A typhoon leading is an important natural disaster to many disasters to China. A giant wave caused by it has brought large threat for an offshore project. Based on the maximum entropy principle,one new model which has...A typhoon leading is an important natural disaster to many disasters to China. A giant wave caused by it has brought large threat for an offshore project. Based on the maximum entropy principle,one new model which has 4 undetermined parameters is constructed,which is called the discrete maximum entropy probabilistic model. In practical applications,the design wave height is considered as soon as possible in a typhoon affected sea areas,the result fits the observed data well. Further more this model does not have the priority compared with other distributions as Poisson distribution. The model provides a theoretical basis for the engineering design more reasonable when considering typhoon factors comprehensively.展开更多
A new compound distribution model for extreme wave heights of typhoon-affected sea areas is proposed on the basis of the maximum-entropy principle. The new model is formed by nesting a discrete distribution in a conti...A new compound distribution model for extreme wave heights of typhoon-affected sea areas is proposed on the basis of the maximum-entropy principle. The new model is formed by nesting a discrete distribution in a continuous one, having eight parameters which can be determined in terms of observed data of typhoon occurrence-frequency and extreme wave heights by numerically solving two sets of equations derived in this paper. The model is examined by using it to predict the N-year return-period wave height at two hydrology stations in the Yellow Sea, and the predicted results are compared with those predicted by use of some other compound distribution models. Examinations and comparisons show that the model has some advantages for predicting the N-year return-period wave height in typhoon-affected sea areas.展开更多
Typhoon-generated waves pose a serious threat to the development of offshore wind power; therefore typical wave parameters caused by typhoon near Donghai Bridge, a demonstration area of offshore wind farm, were analys...Typhoon-generated waves pose a serious threat to the development of offshore wind power; therefore typical wave parameters caused by typhoon near Donghai Bridge, a demonstration area of offshore wind farm, were analysed. We pay particular attention to the dissipation term which is one of the source terms of governing equation for windwave evolution in WAVEWATCH llI. Anisotropic energy dissipation in the wave propagation direction is considered and further applied in our model. A good agreement is observed by comparison with in situ data. Furthermore, the new improved model is used to simulate and forecast wave evolution caused by Chan-Hom （201509）. The evolution of typical wave parameters i.e. significant wave height and mean wave period were discussed in the East China Sea, especially near Donghai Bridge.展开更多
基金Open Fund of the Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting under contract No. LOMF1101the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No. 40776006Shanghai Typhoon Research Fund under contract No. 2009ST05
文摘A typhoon leading is an important natural disaster to many disasters to China. A giant wave caused by it has brought large threat for an offshore project. Based on the maximum entropy principle,one new model which has 4 undetermined parameters is constructed,which is called the discrete maximum entropy probabilistic model. In practical applications,the design wave height is considered as soon as possible in a typhoon affected sea areas,the result fits the observed data well. Further more this model does not have the priority compared with other distributions as Poisson distribution. The model provides a theoretical basis for the engineering design more reasonable when considering typhoon factors comprehensively.
基金supported by the Open Fund of the Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting (Grant No.LOMF1101)the Shanghai Typhoon Research Fund (Grant No. 2009ST05)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No. 40776006)
文摘A new compound distribution model for extreme wave heights of typhoon-affected sea areas is proposed on the basis of the maximum-entropy principle. The new model is formed by nesting a discrete distribution in a continuous one, having eight parameters which can be determined in terms of observed data of typhoon occurrence-frequency and extreme wave heights by numerically solving two sets of equations derived in this paper. The model is examined by using it to predict the N-year return-period wave height at two hydrology stations in the Yellow Sea, and the predicted results are compared with those predicted by use of some other compound distribution models. Examinations and comparisons show that the model has some advantages for predicting the N-year return-period wave height in typhoon-affected sea areas.
基金supported by the National Science Foundation for the Youth of China (11102212)the State Key Program of National Science of China (11232012)
文摘Typhoon-generated waves pose a serious threat to the development of offshore wind power; therefore typical wave parameters caused by typhoon near Donghai Bridge, a demonstration area of offshore wind farm, were analysed. We pay particular attention to the dissipation term which is one of the source terms of governing equation for windwave evolution in WAVEWATCH llI. Anisotropic energy dissipation in the wave propagation direction is considered and further applied in our model. A good agreement is observed by comparison with in situ data. Furthermore, the new improved model is used to simulate and forecast wave evolution caused by Chan-Hom （201509）. The evolution of typical wave parameters i.e. significant wave height and mean wave period were discussed in the East China Sea, especially near Donghai Bridge.
