Bayes decision rule of variance components for one-way random effects model is derived and empirical Bayes (EB) decision rules are constructed by kernel estimation method. Under suitable conditions, it is shown that t...Bayes decision rule of variance components for one-way random effects model is derived and empirical Bayes (EB) decision rules are constructed by kernel estimation method. Under suitable conditions, it is shown that the proposed EB decision rules are asymptotically optimal with convergence rates near O(n-1/2). Finally, an example concerning the main result is given.展开更多
The study presents sampling interval impacts on variance components of the epoch-wise residual errors in relative GPS positioning. In the variance components estimation process, the 2-way nested ANOVA method was used....The study presents sampling interval impacts on variance components of the epoch-wise residual errors in relative GPS positioning. In the variance components estimation process, the 2-way nested ANOVA method was used. For that purpose, GPS observation data during four months at two permanent GPS stations, establishing a 40-km-long baseline as a part of the Montenegrin permanent network(Monte Pos), were used. The study results showed that there is no statistically significant impact of sampling interval changes on epoch-wise variance components related to the residual tropospheric and ionospheric delays(effect a) when it comes to such a baseline. However, it is not the case with epoch-wise variance components related to the interstation-distance-independent residual ‘far-field’ multipath effect(effect b). It turned out that the absolute values of relative differences of standard deviations of the effect a on the relative GPS coordinates(e, n and u) had maximum values 11.1%, 10.2% and 8.9%,respectively. Keeping the same order of presentation for the effect b, the values of 5.9%, 9.9% and 12.5%were obtained. In addition, absolute values of relative differences of standard deviations of horizontal and vertical position had maximum values of 3.8% and 7.7%, respectively.展开更多
This paper derives the maximum posterior adjustment formulae of the extended network and the estimation formulaes of variance components of Helmert, Welsch and Frstner types when there are two types of uncorrelated ob...This paper derives the maximum posterior adjustment formulae of the extended network and the estimation formulaes of variance components of Helmert, Welsch and Frstner types when there are two types of uncorrelated observations in it, and perfects the theory of the maximum posterior adjustment.展开更多
A mixed distribution of empirical variances, composed of two distributions the basic and contaminating ones, and referred to as PERG mixed distribution of empirical variances, is considered. In the paper a robust inve...A mixed distribution of empirical variances, composed of two distributions the basic and contaminating ones, and referred to as PERG mixed distribution of empirical variances, is considered. In the paper a robust inverse problem solution is given, namely a (new) robust method for estimation of variances of both distributions—PEROBVC Method, as well as the estimates for the numbers of observations for both distributions and, in this way also the estimate of contamination degree.展开更多
Linear mixed model (LMM) approaches have been widely applied in many areas of research data analysis because they offer great flexibility for different data structures and linear model systems. In this study, emphasis...Linear mixed model (LMM) approaches have been widely applied in many areas of research data analysis because they offer great flexibility for different data structures and linear model systems. In this study, emphasis is placed on comparing the properties of two LMM approaches: restricted maximum likelihood (REML) and minimum norm quadratic unbiased estimation (MINQUE) with and without resampling techniques being included. Bias, testing power, Type I error, and computing time were compared between REML and MINQUE approaches with and without Jackknife technique based on 500 simulated data sets. Results showed that MINQUE and REML methods performed equally regarding bias, Type I error, and power. Jackknife-based MINQUE and REML greatly improved power compared to non-Jackknife based linear mixed model approaches. Results also showed that MINQUE is more time-saving compared to REML, especially with the use of resampling techniques and large data set analysis. Results from the actual cotton data analysis were in agreement with our simulated results. Therefore, Jackknife-based MINQUE approaches could be recommended to achieve desirable power with reduced time for a large data analysis and model simulations.展开更多
This paper advances a new simplified formula for estimating variance components ,sums up the basic law to calculate the weights of observed values and a circulation method using the increaments of weights when estimat...This paper advances a new simplified formula for estimating variance components ,sums up the basic law to calculate the weights of observed values and a circulation method using the increaments of weights when estimating the variance components of traverse nets,advances the charicteristic roots method to estimate the variance components of traveres nets and presents a practical method to make two real and symmetric matrices two diagonal ones.展开更多
The classical least-squares methods may only solve LS β when the variance-covariance (matrix ∑(σ2 ∑)) is known (σ2 is unknown and ∑ is known) in linear model. The author thinks that maximum likelihood type est...The classical least-squares methods may only solve LS β when the variance-covariance (matrix ∑(σ2 ∑)) is known (σ2 is unknown and ∑ is known) in linear model. The author thinks that maximum likelihood type estimation (M-estimation) should replace LS estimation. The paper discusses robust estimations of parameter vector and variance components for corresponding error model based on the principle of maximum likelihood type estimations (M-estimations). The influence functions are given respectively.展开更多
Various random models with balanced data that are relevant for analyzing practical test data are described, along with several hypothesis testing and interval estimation problems concerning variance components. In thi...Various random models with balanced data that are relevant for analyzing practical test data are described, along with several hypothesis testing and interval estimation problems concerning variance components. In this paper, we mainly consider these problems in general random effect model with balanced data. Exact tests and confidence intervals for a single variance component corresponding to random effect are developed by using generalized p-values and generalized confidence intervals. The resulting procedures are easy to compute and are applicable to small samples. Exact tests and confidence intervals are also established for comparing the random-effects variance components and the sum of random-effects variance components in two independent general random effect models with balanced data. Furthermore, we investigate the statistical properties of the resulting tests. Finally, some simulation results on the type Ⅰ error probability and power of the proposed test are reported. The simulation results indicate that exact test is extremely satisfactory for controlling type Ⅰ error probability.展开更多
Impact of satellite elevation cutoff angle and position dilution of precision(PDOP)mask change on epoch-wise variance components of unmodeled effects that accompany relative Global Positioning System(GPS)positioning i...Impact of satellite elevation cutoff angle and position dilution of precision(PDOP)mask change on epoch-wise variance components of unmodeled effects that accompany relative Global Positioning System(GPS)positioning is presented herein.Data used for this study refer to the winter and summer periods of the years with minimal(2008)and maximal(2013)solar activity.These data were collected every 30 s in static mode,at two permanent GPS stations located in Montenegro,establishing a mediumdistance(116-km-long)baseline with a height difference of approximately 760 m between its endpoints.The study showed that changing satellite elevation cutoff angle,with a fixed PDOP mask,affects epochwise two-way nested ANOVA estimates of variances related to the‘far-field’multipath(considered as the nested factor herein)and the combined unmodeled effect of tropospheric and ionospheric refraction(considered as the nesting factor herein).However,changing of PDOP mask,with a fixed satellite elevation cutoff angle,doesn’t affect epoch-wise two-way nested ANOVA estimate of variance of the combined unmodeled effect of tropospheric and ionospheric refraction,but,generally,affects the estimate of variance of the‘far-field’multipath(possibly mixed with a part of a‘shorter-term’ionospheric refraction),which is especially pronounced for the summer period.It should also be noted that there is a significant influence of satellite elevation cutoff angle change on both epoch-wise horizontal and vertical position accuracy,only for the summer period,especially in the presence of maximal solar activity,while there is no significant impact of PDOP mask change on epoch-wise positional accuracy.展开更多
The estimation of glacier flow velocity on a short-term scale is very important for further glacier dynamics research.In this study,10 Sentinel-1 ascending images and 10 Sentinel-1 descending images of Urumqi Glacier ...The estimation of glacier flow velocity on a short-term scale is very important for further glacier dynamics research.In this study,10 Sentinel-1 ascending images and 10 Sentinel-1 descending images of Urumqi Glacier No.1 in 2017 were used to calculate the glacier flow velocity in a high coherence period by DIn SAR technology and MAI technology,while the offset tracking technology was used to estimate the glacier flow velocity in a low coherence period.Then,the monthly three-dimensional flow velocity of the glacier was calculated by the Helmert variance component estimation method.Finally,the accuracy of the estimated glacier flow velocity on a monthly scale was evaluated.The results showed that:(1)the monthly scale motion velocity of Urumqi Glacier No.1 in May,June,July,and August 2017 was 0.273 m/month,0.657 m/month,0.582 m/month,and 0.392 m/month,respectively.(2)The accuracy of glacier surface velocity from May 2017 to August 2017 was 0.033 m/month,0.026 m/month,0.034 m/month and 0.037 m/month,respectively.(3)The accuracy of glacier surface flow velocity from May 2017 to August 2017 was 0.018 m/month,0.031 m/month,0.029 m/month and 0.030 m/month,respectively.Therefore,the research methodology based on the Sentinel-1 ascending and descending data and presented in this paper was applicable to the estimation of monthly-scale flow velocity of mountain glaciers.展开更多
The solution of the grey model(GM(1,1)model)generally involves equal-precision observations,and the(co)variance matrix is established from the prior information.However,the data are generally available with unequal-pr...The solution of the grey model(GM(1,1)model)generally involves equal-precision observations,and the(co)variance matrix is established from the prior information.However,the data are generally available with unequal-precision measurements in reality.To deal with the errors of all observations for GM(1,1)model with errors-in-variables(EIV)structure,we exploit the total least-squares(TLS)algorithm to estimate the parameters of GM(1,1)model in this paper.Ignoring that the effect of the improper prior stochastic model and the homologous observations may degrade the accuracy of parameter estimation,we further present a nonlinear total least-squares variance component estimation approach for GM(1,1)model,which resorts to the minimum norm quadratic unbiased estimation(MINQUE).The practical and simulative experiments indicate that the presented approach has significant merits in improving the predictive accuracy in comparison with control methods.展开更多
In this paper we try to extract stable components in the extended-range forecast for the coming 10–30 days by using empirical orthogonal function （EOF） analysis, similarity coefficient, and some other methods based...In this paper we try to extract stable components in the extended-range forecast for the coming 10–30 days by using empirical orthogonal function （EOF） analysis, similarity coefficient, and some other methods based on the National Center for Environmental Prediction （NCEP）/National Center for Atmospheric Research （NCAR） reanalysis daily data. The comparisons of the coefficient of variance of climatological background field and truth data in winter between 2010 and 2011 are made. The method of extracting stable components and climatological background field can be helpful to increase forecasting skill. The forecasting skill improvement of air temperature is better than geopotential height at 500 hPa. Moreover, this method improves the predictability better in the Pacific Ocean. In China, the forecast in winter in Northeast China is more uncertain than in the other parts.展开更多
Hydrological models are crucial for characterizing large-scale water quantity variations and correcting GNSS reference station vertical displacements.We evaluated the robustness of multiple models,such as the Global L...Hydrological models are crucial for characterizing large-scale water quantity variations and correcting GNSS reference station vertical displacements.We evaluated the robustness of multiple models,such as the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS),the Famine Early Warning System Network Land Data Assimilation System (FLDAS),the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP),and the WaterGAP Global Hydrology Model (WGHM).Inter-model and outer comparisons with Global Positioning System (GPS) coordinate time series,satellite gravity field Mascon solutions,and Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) guide our assessment.Results confirm WGHM's 26% greater effectiveness in correcting nonlinear variations in GPS height time series compared to NCEP.In the Amazon River Basin,a 5-month lag between FLDAS,GLDAS,and satellite gravity results is observed.In eastern Asia and Australia,NCEP's Terrestrial Water Storage Changes (TWSC)-derived surface displacements correlate differently with precipitation compared to other models.Three combined hydrological models (H-VCE,H-EWM,and H-CVM) utilizing Variance Component Estimation (VCE),Entropy Weight Method (EWM),and Coefficient of Variation Method (CVM) are formulated.Correcting nonlinear variations with combined models enhances global GPS height scatter by 15%-17%.Correlation with precipitation increases by 25%-30%,and with satellite gravity,rises from 0.2 to 0.8 at maximum.The combined model eliminates time lag in the Amazon Basin TWSC analysis,exhibiting a four times higher signal-to-noise ratio than single models.H-VCE demonstrates the highest accuracy.In summary,the combined hydrological model minimizes discrepancies among individual models,significantly improving accuracy for monitoring large-scale TWSC.展开更多
WOMBAT is a software package for quantitative genetic analyses of continuous traits, fitting a linear, mixed model; estimates of covariance components and the resulting genetic parameters are obtained by restricted ma...WOMBAT is a software package for quantitative genetic analyses of continuous traits, fitting a linear, mixed model; estimates of covariance components and the resulting genetic parameters are obtained by restricted maximum likelihood. A wide range of models, comprising numerous traits, multiple fixed and random effects, selected genetic covariance structures, random regression models and reduced rank estimation are accommodated. WOMBAT employs up-to-date numerical and computational methods. Together with the use of efficient compilers, this generates fast executable programs, suitable for large scale analyses. Use of WOMBAT is illustrated for a bivariate analysis. The package consists of the executable program, available for LINUX and WINDOWS environments, manual and a set of worked example, and can be downloaded free of charge from http：//agbu. une.edu.au/-kmeyer/wombat.html展开更多
Geodetic functional models,stochastic models,and model parameter estimation theory are fundamental for geodetic data processing.In the past five years,through the unremitting efforts of Chinese scholars in the field o...Geodetic functional models,stochastic models,and model parameter estimation theory are fundamental for geodetic data processing.In the past five years,through the unremitting efforts of Chinese scholars in the field of geodetic data processing,according to the application and practice of geodesy,they have made significant contributions in the fields of hypothesis testing theory,un-modeled error,outlier detection,and robust estimation,variance component estimation,complex least squares,and ill-posed problems treatment.Many functional models such as the nonlinear adjustment model,EIV model,and mixed additive and multiplicative random error model are also constructed and improved.Geodetic data inversion is an important part of geodetic data processing,and Chinese scholars have done a lot of work in geodetic data inversion in the past five years,such as seismic slide distribution inversion,intelligent inversion algorithm,multi-source data joint inversion,water reserve change and satellite gravity inversion.This paper introduces the achievements of Chinese scholars in the field of geodetic data processing in the past five years,analyzes the methods used by scholars and the problems solved,and looks forward to the unsolved problems in geodetic data processing and the direction that needs further research in the future.展开更多
Stochastic models play an important role in achieving high accuracy in positioning,the ideal estimator in the least-squares(LS)can be obtained only by using the suitable stochastic model.This study investigates the ro...Stochastic models play an important role in achieving high accuracy in positioning,the ideal estimator in the least-squares(LS)can be obtained only by using the suitable stochastic model.This study investigates the role of variance component estimation(VCE)in the LS method for Precise Point Positioning(PPP).This estimation is performed by considering the ionospheric-free(IF)functional model for code and the phase observation of Global Positioning System(GPS).The strategy for estimating the accuracy of these observations was evaluated to check the effect of the stochastic model in four modes:a)antenna type,b)receiver type,c)the tropospheric effect,and d)the ionosphere effect.The results show that using empirical variance for code and phase observations in some cases caused erroneous estimation of unknown components in the PPP model.This is because a constant empirical variance may not be suitable for various receivers and antennas under different conditions.Coordinates were compared in two cases using the stochastic model of nominal weight and weight estimated by LS-VCE.The position error difference for the east-west,north-south,and height components was 1.5 cm,4 mm,and 1.8 cm,respectively.Therefore,weight estimation with LS-VCE can provide more appropriate results.Eventually,the convergence time based on four elevation-dependent models was evaluated using nominal weight and LS-VCE weight.According to the results,the LS-VCE has a higher convergence rate than the nominal weight.The weight estimation using LS-VCE improves the convergence time in four elevation-dependent models by 11,13,12,and 9 min,respectively.展开更多
The application of Tikhonov regularization method dealing with the ill-conditioned problems in the regional gravity field modeling by Poisson wavelets is studied. In particular, the choices of the regularization matri...The application of Tikhonov regularization method dealing with the ill-conditioned problems in the regional gravity field modeling by Poisson wavelets is studied. In particular, the choices of the regularization matrices as well as the approaches for estimating the regularization parameters are investigated in details. The numerical results show that the regularized solutions derived from the first-order regularization are better than the ones obtained from zero-order regularization. For cross validation, the optimal regularization parameters are estimated from L-curve, variance component estimation（VCE） and minimum standard deviation（MSTD） approach, respectively, and the results show that the derived regularization parameters from different methods are consistent with each other. Together with the firstorder Tikhonov regularization and VCE method, the optimal network of Poisson wavelets is derived, based on which the local gravimetric geoid is computed. The accuracy of the corresponding gravimetric geoid reaches 1.1 cm in Netherlands, which validates the reliability of using Tikhonov regularization method in tackling the ill-conditioned problem for regional gravity field modeling.展开更多
[Objective] This study was to investigate the genetic parameters on reproduction performances of China Yorkshire line SII,. [Method] Using China Yorkshire line SII, as experimental animal, its genetic parameters on re...[Objective] This study was to investigate the genetic parameters on reproduction performances of China Yorkshire line SII,. [Method] Using China Yorkshire line SII, as experimental animal, its genetic parameters on reproduction performance, such as total number of born （TNB）, the alive number of born （ANB）, the litter weight of born （LWB） and the litter weight at age of 21 days （/W21 ） , were estimated by using the DFREML method of multi-traits animal model. [Result] The heritability estimates of TNB, ANB, LWB and LW21 were 0.11,0.19, 0.14 and 0.05, respectively; and the genetic correlations between the traits as TNB/ANB, TNB/LWB, TNB/LW21, ANB/LWB, ANB/LW21, LWB/LW21 were 0.91, 0.76, 0.65, 0.85, 0.59 and 0.38, respectively. [ Conclusion] Main genetic parameters of reproduction traits in China Yorkshire line all, have all reached or even exceeded the requirements of breeding.展开更多
The red swamp crayfish,Procambarus clarkii,is an economically important species especially in China.Their exoskeleton places serious constraints on growth and culture management.Their growth is achieved through interm...The red swamp crayfish,Procambarus clarkii,is an economically important species especially in China.Their exoskeleton places serious constraints on growth and culture management.Their growth is achieved through intermittent molting/ecdysis.The longitudinal genetic dynamics for growth-related traits at different ecdysial points in P.clarkii has been unclear to date.In this study,conditional genetic analysis was carried out for growth-related traits(body weight,body length,chela length,and cephalothorax length)based upon a mixed genetic model with conditional additive,dominance,and genotype by environment effects in P.clarkii.A complete diallel cross was made among three geographic populations of P.clarkii for the genetic mating design.Results of the conditional genetic analysis showed that from 4 th molt to 9 th molt the conditional additive variations were increased significantly whereas the conditional non-additive genetic variations(dominance and genotype by environment interaction)were decreased significantly for these growth-related traits.This indicated that lots of new expression of additive effect genes for body weight,body length,chela length,and cephalothorax length occurred during ontogeny,and environment played a signifi cant role in the expression of genes affecting these growth-related traits.Growth of the four traits was mainly affected by non-additive genetic effects in early developmental stage(prior to 4 th molt).The cumulative conditional additive variation for the growth-related traits from 4 th molt to 9 th molt accounted for a large majority of the total conditional additive variations from 2 nd molt to 9 th molt,indicating that this period was very important for the growth of this species.Using the conditional analysis method,dynamics of growth-related traits during an important ontogenetic phase of red swamp crayfish was uncovered.Our results provide valuable insights into refining production of this species.展开更多
The present paper daisses the relative efficiencies of the least square estimates in linear models. For Gauss-Markoff model: Y=Xe + e E(e)= 0, Cov(e)=V, an new efficiencyo f least square estimate for linearly estimabl...The present paper daisses the relative efficiencies of the least square estimates in linear models. For Gauss-Markoff model: Y=Xe + e E(e)= 0, Cov(e)=V, an new efficiencyo f least square estimate for linearly estimable function c'r is proposed and its lower bound is giv-en. For variance component model: Y=X + e, E(e)=0, Cov(e)=, an new efficiency of least square estimate for linearly estimable function C'r is introduced for the first timeand its lower bound, which is independent of unknown parameters, is also obtained.展开更多
基金The project is partly supported by NSFC (19971085)the Doctoral Program Foundation of the Institute of High Education and the Special Foundation of Chinese Academy of Sciences.
文摘Bayes decision rule of variance components for one-way random effects model is derived and empirical Bayes (EB) decision rules are constructed by kernel estimation method. Under suitable conditions, it is shown that the proposed EB decision rules are asymptotically optimal with convergence rates near O(n-1/2). Finally, an example concerning the main result is given.
文摘The study presents sampling interval impacts on variance components of the epoch-wise residual errors in relative GPS positioning. In the variance components estimation process, the 2-way nested ANOVA method was used. For that purpose, GPS observation data during four months at two permanent GPS stations, establishing a 40-km-long baseline as a part of the Montenegrin permanent network(Monte Pos), were used. The study results showed that there is no statistically significant impact of sampling interval changes on epoch-wise variance components related to the residual tropospheric and ionospheric delays(effect a) when it comes to such a baseline. However, it is not the case with epoch-wise variance components related to the interstation-distance-independent residual ‘far-field’ multipath effect(effect b). It turned out that the absolute values of relative differences of standard deviations of the effect a on the relative GPS coordinates(e, n and u) had maximum values 11.1%, 10.2% and 8.9%,respectively. Keeping the same order of presentation for the effect b, the values of 5.9%, 9.9% and 12.5%were obtained. In addition, absolute values of relative differences of standard deviations of horizontal and vertical position had maximum values of 3.8% and 7.7%, respectively.
文摘This paper derives the maximum posterior adjustment formulae of the extended network and the estimation formulaes of variance components of Helmert, Welsch and Frstner types when there are two types of uncorrelated observations in it, and perfects the theory of the maximum posterior adjustment.
文摘A mixed distribution of empirical variances, composed of two distributions the basic and contaminating ones, and referred to as PERG mixed distribution of empirical variances, is considered. In the paper a robust inverse problem solution is given, namely a (new) robust method for estimation of variances of both distributions—PEROBVC Method, as well as the estimates for the numbers of observations for both distributions and, in this way also the estimate of contamination degree.
文摘Linear mixed model (LMM) approaches have been widely applied in many areas of research data analysis because they offer great flexibility for different data structures and linear model systems. In this study, emphasis is placed on comparing the properties of two LMM approaches: restricted maximum likelihood (REML) and minimum norm quadratic unbiased estimation (MINQUE) with and without resampling techniques being included. Bias, testing power, Type I error, and computing time were compared between REML and MINQUE approaches with and without Jackknife technique based on 500 simulated data sets. Results showed that MINQUE and REML methods performed equally regarding bias, Type I error, and power. Jackknife-based MINQUE and REML greatly improved power compared to non-Jackknife based linear mixed model approaches. Results also showed that MINQUE is more time-saving compared to REML, especially with the use of resampling techniques and large data set analysis. Results from the actual cotton data analysis were in agreement with our simulated results. Therefore, Jackknife-based MINQUE approaches could be recommended to achieve desirable power with reduced time for a large data analysis and model simulations.
文摘This paper advances a new simplified formula for estimating variance components ,sums up the basic law to calculate the weights of observed values and a circulation method using the increaments of weights when estimating the variance components of traverse nets,advances the charicteristic roots method to estimate the variance components of traveres nets and presents a practical method to make two real and symmetric matrices two diagonal ones.
文摘The classical least-squares methods may only solve LS β when the variance-covariance (matrix ∑(σ2 ∑)) is known (σ2 is unknown and ∑ is known) in linear model. The author thinks that maximum likelihood type estimation (M-estimation) should replace LS estimation. The paper discusses robust estimations of parameter vector and variance components for corresponding error model based on the principle of maximum likelihood type estimations (M-estimations). The influence functions are given respectively.
文摘Various random models with balanced data that are relevant for analyzing practical test data are described, along with several hypothesis testing and interval estimation problems concerning variance components. In this paper, we mainly consider these problems in general random effect model with balanced data. Exact tests and confidence intervals for a single variance component corresponding to random effect are developed by using generalized p-values and generalized confidence intervals. The resulting procedures are easy to compute and are applicable to small samples. Exact tests and confidence intervals are also established for comparing the random-effects variance components and the sum of random-effects variance components in two independent general random effect models with balanced data. Furthermore, we investigate the statistical properties of the resulting tests. Finally, some simulation results on the type Ⅰ error probability and power of the proposed test are reported. The simulation results indicate that exact test is extremely satisfactory for controlling type Ⅰ error probability.
文摘Impact of satellite elevation cutoff angle and position dilution of precision(PDOP)mask change on epoch-wise variance components of unmodeled effects that accompany relative Global Positioning System(GPS)positioning is presented herein.Data used for this study refer to the winter and summer periods of the years with minimal(2008)and maximal(2013)solar activity.These data were collected every 30 s in static mode,at two permanent GPS stations located in Montenegro,establishing a mediumdistance(116-km-long)baseline with a height difference of approximately 760 m between its endpoints.The study showed that changing satellite elevation cutoff angle,with a fixed PDOP mask,affects epochwise two-way nested ANOVA estimates of variances related to the‘far-field’multipath(considered as the nested factor herein)and the combined unmodeled effect of tropospheric and ionospheric refraction(considered as the nesting factor herein).However,changing of PDOP mask,with a fixed satellite elevation cutoff angle,doesn’t affect epoch-wise two-way nested ANOVA estimate of variance of the combined unmodeled effect of tropospheric and ionospheric refraction,but,generally,affects the estimate of variance of the‘far-field’multipath(possibly mixed with a part of a‘shorter-term’ionospheric refraction),which is especially pronounced for the summer period.It should also be noted that there is a significant influence of satellite elevation cutoff angle change on both epoch-wise horizontal and vertical position accuracy,only for the summer period,especially in the presence of maximal solar activity,while there is no significant impact of PDOP mask change on epoch-wise positional accuracy.
基金funded by the Basic scientific research fund projects(Youth Project)of the Educational Department of Liaoning Province in 2023(Grants No.JYTQN2023451)Liaoning Institute of Science and Technology doctoral research initiation fund project in 2023(Grants No.2307B27)+2 种基金Basic Research Project of Higher Education Institutions of Liaoning Provincial Department of Education(Grants No.2024JYTYB-12)the Basic scientific research fund projects(Youth Project)of the Educational Department of Liaoning Province in 2023(Grants No.JYTQN2024-21)Liaoning Institute of Science and Technology doctoral research initiation fund project in 2023(Grants No.2307B26)。
文摘The estimation of glacier flow velocity on a short-term scale is very important for further glacier dynamics research.In this study,10 Sentinel-1 ascending images and 10 Sentinel-1 descending images of Urumqi Glacier No.1 in 2017 were used to calculate the glacier flow velocity in a high coherence period by DIn SAR technology and MAI technology,while the offset tracking technology was used to estimate the glacier flow velocity in a low coherence period.Then,the monthly three-dimensional flow velocity of the glacier was calculated by the Helmert variance component estimation method.Finally,the accuracy of the estimated glacier flow velocity on a monthly scale was evaluated.The results showed that:(1)the monthly scale motion velocity of Urumqi Glacier No.1 in May,June,July,and August 2017 was 0.273 m/month,0.657 m/month,0.582 m/month,and 0.392 m/month,respectively.(2)The accuracy of glacier surface velocity from May 2017 to August 2017 was 0.033 m/month,0.026 m/month,0.034 m/month and 0.037 m/month,respectively.(3)The accuracy of glacier surface flow velocity from May 2017 to August 2017 was 0.018 m/month,0.031 m/month,0.029 m/month and 0.030 m/month,respectively.Therefore,the research methodology based on the Sentinel-1 ascending and descending data and presented in this paper was applicable to the estimation of monthly-scale flow velocity of mountain glaciers.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41874001 and No.41664001)Support Program for Outstanding Youth Talents in Jiangxi Province(No.20162BCB23050)National Key Research and Development Program(No.2016YFB0501405)。
文摘The solution of the grey model(GM(1,1)model)generally involves equal-precision observations,and the(co)variance matrix is established from the prior information.However,the data are generally available with unequal-precision measurements in reality.To deal with the errors of all observations for GM(1,1)model with errors-in-variables(EIV)structure,we exploit the total least-squares(TLS)algorithm to estimate the parameters of GM(1,1)model in this paper.Ignoring that the effect of the improper prior stochastic model and the homologous observations may degrade the accuracy of parameter estimation,we further present a nonlinear total least-squares variance component estimation approach for GM(1,1)model,which resorts to the minimum norm quadratic unbiased estimation(MINQUE).The practical and simulative experiments indicate that the presented approach has significant merits in improving the predictive accuracy in comparison with control methods.
基金Project supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No.2013CB430204)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.40930952 and 41105070)the State Key Development Program for Basic Research of China(Grant No.2012CB955902)
文摘In this paper we try to extract stable components in the extended-range forecast for the coming 10–30 days by using empirical orthogonal function （EOF） analysis, similarity coefficient, and some other methods based on the National Center for Environmental Prediction （NCEP）/National Center for Atmospheric Research （NCAR） reanalysis daily data. The comparisons of the coefficient of variance of climatological background field and truth data in winter between 2010 and 2011 are made. The method of extracting stable components and climatological background field can be helpful to increase forecasting skill. The forecasting skill improvement of air temperature is better than geopotential height at 500 hPa. Moreover, this method improves the predictability better in the Pacific Ocean. In China, the forecast in winter in Northeast China is more uncertain than in the other parts.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42174030)Major Science and Technology Program for Hubei Province (Grant No.2022AAA002)+2 种基金Special fund of Hubei Luojia Loboratory (220100020)the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 42304031the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation 2022M722441。
文摘Hydrological models are crucial for characterizing large-scale water quantity variations and correcting GNSS reference station vertical displacements.We evaluated the robustness of multiple models,such as the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS),the Famine Early Warning System Network Land Data Assimilation System (FLDAS),the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP),and the WaterGAP Global Hydrology Model (WGHM).Inter-model and outer comparisons with Global Positioning System (GPS) coordinate time series,satellite gravity field Mascon solutions,and Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) guide our assessment.Results confirm WGHM's 26% greater effectiveness in correcting nonlinear variations in GPS height time series compared to NCEP.In the Amazon River Basin,a 5-month lag between FLDAS,GLDAS,and satellite gravity results is observed.In eastern Asia and Australia,NCEP's Terrestrial Water Storage Changes (TWSC)-derived surface displacements correlate differently with precipitation compared to other models.Three combined hydrological models (H-VCE,H-EWM,and H-CVM) utilizing Variance Component Estimation (VCE),Entropy Weight Method (EWM),and Coefficient of Variation Method (CVM) are formulated.Correcting nonlinear variations with combined models enhances global GPS height scatter by 15%-17%.Correlation with precipitation increases by 25%-30%,and with satellite gravity,rises from 0.2 to 0.8 at maximum.The combined model eliminates time lag in the Amazon Basin TWSC analysis,exhibiting a four times higher signal-to-noise ratio than single models.H-VCE demonstrates the highest accuracy.In summary,the combined hydrological model minimizes discrepancies among individual models,significantly improving accuracy for monitoring large-scale TWSC.
基金Project (No. BFGEN.100B) supported by the Meat and LivestockLtd., Australia (MLA)
文摘WOMBAT is a software package for quantitative genetic analyses of continuous traits, fitting a linear, mixed model; estimates of covariance components and the resulting genetic parameters are obtained by restricted maximum likelihood. A wide range of models, comprising numerous traits, multiple fixed and random effects, selected genetic covariance structures, random regression models and reduced rank estimation are accommodated. WOMBAT employs up-to-date numerical and computational methods. Together with the use of efficient compilers, this generates fast executable programs, suitable for large scale analyses. Use of WOMBAT is illustrated for a bivariate analysis. The package consists of the executable program, available for LINUX and WINDOWS environments, manual and a set of worked example, and can be downloaded free of charge from http：//agbu. une.edu.au/-kmeyer/wombat.html
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42174011)。
文摘Geodetic functional models,stochastic models,and model parameter estimation theory are fundamental for geodetic data processing.In the past five years,through the unremitting efforts of Chinese scholars in the field of geodetic data processing,according to the application and practice of geodesy,they have made significant contributions in the fields of hypothesis testing theory,un-modeled error,outlier detection,and robust estimation,variance component estimation,complex least squares,and ill-posed problems treatment.Many functional models such as the nonlinear adjustment model,EIV model,and mixed additive and multiplicative random error model are also constructed and improved.Geodetic data inversion is an important part of geodetic data processing,and Chinese scholars have done a lot of work in geodetic data inversion in the past five years,such as seismic slide distribution inversion,intelligent inversion algorithm,multi-source data joint inversion,water reserve change and satellite gravity inversion.This paper introduces the achievements of Chinese scholars in the field of geodetic data processing in the past five years,analyzes the methods used by scholars and the problems solved,and looks forward to the unsolved problems in geodetic data processing and the direction that needs further research in the future.
文摘Stochastic models play an important role in achieving high accuracy in positioning,the ideal estimator in the least-squares(LS)can be obtained only by using the suitable stochastic model.This study investigates the role of variance component estimation(VCE)in the LS method for Precise Point Positioning(PPP).This estimation is performed by considering the ionospheric-free(IF)functional model for code and the phase observation of Global Positioning System(GPS).The strategy for estimating the accuracy of these observations was evaluated to check the effect of the stochastic model in four modes:a)antenna type,b)receiver type,c)the tropospheric effect,and d)the ionosphere effect.The results show that using empirical variance for code and phase observations in some cases caused erroneous estimation of unknown components in the PPP model.This is because a constant empirical variance may not be suitable for various receivers and antennas under different conditions.Coordinates were compared in two cases using the stochastic model of nominal weight and weight estimated by LS-VCE.The position error difference for the east-west,north-south,and height components was 1.5 cm,4 mm,and 1.8 cm,respectively.Therefore,weight estimation with LS-VCE can provide more appropriate results.Eventually,the convergence time based on four elevation-dependent models was evaluated using nominal weight and LS-VCE weight.According to the results,the LS-VCE has a higher convergence rate than the nominal weight.The weight estimation using LS-VCE improves the convergence time in four elevation-dependent models by 11,13,12,and 9 min,respectively.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos.41374023,41131067,41474019)the National 973 Project of China (No.2013CB733302)+2 种基金the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No.2016M602301)the Key Laboratory of Geospace Envi-ronment and Geodesy,Ministry of Education,Wuhan University (No.15-02-08)the State Scholarship Fund from Chinese Scholarship Council (No.201306270014)
文摘The application of Tikhonov regularization method dealing with the ill-conditioned problems in the regional gravity field modeling by Poisson wavelets is studied. In particular, the choices of the regularization matrices as well as the approaches for estimating the regularization parameters are investigated in details. The numerical results show that the regularized solutions derived from the first-order regularization are better than the ones obtained from zero-order regularization. For cross validation, the optimal regularization parameters are estimated from L-curve, variance component estimation（VCE） and minimum standard deviation（MSTD） approach, respectively, and the results show that the derived regularization parameters from different methods are consistent with each other. Together with the firstorder Tikhonov regularization and VCE method, the optimal network of Poisson wavelets is derived, based on which the local gravimetric geoid is computed. The accuracy of the corresponding gravimetric geoid reaches 1.1 cm in Netherlands, which validates the reliability of using Tikhonov regularization method in tackling the ill-conditioned problem for regional gravity field modeling.
基金supported by National Key Technology R&D Program(2006BAD01A08-02)Program from Hubei Innovation Center of Agricultural Science and Technology(2007-620-004-03)Special Fund for Constructing National Technology System for Pig Industry(NYCYTX-009)
文摘[Objective] This study was to investigate the genetic parameters on reproduction performances of China Yorkshire line SII,. [Method] Using China Yorkshire line SII, as experimental animal, its genetic parameters on reproduction performance, such as total number of born （TNB）, the alive number of born （ANB）, the litter weight of born （LWB） and the litter weight at age of 21 days （/W21 ） , were estimated by using the DFREML method of multi-traits animal model. [Result] The heritability estimates of TNB, ANB, LWB and LW21 were 0.11,0.19, 0.14 and 0.05, respectively; and the genetic correlations between the traits as TNB/ANB, TNB/LWB, TNB/LW21, ANB/LWB, ANB/LW21, LWB/LW21 were 0.91, 0.76, 0.65, 0.85, 0.59 and 0.38, respectively. [ Conclusion] Main genetic parameters of reproduction traits in China Yorkshire line all, have all reached or even exceeded the requirements of breeding.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.31672648)the Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Regional Modern Agriculture&Environmental Protection and Huaiyin Normal University(No.HSXT2-107)the Science&Technology Program of Huaiyin Normal University(No.31WH000)。
文摘The red swamp crayfish,Procambarus clarkii,is an economically important species especially in China.Their exoskeleton places serious constraints on growth and culture management.Their growth is achieved through intermittent molting/ecdysis.The longitudinal genetic dynamics for growth-related traits at different ecdysial points in P.clarkii has been unclear to date.In this study,conditional genetic analysis was carried out for growth-related traits(body weight,body length,chela length,and cephalothorax length)based upon a mixed genetic model with conditional additive,dominance,and genotype by environment effects in P.clarkii.A complete diallel cross was made among three geographic populations of P.clarkii for the genetic mating design.Results of the conditional genetic analysis showed that from 4 th molt to 9 th molt the conditional additive variations were increased significantly whereas the conditional non-additive genetic variations(dominance and genotype by environment interaction)were decreased significantly for these growth-related traits.This indicated that lots of new expression of additive effect genes for body weight,body length,chela length,and cephalothorax length occurred during ontogeny,and environment played a signifi cant role in the expression of genes affecting these growth-related traits.Growth of the four traits was mainly affected by non-additive genetic effects in early developmental stage(prior to 4 th molt).The cumulative conditional additive variation for the growth-related traits from 4 th molt to 9 th molt accounted for a large majority of the total conditional additive variations from 2 nd molt to 9 th molt,indicating that this period was very important for the growth of this species.Using the conditional analysis method,dynamics of growth-related traits during an important ontogenetic phase of red swamp crayfish was uncovered.Our results provide valuable insights into refining production of this species.
文摘The present paper daisses the relative efficiencies of the least square estimates in linear models. For Gauss-Markoff model: Y=Xe + e E(e)= 0, Cov(e)=V, an new efficiencyo f least square estimate for linearly estimable function c'r is proposed and its lower bound is giv-en. For variance component model: Y=X + e, E(e)=0, Cov(e)=, an new efficiency of least square estimate for linearly estimable function C'r is introduced for the first timeand its lower bound, which is independent of unknown parameters, is also obtained.
