Oil spill prediction is critical for reducing the detrimental impact of oil spills on marine ecosystems,and the wind strong-ly influences the performance of oil spill models.However,the wind drift factor is assumed to...Oil spill prediction is critical for reducing the detrimental impact of oil spills on marine ecosystems,and the wind strong-ly influences the performance of oil spill models.However,the wind drift factor is assumed to be constant or parameterized by linear regression and other methods in existing studies,which may limit the accuracy of the oil spill simulation.A parameterization method for wind drift factor(PMOWDF)based on deep learning,which can effectively extract the time-varying characteristics on a regional scale,is proposed in this paper.The method was adopted to forecast the oil spill in the East China Sea.The discrepancies between predicted positions and actual measurement locations of the drifters are obtained using seasonal statistical analysis.Results reveal that PMOWDF can improve the accuracy of oil spill simulation compared with the traditional method.Furthermore,the parameteriza-tion method is validated with satellite observations of the Sanchi oil spill in 2018.展开更多
基金funded by the Social Science Foundation of Shandong(No.20CXWJ08).
文摘Oil spill prediction is critical for reducing the detrimental impact of oil spills on marine ecosystems,and the wind strong-ly influences the performance of oil spill models.However,the wind drift factor is assumed to be constant or parameterized by linear regression and other methods in existing studies,which may limit the accuracy of the oil spill simulation.A parameterization method for wind drift factor(PMOWDF)based on deep learning,which can effectively extract the time-varying characteristics on a regional scale,is proposed in this paper.The method was adopted to forecast the oil spill in the East China Sea.The discrepancies between predicted positions and actual measurement locations of the drifters are obtained using seasonal statistical analysis.Results reveal that PMOWDF can improve the accuracy of oil spill simulation compared with the traditional method.Furthermore,the parameteriza-tion method is validated with satellite observations of the Sanchi oil spill in 2018.
