This article describes a conceptual approach for effective,inclusive,and integrative governance to cope with polycrisis and systemic risks.These challenges arise from the high complexity of causal relationships,partic...This article describes a conceptual approach for effective,inclusive,and integrative governance to cope with polycrisis and systemic risks.These challenges arise from the high complexity of causal relationships,particularly when multiple risks are interconnected,leading to cascading and cross-boundary impacts.Uncertainty in these relationships further complicates mitigation efforts.Our approach focuses on critical elements of systemic risk governance,particularly the“risk governance triangle,”which connects persistent disruptive stressors,risk-absorbing systems,and contextual modifiers.These stressors can be physical(energy,substance,biota)or social(information,power)and interact with exposed targets influenced by their context.We decompose these circumstances into five layers,forming the Pagoda model:natural conditions,institutional arrangements,technical and social infrastructure,the built environment,and individual/social behavior.A central pillar of our proposal is prioritizing bottom-up policy making,creating common deliberative spaces that actively involve stakeholders and citizens.展开更多
The risk perception paradox illustrates the perception of natural hazards as not directly related to a willingness to act or engage in precautionary behavior. Yet the utilization of participatory processes can help to...The risk perception paradox illustrates the perception of natural hazards as not directly related to a willingness to act or engage in precautionary behavior. Yet the utilization of participatory processes can help to overcome this gap. In a practical example in the watershed of the Danube River and its contributing streams in Germany,we aimed to solve questions about the value of participatory modeling as a method to bridge the gap linked to flood polder planning and a relocation of a dike for protection against high floods(centennial floods and rarer). Local communities, citizen initiatives, and nongovernmental environmental organizations joined together for round table discussions initiated by the water management authorities. A participatory modeling process enabled these diverse stakeholders to engage with the experts who built the groundwater models for the planning process. As part of this study, two case studies are presented. In the first example, neutral mediators assisted the round table ‘‘Flood Polder Katzau(Danube)'' in order to cultivate mutual trust and understanding between the authorities and the former opponents of the project. This process is still ongoing,challenged by long-term planning and the more immediate obstacle of current political changes. The second case studyis located on the river Alz, a tributary of the river Inn,which flows into the Danube, where the relocation of a dike was planned. This article demonstrates how participatory modeling contributes to bridging the gap between a local resident's risk perception and real action in the case of flood preparedness.展开更多
基金support by the Graduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability(GSAIS)and the Research Institute for Sustainable Humanosphere(RISH),Kyoto University.
文摘This article describes a conceptual approach for effective,inclusive,and integrative governance to cope with polycrisis and systemic risks.These challenges arise from the high complexity of causal relationships,particularly when multiple risks are interconnected,leading to cascading and cross-boundary impacts.Uncertainty in these relationships further complicates mitigation efforts.Our approach focuses on critical elements of systemic risk governance,particularly the“risk governance triangle,”which connects persistent disruptive stressors,risk-absorbing systems,and contextual modifiers.These stressors can be physical(energy,substance,biota)or social(information,power)and interact with exposed targets influenced by their context.We decompose these circumstances into five layers,forming the Pagoda model:natural conditions,institutional arrangements,technical and social infrastructure,the built environment,and individual/social behavior.A central pillar of our proposal is prioritizing bottom-up policy making,creating common deliberative spaces that actively involve stakeholders and citizens.
文摘The risk perception paradox illustrates the perception of natural hazards as not directly related to a willingness to act or engage in precautionary behavior. Yet the utilization of participatory processes can help to overcome this gap. In a practical example in the watershed of the Danube River and its contributing streams in Germany,we aimed to solve questions about the value of participatory modeling as a method to bridge the gap linked to flood polder planning and a relocation of a dike for protection against high floods(centennial floods and rarer). Local communities, citizen initiatives, and nongovernmental environmental organizations joined together for round table discussions initiated by the water management authorities. A participatory modeling process enabled these diverse stakeholders to engage with the experts who built the groundwater models for the planning process. As part of this study, two case studies are presented. In the first example, neutral mediators assisted the round table ‘‘Flood Polder Katzau(Danube)'' in order to cultivate mutual trust and understanding between the authorities and the former opponents of the project. This process is still ongoing,challenged by long-term planning and the more immediate obstacle of current political changes. The second case studyis located on the river Alz, a tributary of the river Inn,which flows into the Danube, where the relocation of a dike was planned. This article demonstrates how participatory modeling contributes to bridging the gap between a local resident's risk perception and real action in the case of flood preparedness.
