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Changes in the crown angulation and dental arch widths after nonextraction orthodontic treatment: Model analysis of mild crowding with high canines 被引量:1
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作者 Morio Masunaga Hiroshi Ueda Kazuo Tanne 《Open Journal of Stomatology》 2012年第3期188-194,共7页
This study was undertaken to examine which factors contributed to the correction of crowding in two patients who underwent nonextraction orthodontic treatment. A study model analysis was conducted to determine the eff... This study was undertaken to examine which factors contributed to the correction of crowding in two patients who underwent nonextraction orthodontic treatment. A study model analysis was conducted to determine the effects of the orthodontic treatment for crowding with high canines on crown angulation and dental arch width in two patients. The results showed that the crown angulation was significantly increased, indicating distal tipping in the maxillary dental arch. This tendency was most commonly observed in the premolars among the lateral teeth. With respect to the dental arch width, the largest change was evident in the first molar and first premolar regions in cases 1 and 2, respectively. On the basis of these results, up-righting of mesially tipped lateral teeth and expansion of narrow dental arches could prove to be the keys to the success of space regaining or correction of high canines and mild crowding. 展开更多
关键词 CROWDING HIGH CANINE CROWN Angulation Dental Arch width model Analysis
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Width Compensation and Correction for the Plan View Pattern Control Function on Plate Mill 被引量:5
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作者 Zhi-Jie Jiao Chun-Yu He +1 位作者 Zhong Zhao Jing-Guo Ding 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2013年第5期31-35,共5页
Research works on width compensation and correction were carried out in order to eliminate the effects of the PVPC ( plan view pattern control) on width accuracy of plate mill. The thickness correction calculation f... Research works on width compensation and correction were carried out in order to eliminate the effects of the PVPC ( plan view pattern control) on width accuracy of plate mill. The thickness correction calculation formula was derived for compensation the width deviation caused by PVPC function, and the formula is unified under the thinning and thickening conditions. In order to improve the width calculation accuracy, width spread calculation process was modified with dividing one large reduction pass to several small reduction calculation steps. The thickness wedge was simplified to rectangle based on the volume constant principle, and the width spread model for PVPC was constructed. The width compensation and correction for the PVPC functions are used for the online control process, and the Product dimension accuracy is improved. With the decrease of Crop losses, the Droduct yield was increased with 0. 2%. 展开更多
关键词 Lplate mill plan view pattern control width correction and compensation width spread model
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Allometric models for leaf area and leaf mass predictions across different growing seasons of elm tree(Ulmus japonica) 被引量:5
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作者 Huiying Cai Xueying Di Guangze Jin 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第5期975-982,共8页
Convenient and effective methods to determine seasonal changes in individual leaf area (LA) and leaf mass (LM) of plants are useful in research on plant physiology and forest ecology. However, practical methods for es... Convenient and effective methods to determine seasonal changes in individual leaf area (LA) and leaf mass (LM) of plants are useful in research on plant physiology and forest ecology. However, practical methods for estimating LA and LM of elm (Ulmus japonica) leaves in different periods have rarely been reported. We collected sample elm leaves in June, July and September. Then, we developed allometric models relating LA, LM and leaf parameters, such as leaf length (L) and width (W) or the product of L and W (LW). Our objective was to find optimal allometric models for conveniently and effectively estimating LA and LM of elm leaves in different periods. LA and LM were significantly correlated with leaf parameters (P < 0.05), and allometric models with LW as an independent variable were best for estimating LA and LM in each period. A linear model was separately developed to predict LA of elm leaves in June, July and September, and it yielded high accuracies of 93, 96 and 96%, respectively. Similarly, a specific allometric model for predicting LM was developed separately in three periods, and the optimal model form in both June and July was a power model, but the linear model was optimal for September. The accuracies of the allometric models in predicting LM were 88, 83 and 84% for June, July and September, respectively. The error caused by ignoring seasonal variation of allometric models in predicting LA and LM in the three periods were 1-4 and 16-59%, respectively. 展开更多
关键词 Leaf length Leaf width Linear model Power model Non-destructive method
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Improved social force model based on exit selection for microscopic pedestrian simulation in subway station 被引量:4
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作者 郑勋 李海鹰 +2 位作者 孟令云 许心越 陈旭 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第11期4490-4497,共8页
An improved social force model based on exit selection is proposed to simulate pedestrians' microscopic behaviors in subway station. The modification lies in considering three factors of spatial distance, occupant... An improved social force model based on exit selection is proposed to simulate pedestrians' microscopic behaviors in subway station. The modification lies in considering three factors of spatial distance, occupant density and exit width. In addition, the problem of pedestrians selecting exit frequently is solved as follows: not changing to other exits in the affected area of one exit, using the probability of remaining preceding exit and invoking function of exit selection after several simulation steps. Pedestrians in subway station have some special characteristics, such as explicit destinations, different familiarities with subway station. Finally, Beijing Zoo Subway Station is taken as an example and the feasibility of the model results is verified through the comparison of the actual data and simulation data. The simulation results show that the improved model can depict the microscopic behaviors of pedestrians in subway station. 展开更多
关键词 EXIT SELECTION SOCIAL FORCE model EXIT width micro
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A three-dimensional solution of hydraulic fracture width for wellbore strengthening applications 被引量:2
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作者 Jincai Zhang Shangxian Yin 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第4期808-815,共8页
Determining the width of an induced hydraulic fracture is the first step for applying wellbore strengthening and hydraulic fracturing techniques. However, current 2-D analytical solutions obtained from the plane strai... Determining the width of an induced hydraulic fracture is the first step for applying wellbore strengthening and hydraulic fracturing techniques. However, current 2-D analytical solutions obtained from the plane strain assumption may have large uncertainties when the fracture height is small. To solve this problem, a 3-D finite element method(FEM) is used to model wellbore strengthening and calculate the fracture width. Comparisons show that the 2-D plane strain solution is the asymptote of the 3-D FEM solution. Therefore, the 2-D solution may overestimate the fracture width. This indicates that the2-D solution may not be applicable in 3-D conditions. Based on the FEM modeling, a new 3-D semi-analytical solution for determining the fracture width is proposed, which accounts for the e ects of 3-D fracture dimensions, stress anisotropy and borehole inclination. Compared to the 2-D solution, this new 3-D semi-analytical solution predicts a smaller fracture width.This implies that the 2-D-based old design for wellbore strengthening may overestimate the fracture width, which can be reduced using the proposed 3-D solution. It also allows an easy way to calculate the fracture width in complex geometrical and geological conditions. This solution has been verified against 3-D finite element calculations for field applications. 展开更多
关键词 HYDRAULIC FRACTURE FRACTURE width Wellbore strengthening FRACTURE PROPAGATION 3-D modeling
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Dynamics of moisture regime and its reconstruction from a tree-ring width chronology of Pinus sylvestris in the downstream basin of the Selenga River, Russia 被引量:1
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作者 Liliana BELOKOPYTOVA Dina ZHIRNOVA +1 位作者 Tatiana KOSTYAKOVA Elena BABUSHKINA 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第6期877-891,共15页
Regional tree-ring width chronology of the Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) was constructed from 8 sites in the forest-steppe belt situated in the foothills of the Selenga River basin, Russia. Moisture information con... Regional tree-ring width chronology of the Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) was constructed from 8 sites in the forest-steppe belt situated in the foothills of the Selenga River basin, Russia. Moisture information contained in tree-ring width chronology was obtained through linear regression reconstruction models of annual August–July precipitation and annual water discharge of the Selenga River during the period 1767–2015. Comparison of the smoothed series allowed estimating long-term variation component of these moisture regime parameters with a high precision. At the same time, regional drought indices are less correlated with pine radial growth, because they have contribution of the other environmental variables, which are much less reflected in the tree-ring of the investigated pine forest stands. Reconstructed dynamic of the moisture regime parameters is supported by documental evident of many socially significant events in the regional history, such as crop failures caused by both droughts and floods, and catastrophic fire in the Irkutsk City in 1879. Also, dependence of the amount of precipitation in the study area on the atmospheric circulation in Central Asia is revealed to have a similar pattern with other regions, i.e., a negative relationship of precipitation with the development of large high atmospheric pressure area within its center in the Altai and Tianshan mountains. 展开更多
关键词 tree-ring width Pinus sylvestris climate HYDROLOGY precipitation reconstruction model
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Dose-Injury Relation as a Model for Uncertainty Propagation from Input Dose to Target Dose 被引量:1
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作者 Hongyun Wang Wesley A. Burgei Hong Zhou 《American Journal of Operations Research》 2018年第5期360-385,共26页
We study a general framework for assessing the injury probability corresponding to an input dose quantity. In many applications, the true value of input dose may not be directly measurable. Instead, the input dose is ... We study a general framework for assessing the injury probability corresponding to an input dose quantity. In many applications, the true value of input dose may not be directly measurable. Instead, the input dose is estimated from measurable/controllable quantities via numerical simulations using assumed representative parameter values. We aim at developing a simple modeling framework for accommodating all uncertainties, including the discrepancy between the estimated input dose and the true input dose. We first interpret the widely used logistic dose-injury model as the result of dose propagation uncertainty from input dose to target dose at the active site for injury where the binary outcome is completely determined by the target dose. We specify the symmetric logistic dose-injury function using two shape parameters: the median injury dose and the 10 - 90 percentile width. We relate the two shape parameters of injury function to the mean and standard deviation of the dose propagation uncertainty. We find 1) a larger total uncertainty will spread more the dose-response function, increasing the 10 - 90 percentile width and 2) a systematic over-estimate of the input dose will shift the injury probability toward the right along the estimated input dose. This framework provides a way of revising an established injury model for a particular test population to predict the injury model for a new population with different distributions of parameters that affect the dose propagation and dose estimation. In addition to modeling dose propagation uncertainty, we propose a new 3-parameter model to include the skewness of injury function. The proposed 3-parameter function form is based on shifted log-normal distribution of dose propagation uncertainty and is approximately invariant when other uncertainties are added. The proposed 3-parameter function form provides a framework for extending skewed injury model from a test population to a target population in application. 展开更多
关键词 DOSE INJURY RELATION DOSE Propagation Uncertainty MEDIAN INJURY DOSE 10 - 90 Percentile width SKEWNESS Mapping INJURY model from One Population to Another
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基岩河道宽度研究进展
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作者 李琼 潘保田 秦冰雪 《兰州大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2025年第5期702-710,共9页
基岩河流河道宽度(W)的调整是河道系统响应外部驱动的重要方式,在一定程度上能够反映构造隆升与河流下切相互平衡的过程.对基岩河流W的研究是提取区域构造隆升和地表侵蚀信息的重要手段,经历了经验模型、动态演化模型、优化模型和数值模... 基岩河流河道宽度(W)的调整是河道系统响应外部驱动的重要方式,在一定程度上能够反映构造隆升与河流下切相互平衡的过程.对基岩河流W的研究是提取区域构造隆升和地表侵蚀信息的重要手段,经历了经验模型、动态演化模型、优化模型和数值模型4个主要发展阶段,每个阶段模型构建都有不同的侧重点和适用面.通过概述各类W研究模型,总结取得的重要研究成果.从构造抬升、基岩抗蚀性和沉积通量3个方面进行论述,明晰基岩河流W形态研究的重要性和应用潜力. 展开更多
关键词 基岩河流 河道宽度 模型模拟
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Digital Pulse Width Modulation Control in Power Electronic Circuits Design
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作者 Hsu Myat Tin Swe Hla Myo Tun Maung Maung Latt 《Journal of Power and Energy Engineering》 2020年第4期1-10,共10页
The paper mainly focuses on the digital pulse width modulation (DPWM) control techniques for high performance power electronic circuit design. The problem to be solved in this study addresses the DPWM converter design... The paper mainly focuses on the digital pulse width modulation (DPWM) control techniques for high performance power electronic circuit design. The problem to be solved in this study addresses the DPWM converter design for DC to DC conversion process. The control techniques have been utilized the Fuzzy Logic Rules Base method for proposed SIMULINK model of high performance power electronic circuit. The analytical calculations for real circuit design have been completed based on the mathematical modeling of the system. The results from the developed SIMULINK model confirm the target specifications of the high performance condition for power electronic circuit which was met the objective of this study. The numerical results have been carried out with the help of MATLAB/SIMULINK. 展开更多
关键词 DIGITAL Pulse width Modulation Power ELECTRONICS Analytical modelING MATHEMATICAL modelING SIMULINK model MATLAB
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Optimization and perfection of the roughing model for ferritic SUS430
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作者 MA Wenbo and YUAN Min Stainless Steel Business Unit,Baoshan Iron & Steel Co.,Ltd.,Shanghai 200431,China 《Baosteel Technical Research》 CAS 2010年第4期54-58,共5页
Based on the characteristics of ferritic SUS430 heating and deformation,and combined with the features of the 1780 mm hot-rolling mill,a roughing model was introduced in two aspects:optimizing the rough rolling passes... Based on the characteristics of ferritic SUS430 heating and deformation,and combined with the features of the 1780 mm hot-rolling mill,a roughing model was introduced in two aspects:optimizing the rough rolling passes and improving the width control precision.Through reducing the rough rolling passes,the rough rolling time can be shortened,the precision rolling startup temperature can be raised and the yield of the hot-rolled products can be increased.Moreover,on the premise that the slab width fluctuation was great,the precision of the width control can be improved through optimizing the parameters of the hot-rolling width control model.The result shows that the optimization and perfection of the original rolling process of the stainless steel 430 series further improved its capacity and product quality. 展开更多
关键词 ferritic stainless steel rough rolling model rolling pass optimization width control precision
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Prediction of Restriction Width of Carcass by Belts for Radial Tires :Theory, Experiment and Simulation
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作者 Youshan Wang Zhibo Cui +2 位作者 Jian Wu Benlong Su Zhengong Zhou 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2016年第4期1-7,共7页
The restriction width of carcass by the belts( RWCB) as an important parameter of radial tire design has been neglected for a long time. In order to improve the accuracy and efficiency of tire profile design,the calcu... The restriction width of carcass by the belts( RWCB) as an important parameter of radial tire design has been neglected for a long time. In order to improve the accuracy and efficiency of tire profile design,the calculating method of RWCB is proposed. The equilibrium profile is calculated by geometric model and variational approach,based on it,the predicted model of RWCB is developed for tire design. Finally,four different designs of 12R22.5 tires are investigated by experiment and finite element method,which is used to validate the accuracy of the theoretical method. Results indicate that experimental and finite element analysis results are found to be in good agreement with theoretical results; linear relationships are existed between the cord length and RWCB,and also existed between the position of belt and RWCB; tires designed by the methods have smaller and more uniform displacement,so the method can be used for tire optimized design. 展开更多
关键词 equilibrium profile radial tires membrane model restriction width inner profile
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深水卡爪连接器锥面金属密封性能研究
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作者 王懿 安维峥 +2 位作者 李雨春 刘通 彭华福 《中国海上油气》 北大核心 2025年第5期204-212,共9页
金属密封圈是决定深水卡爪连接器密封性能的核心部件,准确预测其密封性能是深水复杂工况下连接器安全需求的重要保障。通过分析用于深水卡爪连接器的锥面金属密封结构特征,基于锥面-平面接触理论,推导了考虑压缩量的锥面金属密封接触压... 金属密封圈是决定深水卡爪连接器密封性能的核心部件,准确预测其密封性能是深水复杂工况下连接器安全需求的重要保障。通过分析用于深水卡爪连接器的锥面金属密封结构特征,基于锥面-平面接触理论,推导了考虑压缩量的锥面金属密封接触压力理论预测模型,并通过数据模拟验证了该模型的准确性;随后采用本文建立的理论模型开展了接触压力、接触宽度等参数分析,掌握了锥面密封接触压力的空间分布特征,揭示了接触中心点的应力局部集中效应,定量反映了接触宽度对接触压力的正向调控作用,并发现接触宽度对接触面锥角和压缩量变化最为敏感的影响规律。研究成果为深水卡爪连接器金属密封结构设计提供了理论依据,对推动中国深水装备密封结构工程化应用具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 深水卡爪连接器 锥面密封 接触理论 接触压力 接触宽度 预测模型
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Bruch's membrane opening-minimum rim width and visual field loss in glaucoma:a broken stick analysis 被引量:1
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作者 Keun-Heung Park Ji-Woong Lee +2 位作者 Jin-Mi Kim Kouros Nouri-Mahdavi Joseph Caprioli 《International Journal of Ophthalmology(English edition)》 SCIE CAS 2018年第5期828-834,共7页
AIM:To determine the Bruch's membrane opening-minimum rim width(BMO-MRW) tipping point where corresponding visual field(VF) damages become detectable.METHODS:A total of 85 normal subjects and 83 glaucoma patie... AIM:To determine the Bruch's membrane opening-minimum rim width(BMO-MRW) tipping point where corresponding visual field(VF) damages become detectable.METHODS:A total of 85 normal subjects and 83 glaucoma patients(one eye per participant) were recruited for the study.All of the patients had VF examinations and spectral-domain optical coherence tomography to measure the BMO-MRW.Total deviation values for 52 VF points were allocated to the corresponding sector according to the Garway-Heath distribution map.To evaluate the relationship between VF loss and BMOMRW measurements,a "broken-stick" statistical model was used.The tipping point where the VF values started to sharply decrease as a function of BMO-MRW measurements was estimated and the slopes above and below this tipping point were compared.RESULTS:A 25.9% global BMO-MRW loss from normative value was required for the VF loss to be detectable.Sectorally,substantial BMO-MRW thinning in inferotemporal sector(33.1%) and relatively less BMO-MRW thinning in the superotemporal sector(8.9%) were necessary for the detection of the VF loss.Beyond the tipping point,the slopes were close to zero throughout all of the sectors and the VF loss was unrelated to the BMO-MRW loss.The VF loss was related to the BMO-MRW loss below the tipping point.The difference between the two slopes was statistically significant(P≤0.002).CONCLUSION:Substantial BMO-MRW loss appears to be necessary for VF loss to be detectable in patients with open angle glaucoma with standard achromatic perimetry. 展开更多
关键词 Bruch's membrane opening-minimum rim width visual field loss structure function relationship broken stick model optical coherence tomography
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State Space Modeling and Implementation of a New Transformer Based Multilevel Inverter Topology with Reduced Switch Count
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作者 R. Gandhi Raj S. Palani H. Habeebullah Sait 《Circuits and Systems》 2016年第4期446-463,共18页
This paper presents a new transformer based multilevel inverter, with a novel pulse width modulation scheme to achieve seven-level inverter output voltage. The proposed inverter switching pattern consists of three fun... This paper presents a new transformer based multilevel inverter, with a novel pulse width modulation scheme to achieve seven-level inverter output voltage. The proposed inverter switching pattern consists of three fundamental frequency sinusoidal reference signals with an offset value, and one high frequency triangular carrier signal. This switching scheme has been implemented using an 8-bit Xilinx SPARTAN-3E field programmable gate array based controller. In addition, the state space model of the proposed inverter is developed. The significant features of the proposed topology are: reduction of the power switch count and the gate drive power supply unit, the provision of a galvanic isolation between load and sources by a centre tap transformer. An exhaustive comparison has been made of the existing multilevel inverter topologies and the proposed topology. The performances of the proposed topology with resistive, resistive-inductive loads are simulated in a MATLAB environment and validated experimentally on a laboratory prototype. 展开更多
关键词 Centre Tap Transformer Field Programmable Gate Array (FPGA) Multilevel Inverter (MLI) Pulse width Modulation (PWM) State Space model
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汶水河流域滨水缓冲带安全宽度规划研究
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作者 秦志强 邹晔 +3 位作者 郭人泰 郭刘鹏 王超 薛良方 《环境污染与防治》 北大核心 2025年第4期35-41,47,I0002,I0003,共10页
基于SWAT模型建立了汶水河流域非点源污染模型,估算了流域内污染物负荷,利用经验公式预测了径流通过滨水缓冲带边界时的污染物浓度,通过相关性分析识别了决定该河段滨水缓冲带最小安全宽度的关键变量。结果表明:1)SWAT模型适合进行径流... 基于SWAT模型建立了汶水河流域非点源污染模型,估算了流域内污染物负荷,利用经验公式预测了径流通过滨水缓冲带边界时的污染物浓度,通过相关性分析识别了决定该河段滨水缓冲带最小安全宽度的关键变量。结果表明:1)SWAT模型适合进行径流、总氮(TN)和总磷(TP)模拟。2)地表径流中TN和TP负荷由上游至下游呈增加趋势。3)滨水缓冲带安全宽度受到连接度、坡度、耕地面积和人口密度的影响。上、中、下游滨水缓冲带应各自维持77.90、33.37、60.65 m的安全宽度。 展开更多
关键词 非点源污染 SWAT模型 滨水缓冲带 安全宽度 径流
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Lumped Parameter Mass Flow Rate and Pressure Control Characteristics Model for High-Speed Pneumatic PWM on/off Valve
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作者 向忠 胡旭东 +1 位作者 刘昊 汝晶炜 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2014年第3期293-303,共11页
Aiming at solving the problem of strong coupling characteristic of the key parameters of high-speed pneumatic pulse width modulation( PWM) on / off valve, a general lumped parameter mathematical model based on the val... Aiming at solving the problem of strong coupling characteristic of the key parameters of high-speed pneumatic pulse width modulation( PWM) on / off valve, a general lumped parameter mathematical model based on the valves time periods was well developed. With this model,the mass flow rate and dynamic pressure characteristics of constant volumes controlled by high-speed pneumatic PWM on /off valves was well described. A variable flow rate coefficient model was proposed to substitute for the constant one used in most of the prior works to investigate PWM on /off valves' dynamical pressure response, and a formula for disclosing the inherent relationship among the PWM command signal,static mass flow rate,and sonic conductance of the valve was newly derived.Finally,an extensive set of analytical experimental comparisons were implemented to verify the validity of the proposed mathematica model. With the proposed model, PWM on /off valves' characteristics,such as mass flow rate,step pressure response of the valve control system,mean pressure and ripple amplitude,not only in the linear range,but also in the nonlinear range can be wel predicted; Good agreement between measured and calculated results was obtained,which proved that the model is helpful for designing a control strategy in a closed loop control system. 展开更多
关键词 lumped parameter model pneumatic on/off valve pulse width modulation(PWM) mass flow rate pressure characteristic
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长白落叶松人工林单木最大冠幅模型及应用
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作者 张薇 陈冠谋 董灵波 《应用生态学报》 北大核心 2025年第8期2270-2278,共9页
本研究以东北林业大学帽儿山实验林场55块长白落叶松人工林固定样地调查数据为基础,采用均值±标准差法将林分密度指数(SDI)划分为3个等级,即SDI Ⅰ∈(0,695]、SDI Ⅱ∈(695,1027]、SDI Ⅲ∈(1027,∞]株·hm^(-2);以Logistic方... 本研究以东北林业大学帽儿山实验林场55块长白落叶松人工林固定样地调查数据为基础,采用均值±标准差法将林分密度指数(SDI)划分为3个等级,即SDI Ⅰ∈(0,695]、SDI Ⅱ∈(695,1027]、SDI Ⅲ∈(1027,∞]株·hm^(-2);以Logistic方程为基础,耦合哑变量和分位数回归构建不同SDI等级下的3个分位点处(0.90、0.95和0.99)的单木最大冠幅预测模型,进而采用树冠投影面积法编制不同SDI等级下的林分经营密度数表,探讨林分密度对蓄积量和碳储量的影响。结果表明:不同SDI的单木最大冠幅模型具有显著差异,且均以0.90分位点能够更好地模拟单木最大冠幅;独立样本检验表明,与Logistic基础模型相比,单木哑变量分位数最大冠幅模型的R_(adj)^(2)可显著提高0.20,而均方根误差显著降低0.15 m。基于建立的单木哑变量分位数最大冠幅模型和树冠投影面积法,编制出了不同SDI等级下的林分经营密度数表;当培育目标直径为30 cm时,与SDI Ⅰ相比,不区分SDI等级时相应的林分蓄积量和碳储量分别被高估26.16 m^(3)·hm^(-2)和10.10 t C·hm^(-2);与SDI Ⅱ相比,其同样被高估15.99 m^(3)·hm^(-2)和6.12 t C·hm^(-2);但与SDI Ⅲ相比,其被显著低估85.13 m^(3)·hm^(-2)和33.04 t C·hm^(-2),表明忽略SDI等级差异会系统性高估低密度林分的碳汇能力,同时低估高密度林分的实际贡献。因此,按SDI等级开展林分密度调控,有利于实现该地区长白落叶松人工林质量的精准提升。 展开更多
关键词 长白落叶松 分位数回归 冠幅模型 林分经营密度数表
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基于竞争指数的马尾松冠幅模型构建
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作者 谭茜 谭伟 +2 位作者 田昕 梅本清 樊隆高 《中南林业科技大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第9期71-81,105,共12页
【目的】分析林木竞争与马尾松冠幅的相关关系,构建含竞争指数的马尾松冠幅广义模型、广义可加模型和非线性混合效应模型,对比分析不同模型的拟合效果,选出最优的马尾松冠幅预测模型,为更全面地表达马尾松树冠特征以及科学经营和管理马... 【目的】分析林木竞争与马尾松冠幅的相关关系,构建含竞争指数的马尾松冠幅广义模型、广义可加模型和非线性混合效应模型,对比分析不同模型的拟合效果,选出最优的马尾松冠幅预测模型,为更全面地表达马尾松树冠特征以及科学经营和管理马尾松人工林提供理论依据。【方法】以贵州省开阳县楠木渡镇的2259株马尾松为研究对象,利用八邻域平移法消除边缘效应,采用Voronoi图确定竞争单元。采用Pearson相关性分析法,结合Hegyi竞争指数(CI1)、以大小比数为权重的交角竞争指数(CI2)、综合竞争指数(CI3),分析竞争与马尾松冠幅的相关关系。对冠幅基础模型进行扩展,构建含上述3种竞争指数的广义模型、广义可加模型和非线性混合效应模型,对比模型的拟合精度,分析竞争指数对模型的影响,同时采用十折交叉验证对模型的预测能力进行检验。【结果】1)3种竞争指数均与马尾松冠幅呈极显著的负相关关系(P<0.001);3种竞争指数之间都呈极显著的正相关关系(P<0.001),其中CI1与CI3的相关性更强。2)在基础模型的拟合中,Logistic模型拟合精度最高(R2为0.6105,RMSE为0.7429 m,MAE为0.5851 m,AIC为5075.895),选定其为最优基础模型。3)不管是加入竞争指数之前还是之后,模型的拟合精度从高到低都依次为非线性混合效应模型、广义可加模型、广义模型。4)添加竞争指数能提高3种模型的精度,广义模型和广义可加模型中都是添加CI3时模型效果最佳,非线性混合效应模型中则是添加CI1时模型效果最佳且优于其他模型。【结论】竞争效应对冠幅的生长具有明显的抑制作用。协变量、随机效应以及竞争指数的加入能提高马尾松冠幅模型的预测精度,但不同竞争指数在不同模型中表现能力不同。包含CI1的非线性混合效应模型相较于其余3种模型具有更好的预测能力,是最优的马尾松冠幅预测模型。 展开更多
关键词 马尾松 冠幅模型 竞争指数 非线性混合效应模型 广义可加模型
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基于BLS数据的人工红松冠幅预测模型构建 被引量:1
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作者 康义龙 贾炜玮 +2 位作者 王帆 刘奇峰 朱万才 《农业工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期179-186,共8页
为预测人工红松冠幅,该研究利用背包式激光雷达(backpack laser scanning,BLS)提取各单木因子并构建人工红松冠幅预测模型。结果表明:BLS点云数据与实测数据平均匹配率达到98.5%,显示出较高的准确度。点云数据与实测胸径的RMSE均值为0.9... 为预测人工红松冠幅,该研究利用背包式激光雷达(backpack laser scanning,BLS)提取各单木因子并构建人工红松冠幅预测模型。结果表明:BLS点云数据与实测数据平均匹配率达到98.5%,显示出较高的准确度。点云数据与实测胸径的RMSE均值为0.924,R^(2)均在0.9以上,表现出较强的相关性;与实测树高的RMSE均值为2.067,R^(2)均在0.650以上,相关性较弱;与实测树冠的RMSE均值为0.376,R^(2)均在0.8以上,相关性较强。在模型拟合方面,二次型函数的基础模型拟合和预估效果最好(R_(a)^(2)=0.528,RMSE=0.718,MAE=0.580,MAPE=0.157),引入林分平均胸径、高径比和每公顷大于对象木断面积之和能够显著提升模型拟合检验精度。考虑样地作为随机效应的混合效应模型预测效果最好(R_(a)^(2)=0.655,RMSE=0.620,MAE=0.484,MAPE=0.130)。综上所述,结合BLS点云数据与测量数据构建冠幅预测模型具有一定的可行性,可以利用BLS辅助林业调查。 展开更多
关键词 激光雷达 点云 红松 冠幅 非线性混合效应模型
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基于LASSO回归的血小板分布宽度与计数比值预测脓毒症的列线图预测模型构建 被引量:1
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作者 孙毅 王婷婷 +2 位作者 曹树臣 滑立伟 张坤 《中国实验诊断学》 2025年第7期819-825,共7页
目的 构建与验证基于血小板分布宽度与计数比值(platelet distribution width to count ratio, PCR)的列线图预测模型,用于评估脓毒症患者28 d内死亡风险。方法 纳入2022年1月至2023年12月期间在承德医学院附属医院重症医学科收治的331... 目的 构建与验证基于血小板分布宽度与计数比值(platelet distribution width to count ratio, PCR)的列线图预测模型,用于评估脓毒症患者28 d内死亡风险。方法 纳入2022年1月至2023年12月期间在承德医学院附属医院重症医学科收治的331例脓毒症患者,收集患者入院后一般资料、实验室检查指标。采用Lasso回归分析(least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, Lasso)筛选影响脓毒症患者死亡风险的危险因素,并通过Logistic回归分析确定独立预测因子,使用R语言软件构建列线图预测模型。SHAP分析各独立危险因素对预测结果的贡献度。采用受试者工作特征曲线(receiver operator characteristic, ROC)、决策曲线分析(decision curve analysis, DCA)和calibrate校准曲线进行训练集和验证集数据模型的评估与验证。结果 共纳入331例患者,Lasso回归分析筛选潜在预测因子后经过多因素Logistic回归分析最终确定PCR、平均血小板体积、尿素氮、脑钠肽前体及呼吸系统感染为脓毒症患者死亡风险的独立危险因素(P<0.05),并将其用于构建预测模型。列线图模型预测脓毒症患者预后的ROC曲线下面积为0.781(95%CI 0.719~0.842),敏感度、特异度分别为0.753、0.718。列线图模型预测脓毒症患者预后的校正曲线趋于理想,决策曲线分析结果显示建模曲线均在两条极端曲线之上,模型具有良好临床应用价值。结论 基于PCR构建的预测模型对预测脓毒症患者28 d死亡风险具有重要临床实用价值。 展开更多
关键词 脓毒症 血小板分布宽度 血小板计数 预后 列线图
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