluate the sub-seasonal forecast skill of MHWs based on th... Marine heatwaves(MHWs),which can exert devastating socioeconomic and ecological impacts,have attracted much public interest in recent years.In this study,we evaluate the sub-seasonal forecast skill of MHWs based on the Nanjing University of Information Science&Technology Climate Forecast System version 1.1(NUIST CFS1.1)and analyze the related physical processes.Our results show that the model can accurately forecast the occurrence of MHWs on a global scale out to a lead time of 25 days.Notably,even at lead times of 51–55 days,the forecast skill in most tropical regions,as well as in the northeastern and southeastern Pacific,is superior to both random forecasts and persistence forecasts.Accurate predictions of sea level pressure,zonal currents,and mixed-layer depth are important for MHW forecasting.Furthermore,we also conduct forecast skill assessments for two well-documented MHW events.Due to its ability to correctly forecast the changes in heat flux anomalies at a lead time of 25 days,the model can accurately forecast the strong MHW event that occurred in the South China Sea in May–October 2020.However,the forecasting results were less than optimal for the strong MHW event that occurred along the Australian west coast in January–April 2011.Although the model accurately forecasts its occurrence,the forecast of its intensity is poor.Additionally,when the lead time exceeds 10 days,forecasts of the relevant physical processes of this MHW event are also inaccurate. 展开更多
关键词 marine heatwaves sub-seasonal forecast NUIST CFS1.1 source of forecast skill
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Unique Environmental and Cyclogenesis Conditions of Boreal Midsummer Extratropical Cyclones Accompanied by Torrential Rain in Central and Eastern China
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作者 ZHANG Meng XIE Tie-jun +3 位作者 SONG Jia-ning FU Jing LUO Jing-jia LI Dian 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 2025年第4期362-378,共17页
In recent years,torrential rain events caused by extratropical cyclones(ETCs)during the boreal midsummer(July-August)in Central and Eastern China have shown an increasing trend.For instence,in August 2024,two ETCs bro... In recent years,torrential rain events caused by extratropical cyclones(ETCs)during the boreal midsummer(July-August)in Central and Eastern China have shown an increasing trend.For instence,in August 2024,two ETCs brought large-scale heavy rainfall to North China,with daily precipitation exceeding 100 mm.Using reanalysis datasets and gridded precipitation data,the ETCs that affected Central and Eastern China during the boreal midsummer from 1981 to 2020 were objectively identified and tracked.ETCs causing precipitation were classified based on maximum daily precipitation,resulting in datasets for ETCs with torrential rain(daily precipitation exceeding 100 mm,referred to as ETC_R100)and heavy rain(daily precipitation exceeding 25 mm,referred to as ETC_R25).Comparative analysis can help highlight the characteristics of ETC_R100.This study compares the spatial distribution,movement paths,weather impacts,large-scale atmospheric circulation,and environmental conditions of these two types of precipitation-related ETCs.The following findings emerged:(1)ETC_R100 is driven by the combined forcing of upper-level troughs and warm-moist airflows at lower levels,exhibiting stronger thermal forcing than ETC_R25.(2)The moisture source for ETC_R100 are the Bay of Bengal and the Northwest Pacific,with moisture transported via the South China Sea.Compared to ETCs with nonextreme rainfall,ETC_R100 is characterized by greater atmospheric instability and better moisture conditions,resulting in higher precipitation intensity.(3)Regardless of the precipitation level,ETCs affected different regions but contributed significantly to precipitation in northern China,accounting for approximately 50%of the total precipitation.The results indicate that ETC_R100 differs significantly from ETCs with varying levels of precipitation in terms of statistical characteristics,weather impact,environmental conditions,and cyclogenesis conditions. 展开更多
关键词 extratropical cyclone(ETC) torrential rains environmental conditions CYCLOGENESIS Central and Eastern China
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Evaluation of bio-efficacy of Metarhizium anisopliae against the pink bollworm Pectinophora gossypiella(Saunders),with insights into its colonization potential and insecticide compatibility
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作者 THAVKAR Snehal THUBE Shivaji +11 位作者 PANCHBHAI Pramod LAVHE Nandkishor PILLAI Tinni SHAH Vivek DESHMUKH Vrushali PANDIAN Thavaprakasa R. FAND Babasaheb TENGURI Prabhulinga NIKOSHE Akash PRIYANK Mhatre BEHERE Gajanan PRASAD Yenumula 《Journal of Cotton Research》 2025年第1期76-88,共13页
Background The pink bollworm(Pectinophora gossypiella,PBW)is a major cotton pest,causing economic losses by damaging seeds and fiber.Cotton growers typically use systemic and broad-spectrum insecticides for its manage... Background The pink bollworm(Pectinophora gossypiella,PBW)is a major cotton pest,causing economic losses by damaging seeds and fiber.Cotton growers typically use systemic and broad-spectrum insecticides for its manage-ment,which pose risks to human health and the environment.Consequently,there is a need for eco-friendly alterna-tives.This study evaluates the bio-efficacy of the entomopathogenic fungus Metarhizium anisopliae strain TMBMA1 against pink bollworm and assesses its compatibility with major insecticides.Additionally,to comprehend the dynam-ics of colonization and the infection processes of entomopathogenic fungi(EPF),scanning electron microscopy(SEM)of infected larvae was carried out.Result We challenged the second instar PBW larvae to eight different concentrations(1×10^(3) to 1×10^(10) conidia mL^(-1))of an M.anisopliae strain TMBMA1.The highest mortality(100%)occurred at the higher concentrations i.e.,1×109 and 1×10^(10) spores mL^(-1),while the lowest mortality rate(46.6%)was observed at 1×10^(3) spores mL^(-1) con-centration compared to control(3.33%).TMBMA1’s biocontrol efficacy was validated by Probit analysis,exhibiting an exceptionally low median lethal concentration(LC50)value of 7.1×10^(5).The comparative evaluation revealed that the M.anisopliae strain TMBMA1 performed excellently with insecticide[Cypermethrin 10%(volume fraction)emulsifiable concentrate(EC)at 1 mL·L^(-1) water]giving 100%mortality,both being superior to a commercial prod-uct of M.anisopliae(60%).According to SEM analysis,the EPF strain was profusely colonized on both the internal and external surfaces of PBW larvae.Compatibility studies with insecticides revealed>98%and>96%reduction in the sporulation of M.anisopliae due to the treatment of Emamectin Benzoate 1.5%(mass fraction)+Profenofos 35%(mass fraction)water dispersible granules(WDG)and Profenofos 50%EC,respectively.In contrast,Cypermethrin 10%EC,Emamectin Benzoate 5%(mass fraction)Soluble Granules and Neem Seed Kernel Extract(NSKE)0.15%(volume fraction)treatments reported lower reduction(11.45%,13.79%and 21.21%respectively)in spore production.Conclusion According to the current investigations,the M.anisopliae strain TMBMA1 exhibits high virulence against PBW and offers a promising eco-friendly solution for managing this pest.It shows significant potential to pro-liferate on both external and internal surfaces of PBW.This strain can be integrated into PBW management programs with chemical insecticides,improving pest control and lessening environmental impact. 展开更多
关键词 Bio-efficacy Compatibility Entomopathogenic fungi Metarhizium anisopliae Pink bollworm SEM
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Long-Range Admixture Linkage Disequilibrium and Allelic Responses of Sub1 and TPP7 under Consecutive Stress in Rice Validated Through Mendelian Randomization
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作者 Sabarinathan SELVARAJ Parameswaran CHIDAMBARANATHAN +8 位作者 Goutam Kumar DASH Priyadarsini SANGHAMITRA Kishor Pundlik JEUGHALE Cayalvizhi BALASUBRAMANIASAI Devraj LENKA Basavantraya Navadagi DEVANNA Seenichamy Rathinam PRABHUKARTHIKEYAN Sanghamitra SAMANTARAY Amaresh Kumar NAYAK 《Rice science》 2025年第5期704-716,I0095-I0117,共36页
Consecutive stresses,such as initial submergence during germination followed by water deficit during the seedling stage,pose significant challenges to direct-seeded rice cultivation.By Linkage disequilibrium analysis,... Consecutive stresses,such as initial submergence during germination followed by water deficit during the seedling stage,pose significant challenges to direct-seeded rice cultivation.By Linkage disequilibrium analysis,Sub1 and Dro1(Δbp:10 Mb),as well as Sub1 and TPP7(Δbp:6 Mb)were identified to exhibit long-range linkage disequilibrium(LRLD).Meta-QTL analysis further revealed that Sub1 and TPP7 co-segregated for tolerance to submergence at the germination and seedling stages.Based on this,we hypothesized that LRLD might influence plant responses to consecutive stresses.To test this hypothesis,we developed a structured recombinant inbred line population from a cross between Bhalum 2 and Nagina 22,with alleles(Sub1 and TPP7)in linkage equilibrium.Mendelian randomization analysis validated that the parental alleles,rather than the recombinant alleles of Sub1 and TPP7,significantly influenced 13 out of 41 traits under consecutive stress conditions.Additionally,16 minor additive effect QTLs were detected between the genomic regions,spanning Sub1 and TPP7 for various traits.A single allele difference between these genomic regions enhanced crown root number,root dry weight,and specific root area by 11.45%,15.69%,and 33.15%,respectively,under flooded germination conditions.Candidate gene analysis identified WAK79 and MRLK59 as regulators of stress responses during flooded germination,recovery,and subsequent water deficit conditions.These findings highlight the critical role of parental allele combinations and genomic regions between Sub1 and TPP7 in regulating the stress responses under consecutive stresses.Favourable haplotypes derived from these alleles can be utilized to improve stress resilience in direct-seeded rice. 展开更多
关键词 anaerobic germination consecutive stress long-range linkage disequilibrium RICE water deficit Mendelian randomization
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Performance of CRA-40 reanalysis in representing the Antarctic winter stratospheric circulation: a comparison with ERA-5 and MERRA-2
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作者 ZiXu Wang JingGao Hu +3 位作者 Jing-Jia Luo Jian Rao ZongZe Li LiuChi Yan 《Earth and Planetary Physics》 2025年第2期452-459,共8页
This paper evaluates a representation of winter stratospheric circulation in the Antarctic that is based on CRA-40, a 40-year global reanalysis dataset released by the China Meteorological Administration, and compares... This paper evaluates a representation of winter stratospheric circulation in the Antarctic that is based on CRA-40, a 40-year global reanalysis dataset released by the China Meteorological Administration, and compares it with representations based on two other state-of-the-art reanalysis datasets: the fifth-generation atmospheric reanalysis provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ERA-5) and the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2(MERRA-2). In terms of climatology, we find that CRA-40 portrays a stronger and colder polar vortex in the middle and lower stratosphere than ERA-5, but a weaker and warmer one than MERRA-2. However, disagreement among the three reanalyses is confined mainly to the period before1999, and is largely reduced after that time. On the interannual timescale, portrayals of the intensity and area of the 10-hPa polar vortex are quite consistent among the three reanalyses, with correlation coefficients greater than 0.9 between each pair of reanalyses. In addition, the central dates of most sudden stratospheric deceleration(SSD) events at 10 hPa in the three reanalyses differ by less than one day, indicating that CRA-40 is also highly consistent with the other two reanalysis datasets regarding daily evolution. Our analyses suggest that CRA-40 performs comparably to ERA-5 and MERRA-2 in characterizing winter circulation in the Antarctic middle and lower stratosphere. 展开更多
关键词 CRA-40 ERA-5 MERRA-2 Antarctic stratosphere reanalysis intercomparison
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Biofilmed-PGPR:Next-Generation Bioinoculant for Plant Growth Promotion in Rice under Changing Climate
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作者 Jeberlin Prabina BRIGHT Hemant SMAHESHWARI +5 位作者 Sugitha THANGAPPAN Kahkashan PERVEEN Najat ABUKHARI Debasis MITRA Riyaz SAYYED Andrea MASTINU 《Rice science》 2025年第1期94-106,I0059,I0060,共15页
The exopolysaccharide matrix of diazotrophic cyanobacteria was used to integrate phosphorus(P)and potassium(K)solubilizing bacteria,enhancing the survival of plant growth-promoting rhizobacteria,and ultimately the sur... The exopolysaccharide matrix of diazotrophic cyanobacteria was used to integrate phosphorus(P)and potassium(K)solubilizing bacteria,enhancing the survival of plant growth-promoting rhizobacteria,and ultimately the survival of bacteria in the rhizosphere for better plant growth.A new biofilm-based formulation comprising the diazotrophic cyanobacteria Anabaena AMP2,P-solubilizing Bacillus megaterium var.phosphaticum PB1,and K-solubilizing Rhizobium pusense KRBKKM1 was tested for efficacy in rice.The growth medium with half-strength BG-11 medium supplemented with 3%glucose showed best for biofilm formation under in vitro conditions.Analysis of the methanolic extract of the cyanobacterial-bacterial biofilm(CBB)showed the activity of antioxidants,such as 2-methoxy phenol and pentadecane,which are proven to improve plant-microbe interactions and plant growth,respectively.Treatment of rice seeds with CBB extract at 100 mL/kg or 200 mL/kg showed significant enhancement in germination rate and seedling length.Therefore,a pot culture experiment with the CBB formulations was carried out,and different growth and yield parameters were recorded.Principal component analysis showed that plant growth,yield,soil dehydrogenase activity,and soil chlorophyll content were positively correlated with rice plants amended with vermiculite-based CBB at 2 kg/hm^(2) followed by a spray with aqueous CBB formulation at 5 mL/L at 15 and 30 d after rice transplanting grown with a 25%reduced level of nitrogen/phosphorus/potassium chemical fertilizers than the recommended dose.Further,Pearson correlation analysis showed that yield was positively correlated with soil dehydrogenase(r=0.92**)and soil chlorophyll content(r=0.96**).We concluded that CBB could be used as a novel biofilm-based bio-inoculant to increase rice productivity and crop fitness as a component in integrated nutrient management and sustainable organic farming strategies with reduced chemical fertilizers. 展开更多
关键词 cyanobacterial bacterial biofilm formulation RICE volatile compound plant growth promotion reduced fertilizer level
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不同类型冷却屋顶方案对城市群热环境的缓解效果 被引量:7
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作者 张弥 马红云 +2 位作者 林卉娇 李海俊 王莹 《气候变化研究进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2021年第1期45-57,共13页
利用耦合单层城市冠层模型的中尺度数值模式WRF/UCM,选取8组不同反照率和绿化比例的屋顶冷却方案进行敏感性试验,模拟研究不同冷却屋顶方案对长三角城市群2013年夏季城市热环境的影响,并分析其影响机制。结果表明:不同冷却屋顶方案对城... 利用耦合单层城市冠层模型的中尺度数值模式WRF/UCM,选取8组不同反照率和绿化比例的屋顶冷却方案进行敏感性试验,模拟研究不同冷却屋顶方案对长三角城市群2013年夏季城市热环境的影响,并分析其影响机制。结果表明:不同冷却屋顶方案对城市群热环境的缓解效果与屋顶参数之间呈很强的线性关系。高温热浪天气下,HR4(反照率为1.0)和GR4(屋顶绿化率为100%)方案的制冷度日数分别降低了14.7%和10.9%,节约的能源比普通夏日更多。同时,高温热浪天气会增强热岛强度,高反照率屋顶方案在白天对热岛起到更有效的缓解,热浪天气下日平均热岛强度最大可降低1.36℃。相同方案下,在高温热浪天气下的缓解效果均胜于普通夏日,平均而言,高反照率屋顶和屋顶绿化的降温效果分别增大38.5%和34.9%,增湿效果分别增大29.5%和21.9%,这主要是由于在高温热浪天气下,高反照率屋顶方案能够减少更多的净辐射通量,屋顶绿化方案能够释放更多的潜热通量。此外,城市格点密集区域的降温效果优于分散的城市区域,处于城市群中的常州区域较单独的杭州区域的降温幅度平均高32%。 展开更多
关键词 高温热浪 冷却屋顶 热岛效应 缓解效果
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