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Observation and Numerical Experiments for Drag Coefficient Under Typhoon Wind Forcing 被引量:1
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作者 CAO Huiqiu ZHOU Liangming +1 位作者 LI Shuiqing WANG Zhifeng 《Journal of Ocean University of China》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第1期35-41,共7页
This paper presents a study on drag coefficients under typhoon wind forcing based on observations and numerical experiments. The friction velocity and wind speed are measured at a marine observation platform in the So... This paper presents a study on drag coefficients under typhoon wind forcing based on observations and numerical experiments. The friction velocity and wind speed are measured at a marine observation platform in the South China Sea. Three typhoons: SOULIK(2013), TRAMI(2013) and FITOW(2013) are observed at a buoy station in the northeast sea area of Pingtan Island. A new parameterization is formulated for the wind drag coefficient as a function of wind speed. It is found that the drag coefficient(Cd) increases linearly with the slope of 0.083′10^(-3) for wind speed less than 24 m s^(-1). To investigate the drag coefficient under higher wind conditions, three numerical experiments are implemented for these three typhoons using SWAN wave model. The wind input data are objective reanalysis datasets, which are assimilated with many sources and provided every six hours with the resolution of 0.125?×0.125?. The numerical simulation results show a good agreement with wave observation data under typhoon wind forcing. The results indicate that the drag coefficient levels off with the linear slope of 0.012′10^(-3) for higher wind speeds(less than 34 m s^(-1)) and the new parameterization improvese the simulation accuracy compared with the Wu(1982) default used in SWAN. 展开更多
关键词 drag COEFFICIENT SWAN high wind SPEED typhoon
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Analysis of typhoon wind hazard in Shenzhen City by Monte-Carlo Simulation 被引量:2
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作者 GUO Yunxia HOU Yijun QI Peng 《Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第6期1994-2013,共20页
As one of the most serious natural disasters,many typhoons affect southeastern China every year.Taking Shenzhen,a coastal city in southeast China as an example,we employed a Monte-Carlo simulation to generate a large ... As one of the most serious natural disasters,many typhoons affect southeastern China every year.Taking Shenzhen,a coastal city in southeast China as an example,we employed a Monte-Carlo simulation to generate a large number of virtual typhoons for wind hazard analysis.By analyzing 67-year historical typhoons data from 1949 to 2015 using the Best Track Dataset for Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific recorded by the Shanghai Typhoon Institute,China Meteorological Administration(CMASTI),typhoon characteristic parameters were extracted and optimal statistical distributions established for the parameters in relation to Shenzhen.We employed the Monte-Carlo method to sample each distribution to generate the characteristic parameters of virtual typhoons.In addition,the Yah Meng(YM)wind field model was introduced,and the sensitivity of the YM model to several parameters discussed.Using the YM wind field model,extreme wind speeds were extracted from the virtual typhoons.The extreme wind speeds for different return periods were predicted and compared with the current structural code to provide improved wind load information for wind-resistant structural design. 展开更多
关键词 typhoon HAZARD ANALYSIS Monte-Carlo simulation wind field model EXTREME wind SPEED
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Construction of the sea surface wind field of Typhoon Chaba based on wind field model and CMEMS data
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作者 Zijing OU Tianyu ZHANG +5 位作者 Danchen YAN Yulin WANG Junping ZHANG Hao NING Cheng CHI Lengjian CHEN 《Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 2025年第6期1754-1768,共15页
Typhoon Chaba was the most intense typhoon to strike western Guangdong since Typhoon Mujigae in 2015.According to the National Disaster Reduction Center of China,in the morning of July 7,2022,over 1.5 million people i... Typhoon Chaba was the most intense typhoon to strike western Guangdong since Typhoon Mujigae in 2015.According to the National Disaster Reduction Center of China,in the morning of July 7,2022,over 1.5 million people in Guangdong,Guangxi,and Hainan were affected by Typhoon Chaba.The typhoon also caused the“Fukui 001”ship to be in distress in the waters near Yangjiang,Guangdong,on July 2,resulting in big casualties.Studies have indicated that wind field forecast for Typhoon Chaba was not accurate.To better simulate typhoon events and assess their impacts,we proposed the use of a model wind field(Fujita-Takahashi)integrated with the Copernicus Marine and Environmental Monitoring Service(CMEMS)data to reconstruct effectively the overall wind field of Typhoon Chaba.The simulation result aligns well with the observations,particularly at the Dashu Island Station,showing consistent trends in wind speed changes.However,certain limitations were noted.The model shows that the attenuation of wind speed is slower when typhoon neared land than that observed,indicating that the model has a high simulation accuracy for the ocean wind field,but may have deviations near coastal areas.The result is accurate for open sea but deviated for near land due to the land friction effect.Therefore,we recommend to adjust the model to improve the accuracy for near coasts. 展开更多
关键词 typhoon sea surface wind field typhoon Chaba fusion wind field model Copernicus Marine and Environmental Monitoring Service(CMEMS)wind field data
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An improved QuikSCAT wind retrieval algorithm and eye locating for typhoon 被引量:1
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作者 ZHONG Jian FEI Jianfang +2 位作者 HUANG Sixun DU Huadong ZHANG Liang 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第1期41-50,共10页
This paper proposes a rain considered geophysical model function (GMF), to be noted as GMF plus Rain. GMF plus Rain is based on the basic raidative transfer model with attenuation and scattering effects of rain on r... This paper proposes a rain considered geophysical model function (GMF), to be noted as GMF plus Rain. GMF plus Rain is based on the basic raidative transfer model with attenuation and scattering effects of rain on radar signal considered. Combined with the NSCAT2 GMF and the rain correction model, the GMF plus Rain model is used to retrieve the ocean wind vectors from the collocated QuikSCAT and SSM/I rain rate data for typhoon Melor. The resulting wind speed estimates of typhoon Melor show improved agreement with the wind fields derived from the best track analysis of Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). The results imply that compared with the GMF model, the GMF plus Rain model can improve the precision of wind retrieval under the rain condition. Then, a new general algorithm of locating the eye of typhoon through the normalized radar cross section (NRCS) is proposed. The implementation of this algorithm in the ten QuikSCAT observations of typhoon Melor suggests that this algorithm is effective. 展开更多
关键词 SCATTEROMETER radiative transfer model typhoon wind field locating the eye of typhoon
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Improving the wind and wave estimation of dual-frequency altimeter JASON1 in Typhoon Shanshan and considering the rain effects 被引量:6
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作者 YANG Le LIN Mingsen +2 位作者 ZOU Juhong LI Zhenghua PAN Delu 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第5期49-62,共14页
Altimetry data have been widely used in various fiehts of oceanography, including the extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones, typhoons, and hurricanes. The performance of JASON1 in Typhoon Shanshan is assess... Altimetry data have been widely used in various fiehts of oceanography, including the extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones, typhoons, and hurricanes. The performance of JASON1 in Typhoon Shanshan is assessed by examining the sensor geophysical data record and illustrates how the measured return waveform, significant wave height, and backscatter are all affected by various factors associated with the typhoon, with details by the rain are illustrated. The correction method to maintain accurate wave height and wind speed measurements in Typhoon Shanshan and the results are presented. Furthermore, the additional results of rain rate and typhoon eye diameter can be retrieved. Because of the lack of in-situ measurements of wind, wave, and rain rate at Typhoon Shanshan, results are compared with the forecasted typhoon data and a good agreement is found. 展开更多
关键词 ALTIMETER WAVEFORM typhoon RAIN high wind speed
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NUMERICAL SIMULATION ON THE WIND FIELD STRUCTURE OF A MOUNTAINOUS AREA BESIDE SOUTH CHINA SEA DURING THE LANDFALL OF TYPHOON MOLAVE 被引量:5
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作者 李磊 陈柏纬 +2 位作者 胡非 张立杰 柳艳香 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2014年第1期66-73,共8页
Leveraging the commercial CFD software FLUENT,the fine-scale three-dimensional wind structure over the Paiya Mountains on the Dapeng Peninsula near Shenzhen,a city on the seashore of South China Sea,during the landfal... Leveraging the commercial CFD software FLUENT,the fine-scale three-dimensional wind structure over the Paiya Mountains on the Dapeng Peninsula near Shenzhen,a city on the seashore of South China Sea,during the landfall of Typhoon Molave has been simulated and analyzed.Through the study,a conceptual wind structure model for mountainous areas under strong wind condition is established and the following conclusions are obtained as follows:(1)FLUENT can reasonably simulate a three-dimensional wind structure over mountainous areas under strong wind conditions;(2)the kinetic effect of a mountain can intensify wind speed in the windward side of the mountain and the area over the mountain peak;and(3)in the leeward side of the mountain,wind speed is relatively lower with relatively stronger wind shear and turbulence. 展开更多
关键词 typhoon numerical simulation wind structure SHENZHEN mountainous area
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Diurnal wind and nonlinear interaction between inertial and tidal currents in the South China Sea during the passage of Typhoon Conson 被引量:5
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作者 LIU Junliang CAI Shuqun WANG Shengan 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第5期1-7,共7页
Diurnal wind (DW) and nonlinear interaction between inertial and tidal currents near the Xisha Islands of the South China Sea (SCS) during the passage of Typhoon Conson (2010) are investigated using observationa... Diurnal wind (DW) and nonlinear interaction between inertial and tidal currents near the Xisha Islands of the South China Sea (SCS) during the passage of Typhoon Conson (2010) are investigated using observational data and a damped slab model. It is found that the DWs, which are dominated by clockwise wind components, are prominent at our observational site. The DWs increase after the passage of the typhoon from 1 to about 4 m/s, which may be due to the decrease of the sea surface temperature caused by the passage of the typhoon. Kinetic energy spectra and bicoherence methods reveal nonlinear interactions between the inertial currents and the 2MK3 tidal constituent at our observational site. The slab damped model reproduces the inertial currents successfully induced by the total observed winds, and it is shown that the inertial currents induced by DWs are positively proportional to the DWs speed. Even though the observed inertial currents are distinct, the proportion of inertial currents induced by DWs to those induced by the total observed winds is just 0.7%/4% before/after the passage of typhoon. This shows that the inertial currents induced by the DWs are unimportant near the Xisha Islands during the typhoon season. 展开更多
关键词 diurnal winds typhoon inertial currents nonlinear interaction slab damped models
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The research on boundary layer evolution characteristics of Typhoon Usagi based on observations by wind profilers 被引量:3
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作者 LIAO Fei DENG Hua +1 位作者 GAO Zhiqiu CHAN Pak-wai 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第9期39-44,共6页
Vertically exploring the characteristics of the typhoon boundary layer(TBL) plays an important role in recognizing typhoon structure. The boundary layer radial direction and tangential wind characteristics of Typhoo... Vertically exploring the characteristics of the typhoon boundary layer(TBL) plays an important role in recognizing typhoon structure. The boundary layer radial direction and tangential wind characteristics of Typhoon Usagi based on the observational data of three boundary layer wind profiler stations along the route of Typhoon Usagi(No. 1319) and by combining with sounding data. The results show that:(1) maximum tangential wind appears in the vicinity of the eye area of Usagi, and it basically maintains a height of around 1 800 m when Usagi keeps a strong typhoon level, with the rapidly decreasing strength of Usagi after it lands, the speed of the maximum tangential wind and its vertical range both decrease;(2) the height of the maximum tangential wind is close to that of the inflow layer top of the typhoon, and is greater than that of the boundary layer estimated on the basis of Richardson number or potential temperature gradient, while the height of mixed layer judged on the basis of the signal-to-noise ratio(SNR) or its gradient is usually low;(3) the the boundary layer height can reach higher than2 100 m before Usagi lands. When the typhoon level or above is achieved, the boundary layer height observed by various stations does not change much, basically staying at between 1 200 and 1 600 m. With the decreasing strength of Usagi after its landfall, the boundary layer height rapidly drops. 展开更多
关键词 typhoon boundary layer height wind profiler SOUNDING
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Near ground wind characteristics during typhoon Meari:Turbulence intensities, gust factors, and peak factors 被引量:1
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作者 WANG Xu HUANG Peng +1 位作者 YU Xian-feng HUANG Chao 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第10期2421-2430,共10页
Wind data were collected during the 2011 typhoon Meari at heights of 10, 20, 30, and 40 m above the ground using a 40 m high anemometer tower in the coastal area near Shanghai Pudong International Airport. Wind speeds... Wind data were collected during the 2011 typhoon Meari at heights of 10, 20, 30, and 40 m above the ground using a 40 m high anemometer tower in the coastal area near Shanghai Pudong International Airport. Wind speeds and directions, turbulence intensities, gust factors, and peaks were analyzed using the time records of wind speed. The results show that turbulence intensity components in longitudinal, lateral, and vertical directions decrease with mean wind speed, regardless of elevations, and the turbulence intensities are in a linear relationship with mean wind speeds. The ratios of three turbulence intensity components(i.e. Iu, Iv, Iw) at heights of 10, 20 and 40 m were calculated and equal to be 1:0.88:0.50, 1:0.84:0.57, and 1:0.9:0.49, respectively. In addition, the gust factors in three directions exhibit a reduction with increasing mean wind speed. The peak factors at different heights show a similar trend and slightly decrease with mean wind speed; average peak factors for all 10-min data from Typhoon Meari are 2.43, 2.48, and 2.47, respectively. 展开更多
关键词 typhoon Meari wind characteristics TURBULENCE intensity GUST FACTOR peak FACTOR
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CORRECTION OF ASYMMETRIC STRENGTHENING OF QUIKSCAT WIND FIELD AND ASSIMILATION APPLICATION IN TYPHOON SIMULATION 被引量:4
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作者 王亮 陆汉城 +1 位作者 潘晓滨 张云 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2009年第1期78-82,共5页
As an approach to the technological problem that the wind data of QuikSCAT scatterometer cannot accurately describe the zone of typhoon-level strong wind speed, some objective factors such as the typhoon moving speed,... As an approach to the technological problem that the wind data of QuikSCAT scatterometer cannot accurately describe the zone of typhoon-level strong wind speed, some objective factors such as the typhoon moving speed, direction and friction are introduced in this study to construct the asymmetric strengthening of the QuikSCAT wind field. Then by adopting a technology of four-dimensional data assimilation, an experiment that includes both the assimilation and forecasting phases is designed to simulate Typhoon Rananim numerically. The results show that with model constraints and adjustment, this technology can incorporate the QuikSCAT wind data to the entire column of the model atmosphere, improve greatly the simulating effects of the whole-column wind, pressure field and the track as well as the simulated typhoon intensity covered by the forecast phase, and work positively for the forecasting of landfall locations. 展开更多
关键词 Numerical simulation typhoon forecast data assimilation QuikSCAT wind field asymmetric bogus model
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Analysis of Special Strong Wind and Severe Rainstorm Caused by Typhoon Rammasun in Guangxi, China 被引量:1
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作者 Xiakun Zhang Jian Chen +2 位作者 Zhenquan Lai Liping Zhai Mo Lin 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2017年第8期235-251,共17页
Based on conventional meteorological observation data, NCEP 1° × 1° reanalysis data, reanalysis data with resolution 0.75° × 0.75° from ECMWF and Doppler weather radar, we analyzed the we... Based on conventional meteorological observation data, NCEP 1° × 1° reanalysis data, reanalysis data with resolution 0.75° × 0.75° from ECMWF and Doppler weather radar, we analyzed the weather conditions and physical characteristics of Super Typhoon Rammasun (1409), which caused special strong wind and severe rainstorm in Guangxi. The results show that: 1) Typhoon Rammasun offshore sudden strengthening in one of the main reasons was that loop pressure ridge superimposed into the westward extension of subtropical high, to making enable rapid strengthening of the subtropical high, so the subtropical high advanced faster than the Rammasun move, Rammasun center of the subtropical high distance reduced and the gradient increased;2) Rammasun northward to south china coast with plenty of vapor following ITCZ, before landing, southwest monsoon and cross-equatorial flow were involved, Rammasun got latent heat of monsoon jet, enabling it to strengthen in offshore;3) Rammasun from the Qiongzhou Strait into the northern Gulf, therefore the Strait of short passages and both sides belong to the low zone, friction consumption smaller, that was the main reason what was able to maintain the strength of the super typhoon, when Rammasun into the Beibu Gulf;4) Diagnostic analysis shows that Rammasun before entering the northern Gulf and into the Beibu Gulf later, vorticity weakened, divergence and vapor flux divergence changed were smaller, meanwhile, vertical ascent speed and latent heat transport both increased, which was important reason of severe rainstorm caused by Rammasun. 展开更多
关键词 typhoon Rammasun Strong wind SEVERE RAINSTORM CAUSE ANALYSIS GUANGXI
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A STUDY ON THE APPLICATION OF FY-2E CLOUD DRIFT WIND HEIGHT REASSIGNMENT IN NUMERICAL FORECAST OF TYPHOON CHANTHU(1003) TRACK 被引量:2
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作者 李昊睿 丁伟钰 +2 位作者 薛纪善 陈子通 高郁东 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2015年第1期34-42,共9页
In this paper, we first analyzed cloud drift wind(CDW) data distribution in the vertical direction, and then reassigned the height of every CDW in the research domain in terms of background information, and finally, c... In this paper, we first analyzed cloud drift wind(CDW) data distribution in the vertical direction, and then reassigned the height of every CDW in the research domain in terms of background information, and finally, conducted contrast numerical experiments of assimilating the CDW data before and after reassignment to examine the impacts on the forecast of the track of Typhoon Chanthu(1003) from 00:00(Coordinated Universal Time) 21 July to 00:00 UTC23 July, 2010. The analysis results of the CDW data indicate that the number of CDWs is mainly distributed in the midand upper-troposphere above 500 h Pa, with the maximum number at about 300 h Pa. The height reassigning method mentioned in this work may update the height effectively, and the CDW data are distributed reasonably and no obvious contradiction occurs in the horizontal direction after height reassignment. After assimilating the height-reassigned CDW data, especially the water vapor CDW data, the initial wind field around Typhoon Chanthu(1003) became more reasonable, and then the steering current leading the typhoon to move to the correct location became stronger. As a result, the numerical track predictions are improved. 展开更多
关键词 height reassignment cloud drift wind variational assimilation typhoon track GRAPES
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Comparison Study on Wind Input and Whitecapping Dissipation Expressions in Numerical Simulation of Typhoon-Generated Waves 被引量:1
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作者 葛义军 钟中 +1 位作者 张金善 蒋小平 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI 2008年第4期635-647,共13页
In order to investigate the effect of wind input and whitecapping dissipation on the simulation of typhoon-waves, three experiments are conducted with the latest version of SWAN (Simulating WAves Nearshore) model. T... In order to investigate the effect of wind input and whitecapping dissipation on the simulation of typhoon-waves, three experiments are conducted with the latest version of SWAN (Simulating WAves Nearshore) model. The three experiments adopt the Komen, Janssens, and Westhuysen expressions for wind input and whitecapping dissipation, respectively. Besides the above-mentioned source tems, other parameterization schemes in these experiments are the same. It shows that the experiment with the Westhuysen expression result in the least simulation errors while that with the Janssens expression has the most. The results from the experiments with Komen and Westhuysen expressions show that the differenees in significant wave height (SWH) have a good correlation with the differences in dissipation energy caused by whiteeapping. This indicates that the whitecapping dissipation source term plays an important role in the resultant differences of the simulated SWH between the two experiments. 展开更多
关键词 wind input whitecapping dissipation SWAN typhoon-generated waves
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FY-3E/WindRAD风场产品检验及台风适应性评估
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作者 崔林丽 郭巍 +1 位作者 史军 陈旻豪 《红外》 2025年第5期31-37,共7页
卫星反演的洋面风场对全球台风灾害监测具有重要的指示意义和实用价值。利用上海市气象局3个海洋浮标站海面风场观测资料以及国内外同类卫星产品,对风云三号E星(FY-3E)的风场测量雷达(WindRAD)产品进行了精度检验,并结合2022年6月至2023... 卫星反演的洋面风场对全球台风灾害监测具有重要的指示意义和实用价值。利用上海市气象局3个海洋浮标站海面风场观测资料以及国内外同类卫星产品,对风云三号E星(FY-3E)的风场测量雷达(WindRAD)产品进行了精度检验,并结合2022年6月至2023年9月影响上海地区的3个台风个例进行了风场产品应用能力评估。结果表明,FY-3E/WindRAD能够较好地刻画台风的基本风圈结构特征;与浮标站实测结果相比,FY-3E/WindRAD风速反演结果基本达到业务化应用的精度要求。与国际同类风场反演结果相比,其台风风圈结构信息和最大风速信息随时间的变化规律具有较好的一致性。研究结果对FY-3E/WindRAD风场产品应用和分析具有重要的参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 FY-3E/windRAD 洋面风场 产品检验 台风应用 浮标站
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输电线路导线的台风竖向风荷载简化设计研究
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作者 郑江 林苗 《电力勘测设计》 2026年第1期47-56,共10页
作用于输电线路导线上的台风风荷载包括水平风荷载及由纵向风力与向上吸力所构成的竖向风荷载。竖向风荷载与导线的自重力方向相反。在现行输电线路导线的台风风荷载设计中,仅取台风的水平风速为最大风速计算水平风荷载,不考虑竖向风荷... 作用于输电线路导线上的台风风荷载包括水平风荷载及由纵向风力与向上吸力所构成的竖向风荷载。竖向风荷载与导线的自重力方向相反。在现行输电线路导线的台风风荷载设计中,仅取台风的水平风速为最大风速计算水平风荷载,不考虑竖向风荷载的影响,存在设计漏洞。文章分析输电线路导线的台风风荷载,提出台风的竖向风荷载简化设计方法,并应用于绝缘子串的台风风偏摇摆角设计。该方法取竖向风荷载近似等于台风水平风荷载的10%~20%简化设计。220 kV线路的算例表明,考虑竖向风荷载的影响后,绝缘子串的风偏摇摆角增大了7%~15%,有可能从横向对杆塔、纵向对横担发生台风暴雨闪络。忽略竖向风荷载有可能是现有绝缘子串摇摆角不抗台风暴雨的原因。 展开更多
关键词 输电线路 竖向风荷载 水平风荷载 绝缘子串的台风风偏摇摆角
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台风影响下东南沿海山地风电场尾流与功率特征研究
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作者 董彦斌 李德顺 李仁年 《浙江大学学报(工学版)》 北大核心 2026年第2期240-247,共8页
以2018年第8号台风“玛莉亚”为背景,基于中尺度天气预报模式(WRF)耦合风电场参数化模型,研究东南沿海复杂山地地形风电场在台风影响下的尾流与功率特征.结果表明,在台风外围环流影响阶段(低风速条件下),地形效应对风电场来流产生显著... 以2018年第8号台风“玛莉亚”为背景,基于中尺度天气预报模式(WRF)耦合风电场参数化模型,研究东南沿海复杂山地地形风电场在台风影响下的尾流与功率特征.结果表明,在台风外围环流影响阶段(低风速条件下),地形效应对风电场来流产生显著调制作用.当来流风向偏北时,1到4号机组受地形遮蔽效应影响,功率输出较21到24号机组降低约35%,风电场尾迹区的大气运动主要表现为水平输送特征.受复杂山地地形制约的风电场不规则布局,导致机组功率输出对来流风向变化极为敏感,相邻机组在风向微小变化下呈现显著的功率输出差异.在台风影响期间,整场来流风速增大,风电场满发,机组间尾流干涉对功率输出的影响较小. 展开更多
关键词 台风 风电场 尾流 功率输出 中尺度模式
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Estimation and Prediction of Typhoons and Wave Overtopping in Qingdao, China 被引量:6
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作者 WANG Zhifeng LI Songtao +2 位作者 HAO Yan MA Yan WU Kejian 《Journal of Ocean University of China》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2020年第5期1017-1028,共12页
This study aims to estimate and predict the impact of climate change on typhoons and wave overtopping during typhoon progresses in Qingdao, China. The SWAN wave model is used to simulate wave elements. The scale coeff... This study aims to estimate and predict the impact of climate change on typhoons and wave overtopping during typhoon progresses in Qingdao, China. The SWAN wave model is used to simulate wave elements. The scale coefficients of wave overtopping are estimated using an empirical prediction formula. A total of 75 tropical cyclones affected Qingdao from 1949 to 2019. These tropical cyclones can be grouped into eight categories according to typhoon tracks. Typhoon wind speed during Track G is projected to decrease, and those of the other seven typhoon progresses will increase by 0.35% – 0.75% in 2025, 0.69% – 1.5% in 2035, and 1.38% – 3.0% in 2055. The significant wave height and wave overtopping outside the bay are greater than those inside the bay. Among the 506 typical points selected, the maximum values of the significant wave height and wave overtopping inside the bay are mainly distributed in the range of 0 – 2 m and 0 – 60 m^3 km^(-1) s^(-1), respectively. The increments of the significant wave height and wave overtopping of Track F are most obvious. The significant wave height of Track F will increase by 50.5% in 2025, 51.8% in 2035, and 53.4% in 2055. In the 2℃ scenario, the maximum value of wave overtopping of Track F will increase by 21.9% in 2025, 24.3% in 2035, and 29.5% in 2055. In the 4℃ scenario, the maximum value of wave overtopping of Track F will increase by 21.9% in 2025, 24.3% in 2035, and 29.5% in 2055. 展开更多
关键词 climate change typhoon wind typhoon wave wave overtopping Qingdao
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基于嵌套Copula的台风-浪-流三维联合概率建模
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作者 戴靠山 程浩 +1 位作者 张元博 盛超 《东南大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第1期30-39,共10页
针对台风风速、显著浪高和海流速度相关特性及其联合概率建模研究不足的问题,提出了一种基于阿基米德型嵌套Copula的台风-浪-流三维联合概率建模方法,并验证其在多元极值联合建模中的适用性与准确性。以我国珠三角海域2个典型近海场地为... 针对台风风速、显著浪高和海流速度相关特性及其联合概率建模研究不足的问题,提出了一种基于阿基米德型嵌套Copula的台风-浪-流三维联合概率建模方法,并验证其在多元极值联合建模中的适用性与准确性。以我国珠三角海域2个典型近海场地为例,构建了SWAN+ADCIRC的物理耦合数值模型,获取了1988—2023年极值样本数据。结果表明,台风平均风速、显著浪高与海表面平均流速之间存在较强的相关性,台风平均风速与显著浪高的年最大值线性相关系数最大可达0.9605。台风-浪-流极值依赖结构及其最优嵌套Copula模型具有显著的场地特异性,且环境等值面形状随场地变化明显。环境等值面上不同变量最大值的伴随值具有敏感性,其中海表面平均流速的变异性最强,可达40%。 展开更多
关键词 台风-浪-流 SWAN+ADCIRC 嵌套Copula 联合概率建模 环境等值面
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基于台风工程模型模拟数据和观测数据的浙江台风风区划方法研究
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作者 赵伟 李颖 浦静姣 《气象科技》 2026年第1期118-128,共11页
为提高台风风区划的精度和准确度,提出了一种基于观测和模拟数据的台风风区划方法。该方法利用参数化台风工程模型模拟影响浙江的近30 a(1993—2022年)台风个例的过程最大风速,并基于广义帕雷托分布(GPD)极值I型分布推算,得到不同重现期... 为提高台风风区划的精度和准确度,提出了一种基于观测和模拟数据的台风风区划方法。该方法利用参数化台风工程模型模拟影响浙江的近30 a(1993—2022年)台风个例的过程最大风速,并基于广义帕雷托分布(GPD)极值I型分布推算,得到不同重现期1 km×1 km的格点台风过程最大风速模拟值。将台风工程模型模拟的过程最大风速和观测的过程最大风速融合应用于台风风区划图绘制,得到台风风区划图。通过与基于气象站观测数据的浙江台风风设计图对比,验证了新方法在台风风区划中适用性。结果表明:通过对菲特和黑格比台风最大风速的模拟并分析菲特和黑格比台风的模拟效果,参数化台风工程模型适用于浙江台风过程最大风速的模拟。与单一利用模拟数据或者观测数据绘制的图相比,融合两者数据绘制风区图的方法,既能提升风区图的空间分辨率,又能保持风区图的可靠性。 展开更多
关键词 台风工程模型 台风 风区划 菲特 黑格比
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大跨斜拉桥在台风风场作用下的涡振效应分析
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作者 李权 《建材世界》 2026年第1期56-58,63,共4页
为评估台风对大跨斜拉桥结构状态影响,文中依托桥面三维风速风向的监测数据,分析了风速与风向动态演变规律,对比了台风前日常运营阶段与台风后涡振易诱发阶段的涡振特征参数的变化。研究结果显示,台风期间桥面风速急剧攀升,但在风速达... 为评估台风对大跨斜拉桥结构状态影响,文中依托桥面三维风速风向的监测数据,分析了风速与风向动态演变规律,对比了台风前日常运营阶段与台风后涡振易诱发阶段的涡振特征参数的变化。研究结果显示,台风期间桥面风速急剧攀升,但在风速达到峰值后32 h后,风速与风向均呈现出高度稳定的状态,为主梁涡激振动提供了环境基础。台风过后桥面风速风向趋于稳定的时间段内,主梁10 min加速度均方根、能量比、振幅相似比三个涡振识别参数均未出现明显变化,未发现明显涡激振动事件。 展开更多
关键词 大跨度斜拉桥 台风风场 涡振效应
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