The hydrology of the Little Ruaha River which is a major catchment of the Ihemi Cluster in the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor of Tanzania (SA-GCOT) has been studied. The study focused on the hydrological assess...The hydrology of the Little Ruaha River which is a major catchment of the Ihemi Cluster in the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor of Tanzania (SA-GCOT) has been studied. The study focused on the hydrological assessment through analysis of the available data and developing a model that could be used for assessing impacts of environmental change. Pressures on land and water resources in the watershed are increasing mainly as a result of human activities, and understanding the hydrological regime is deemed necessary. In this study, modeling was conducted using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in which meteorological and streamflow data were used in the simulation, calibration and evaluation. Calibration and evaluation was done at three gauging stations and the results were deemed plausible with NSE ranging between 0.64 and 0.80 for the two stages. The simulated flows were used for gap filling the missing data and generation of complete daily time series of streamflow at three gauging stations of Makalala, Ihimbu and Mawande. Results of statistical trends and flow duration curves, revealed decline in magnitudes of seasonal and annual flows indicating that streamflows are changing with time and may have implications on envisioned development and the water dependent ecosystems.展开更多
Intensification of agricultural land use and population growth from 1990-2017 has caused changes in land cover and land use of the Mbarali River sub-catchment which is located in the Upper Great Ruaha Sub basin, Tanza...Intensification of agricultural land use and population growth from 1990-2017 has caused changes in land cover and land use of the Mbarali River sub-catchment which is located in the Upper Great Ruaha Sub basin, Tanzania. This has affected the magnitude of the surface runoff, total water yield and the groundwater flow. This study assesses the impacts of the land cover and land use changes on the stream flows and hydrological water balance components (surface runoff, water yield, percolation and actual evapotranspiration). The land use and land cover (LULC) maps for three window period snapshots, 1990, 2006 and 2017 were created from Landsat TM and OLI_TIRS with the help of QGIS version 2.6. Supervised classification was used to generate LULC maps using the Maximum Likelihood Algorithm and Kappa statistics for assessment of accuracy. SWAT was set up and run to simulate stream flows and hydrological water balance components. The assessment of the impacts of land use and land cover changes on stream flows and hydrological water balance component was performed by comparing hydrological parameters simulated by SWAT using land use scenarios of 2006 and 2017 against the baseline land use scenario of 1990. Accuracy of LULC classification was good with Kappa statistics ranging between 0.9 and 0.99. There was a drastic increase in areal coverage of cultivated land, for periods 1990-2006 (5.84%) and 2006-2017 (12.05%) compared to other LULC. During 2006 and 2017 surface runoff increased by 4% and 9% respectively;however, water yield increased by only 0.5% compared to 1990 baseline period. This was attributed to increased proportion of cultivated land in the sub-catchment which has a high curve number (59.60) that indicates a higher runoff response and low infiltration rate.展开更多
This study aims to evaluate the performance of the individual Regional Climate Models (RCMs) used in Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) and the ensemble average of the four RCMs to feign the ...This study aims to evaluate the performance of the individual Regional Climate Models (RCMs) used in Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) and the ensemble average of the four RCMs to feign the characteristics of the rainfall pattern for the Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin for the period of 1979 to 2005. Statistical analysis for model performance such as Root mean square error, Mean error, Pearson correlation coefficient, Mean, Median, standard deviation and trend analysis are used. In addition to the statistical measure of model performance, the models are tested on their ability to capture the observed annual cycles and interannual variability of rainfall. Results indicated that the RCMs from the CORDEX indicated a better performance to reproduce the rainfall characteristics over Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin. They reproduced fairly the Era Interim annual cycle and inter-annual variability of rainfall. The ensemble average performed better than individual models in representing rainfall over Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin. These suggest that rainfall simulation from the ensemble average will be used for the assessment of the hydrological impact studies over Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin.展开更多
Smallholder farmers in semiarid areas face low and erratic rainfall and need field management practices that conserve water in the root zone. This work evaluated the effect of mulching and DD (deep tillage) practices ...Smallholder farmers in semiarid areas face low and erratic rainfall and need field management practices that conserve water in the root zone. This work evaluated the effect of mulching and DD (deep tillage) practices as a way to conserve soil moisture and thus improve water availability and maize crop yield in this water-scarce environment. The field experiment was carried out in which the soil moisture content (SMC) was monitored and the other water balance components were measured to quantify the crop ET with the soil water balance (SWB) method. The components of the SWB (rainfall, supplemental irrigation, runoff, deep percolation and change of soil moisture content) were measured for three consecutive seasons of 2018-2019, i.e. two long rain seasons (Masika 2018 and 2019) and one short-rains season (Vuli 2018). The estimation of the deep percolation (DP) involved calculating water fluxes from hydraulic properties measured in the laboratory and from hydraulic gradients measured with tensiometers in the field plots. Treatments significantly affected ET (p < 0.05) during the Vuli 2018 season. The estimated ET was highest in FC plots, medium in DD, and FCM recorded the lowest ET value. The significant difference in ET was between FCM and other treatments. Relative to a control treatment (farmers’ cultivation, FC), mulching (FCM) reduced evapotranspiration by 14% and 18% during more water-stressed seasons of Vuli 2018 and Masika 2019. The ET reduction among the treatments was in line with the reduction in soil evaporation, as reflected in the results (of the other article of the same work). The crop transpiration was observed higher, which was consistent with the higher canopy cover observations for the two treatments relative to the FC treatment. Also, while the mulch practice did not affect ET during the first and less water-stressed season of Masika 2018, DD reduced it by 9% and showed no effect during other seasons.展开更多
Introduction:Land use/land cover change can affect the ecological processes of an area such as hydrological cycle.The change in the condition of water resources of an area could be a good indicator of changes in ecosy...Introduction:Land use/land cover change can affect the ecological processes of an area such as hydrological cycle.The change in the condition of water resources of an area could be a good indicator of changes in ecosystem function as a result of altered land use/land cover.Eucalyptus expansion in central Ethiopia is one of the recent land use/land cover changes causing controversy on its potential ecological effect.This study was designed to evaluate effects of three adjacent land uses/land covers,i.e.cultivated land,grassland and Eucalyptus woodlot on surface runoff in Meja River watershed,central Ethiopia.Methods:The rainfall amount at each study catchment was collected using the rain gauge installed to record daily rainfall amount.The three land use/land cover types in each study catchment were selected for comparison as treatments.Four replications of each land use/land cover were used forming a total of 12 runoff plots.The rainfall and runoff data were collected twice a day for 91 days.Results:The study found that land use/land cover significantly affects surface runoff generated from the plots.Higher runoff was recorded from cultivated land.There was no significant difference on runoff volume between grassland and Eucalyptus woodlot.Conclusions:This shows that expansion of Eucalyptus on grassland could not have significant impact on surface runoff generation but if planted on previously farmland could reduce surface runoff.展开更多
文摘The hydrology of the Little Ruaha River which is a major catchment of the Ihemi Cluster in the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor of Tanzania (SA-GCOT) has been studied. The study focused on the hydrological assessment through analysis of the available data and developing a model that could be used for assessing impacts of environmental change. Pressures on land and water resources in the watershed are increasing mainly as a result of human activities, and understanding the hydrological regime is deemed necessary. In this study, modeling was conducted using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in which meteorological and streamflow data were used in the simulation, calibration and evaluation. Calibration and evaluation was done at three gauging stations and the results were deemed plausible with NSE ranging between 0.64 and 0.80 for the two stages. The simulated flows were used for gap filling the missing data and generation of complete daily time series of streamflow at three gauging stations of Makalala, Ihimbu and Mawande. Results of statistical trends and flow duration curves, revealed decline in magnitudes of seasonal and annual flows indicating that streamflows are changing with time and may have implications on envisioned development and the water dependent ecosystems.
文摘Intensification of agricultural land use and population growth from 1990-2017 has caused changes in land cover and land use of the Mbarali River sub-catchment which is located in the Upper Great Ruaha Sub basin, Tanzania. This has affected the magnitude of the surface runoff, total water yield and the groundwater flow. This study assesses the impacts of the land cover and land use changes on the stream flows and hydrological water balance components (surface runoff, water yield, percolation and actual evapotranspiration). The land use and land cover (LULC) maps for three window period snapshots, 1990, 2006 and 2017 were created from Landsat TM and OLI_TIRS with the help of QGIS version 2.6. Supervised classification was used to generate LULC maps using the Maximum Likelihood Algorithm and Kappa statistics for assessment of accuracy. SWAT was set up and run to simulate stream flows and hydrological water balance components. The assessment of the impacts of land use and land cover changes on stream flows and hydrological water balance component was performed by comparing hydrological parameters simulated by SWAT using land use scenarios of 2006 and 2017 against the baseline land use scenario of 1990. Accuracy of LULC classification was good with Kappa statistics ranging between 0.9 and 0.99. There was a drastic increase in areal coverage of cultivated land, for periods 1990-2006 (5.84%) and 2006-2017 (12.05%) compared to other LULC. During 2006 and 2017 surface runoff increased by 4% and 9% respectively;however, water yield increased by only 0.5% compared to 1990 baseline period. This was attributed to increased proportion of cultivated land in the sub-catchment which has a high curve number (59.60) that indicates a higher runoff response and low infiltration rate.
文摘This study aims to evaluate the performance of the individual Regional Climate Models (RCMs) used in Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) and the ensemble average of the four RCMs to feign the characteristics of the rainfall pattern for the Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin for the period of 1979 to 2005. Statistical analysis for model performance such as Root mean square error, Mean error, Pearson correlation coefficient, Mean, Median, standard deviation and trend analysis are used. In addition to the statistical measure of model performance, the models are tested on their ability to capture the observed annual cycles and interannual variability of rainfall. Results indicated that the RCMs from the CORDEX indicated a better performance to reproduce the rainfall characteristics over Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin. They reproduced fairly the Era Interim annual cycle and inter-annual variability of rainfall. The ensemble average performed better than individual models in representing rainfall over Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin. These suggest that rainfall simulation from the ensemble average will be used for the assessment of the hydrological impact studies over Mbarali River catchment in Rufiji Basin.
文摘Smallholder farmers in semiarid areas face low and erratic rainfall and need field management practices that conserve water in the root zone. This work evaluated the effect of mulching and DD (deep tillage) practices as a way to conserve soil moisture and thus improve water availability and maize crop yield in this water-scarce environment. The field experiment was carried out in which the soil moisture content (SMC) was monitored and the other water balance components were measured to quantify the crop ET with the soil water balance (SWB) method. The components of the SWB (rainfall, supplemental irrigation, runoff, deep percolation and change of soil moisture content) were measured for three consecutive seasons of 2018-2019, i.e. two long rain seasons (Masika 2018 and 2019) and one short-rains season (Vuli 2018). The estimation of the deep percolation (DP) involved calculating water fluxes from hydraulic properties measured in the laboratory and from hydraulic gradients measured with tensiometers in the field plots. Treatments significantly affected ET (p < 0.05) during the Vuli 2018 season. The estimated ET was highest in FC plots, medium in DD, and FCM recorded the lowest ET value. The significant difference in ET was between FCM and other treatments. Relative to a control treatment (farmers’ cultivation, FC), mulching (FCM) reduced evapotranspiration by 14% and 18% during more water-stressed seasons of Vuli 2018 and Masika 2019. The ET reduction among the treatments was in line with the reduction in soil evaporation, as reflected in the results (of the other article of the same work). The crop transpiration was observed higher, which was consistent with the higher canopy cover observations for the two treatments relative to the FC treatment. Also, while the mulch practice did not affect ET during the first and less water-stressed season of Masika 2018, DD reduced it by 9% and showed no effect during other seasons.
文摘Introduction:Land use/land cover change can affect the ecological processes of an area such as hydrological cycle.The change in the condition of water resources of an area could be a good indicator of changes in ecosystem function as a result of altered land use/land cover.Eucalyptus expansion in central Ethiopia is one of the recent land use/land cover changes causing controversy on its potential ecological effect.This study was designed to evaluate effects of three adjacent land uses/land covers,i.e.cultivated land,grassland and Eucalyptus woodlot on surface runoff in Meja River watershed,central Ethiopia.Methods:The rainfall amount at each study catchment was collected using the rain gauge installed to record daily rainfall amount.The three land use/land cover types in each study catchment were selected for comparison as treatments.Four replications of each land use/land cover were used forming a total of 12 runoff plots.The rainfall and runoff data were collected twice a day for 91 days.Results:The study found that land use/land cover significantly affects surface runoff generated from the plots.Higher runoff was recorded from cultivated land.There was no significant difference on runoff volume between grassland and Eucalyptus woodlot.Conclusions:This shows that expansion of Eucalyptus on grassland could not have significant impact on surface runoff generation but if planted on previously farmland could reduce surface runoff.