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Analyses and projections of households,living arrangements and home-based care needs for disabled older adults in Sri Lanka,2012-2060
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作者 Yi Zeng Zhenglian Wang +1 位作者 Muqi Guo Lakshman Dissanayake 《China Population and Development Studies》 2024年第4期473-489,共17页
Our data analyses show that female older adults in Sri Lanka face significant dis-advantages in disability status compared to their male counterparts.However,their socioeconomic statuses are generally lower than their... Our data analyses show that female older adults in Sri Lanka face significant dis-advantages in disability status compared to their male counterparts.However,their socioeconomic statuses are generally lower than their male counterparts.This is a critical issue,and it is essential for the government and society to ensure that old-age insurance and service programs benefit older women and men equally.Based on empirical data analyses,we projected households,living arrangements,and home-based care needs for disabled older adults in Sri Lanka for the period 2012-2060,using the internationally recognized ProFamy extended cohort-component method/software and conventionally available data.Our projections indicate that home-based care needs for older adults in Sri Lanka will increase substantially due to the inevitable trends of rapid population aging and the sharp rise in the oldest-old popu-lation(aged 80+).Consequently,policy reforms and socioeconomic planning are urgently needed to address the significant challenges posed by these large and rapid increases in care needs.Our projections also show that disabled unmarried elders living alone will increase at a faster rate than those disabled unmarried elders living with children.We suggest that adult children may be encouraged to live with or near their aging parents.Co-residence or proximity can reduce home-based care expendi-tures,improve the well-being and health of elderly parents,and enable them to care for their grandchildren,resulting in“win-win”outcomes. 展开更多
关键词 Projections Household types Household size Living arrangements Home-based care needs Older adults Sri Lanka
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Longitudinal survey and interdisciplinary research on healthy aging
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作者 Yi Zeng Zhenzhen Zheng 《China Population and Development Studies》 2020年第3期293-296,共4页
The collection of papers in this special issue of China Population and Develop-ment Studies includes a review on Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey(CLHLS)and four reports on preliminary findings from the 8t... The collection of papers in this special issue of China Population and Develop-ment Studies includes a review on Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey(CLHLS)and four reports on preliminary findings from the 8th wave of CLHLS conducted in 2017-2018.Population of China,which is the largest developing country with 1.4 billion peo-ple in total in 2019,is aging rapidly due to rapid declines in both fertility and mor-tality. 展开更多
关键词 AGING POPULATION SURVEY
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Extend the ProFamy cohort-component method to conduct probabilistic households and living arrangement projections
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作者 Yi Zeng Zhenglian Wang +4 位作者 Qiushi Feng Danan Gu Junni Zhang Wei Tang Kenneth Land 《China Population and Development Studies》 2024年第4期378-403,共26页
In this commentary,we first briefly review the significant utilities of household and living arrangement projections and the main types of methods for conduct-ing household projections.In the second and third sections... In this commentary,we first briefly review the significant utilities of household and living arrangement projections and the main types of methods for conduct-ing household projections.In the second and third sections,we summarize basic ideas,data needed,assessments and applications of ProFamy extended cohort-com-ponent methods/software for households and living arrangement projections;and we emphasize the importance to extend the ProFamy methods and software from deterministic to probabilistic households and living arrangement projections.In sec-tion 4,we demonstrate that the ProFamy approach provides an adequate and highly feasible modelling framework to extend probabilistic households and living arrange-ment projections(PHPs),in which the population size/structure projection out-comes are in consistence with those of probabilistic population projections(PPPs)released by United Nations Population Division(UNPD).In the last Section,we dis-cuss and recommend applying the user-friendly R package DemoRates of ProFamy software to estimate rural/urban(or race)-sex-age-specific standard schedules and the demographic summary measures,to conduct analyses and projections,such as single-parent households,caregivers,and care needs/costs for disabled older adults,age-friendly housing and households-based energy demands,etc.for healthy aging and sustainable development studies.Finally,we discuss the prospects of our ongo-ing international collaborative research project to substantially extend ProFamy cohort-component method from deterministic into probabilistic households and living arrangement projection(PHPs).As compared with ProFamy deterministic pro-jection method,the PHPs produces a lot of additional outcomes of probabilistically projected households and living arrangements in 2021-2100 with uncertainty inter-vals that are crucial for healthy aging and sustainable development studies. 展开更多
关键词 Household and living arrangement projections ProFamy methods Deterministic and probabilistic projections Probabilistic household and living arrangement projections(PHPs)
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Gender Differences in Familial Status,Socioeconomics,Functional Capacities and Wellbeing Among Oldest-Old Aged 80 Years and Above—China,1998–2018 被引量:2
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作者 Yi Zeng 《China CDC weekly》 2021年第36期757-762,I0002-I0004,共9页
Summary What is already known on this topic?Little is known about gender differences in health,family,and socioeconomics among oldest-old in China,What is added by this report?This study aims to fill this knowledge ga... Summary What is already known on this topic?Little is known about gender differences in health,family,and socioeconomics among oldest-old in China,What is added by this report?This study aims to fill this knowledge gap through analyzing gender differences in familial status,socioeconomics,functional capacities,and self-reported wellbeing using the 1998,2008–2009,and 2017–2018 waves of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey. 展开更多
关键词 GENDER AMONG What
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老龄健康影响因素的跨学科研究国际动态 被引量:25
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作者 曾毅 《科学通报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2011年第35期2929-2940,共12页
本文从四方面综述并讨论老龄健康跨学科研究的国际新动态与进展:(1)发达国家高度重视和不断加强对老龄健康跨学科研究及其研究策略选择;(2)老龄健康的社会行为和环境影响因素研究;(3)老龄健康相关遗传基因研究;(4)社会行为、环境、遗传... 本文从四方面综述并讨论老龄健康跨学科研究的国际新动态与进展:(1)发达国家高度重视和不断加强对老龄健康跨学科研究及其研究策略选择;(2)老龄健康的社会行为和环境影响因素研究;(3)老龄健康相关遗传基因研究;(4)社会行为、环境、遗传因素的交互作用对老龄健康影响研究.同时阐述国际上关于老龄健康跨学科研究的若干案例以及我国关于老龄健康影响因素调查和健康长寿候选基因研究方面取得的一些可喜进展与仍然十分薄弱的现状.最后对今后如何开展老龄健康的跨自然与社会科学综合交叉研究提出思考与展望,认为积极推进我国老龄健康跨学科研究势在必行,而我国学者可望为人类应对人口老化严峻挑战做出突出贡献. 展开更多
关键词 人口老化 老龄健康 健康长寿 跨学科研究 国际动态
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马尔萨斯人口论仍然是错的 被引量:7
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作者 曾毅 《科学通报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第21期2335-2345,共11页
针对Science杂志列为125个最具挑战性科学前沿问题之一的关于"马尔萨斯是否仍然是错的?"议题,从历史回顾、客观现实和新的挑战等方面进行分析讨论,以及基于各方面的实证研究,得出结论:马尔萨斯人口论在过去、现在和将来都是错... 针对Science杂志列为125个最具挑战性科学前沿问题之一的关于"马尔萨斯是否仍然是错的?"议题,从历史回顾、客观现实和新的挑战等方面进行分析讨论,以及基于各方面的实证研究,得出结论:马尔萨斯人口论在过去、现在和将来都是错的.同时,在我国人口增长大大减缓并在十多年后进入负增长的今天和明天,除了积极推进清洁能源开发,节能减排,有效应对全球气候变化,防治土壤和水资源污染与保护生物多样性的科技创新及大力应用推广外,必须高度重视家庭户数量结构分布变化对能源消费、人口老化和可持续发展影响的科学研究与政策应对.为了减少家庭小型化产生大量独居者(尤其是空巢老人),家庭户数快速上升导致能源消费大幅增长,有效应对人口老化严峻挑战并实现区域均衡发展,建议参照新加坡的成功经验:国家出台优惠政策,在全国范围内鼓励支持成年子女与老人同住或近邻居住模式,尤其积极鼓励西北部迁移到东南部的中青年回归家乡发展,与老年父母团聚,或农村留守老人、孩子来城镇团聚,实现老人及子女互助"双赢",并减少家庭小型化导致家庭户数快速增长对能源消费、环境保护和人口老化的负面影响,将利于我国西北部和东南部的可持续发展. 展开更多
关键词 马尔萨斯人口论 人口增长 经济增长 家庭户小型化 能源消费 人口老化 环境保护 可持续发展
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