Objective To develop a clinical decision and prescription generation system(CDPGS)specifically for diarrhea in traditional Chinese medicine(TCM),utilizing a specialized large language model(LLM),Qwen-TCM-Dia,to standa...Objective To develop a clinical decision and prescription generation system(CDPGS)specifically for diarrhea in traditional Chinese medicine(TCM),utilizing a specialized large language model(LLM),Qwen-TCM-Dia,to standardize diagnostic processes and prescription generation.Methods Two primary datasets were constructed:an evaluation benchmark and a fine-tuning dataset consisting of fundamental diarrhea knowledge,medical records,and chain-ofthought(CoT)reasoning datasets.After an initial evaluation of 16 open-source LLMs across inference time,accuracy,and output quality,Qwen2.5 was selected as the base model due to its superior overall performance.We then employed a two-stage low-rank adaptation(LoRA)fine-tuning strategy,integrating continued pre-training on domain-specific knowledge with instruction fine-tuning using CoT-enriched medical records.This approach was designed to embed the clinical logic(symptoms→pathogenesis→therapeutic principles→prescriptions)into the model’s reasoning capabilities.The resulting fine-tuned model,specialized for TCM diarrhea,was designated as Qwen-TCM-Dia.Model performance was evaluated for disease diagnosis and syndrome type differentiation using accuracy,precision,recall,and F1-score.Furthermore,the quality of the generated prescriptions was compared with that of established open-source TCM LLMs.Results Qwen-TCM-Dia achieved peak performance compared to both the base Qwen2.5 model and five other open-source TCM LLMs.It achieved 97.05%accuracy and 91.48%F1-score in disease diagnosis,and 74.54%accuracy and 74.21%F1-score in syndrome type differentiation.Compared with existing open-source TCM LLMs(BianCang,HuangDi,LingDan,TCMLLM-PR,and ZhongJing),Qwen-TCM-Dia exhibited higher fidelity in reconstructing the“symptoms→pathogenesis→therapeutic principles→prescriptions”logic chain.It provided complete prescriptions,whereas other models often omitted dosages or generated mismatched prescriptions.Conclusion By integrating continued pre-training,CoT reasoning,and a two-stage fine-tuning strategy,this study establishes a CDPGS for diarrhea in TCM.The results demonstrate the synergistic effect of strengthening domain representation through pre-training and activating logical reasoning via CoT.This research not only provides critical technical support for the standardized diagnosis and treatment of diarrhea but also offers a scalable paradigm for the digital inheritance of expert TCM experience and the intelligent transformation of TCM.展开更多
This study focuses on the construction and application of intelligent financial decision-making models driven by generative artificial intelligence(AI).It analyzes the mechanisms by which generative AI empowers financ...This study focuses on the construction and application of intelligent financial decision-making models driven by generative artificial intelligence(AI).It analyzes the mechanisms by which generative AI empowers financial decision-making within a dual framework of dynamic knowledge evolution and risk control.The research reveals that generative AI,with its superior data processing,pattern recognition,and autonomous learning capabilities,can transcend the limitations of traditional decision-making models,facilitating a significant shift from causal inference to probabilistic creation in decision-making paradigms.By systematically constructing an intelligent financial decision-making model that includes data governance,core engine,and decision output layers,the study clarifies the functional roles and collaborative mechanisms of each layer.Additionally,it addresses key challenges in technology application,institutional adaptation,and organizational transformation by proposing systematic strategies for technical risk management,institutional innovation,and organizational capability enhancement,aiming to provide robust theoretical support and practical guidance for the intelligent transformation of corporate financial decision-making.展开更多
With the rapid development of large AI models,large decision models have further broken through the limits of human cognition and promoted the innovation of decision-making paradigms in extensive fields such as medici...With the rapid development of large AI models,large decision models have further broken through the limits of human cognition and promoted the innovation of decision-making paradigms in extensive fields such as medicine and transportation.In this paper,we systematically expound on the intelligent decision-making technology and prospects driven by large AI models.Specifically,we first review the development of large AI models in recent years.Then,from the perspective of methods,we introduce important theories and technologies of large decision models,such as model architecture and model adaptation.Next,from the perspective of applications,we introduce the cutting-edge applications of large decision models in various fields,such as autonomous driving and knowledge decision-making.Finally,we discuss existing challenges,such as security issues,decision bias and hallucination phenomenon as well as future prospects,from both technology development and domain applications.We hope this review paper can help researchers understand the important progress of intelligent decision-making driven by large AI models.展开更多
The investigation by Zhu et al on the assessment of cellular proliferation markers to assist clinical decision-making in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)using a machine learning model-based approach is a sc...The investigation by Zhu et al on the assessment of cellular proliferation markers to assist clinical decision-making in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)using a machine learning model-based approach is a scientific approach.This study looked into the possibilities of using a Ki-67(a marker for cell proliferation)expression-based machine learning model to help doctors make decisions about treatment options for patients with HCC before surgery.The study used reconstructed tomography images of 164 patients with confirmed HCC from the intratumoral and peritumoral regions.The features were chosen using various statistical methods,including least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression.Also,a nomogram was made using Radscore and clinical risk factors.It was tested for its ability to predict receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves,and its clinical benefits were found using decision curve analysis.The calibration curve demonstrated excellent consistency between predicted and actual probability,and the decision curve confirmed its clinical benefit.The proposed model is helpful for treating patients with HCC because the predicted and actual probabilities are very close to each other,as shown by the decision curve analysis.Further prospective studies are required,incorporating a multicenter and large sample size design,additional relevant exclusion criteria,information on tumors(size,number,and grade),and cancer stage to strengthen the clinical benefit in patients with HCC.展开更多
Cash flow is a core element for enterprises to maintain operations and development.Cash flow forecasting models,through systematic analysis of an enterprise’s historical cash flow data,trends in operating activities,...Cash flow is a core element for enterprises to maintain operations and development.Cash flow forecasting models,through systematic analysis of an enterprise’s historical cash flow data,trends in operating activities,and external environmental factors,scientifically predict the scale,direction,and fluctuation of cash flow within a certain period in the future.This article focuses on the application of cash flow forecasting models in enterprise investment and financing decisions,sorts out the types and core functions of the models,analyzes their specific roles in investment project screening,financing plan formulation,risk prevention and control,and fund allocation,points out the existing problems in current applications,and proposes optimization paths.Research shows that the scientific application of cash flow forecasting models can enhance the accuracy and rationality of enterprises’investment and financing decisions,and help enterprises achieve sustainable development.展开更多
In order to solve the problems of potential incident rescue on expressway networks, the opportunity cost-based method is used to establish a resource dispatch decision model. The model aims to dispatch the rescue reso...In order to solve the problems of potential incident rescue on expressway networks, the opportunity cost-based method is used to establish a resource dispatch decision model. The model aims to dispatch the rescue resources from the regional road networks and to obtain the location of the rescue depots and the numbers of service vehicles assigned for the potential incidents. Due to the computational complexity of the decision model, a scene decomposition algorithm is proposed. The algorithm decomposes the dispatch problem from various kinds of resources to a single resource, and determines the original scene of rescue resources based on the rescue requirements and the resource matrix. Finally, a convenient optimal dispatch scheme is obtained by decomposing each original scene and simplifying the objective function. To illustrate the application of the decision model and the algorithm, a case of the expressway network is studied on areas around Nanjing city in China and the results show that the model used and the algorithm proposed are appropriate.展开更多
Based on the synchronous joint gravity and magnetic inversion of single interface by Pilkington and the need of revealing Cenozoic and crystalline basement thickness in the new round of oil-gas exploration, we propose...Based on the synchronous joint gravity and magnetic inversion of single interface by Pilkington and the need of revealing Cenozoic and crystalline basement thickness in the new round of oil-gas exploration, we propose a joint gravity and magnetic inversion methodfor two-layer models by concentrating on the relationship between the change of thicknessI and position of the middle layer and anomaly and discuss the effects of the key parameters. Model tests and application to field data show the validity of this method.展开更多
This work was to generate landslide susceptibility maps for the Three Gorges Reservoir(TGR) area, China by using different machine learning models. Three advanced machine learning methods, namely, gradient boosting de...This work was to generate landslide susceptibility maps for the Three Gorges Reservoir(TGR) area, China by using different machine learning models. Three advanced machine learning methods, namely, gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT), random forest(RF) and information value(InV) models, were used, and the performances were assessed and compared. In total, 202 landslides were mapped by using a series of field surveys, aerial photographs, and reviews of historical and bibliographical data. Nine causative factors were then considered in landslide susceptibility map generation by using the GBDT, RF and InV models. All of the maps of the causative factors were resampled to a resolution of 28.5 m. Of the 486289 pixels in the area,28526 pixels were landslide pixels, and 457763 pixels were non-landslide pixels. Finally, landslide susceptibility maps were generated by using the three machine learning models, and their performances were assessed through receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves, the sensitivity, specificity,overall accuracy(OA), and kappa coefficient(KAPPA). The results showed that the GBDT, RF and In V models in overall produced reasonable accurate landslide susceptibility maps. Among these three methods, the GBDT method outperforms the other two machine learning methods, which can provide strong technical support for producing landslide susceptibility maps in TGR.展开更多
By applying the system analysis principle and mathematical modeling technique to knowledge expression system for crop cultural management, the fundamental relationships and quantitative algorithms of wheat growth and ...By applying the system analysis principle and mathematical modeling technique to knowledge expression system for crop cultural management, the fundamental relationships and quantitative algorithms of wheat growth and management indices to variety types, ecological environments and production levels were analysed and extracted, and a dynamic knowledge model with temporal and spatial characters for wheat management(WheatKnow)was developed. By adopting the soft component characteristics as non language relevance , re-utilization and portable system maintenance. and by further integrating the wheat growth simulation model(WheatGrow)and intelligent system for wheat management, a comprehensive and digital knowledge model, growth model and component-based decision support system for wheat management(MBDSSWM)was established on the platforms of Visual C++ and Visual Basic. The MBDSSWM realized the effective integration and coupling of the prediction and decision-making functions for digital crop management.展开更多
As the gap between a shortage of organs and the im-mense demand for liver grafts persists, every available donor liver needs to be optimized for utility, urgency and equity. To overcome this challenge, decision modell...As the gap between a shortage of organs and the im-mense demand for liver grafts persists, every available donor liver needs to be optimized for utility, urgency and equity. To overcome this challenge, decision modelling might allow us to gather evidence from previous studies as well as compare the costs and consequences of alternative options. For public health policy and clinical intervention assessment, it is a potentially powerful tool. The most commonly used types of decision analytical models include decision trees, the Markov model, microsimulation, discrete event simulation and the system dynamic model. Analytic models could support decision makers in the field of liver transplantation when facing specifc problems by synthesizing evidence, comprising all relevant options, generalizing results to other contexts, extending the time horizon and exploring the uncertainty. For modeling studies of economic evaluation for transplantation, understanding the current nature of the disease is crucial, as well as the selection of appropriate modelling techniques. The quality and availability of data is another key element for the selection and development of decision analytical models. In addition, good practice guidelines should be complied, which is important for standardization and comparability between economic outputs.展开更多
A weak nonlinear model of a two-layer barotropic ocean with Rayleigh dissipation is built.The analytic asymptotic solution is derived in the mid-latitude stationary wind field,and the physical meaning of the correspon...A weak nonlinear model of a two-layer barotropic ocean with Rayleigh dissipation is built.The analytic asymptotic solution is derived in the mid-latitude stationary wind field,and the physical meaning of the corresponding problem is discussed.展开更多
As Artificial Intelligence(AI)is moving fast from Large Language Models(LLMs)to AI Agents and Agentic Intelligence,the need to incorporate new AI into Decision Intelligence(DI)is becoming more and more urgent for both...As Artificial Intelligence(AI)is moving fast from Large Language Models(LLMs)to AI Agents and Agentic Intelligence,the need to incorporate new AI into Decision Intelligence(DI)is becoming more and more urgent for both practical and theoretic reasons:both decision and process complexities would be significantly increased due to the use of advanced AI tools and agents,and both traditional and recent thinking must be rethought and reconstructed accordingly.Our perspective would like to address this important issue based on some historical milestone developments in Computer-Aided Software Engineering(CASE)and recent efforts in digital theatrical technology[1].展开更多
Hydrological models are often linked with other models in cognate sciences to understand the interactions among climate, earth, water, ecosystem, and human society. This paper presents the development and implementati...Hydrological models are often linked with other models in cognate sciences to understand the interactions among climate, earth, water, ecosystem, and human society. This paper presents the development and implementation of a decision support system（DSS） that links the outputs of hydrological models with real-time decision making on social-economic assessments and land use management. Discharge and glacier geometry changes were simulated with hydrological model, water availability in semiarid environments. Irrigation and ecological water were simulated by a new commercial software MIKE HYDRO. Groundwater was simulated by MODFLOW. All the outputs of theses hydrological models were taken as inputs into the DSS in three types of links： regression equations, stationary data inputs, or dynamic data inputs as the models running parallel in the simulation periods. The DSS integrates the hydrological data, geographic data, social and economic statistical data, and establishes the relationships with equations, conditional statements and fuzzy logics. The programming is realized in C＋＋. The DSS has four remarkable features：（1） editable land use maps to assist decision-making;（2） conjunctive use of surface and groundwater resources;（3） interactions among water, earth, ecosystem, and humans; and（4） links with hydrological models. The overall goal of the DSS is to combine the outputs of scientific models, knowledge of experts, and perspectives of stakeholders, into a computer-based system, which allows sustainability impact assessment within regional planning; and to understand ecosystem services and integrate them into land and water management.展开更多
The coefficients embodied in a Boussinesq-type model are very important since they are determined to optimize the linear and nonlinear properties.In most conventional Boussinesq-type models,these coefficients are assi...The coefficients embodied in a Boussinesq-type model are very important since they are determined to optimize the linear and nonlinear properties.In most conventional Boussinesq-type models,these coefficients are assigned the specific values.As for the multi-layer Boussinesq-type models with the inclusion of the vertical velocity,however,the effect of the different values of these coefficients on linear and nonlinear performances has never been investigated yet.The present study focuses on a two-layer Boussinesq-type model with the highest spatial derivatives being 2 and theoretically and numerically examines the effect of the coefficient on model performance.Theoretical analysis show that different values for(0.13≤α≤0.25)do not have great effects on the high accuracy of the linear shoaling,linear phase celerity and even third-order nonlinearity for water depth range of 0<kh≤10(k is wave number and h is water depth).The corresponding errors using different values are restricted within 0.1%,0.1%and 1%for the linear shoaling amplitude,dispersion and nonlinear harmonics,respectively.Numerical tests including regular wave shoaling over mildly varying slope from deep to shallow water,regular wave propagation over submerged bar,bichromatic wave group and focusing wave propagation over deep water are conducted.The comparison between numerical results using different values of,experimental data and analytical solutions confirm the theoretical analysis.The flexibility and consistency of the two-layer Boussinesq-type model is therefore demonstrated theoretically and numerically.展开更多
An approach for modeling a human cognitive framework in time-stressed decision making is presented. The recognitive and metacognitive processes that represent the cognitive framework are modeled by the colored Petri n...An approach for modeling a human cognitive framework in time-stressed decision making is presented. The recognitive and metacognitive processes that represent the cognitive framework are modeled by the colored Petri nets （CPNs）. A structural and behavioral analysis method is adopted to obtain the static and dynamic property used to verify the CPNs model of the cognitive framework. Finally, an example from the command and control radar recognition system is used to evaluate the feasibility and availability of the CPNs model adopted in practical systems.展开更多
A vague-set-based fuzzy multi-objective decision making model is developed for evaluating bidding plans in a bid- ding purchase process. A group of decision-makers (DMs) first independently assess bidding plans accord...A vague-set-based fuzzy multi-objective decision making model is developed for evaluating bidding plans in a bid- ding purchase process. A group of decision-makers (DMs) first independently assess bidding plans according to their experience and preferences, and these assessments may be expressed as linguistic terms, which are then converted to fuzzy numbers. The resulting decision matrices are then transformed to objective membership grade matrices. The lower bound of satisfaction and upper bound of dissatisfaction are used to determine each bidding plan’s supporting, opposing, and neutral objective sets, which together determine the vague value of a bidding plan. Finally, a score function is employed to rank all bidding plans. A new score function based on vague sets is introduced in the model and a novel method is presented for calculating the lower bound of sat- isfaction and upper bound of dissatisfaction. In a vague-set-based fuzzy multi-objective decision making model, different valua- tions for upper and lower bounds of satisfaction usually lead to distinct ranking results. Therefore, it is crucial to effectively contain DMs’ arbitrariness and subjectivity when these values are determined.展开更多
According to the requirements of the live-virtual-constructive(LVC)tactical confrontation(TC)on the virtual entity(VE)decision model of graded combat capability,diversified actions,real-time decision-making,and genera...According to the requirements of the live-virtual-constructive(LVC)tactical confrontation(TC)on the virtual entity(VE)decision model of graded combat capability,diversified actions,real-time decision-making,and generalization for the enemy,the confrontation process is modeled as a zero-sum stochastic game(ZSG).By introducing the theory of dynamic relative power potential field,the problem of reward sparsity in the model can be solved.By reward shaping,the problem of credit assignment between agents can be solved.Based on the idea of meta-learning,an extensible multi-agent deep reinforcement learning(EMADRL)framework and solving method is proposed to improve the effectiveness and efficiency of model solving.Experiments show that the model meets the requirements well and the algorithm learning efficiency is high.展开更多
Ant colonies self-organize to solve complex problems despite the simplicity of an individual ant＇s brain. Pavement ant Tetramorium caespitum colonies must solve the problem of defending the ter- ritory that they patr...Ant colonies self-organize to solve complex problems despite the simplicity of an individual ant＇s brain. Pavement ant Tetramorium caespitum colonies must solve the problem of defending the ter- ritory that they patrol in search of energetically rich forage. When members of 2 colonies randomly interact at the territory boundary a decision to fight occurs when： 1） there is a mismatch in nest- mate recognition cues and 2） each ant has a recent history of high interaction rates with nestmate ants. Instead of fighting, some ants will decide to recruit more workers from the nest to the fighting location, and in this way a positive feedback mediates the development of colony wide wars. In ants, the monoamines serotonin （5-HT） and octopamine （OA） modulate many behaviors associated with colony organization and in particular behaviors associated with nestmate recognition and ag- gression. In this article, we develop and explore an agent-based model that conceptualizes how in- dividual changes in brain concentrations of 5-HT and OA, paired with a simple threshold-based de- cision rule, can lead to the development of colony wide warfare. Model simulations do lead to the development of warfare with 91% of ants fighting at the end of 1 h. When conducting a sensitivity analysis, we determined that uncertainty in monoamine concentration signal decay influences the behavior of the model more than uncertainty in the decision-making rule or density. We conclude that pavement ant behavior is consistent with the detection of interaction rate through a single timed interval rather than integration of multiple interactions.展开更多
This article presents two approaches for automated building of knowledge bases of soil resources mapping. These methods used decision tree and Bayesian predictive modeling, respectively to generate knowledge from tra...This article presents two approaches for automated building of knowledge bases of soil resources mapping. These methods used decision tree and Bayesian predictive modeling, respectively to generate knowledge from training data. With these methods, building a knowledge base for automated soil mapping is easier than using the conventional knowledge acquisition approach. The knowledge bases built by these two methods were used by the knowledge classifier for soil type classification of the Longyou area, Zhejiang Province, China using TM bi-temporal imageries and GIS data. To evaluate the performance of the resultant knowledge bases, the classification results were compared to existing soil map based on field survey. The accuracy assessment and analysis of the resultant soil maps suggested that the knowledge bases built by these two methods were of good quality for mapping distribution model of soil classes over the study area.展开更多
This study presents an AI-driven Spatial Decision Support System (SDSS) aimed at transforming groundwater suitability assessments for domestic and irrigation uses in Visakhapatnam District, Andhra Pradesh, India. By e...This study presents an AI-driven Spatial Decision Support System (SDSS) aimed at transforming groundwater suitability assessments for domestic and irrigation uses in Visakhapatnam District, Andhra Pradesh, India. By employing advanced remote sensing, GIS, and machine learning techniques, groundwater quality data from 50 monitoring wells, sourced from the Central Ground Water Board (CGWB), was meticulously analysed. Key parameters, including pH, electrical conductivity, total dissolved solids, and major ion concentrations, were evaluated against World Health Organization (WHO) standards to determine domestic suitability. For irrigation, advanced metrics such as Sodium Adsorption Ratio (SAR), Kelly’s Ratio, Residual Sodium Carbonate (RSC), and percentage sodium (% Na) were utilized to assess water quality. The integration of GIS for spatial mapping and AI models for predictive analytics allows for a comprehensive visualization of groundwater quality distribution across the district. Additionally, the irrigation water quality was evaluated using the USA Salinity Laboratory diagram, providing essential insights for effective agricultural water management. This innovative SDSS framework promises to significantly enhance groundwater resource management, fostering sustainable practices for both domestic use and agriculture in the region.展开更多
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China(2024YFC3505400)Capital Clinical Project of Beijing Municipal Science&Technology Commission(Z221100007422092)Capital’s Funds for Health Improvement and Research(2024-1-2231).
文摘Objective To develop a clinical decision and prescription generation system(CDPGS)specifically for diarrhea in traditional Chinese medicine(TCM),utilizing a specialized large language model(LLM),Qwen-TCM-Dia,to standardize diagnostic processes and prescription generation.Methods Two primary datasets were constructed:an evaluation benchmark and a fine-tuning dataset consisting of fundamental diarrhea knowledge,medical records,and chain-ofthought(CoT)reasoning datasets.After an initial evaluation of 16 open-source LLMs across inference time,accuracy,and output quality,Qwen2.5 was selected as the base model due to its superior overall performance.We then employed a two-stage low-rank adaptation(LoRA)fine-tuning strategy,integrating continued pre-training on domain-specific knowledge with instruction fine-tuning using CoT-enriched medical records.This approach was designed to embed the clinical logic(symptoms→pathogenesis→therapeutic principles→prescriptions)into the model’s reasoning capabilities.The resulting fine-tuned model,specialized for TCM diarrhea,was designated as Qwen-TCM-Dia.Model performance was evaluated for disease diagnosis and syndrome type differentiation using accuracy,precision,recall,and F1-score.Furthermore,the quality of the generated prescriptions was compared with that of established open-source TCM LLMs.Results Qwen-TCM-Dia achieved peak performance compared to both the base Qwen2.5 model and five other open-source TCM LLMs.It achieved 97.05%accuracy and 91.48%F1-score in disease diagnosis,and 74.54%accuracy and 74.21%F1-score in syndrome type differentiation.Compared with existing open-source TCM LLMs(BianCang,HuangDi,LingDan,TCMLLM-PR,and ZhongJing),Qwen-TCM-Dia exhibited higher fidelity in reconstructing the“symptoms→pathogenesis→therapeutic principles→prescriptions”logic chain.It provided complete prescriptions,whereas other models often omitted dosages or generated mismatched prescriptions.Conclusion By integrating continued pre-training,CoT reasoning,and a two-stage fine-tuning strategy,this study establishes a CDPGS for diarrhea in TCM.The results demonstrate the synergistic effect of strengthening domain representation through pre-training and activating logical reasoning via CoT.This research not only provides critical technical support for the standardized diagnosis and treatment of diarrhea but also offers a scalable paradigm for the digital inheritance of expert TCM experience and the intelligent transformation of TCM.
文摘This study focuses on the construction and application of intelligent financial decision-making models driven by generative artificial intelligence(AI).It analyzes the mechanisms by which generative AI empowers financial decision-making within a dual framework of dynamic knowledge evolution and risk control.The research reveals that generative AI,with its superior data processing,pattern recognition,and autonomous learning capabilities,can transcend the limitations of traditional decision-making models,facilitating a significant shift from causal inference to probabilistic creation in decision-making paradigms.By systematically constructing an intelligent financial decision-making model that includes data governance,core engine,and decision output layers,the study clarifies the functional roles and collaborative mechanisms of each layer.Additionally,it addresses key challenges in technology application,institutional adaptation,and organizational transformation by proposing systematic strategies for technical risk management,institutional innovation,and organizational capability enhancement,aiming to provide robust theoretical support and practical guidance for the intelligent transformation of corporate financial decision-making.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant 62293545)Shenzhen Science and Technology Program(Grant ZDSYS20220323112000001).
文摘With the rapid development of large AI models,large decision models have further broken through the limits of human cognition and promoted the innovation of decision-making paradigms in extensive fields such as medicine and transportation.In this paper,we systematically expound on the intelligent decision-making technology and prospects driven by large AI models.Specifically,we first review the development of large AI models in recent years.Then,from the perspective of methods,we introduce important theories and technologies of large decision models,such as model architecture and model adaptation.Next,from the perspective of applications,we introduce the cutting-edge applications of large decision models in various fields,such as autonomous driving and knowledge decision-making.Finally,we discuss existing challenges,such as security issues,decision bias and hallucination phenomenon as well as future prospects,from both technology development and domain applications.We hope this review paper can help researchers understand the important progress of intelligent decision-making driven by large AI models.
文摘The investigation by Zhu et al on the assessment of cellular proliferation markers to assist clinical decision-making in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)using a machine learning model-based approach is a scientific approach.This study looked into the possibilities of using a Ki-67(a marker for cell proliferation)expression-based machine learning model to help doctors make decisions about treatment options for patients with HCC before surgery.The study used reconstructed tomography images of 164 patients with confirmed HCC from the intratumoral and peritumoral regions.The features were chosen using various statistical methods,including least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression.Also,a nomogram was made using Radscore and clinical risk factors.It was tested for its ability to predict receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves,and its clinical benefits were found using decision curve analysis.The calibration curve demonstrated excellent consistency between predicted and actual probability,and the decision curve confirmed its clinical benefit.The proposed model is helpful for treating patients with HCC because the predicted and actual probabilities are very close to each other,as shown by the decision curve analysis.Further prospective studies are required,incorporating a multicenter and large sample size design,additional relevant exclusion criteria,information on tumors(size,number,and grade),and cancer stage to strengthen the clinical benefit in patients with HCC.
文摘Cash flow is a core element for enterprises to maintain operations and development.Cash flow forecasting models,through systematic analysis of an enterprise’s historical cash flow data,trends in operating activities,and external environmental factors,scientifically predict the scale,direction,and fluctuation of cash flow within a certain period in the future.This article focuses on the application of cash flow forecasting models in enterprise investment and financing decisions,sorts out the types and core functions of the models,analyzes their specific roles in investment project screening,financing plan formulation,risk prevention and control,and fund allocation,points out the existing problems in current applications,and proposes optimization paths.Research shows that the scientific application of cash flow forecasting models can enhance the accuracy and rationality of enterprises’investment and financing decisions,and help enterprises achieve sustainable development.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.50422283)the Science and Technology Key Plan Project of Henan Province (No.072102360060)
文摘In order to solve the problems of potential incident rescue on expressway networks, the opportunity cost-based method is used to establish a resource dispatch decision model. The model aims to dispatch the rescue resources from the regional road networks and to obtain the location of the rescue depots and the numbers of service vehicles assigned for the potential incidents. Due to the computational complexity of the decision model, a scene decomposition algorithm is proposed. The algorithm decomposes the dispatch problem from various kinds of resources to a single resource, and determines the original scene of rescue resources based on the rescue requirements and the resource matrix. Finally, a convenient optimal dispatch scheme is obtained by decomposing each original scene and simplifying the objective function. To illustrate the application of the decision model and the algorithm, a case of the expressway network is studied on areas around Nanjing city in China and the results show that the model used and the algorithm proposed are appropriate.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.40674063)National Hi-tech Research and Development Program of China(863Program)(Grant No.2006AA09Z311)
文摘Based on the synchronous joint gravity and magnetic inversion of single interface by Pilkington and the need of revealing Cenozoic and crystalline basement thickness in the new round of oil-gas exploration, we propose a joint gravity and magnetic inversion methodfor two-layer models by concentrating on the relationship between the change of thicknessI and position of the middle layer and anomaly and discuss the effects of the key parameters. Model tests and application to field data show the validity of this method.
基金This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61601418,41602362,61871259)in part by the Opening Foundation of Hunan Engineering and Research Center of Natural Resource Investigation and Monitoring(2020-5)+1 种基金in part by the Qilian Mountain National Park Research Center(Qinghai)(grant number:GKQ2019-01)in part by the Geomatics Technology and Application Key Laboratory of Qinghai Province,Grant No.QHDX-2019-01.
文摘This work was to generate landslide susceptibility maps for the Three Gorges Reservoir(TGR) area, China by using different machine learning models. Three advanced machine learning methods, namely, gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT), random forest(RF) and information value(InV) models, were used, and the performances were assessed and compared. In total, 202 landslides were mapped by using a series of field surveys, aerial photographs, and reviews of historical and bibliographical data. Nine causative factors were then considered in landslide susceptibility map generation by using the GBDT, RF and InV models. All of the maps of the causative factors were resampled to a resolution of 28.5 m. Of the 486289 pixels in the area,28526 pixels were landslide pixels, and 457763 pixels were non-landslide pixels. Finally, landslide susceptibility maps were generated by using the three machine learning models, and their performances were assessed through receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves, the sensitivity, specificity,overall accuracy(OA), and kappa coefficient(KAPPA). The results showed that the GBDT, RF and In V models in overall produced reasonable accurate landslide susceptibility maps. Among these three methods, the GBDT method outperforms the other two machine learning methods, which can provide strong technical support for producing landslide susceptibility maps in TGR.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(30030090)the National 863 Program,China(2001AA115420,2001AA245041).
文摘By applying the system analysis principle and mathematical modeling technique to knowledge expression system for crop cultural management, the fundamental relationships and quantitative algorithms of wheat growth and management indices to variety types, ecological environments and production levels were analysed and extracted, and a dynamic knowledge model with temporal and spatial characters for wheat management(WheatKnow)was developed. By adopting the soft component characteristics as non language relevance , re-utilization and portable system maintenance. and by further integrating the wheat growth simulation model(WheatGrow)and intelligent system for wheat management, a comprehensive and digital knowledge model, growth model and component-based decision support system for wheat management(MBDSSWM)was established on the platforms of Visual C++ and Visual Basic. The MBDSSWM realized the effective integration and coupling of the prediction and decision-making functions for digital crop management.
基金Supported by a grant from the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research,No.01EO1302
文摘As the gap between a shortage of organs and the im-mense demand for liver grafts persists, every available donor liver needs to be optimized for utility, urgency and equity. To overcome this challenge, decision modelling might allow us to gather evidence from previous studies as well as compare the costs and consequences of alternative options. For public health policy and clinical intervention assessment, it is a potentially powerful tool. The most commonly used types of decision analytical models include decision trees, the Markov model, microsimulation, discrete event simulation and the system dynamic model. Analytic models could support decision makers in the field of liver transplantation when facing specifc problems by synthesizing evidence, comprising all relevant options, generalizing results to other contexts, extending the time horizon and exploring the uncertainty. For modeling studies of economic evaluation for transplantation, understanding the current nature of the disease is crucial, as well as the selection of appropriate modelling techniques. The quality and availability of data is another key element for the selection and development of decision analytical models. In addition, good practice guidelines should be complied, which is important for standardization and comparability between economic outputs.
基金Project supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2011CB403501)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (GrantNos. 41175058,41275062,and 11202106)
文摘A weak nonlinear model of a two-layer barotropic ocean with Rayleigh dissipation is built.The analytic asymptotic solution is derived in the mid-latitude stationary wind field,and the physical meaning of the corresponding problem is discussed.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Development Fund,Macao Special Administrative Region(SAR)(0093/2023/RIA2,0157/2024/RIA2,0145/2023/RIA3)the Distinguished Program of Obuda University and the DeSci Center for Parallel Intelligence at the Obuda University,Hungary.This article is based on the report of“Digital Theaters and Theatrical Intelligence for Decision Science”Project(DeSCII-0017-1023-2023,PI:Qinghua Ni)initiated by DeSci International.
文摘As Artificial Intelligence(AI)is moving fast from Large Language Models(LLMs)to AI Agents and Agentic Intelligence,the need to incorporate new AI into Decision Intelligence(DI)is becoming more and more urgent for both practical and theoretic reasons:both decision and process complexities would be significantly increased due to the use of advanced AI tools and agents,and both traditional and recent thinking must be rethought and reconstructed accordingly.Our perspective would like to address this important issue based on some historical milestone developments in Computer-Aided Software Engineering(CASE)and recent efforts in digital theatrical technology[1].
基金supported by German-Sino bilateral collaboration research project SuMaRiO funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Researchthe support of NSFC-UNEP Project (41361140361): Ecological Responses to Climatic Change and Land-cover Change in Arid and Semiarid Central Asia during the Past 500 Years
文摘Hydrological models are often linked with other models in cognate sciences to understand the interactions among climate, earth, water, ecosystem, and human society. This paper presents the development and implementation of a decision support system（DSS） that links the outputs of hydrological models with real-time decision making on social-economic assessments and land use management. Discharge and glacier geometry changes were simulated with hydrological model, water availability in semiarid environments. Irrigation and ecological water were simulated by a new commercial software MIKE HYDRO. Groundwater was simulated by MODFLOW. All the outputs of theses hydrological models were taken as inputs into the DSS in three types of links： regression equations, stationary data inputs, or dynamic data inputs as the models running parallel in the simulation periods. The DSS integrates the hydrological data, geographic data, social and economic statistical data, and establishes the relationships with equations, conditional statements and fuzzy logics. The programming is realized in C＋＋. The DSS has four remarkable features：（1） editable land use maps to assist decision-making;（2） conjunctive use of surface and groundwater resources;（3） interactions among water, earth, ecosystem, and humans; and（4） links with hydrological models. The overall goal of the DSS is to combine the outputs of scientific models, knowledge of experts, and perspectives of stakeholders, into a computer-based system, which allows sustainability impact assessment within regional planning; and to understand ecosystem services and integrate them into land and water management.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.51779022,51809053,and 51579034)the Innovation Team Project of Estuary and Coast Protection and Management(Grant No.Y220013)the Open Project Fund of State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering,Dalian University of Technology(Grant No.LP19015).
文摘The coefficients embodied in a Boussinesq-type model are very important since they are determined to optimize the linear and nonlinear properties.In most conventional Boussinesq-type models,these coefficients are assigned the specific values.As for the multi-layer Boussinesq-type models with the inclusion of the vertical velocity,however,the effect of the different values of these coefficients on linear and nonlinear performances has never been investigated yet.The present study focuses on a two-layer Boussinesq-type model with the highest spatial derivatives being 2 and theoretically and numerically examines the effect of the coefficient on model performance.Theoretical analysis show that different values for(0.13≤α≤0.25)do not have great effects on the high accuracy of the linear shoaling,linear phase celerity and even third-order nonlinearity for water depth range of 0<kh≤10(k is wave number and h is water depth).The corresponding errors using different values are restricted within 0.1%,0.1%and 1%for the linear shoaling amplitude,dispersion and nonlinear harmonics,respectively.Numerical tests including regular wave shoaling over mildly varying slope from deep to shallow water,regular wave propagation over submerged bar,bichromatic wave group and focusing wave propagation over deep water are conducted.The comparison between numerical results using different values of,experimental data and analytical solutions confirm the theoretical analysis.The flexibility and consistency of the two-layer Boussinesq-type model is therefore demonstrated theoretically and numerically.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(60874068).
文摘An approach for modeling a human cognitive framework in time-stressed decision making is presented. The recognitive and metacognitive processes that represent the cognitive framework are modeled by the colored Petri nets （CPNs）. A structural and behavioral analysis method is adopted to obtain the static and dynamic property used to verify the CPNs model of the cognitive framework. Finally, an example from the command and control radar recognition system is used to evaluate the feasibility and availability of the CPNs model adopted in practical systems.
基金Project (No. K81077) supported by the Department of Automation, Xiamen University, China
文摘A vague-set-based fuzzy multi-objective decision making model is developed for evaluating bidding plans in a bid- ding purchase process. A group of decision-makers (DMs) first independently assess bidding plans according to their experience and preferences, and these assessments may be expressed as linguistic terms, which are then converted to fuzzy numbers. The resulting decision matrices are then transformed to objective membership grade matrices. The lower bound of satisfaction and upper bound of dissatisfaction are used to determine each bidding plan’s supporting, opposing, and neutral objective sets, which together determine the vague value of a bidding plan. Finally, a score function is employed to rank all bidding plans. A new score function based on vague sets is introduced in the model and a novel method is presented for calculating the lower bound of sat- isfaction and upper bound of dissatisfaction. In a vague-set-based fuzzy multi-objective decision making model, different valua- tions for upper and lower bounds of satisfaction usually lead to distinct ranking results. Therefore, it is crucial to effectively contain DMs’ arbitrariness and subjectivity when these values are determined.
基金supported by the Military Scentific Research Project(41405030302,41401020301).
文摘According to the requirements of the live-virtual-constructive(LVC)tactical confrontation(TC)on the virtual entity(VE)decision model of graded combat capability,diversified actions,real-time decision-making,and generalization for the enemy,the confrontation process is modeled as a zero-sum stochastic game(ZSG).By introducing the theory of dynamic relative power potential field,the problem of reward sparsity in the model can be solved.By reward shaping,the problem of credit assignment between agents can be solved.Based on the idea of meta-learning,an extensible multi-agent deep reinforcement learning(EMADRL)framework and solving method is proposed to improve the effectiveness and efficiency of model solving.Experiments show that the model meets the requirements well and the algorithm learning efficiency is high.
文摘Ant colonies self-organize to solve complex problems despite the simplicity of an individual ant＇s brain. Pavement ant Tetramorium caespitum colonies must solve the problem of defending the ter- ritory that they patrol in search of energetically rich forage. When members of 2 colonies randomly interact at the territory boundary a decision to fight occurs when： 1） there is a mismatch in nest- mate recognition cues and 2） each ant has a recent history of high interaction rates with nestmate ants. Instead of fighting, some ants will decide to recruit more workers from the nest to the fighting location, and in this way a positive feedback mediates the development of colony wide wars. In ants, the monoamines serotonin （5-HT） and octopamine （OA） modulate many behaviors associated with colony organization and in particular behaviors associated with nestmate recognition and ag- gression. In this article, we develop and explore an agent-based model that conceptualizes how in- dividual changes in brain concentrations of 5-HT and OA, paired with a simple threshold-based de- cision rule, can lead to the development of colony wide warfare. Model simulations do lead to the development of warfare with 91% of ants fighting at the end of 1 h. When conducting a sensitivity analysis, we determined that uncertainty in monoamine concentration signal decay influences the behavior of the model more than uncertainty in the decision-making rule or density. We conclude that pavement ant behavior is consistent with the detection of interaction rate through a single timed interval rather than integration of multiple interactions.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation ofChina (No. 40101014) and by the Science and technology Committee of Zhejiang Province (No. 001110445) China
文摘This article presents two approaches for automated building of knowledge bases of soil resources mapping. These methods used decision tree and Bayesian predictive modeling, respectively to generate knowledge from training data. With these methods, building a knowledge base for automated soil mapping is easier than using the conventional knowledge acquisition approach. The knowledge bases built by these two methods were used by the knowledge classifier for soil type classification of the Longyou area, Zhejiang Province, China using TM bi-temporal imageries and GIS data. To evaluate the performance of the resultant knowledge bases, the classification results were compared to existing soil map based on field survey. The accuracy assessment and analysis of the resultant soil maps suggested that the knowledge bases built by these two methods were of good quality for mapping distribution model of soil classes over the study area.
文摘This study presents an AI-driven Spatial Decision Support System (SDSS) aimed at transforming groundwater suitability assessments for domestic and irrigation uses in Visakhapatnam District, Andhra Pradesh, India. By employing advanced remote sensing, GIS, and machine learning techniques, groundwater quality data from 50 monitoring wells, sourced from the Central Ground Water Board (CGWB), was meticulously analysed. Key parameters, including pH, electrical conductivity, total dissolved solids, and major ion concentrations, were evaluated against World Health Organization (WHO) standards to determine domestic suitability. For irrigation, advanced metrics such as Sodium Adsorption Ratio (SAR), Kelly’s Ratio, Residual Sodium Carbonate (RSC), and percentage sodium (% Na) were utilized to assess water quality. The integration of GIS for spatial mapping and AI models for predictive analytics allows for a comprehensive visualization of groundwater quality distribution across the district. Additionally, the irrigation water quality was evaluated using the USA Salinity Laboratory diagram, providing essential insights for effective agricultural water management. This innovative SDSS framework promises to significantly enhance groundwater resource management, fostering sustainable practices for both domestic use and agriculture in the region.
