Using data from the 2012 American National Election Studies （ANES）, I assess the impact of authoritarianism on the likelihood to vote for Senate, House and presidential incumbents amongst White and Black Americans. ...Using data from the 2012 American National Election Studies （ANES）, I assess the impact of authoritarianism on the likelihood to vote for Senate, House and presidential incumbents amongst White and Black Americans. I find that the influence of authoritarianism on the vote for incumbents depends o11 the race of the voter and the party identification of the incumbent. This suggests that risk-averse voting behavior amongst authoritarians is a function of party affiliation in addition to perceived threat, and heavily qualified by race.展开更多
Ordinary Chinese citizens are putting themselves forward as China’s democratic process is being accelerated in its legislative bodies elections XU YAN is a busy man.Starting May 26 this year,he has been campaigning f...Ordinary Chinese citizens are putting themselves forward as China’s democratic process is being accelerated in its legislative bodies elections XU YAN is a busy man.Starting May 26 this year,he has been campaigning for the election of the Xiacheng District People’s Congress, Hangzhou City,capital of Zhejiang Province, which will be held at the end of 2011. Xu has embraced technology to get展开更多
After the celebrations marking the birth of Africa’s newest nation,much work lies ahead for South Sudan by Alphonce Shiundu IN Nairobi,shirtless men,with white body powder sprinkled on their black chests and shoulder...After the celebrations marking the birth of Africa’s newest nation,much work lies ahead for South Sudan by Alphonce Shiundu IN Nairobi,shirtless men,with white body powder sprinkled on their black chests and shoulders,jumped up and down singing and shouting.Not to be left behind,tall dark women in extravagant bright-colored clothes also ululated as they vigorously shook their shoulders in a beautiful,rhythmical dance.展开更多
The '2011 Amazing China-The Most Attractive Chinese Cities for Foreigners,' an online poll for foreigners to choose their favorite cities,invites all interested foreigners to cast their votes.
The scientific foundation of a modern clinical trial is randomization–each patient is randomized to a treatment group,and statistical comparisons are made between treatment groups.Because the study units are individu...The scientific foundation of a modern clinical trial is randomization–each patient is randomized to a treatment group,and statistical comparisons are made between treatment groups.Because the study units are individual patients,this‘one patient,one vote’principle needs to be fol-lowed–bothinstudydesignandindataanalysis.Fromthephysicians’pointofview,eachpatient is equally important,and they need to be treated equally in data analysis.It is critical that statisti-cal analysis should respect design and study design is based on randomization.Hence from both statistical and medical points of view,data analysis needs to follow this‘one patient,one vote’principle.Under ICH E9(R1),five strategies are recommended to establish‘estimand’.This paper discusses how to implement these strategies using the‘one patient,one vote’principle.展开更多
On Barab´asi-Albert networks with z neighbours selected by each added site,the Ising model was seen to show a spontaneous magnetisation.This spontaneous magnetisation was found below a critical temperature which ...On Barab´asi-Albert networks with z neighbours selected by each added site,the Ising model was seen to show a spontaneous magnetisation.This spontaneous magnetisation was found below a critical temperature which increases logarithmically with system size.On these networks the majority-vote model with noise is now studied through Monte Carlo simulations.However,in this model,the order-disorder phase transition of the order parameter is well defined in this system and this was not found to increase logarithmically with system size.We calculate the value of the critical noise parameter qc for several values of connectivity z of the undirected Barab´asiAlbert network.The critical exponentesβ/ν,γ/νand 1/νwere also calculated for several values of z.展开更多
The thermal comfort of passengers in the carriage cannot be ignored.Thus,this research aims to establish a prediction model for the thermal comfort of the internal environment of a subway car and find the optimal inpu...The thermal comfort of passengers in the carriage cannot be ignored.Thus,this research aims to establish a prediction model for the thermal comfort of the internal environment of a subway car and find the optimal input combination in establishing the prediction model of the predicted mean vote(PMV)index.Data-driven modeling utilizes data from experiments and questionnaires conducted in Nanjing Metro.Support vector machine(SVM),decision tree(DT),random forest(RF),and logistic regression(LR)were used to build four models.This research aims to select the most appropriate input variables for the predictive model.All possible combinations of 11 input variables were used to determine the most accurate model,with variable selection for each model comprising 102350 iterations.In the PMV prediction,the RF model was the best when using the correlation coefficients square(R2)as the evaluation indicator(R^(2):0.7680,mean squared error(MSE):0.2868).The variables include clothing temperature(CT),convective heat transfer coefficient between the surface of the human body and the environment(CHTC),black bulb temperature(BBT),and thermal resistance of clothes(TROC).The RF model with MSE as the evaluation index also had the highest accuracy(R^(2):0.7676,MSE:0.2836).The variables include clothing surface area coefficient(CSAC),CT,BBT,and air velocity(AV).The results show that the RF model can efficiently predict the PMV of the subway car environment.展开更多
文摘Using data from the 2012 American National Election Studies （ANES）, I assess the impact of authoritarianism on the likelihood to vote for Senate, House and presidential incumbents amongst White and Black Americans. I find that the influence of authoritarianism on the vote for incumbents depends o11 the race of the voter and the party identification of the incumbent. This suggests that risk-averse voting behavior amongst authoritarians is a function of party affiliation in addition to perceived threat, and heavily qualified by race.
文摘Ordinary Chinese citizens are putting themselves forward as China’s democratic process is being accelerated in its legislative bodies elections XU YAN is a busy man.Starting May 26 this year,he has been campaigning for the election of the Xiacheng District People’s Congress, Hangzhou City,capital of Zhejiang Province, which will be held at the end of 2011. Xu has embraced technology to get
文摘After the celebrations marking the birth of Africa’s newest nation,much work lies ahead for South Sudan by Alphonce Shiundu IN Nairobi,shirtless men,with white body powder sprinkled on their black chests and shoulders,jumped up and down singing and shouting.Not to be left behind,tall dark women in extravagant bright-colored clothes also ululated as they vigorously shook their shoulders in a beautiful,rhythmical dance.
文摘The '2011 Amazing China-The Most Attractive Chinese Cities for Foreigners,' an online poll for foreigners to choose their favorite cities,invites all interested foreigners to cast their votes.
文摘The scientific foundation of a modern clinical trial is randomization–each patient is randomized to a treatment group,and statistical comparisons are made between treatment groups.Because the study units are individual patients,this‘one patient,one vote’principle needs to be fol-lowed–bothinstudydesignandindataanalysis.Fromthephysicians’pointofview,eachpatient is equally important,and they need to be treated equally in data analysis.It is critical that statisti-cal analysis should respect design and study design is based on randomization.Hence from both statistical and medical points of view,data analysis needs to follow this‘one patient,one vote’principle.Under ICH E9(R1),five strategies are recommended to establish‘estimand’.This paper discusses how to implement these strategies using the‘one patient,one vote’principle.
基金supported by the system SGI Altix 1350 the computational park CENAPAD.UNICAMP-USP,SP-BRAZIL.
文摘On Barab´asi-Albert networks with z neighbours selected by each added site,the Ising model was seen to show a spontaneous magnetisation.This spontaneous magnetisation was found below a critical temperature which increases logarithmically with system size.On these networks the majority-vote model with noise is now studied through Monte Carlo simulations.However,in this model,the order-disorder phase transition of the order parameter is well defined in this system and this was not found to increase logarithmically with system size.We calculate the value of the critical noise parameter qc for several values of connectivity z of the undirected Barab´asiAlbert network.The critical exponentesβ/ν,γ/νand 1/νwere also calculated for several values of z.
文摘The thermal comfort of passengers in the carriage cannot be ignored.Thus,this research aims to establish a prediction model for the thermal comfort of the internal environment of a subway car and find the optimal input combination in establishing the prediction model of the predicted mean vote(PMV)index.Data-driven modeling utilizes data from experiments and questionnaires conducted in Nanjing Metro.Support vector machine(SVM),decision tree(DT),random forest(RF),and logistic regression(LR)were used to build four models.This research aims to select the most appropriate input variables for the predictive model.All possible combinations of 11 input variables were used to determine the most accurate model,with variable selection for each model comprising 102350 iterations.In the PMV prediction,the RF model was the best when using the correlation coefficients square(R2)as the evaluation indicator(R^(2):0.7680,mean squared error(MSE):0.2868).The variables include clothing temperature(CT),convective heat transfer coefficient between the surface of the human body and the environment(CHTC),black bulb temperature(BBT),and thermal resistance of clothes(TROC).The RF model with MSE as the evaluation index also had the highest accuracy(R^(2):0.7676,MSE:0.2836).The variables include clothing surface area coefficient(CSAC),CT,BBT,and air velocity(AV).The results show that the RF model can efficiently predict the PMV of the subway car environment.
