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基于混合Nested Logit模型的用户需求估计
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作者 罗陈斌 薛巍立 张莲民 《管理工程学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期270-283,共14页
收益管理中,估计用户需求是产品品类管理、产品定价等后续优化工作的首要任务。准确地对用户的选择行为进行刻画和建模,可以帮助企业提升运营管理决策效果。在线零售环境下,用户的产品点击、购买、离开等行为都会被准确地记录下来。然而... 收益管理中,估计用户需求是产品品类管理、产品定价等后续优化工作的首要任务。准确地对用户的选择行为进行刻画和建模,可以帮助企业提升运营管理决策效果。在线零售环境下,用户的产品点击、购买、离开等行为都会被准确地记录下来。然而,很少有研究对用户购买前的离散行为进行刻画。并且,现有方法多使用单一模型分析所有用户的选择,忽略了用户选择行为的异质性。因此,本文提出混合Nested Logit模型,在考虑用户异质性的基础上,对用户两阶段选择行为进行刻画,将用户分类和类内选择构建在同一框架内。为同时估计选择模型参数并识别用户类型,本文使用EM算法求解模型参数。结果显示,EM算法能有效提升估计效率,并且保证结果的收敛性。本文使用京东移动应用程序(App)的零售数据进行实证研究。结果显示,在数据稀疏程度较高的情况下,本文模型的预测准确度平均比基准模型高13.71%,说明考虑用户异质性和多阶段选择能更准确地刻画用户选择行为;进一步将需求估计结果应用于产品品类管理策略制定上,结果显示,本文模型生成的产品品类所带来的收益平均比基准模型高5.11%,这进一步说明,在线环境中不准确的用户行为刻画会导致次优的运营决策。 展开更多
关键词 离散选择模型 混合nested Logit模型 需求估计 EM算法
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Joint inversion of gravity and magnetic data for a two-layer model 被引量:2
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作者 江凡 吴健生 王家林 《Applied Geophysics》 SCIE CSCD 2008年第4期331-339,共9页
Based on the synchronous joint gravity and magnetic inversion of single interface by Pilkington and the need of revealing Cenozoic and crystalline basement thickness in the new round of oil-gas exploration, we propose... Based on the synchronous joint gravity and magnetic inversion of single interface by Pilkington and the need of revealing Cenozoic and crystalline basement thickness in the new round of oil-gas exploration, we propose a joint gravity and magnetic inversion methodfor two-layer models by concentrating on the relationship between the change of thicknessI and position of the middle layer and anomaly and discuss the effects of the key parameters. Model tests and application to field data show the validity of this method. 展开更多
关键词 two-layer model joint inversion of gravity and magnetic data Cenozoic andcrystalline basement
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Effects of Nested Area Size upon Regional Climate Model Simulations 被引量:3
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作者 刘华强 钱永甫 郑益群 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2002年第1期111-120,共10页
This paper presents a numerical study on the 1998 summer rainfall over the Yangtze River valley in central and eastern China, addressing effect of a nested area size on simulations in terms of the technique of nesting... This paper presents a numerical study on the 1998 summer rainfall over the Yangtze River valley in central and eastern China, addressing effect of a nested area size on simulations in terms of the technique of nesting a regional climate model (RCM) upon a general circulation model (GCM). Evidence suggests that the size exerts greater impacts upon regional climate of the country, revealing that a larger nested size is superior to a small one for simulation in mitigating errors of GCM-provided lateral boundary forcing. Also, simulations show that the RCM should incorporate regions of climate systems of great importance into study and a low-resolution GCM yields more pronounced errors as a rule when used in the research of the Tibetan Plateau, and, in contrast, our P&#963;RCM can do a good job in describing the plateau’s role in a more realistic and accurate way. It is for this reason that the tableland should be included in the nested area when the RCM is employed to investigate the regional climate. Our P&#963;RCM nesting upon a GCM reaches more realistic results compared to a single GCM used. 展开更多
关键词 Regional climate model Atmospheric general circulation model nestING
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Asymptotic solution of a weak nonlinear model for the mid-latitude stationary wind field of a two-layer barotropic ocean 被引量:8
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作者 林万涛 张宇 莫嘉琪 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第3期72-78,共7页
A weak nonlinear model of a two-layer barotropic ocean with Rayleigh dissipation is built.The analytic asymptotic solution is derived in the mid-latitude stationary wind field,and the physical meaning of the correspon... A weak nonlinear model of a two-layer barotropic ocean with Rayleigh dissipation is built.The analytic asymptotic solution is derived in the mid-latitude stationary wind field,and the physical meaning of the corresponding problem is discussed. 展开更多
关键词 two-layer barotropic ocean ocean model asymptotic solution
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NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF THE KUROSHIO USING NESTED MODEL OF THREE-DIMENSIONAL BAROCLINIC CIRCULATION 被引量:1
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作者 李毓湘 蔡怡 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1999年第1期19-27,10,共10页
As a western boundary current, the Kuroshio is closely related to the large scale oceanic circulation and at the same time, is greatly influenced by the local topography because of its narrow width. Numerical studies ... As a western boundary current, the Kuroshio is closely related to the large scale oceanic circulation and at the same time, is greatly influenced by the local topography because of its narrow width. Numerical studies of the Kuroshio are usually confined to portions of it in different geographical regions since the computer execution time required to run a numerical model of the Pacific using a sufficiently fine grid to resolve adequately the flow structure of the Kuroshio is enormous. In order to circumvent the problems of multiple spatial scales and consistent boundary conditions, nested models are employed in which a coarse grid model of the Pacific is used to supply the open boundary conditions for a finer grid model of the northwestern Pacific to simulate the flow and temperature fields of the Kuroshio in summer and winter. The major features of the Kuroshio have in general been successfully simulated by the nested models. 展开更多
关键词 KUROSHIO nested model NUMERICAL simulation
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Effect of the Coefficient on the Performance of A Two-Layer Boussinesq- Type Model 被引量:2
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作者 SUN Jia-wen LIU Zhong-bo +3 位作者 WANG Xing-gang FANG Ke-zhao DU Xin-yuan WANG Ping 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第1期36-47,共12页
The coefficients embodied in a Boussinesq-type model are very important since they are determined to optimize the linear and nonlinear properties.In most conventional Boussinesq-type models,these coefficients are assi... The coefficients embodied in a Boussinesq-type model are very important since they are determined to optimize the linear and nonlinear properties.In most conventional Boussinesq-type models,these coefficients are assigned the specific values.As for the multi-layer Boussinesq-type models with the inclusion of the vertical velocity,however,the effect of the different values of these coefficients on linear and nonlinear performances has never been investigated yet.The present study focuses on a two-layer Boussinesq-type model with the highest spatial derivatives being 2 and theoretically and numerically examines the effect of the coefficient on model performance.Theoretical analysis show that different values for(0.13≤α≤0.25)do not have great effects on the high accuracy of the linear shoaling,linear phase celerity and even third-order nonlinearity for water depth range of 0<kh≤10(k is wave number and h is water depth).The corresponding errors using different values are restricted within 0.1%,0.1%and 1%for the linear shoaling amplitude,dispersion and nonlinear harmonics,respectively.Numerical tests including regular wave shoaling over mildly varying slope from deep to shallow water,regular wave propagation over submerged bar,bichromatic wave group and focusing wave propagation over deep water are conducted.The comparison between numerical results using different values of,experimental data and analytical solutions confirm the theoretical analysis.The flexibility and consistency of the two-layer Boussinesq-type model is therefore demonstrated theoretically and numerically. 展开更多
关键词 two-layer Boussinesq-type model dispersion nonlinear properties shoaling amplitude
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Nested Bethe Ansatz for Spin Ladder Model with Open Boundary Conditions 被引量:2
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作者 WUJun-Fang ZHANGChun-Min +1 位作者 YUERui-Hong LIRun-Ling 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2005年第4期687-694,共8页
The nested Bethe ansatz (BA) method is applied to find the eigenvalues and the eigenvectors of the transfer matrix for spin-ladder model with open boundary conditions. Based on the reflection equation, we find the gen... The nested Bethe ansatz (BA) method is applied to find the eigenvalues and the eigenvectors of the transfer matrix for spin-ladder model with open boundary conditions. Based on the reflection equation, we find the general diagonal solution, which determines the generalboundary interaction in the Hamiltonian. We introduce the spin-ladder model with open boundary conditions. By finding the solution K± of the reflection equation which determines the nontrivial boundary terms in the Hamiltonian, we diagonalize the transfer matrix of the spin-ladder model with open boundary conditions in the framework of nested BA. 展开更多
关键词 integrable model coordinate bethe ansatz quantum inverse scattering method bethe ansatz equation nested bethe ansatz
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Climate Simulations Based on a Different-GridNested and Coupled Model 被引量:1
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作者 丹 利 季劲钧 李银鹏 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2002年第3期487-498,共12页
An atmosphere-vegetation interaction model (AVIM) has been coupled with a nine-layer General Cir culation Model (GCM) of Institute of Atmospheic Physics / State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sci... An atmosphere-vegetation interaction model (AVIM) has been coupled with a nine-layer General Cir culation Model (GCM) of Institute of Atmospheic Physics / State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (IAP/ LASG), which is rhomboidally truncated at zonal wave number 15, to simulate global climatic mean states. AVIM is a model having inter-feedback between land surface processes and eco-physiological processes on land. As the first step to couple land with atmosphere completely, the physiological processes are fixed and only the physical part (generally named the SVAT (soil-vegetation-atmosphere-transfer scheme) model) of AVIM is nested into IAP/ LASG L9R15 GCM. The ocean part of GCM is prescribed and its monthly sea surface temperature (SST) is the climatic mean value. With respect to the low resolution of GCM, i.e., each grid cell having lon gitude 7.5?and latitude 4.5? the vegetation is given a high resolution of 1.5?by 1.5?to nest and couple the fine grid cells of land with the coarse grid cells of atmosphere. The coupling model has been integrated for 15 years and its last ten-year mean of outputs was chosen for analysis.Compared with observed data and NCEP reanalysis, the coupled model simulates the main characteris tics of global atmospheric circulation and the fields of temperature and moisture. In particular, the simu lated precipitation and surface air temperature have sound results. The work creates a solid base on coupling climate models with the biosphere. 展开更多
关键词 Land surface process (LSP) General circulation model (GCM) nesting and coupling. Climatesimulation
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A BOUNDARY NESTING SCHEME OF LIMITED AREA MODEL NESTED WITH GLOBAL MODEL FOR FORECASTING TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER SOUTH CHINA SEA
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作者 万齐林 王康玲 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 1998年第1期1-7,共7页
Today, the nested model is used widely. The effect and role of each nested variate is analyzed in this paper. It is found that the forecast could benefit by nesting part of the variates and the effect of each of the v... Today, the nested model is used widely. The effect and role of each nested variate is analyzed in this paper. It is found that the forecast could benefit by nesting part of the variates and the effect of each of the variates may be different. Therefore, only the effectual variates are chosen for the nesting. According to this finding, a scheme is suggested and applied to the limited area mode (TL10) nested with global spectral mode (T63) for forecasting tropical cyclones over the South China Sea. A few numerical prediction tests show that this scheme is reasonable and efficient. 展开更多
关键词 nested model effect of nested variates NUMERICAL prediction test
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Impact of Large Fresh Water Discharges into Hakata Bay Due to Torrential Rain Using Nested Two-Dimensional Convective-Dispersive Model
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作者 A. Fukuda T. Tabata +2 位作者 Y. Honda K. Hiramatsu M. Harada 《Journal of Water Resource and Protection》 2017年第6期553-565,共13页
In this study, numerical simulation of a two-dimensional convective-dispersive model in Hakata Bay, Japan, is performed to analyze the impact of major river discharges due to torrential rain in Fukuoka City. Tank mode... In this study, numerical simulation of a two-dimensional convective-dispersive model in Hakata Bay, Japan, is performed to analyze the impact of major river discharges due to torrential rain in Fukuoka City. Tank models are applied to calculate river discharges, which are taken into consideration as river inflow in the hydrodynamic model of Hakata Bay. A two-way nesting “edge” technique is developed and applied in the model in order to consider the influence of narrow and complex geographical features. The area around “Island City” and Imazu Bay are calculated in high resolution. The resulting model has high reproducibility since the calculated river discharges, tidal current, and salinity show good agreement with observed data. To analyze the impact of large river discharges, the calculation period is set from 11 September 2002 to 21 September 2002 since there was torrential rain on September 16 in the given year in Fukuoka City (163.5 mm/d). The results show that low-salinity water covered the whole of the inner part of Hakata Bay, and water of lower salinity than outer sea water (<34.0 psu) spread out to the bay’s mouth two days after the torrential rain event. Fresh water covered the entire area of Imazu Bay and flowed out from the mouth of the Bay after the torrential rain event. The behavior of fresh water after a few days of torrential rain was remarkably different from normal discharge river flow. These results indicate that the environment in Imazu Bay can be degraded severely by torrential rain. Therefore, countermeasures to protect ecosystems in Hakata Bay must be examined immediately. 展开更多
关键词 TWO-DIMENSIONAL Convective-Dispersive model Edge nestING Tank model TORRENTIAL Rain Hakata BAY
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A baroclinic typhoon model with a moving multi-nested grid and variational adjustment initialisationI. Numerical method
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作者 Wu Huiding Yang Xuelian Bai Shan and Li Guoqing 1. National Marine Environmental Forecasting Centre, State Oceanic Administration, Beijing 100081, China 2. Department of Physics and Physical Oceanography, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’ s, 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1999年第2期191-201,共11页
A baroclinic typhoon model with a moving multi--nested grid is applied in marine environmental forecasts. This paper describes the numerical methods of the model including governing equations, finite differencing, spl... A baroclinic typhoon model with a moving multi--nested grid is applied in marine environmental forecasts. This paper describes the numerical methods of the model including governing equations, finite differencing, split scheme and time integration. 展开更多
关键词 Typhoon model 3-dimensional baroclinic numerical method moving nested grid
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A TWO-WAY INTERACTIVE MOVABLE NESTED MESH MODEL FOR TYPHOON TRACK PREDICTION
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作者 王国民 王诗文 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 1996年第2期155-162,共8页
ATWO-WAYINTERACTIVEMOVABLENESTEDMESHMODELFORTYPHOONTRACKPREDICTIONWangGuomin(王国民)(DepartmentofAtmosphericSci... ATWO-WAYINTERACTIVEMOVABLENESTEDMESHMODELFORTYPHOONTRACKPREDICTIONWangGuomin(王国民)(DepartmentofAtmosphericSciences,NanjingUniv... 展开更多
关键词 TYPHOON TRACK numerical model FORECAST two-way movable nested MESH
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Two-Layer Non-Hydrostatic Model for Generation and Propagation of Interfacial Waves
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作者 S.R.Pudjaprasetya I.Magdalena 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2019年第1期65-72,共8页
When pycnocline thickness of ocean density is relatively small, density stratification can be well represented as a two-layer system. In this article, a depth integrated model of the two-layer fluid with constant dens... When pycnocline thickness of ocean density is relatively small, density stratification can be well represented as a two-layer system. In this article, a depth integrated model of the two-layer fluid with constant density is considered,and a variant of the edge-based non-hydrostatic numerical scheme is formulated. The resulting scheme is very efficient since it resolves the vertical fluid depth only in two layers. Despite using just two layers, the numerical dispersion is shown to agree with the analytical dispersion curves over a wide range of kd, where k is the wave number and d the water depth. The scheme was tested by simulating an interfacial solitary wave propagating over a flat bottom, as well as over a bottom step. On a laboratory scale, the formation of an interfacial wave is simulated,which also shows the interaction of wave with a triangular bathymetry. Then, a case study using the Lombok Strait topography is discussed, and the results show the development of an interfacial wave due to a strong current passing through a sill. 展开更多
关键词 INTERFACIAL WAVES two-layer NON-HYDROSTATIC model DISPERSION RELATION
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A Bogus Typhoon Scheme and Its Application to a Movable Nested Mesh Model
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作者 王国民 王诗文 李建军 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1996年第1期103-114,共12页
A bogus typhoon scheme,designed for the initialization of a typhoon track prediction model,is developed in thispaper.This scheme includes both effects of axisymmetric wind and asymmetric wind.Experimental forecasts us... A bogus typhoon scheme,designed for the initialization of a typhoon track prediction model,is developed in thispaper.This scheme includes both effects of axisymmetric wind and asymmetric wind.Experimental forecasts using atwo-way interactive movable nested mesh model show that the forecast skill of typhoon tracks has clearly improvedafter introducing the bogus typhoon into the initial fields. 展开更多
关键词 Bogus typhoon Track forecast nested mesh model
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Simulating the Upper Ocean Circulation on the Belize Shelf: An Application of a Triply Nested-Grid Ocean Circulation Model
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作者 SHENG Jinyu TANG Liqun WANG Liang 《Journal of Ocean University of China》 SCIE CAS 2005年第4期315-328,共14页
We present a three-level nested-grid ocean circulation modeling system for the Belize shelf of the western Caribbean Sea. The nested-grid system has three subcomponents: a coarse-resolution outer model of the western... We present a three-level nested-grid ocean circulation modeling system for the Belize shelf of the western Caribbean Sea. The nested-grid system has three subcomponents: a coarse-resolution outer model of the western Caribbean Sea; an intermediate-resolution middle model of the southern Mest〉American Barrier Reef System; and a fine-resolution inner model of the Belize shelf. The two-way nesting technique based on the semi-prognostic method is used to exchange information between the three subcomponents. We discuss two applications of the nested-grid system in this study. In the first application we simulate the seasonal mean circulation in the region, with the nested system forced by monthly mean surface fluxes and boundary forcing. The model results reproduce the general circulation features on the western Caribbean Sea and mest〉scale circulation features on the Belize shelf. In the second application, we simulate the storm-induced circulation during Hurricane Mitch in 1998, with the nested-grid system forced by the combination of monthly mean forcing and idealized wind stress associated with the storm. The model results demonstrate that the storm-induced currents transport a large amount of estuarine waters from coastal regions of Honduras and Guatemala to offshore reef atolls. 展开更多
关键词 two-way nesting semi-prognostic method numerical model upper ocean process storm-induced circulation Hurricane Mitch
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Cooperative Caching Strategy Based on Two-Layer Caching Model for Remote Sensing Satellite Networks
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作者 Rui Xu Xiaoqiang Di +3 位作者 Hao Luo Hui Qi Xiongwen He Wenping Lei 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2023年第5期3903-3922,共20页
In Information Centric Networking(ICN)where content is the object of exchange,in-network caching is a unique functional feature with the ability to handle data storage and distribution in remote sensing satellite netw... In Information Centric Networking(ICN)where content is the object of exchange,in-network caching is a unique functional feature with the ability to handle data storage and distribution in remote sensing satellite networks.Setting up cache space at any node enables users to access data nearby,thus relieving the processing pressure on the servers.However,the existing caching strategies still suffer from the lack of global planning of cache contents and low utilization of cache resources due to the lack of fine-grained division of cache contents.To address the issues mentioned,a cooperative caching strategy(CSTL)for remote sensing satellite networks based on a two-layer caching model is proposed.The two-layer caching model is constructed by setting up separate cache spaces in the satellite network and the ground station.Probabilistic caching of popular contents in the region at the ground station to reduce the access delay of users.A content classification method based on hierarchical division is proposed in the satellite network,and differential probabilistic caching is employed for different levels of content.The cached content is also dynamically adjusted by analyzing the subsequent changes in the popularity of the cached content.In the two-layer caching model,ground stations and satellite networks collaboratively cache to achieve global planning of cache contents,rationalize the utilization of cache resources,and reduce the propagation delay of remote sensing data.Simulation results show that the CSTL strategy not only has a high cache hit ratio compared with other caching strategies but also effectively reduces user request delay and server load,which satisfies the timeliness requirement of remote sensing data transmission. 展开更多
关键词 Information centric networking caching strategy two-layer caching model hierarchical division
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A Regional Spectral Nested Multilevel Primitive Equation Model
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作者 廖洞贤 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1990年第1期27-35,共9页
By means of vertical normal modes a regional nested multilevel primitive equation model can be reduced to several sets of shallow water equations characterized by various equivalent depths. Therefore, time integration... By means of vertical normal modes a regional nested multilevel primitive equation model can be reduced to several sets of shallow water equations characterized by various equivalent depths. Therefore, time integration of the model in spectral form can be performed in the manner similar to those used in the spectral nested shallow water equation model case. 展开更多
关键词 A Regional Spectral nested Multilevel Primitive Equation model
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A Regional Spectral Nested Shallow Water Equation Model
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作者 廖洞贤 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1989年第4期393-402,共10页
A method to expand meteorological elements in terms of finite double Fourier series in a limited-region and a spectral nested shallow water equation model based upon the method with conformal map projection in rectang... A method to expand meteorological elements in terms of finite double Fourier series in a limited-region and a spectral nested shallow water equation model based upon the method with conformal map projection in rectangular coordinates, have been proposed, and computational stability and efficiency of time integration have been discussed. 展开更多
关键词 A Regional Spectral nested Shallow Water Equation model
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Travel path selection based on Nested Logit model And time value calculation
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作者 FANG Kun LIU Zhigang WANG Fen 《International English Education Research》 2019年第1期5-7,共3页
This paper introduces the theory of utility maximization ofNested Logit model,the establishment of selective limbs and its probability expressions;the basic calculation formula of time value. Investigate the travel ro... This paper introduces the theory of utility maximization ofNested Logit model,the establishment of selective limbs and its probability expressions;the basic calculation formula of time value. Investigate the travel routes and travel mode choices of residents from Suzhou to Shanghai,consider different impact variables in the survey,and divide their travel lines into two travel days on weekdays due to commuting to Shanghai, and free travel to Shanghai on weekdays.The data of the survey were analyzed and analyzed,and the parameters of the established Nested Logit model were calibrated by ST AT A software.The selection model and time value of the travel route and travel mode of residents under different scenarios and different influence variables were obtained Analyze. 展开更多
关键词 nested LOGIT model UTILITY MAXIMIZATION theory time VALUE TRAVEL PATH mode selection
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RP/SP融合数据的Mixed Logit和Nested Logit模型估计对比 被引量:14
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作者 张天然 杨东援 +1 位作者 赵娅丽 叶亮 《同济大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2008年第8期1073-1078,1084,共7页
分析了RP/SP(revealed preference/stated preference)融合数据对交通行为研究的重要性,通过实际调查的RP/SP融合数据,对比了用Mixed Logit和Nested Logit模型的估计结果.得出了以下结论:RP/SP融合数据中,有时同类型交通方式的关联性要... 分析了RP/SP(revealed preference/stated preference)融合数据对交通行为研究的重要性,通过实际调查的RP/SP融合数据,对比了用Mixed Logit和Nested Logit模型的估计结果.得出了以下结论:RP/SP融合数据中,有时同类型交通方式的关联性要比RP和SP数据之间的关联性强,应用不同的Nested Logit模型分层方法进行估计对比;Mixed Logit考虑了个体的异质性,假定参数为随机分布,同时体现了RP/SP数据的关联性和同类型交通方式的关联性,能够得到更好的参数估计结果;Mixed Logit模型能更现实地反映不同交通方式使用者对时间和费用敏感性的不同(时间价值的不同),体现小汽车使用者比公共交通使用者具有更高时间价值的现实情况. 展开更多
关键词 RP/SP融合数据 MIXED Logit(RPL/RCL)模型 异质性 nested LOGIT模型
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