To improve the level of active traffic management,a short-term traffic flow prediction model is proposed by combining phase space reconstruction(PSR)and extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)algorithms.Firstly,the traditi...To improve the level of active traffic management,a short-term traffic flow prediction model is proposed by combining phase space reconstruction(PSR)and extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)algorithms.Firstly,the traditional data preprocessing method is improved.The new method uses hierarchical clustering to determine the traffic flow state and fills in missing and abnormal data according to different traffic flow states.Secondly,one-dimensional data are mapped into a multidimensional data matrix through PSR,and the time series complex network is used to verify the data reconstruction effect.Finally,the multidimensional data matrix is inputted into the XGBoost model to predict future traffic flow parameters.The experimental results show that the mean square error,average absolute error,and average absolute percentage error of the prediction results of the PSR-XGBoost model are 5.399%,1.632%,and 6.278%,respectively,and the required running time is 17.35 s.Compared with mathematical-statistical models and other machine learning models,the PSR-XGBoost model has clear advantages in multiple predictive indicators,proving its feasibility and superiority in short-term traffic flow prediction.展开更多
The expressway traffc incidents have the characteristics of high harmful, strong destructive and refractory.Incident detection can guarantee smooth operation of the expressway, reduce traffc congestion and avoid secon...The expressway traffc incidents have the characteristics of high harmful, strong destructive and refractory.Incident detection can guarantee smooth operation of the expressway, reduce traffc congestion and avoid secondary accident by informing the accident, detection and treatment timely. In this paper, an incident detection method is proposed using the toll station data that takes into account the traffc ratio at the entrances and crossway in the network. The expressway traffc simulation model is improved and a simulation algorithm is established to describe the movement of the vehicles. A numerical example is experimented on the expressway network of Shandong province. The proposed method can effectively detect the expressway incidents, and dynamically estimate the traffc network states so as to provide advice for the highway management department.展开更多
This paper studies how to generate the reasonable information of travelers' decision in real network. This problem is very complex because the travelers' decision is constrained by different human behavior. Th...This paper studies how to generate the reasonable information of travelers' decision in real network. This problem is very complex because the travelers' decision is constrained by different human behavior. The network conditions can be predicted by using the advanced dynamic OD(Origin-Destination, OD) estimation techniques. Based on the improved mesoscopic traffic model, the predictable dynamic traffic guidance information can be obtained accurately.A consistency algorithm is designed to investigate the travelers' decision by simulating the dynamic response to guidance information. The simulation results show that the proposed method can provide the best guidance information. Further,a case study is conducted to verify the theoretical results and to draw managerial insights into the potential of dynamic guidance strategy in improving traffic performance.展开更多
Connected and autonomous vehicle formation(CAVF)technology is considerably important for improving transportation efficiency,optimizing traffic flow,and reduc-ing energy consumption.Despite the extensive research con-...Connected and autonomous vehicle formation(CAVF)technology is considerably important for improving transportation efficiency,optimizing traffic flow,and reduc-ing energy consumption.Despite the extensive research con-ducted on trajectory tracking control and other aspects of CAVF,the quality of the extant literature varies consider-ably,and research content remains scattered.To better pro-mote the sustainable and healthy development of the CAVF field,this paper employs the mapping knowledge domain(MKD)methodology to comprehensively review and visual-ize the current research status in this domain.Based on this review,research themes,hotspots,research challenges,and future development directions are proposed.The findings suggest that the research on CAVF can be categorized into three primary developmental stages.China and the United States are the primary countries conducting CAVF research.There is a positive correlation between economic develop-ment and the generation of scientific research outcomes.Re-search institutions are predominantly concentrated in univer-sities.The field exhibits significant interdisciplinary and inte-gration characteristics,forming key research personnel and teams.It is expected that future research will concentrate on topics such as deep learning,trajectory optimization,energy management strategy,mixed vehicle platoon,and other re-lated subjects.Research on cognition-driven intelligent for-mation decision-making mechanisms,resilience-oriented for-mation safety assurance systems,multiobjective collabora-tive formation optimization strategies,and digital twin-driven formation system validation platforms represents key future development directions.展开更多
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.71771019, 71871130, 71971125)the Science and Technology Special Project of Shandong Provincial Public Security Department (No. 37000000015900920210010001,37000000015900920210012001)。
文摘To improve the level of active traffic management,a short-term traffic flow prediction model is proposed by combining phase space reconstruction(PSR)and extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)algorithms.Firstly,the traditional data preprocessing method is improved.The new method uses hierarchical clustering to determine the traffic flow state and fills in missing and abnormal data according to different traffic flow states.Secondly,one-dimensional data are mapped into a multidimensional data matrix through PSR,and the time series complex network is used to verify the data reconstruction effect.Finally,the multidimensional data matrix is inputted into the XGBoost model to predict future traffic flow parameters.The experimental results show that the mean square error,average absolute error,and average absolute percentage error of the prediction results of the PSR-XGBoost model are 5.399%,1.632%,and 6.278%,respectively,and the required running time is 17.35 s.Compared with mathematical-statistical models and other machine learning models,the PSR-XGBoost model has clear advantages in multiple predictive indicators,proving its feasibility and superiority in short-term traffic flow prediction.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.71871130,71471104,71771019,71571109the University Science and Technology Program Funding Projects of Shandong Province under Grant No.J17KA211the Project of Public Security Department of Shandong Province under Grant No.GATHT2015-236
文摘The expressway traffc incidents have the characteristics of high harmful, strong destructive and refractory.Incident detection can guarantee smooth operation of the expressway, reduce traffc congestion and avoid secondary accident by informing the accident, detection and treatment timely. In this paper, an incident detection method is proposed using the toll station data that takes into account the traffc ratio at the entrances and crossway in the network. The expressway traffc simulation model is improved and a simulation algorithm is established to describe the movement of the vehicles. A numerical example is experimented on the expressway network of Shandong province. The proposed method can effectively detect the expressway incidents, and dynamically estimate the traffc network states so as to provide advice for the highway management department.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.71471104,71771019,71571109,and 71471167The University Science and Technology Program Funding Projects of Shandong Province under Grant No.J17KA211+1 种基金The Project of Public Security Department of Shandong Province under Grant No.GATHT2015-236The Major Social and Livelihood Special Project of Jinan under Grant No.20150905
文摘This paper studies how to generate the reasonable information of travelers' decision in real network. This problem is very complex because the travelers' decision is constrained by different human behavior. The network conditions can be predicted by using the advanced dynamic OD(Origin-Destination, OD) estimation techniques. Based on the improved mesoscopic traffic model, the predictable dynamic traffic guidance information can be obtained accurately.A consistency algorithm is designed to investigate the travelers' decision by simulating the dynamic response to guidance information. The simulation results show that the proposed method can provide the best guidance information. Further,a case study is conducted to verify the theoretical results and to draw managerial insights into the potential of dynamic guidance strategy in improving traffic performance.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 52302373, 52472317)the Natural Science Foundation of Beijing (No. L231023)the Beijing Nova Program (No. 20230484443)。
文摘Connected and autonomous vehicle formation(CAVF)technology is considerably important for improving transportation efficiency,optimizing traffic flow,and reduc-ing energy consumption.Despite the extensive research con-ducted on trajectory tracking control and other aspects of CAVF,the quality of the extant literature varies consider-ably,and research content remains scattered.To better pro-mote the sustainable and healthy development of the CAVF field,this paper employs the mapping knowledge domain(MKD)methodology to comprehensively review and visual-ize the current research status in this domain.Based on this review,research themes,hotspots,research challenges,and future development directions are proposed.The findings suggest that the research on CAVF can be categorized into three primary developmental stages.China and the United States are the primary countries conducting CAVF research.There is a positive correlation between economic develop-ment and the generation of scientific research outcomes.Re-search institutions are predominantly concentrated in univer-sities.The field exhibits significant interdisciplinary and inte-gration characteristics,forming key research personnel and teams.It is expected that future research will concentrate on topics such as deep learning,trajectory optimization,energy management strategy,mixed vehicle platoon,and other re-lated subjects.Research on cognition-driven intelligent for-mation decision-making mechanisms,resilience-oriented for-mation safety assurance systems,multiobjective collabora-tive formation optimization strategies,and digital twin-driven formation system validation platforms represents key future development directions.
