Synthetic aperture radar(SAR)and wave spectrometers,crucial in microwave remote sensing,play an essential role in monitoring sea surface wind and wave conditions.However,they face inherent limitations in observing sea...Synthetic aperture radar(SAR)and wave spectrometers,crucial in microwave remote sensing,play an essential role in monitoring sea surface wind and wave conditions.However,they face inherent limitations in observing sea surface phenomena.SAR systems,for instance,are hindered by an azimuth cut-off phenomenon in sea surface wind field observation.Wave spectrometers,while unaffected by the azimuth cutoff phenomenon,struggle with low azimuth resolution,impacting the capture of detailed wave and wind field data.This study utilizes SAR and surface wave investigation and monitoring(SWIM)data to initially extract key feature parameters,which are then prioritized using the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)algorithm.The research further addresses feature collinearity through a combined analysis of feature importance and correlation,leading to the development of an inversion model for wave and wind parameters based on XGBoost.A comparative analysis of this model with ERA5 reanalysis and buoy data for of significant wave height,mean wave period,wind direction,and wind speed reveals root mean square errors of 0.212 m,0.525 s,27.446°,and 1.092 m/s,compared to 0.314 m,0.888 s,27.698°,and 1.315 m/s from buoy data,respectively.These results demonstrate the model’s effective retrieval of wave and wind parameters.Finally,the model,incorporating altimeter and scatterometer data,is evaluated against SAR/SWIM single and dual payload inversion methods across different wind speeds.This comparison highlights the model’s superior inversion accuracy over other methods.展开更多
The wind as a natural phenomenon would cause the derivation of the pesticide drops during the operation of agricultural unmanned aerial vehicles(UAV).In particular,the changeable wind makes it difficult for the precis...The wind as a natural phenomenon would cause the derivation of the pesticide drops during the operation of agricultural unmanned aerial vehicles(UAV).In particular,the changeable wind makes it difficult for the precision agriculture.For accurate spraying of pesticide,it is necessary to estimate the real-time wind parameters to provide the correction reference for the UAV path.Most estimation algorithms are model based,and as such,serious errors can arise when the models fail to properly fit the physical wind motions.To address this problem,a robust estimation model is proposed in this paper.Considering the diversity of the wind,three elemental time-related Markov models with carefully designed parameterαare adopted in the interacting multiple model(IMM)algorithm,to accomplish the estimation of the wind parameters.Furthermore,the estimation accuracy is dependent as well on the filtering technique.In that regard,the sparse grid quadrature Kalman filter(SGQKF)is employed to comprise the computation load and high filtering accuracy.Finally,the proposed algorithm is ran using simulation tests which results demonstrate its effectiveness and superiority in tracking the wind change.展开更多
Correlation analysis of solar wind parameters, namely solar wind velocity, proton density, proton temperature and mean interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) from the ACE spacecraft data near Earth, was done. To our be...Correlation analysis of solar wind parameters, namely solar wind velocity, proton density, proton temperature and mean interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) from the ACE spacecraft data near Earth, was done. To our best knowledge, this study is a novel one since we consider here only the parameters inside the solar wind, including the mean IMF and, hence, the solar wind is a self consistent system. We have proposed a Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model for the prediction of the response variable (solar wind velocity) using the parameters proton density, proton temperature and mean IMF measured as daily averages. About 60% of the observed value can be predicted using this model. It is shown that, in general, the correlation between solar wind parameters is significant. A deviation from the prediction at the solar maximum is interpreted. These results are verified by a graphical method.展开更多
We use the Wind Farm Parameterization(WFP) scheme coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting model under multiple resolution regimes to simulate turbulent wake dynamics generated by a real onshore wind farm and...We use the Wind Farm Parameterization(WFP) scheme coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting model under multiple resolution regimes to simulate turbulent wake dynamics generated by a real onshore wind farm and their influence at the local meteorological scale. The model outputs are compared with earlier modeling and observation studies. It is found that higher vertical and horizontal resolutions have great impacts on the simulated wake flow dynamics. The corresponding wind speed deficit and turbulent kinetic energy results match well with previous studies. In addition, the effect of horizontal resolution on near-surface meteorology is significantly higher than that of vertical resolution. The wake flow field extends from the start of the wind farm to downstream within 10 km, where the wind speed deficit may exceed 4%. For a height of 150 m or at a distance of about 25 km downstream, the wind speed deficit is around 2%. This indicates that, at a distance of more than 25 km downstream, the impact of the wind turbines can be ignored. Analysis of near-surface meteorology indicates a night and early morning warming near the surface, and increase in near-surface water vapor mixing ratio with decreasing surface sensible and latent heat fluxes. During daytime, a slight cooling near the surface and decrease in the near-surface water vapor mixing ratio with increasing surface sensible and latent heat fluxes is noticed over the wind farm area.展开更多
Unresolved small-scale orographic(SSO) drags are parameterized in a regional model based on the Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System for the Tropical Mesoscale Model(GRAPES TMM). The SSO drags are re...Unresolved small-scale orographic(SSO) drags are parameterized in a regional model based on the Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System for the Tropical Mesoscale Model(GRAPES TMM). The SSO drags are represented by adding a sink term in the momentum equations. The maximum height of the mountain within the grid box is adopted in the SSO parameterization(SSOP) scheme as compensation for the drag. The effects of the unresolved topography are parameterized as the feedbacks to the momentum tendencies on the first model level in planetary boundary layer(PBL)parameterization. The SSOP scheme has been implemented and coupled with the PBL parameterization scheme within the model physics package. A monthly simulation is designed to examine the performance of the SSOP scheme over the complex terrain areas located in the southwest of Guangdong. The verification results show that the surface wind speed bias has been much alleviated by adopting the SSOP scheme, in addition to reduction of the wind bias in the lower troposphere. The target verification over Xinyi shows that the simulations with the SSOP scheme provide improved wind estimation over the complex regions in the southwest of Guangdong.展开更多
The growth of frequency spectra and spectral parameters of wind waves generated by cold waves, a kind of severe weather system, in the northern East China Sea is studied in this paper. Based on a third-generation wave...The growth of frequency spectra and spectral parameters of wind waves generated by cold waves, a kind of severe weather system, in the northern East China Sea is studied in this paper. Based on a third-generation wave action model(the Simulating WAves Nearshore model), simulations were developed to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of wind waves and to output spectral data. It is shown that the cold wave-induced spectra can be well described by the modified Joint North Sea Wave Project spectral form. The growth of wave spectra is comprehensively reflected by the evolution of the three characteristic parameters: peak frequency, spectral peak and wave energy. Besides, the approximations of dependences between spectral parameters and the three types of universal induced factors are obtained with the least squares method and compared systematically. Fetch and peak frequency turn out to be suitable parameters to describe the spectral parameters, while the dependences on the inverse wave age vary in different sea areas. In general, the derived relationships improve on results from previous studies for better practical application of the wind wave frequency spectrum in the northern East China Sea.展开更多
Six parameterization schemes of roughness or drag coefficient are evaluated on the basis of the data from six experiments. They present great consistency with measurement when friction velocity u*〈0.5 m/s (ap- prox...Six parameterization schemes of roughness or drag coefficient are evaluated on the basis of the data from six experiments. They present great consistency with measurement when friction velocity u*〈0.5 m/s (ap- proximately corresponding to 10 m wind speed U10〈 12 m/s) and large deviation from measurement when u*≥0.5 m/s (approximately U10 ≥ 12 m/s). In order to improve the deviation, a new parameterization of drag coefficient is derived on the basis of the similarity theory, Charnock relationship and Toba 3/2 power law. Wave steepness and wind-sea Reynolds number are considered in the new parameterization. Then it is test- ed on the basis of the measurements and shows significant improvement when u*≥0.5 m/s. Its standard errors are much smaller than the ones of the other six parameterizations. However, the new parameteriza- tion still needs more tests especially for high winds.展开更多
利用实况资料和再分析资料,结合WRF(weather research and forecasting)模式对南通一次极端大风过程进行诊断分析及数值模拟。分析了该个例发生的天气形势背景和系统的水平、垂直结构,探究大风天气成因,并进一步对比不同参数化方案的模...利用实况资料和再分析资料,结合WRF(weather research and forecasting)模式对南通一次极端大风过程进行诊断分析及数值模拟。分析了该个例发生的天气形势背景和系统的水平、垂直结构,探究大风天气成因,并进一步对比不同参数化方案的模拟效果。结果表明:1)大风过程发生在高空深厚冷涡和地面强暖湿低压的环流背景下,上空存在不稳定层结和不稳定能量的累积;雷暴大风在12—13时经历了发展、成熟、消散3个阶段,飑线以碎块型的方式形成。2)3种微物理方案中,MG方案模拟出更大面积的层云、强回波和极端大风,模拟的最大地面阵风为44.47 m·s^(-1)。Lin方案较好地模拟出飑线的演变过程和垂直结构特征,模拟的最强上升气流达23.55 m·s^(-1),下沉气流达-13.21 m·s^(-1)。3)水平方向上,雷暴大风附近存在成熟的飑线地面中尺度系统,地面存在深厚冷池出流、变压梯度大值区和冷锋过境,它们共同促进了地面大风的生成。4)垂直方向上,对流单体上空高层辐散、低层辐合,存在强上升气流和水汽潜热释放;后侧的干空气蒸发和粒子的拖曳加强下沉运动,配合地面冷池出流和辐散气流,造成了极端大风天气。展开更多
风是近地层大气的主要物理量,也是影响林火蔓延的重要因素。本文以2020年“3·30”西昌森林火灾周围的近地面风场为研究对象,基于中尺度数值模式(Weather Research and Forecasting,WRF),采用6种边界层方案进行敏感性实验。结果表明...风是近地层大气的主要物理量,也是影响林火蔓延的重要因素。本文以2020年“3·30”西昌森林火灾周围的近地面风场为研究对象,基于中尺度数值模式(Weather Research and Forecasting,WRF),采用6种边界层方案进行敏感性实验。结果表明,YSU和Shin-Hong方案对凉山10 m风速模拟误差最小,YSU和MYNN3方案对凉山10 m风向模拟误差最小;YSU和Shin-Hong方案能模拟出西昌火灾区风场分布以及风向转变;在西昌站点YSU方案模拟的边界层结构最接近观测值,能较好地表现边界层内动力和热力结构。展开更多
针对现有850 k W风力机叶片,分析其材料、结构及铺层状态,对比传统叶片有限元模型,将描述叶片主要结构的弦长、扭角采用分段函数形式表达,采用MATLAB编程并结合ANSYS二次开发建立风力机叶片参数化几何模型.基于动量-叶素理论的BLADED软...针对现有850 k W风力机叶片,分析其材料、结构及铺层状态,对比传统叶片有限元模型,将描述叶片主要结构的弦长、扭角采用分段函数形式表达,采用MATLAB编程并结合ANSYS二次开发建立风力机叶片参数化几何模型.基于动量-叶素理论的BLADED软件计算叶片各截面处的极限载荷,并于叶片分段施加载荷增量.动力学分析得到叶片前三阶挥舞和摆振频率及一阶扭转频率,其与实测固有频率比较,分析并验证叶片于共振区外运行.静力分析得到叶片挥舞位移及关键部位应力分布,通过最大应力准则和蔡-胡(Tsai-Wu)准则对翼面进行强度校核(其他部位同理校核),表明叶片在极限状态下仍能保持安全运行.该研究描绘了叶片主要力学性能,为叶片进一步优化奠定了基础.展开更多
中尺度气象模式对风场的预报效果与参数化方案的适应性紧密相关。以内蒙古高原丘陵地形、江苏平缓的海陆交界地形2种典型下垫面试验风电场为模拟区域,分别用WRFV3.2(Weather Research and Forecast Model)模式自带的6种物理过程参数化...中尺度气象模式对风场的预报效果与参数化方案的适应性紧密相关。以内蒙古高原丘陵地形、江苏平缓的海陆交界地形2种典型下垫面试验风电场为模拟区域,分别用WRFV3.2(Weather Research and Forecast Model)模式自带的6种物理过程参数化组合方案预报了2010年1月和7月两个风电场区域的风速和风向,对比分析了参数化组合方案差异对风场预报的影响。结果表明:①内蒙古试验区,边界层MRF方案描述的边界层结构较MYJ方案合理;微物理方案WSM3在夏季的风速预报能力优于WSM6,而冬季相反;复杂地形区域的风场预报需考虑陆面过程参数化方案,尤其是夏季降水发生后,陆面过程对于边界层结构的影响增大,选用Noah优于无陆面过程。②江苏试验区,边界层MRF方案描述的边界层结构较MYJ方案合理;1月陆面过程RUC方案优于陆面热量扩散和Noah;7月陆面热量扩散方案优于RUC和Noah。③风向预报6个方案的预报风向统计与实际记录风向统计有较好的一致性,风向概率分布相似,盛行风向一致且稳定。展开更多
基金The project supported by Key Laboratory of Space Ocean Remote Sensing and Application,Ministry of Natural Resources under contract No.2023CFO016the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.61931025+1 种基金the Innovation Fund Project for Graduate Student of China University of Petroleum(East China)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under contract No.23CX04042A.
文摘Synthetic aperture radar(SAR)and wave spectrometers,crucial in microwave remote sensing,play an essential role in monitoring sea surface wind and wave conditions.However,they face inherent limitations in observing sea surface phenomena.SAR systems,for instance,are hindered by an azimuth cut-off phenomenon in sea surface wind field observation.Wave spectrometers,while unaffected by the azimuth cutoff phenomenon,struggle with low azimuth resolution,impacting the capture of detailed wave and wind field data.This study utilizes SAR and surface wave investigation and monitoring(SWIM)data to initially extract key feature parameters,which are then prioritized using the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)algorithm.The research further addresses feature collinearity through a combined analysis of feature importance and correlation,leading to the development of an inversion model for wave and wind parameters based on XGBoost.A comparative analysis of this model with ERA5 reanalysis and buoy data for of significant wave height,mean wave period,wind direction,and wind speed reveals root mean square errors of 0.212 m,0.525 s,27.446°,and 1.092 m/s,compared to 0.314 m,0.888 s,27.698°,and 1.315 m/s from buoy data,respectively.These results demonstrate the model’s effective retrieval of wave and wind parameters.Finally,the model,incorporating altimeter and scatterometer data,is evaluated against SAR/SWIM single and dual payload inversion methods across different wind speeds.This comparison highlights the model’s superior inversion accuracy over other methods.
基金This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61803203).
文摘The wind as a natural phenomenon would cause the derivation of the pesticide drops during the operation of agricultural unmanned aerial vehicles(UAV).In particular,the changeable wind makes it difficult for the precision agriculture.For accurate spraying of pesticide,it is necessary to estimate the real-time wind parameters to provide the correction reference for the UAV path.Most estimation algorithms are model based,and as such,serious errors can arise when the models fail to properly fit the physical wind motions.To address this problem,a robust estimation model is proposed in this paper.Considering the diversity of the wind,three elemental time-related Markov models with carefully designed parameterαare adopted in the interacting multiple model(IMM)algorithm,to accomplish the estimation of the wind parameters.Furthermore,the estimation accuracy is dependent as well on the filtering technique.In that regard,the sparse grid quadrature Kalman filter(SGQKF)is employed to comprise the computation load and high filtering accuracy.Finally,the proposed algorithm is ran using simulation tests which results demonstrate its effectiveness and superiority in tracking the wind change.
基金The staff at NOAA’s Space Environment Center in Boulder and the ACE Project teams are gratefully acknowledged for making the solar wind data available in real time and for the guidance given to us
文摘Correlation analysis of solar wind parameters, namely solar wind velocity, proton density, proton temperature and mean interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) from the ACE spacecraft data near Earth, was done. To our best knowledge, this study is a novel one since we consider here only the parameters inside the solar wind, including the mean IMF and, hence, the solar wind is a self consistent system. We have proposed a Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model for the prediction of the response variable (solar wind velocity) using the parameters proton density, proton temperature and mean IMF measured as daily averages. About 60% of the observed value can be predicted using this model. It is shown that, in general, the correlation between solar wind parameters is significant. A deviation from the prediction at the solar maximum is interpreted. These results are verified by a graphical method.
基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No.2017YFA0604501)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.41475013) for the funding support
文摘We use the Wind Farm Parameterization(WFP) scheme coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting model under multiple resolution regimes to simulate turbulent wake dynamics generated by a real onshore wind farm and their influence at the local meteorological scale. The model outputs are compared with earlier modeling and observation studies. It is found that higher vertical and horizontal resolutions have great impacts on the simulated wake flow dynamics. The corresponding wind speed deficit and turbulent kinetic energy results match well with previous studies. In addition, the effect of horizontal resolution on near-surface meteorology is significantly higher than that of vertical resolution. The wake flow field extends from the start of the wind farm to downstream within 10 km, where the wind speed deficit may exceed 4%. For a height of 150 m or at a distance of about 25 km downstream, the wind speed deficit is around 2%. This indicates that, at a distance of more than 25 km downstream, the impact of the wind turbines can be ignored. Analysis of near-surface meteorology indicates a night and early morning warming near the surface, and increase in near-surface water vapor mixing ratio with decreasing surface sensible and latent heat fluxes. During daytime, a slight cooling near the surface and decrease in the near-surface water vapor mixing ratio with increasing surface sensible and latent heat fluxes is noticed over the wind farm area.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41505084,41275053and 41461164006)the China Meteorological Administration Special Public Welfare Research Fund(Grant Nos.GYHY201406003 and GYHY201406009)+1 种基金the Guangdong Meteorological Service Project(Grant No.2015B01)the Guangdong Province Public Welfare Research and Capacity Construction Project(Grant No.2017B020218003)
文摘Unresolved small-scale orographic(SSO) drags are parameterized in a regional model based on the Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System for the Tropical Mesoscale Model(GRAPES TMM). The SSO drags are represented by adding a sink term in the momentum equations. The maximum height of the mountain within the grid box is adopted in the SSO parameterization(SSOP) scheme as compensation for the drag. The effects of the unresolved topography are parameterized as the feedbacks to the momentum tendencies on the first model level in planetary boundary layer(PBL)parameterization. The SSOP scheme has been implemented and coupled with the PBL parameterization scheme within the model physics package. A monthly simulation is designed to examine the performance of the SSOP scheme over the complex terrain areas located in the southwest of Guangdong. The verification results show that the surface wind speed bias has been much alleviated by adopting the SSOP scheme, in addition to reduction of the wind bias in the lower troposphere. The target verification over Xinyi shows that the simulations with the SSOP scheme provide improved wind estimation over the complex regions in the southwest of Guangdong.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2016YFC1402000)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41376027,41406017,U1406401,41421005)
文摘The growth of frequency spectra and spectral parameters of wind waves generated by cold waves, a kind of severe weather system, in the northern East China Sea is studied in this paper. Based on a third-generation wave action model(the Simulating WAves Nearshore model), simulations were developed to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of wind waves and to output spectral data. It is shown that the cold wave-induced spectra can be well described by the modified Joint North Sea Wave Project spectral form. The growth of wave spectra is comprehensively reflected by the evolution of the three characteristic parameters: peak frequency, spectral peak and wave energy. Besides, the approximations of dependences between spectral parameters and the three types of universal induced factors are obtained with the least squares method and compared systematically. Fetch and peak frequency turn out to be suitable parameters to describe the spectral parameters, while the dependences on the inverse wave age vary in different sea areas. In general, the derived relationships improve on results from previous studies for better practical application of the wind wave frequency spectrum in the northern East China Sea.
基金The National Basic Research Program of China under contract Nos 2011CB403501 and 2012CB417402the Fund for Creative Research Groups by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.41121064
文摘Six parameterization schemes of roughness or drag coefficient are evaluated on the basis of the data from six experiments. They present great consistency with measurement when friction velocity u*〈0.5 m/s (ap- proximately corresponding to 10 m wind speed U10〈 12 m/s) and large deviation from measurement when u*≥0.5 m/s (approximately U10 ≥ 12 m/s). In order to improve the deviation, a new parameterization of drag coefficient is derived on the basis of the similarity theory, Charnock relationship and Toba 3/2 power law. Wave steepness and wind-sea Reynolds number are considered in the new parameterization. Then it is test- ed on the basis of the measurements and shows significant improvement when u*≥0.5 m/s. Its standard errors are much smaller than the ones of the other six parameterizations. However, the new parameteriza- tion still needs more tests especially for high winds.
文摘利用实况资料和再分析资料,结合WRF(weather research and forecasting)模式对南通一次极端大风过程进行诊断分析及数值模拟。分析了该个例发生的天气形势背景和系统的水平、垂直结构,探究大风天气成因,并进一步对比不同参数化方案的模拟效果。结果表明:1)大风过程发生在高空深厚冷涡和地面强暖湿低压的环流背景下,上空存在不稳定层结和不稳定能量的累积;雷暴大风在12—13时经历了发展、成熟、消散3个阶段,飑线以碎块型的方式形成。2)3种微物理方案中,MG方案模拟出更大面积的层云、强回波和极端大风,模拟的最大地面阵风为44.47 m·s^(-1)。Lin方案较好地模拟出飑线的演变过程和垂直结构特征,模拟的最强上升气流达23.55 m·s^(-1),下沉气流达-13.21 m·s^(-1)。3)水平方向上,雷暴大风附近存在成熟的飑线地面中尺度系统,地面存在深厚冷池出流、变压梯度大值区和冷锋过境,它们共同促进了地面大风的生成。4)垂直方向上,对流单体上空高层辐散、低层辐合,存在强上升气流和水汽潜热释放;后侧的干空气蒸发和粒子的拖曳加强下沉运动,配合地面冷池出流和辐散气流,造成了极端大风天气。
文摘风是近地层大气的主要物理量,也是影响林火蔓延的重要因素。本文以2020年“3·30”西昌森林火灾周围的近地面风场为研究对象,基于中尺度数值模式(Weather Research and Forecasting,WRF),采用6种边界层方案进行敏感性实验。结果表明,YSU和Shin-Hong方案对凉山10 m风速模拟误差最小,YSU和MYNN3方案对凉山10 m风向模拟误差最小;YSU和Shin-Hong方案能模拟出西昌火灾区风场分布以及风向转变;在西昌站点YSU方案模拟的边界层结构最接近观测值,能较好地表现边界层内动力和热力结构。
文摘针对现有850 k W风力机叶片,分析其材料、结构及铺层状态,对比传统叶片有限元模型,将描述叶片主要结构的弦长、扭角采用分段函数形式表达,采用MATLAB编程并结合ANSYS二次开发建立风力机叶片参数化几何模型.基于动量-叶素理论的BLADED软件计算叶片各截面处的极限载荷,并于叶片分段施加载荷增量.动力学分析得到叶片前三阶挥舞和摆振频率及一阶扭转频率,其与实测固有频率比较,分析并验证叶片于共振区外运行.静力分析得到叶片挥舞位移及关键部位应力分布,通过最大应力准则和蔡-胡(Tsai-Wu)准则对翼面进行强度校核(其他部位同理校核),表明叶片在极限状态下仍能保持安全运行.该研究描绘了叶片主要力学性能,为叶片进一步优化奠定了基础.
文摘中尺度气象模式对风场的预报效果与参数化方案的适应性紧密相关。以内蒙古高原丘陵地形、江苏平缓的海陆交界地形2种典型下垫面试验风电场为模拟区域,分别用WRFV3.2(Weather Research and Forecast Model)模式自带的6种物理过程参数化组合方案预报了2010年1月和7月两个风电场区域的风速和风向,对比分析了参数化组合方案差异对风场预报的影响。结果表明:①内蒙古试验区,边界层MRF方案描述的边界层结构较MYJ方案合理;微物理方案WSM3在夏季的风速预报能力优于WSM6,而冬季相反;复杂地形区域的风场预报需考虑陆面过程参数化方案,尤其是夏季降水发生后,陆面过程对于边界层结构的影响增大,选用Noah优于无陆面过程。②江苏试验区,边界层MRF方案描述的边界层结构较MYJ方案合理;1月陆面过程RUC方案优于陆面热量扩散和Noah;7月陆面热量扩散方案优于RUC和Noah。③风向预报6个方案的预报风向统计与实际记录风向统计有较好的一致性,风向概率分布相似,盛行风向一致且稳定。