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ON INFORMATION THEORY METHOD FOR RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT OF SYSTEMS CONSISTING OF DIFFERENT SUCCESS FAILURE MODEL UNITS 被引量:1
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作者 孙有朝 施军 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 1999年第2期129-133,共5页
Using the characteristic of addition of information quantity and the principle of equivalence of information quantity, this paper derives the general conversion formulae of the formation theory method conversion (synt... Using the characteristic of addition of information quantity and the principle of equivalence of information quantity, this paper derives the general conversion formulae of the formation theory method conversion (synthesis) on the systems consisting of different success failure model units. According to the fundamental method of the unit reliability assessment, the general models of system reliability approximate lower limits are given. Finally, this paper analyses the application of the assessment method by examples, the assessment results are neither conservative nor radical and very satisfactory. The assessment method can be popularized to the systems which have fixed reliability structural models. 展开更多
关键词 information theory information quantity success failure model units reliability assessment approximate lower limit
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Prediction of the Biaxial Failure Strength of Composite Laminates with Unit Cell Analytic Model
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作者 赵琳 ZHANG Boming QING Xinlin 《Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Materials Science)》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第5期923-927,共5页
A new method to predict the ultimate strength of fiber reinforced composites under arbitrary load condition is introduced. The micromechanics strength theory is used to perform the final failure prediction of composit... A new method to predict the ultimate strength of fiber reinforced composites under arbitrary load condition is introduced. The micromechanics strength theory is used to perform the final failure prediction of composite laminates. The theory is based on unit cell analytic model which can provide the ply composite material properties by only using the constituent fiber and matrix properties and the laminate geometric parameters without knowing any experimental information of the laminates. To show that this method is suitable for predicting the strength of composite laminates, the micromechanics strength theory is ranked by comparing it with all the micro-level and the best two macro-level theories chosen from the World Wide Failure Exercise. The results show that this method can be used for predicting strength of any composite laminates and provide a direct reference for composite optimum design. 展开更多
关键词 COMPOSITES STRENGTH failure criteria unit cell analytic model
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Controller design based on viscoelasticity dynamics model and experiment for flexible drive unit 被引量:1
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作者 吴伟国 侯月阳 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第12期4468-4477,共10页
In order to ensure that the system has the advantage of light weight and vibration absorption, the steel rope is used as a flexible transmission part. A flexible drive unit(FDU) is developed, whose features are guided... In order to ensure that the system has the advantage of light weight and vibration absorption, the steel rope is used as a flexible transmission part. A flexible drive unit(FDU) is developed, whose features are guided by steel rope, increasing force by the movable pulley group, modular, convenient and flexible. Dynamics model for controller is deduced based on the constitutive equation of viscoelasticity. Controller is designed for position control and is based on the viscoelasticity dynamics model compensation control strategy proposed. The control system is based on the TURBO PMAC multi-axis motion control card.Prototype loading experiments and velocity experiments results show that the FDU can reach 2 Hz with no load and the max speed of 30(°)/s. The FDU has the capability of the load torque 11.2 N·m and the speed of 24(°)/s simultaneously, and the frequency response is 1.3 Hz. The FDU can be used to be the pitch joint of hip for biped robot whose walking speed is 0.144 km/h theoretically. 展开更多
关键词 flexible drive unit steel rope drive viscoelasticity dynamic model speed-load characteristic
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Nonlinear Mathematical Modeling and Sensitivity Analysis of Hydraulic Drive Unit 被引量:13
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作者 KONG Xiangdong YU Bin +2 位作者 QUAN Lingxiao BA Kaixian WU Liujie 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第5期999-1011,共13页
The previous sensitivity analysis researches are not accurate enough and also have the limited reference value, because those mathematical models are relatively simple and the change of the load and the initial displa... The previous sensitivity analysis researches are not accurate enough and also have the limited reference value, because those mathematical models are relatively simple and the change of the load and the initial displacement changes of the piston are ignored, even experiment verification is not conducted. Therefore, in view of deficiencies above, a nonlinear mathematical model is established in this paper, including dynamic characteristics of servo valve, nonlinear characteristics of pressure-flow, initial displacement of servo cylinder piston and friction nonlinearity. The transfer function block diagram is built for the hydraulic drive unit closed loop position control, as well as the state equations. Through deriving the time-varying coefficient items matrix and time-varying free items matrix of sensitivity equations respectively, the expression of sensitivity equations based on the nonlinear mathematical model are obtained. According to structure parameters of hydraulic drive unit, working parameters, fluid transmission characteristics and measured friction-velocity curves, the simulation analysis of hydraulic drive unit is completed on the MATLAB/Simulink simulation platform with the displacement step 2 mm, 5 mm and 10 mm, respectively. The simulation results indicate that the developed nonlinear mathematical model is sufficient by comparing the characteristic curves of experimental step response and simulation step response under different constant load. Then, the sensitivity function time-history curves of seventeen parameters are obtained, basing on each state vector time-history curve of step response characteristic. The maximum value of displacement variation percentage and the sum of displacement variation absolute values in the sampling time are both taken as sensitivity indexes. The sensitivity indexes values above are calculated and shown visually in histograms under different working conditions, and change rules are analyzed. Then the sensitivity indexes values of four measurable parameters, such as supply pressure, proportional gain, initial position of servo cylinder piston and load force, are verified experimentally on test platform of hydraulic drive unit, and the experimental research shows that the sensitivity analysis results obtained through simulation are approximate to the test results. This research indicates each parameter sensitivity characteristics of hydraulic drive unit, the performance-affected main parameters and secondary parameters are got under different working conditions, which will provide the theoretical foundation for the control compensation and structure optimization of hydraulic drive unit. 展开更多
关键词 nonlinear mathematical model hydraulic drive unit valve-controlled symmetrical cylinder sensitivity analysis sensitivity index
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Thermal Model of High-Speed Spindle Units 被引量:3
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作者 Jeong-Du Kim Igor Zverv Keon-Beom Lee 《Intelligent Information Management》 2010年第5期306-315,共10页
For the purpose to facilitate development of high-speed Spindle Units (SUs) running on rolling bearings, we have developed a beam element model, algorithms, and software for computer analysis of thermal characteristic... For the purpose to facilitate development of high-speed Spindle Units (SUs) running on rolling bearings, we have developed a beam element model, algorithms, and software for computer analysis of thermal characteristics of SUs. The thermal model incorporates a model of heat generation in rolling bearings, a model of heat transfer from bearings, and models for estimation of temperature and temperature deformations of SU elements. We have carried out experimental test and made quantitative evaluation of the effect of operation conditions on friction and thermal characteristics of the SUs of grinding and turning machines of typical structures. It is found that the operation conditions make stronger effect on SU temperatures when rpm increases. A comparison between the results of analysis and experiment proves their good mutual correspondence and allows us to recommend application of the models and software developed for design and research of high-speed SUs running on rolling bearings. 展开更多
关键词 THERMAL model HIGH-SPEED SPINDLE unit ROLLING BEARING
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Elastic Predictions of 3D Orthogonal Woven Composites Using Micro/meso-scale Repeated Unit Cell Models
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作者 JIA Xiwen GAO Limin +2 位作者 ZHANG Tian ZHANG Fa WANG Yan 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2019年第4期390-398,共9页
This presentation predicts the elastic properties of three-dimensional(3D)orthogonal woven composite(3DOWC)by finite element analysis based on micro/meso repeated unit cell(RUC)models.First,the properties of fiber yar... This presentation predicts the elastic properties of three-dimensional(3D)orthogonal woven composite(3DOWC)by finite element analysis based on micro/meso repeated unit cell(RUC)models.First,the properties of fiber yarn are obtained by analysis on a micro-scale RUC model assuming fibers in a hexagonal distribution pattern in the polymer matrix.Then a full thickness meso-scale RUC model including weft yarns,warp yarns,Z-yarns and pure resin zones is established and full stiffness matrix of the 3DOWC including the in-plane and flexural constants are predicted.For thick 3DOWC with large number of weft,warp layers,an alternative analysis method is proposed in which an inner meso-RUC and a surface meso-RUC are established,respectively.Then the properties of 3DOWC are deduced based on laminate theory and properties of the inner and surface layers.The predicted results by the above two alternative methods are in good experimental agreement. 展开更多
关键词 composite MULTI-SCALE analysis repeated unit cell model FINITE ELEMENT method
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Equality Testing for Soil Grid Unit Resolutions to Polygon Unit Scales with DNDC Modeling of Regional SOC Pools 被引量:2
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作者 YU Dongsheng PAN Yue +4 位作者 ZHANG Haidong WANG Xiyang NI Yunlong ZHANG Liming SHI Xue-zheng 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第4期552-568,共17页
Matching soil grid unit resolutions with polygon unit map scales is important to minimize the uncertainty of regional soil organic carbon(SOC) pool simulation due to their strong influences on the modeling.A series of... Matching soil grid unit resolutions with polygon unit map scales is important to minimize the uncertainty of regional soil organic carbon(SOC) pool simulation due to their strong influences on the modeling.A series of soil grid units at varying cell sizes was derived from soil polygon units at six map scales,namely,1:50 000(C5),1:200 000(D2),1:500 000(P5),1:1 000 000(N1),1:4 000 000(N4) and 1:14 000 000(N14),in the Taihu Region of China.Both soil unit formats were used for regional SOC pool simulation with a De Nitrification-DeC omposition(DNDC) process-based model,which spans the time period from 1982 to 2000 at the six map scales.Four indices,namely,soil type number(STN),area(AREA),average SOC density(ASOCD) and total SOC stocks(SOCS) of surface paddy soils that were simulated by the DNDC,were distinguished from all these soil polygon and grid units.Subjecting to the four index values(IV) from the parent polygon units,the variations in an index value(VIV,%) from the grid units were used to assess its dataset accuracy and redundancy,which reflects the uncertainty in the simulation of SOC pools.Optimal soil grid unit resolutions were generated and suggested for the DNDC simulation of regional SOC pools,matching their respective soil polygon unit map scales.With these optimal raster resolutions,the soil grid units datasets can have the same accuracy as their parent polygon units datasets without any redundancy,when VIV < 1% was assumed to be a criterion for all four indices.A quadratic curve regression model,namely,y = – 0.80 × 10^(–6)x^2 + 0.0228 x + 0.0211(R^2 = 0.9994,P < 0.05),and a power function model R? = 10.394?^(0.2153)(R^2 = 0.9759,P < 0.05) were revealed,which describe the relationship between the optimal soil grid unit resolution(y,km) and soil polygon unit map scale(1:10 000x),the ratio(R?,%) of the optimal soil grid size to average polygon patch size(?,km^2) and the ?,with the highest R^2 among different mathematical regressions,respectively.This knowledge may facilitate the grid partitioning of regions during the investigation and simulation of SOC pool dynamics at a certain map scale,and be referenced to other landscape polygon patches' mesh partition. 展开更多
关键词 soil organic carbon(SOC) soil grid unit resolutions soil polygon unit map scales DeNitrification-DeComposition(DNDC) model SOC pools
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A thermodynamic model of calculating mass action concentrations for structural units or ion couples in NaClO_4-H_2O and NaF-H_2O binary solutions and NaClO_4-NaF-H_2O ternary solution 被引量:1
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作者 Xue-min Yang Wei-jie Zhao +2 位作者 Han-jie Guo Qiang Zhang Jian Zhang 《International Journal of Minerals,Metallurgy and Materials》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2010年第5期546-557,共12页
A thermodynamic model of calculating mass action concentrations for structural units or ion couples in NaClO4-H2O and NaF-H2O binary solutions and NaClO4-NaF-H2O ternary strong electrolyte aqueous solutions was develo... A thermodynamic model of calculating mass action concentrations for structural units or ion couples in NaClO4-H2O and NaF-H2O binary solutions and NaClO4-NaF-H2O ternary strong electrolyte aqueous solutions was developed based on the ion and molecule coexistence theory (IMCT). A transformation coefficient was needed to compare the calculated mass action concentration and the reported activity, because they were usually obtained at different standard states and concentration units. The results show that transformation coefficients between the calculated mass action concentrations and the reported activities of the same components change in a very narrow range. The transformed mass action concentrations of structural units or ion couples in NaClO4-H2O and NaF-H2O binary solutions agree well with the reported activities. The transformed mass action concentrations of structural units or ion couples in NaClO4-NaF-H2O ternary solution are also in good agreement with the reported activities in a total ionic strength range from 0.1 to 0.9 mol/kg H2O by the 0.1 mol/kg step with different ionic strength fractions of 0, 0.2, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.8, and 1, respectively. The results indicate that the developed thermodynamic model can reveal the structural characteristics of binary and ternary strong electrolyte aqueous solutions, and the calculated mass action concentrations of structural units or ion couples also strictly follow the mass action law. 展开更多
关键词 binary systems ternary systems thermodynamic model activity coefficient structural unit
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Logic Picture-Based Dynamic Power Estimation for Unit Gate-Delay Model CMOS Circuits
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作者 Omnia S. Ahmed Mohamed F. Abu-Elyazeed +2 位作者 Mohamed B. Abdelhalim Hassanein H. Amer Ahmed H. Madian 《Circuits and Systems》 2013年第3期276-279,共4页
In this research, a fast methodology to calculate the exact value of the average dynamic power consumption for CMOS combinational logic circuits is developed. The delay model used is the unit-delay model where all gat... In this research, a fast methodology to calculate the exact value of the average dynamic power consumption for CMOS combinational logic circuits is developed. The delay model used is the unit-delay model where all gates have the same propagation delay. The main advantages of this method over other techniques are its accuracy, as it is deterministic and it requires less computational effort compared to exhaustive simulation approaches. The methodology uses the Logic Pictures concept for obtaining the nodes’ toggle rates. The proposed method is applied to well-known circuits and the results are compared to exhaustive simulation and Monte Carlosimulation methods. 展开更多
关键词 Dynamic Power ESTIMATION LOGIC PICTURES CMOS Digital LOGIC Circuits TOGGLE Rate unit-Delay model
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A finite element modeling of the human lumbar unit including the spinal cord 被引量:1
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作者 Fafa Ben-Hatira Kaouthar Saidane Abdelfatah Mrabet 《Journal of Biomedical Science and Engineering》 2012年第3期146-152,共7页
The purpose of this present work is to provide a tool to better understand mechanically related pathologies of the lumbar unit and the spinal structure by providing spinal cord deformations in different loading cases.... The purpose of this present work is to provide a tool to better understand mechanically related pathologies of the lumbar unit and the spinal structure by providing spinal cord deformations in different loading cases. In fact, spinal cord injury (SCI) resulting from a traumatic movement leades to a deformation of the neural and vascular structure of the spinal cord. And since the magnitude of the spinal cord stress is correlated with the pressure of the vertebral elements, stresses will be computed on all theses components. Physical properties of the vertebrae, various ligaments, the discs, and the spinal cord are described under simple loading as compression, and combined loading, flexion and lateral bending to evaluate the pressure undergone by different components of the lumbar unit. A nonlinear three-dimensional finite element method is used as a numerical tool to perform all the computations. This study provides accurate results for the localisation and the magnitude of maximum equivalent stress and shear stress on the lumbar unit and especially for the spinal cord. These results showed that stresses are more important when a compression of 500 N is combined with a flexion and a lateral bending. In particular, shear stresses are maximum for the spinal cord and the four intervertebral discs for the case of a flexion of 3.8 N.m and a lateral bending of 6.5 N.m. 展开更多
关键词 Numerical modelling Three DIMENSIONAL Reconstruction LUMBAR unit SPINAL CORD
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Optimization of a precise integration method for seismic modeling based on graphic processing unit 被引量:2
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作者 Jingyu Li Genyang Tang Tianyue Hu 《Earthquake Science》 CSCD 2010年第4期387-393,共7页
General purpose graphic processing unit (GPU) calculation technology is gradually widely used in various fields. Its mode of single instruction, multiple threads is capable of seismic numerical simulation which has ... General purpose graphic processing unit (GPU) calculation technology is gradually widely used in various fields. Its mode of single instruction, multiple threads is capable of seismic numerical simulation which has a huge quantity of data and calculation steps. In this study, we introduce a GPU-based parallel calculation method of a precise integration method (PIM) for seismic forward modeling. Compared with CPU single-core calculation, GPU parallel calculating perfectly keeps the features of PIM, which has small bandwidth, high accuracy and capability of modeling complex substructures, and GPU calculation brings high computational efficiency, which means that high-performing GPU parallel calculation can make seismic forward modeling closer to real seismic records. 展开更多
关键词 precise integration method seismic modeling general purpose GPU graphic processing unit
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LVP Modeling and Dynamic Characteristics Prediction of A Hydraulic Power Unit in Deep-Sea 被引量:1
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作者 曹学鹏 叶敏 +2 位作者 邓斌 张翠红 俞祖英 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2013年第1期17-32,共16页
A hydraulic power unit (HPU) is the driving "heart" of deep-sea working equipment. It is critical to predict its dynamic performances in deep-water before being immerged in the seawater, while the experimental tes... A hydraulic power unit (HPU) is the driving "heart" of deep-sea working equipment. It is critical to predict its dynamic performances in deep-water before being immerged in the seawater, while the experimental tests by simulating deep-sea environment have many disadvantages, such as expensive cost, long test cycles, and difficult to achieve low-temperature simulation, which is only used as a supplementary means for confirmatory experiment. This paper proposes a novel theoretical approach based on the linear varying parameters (LVP) modeling to foresee the dynamic performances of the driving unit. Firstly, based on the varying environment features, dynamic expressions of the compressibility and viscosity of hydranlic oil are derived to reveal the fluid performances changing. Secondly, models of hydraulic system and electrical system are accomplished respectively through studying the control process and energy transfer, and then LVP models of the pressure and flow rate control is obtained through the electro-hydraulic models integration. Thirdly, dynamic characteristics of HPU are obtained by the model simulating within bounded closed sets of varying parameters. Finally, the developed HPU is tested in a deep-sea imitating hull, and the experimental results are well consistent with the theoretical analysis outcomes, which clearly declare that the LVP modeling is a rational way to foresee dynamic performances of HPU. The research approach and model analysis results can be applied to the predictions of working properties and product designs for other deep-sea hydraulic pump. 展开更多
关键词 hydraulic power unit (HPLO linear varying parameters (L VP) modeling dynamic viscosity characteristics prediction
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An Examination of Male and Female Monthly Employment Rates over Time in Canada and the United States Using Hidden Markov Probability Models
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作者 William H. Laverty Ivan W. Kelly 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2018年第5期837-845,共9页
In this paper, we will illustrate the use and power of Hidden Markov models in analyzing multivariate data over time. The data used in this study was obtained from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Develo... In this paper, we will illustrate the use and power of Hidden Markov models in analyzing multivariate data over time. The data used in this study was obtained from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD. Stat database url: https://stats.oecd.org/) and encompassed monthly data on the employment rate of males and females in Canada and the United States (aged 15 years and over;seasonally adjusted from January 1995 to July 2018). Two different underlying patterns of trends in employment over the 23 years observation period were uncovered. 展开更多
关键词 EMPLOYMENT Trends Hidden MARKOV models MULTIVARIATE Data CANADA unitED States
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物理特征扩展的ASReLU-CNN-LSTM短期光伏功率预测研究
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作者 刘伟 李洋洋 《电力系统保护与控制》 北大核心 2026年第2期58-69,共12页
为提高光伏发电系统在复杂多变气象条件下输出功率预测的精确性和稳定性,基于物理-数据融合的驱动策略,提出一种物理特征扩展的ASReLU-CNN-LSTM短期光伏功率预测方法。该方法首先通过改进太阳轨迹模型动态校正斜面辐照度,使其更准确地... 为提高光伏发电系统在复杂多变气象条件下输出功率预测的精确性和稳定性,基于物理-数据融合的驱动策略,提出一种物理特征扩展的ASReLU-CNN-LSTM短期光伏功率预测方法。该方法首先通过改进太阳轨迹模型动态校正斜面辐照度,使其更准确地反映组件实际受光强度,接着结合光电转换模型与小型前馈网络扩展数据集的相对功率特征。其次,构建自适应平滑修正线性单元(adaptively smooth rectifier linear unit,ASReLU),通过参数自适应平滑修正优化卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network,CNN)的负特征提取能力。最后,将物理特征扩展的数据集输入ASReLU-CNN-LSTM模型,实现光伏功率的预测。在两个不同气候区数据集上的实验结果表明,该预测方法具有较高的精确性和泛化能力。 展开更多
关键词 短期光伏功率预测 太阳轨迹模型 光电转换模型 自适应平滑修正线性单元 CNN-LSTM模型
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Model Selection of Gas Turbine for Large Scale Gas-Fired Combined Cycle Power Plant
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作者 何语平 《Electricity》 2003年第4期36-39,共4页
This paper briefs the configuration and performance of large size gas turbines and their composed combined cycle power plants designed and produced by four large renown gas turbine manufacturing firms in the world, pr... This paper briefs the configuration and performance of large size gas turbines and their composed combined cycle power plants designed and produced by four large renown gas turbine manufacturing firms in the world, providing reference for the relevant sectors and enterprises in importing advanced gas turbines and technologies. 展开更多
关键词 natural gas combined cycle power plant unit model selection
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Generic functional modelling of multi-pulse auto-transformer rectifier units for more-electric aircraft applications 被引量:1
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作者 Tao YANG Serhiy BOZHKO +2 位作者 Patrick WHEELER Shaoping WANG Shuai WU 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第5期883-891,共9页
The Auto-Transformer Rectifier Unit(ATRU) is one preferred solution for high-power AC/DC power conversion in aircraft. This is mainly due to its simple structure, high reliability and reduced k VA ratings. Indeed, t... The Auto-Transformer Rectifier Unit(ATRU) is one preferred solution for high-power AC/DC power conversion in aircraft. This is mainly due to its simple structure, high reliability and reduced k VA ratings. Indeed, the ATRU has become a preferred AC/DC solution to supply power to the electric environment control system on-board future aircraft. In this paper, a general modelling method for ATRUs is introduced. The developed model is based on the fact that the DC voltage and current are strongly related to the voltage and current vectors at the AC terminals of ATRUs. In this paper, we carry on our research in modelling symmetric 18-pulse ATRUs and develop a generic modelling technique. The developed generic model can study not only symmetric but also asymmetric ATRUs. An 18-pulse asymmetric ATRU is used to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of the developed model by comparing with corresponding detailed switching SABER models provided by our industrial partner. The functional models also allow accelerated and accurate simulations and thus enable whole-scale more-electric aircraft electrical power system studies in the future. 展开更多
关键词 Asymmetric transformer Functional modelling More-Electric Aircraft Multi-pulse rectifier Transformer rectifier unit
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不同模型的NICU早产儿出院后30天内再入院风险预测效果比较
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作者 胡鹏 张小华 卢建丽 《护士进修杂志》 2026年第4期391-397,共7页
目的基于决策树模型、logistic回归模型构建新生儿重症监护室(neonatal intensive care unit,NICU)早产儿出院后30 d内再次入院的风险预测模型,并初步比较2种模型的预测性能。方法采用便利抽样法,选取2023年1月—2024年3月于本院NICU进... 目的基于决策树模型、logistic回归模型构建新生儿重症监护室(neonatal intensive care unit,NICU)早产儿出院后30 d内再次入院的风险预测模型,并初步比较2种模型的预测性能。方法采用便利抽样法,选取2023年1月—2024年3月于本院NICU进行治疗且出院接受随访的280例早产儿,按照7∶3比例的模型比例要求,分为建模集196例,验证集84例。根据建模集出院后30 d内是否再次入院分为再入院组和非再入院组,比较2组患儿临床资料及其父母资料,将单因素分析中差异有统计学意义的变量分别构建logistic回归和决策树模型,绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价logistic回归和决策树模型的预测性能。结果建模集出院后30 d内再入院57例(29.08%)。决策树模型结果显示:无创机械通气时间、出生时体重、胎龄、5 min Apgar评分、有无母乳喂养、呼吸窘迫综合征(respiratory distress syndrome,RDS)≥Ⅱ级、中重度支气管肺发育不良(bronchopulmonary dysplasia,BPD)是早产儿出院后30 d内再入院的决策因素。Logistic回归分析结果显示:出生时体重<1500 g、胎龄<28周、无创机械通气时间≥15 d、中重度BPD、RDS≥Ⅱ级、5 min Apgar评分<7分是建模集早产儿出院后30 d内再入院的危险因素(P<0.05),母乳喂养是建模集早产儿出院后30 d内再入院的保护因素(P<0.05)。logistic回归模型在建模集和验证组中的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.794、0.575,决策树模型在建模集和验证组中的AUC分别为0.890、0.808,以决策树模型的各评价指标为最佳,模型性能最优。结论相较于logistic回归模型,基于决策树模型的NICU早产儿出院后30 d内再次入院预测模型具有较好的区分度,预测价值良好,决策树模型的预测因素包括出生时体重、胎龄、无创机械通气时间、中重度BPD、RDS、5min Apgar评分、母乳喂养,可为降低NICU早产儿出院后30 d内再入院率提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 决策树模型 logistic模型 新生儿重症监护室 早产儿 再次入院 预测模型
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Creep experiment and rheological model of deep saturated rock 被引量:13
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作者 刘浪 王革民 +1 位作者 陈建宏 杨珊 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第2期478-483,共6页
By the methods of uniaxial single-stage loading and graded incremental cyclic loading, the creep experiments were performed on the deep saturated rock from Dongguashan Mine, and the creep curves of saturated rock unde... By the methods of uniaxial single-stage loading and graded incremental cyclic loading, the creep experiments were performed on the deep saturated rock from Dongguashan Mine, and the creep curves of saturated rock under different loading stresses were obtained. By comparing with the creep rule of dry rock in the same location, the creep rule of deep saturated rock was analyzed. Based on the united rheological mechanical model, the rheological model of deep saturated rock was recognized, and the parameters of the model were determined. The results show that the creep curves are very smooth under low stress, but the phenomena of wave and catastrophe turn up under high stress, and the bearing capacity of rock is weakening over time. The rheological properties of saturated and dry rocks are very different under tlie condition of deep high stress, especially when unloading, degradation and damage of rock quality is more serious, and the effect of water cannot be neglected. The H--HIN--NJS model (Schofield-Scott-Blair model) was selected to represent the rheology rule of deep saturated rock, and the fitting curves of model agree well with the experiment data, so the selected model is reasonable. 展开更多
关键词 deep saturated rock CREEP united rheological model rheology rule
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新生儿重症监护室患儿发生压力性损伤的危险因素分析及预测模型构建
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作者 陈晓微 林海芳 《中国妇幼保健》 2026年第1期59-62,共4页
目的 分析新生儿重症监护室(NICU)患儿压力性损伤发生情况与危险因素,构建预测模型。方法 选取2020年1月—2023年12月丽水市人民医院NICU收治的96例患儿,记录压力性损伤发生情况。采用多因素logistic回归模型分析NICU患儿发生压力性损... 目的 分析新生儿重症监护室(NICU)患儿压力性损伤发生情况与危险因素,构建预测模型。方法 选取2020年1月—2023年12月丽水市人民医院NICU收治的96例患儿,记录压力性损伤发生情况。采用多因素logistic回归模型分析NICU患儿发生压力性损伤的影响因素,构建风险预测模型,绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,验证模型的预测效能。结果 96例患儿中,24例患儿发生压力性损伤,发生率为25.00%。单因素分析结果显示:压力性损伤患儿胎龄<37周、新生儿皮肤干燥、新生儿营养不良、新生儿躯体活动受限、病情危重、机械通气、昏迷、入住NICU时间>7 d的比例均高于无压力性损伤患儿(均P<0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析显示:胎龄、新生儿皮肤干燥、新生儿营养不良、新生儿躯体活动受限、病情严重程度、呼吸方式、意识状态及入住NICU时间均为NICU患儿发生压力性损伤的独立危险因素(均P<0.05)。根据多因素logistic回归分析结果,构建NICU患儿发生压力性损伤的风险预测模型:P=-2.781-1.763×胎龄+2.091×新生儿皮肤干燥+1.536×新生儿营养不良+2.862×新生儿躯体活动受限+1.685×病情严重程度+2.362×呼吸方式+1.854×意识状态+2.189×入住NICU时间。ROC曲线显示:风险预测模型的曲线下面积为0.849(95%CI:0.745~0.953,P<0.05),灵敏度为79.20%,特异度为87.50%,预测效能较好。结论 NICU患儿压力性损伤的发生率较高,且受多因素影响,低胎龄、新生儿皮肤干燥、新生儿营养不良、新生儿躯体活动受限、病情危重、机械通气、昏迷及入住NICU时间长均为危险因素,根据危险因素构建的预测模型对NICU压力性损伤的发生具有良好的预测价值。 展开更多
关键词 新生儿重症监护室 压力性损伤 危险因素 预测模型
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基于症状动态模型理论的综合护理对重症监护室食管癌病人术后康复及生活质量的影响
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作者 马丽 许容芳 +2 位作者 周建萍 陈锦凤 朱亚楠 《全科护理》 2026年第2期315-319,共5页
目的:探讨基于症状动态模型理论的综合护理对重症监护室(ICU)食管癌病人术后康复及生活质量的影响。方法:选取2022年2月—2024年2月在医院行食管癌手术并进入ICU的152例食管癌病人作为研究对象,按照随机数字表法将其分为对照组(n=76)与... 目的:探讨基于症状动态模型理论的综合护理对重症监护室(ICU)食管癌病人术后康复及生活质量的影响。方法:选取2022年2月—2024年2月在医院行食管癌手术并进入ICU的152例食管癌病人作为研究对象,按照随机数字表法将其分为对照组(n=76)与观察组(n=76)。对照组采用常规护理干预,观察组在对照组的基础上实施基于症状动态模型理论的综合护理。观察并对比两组干预后的康复情况(体重、ICU停留时间、镇痛药使用次数、肛门排气时间、肠鸣音恢复时间、首次排便时间)、症状评分[安德森症状量表(MDASI)评分]、生活质量[欧洲癌症研究治疗组织生活质量问卷核心30量表(EORTC QLQ-C30)评分]与并发症发生率。结果:干预后,观察组康复情况优于对照组;疲乏、疼痛、食欲下降症状评分低于对照组;EORTC QLQ-C30各维度评分高于对照组;并发症发生率低于对照组,均P<0.05。结论:基于症状动态模型理论的综合护理可改善ICU食管癌病人术后康复情况,减轻症状,提高生活质量,降低并发症发生率,为临床医护人员更好地管理疾病提供依据。 展开更多
关键词 症状动态模型理论 重症监护室 食管癌 康复 生活质量
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