Precise coseismic displacements in earthquake/tsunamic early warning are necessary to characterize earthquakes in real time in order to enable decision-makers to issue alerts for public safety.Real-time global navigat...Precise coseismic displacements in earthquake/tsunamic early warning are necessary to characterize earthquakes in real time in order to enable decision-makers to issue alerts for public safety.Real-time global navigation satellite systems(GNSSs)have been a valuable tool in monitoring seismic motions,allowing permanent displacement computation to be unambiguously achieved.As a valuable tool presented to the seismic commu nity,the GSeisRT software developed by Wuhan University(China)can realize multi-GNSS precise point positioning with ambiguity resolution(PPP-AR)and achieve centimeterlevel to sub-centimeter-level precision in real time.While the stable maintenance of a global precise point positioning(PPP)service is challenging,this software is capable of estimating satellite clocks and phase biases in real time using a regional GNSS network.This capability makes GSeisRT especially suitable for proprietary GNSS networks and,more importantly,the highest possible positio ning precision and reliability can be obtained.According to real-time results from the Network of the Americas,the mean root mean square(RMS)errors of kinematic PPP-AR over a 24 h span are as low as 1.2,1.3,and 3.0 cm in the east,north,and up components,respectively.Within the few minutes that span a typical seismic event,a horizontal displacement precision of 4 mm can be achieved.The positioning precision of the GSeisRT regional PPP/PPP-AR is 30%-40%higher than that of the global PPP/PPP-AR.Since 2019,GSeisRT has successfully recorded the static,dynamic,and peak ground displacements for the 2020Oaxaca,Mexico moment magnitude(Mw)7.4 event;the 2020 Lone Pine,California Mw 5.8 event;and the 2021 Qinghai,China Mw 7.3 event in real time.The resulting immediate magnitude estimates have an error of around 0.1 only.The GSeisRT software is open to the scientific community and has been applied by the China Earthquake Ne tworks Center,the EarthScope Consortium of the United States,the National Seismological Center of Chile,Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences Limited(GNS Science Te PūAo)of New Zealand,and the Geospatial Information Agency of Indonesia.展开更多
Mg_(x)(Ni_(0.8)La_(0.2))_(100-x),where x=60,70,80,exhibiting a nanocrystalline microstructure,were prepared through the crystallization of amorphous alloys.The investigation encompassed the phase constitution,grain si...Mg_(x)(Ni_(0.8)La_(0.2))_(100-x),where x=60,70,80,exhibiting a nanocrystalline microstructure,were prepared through the crystallization of amorphous alloys.The investigation encompassed the phase constitution,grain size,microstructural stability,and hydrogen storage properties.Crystallization kinetics,along with in-situ high-energy XRD characterization,revealed a concentrated and synchronous crystallization of Mg_(2)Ni and RE-Mg-Ni ternary phases with the increase in La and Ni content.The attributed synchronous crystallization process was found to be a result of the close local affinity of Mg_(2)Ni and RE-Mg-Ni ternary phases,as assessed by the thermodynamic Miedema model.Significant secondary phase pinning effect,arising from the high likelihood of well-matching phase structures between Mg_(2)Ni,LaMg_(2)Ni,and LaMgNi_(4),was validated through both the edge-to-edge matching model prediction and experimental observation.Thefine and homogeneous microstructure was shown to be a consequence of fast crystallization kinetics and the secondary phase pinning effect.Improved activation performance and cycling stability were observed,stemming from grain refinement and excellent microstructural stability.Our study provides insights into mechanism of grain refinement of nanocrystalline microstructure tailored by phase constitution and crystallization kinetics in the amorphous-crystallization route.We also demonstrate the potential of material design guided by phase equilibria and crystallographic predictions to improve nanocrystalline with excellent microstructural stability.展开更多
Since the inaugural international collaboration under the framework of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability(CSEP)in 2007,numerous forecast models have been developed and operated for earthquake...Since the inaugural international collaboration under the framework of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability(CSEP)in 2007,numerous forecast models have been developed and operated for earthquake forecasting experiments across CSEP testing centers(Schorlemmer et al.,2018).Over more than a decade,efforts to compare forecasts with observed earthquakes using numerous statistical test methods and insights into earthquake predictability,which have become a highlight of the CSEP platform.展开更多
A landslide displacement (DLL) attenuation model has been developed using spectral intensity and a ratio of critical acceleration coefficient to ground acceleration coefficient. In the development of the model,a New Z...A landslide displacement (DLL) attenuation model has been developed using spectral intensity and a ratio of critical acceleration coefficient to ground acceleration coefficient. In the development of the model,a New Zealand earthquake record data set with magnitudes ranging from 5.0 to 7.2 within a source distance of 175 km is used. The model can be used to carry out deterministic landslide displacement analysis,and readily extended to carry out probabilistic seismic landslide displacement analysis. DLL attenuation models have also been developed by using earthquake source terms,such as magnitude and source distance,that account for the effects of earthquake faulttype,source type,and site conditions. Sensitivity analyses show that the predicted DLL values from the new models are close to those from the Romeo model that was developed from an Italian earthquake record data set. The proposed models are also applied to an analysis of landslide displacements in the Wenchuan earthquake,and a comparison between the predicted and the observed results shows that the proposed models are reliable,and can be confidently used in mapping landslide potential.展开更多
A revised empirical model has been developed for predicting liquefaction-induced lateral spreading displacement （LD） as a function of both response spectral acceleration derived from strong-motion attenuation models...A revised empirical model has been developed for predicting liquefaction-induced lateral spreading displacement （LD） as a function of both response spectral acceleration derived from strong-motion attenuation models and geotechnical parameters from Youd＇s LD data set （Youd website）. This revised model is different from the model of Zhang and Zhao, which overcame some drawbacks of earlier models for predicting lateral spreading and was primarily used in Japan and the western U.S. The revised model can potentially be applied anywhere if ground shaking （in terms of 5% damped acceleration or displacement response spectra） can be estimated using local strong-motion attenuation relationships. The revised model is examined using data from Japan and the western U.S. and applied to Turkey and New Zealand, where the ground shaking is estimated using appropriate strong-motion attenuation relationships for each region. The accuracy of the revised model is evaluated by comparing its predicted lateral displacements with those measured in actual earthquakes. The results show that the revised model can account for the effects of local seismicity on lateral spreading displacements and is comparable with existing prediction models.展开更多
Forty-eight interviews were undertaken with residents in Timaru, Wanganui and Napier, New Zealand, in 2008 to explore how people understand and use information about earthquake hazards and preparedness, and how this p...Forty-eight interviews were undertaken with residents in Timaru, Wanganui and Napier, New Zealand, in 2008 to explore how people understand and use information about earthquake hazards and preparedness, and how this process affects actual preparedness. Three main types of information were identified as being utilized by people： passive information （e.g., newspapers, brochures, TV, radio, websites）, interactive information （e.g., community activities, school activities~ and workplace activities）, and experiential information （e.g., experiencing a hazardous event, responding to an event, and working in an organization that deals with hazards）. People tended to either contextualize hazard and preparedness information around any prevailing beliefs they had or form new beliefs on exposure to information. A number of core beliefs were identified as crucial for helping people consider that preparing is important and motivating actual adjustment adoption. Society also has an influence on how people interpret information and form intentions to prepare. People are often influenced by the opinions of others, and as preparing for disasters is not seen as a societal norm, this can cause people not to prepare. Feeling a responsibility for others （e.g., children） appears to be a major driver of preparedness. Other societal factors such as trust, leadership and sense of community also influence interpretation, dissemination and use of hazards and preparedness information. Finally, a number of resource issues can help or hinder preparedness.展开更多
The lower central plain of Thailand is characterized by a flat, low-lying area in the central region bound by mountain to the west, north and east and connected to a coastal shoreline of the Gulf of Thailand to the so...The lower central plain of Thailand is characterized by a flat, low-lying area in the central region bound by mountain to the west, north and east and connected to a coastal shoreline of the Gulf of Thailand to the south as a sedimentary basin containing a thick sequence of Quaternary sediments. The present study focused on the Bangkok Clay, a dark grey to black, soft marine clay sandwiched between thin layers of peat and fluvial sediments. The Bangkok Clay is about 25 meters thick in the middle portion of the shoreline, tapering towards the basin margin to the west, north and east forming a half lens-shaped, dark grey clay body. The Bangkok Clay contains abundant and diverse organic remains including vertebrates, invertebrates, plants and microscopic algae. Palynological analysis has yielded diverse assemblages of pollen, spores and diatoms. The pollen and spores include several types of Avicenniaceae, Brownlowia sp., Combretaceae, Cyperaceae, Myrtaceae, Pinaeeae, Poaeeae, Rhizophoraceae, Sonneratiaceae, Xylocarpus sp., Acrostichum spp., Gleicheniaceae and Stenochlaena palustris. In addition, coastal diatoms derived from the palynological slides include Diploneis elliptica, Tryblionella cocconeiformis, Coscinodiscus radiata, Nitzchia sp., Tryblionella cf. compressa, Coscinodiscus sp., Paralia sulcata, Actinocyclus sp., Triceratium reticulum, Surirella sp., Cocconeis costata, and Thalassiosira sp. The Bangkok Clay was, therefore, formed in intertidal and shallow subtidal environments under a tropical moist climate. The Bangkok Clay is sandwiched between two thin peat layers. The basal peat developed through continuous accumulation of plant debris along the shoreline during the marine transgression of the Late Pleistocene to Early Holocene （ca. 8,000-7,000 years ago） whereas the upper peat formed during the Early Holocene to present day marine regression. Migration back and forth of the mangrove vegetation is recorded in these sediments as sea-level changed. A reddish-brown, mottled, stiff clay beneath the basal peat is devoid of pollen whereas the dark grey, silty clay layers overlying the upper peat, developed by a fluvial system migrating as the marine regression receded, contains palynomorphs from terrestrial environments including freshwater swamps. The pollen and spores include Ceratopteris thalictroides, Cocos sp., Cyperaceae, Ipomoea sp., Jussiaea sp., Lagerstroemia spp., Poaceae, Polygonum sp., Typhaangustifolia, Nymphaea sp., and Lygodium sp. Even though the lower central plain area developed after ca. 8,000-7,000 years ago, no evidence of human settlements has been observed until around 2,000 years ago. There are many ancient Dvaravati towns along the 8,000-7,000 year-old shoreline and further inland, except around the 8,000-7,000 year-old and younger paleo-gulf. Around 2,000 years ago when the Dvaravati people had settled their communities along the 8,000-7,000 year-old shoreline and inland, the marine regression moved to more or less the present position leaving swampy areas with dense sedge-dominant vegetation where no evidence of human settlements have been found. Our research suggests that pollen, spores and diatoms are important tools differentiating fluvial and marine sediments allowing us to trace the history of sea-level changes closely related to human settlements. However, detailed age determinations for the two peat layers are strongly recommended for tracing the spatial and temporal development of the shoreline to understand the lower central plain development and history of human settlements.展开更多
New Zealand is renowned for its diverse geology and dynamic tectonic setting astride an active segment of the boundary between the Pacific and Australian plates.New Zealand is an emergent fraction(5%)of the largely su...New Zealand is renowned for its diverse geology and dynamic tectonic setting astride an active segment of the boundary between the Pacific and Australian plates.New Zealand is an emergent fraction(5%)of the largely submerged‘continent’of Zealandia which is half the size of Australia.Zealandia is comprised mainly of continental crust but because it is less than 30 km thick,it is largely below sea level.Zealandia’s origins relate to eastern Gondwanaland from which it rifted during the Late Cretaceous to early Cenozoic,with formation of the Tasman Sea floor.Continental Zealandia may be thought of as part of the Australian/Gondwanaland mineral estate,and it is rich in natural resources.However,it was stretched and thinned for 100 Myr,culminating in the Eocene with development of the modern plate boundary.New Zealand largely owes its emergence to plate collision processes within the past 25 Myr.展开更多
The name of Harold Wellman(Fig.1)is closely associated with the Alpine Fault of New Zealand as well as the study of strike-slip faults world wide.After recognising the Alpine Fault in 1941-42,Wellman continued to stud...The name of Harold Wellman(Fig.1)is closely associated with the Alpine Fault of New Zealand as well as the study of strike-slip faults world wide.After recognising the Alpine Fault in 1941-42,Wellman continued to study it for the next 40 years,and this paper traces the evolution of his ideas on a huge fault that is now recognised as part of a major plate boundary.展开更多
The first international conference for the post-2015 United Nations landmark agreements(Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030, Sustainable Development Goals, and Paris Agreement on Climate Change) wa...The first international conference for the post-2015 United Nations landmark agreements(Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030, Sustainable Development Goals, and Paris Agreement on Climate Change) was held in January 2016 to discuss the role of science and technology in implementing the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030. The UNISDR Science and Technology Conference on the Implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030 aimed to discuss and endorse plans that maximize science's contribution to reducing disaster risks and losses in the coming 15 years and bring together the diversity of stakeholders producing and using disaster risk reduction(DRR) science and technology. This article describes the evolution of the role of science and technology in the policy process building up to the Sendai Framework adoption that resulted in an unprecedented emphasis on science in the text agreed on by 187 United Nations member states in March 2015 and endorsed by the United Nations General Assembly in June 2015. Contributions assembled by the Conference Organizing Committee and teams including the conference concept notes and the conference discussions that involved a broad range of scientists and decision makers are summarized in this article. The conference emphasized how partnerships and networks can advance multidisciplinary research and bring together science, policy, and practice; how disaster risk is understood, and how risks are assessed and early warning systems are designed; what data, standards, and innovative practices would be needed to measure and report on risk reduction; what research and capacity gaps exist and how difficulties in creating and using science for effective DRR can be overcome. The Science and Technology Conference achieved two main outcomes:(1) initiating the UNISDR Science and Technology Partnership for the implementation of the Sendai Framework; and(2) generating discussion and agreement regarding the content and endorsement process of the UNISDR Science and Technology Road Map to 2030.展开更多
The Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes held its 3rd Global Summit of Research Institutes for Disaster Risk Reduction at the Disaster Prevention Research Institute,Kyoto University,Japan,19–21 March,2017....The Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes held its 3rd Global Summit of Research Institutes for Disaster Risk Reduction at the Disaster Prevention Research Institute,Kyoto University,Japan,19–21 March,2017.The Global Alliance seeks to contribute to enhancing disaster risk reduction(DRR) and disaster resilience through the collaboration of research organizations around the world.The summit aim was to expand the platform for bridging science and policy making by evaluating the evidence base needed to meet the expected outcomes and actions of the Sendai Framework for Disaster RiskReduction 2015–2030 and its Science and Technology Roadmap.The summit reflected the international nature of collaborative research and action.A pre-conference questionnaire filled out by Global Alliance members identified323 research projects that are indicative of current research.These were categorized to support seven parallel discussion sessions related to the Sendai Framework priorities for action.Four discussion sessions focused on research that aims to deepen the understanding of disaster risks.Three cross-cutting sessions focused on research that is aimed at the priorities for action on governance,resilience,and recovery.Discussion summaries were presentedin plenary sessions in support of outcomes for widely enhancing the science and policy of DRR.展开更多
The history of convergence between the India and the Asia plates, and of their subsequent collision which triggered the Himalayan orogeny is recorded in the Yarlung Zangbo suture zone. Exposed along the southern side ...The history of convergence between the India and the Asia plates, and of their subsequent collision which triggered the Himalayan orogeny is recorded in the Yarlung Zangbo suture zone. Exposed along the southern side of the suture, turbidites of the the Jiachala Formation fed largely from the Gangdese arc have long been considered as post-collisional foreland-basin deposits based on the reported occurrence of Paleocene-early Eocene dinoflagellate cysts and pollen assemblages. Because magmatic activity in the Gangdese arc continued through the Late Cretaceous and Paleogene, this scenario is incompatible with U-Pb ages of detrital zircons invariably older than the latest Cretaceous. To solve this conundrum, we carried out detailed stratigraphic, sedimentological, paleontological, and provenance analyses in the Gyangze and Sajia areas of southern Tibet,China. The Jiachala Formation consists of submarine fan deposits that lie in fault contact with the Zongzhuo Formation.Sandstone petrography together with U-Pb ages and Hf isotope ratios of detrital zircons indicate provenance from the Gangdese arc and central Lhasa terrane. Well preserved pollen or dinoflagellate cysts microfossils were not found in spite of careful research, and the youngest age obtained from zircon grain was ～84 Ma. Based on sedimentary facies, provenance analysis and tectonic position, we suggest that the Jiachala Formation was deposited during the Late Cretaceous(~88–84 Ma) in the trench formed along the southern edge of Asia during subduction of Neo-Tethyan oceanic lithosphere.展开更多
Disaster risk management(DRM) is undergoing noteworthy changes, reflecting the broader shifts in global and local levels of governance. At the global level two significant changes are of interest:(1) the shift from mo...Disaster risk management(DRM) is undergoing noteworthy changes, reflecting the broader shifts in global and local levels of governance. At the global level two significant changes are of interest:(1) the shift from monolithic structures of global governance to a wide range of organizations that can be brought together for specific purposes and(2) the emergence of a globalized system of DRM, with technological, organizational, and institutional capacities enhancing DRM’s ability as a unit in near real time across the globe. At the local level there is an increase in ability to govern and develop creative solutions for complex problems that follow rapid urbanization. The importance of getting the global–local interface to work in tandem has been highlighted by recent hazard events, such as the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake and Tsunami. From a broad view of global and local shifts, a strategic role is becoming clearer at the national level for enhancing the relationships between the global and local levels. Through the influence of a globalized system of DRM, the local level can significantly improve its capacity without the heavy investment that might have been required to develop these capacities in isolation. One key to achieving this is adiffusion of DRM higher education, supported by an enhanced system of information flow.展开更多
Despite advances in forecasting and emergency preparedness, weather related disasters continue to cost many lives, to displace populations and to cause wide-spread damage. Therefore, High Impact Weather Project (HIWea...Despite advances in forecasting and emergency preparedness, weather related disasters continue to cost many lives, to displace populations and to cause wide-spread damage. Therefore, High Impact Weather Project (HIWeather), a 10-year research project (https://public.wmo.int/en/resources/buHetin/hiweather-10-yearresearch- project), was established in 2016 by WM0 (World Meteorology Organization) WWRP (World Weather Research Program: https://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/wwrp_new_en. html). HIWeather aimed at achieving dramatic improvements in the effectiveness of weather-related hazard warnings, following recent advancement in numerical weather prediction at km-scale and in disaster risk reduction. The implementation plan was developed under the concept of warning chain, which comprises all components and the connections between to a successful weather-hazards warning: observations, weather forecast, hazard forecast, impact forecast, the generation of warnings and decision making (Fig. 1). A successful warning relies on information produced by the meteorological and related physical sciences, thus its effectiveness of delivery depends on applications of social, behavioral and economic sciences. The workshop of WM0 High Impact Weather Project was held in Beijing during 20-22 November of 2018, attracted a diverse and interdisciplinary group of over 70 scientists from 25 countries in the broad field of physical and social science, during which all elements of the warning chain were discussed critically.展开更多
The public has access to a range of mobile applications(apps)for disasters.However,there has been limited academic research conducted on disaster apps and how the public perceives their usability.This study explores e...The public has access to a range of mobile applications(apps)for disasters.However,there has been limited academic research conducted on disaster apps and how the public perceives their usability.This study explores end-users'perceptions of the usability of disaster apps.It proposes a conceptual framework based on insights gathered from thematically analyzing online reviews.The study identifies new usability concerns particular to disaster apps'use:(1)content relevance depends on the app's purpose and the proximate significance of the information to the hazard event's time and location;(2)app dependability affects users'perceptions of usability due to the lifesafety association of disaster apps;(3)users perceive advertisements to contribute to their cognitive load;(4)users expect apps to work efficiently without unnecessary consumption of critical phone resources;(5)appropriate audio interface can improve usability,as sounds can boost an app's alerting aspect;and,finally(6)in-app browsing may potentially enhance users'impression of the structure of a disaster app.As a result,this study argues for focussed research and development on public-facing disaster apps.Future research should consider the conceptual framework and concerns presented in this study when building design guidelines and theories for disaster apps.展开更多
In 2015, Aotearoa New Zealand became a signatory to the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030(Sendai Framework), the Paris Climate Change Agreement(Paris Agreement), and the Sustainable Development G...In 2015, Aotearoa New Zealand became a signatory to the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030(Sendai Framework), the Paris Climate Change Agreement(Paris Agreement), and the Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs). Since 2017 Aotearoa New Zealand has been undergoing governance reform to realign priorities and to improve the management of natural hazards and climate change. The aim of this article is to provide a review of how Aotearoa New Zealand is taking steps to improve consistency of planning across the legislative environment, thereby implementing its commitments to the Sendai Framework, the SDGs, and the Paris Agreement. It provides an overview of the national governance arrangements, with a focus on the key legislative tools;identifies how key terms are defined nationally;and provides an overview of the governance arrangements that contribute to the country’s international obligations. The discussion describes how obligations are applied, and considers two"disruptive and proactive" action examples. Four recommended actions are provided to further implement these international aspirations:(1) take into account these international agreements during the development and implementation of all legislation;(2) build awareness, capability,and capacity within central, regional, and local governments to support implementation;(3) actively evaluate the progress of implementing initiatives designed to reduce vulnerability and strengthen resilience;and(4) ensure that more weight and value are given to indigenous planning documents.展开更多
Plan evaluation is of utmost importance as a function of good governance. It provides a means to improve the institutional basis for implementing land use controls, provides an important opportunity to improve future ...Plan evaluation is of utmost importance as a function of good governance. It provides a means to improve the institutional basis for implementing land use controls, provides an important opportunity to improve future plans to reduce risk, and improves the vision for sustainable development and management. This article provides an overview of the methods and findings of a plan evaluation project undertaken in New Zealand. The project analyzed 99 operative plans, provided in-depth analysis of ten plans, and included a capability and capacity study of councils. This is the first time all operative plans in New Zealand have had their natural hazard provisions assessed in this manner. The information provides an important baseline for future policy improvements, and a basis for future research and policy directions. The project found that, while New Zealand land use plans appear to be improving over time, there are still opportunities for improvement. These include improving linkages between objectives, policies, and rules within land use plans; and strengthening the linkages between land use and emergency management plans. The largest challenge is the accessibility, understanding of, and updating of hazard information.展开更多
Enigmatic calcareous conical fossils have been known from marine Paleocene-Eocene sequences of New Zea-land since the early 1870s.More recently,similar fossils have been recorded from both Late Cretaceous ma-rine sequ...Enigmatic calcareous conical fossils have been known from marine Paleocene-Eocene sequences of New Zea-land since the early 1870s.More recently,similar fossils have been recorded from both Late Cretaceous ma-rine sequences of Western Australia,New Caledonia and Antarctica,and possibly from the Eocene of South America.The present paper extends the record to the late Cretaceous of New Caledonia.These remains are un-like any living taxa,and have been variously interpreted as molluscs(rudistid bivalves),cirripedes(stalked bar-nacles),annelids and inorganic structures.Assignation to the Cirripedia has been refuted by Buckeridge(1983,1993),who proposed that the material would be better placed within the Cnidaria.We investigate this hypothe-sis in light of the New Caledonian material and by comparison with living gorgonians and pennatulaceans,and demonstrate that Waiparaconus is best placed within the Pennatulacea.Waiparaconus zelandicus varies in form somewhat,with 3 morphotypes defined and reinforced by geography.Comment is provided on the imperative to fit organic remains into known groups,with reflection on what may happen if taxa are left in insertae sedis.展开更多
基金funded by National Science Foundation of China(42025401)National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFB3903800)。
文摘Precise coseismic displacements in earthquake/tsunamic early warning are necessary to characterize earthquakes in real time in order to enable decision-makers to issue alerts for public safety.Real-time global navigation satellite systems(GNSSs)have been a valuable tool in monitoring seismic motions,allowing permanent displacement computation to be unambiguously achieved.As a valuable tool presented to the seismic commu nity,the GSeisRT software developed by Wuhan University(China)can realize multi-GNSS precise point positioning with ambiguity resolution(PPP-AR)and achieve centimeterlevel to sub-centimeter-level precision in real time.While the stable maintenance of a global precise point positioning(PPP)service is challenging,this software is capable of estimating satellite clocks and phase biases in real time using a regional GNSS network.This capability makes GSeisRT especially suitable for proprietary GNSS networks and,more importantly,the highest possible positio ning precision and reliability can be obtained.According to real-time results from the Network of the Americas,the mean root mean square(RMS)errors of kinematic PPP-AR over a 24 h span are as low as 1.2,1.3,and 3.0 cm in the east,north,and up components,respectively.Within the few minutes that span a typical seismic event,a horizontal displacement precision of 4 mm can be achieved.The positioning precision of the GSeisRT regional PPP/PPP-AR is 30%-40%higher than that of the global PPP/PPP-AR.Since 2019,GSeisRT has successfully recorded the static,dynamic,and peak ground displacements for the 2020Oaxaca,Mexico moment magnitude(Mw)7.4 event;the 2020 Lone Pine,California Mw 5.8 event;and the 2021 Qinghai,China Mw 7.3 event in real time.The resulting immediate magnitude estimates have an error of around 0.1 only.The GSeisRT software is open to the scientific community and has been applied by the China Earthquake Ne tworks Center,the EarthScope Consortium of the United States,the National Seismological Center of Chile,Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences Limited(GNS Science Te PūAo)of New Zealand,and the Geospatial Information Agency of Indonesia.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(51761034,51961032,51962028 and 52261041)Innovation Foundation of Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology(2019YQL03)+2 种基金Major Science and Technology Project of Inner Mongolia(2021ZD0029)Program for Young Talents of Science and Technology in Universities of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region(NJYT23005,NJYT23007)Program for Innovative Research Team in Universities of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region(NMGIRT2401).
文摘Mg_(x)(Ni_(0.8)La_(0.2))_(100-x),where x=60,70,80,exhibiting a nanocrystalline microstructure,were prepared through the crystallization of amorphous alloys.The investigation encompassed the phase constitution,grain size,microstructural stability,and hydrogen storage properties.Crystallization kinetics,along with in-situ high-energy XRD characterization,revealed a concentrated and synchronous crystallization of Mg_(2)Ni and RE-Mg-Ni ternary phases with the increase in La and Ni content.The attributed synchronous crystallization process was found to be a result of the close local affinity of Mg_(2)Ni and RE-Mg-Ni ternary phases,as assessed by the thermodynamic Miedema model.Significant secondary phase pinning effect,arising from the high likelihood of well-matching phase structures between Mg_(2)Ni,LaMg_(2)Ni,and LaMgNi_(4),was validated through both the edge-to-edge matching model prediction and experimental observation.Thefine and homogeneous microstructure was shown to be a consequence of fast crystallization kinetics and the secondary phase pinning effect.Improved activation performance and cycling stability were observed,stemming from grain refinement and excellent microstructural stability.Our study provides insights into mechanism of grain refinement of nanocrystalline microstructure tailored by phase constitution and crystallization kinetics in the amorphous-crystallization route.We also demonstrate the potential of material design guided by phase equilibria and crystallographic predictions to improve nanocrystalline with excellent microstructural stability.
基金granted by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42004038)Earthquake Tracking Orientation Tasks of CEA(Grant No.2024020104)+1 种基金the Special Fund of IEFCEA(Grant No.CEAIEF2022030206)the China Scholarship Council(CSC)exchange program(Grant No.202204190019)。
文摘Since the inaugural international collaboration under the framework of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability(CSEP)in 2007,numerous forecast models have been developed and operated for earthquake forecasting experiments across CSEP testing centers(Schorlemmer et al.,2018).Over more than a decade,efforts to compare forecasts with observed earthquakes using numerous statistical test methods and insights into earthquake predictability,which have become a highlight of the CSEP platform.
基金Foundation for Research and Science and Technology of New Zealand,No C05X0208 and C05X0301 Major Project of Chinese National Programs for Fundamental Research and Development (973 Program),No 2008CB425802
文摘A landslide displacement (DLL) attenuation model has been developed using spectral intensity and a ratio of critical acceleration coefficient to ground acceleration coefficient. In the development of the model,a New Zealand earthquake record data set with magnitudes ranging from 5.0 to 7.2 within a source distance of 175 km is used. The model can be used to carry out deterministic landslide displacement analysis,and readily extended to carry out probabilistic seismic landslide displacement analysis. DLL attenuation models have also been developed by using earthquake source terms,such as magnitude and source distance,that account for the effects of earthquake faulttype,source type,and site conditions. Sensitivity analyses show that the predicted DLL values from the new models are close to those from the Romeo model that was developed from an Italian earthquake record data set. The proposed models are also applied to an analysis of landslide displacements in the Wenchuan earthquake,and a comparison between the predicted and the observed results shows that the proposed models are reliable,and can be confidently used in mapping landslide potential.
基金National Natural Science Foundation SF of China Under Grant No.41030742NBRP of China Under Grant No. 2011CB013605the Foundation for Research and Science and Technology of New Zealand Under Grant No.C05X0402
文摘A revised empirical model has been developed for predicting liquefaction-induced lateral spreading displacement （LD） as a function of both response spectral acceleration derived from strong-motion attenuation models and geotechnical parameters from Youd＇s LD data set （Youd website）. This revised model is different from the model of Zhang and Zhao, which overcame some drawbacks of earlier models for predicting lateral spreading and was primarily used in Japan and the western U.S. The revised model can potentially be applied anywhere if ground shaking （in terms of 5% damped acceleration or displacement response spectra） can be estimated using local strong-motion attenuation relationships. The revised model is examined using data from Japan and the western U.S. and applied to Turkey and New Zealand, where the ground shaking is estimated using appropriate strong-motion attenuation relationships for each region. The accuracy of the revised model is evaluated by comparing its predicted lateral displacements with those measured in actual earthquakes. The results show that the revised model can account for the effects of local seismicity on lateral spreading displacements and is comparable with existing prediction models.
文摘Forty-eight interviews were undertaken with residents in Timaru, Wanganui and Napier, New Zealand, in 2008 to explore how people understand and use information about earthquake hazards and preparedness, and how this process affects actual preparedness. Three main types of information were identified as being utilized by people： passive information （e.g., newspapers, brochures, TV, radio, websites）, interactive information （e.g., community activities, school activities~ and workplace activities）, and experiential information （e.g., experiencing a hazardous event, responding to an event, and working in an organization that deals with hazards）. People tended to either contextualize hazard and preparedness information around any prevailing beliefs they had or form new beliefs on exposure to information. A number of core beliefs were identified as crucial for helping people consider that preparing is important and motivating actual adjustment adoption. Society also has an influence on how people interpret information and form intentions to prepare. People are often influenced by the opinions of others, and as preparing for disasters is not seen as a societal norm, this can cause people not to prepare. Feeling a responsibility for others （e.g., children） appears to be a major driver of preparedness. Other societal factors such as trust, leadership and sense of community also influence interpretation, dissemination and use of hazards and preparedness information. Finally, a number of resource issues can help or hinder preparedness.
文摘The lower central plain of Thailand is characterized by a flat, low-lying area in the central region bound by mountain to the west, north and east and connected to a coastal shoreline of the Gulf of Thailand to the south as a sedimentary basin containing a thick sequence of Quaternary sediments. The present study focused on the Bangkok Clay, a dark grey to black, soft marine clay sandwiched between thin layers of peat and fluvial sediments. The Bangkok Clay is about 25 meters thick in the middle portion of the shoreline, tapering towards the basin margin to the west, north and east forming a half lens-shaped, dark grey clay body. The Bangkok Clay contains abundant and diverse organic remains including vertebrates, invertebrates, plants and microscopic algae. Palynological analysis has yielded diverse assemblages of pollen, spores and diatoms. The pollen and spores include several types of Avicenniaceae, Brownlowia sp., Combretaceae, Cyperaceae, Myrtaceae, Pinaeeae, Poaeeae, Rhizophoraceae, Sonneratiaceae, Xylocarpus sp., Acrostichum spp., Gleicheniaceae and Stenochlaena palustris. In addition, coastal diatoms derived from the palynological slides include Diploneis elliptica, Tryblionella cocconeiformis, Coscinodiscus radiata, Nitzchia sp., Tryblionella cf. compressa, Coscinodiscus sp., Paralia sulcata, Actinocyclus sp., Triceratium reticulum, Surirella sp., Cocconeis costata, and Thalassiosira sp. The Bangkok Clay was, therefore, formed in intertidal and shallow subtidal environments under a tropical moist climate. The Bangkok Clay is sandwiched between two thin peat layers. The basal peat developed through continuous accumulation of plant debris along the shoreline during the marine transgression of the Late Pleistocene to Early Holocene （ca. 8,000-7,000 years ago） whereas the upper peat formed during the Early Holocene to present day marine regression. Migration back and forth of the mangrove vegetation is recorded in these sediments as sea-level changed. A reddish-brown, mottled, stiff clay beneath the basal peat is devoid of pollen whereas the dark grey, silty clay layers overlying the upper peat, developed by a fluvial system migrating as the marine regression receded, contains palynomorphs from terrestrial environments including freshwater swamps. The pollen and spores include Ceratopteris thalictroides, Cocos sp., Cyperaceae, Ipomoea sp., Jussiaea sp., Lagerstroemia spp., Poaceae, Polygonum sp., Typhaangustifolia, Nymphaea sp., and Lygodium sp. Even though the lower central plain area developed after ca. 8,000-7,000 years ago, no evidence of human settlements has been observed until around 2,000 years ago. There are many ancient Dvaravati towns along the 8,000-7,000 year-old shoreline and further inland, except around the 8,000-7,000 year-old and younger paleo-gulf. Around 2,000 years ago when the Dvaravati people had settled their communities along the 8,000-7,000 year-old shoreline and inland, the marine regression moved to more or less the present position leaving swampy areas with dense sedge-dominant vegetation where no evidence of human settlements have been found. Our research suggests that pollen, spores and diatoms are important tools differentiating fluvial and marine sediments allowing us to trace the history of sea-level changes closely related to human settlements. However, detailed age determinations for the two peat layers are strongly recommended for tracing the spatial and temporal development of the shoreline to understand the lower central plain development and history of human settlements.
文摘New Zealand is renowned for its diverse geology and dynamic tectonic setting astride an active segment of the boundary between the Pacific and Australian plates.New Zealand is an emergent fraction(5%)of the largely submerged‘continent’of Zealandia which is half the size of Australia.Zealandia is comprised mainly of continental crust but because it is less than 30 km thick,it is largely below sea level.Zealandia’s origins relate to eastern Gondwanaland from which it rifted during the Late Cretaceous to early Cenozoic,with formation of the Tasman Sea floor.Continental Zealandia may be thought of as part of the Australian/Gondwanaland mineral estate,and it is rich in natural resources.However,it was stretched and thinned for 100 Myr,culminating in the Eocene with development of the modern plate boundary.New Zealand largely owes its emergence to plate collision processes within the past 25 Myr.
文摘The name of Harold Wellman(Fig.1)is closely associated with the Alpine Fault of New Zealand as well as the study of strike-slip faults world wide.After recognising the Alpine Fault in 1941-42,Wellman continued to study it for the next 40 years,and this paper traces the evolution of his ideas on a huge fault that is now recognised as part of a major plate boundary.
文摘The first international conference for the post-2015 United Nations landmark agreements(Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030, Sustainable Development Goals, and Paris Agreement on Climate Change) was held in January 2016 to discuss the role of science and technology in implementing the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030. The UNISDR Science and Technology Conference on the Implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030 aimed to discuss and endorse plans that maximize science's contribution to reducing disaster risks and losses in the coming 15 years and bring together the diversity of stakeholders producing and using disaster risk reduction(DRR) science and technology. This article describes the evolution of the role of science and technology in the policy process building up to the Sendai Framework adoption that resulted in an unprecedented emphasis on science in the text agreed on by 187 United Nations member states in March 2015 and endorsed by the United Nations General Assembly in June 2015. Contributions assembled by the Conference Organizing Committee and teams including the conference concept notes and the conference discussions that involved a broad range of scientists and decision makers are summarized in this article. The conference emphasized how partnerships and networks can advance multidisciplinary research and bring together science, policy, and practice; how disaster risk is understood, and how risks are assessed and early warning systems are designed; what data, standards, and innovative practices would be needed to measure and report on risk reduction; what research and capacity gaps exist and how difficulties in creating and using science for effective DRR can be overcome. The Science and Technology Conference achieved two main outcomes:(1) initiating the UNISDR Science and Technology Partnership for the implementation of the Sendai Framework; and(2) generating discussion and agreement regarding the content and endorsement process of the UNISDR Science and Technology Road Map to 2030.
文摘The Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes held its 3rd Global Summit of Research Institutes for Disaster Risk Reduction at the Disaster Prevention Research Institute,Kyoto University,Japan,19–21 March,2017.The Global Alliance seeks to contribute to enhancing disaster risk reduction(DRR) and disaster resilience through the collaboration of research organizations around the world.The summit aim was to expand the platform for bridging science and policy making by evaluating the evidence base needed to meet the expected outcomes and actions of the Sendai Framework for Disaster RiskReduction 2015–2030 and its Science and Technology Roadmap.The summit reflected the international nature of collaborative research and action.A pre-conference questionnaire filled out by Global Alliance members identified323 research projects that are indicative of current research.These were categorized to support seven parallel discussion sessions related to the Sendai Framework priorities for action.Four discussion sessions focused on research that aims to deepen the understanding of disaster risks.Three cross-cutting sessions focused on research that is aimed at the priorities for action on governance,resilience,and recovery.Discussion summaries were presentedin plenary sessions in support of outcomes for widely enhancing the science and policy of DRR.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41525007, 41602115)
文摘The history of convergence between the India and the Asia plates, and of their subsequent collision which triggered the Himalayan orogeny is recorded in the Yarlung Zangbo suture zone. Exposed along the southern side of the suture, turbidites of the the Jiachala Formation fed largely from the Gangdese arc have long been considered as post-collisional foreland-basin deposits based on the reported occurrence of Paleocene-early Eocene dinoflagellate cysts and pollen assemblages. Because magmatic activity in the Gangdese arc continued through the Late Cretaceous and Paleogene, this scenario is incompatible with U-Pb ages of detrital zircons invariably older than the latest Cretaceous. To solve this conundrum, we carried out detailed stratigraphic, sedimentological, paleontological, and provenance analyses in the Gyangze and Sajia areas of southern Tibet,China. The Jiachala Formation consists of submarine fan deposits that lie in fault contact with the Zongzhuo Formation.Sandstone petrography together with U-Pb ages and Hf isotope ratios of detrital zircons indicate provenance from the Gangdese arc and central Lhasa terrane. Well preserved pollen or dinoflagellate cysts microfossils were not found in spite of careful research, and the youngest age obtained from zircon grain was ～84 Ma. Based on sedimentary facies, provenance analysis and tectonic position, we suggest that the Jiachala Formation was deposited during the Late Cretaceous(~88–84 Ma) in the trench formed along the southern edge of Asia during subduction of Neo-Tethyan oceanic lithosphere.
文摘Disaster risk management(DRM) is undergoing noteworthy changes, reflecting the broader shifts in global and local levels of governance. At the global level two significant changes are of interest:(1) the shift from monolithic structures of global governance to a wide range of organizations that can be brought together for specific purposes and(2) the emergence of a globalized system of DRM, with technological, organizational, and institutional capacities enhancing DRM’s ability as a unit in near real time across the globe. At the local level there is an increase in ability to govern and develop creative solutions for complex problems that follow rapid urbanization. The importance of getting the global–local interface to work in tandem has been highlighted by recent hazard events, such as the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake and Tsunami. From a broad view of global and local shifts, a strategic role is becoming clearer at the national level for enhancing the relationships between the global and local levels. Through the influence of a globalized system of DRM, the local level can significantly improve its capacity without the heavy investment that might have been required to develop these capacities in isolation. One key to achieving this is adiffusion of DRM higher education, supported by an enhanced system of information flow.
基金supported by 2018 Open Research Program of the Chinese State Key Laboratory of Severe Weatherthe National Natural Science Foundation of China(41330421,41875052)
文摘Despite advances in forecasting and emergency preparedness, weather related disasters continue to cost many lives, to displace populations and to cause wide-spread damage. Therefore, High Impact Weather Project (HIWeather), a 10-year research project (https://public.wmo.int/en/resources/buHetin/hiweather-10-yearresearch- project), was established in 2016 by WM0 (World Meteorology Organization) WWRP (World Weather Research Program: https://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/wwrp_new_en. html). HIWeather aimed at achieving dramatic improvements in the effectiveness of weather-related hazard warnings, following recent advancement in numerical weather prediction at km-scale and in disaster risk reduction. The implementation plan was developed under the concept of warning chain, which comprises all components and the connections between to a successful weather-hazards warning: observations, weather forecast, hazard forecast, impact forecast, the generation of warnings and decision making (Fig. 1). A successful warning relies on information produced by the meteorological and related physical sciences, thus its effectiveness of delivery depends on applications of social, behavioral and economic sciences. The workshop of WM0 High Impact Weather Project was held in Beijing during 20-22 November of 2018, attracted a diverse and interdisciplinary group of over 70 scientists from 25 countries in the broad field of physical and social science, during which all elements of the warning chain were discussed critically.
文摘The public has access to a range of mobile applications(apps)for disasters.However,there has been limited academic research conducted on disaster apps and how the public perceives their usability.This study explores end-users'perceptions of the usability of disaster apps.It proposes a conceptual framework based on insights gathered from thematically analyzing online reviews.The study identifies new usability concerns particular to disaster apps'use:(1)content relevance depends on the app's purpose and the proximate significance of the information to the hazard event's time and location;(2)app dependability affects users'perceptions of usability due to the lifesafety association of disaster apps;(3)users perceive advertisements to contribute to their cognitive load;(4)users expect apps to work efficiently without unnecessary consumption of critical phone resources;(5)appropriate audio interface can improve usability,as sounds can boost an app's alerting aspect;and,finally(6)in-app browsing may potentially enhance users'impression of the structure of a disaster app.As a result,this study argues for focussed research and development on public-facing disaster apps.Future research should consider the conceptual framework and concerns presented in this study when building design guidelines and theories for disaster apps.
文摘In 2015, Aotearoa New Zealand became a signatory to the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030(Sendai Framework), the Paris Climate Change Agreement(Paris Agreement), and the Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs). Since 2017 Aotearoa New Zealand has been undergoing governance reform to realign priorities and to improve the management of natural hazards and climate change. The aim of this article is to provide a review of how Aotearoa New Zealand is taking steps to improve consistency of planning across the legislative environment, thereby implementing its commitments to the Sendai Framework, the SDGs, and the Paris Agreement. It provides an overview of the national governance arrangements, with a focus on the key legislative tools;identifies how key terms are defined nationally;and provides an overview of the governance arrangements that contribute to the country’s international obligations. The discussion describes how obligations are applied, and considers two"disruptive and proactive" action examples. Four recommended actions are provided to further implement these international aspirations:(1) take into account these international agreements during the development and implementation of all legislation;(2) build awareness, capability,and capacity within central, regional, and local governments to support implementation;(3) actively evaluate the progress of implementing initiatives designed to reduce vulnerability and strengthen resilience;and(4) ensure that more weight and value are given to indigenous planning documents.
基金project funding from the Natural Hazards Research Platform and the Ministry for the Environment of New Zealand
文摘Plan evaluation is of utmost importance as a function of good governance. It provides a means to improve the institutional basis for implementing land use controls, provides an important opportunity to improve future plans to reduce risk, and improves the vision for sustainable development and management. This article provides an overview of the methods and findings of a plan evaluation project undertaken in New Zealand. The project analyzed 99 operative plans, provided in-depth analysis of ten plans, and included a capability and capacity study of councils. This is the first time all operative plans in New Zealand have had their natural hazard provisions assessed in this manner. The information provides an important baseline for future policy improvements, and a basis for future research and policy directions. The project found that, while New Zealand land use plans appear to be improving over time, there are still opportunities for improvement. These include improving linkages between objectives, policies, and rules within land use plans; and strengthening the linkages between land use and emergency management plans. The largest challenge is the accessibility, understanding of, and updating of hazard information.
文摘Enigmatic calcareous conical fossils have been known from marine Paleocene-Eocene sequences of New Zea-land since the early 1870s.More recently,similar fossils have been recorded from both Late Cretaceous ma-rine sequences of Western Australia,New Caledonia and Antarctica,and possibly from the Eocene of South America.The present paper extends the record to the late Cretaceous of New Caledonia.These remains are un-like any living taxa,and have been variously interpreted as molluscs(rudistid bivalves),cirripedes(stalked bar-nacles),annelids and inorganic structures.Assignation to the Cirripedia has been refuted by Buckeridge(1983,1993),who proposed that the material would be better placed within the Cnidaria.We investigate this hypothe-sis in light of the New Caledonian material and by comparison with living gorgonians and pennatulaceans,and demonstrate that Waiparaconus is best placed within the Pennatulacea.Waiparaconus zelandicus varies in form somewhat,with 3 morphotypes defined and reinforced by geography.Comment is provided on the imperative to fit organic remains into known groups,with reflection on what may happen if taxa are left in insertae sedis.
