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Deforestation, Agrarian Reform and Oil Development in Ecuador, 1964-1994 被引量:1
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作者 Robert Wasserstrom Douglas Southgate 《Natural Resources》 2013年第1期31-44,共14页
Recent biodiversity research in the Western Amazon has emphasized the linkages among road construction, deforestation and loss of indigenous lands. Many observers have concluded that hydrocarbon production inevitably ... Recent biodiversity research in the Western Amazon has emphasized the linkages among road construction, deforestation and loss of indigenous lands. Many observers have concluded that hydrocarbon production inevitably means destruction of forests and expropriation of native territory. Yet evidence from the eastern lowlands of Ecuador (known as the Oriente) shows that oil can be developed without roads or harmful impacts. The Oriente also provides another contrasting case: in areas where no oil was discovered, the government often built roads to support its agricultural colonization efforts. In these areas, a great deal of deforestation and indigenous displacement occurred. Such evidence suggests that a different set of agrarian and environmental policies might permit oil activity without loss of rain forest or indigenous territory. 展开更多
关键词 Ecuador DEFORESTATION OIL DEVELOPMENT Agrarian REFORM COLONIZATION
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Enlightenment of New Economy on the Development of Chinese Economy
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作者 宫焕久 李理光 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2003年第2期137-141,共5页
This paper summarizes the features of the new economy in America, and then analyses the differences between the new economy and Chinese economy with trade theories. At the last, this paper concentrates on study of str... This paper summarizes the features of the new economy in America, and then analyses the differences between the new economy and Chinese economy with trade theories. At the last, this paper concentrates on study of strategies for China to develop economic internationalization. 展开更多
关键词 New economy ENLIGHTENMENT Chinese economy internationalization competitive power mature market.
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THE FUTURE OF SINO-U.S.STRATEGIC ENGAGEMENT UNDER TRUMP 2.0
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作者 Dr.Tharakorn Wusatirakul 《China Report ASEAN》 2025年第2期80-80,共1页
The future of Sino-U.S.strategic engagement has become a focus of international attention since the second inauguration of U.S.President Donald Trump this January.Previously,Trump claimed intentions to boost domestic ... The future of Sino-U.S.strategic engagement has become a focus of international attention since the second inauguration of U.S.President Donald Trump this January.Previously,Trump claimed intentions to boost domestic manufacturing.If his plan continues,the U.S.may seek a certain degree of cooperation with China in trade in order to benefit from China’s vast market and complete industrial chain.The two countries can negotiate on lowering tariffs and other trade barriers and leveraging China’s manufacturing capacity to reduce the risk of decoupling in bilateral trade. 展开更多
关键词 CONTINUE BOOST claimed
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CHINA’S ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR 2025 The economic impact of tariff issues should be addressed properly
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作者 Dr.Tharakorn Wusatirakul 《China Report ASEAN》 2025年第2期76-77,共2页
China’s economy is expected to remain stable throughout 2025.According to projections by the Center for Forecasting Science of the Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science under the Chinese Academy of Sciences,Chin... China’s economy is expected to remain stable throughout 2025.According to projections by the Center for Forecasting Science of the Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science under the Chinese Academy of Sciences,China’s GDP(gross domestic product)growth should settle at around 4.8 percent this year and will likely hit 5 percent if the government’s stimulus package is effectively implemented.I personally believe that the Chinese economy will maintain growth of about 4.6 percent in 2025 with robust performance in the first and fourth quarters and slower economic activity in the second and third quarters. 展开更多
关键词 PROPERLY MAINTAIN LIKELY
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Do energy patents and energy prices drive the shift toward sustainable energy sources? A wavelet quantile-based analysis
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作者 T.S.Adebayo V.O.Olanrewaju B.Uzun 《Geoscience Frontiers》 2025年第5期299-312,共14页
While the significant role of technological innovation in promoting renewable energy has been extensively explored in the literature,limited attention has been paid to the impact of energy patents,particularly clean e... While the significant role of technological innovation in promoting renewable energy has been extensively explored in the literature,limited attention has been paid to the impact of energy patents,particularly clean energy patents and fossil fuel patents.This study pioneers an investigation into the effects of energy patents and energy prices on renewable energy consumption.The study utilizes data from 2000Q1 to 2023Q4 and,due to the nonlinear nature of the series,applies wavelet quantile-based methods.Specifically,it introduces the wavelet quantile cointegration approach to evaluate cointegration across different quantiles and time horizons,along with the wavelet quantile-on-quantile regression method.The results confirm cointegration across different periods and quantiles,highlighting the significant relationships between energy patents,economic factors,and renewable energy consumption.Furthermore,we found that fossil energy patents negatively affect renewable energy consumption,while clean energy patents have a similar but weaker effect,especially in the short term.In addition,higher energy prices promote renewable energy adoption while economic growth positively influences renewable energy consumption,particularly in the short term.The study formulates specific policies based on these findings. 展开更多
关键词 Energy price Clean energy patents Fossil fuel patents Renewable energy consumption Environmental sustainability
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中国的经济周期:一个AD-AS模型的视角 被引量:53
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作者 张茵 万广华 王丽娜 《世界经济文汇》 CSSCI 北大核心 2005年第2期25-41,共17页
这篇论文首次尝试用正式的分析框架,即联立VAR模型来研究中国的经 济周期。研究表明:(a)需求冲击是导致宏观经济波动的主要因素,而供给冲击在 一段时间后则显示出更大的重要性;(b)在第一个经济周期———1985-1990... 这篇论文首次尝试用正式的分析框架,即联立VAR模型来研究中国的经 济周期。研究表明:(a)需求冲击是导致宏观经济波动的主要因素,而供给冲击在 一段时间后则显示出更大的重要性;(b)在第一个经济周期———1985-1990年中, 需求冲击的推动力量是消费和固定资产投资,但是,在第二个周期———1991-1996 年和1997年以后的通货紧缩时期中,推动力量则是固定资产投资和世界需求;(c) 宏观经济政策并没有在引发或阻碍周期性波动中发挥重要的作用。 展开更多
关键词 经济周期 中国 固定资产投资 视角 AS AD 宏观经济波动 宏观经济政策 需求冲击 推动力量 VAR模型 1990年 1997年 1996年 周期性波动 分析框架 供给冲击 通货紧缩 消费
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Rangelands of Central Asia:challenges and opportunities 被引量:9
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作者 Alisher MIRZABAEV Mohamed AHMED +2 位作者 Jutta WERNER John PENDER Mounir LOUHAICHI 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第1期93-108,共16页
Rangelands of Central Asia (referring to Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan in this study), the largest contiguous area of grazed land in the world, serve as an important source of livelih... Rangelands of Central Asia (referring to Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan in this study), the largest contiguous area of grazed land in the world, serve as an important source of livelihood for pastoral and agro-pastoral communities in this region. They also play an important role in absorbing CO<sub>2</sub> as a global carbon sink. However, unsustainable management of rangelands has led to their degradation hugely by downgrading their potential agro-ecological, environmental and socio-economical roles. This paper reviewed the rangeland degradation in Central Asia, a topic which so far has received only scant coverage in the international scientific literature. It also provided examples of successful experiences and outlined possible options that land managers can adopt to enhance the sustainable management of these vast degraded rangelands. The experiences and lessons described in this paper may also be relevant for other degraded rangeland areas, especially in the developing countries. The causes of rangeland degradation within the Central Asian region are numerous, complex and inter-related. Therefore, while addressing the factors associated with improper rangeland management may shed some light on the causes of rangeland degradation, the scope of this paper would not be all-encompassing for the major causes of degradation. There is a need to develop and widely apply the viable and locally accepted and adapted packages of technical, institutional and policy options for sustainable rangeland management. Incentivizing the collective action of small-scale pastoralists who group together to facilitate access to remote pastures can reduce the degree of overgrazing within community pastures, such as those near the settlements. We also found that migratory grazing through pooling of resources among small-scale pastoralists can increase household income. After their independence, most Central Asian countries adopted various rangeland tenure arrangements. However, the building of enhanced capacities of pasture management and effective local rangeland governance structures can increase the likelihood, which will be sustainable and equitable. Finally, this paper presented several promising technical options, aiming at reversing the trend of rangeland degradation in Central Asia. 展开更多
关键词 rangeland degradation flock mobility OVERGRAZING sustainable rangeland management DRYLANDS land tenure
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Recreational value estimation of suburban leisure agriculture:a case study of the Qianjiangyue agritourism farm 被引量:7
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作者 QIU Sheng-rong FAN Shui-sheng 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第1期183-192,共10页
As a form of economic and community development, agritourism has a strong and widespread appeal to all tourists. To explore the situation and value of agritourism in China, the Qianjiangyue agritourism farm located be... As a form of economic and community development, agritourism has a strong and widespread appeal to all tourists. To explore the situation and value of agritourism in China, the Qianjiangyue agritourism farm located between Fuzhou City and Yongtai County was chosen to evaluate recreational values. The data was obtained from tourists and farm samples in Qianjiangyue agritourism farm by questionnaires. Two basic models including the zonal travel cost method (ZTCM) and the individual travel cost method (ITCM) were applied for data analysis. The recreational value estimation results obtained from ITCM and ZTCM showed that the total consumer surplus (CS) of the Qianjiangyue agritourism farm in 2Oll was estimated at 54,533,300 CNY (8,894,682 US$) which was equal to a CS per tourist of 3029.63 CNY (494.i5 US$), and the annual recreational value of agricultural landscapes per hm2 was 36i,o78 CNY (58,893.82 US$). The average annual recreational value of agritourism farmland was 15.7 times of that from traditional farming, and 6 times of present land business income. This paper will be helpful for exploring and utilizing appropriate environmental resources in China. 展开更多
关键词 AGRITOURISM Qianjiangyue Recreationalvalue ESTIMATION
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Agricultural production structure,market conditions and farmers’nutritional intake in rural China 被引量:2
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作者 WAN Yue HU Hao Wuyang HU 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2022年第6期1812-1824,共13页
Nutrition poverty alleviation is an effective measure to improve the nutritional status of economically disadvantaged individuals,fundamentally improving their health and reducing poverty.Based on the Entitlement Theo... Nutrition poverty alleviation is an effective measure to improve the nutritional status of economically disadvantaged individuals,fundamentally improving their health and reducing poverty.Based on the Entitlement Theory and using the China Health and Nutrition Survey(CHNS)data,this paper examines the relationship between farmers’nutritional intake,production structure and regional market conditions.Results show that farmers with diversified production have better nutritional intake than those who specialize.Furthermore,the correlation between regional market conditions and nutritional intake varies between economically disadvantaged and non-economically disadvantaged households.Market conditions significantly influence the carbohydrate and fat intake of economically disadvantaged households and are positively associated with the dietary structure and nutritional intake of non-economically disadvantaged ones.Moreover,income is positively correlated with the nutritional intake of non-economically disadvantaged households but not with economically disadvantaged ones. 展开更多
关键词 Chinese farmer nutrition economically disadvantaged households diversity of agricultural production regional market conditions
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Developing strategy for rural transformation to alleviate poverty in Pakistan:Stylized facts from panel analysis 被引量:1
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作者 ABEDULLAH Shujaat FAROOQ Farah NAZ 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第12期3610-3623,共14页
Sustainable income growth and poverty reduction remain critical challenges at the forefront of research in Pakistan,particularly in rural areas.To overcome these challenges,the role of rural transformation(RT)has emer... Sustainable income growth and poverty reduction remain critical challenges at the forefront of research in Pakistan,particularly in rural areas.To overcome these challenges,the role of rural transformation(RT)has emerged and gained importance in recent years.The present study is based on district-level data and covers the period from 1981 to 2019.The study attempts to quantify the role of rural transformation in boosting rural per capita income and alleviating rural poverty in the country.The study also aims to explore the impact of stages of rural transformation on rural per capita income and rural poverty alleviation.The empirical findings reveal that rural transformation(RT_(1)and RT_(2))is essential in enhancing rural per capita income and alleviating rural poverty.The role of the share of high-value crops(RT_(1))is more pronounced than the share of non-farm employment(RT_(2))in boosting rural per capita income and poverty alleviation.The trend of larger contribution of RT_(1)to enhance rural per capita income also continued at 2nd stage of rural transformation.In the case of poverty reduction,at 3rd stage of rural transformation,the role of RT_(2)is dominant.Our results indicate that districts at higher stages of rural transformation(both RT_(1)and RT_(2))tend to correlate positively with increased rural per capita income and reduced poverty rates,suggesting that progress in rural transformation is associated with improved economic conditions.However,it is important to note that this correlation does not necessarily imply a direct causal relationship between rural transformation and these economic outcomes;other factors may have influenced this relationship.In addition,the welfare impacts are more noticeable among the districts where a simultaneous shift from grain crops to cash crops and from farm employment to non-farm employment is observed.The study provides baseline information to learn experiences from fast-growing districts and to replicate the strategies in other districts,which boosts the RT process that may increase rural per capita income and enhance poverty reduction efforts. 展开更多
关键词 rural transformation rural income rural poverty AGRICULTURE panel analysis
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Identification of technology options for reducing nitrogen pollution in cropping systems of Pujiang 被引量:1
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作者 方斌 王光火 +1 位作者 VAN DEN BERG Marrit ROETTER Reimund 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science B(Biomedicine & Biotechnology)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2005年第10期981-990,共10页
This work analyses the potential role of nitrogen pollution technology of crop systems of Pujiang, County in Eastern China’s Zhejiang Province, rice and vegetables are important cropping systems. We used a case study... This work analyses the potential role of nitrogen pollution technology of crop systems of Pujiang, County in Eastern China’s Zhejiang Province, rice and vegetables are important cropping systems. We used a case study approach involving com- parison of farmer practices and improved technologies. This approach allows assessing the impact of technology on pollution, is forward looking, and can yield information on the potential of on-the-shelf technology and provide opportunities for technology development. The approach particularly suits newly developed rice technologies with large potential of reducing nitrogen pollu- tion and for future rice and vegetables technologies. The results showed that substantial reductions in nitrogen pollution are fea- sible for both types of crops. 展开更多
关键词 NUTRIENT emissions Pollution Rice VEGETABLES
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Overview of priorities,threats,and challenges to biodiversity conservation in the southern Philippines 被引量:2
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作者 Angelo Rellama AGDUMA Francisco Gil GARCIA +9 位作者 Ma.Teodora CABASAN Jonald PIMENTEL Renee Jane ELE Meriam RUBIO Sedra MURRAY Bona Abigail HILARIO-HUSAIN Kier Celestial Dela CRUZ Sumaira ABDULLAH Shiela Mae BALASE Krizler Cejuela TANALGO 《Regional Sustainability》 2023年第2期203-213,共11页
Human activities have severely impacted on many species and ecosystems.Thus,understanding the local biodiversity situation is crucial for implementing effective biodiversity conservation interventions.Mindanao in the ... Human activities have severely impacted on many species and ecosystems.Thus,understanding the local biodiversity situation is crucial for implementing effective biodiversity conservation interventions.Mindanao in the southern Philippines is home to various unique species,particularly in its pristine ecosystems.However,the available biodiversity data for many terrestrial vertebrates and key areas remain incomplete.To address this issue,we synthesized published literature related to biodiversity from 2000 to 2022 in Mindanao.Moreover,this analysis used four key terrestrial vertebrates(amphibians,reptiles,birds,and mammals)in Mindanao as research objects.According to our findings,there was a significant and positive correlation between the number of biodiversity studies and species recorded.In terms of species richness,birds were the most recorded group(n=334 spp.),followed by reptiles(n=108 spp.),mammals(n=70 spp.),and amphibians(n=52 spp.).We also found that the number of endemic and threatened species varies geographically and across taxonomic groups.Yet,we discovered a significant disparity in the information available on biodiversity in different provinces of Mindanao.For example,the western provinces of Mindanao have had no record of biodiversity for more than two decades.Furthermore,we found that the changes in tree cover loss were consistent with biodiversity records,but this correlation is only significant for birds.Finally,we highlighted some critical threats and challenges to biodiversity,including deforestation,agricultural expansion,mining,and their impact on biodiversity conservation in Mindanao.Our findings suggested that biodiversity conservation should focus not only on areas with high levels of biodiversity but also on areas lacking biodiversity information.To do this,we call for strengthening collaboration among various institutions and digitizing and centralizing of information related to biodiversity.By gaining a deeper understanding of biodiversity in Mindanao,we can better and sustainably protect critical ecosystems in this region from the increasing threats posed by human activities. 展开更多
关键词 Biodiversity conservation Tree cover loss Mindanao Terrestrial vertebrates Endemic and threatened species
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Performance and capital structure of IPOs in Pakistan from 2000 to 2015
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作者 Attiya Yasmin Javid Henna Malik 《Financial Innovation》 2016年第1期167-185,共19页
Background:When a privately owned firm or privatized government entity raises capital by selling its stocks for the first time to general public,is known as initial public offering(IPO).The underpricing phenomenon and... Background:When a privately owned firm or privatized government entity raises capital by selling its stocks for the first time to general public,is known as initial public offering(IPO).The underpricing phenomenon and ownership structure are important characteristics of IPO process that significantly affect the short-run and long-run performance of private firm and privitized entity.This study compares the short-and long-run performance,and factors affecting these performances for both private IPOs and privatized IPOs in Pakistan.It further investigates the relationship between capital structor and initial underpricing for both group of IPOs.Methods:Event study methodology is used to compares short-and long-run performance spanning from March 2000 to June 2015 of two categories of IPOs issued in the Karachi Stock Exchange(KSE).Multivariate regression analysis is applied to examine the factors that affect the short-run and long-run performance as well as for investigating the relationship betwen underpricing and ownership structure for both group of IPOs.Results:We find that both categories outperform in IPOs at which they are offered to investors on first day of trading,although differences in mean are insignificant.Over a five-year buy-and hold strategy,privatizing IPOs outperform and private IPOs underperform returns on the benchmark KSE 100 Stock Index.The results reveal that the size of the private firm or government entity,aftermarket risk of IPOs,and subscription ratio are significantly associated with the underpricing of IPO shares brought to market.First-day returns,market volatility and retained ownership are associated with higher five-year performance.We find that the concentration of ownership is similar,for both categories of IPOs;and significantly positive related to underpricing.The size of the firm/entity,aftermarket risk,return on assets and subscription ratio also affect ownership concentration.Conclusions:Same level of underpricing in both private and privatized IPOs reveals that Pakistan’s government is committed to its privatization policies as they developed capital markets by underpricing of IPOs.To make dispersion in ownership structure and to involve more small investors,the regulatory authorities such as Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan(SECP are required to take some steps to minimize concentration in ownership structure).There is a need of some specific range of underpricing by issuers and SECP. 展开更多
关键词 Initial public offering UNDERPRICING Aftermarket performance Private owned firms Public owned firms Capital structure Pakistan
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Institutions,policies and soil degradation:theoretical examinations and case studies in Southeast China
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作者 Tan Shuhao Qu Futian +1 位作者 Huang Xianjin Nico Heerink 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2004年第2期20-27,共8页
Southeast China is one of the severe soil degradation areas in China. This paper theoretically examines the impact of some important institutional arrangements and policies, like land management pattern, the rural off... Southeast China is one of the severe soil degradation areas in China. This paper theoretically examines the impact of some important institutional arrangements and policies, like land management pattern, the rural off-farm employment, land property change and changes in prices of agricultural products, on soil degradation in this area. It further conducts some case studies to confirm the potential relationship between the institutions & policies and soil degradation, applying the surveyed and the second hand data. The paper at last makes some conclusions and proposes some suggestions on how to promote soil conservation by improving the ways of policy decision-making and the effects of policies on land use. 展开更多
关键词 Institutions POLICIES Soil degradation Southeast China
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Umbilical Cord Care Practices and Cord Care Education of Mothers Attending Health Care (Pakistan Prospect)
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作者 Muhammad Ans Mujahid Hussain +3 位作者 Fahad Ahmed Kalsoom Jehan Khan Sameen Abbas Muhammad Sultan 《Health》 CAS 2023年第1期20-32,共13页
Neonatal mortality is of global concern, it is the death in the first month of life. According to WHO, 2.4 million children died globally in the first month of life2. Globally the neonatal mortality rate declined slow... Neonatal mortality is of global concern, it is the death in the first month of life. According to WHO, 2.4 million children died globally in the first month of life2. Globally the neonatal mortality rate declined slowly from 28/100 live births in 2000 to 17.9/100 live births in 2019. It is a major challenge for the low socioeconomic group of countries. Most neonatal deaths occurred in south Asia and African countries, in 2019 out of 2.4 million death 81% occurred in the Southeast Asia. Objective: To evaluate and improve cord care practices of mothers to reduce the risk of cord related infections. Methodology: The mixed method will be used in this research, questionnaire is used for data collection, total collected sample is 391. Results: 354 (91.0%) of the 394 patients analyzed obtained prenatal care (ANC) in both traditional and nontraditional settings. Among these, 288 (72.3%) got cord care health education, whereas 106 (27.7%) did not. The overall documentation of the instructions for the use of metabolized spirits alone included 116 (48.9%) teaching institutions and 103 (43.5%) private hospitals. the average results show the age of the baby 1 - 7 days, the average age of the mother is 18 - 25 years. The average education of the mothers is primary. Participation of health centers is average. Most of the participants has 1 child. Conclusion: This research concludes the poor umbilical cord practices and knowledge. Those with information used it better. Raise awareness about umbilical cord care and improper behaviors, including using mentholated balms. Before women leave the hospital, they should learn cord care. Mothers must clean wires. Several healthcare organizations don’t provide cord care instruction, and what they provide isn’t research-based. 展开更多
关键词 KNOWLEDGE Mothers NEWBORNS PRACTICES Umbilical Cord Care
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Comparison and analysis of fecal components in Blaptica dubia and Blatta lateralis
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作者 ZHOU Jie LIU Xuwen +7 位作者 YE Dongyan LI Qianhui YIN Shuren ZHANG Suyi ZHOU Zhihan WANG Jing LIU Lijuan BAI Helong 《分子科学学报》 2024年第6期546-551,共6页
The fecal components of Blaptica dubia and Blatta lateralis were analyzed and characterized using solid-phase microextraction-gas chromatography-mass spectrometry(SPME-GC-MS)to explore can-didate compounds mediating t... The fecal components of Blaptica dubia and Blatta lateralis were analyzed and characterized using solid-phase microextraction-gas chromatography-mass spectrometry(SPME-GC-MS)to explore can-didate compounds mediating their aggregation behavior.The results revealed that hydrocarbons and alde-hydes accounted for the majority of the 85 components detected in the fecula of B.dubia,with hexadecane(6.721%)and tetradecanal(6.555%)as the most prominent.In the fecula of B.lateralis,esters and hy-drocarbons accounted for the majority of the 93 identified components,with 3-phenylpropionic acid methyl ester(10.020%)and 2,7-dioxa-tricyclo[4.4.0.0(3,8)]deca-4,9-diene(3.604%)hexadecane(2.504%)predominating.The fecal compositions of the two cockroach species exhibited similarities,with seven common substances identified out of a total of 43.The relative percentages of these common components in the fecula were 68.516%for B.dubia and 53.541%for B.lateralis. 展开更多
关键词 Blaptica dubia Blatta lateralis fecal component SPME-GC-MS aggregation pheromone
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Payment for Environmental Services:The Sloping Land Conversion Program in Ningxia Autonomous Region of China 被引量:8
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作者 Lei Zhang Qin Tu Arthur P. J. Mol 《China & World Economy》 SCIE 2008年第2期66-81,共16页
China's Sloping Land Conversion Program has been implemented since 2002. It aims to achieve goals of ecological recovery and poverty alleviation, by retiring steeply sloping land from crop production and freeing surp... China's Sloping Land Conversion Program has been implemented since 2002. It aims to achieve goals of ecological recovery and poverty alleviation, by retiring steeply sloping land from crop production and freeing surplus agricultural labor for off-farm activities. Given the huge investment that has been poured into it, and its ecological and social impacts, this government-initiated program has attracted significant academic attention and triggered a flood of debate. Since 2004, the debate has concentrated on the sustainability of the program. Although targets have been overachieved in some provinces, concern has still emerged regarding the livelihood of farmers after subsidies stop. The present paper analyzes the implementation of the Sloping Land Conversion Program in Ningxia Autonomous Region, with a focus on the required social capital for sustained participation o f farmers and the development of off-farm economic activities. 展开更多
关键词 China Sloping Land Conversion Program social capital SUSTAINABILITY
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A vector autoregression weather model for electricity supply and demand modeling 被引量:5
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作者 Yixian LIU Matthew C.ROBERTS Ramteen SIOSHANSI 《Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy》 SCIE EI 2018年第4期763-776,共14页
Weather forecasting is crucial to both the demand and supply sides of electricity systems. Temperature has a great effect on the demand side. Moreover, solar and wind are very promising renewable energy sources and ar... Weather forecasting is crucial to both the demand and supply sides of electricity systems. Temperature has a great effect on the demand side. Moreover, solar and wind are very promising renewable energy sources and are, thus, important on the supply side. In this paper, a large vector autoregression(VAR) model is built to forecast three important weather variables for 61 cities around the United States. The three variables at all locations are modeled as response variables. Lag terms are used to capture the relationship between observations in adjacent periods and daily and annual seasonality are modeled to consider the correlation between the same periods in adjacent days and years. We estimate the VAR model with16 years of hourly historical data and use two additional years of data for out-of-sample validation. Forecasts of up to six-hours-ahead are generated with good forecasting performance based on mean absolute error, root mean square error, relative root mean square error, and skill scores. Our VAR model gives forecasts with skill scoresthat are more than double the skill scores of other forecasting models in the literature. Our model also provides forecasts that outperform persistence forecasts by between6% and 80% in terms of mean absolute error. Our results show that the proposed time series approach is appropriate for very short-term forecasting of hourly solar radiation,temperature, and wind speed. 展开更多
关键词 Forecasting Solar IRRADIANCE WIND SPEED Temperature Vector AUTOREGRESSION SKILL SCORES
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Crisis, Stimulus Package and Migration in China 被引量:2
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作者 Maria Csanadi Zihan Nie Shi Li 《China & World Economy》 SCIE 2015年第5期43-62,共20页
This paper analyzes the short-term and long-term effects that the global economic crisis and the investment priorities of the Chinese Government's stimulus package had on Chinese migrant flows between 2008 and 2014. ... This paper analyzes the short-term and long-term effects that the global economic crisis and the investment priorities of the Chinese Government's stimulus package had on Chinese migrant flows between 2008 and 2014. Combining micro-level household survey data and macro-level statistics, the authors have found that in the short run, the regional and sectoral impact of the crisis, combined with the government's investment priorities, caused a reorientation of migration routes from the export-oriented coastal provinces towards the central and western regions, from inter-provincial migration towards intra-provincial migration, and from manufacturing industry towards the construction sector. However, in the longer run, the decreasing attractiveness of the eastern region and the increasing attractiveness of the western region proved to be transitory, although the pre-crisis relative advantage of the eastern region was not fuUy restored. What proved to be persistent were the attractiveness of the central region and the intra-provincial migration in all three regions, and, in particular, the steady growth of migrants in the construction sector. 展开更多
关键词 EMPLOYMENT MIGRATION spatial disparities stimulus package
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THE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY BACKYARD AS A LOCAL LEVEL INNOVATION INTERMEDIARY IN RURAL CHINA 被引量:2
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作者 Jinghan LI Cees LEEUWIS +1 位作者 Nico HEERINK Weifeng ZHANG 《Frontiers of Agricultural Science and Engineering》 2022年第4期558-576,共19页
Agricultural innovation can be described as a coevolutionary process of technological innovation,symbolic change,and social or institutional innovation,which relies on the interactions and collaboration between multip... Agricultural innovation can be described as a coevolutionary process of technological innovation,symbolic change,and social or institutional innovation,which relies on the interactions and collaboration between multiple stakeholders.This view emphasizes the significance of innovation intermediaries in supporting the coevolution process of innovation.Many studies have provided evidence on how innovation intermediaries play roles in supporting the coevolution innovation process at a broader innovation system level.However,little emphasis has been given to the role of innovation intermediaries in supporting the coevolution process of innovation at the community level in rural China.To address this research gap,this paper offers a case study of a novel type of innovation support intervention designed to promote technical change at the community level,the Science and Technology Backyard(STB).The paper focuses on the efforts of a specific STB in Wangzhuang village to promote innovation in tillage methods in wheat production.The aims was to examine the role of this newly emerging innovation support intervention in supporting the coevolution process of innovation at the community level,and compare the outcome of the coevolution process in the village with an STB to that in villages without an STB.Innovation journey analysis is applied to understand the evolved intermediation roles in the innovation process,and multivariate regression analysis is employed to assess the outcome of the coevolution process in villages with and without an STB.The findings suggest that the roles of STBs have evolved from knowledge brokers to systemic innovation intermediaries that facilitate the coevolution process of innovation inside an STB village.It has led to a higher adoption rate of improved technology,a better enabling environment for learning,and more effective institutional support in STB villages than in non-STB villages.However,the effect of support provided by a single STB on the coevolution process outside the community was limited.This finding points to a need for collaboration mechanisms and for connecting single STBs to support the coevolution process of innovation at a larger scale. 展开更多
关键词 agricultural innovation coevolution community level innovation intermediaries Science and Technology Backyards(STBs)
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