Complementary metal oxide semiconductor(CMOS)aging mechanisms including bias temperature instability(BTI)pose growing concerns about circuit reliability.BTI results in threshold voltage increases on CMOS transistors,c...Complementary metal oxide semiconductor(CMOS)aging mechanisms including bias temperature instability(BTI)pose growing concerns about circuit reliability.BTI results in threshold voltage increases on CMOS transistors,causing delay shifts and timing violations on logic circuits.The amount of degradation is dependent on the circuit workload,which increases the challenge for accurate BTI aging prediction at the design time.In this paper,a BTI prediction method for logic circuits based on statistical static timing analysis(SSTA)is proposed,especially considering the correlation between circuit workload and BTI degradation.It consists of a training phase,to discover the relationship between circuit scale and the required workload samples,and a prediction phase,to present the degradations under different workloads in Gaussian probability distributions.This method can predict the distribution of degradations with negligible errors,and identify 50%more BTI-critical paths in an affordable time,compared with conventional methods.展开更多
Objectives:This study aimed to explore the characteristics of outpatient blood collection center visit fluctuation and nursing workforce allocation based on a time series model,and the application effect was evaluated...Objectives:This study aimed to explore the characteristics of outpatient blood collection center visit fluctuation and nursing workforce allocation based on a time series model,and the application effect was evaluated.Methods:To enhance the efficiency of phlebotomy at the hospital outpatient window and improve patient satisfaction,the First Affliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University implemented a time series analysis model in 2024 to optimize nursing staff allocation.The management team was led by a head nurse of the outpatient blood collection department with extensive experience.It included one director of the nursing department,six senior clinical nurses,one informatics expert,and one nursing master's degree holder.Retrospective time-series data from the hospital's smart blood collection system(including hourly blood collection volumes and waiting times)were extracted between January 2020 and December 2023.Time series analysis was used to identify annual,seasonal,monthly,and hourly variation patterns in blood collection volumes.Seasonal decomposition and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model(ARIMA)were employed to forecast blood collection fluctuations for 2024 and facilitate dynamic scheduling.A comparison was conducted to evaluate differences in blood collection efficiency and patient satisfaction before(January-June 2023)and after(January-June 2024)implementing the dynamic scheduling model based on the time series analysis and forecasting.Results:Visit volumes showed periodicity and slow growth,peaking every second and third quarter of the year and daily at 8:00-9:00 a.m.and 2:00-3:00 p.m.The ARIMA model demonstrated a good fit(R2=0.692,mean absolute percentage error=8.28%).After adjusting the nursing staff allocation based on the fluctuation characteristics of the number of phlebotomy per hour in the time series analysis model,at the peak period of the blood collection window,at least three nurses,one mobile nurse and two volunteers were added.The number of phlebotomy per hour increased from 289.74±54.55 to 327.53±37.84 person-time(t=-10.041,P<0.01),waiting time decreased from 5.79±2.68 to 4.01±0.46 min(t=11.531,P<0.01),and satisfaction rose from 92.7%to 97.3%(χ^(2)=6.877,P<0.05).Conclusions:Based on the time series analysis method,it is helpful for nursing managers to accurately allocate human resources and optimize the efficiency of outpatient service resources by mining the special change rule of the outpatient blood collection window and predicting the future fluctuation trend.展开更多
Leveraging big data signal processing offers a pathway to the development of artificial intelligencedriven equipment.The analysis of fluid flow signals and the characterization of fluid flow behavior are of critical i...Leveraging big data signal processing offers a pathway to the development of artificial intelligencedriven equipment.The analysis of fluid flow signals and the characterization of fluid flow behavior are of critical in two-phase flow studies.Significant research efforts have focused on discerning flow regimes using various signal analysis methods.In this review,recent advances in time series signals analysis algorithms for stirred tank reactors have been summarized,and the detailed methodologies are categorized into the frequency domain methods,time-frequency domain methods,and state space methods.The strengths,limitations,and notable findings of each algorithm are highlighted.Additionally,the interrelationships between these methodologies have also been discussed,as well as the present progress achieved in various applications.Future research directions and challenges are also predicted to provide an overview of current research trends in data mining of time series for analyzing flow regimes and chaotic signals.This review offers a comprehensive summary for extracting and characterizing fluid flow behavior and serves as a theoretical reference for optimizing the characterization of chaotic signals in future research endeavors.展开更多
GNSS time series analysis provides an effective method for research on the earth's surface deformation,and it can be divided into two parts,deterministic models and stochastic models.The former part can be achieve...GNSS time series analysis provides an effective method for research on the earth's surface deformation,and it can be divided into two parts,deterministic models and stochastic models.The former part can be achieved by several parameters,such as polynomial terms,periodic terms,offsets,and post-seismic models.The latter contains some stochastic noises,which can be affected by detecting the former parameters.If there are not enough parameters assumed,modeling errors will occur and adversely affect the analysis results.In this study,we propose a processing strategy in which the commonly-used 1-order of the polynomial term can be replaced with different orders for better fitting GNSS time series of the Crustal Movement Network of China(CMONOC)stations.Initially,we use the Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC)to identify the best order within the range of 1-4 during the fitting process using the white noise plus power-law noise(WN+PL)model.Then,we compare the 1-order and the optimal order on the effect of deterministic models in GNSS time series,including the velocity and its uncertainty,amplitudes,and initial phases of the annual signals.The results indicate that the first-order polynomial in the GNSS time series is not the primary factor.The root mean square(RMS)reduction rates of almost all station components are positive,which means the new fitting of optimal-order polynomial helps to reduce the RMS of residual series.Most stations maintain the velocity difference(VD)within ±1 mm/yr,with percentages of 85.6%,81.9%and 63.4%in the North,East,and Up components,respectively.As for annual signals,the numbers of amplitude difference(AD)remained at ±0.2 mm are 242,239,and 200 in three components,accounting for 99.6%,98.4%,and 82.3%,respectively.This finding reminds us that the detection of the optimal-order polynomial is necessary when we aim to acquire an accurate understanding of the crustal movement features.展开更多
The natural visibility graph method has been widely used in physiological signal analysis,but it fails to accurately handle signals with data points below the baseline.Such signals are common across various physiologi...The natural visibility graph method has been widely used in physiological signal analysis,but it fails to accurately handle signals with data points below the baseline.Such signals are common across various physiological measurements,including electroencephalograph(EEG)and functional magnetic resonance imaging(fMRI),and are crucial for insights into physiological phenomena.This study introduces a novel method,the baseline perspective visibility graph(BPVG),which can analyze time series by accurately capturing connectivity across data points both above and below the baseline.We present the BPVG construction process and validate its performance using simulated signals.Results demonstrate that BPVG accurately translates periodic,random,and fractal signals into regular,random,and scale-free networks respectively,exhibiting diverse degree distribution traits.Furthermore,we apply BPVG to classify Alzheimer’s disease(AD)patients from healthy controls using EEG data and identify non-demented adults at varying dementia risk using resting-state fMRI(rs-fMRI)data.Utilizing degree distribution entropy derived from BPVG networks,our results exceed the best accuracy benchmark(77.01%)in EEG analysis,especially at channels F4(78.46%)and O1(81.54%).Additionally,our rs-fMRI analysis achieves a statistically significant classification accuracy of 76.74%.These findings highlight the effectiveness of BPVG in distinguishing various time series types and its practical utility in EEG and rs-fMRI analysis for early AD detection and dementia risk assessment.In conclusion,BPVG’s validation across both simulated and real data confirms its capability to capture comprehensive information from time series,irrespective of baseline constraints,providing a novel method for studying neural physiological signals.展开更多
Aiming at the problem of on-line damage diagnosis in structural health monitoring （SHM）, an algorithm of feature extraction and damage alarming based on auto-regressive moving-average （ARMA） time series analysis i...Aiming at the problem of on-line damage diagnosis in structural health monitoring （SHM）, an algorithm of feature extraction and damage alarming based on auto-regressive moving-average （ARMA） time series analysis is presented. The monitoring data were first modeled as ARMA models, while a principalcomponent matrix derived from the AR coefficients of these models was utilized to establish the Mahalanobisdistance criterion functions. Then, a new damage-sensitive feature index DDSF is proposed. A hypothesis test involving the t-test method is further applied to obtain a decision of damage alarming as the mean value of DDSF had significantly changed after damage. The numerical results of a three-span-girder model shows that the defined index is sensitive to subtle structural damage, and the proposed algorithm can be applied to the on-line damage alarming in SHM.展开更多
The research conducted prediction on changes of atmosphere pollution during July 9, 2014-July 22, 2014 with SPSS based on monitored data of O3 in 13 successive weeks from 6 sites in Baoding City and demonstrated predi...The research conducted prediction on changes of atmosphere pollution during July 9, 2014-July 22, 2014 with SPSS based on monitored data of O3 in 13 successive weeks from 6 sites in Baoding City and demonstrated prediction effect of ARIMA model is good by Ljung-Box Q-test and R2, and the model can be used for prediction on future atmosphere pollutant changes.展开更多
To improve the path slack of Field Programmable Gate Array(FPGA), this paper proposes a timing slack optimization approach which utilizes the hybrid routing strategy of rip-up-retry and pathfinder. Firstly, effect of ...To improve the path slack of Field Programmable Gate Array(FPGA), this paper proposes a timing slack optimization approach which utilizes the hybrid routing strategy of rip-up-retry and pathfinder. Firstly, effect of process variations on path slack is analyzed, and by constructing a collocation table of delay model that takes into account the multi-corner process, the complex statistical static timing analysis is successfully translated into a simple classical static timing analysis. Then, based on the hybrid routing strategy of rip-up-retry and pathfinder, by adjusting the critical path which detours a long distance, the critical path delay is reduced and the path slack is optimized. Experimental results show that, using the hybrid routing strategy, the number of paths with negative slack can be optimized(reduced) by 85.8% on average compared with the Versatile Place and Route(VPR) timing-driven routing algorithm, while the run-time is only increased by 15.02% on average.展开更多
In this paper, we propose a cross reference method for nonlinear time series analyzing in semi blind case, that is, the dynamic equations modeling the time series are known but the corresponding parameters are not. ...In this paper, we propose a cross reference method for nonlinear time series analyzing in semi blind case, that is, the dynamic equations modeling the time series are known but the corresponding parameters are not. The tasks of noise reduction and parameter estimation which were fulfilled separately before are combined iteratively. With the positive interaction between the two processing modules, the method is somewhat superior. Some prior work can be viewed as special cases of this general framework. The simulations for noise reduction and parameter estimation of contaminated chaotic time series show improved performance of our method compared with previous work.展开更多
This paper presents a novel approach to identify and correct the gross errors in the microelectromechanical system （MEMS） gyroscope used in ground vehicles by means of time series analysis. According to the characte...This paper presents a novel approach to identify and correct the gross errors in the microelectromechanical system （MEMS） gyroscope used in ground vehicles by means of time series analysis. According to the characteristics of autocorrelation function （ACF） and partial autocorrelation function （PACF）, an autoregressive integrated moving average （ARIMA） model is roughly constructed. The rough model is optimized by combining with Akaike＇s information criterion （A/C）, and the parameters are estimated based on the least squares algorithm. After validation testing, the model is utilized to forecast the next output on the basis of the previous measurement. When the difference between the measurement and its prediction exceeds the defined threshold, the measurement is identified as a gross error and remedied by its prediction. A case study on the yaw rate is performed to illustrate the developed algorithm. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach can effectively distinguish gross errors and make some reasonable remedies.展开更多
The rigid central buckle employed in the Runyang Suspension Bridge (RSB) was the first time it was used in a suspension bridge in China. By using a spectral representation method and FFT technique combined with measur...The rigid central buckle employed in the Runyang Suspension Bridge (RSB) was the first time it was used in a suspension bridge in China. By using a spectral representation method and FFT technique combined with measured data,a 3D fluctuating wind field considering the tower wind effect is simulated. A novel FE model for buffeting analysis is then presented,in which a specific user-defined Matrix27 element in ANSYS is employed to simulate the aeroelastic forces and its stiffness or damping matrices are parameterized by wind velocity and vibration frequency. A nonlinear time history analysis is carried out to study the influence of the rigid central buckle on the wind-induced buffeting response of a long-span suspension bridge. The results can be used as a reference for wind resistance design of long-span suspension bridges with a rigid central buckle in the future.展开更多
The seismic capacity curves of three types of buildings including frame,frame-shear wall and shear wall ob- tained by pushover analysis under different lateral load patterns are compared with those from nonlinear time...The seismic capacity curves of three types of buildings including frame,frame-shear wall and shear wall ob- tained by pushover analysis under different lateral load patterns are compared with those from nonlinear time history analy- sis.Based on the numerical results obtained a two-phase load pattern:an inverted triangle(first mode)load pattern until the base shear force reaches β times its maximum value,V_(max)followed by a(x/H)~α form,here β and α being some coeffi- cients depending on the type of the structures considered,is proposed in the paper,which can provide excellent approxima- tion of the seismic capacity curve for low-to-mid-rise shear type buildings.Furthermore,it is shown both the two-phase load pattern proposed and the invariant uniform pattern can be used for low-to-mid-rise shear-bending type and low-rise bending type of buildings.No suitable load patterns have been found for high-rise buildings.展开更多
The effects of the calorimetric buffer solutions were investigated while the two colorimetric reactions of AI-ferron complex and Fe-ferron complex occurred individually, and the effects of the testing wavelength and t...The effects of the calorimetric buffer solutions were investigated while the two colorimetric reactions of AI-ferron complex and Fe-ferron complex occurred individually, and the effects of the testing wavelength and the pH of the solutions were also investigated. A timed complexatian colorimetric analysis method of Al-Fe-ferron in view of the total concentration of {AI + Fe} was then established to determine the species distribution of polymeric Al-Fe. The testing wavelength was recommended at 362 net and the testing pH value was 5. With a comparison of the ratios of n(Al)/n(Fe), the standard adsorption curves of the polymeric Al-Fe solutions were derived from the experimental results. Furthermore, the solutions' composition were carious in both the molar n(Al)/n(Fe) ratios, i.e. 0/0, 5/5, 9/1 and 0/10, and the concentrations associated with the total ( Al + Fe which ranged from 10(-5) to 10(-4) mol/L..展开更多
Based on the concept of structural passive control,a new type of slit shear wall,with improved seismic performance when compared to an ordinary solid shear wall,was proposed by the authors in 1996.The idea has been ve...Based on the concept of structural passive control,a new type of slit shear wall,with improved seismic performance when compared to an ordinary solid shear wall,was proposed by the authors in 1996.The idea has been verified by a series of pseudo-static and dynamic tests.In this paper a macro numerical model is developed for the wall element and the energy dissipation device.Then,nonlinear time history analysis is carried out for a 10-story slit shear wall model tested on a shaking table.Furthermore,the seismic input energy and the individual energy dissipated by the components are calculated by a method based on Newmark-β assumptions for this shear wall model,and the advantages of this shear wall are further demonstrated by the calculation results from the viewpoint of energy.Finally,according to the seismic damage criterion on the basis of plastic accumulative energy and maximum response,the optimal analysis is carried out to select design parameters for the energy dissipation device.展开更多
In this study, the coupled heave-pitch motion equations of a spar platform were established by considering lst-order and 2nd-order random wave loads and the effects of time-varying displacement volume and transient wa...In this study, the coupled heave-pitch motion equations of a spar platform were established by considering lst-order and 2nd-order random wave loads and the effects of time-varying displacement volume and transient wave elevation. We generated random wave loads based on frequency-domain wave load transfer functions and the Joint North Sea Wave Project (JONSWAP) wave spectrum, designed program codes to solve the motion equations, and then simulated the coupled heave-pitch motion responses of the platform in the time domain. We then calculated and compared the motion responses in different sea conditions and separately investigated the effects of 2nd-order random wave loads and transient wave elevation. The results show that the coupled heave-pitch motion responses of the platform are primarily dominated by wave height and the characteristic wave period, the latter of which has a greater impact. 2nd-order mean wave loads mainly affect the average heave value. The platform's pitch increases after the 2nd-order low frequency wave loads are taken into account. The platform's heave is underestimated if the transient wave elevation term in the motion equations is neglected.展开更多
A flight dynamics model based on elastic blades for helicopters is developed.Modal shape analysis is used to describe the rotating elastic blades for the purpose of reducing the elastic degrees of freedom for blades.T...A flight dynamics model based on elastic blades for helicopters is developed.Modal shape analysis is used to describe the rotating elastic blades for the purpose of reducing the elastic degrees of freedom for blades.The analytical result is employed to predict the rotor forces and moments.The equilibrium equation of the flight dynamics model is then constructed for the elastic motion for blades and the rigid motion for other parts.The nonlinear equation is further simplified,and the gradient descent algorithm is adopted to implement the trim simulation.The trim analysis shows that the effect of blade elasticity on the accuracy of rotor forces and moments is apparent at high speed,and the proposed method presents good accuracy for trim performance.The timedomain response is realized by a combination of the Newmark method and the adaptive RungeKutta method.The helicopter control responses of collective pitch show that the response accuracy of the model at a yaw-and-pitch attitude is improved.Finally,the influence of blade elasticity on the helicopter dynamic response in low-altitude wind shear is investigated.An increase in blade elasticity reduces the oscillation amplitude of the yaw angle and the vertical speed by more than 70%.Compared with a rigid blade,an elastic blade reduces the vibration frequency of the angular velocity and results in a fast return of the helicopter to its stable flight.展开更多
Objective To recognize the spatial and temporal characteristics of iodine deficiency disorders(IDD),China national IDD surveillance data for the years of 1995–2018 were analyzed.Methods Time series analysis was used ...Objective To recognize the spatial and temporal characteristics of iodine deficiency disorders(IDD),China national IDD surveillance data for the years of 1995–2018 were analyzed.Methods Time series analysis was used to describe and predict the IDD related indicators,and spatial analysis was used to analyze the spatial distribution of salt iodine levels.Results In China,the median urinary iodine concentration increased in 1995–1997,then decreased to adequate levels,and are expected to remain appropriate in 2019–2022.The goiter rate continually decreased and is expected to be maintained at a low level.Since 2002,the coverage rates of iodized salt and the consumption rates of qualified iodized salt(the percentage of qualified iodized salt in all tested salt) increased and began to decline in 2012;they are expected to continue to decrease.Spatial epidemiological analysis indicated a positive spatial correlation in 2016–2018 and revealed feature regarding the spatial distribution of salt related indicators in coastal areas and areas near iodine-excess areas.Conclusions Iodine nutrition in China showed gradual improvements.However,a recent decline has been observed in some areas following changes in the iodized salt supply in China.In the future,more regulations regarding salt management should be issued to strengthen IDD control and prevention measures,and avoid the recurrence of IDD.展开更多
Due to the disturbances arising from the coherence of reflected waves and from echo noise,problems such as limitations,instability and poor accuracy exist with the current quantitative analysis methods.According to th...Due to the disturbances arising from the coherence of reflected waves and from echo noise,problems such as limitations,instability and poor accuracy exist with the current quantitative analysis methods.According to the intrinsic features of GPR signals and wavelet time–frequency analysis,an optimal wavelet basis named GPR3.3 wavelet is constructed via an improved biorthogonal wavelet construction method to quantitatively analyse the GPR signal.A new quantitative analysis method based on the biorthogonal wavelet(the QAGBW method)is proposed and applied in the analysis of analogue and measured signals.The results show that compared with the Bayesian frequency-domain blind deconvolution and with existing wavelet bases,the QAGBW method based on optimal wavelet can limit the disturbance from factors such as the coherence of reflected waves and echo noise,improve the quantitative analytical precision of the GPR signal,and match the minimum thickness for quantitative analysis with the vertical resolution of GPR detection.展开更多
BACKGROUND Hepatitis B(HB)and hepatitis C(HC)place the largest burden in China,and a goal of eliminating them as a major public health threat by 2030 has been set.Making more informed and accurate forecasts of their s...BACKGROUND Hepatitis B(HB)and hepatitis C(HC)place the largest burden in China,and a goal of eliminating them as a major public health threat by 2030 has been set.Making more informed and accurate forecasts of their spread is essential for developing effective strategies,heightening the requirement for early warning to deal with such a major public health threat.AIM To monitor HB and HC epidemics by the design of a paradigmatic seasonal autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average(SARFIMA)for projections into 2030,and to compare the effectiveness with the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average(SARIMA).METHODS Monthly HB and HC incidence cases in China were obtained from January 2004 to June 2023.Descriptive analysis and the Hodrick-Prescott method were employed to identify trends and seasonality.Two periods(from January 2004 to June 2022 and from January 2004 to December 2015,respectively)were used as the training sets to develop both models,while the remaining periods served as the test sets to evaluate the forecasting accuracy.RESULTS There were incidents of 23400874 HB cases and 3590867 HC cases from January 2004 to June 2023.Overall,HB remained steady[average annual percentage change(AAPC)=0.44,95%confidence interval(95%CI):-0.94-1.84]while HC was increasing(AAPC=8.91,95%CI:6.98-10.88),and both had a peak in March and a trough in February.In the 12-step-ahead HB forecast,the mean absolute deviation(15211.94),root mean square error(18762.94),mean absolute percentage error(0.17),mean error rate(0.15),and root mean square percentage error(0.25)under the best SARFIMA(3,0,0)(0,0.449,2)12 were smaller than those under the best SARIMA(3,0,0)(0,1,2)12(16867.71,20775.12,0.19,0.17,and 0.27,respectively).Similar results were also observed for the 90-step-ahead HB,12-step-ahead HC,and 90-step-ahead HC forecasts.The predicted HB incidents totaled 9865400(95%CI:7508093-12222709)cases and HC totaled 1659485(95%CI:856681-2462290)cases during 2023-2030.CONCLUSION Under current interventions,China faces enormous challenges to eliminate HB and HC epidemics by 2030,and effective strategies must be reinforced.The integration of SARFIMA into public health for the management of HB and HC epidemics can potentially result in more informed and efficient interventions,surpassing the capabilities of SARIMA.展开更多
基金3the High Performance Computing Center of Shanghai University,Shanghai Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Computing System(19DZ2252600)supported by State Key Laboratory of Computer Architecture(Institute of Computing Technology,Chinese Academy of Sciences)(CARCH201909)。
文摘Complementary metal oxide semiconductor(CMOS)aging mechanisms including bias temperature instability(BTI)pose growing concerns about circuit reliability.BTI results in threshold voltage increases on CMOS transistors,causing delay shifts and timing violations on logic circuits.The amount of degradation is dependent on the circuit workload,which increases the challenge for accurate BTI aging prediction at the design time.In this paper,a BTI prediction method for logic circuits based on statistical static timing analysis(SSTA)is proposed,especially considering the correlation between circuit workload and BTI degradation.It consists of a training phase,to discover the relationship between circuit scale and the required workload samples,and a prediction phase,to present the degradations under different workloads in Gaussian probability distributions.This method can predict the distribution of degradations with negligible errors,and identify 50%more BTI-critical paths in an affordable time,compared with conventional methods.
基金funded by the Nursing project,“Clinical ability improvement project”in the First Affliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University(JSPH-NC-2021-09).
文摘Objectives:This study aimed to explore the characteristics of outpatient blood collection center visit fluctuation and nursing workforce allocation based on a time series model,and the application effect was evaluated.Methods:To enhance the efficiency of phlebotomy at the hospital outpatient window and improve patient satisfaction,the First Affliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University implemented a time series analysis model in 2024 to optimize nursing staff allocation.The management team was led by a head nurse of the outpatient blood collection department with extensive experience.It included one director of the nursing department,six senior clinical nurses,one informatics expert,and one nursing master's degree holder.Retrospective time-series data from the hospital's smart blood collection system(including hourly blood collection volumes and waiting times)were extracted between January 2020 and December 2023.Time series analysis was used to identify annual,seasonal,monthly,and hourly variation patterns in blood collection volumes.Seasonal decomposition and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model(ARIMA)were employed to forecast blood collection fluctuations for 2024 and facilitate dynamic scheduling.A comparison was conducted to evaluate differences in blood collection efficiency and patient satisfaction before(January-June 2023)and after(January-June 2024)implementing the dynamic scheduling model based on the time series analysis and forecasting.Results:Visit volumes showed periodicity and slow growth,peaking every second and third quarter of the year and daily at 8:00-9:00 a.m.and 2:00-3:00 p.m.The ARIMA model demonstrated a good fit(R2=0.692,mean absolute percentage error=8.28%).After adjusting the nursing staff allocation based on the fluctuation characteristics of the number of phlebotomy per hour in the time series analysis model,at the peak period of the blood collection window,at least three nurses,one mobile nurse and two volunteers were added.The number of phlebotomy per hour increased from 289.74±54.55 to 327.53±37.84 person-time(t=-10.041,P<0.01),waiting time decreased from 5.79±2.68 to 4.01±0.46 min(t=11.531,P<0.01),and satisfaction rose from 92.7%to 97.3%(χ^(2)=6.877,P<0.05).Conclusions:Based on the time series analysis method,it is helpful for nursing managers to accurately allocate human resources and optimize the efficiency of outpatient service resources by mining the special change rule of the outpatient blood collection window and predicting the future fluctuation trend.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(22078030)the National Key Research and Development Project(2019YFC1905802,2022YFB3504305)+1 种基金the Joint Funds of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1802255,CSTB2022NSCQ-LZX0014)the Key Project of Independent Research Project of State Key Laboratory of Coal Mine Disaster Dynamics and Control(2011DA105287-zd201902).
文摘Leveraging big data signal processing offers a pathway to the development of artificial intelligencedriven equipment.The analysis of fluid flow signals and the characterization of fluid flow behavior are of critical in two-phase flow studies.Significant research efforts have focused on discerning flow regimes using various signal analysis methods.In this review,recent advances in time series signals analysis algorithms for stirred tank reactors have been summarized,and the detailed methodologies are categorized into the frequency domain methods,time-frequency domain methods,and state space methods.The strengths,limitations,and notable findings of each algorithm are highlighted.Additionally,the interrelationships between these methodologies have also been discussed,as well as the present progress achieved in various applications.Future research directions and challenges are also predicted to provide an overview of current research trends in data mining of time series for analyzing flow regimes and chaotic signals.This review offers a comprehensive summary for extracting and characterizing fluid flow behavior and serves as a theoretical reference for optimizing the characterization of chaotic signals in future research endeavors.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42404017,42122025 and 42174030).
文摘GNSS time series analysis provides an effective method for research on the earth's surface deformation,and it can be divided into two parts,deterministic models and stochastic models.The former part can be achieved by several parameters,such as polynomial terms,periodic terms,offsets,and post-seismic models.The latter contains some stochastic noises,which can be affected by detecting the former parameters.If there are not enough parameters assumed,modeling errors will occur and adversely affect the analysis results.In this study,we propose a processing strategy in which the commonly-used 1-order of the polynomial term can be replaced with different orders for better fitting GNSS time series of the Crustal Movement Network of China(CMONOC)stations.Initially,we use the Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC)to identify the best order within the range of 1-4 during the fitting process using the white noise plus power-law noise(WN+PL)model.Then,we compare the 1-order and the optimal order on the effect of deterministic models in GNSS time series,including the velocity and its uncertainty,amplitudes,and initial phases of the annual signals.The results indicate that the first-order polynomial in the GNSS time series is not the primary factor.The root mean square(RMS)reduction rates of almost all station components are positive,which means the new fitting of optimal-order polynomial helps to reduce the RMS of residual series.Most stations maintain the velocity difference(VD)within ±1 mm/yr,with percentages of 85.6%,81.9%and 63.4%in the North,East,and Up components,respectively.As for annual signals,the numbers of amplitude difference(AD)remained at ±0.2 mm are 242,239,and 200 in three components,accounting for 99.6%,98.4%,and 82.3%,respectively.This finding reminds us that the detection of the optimal-order polynomial is necessary when we aim to acquire an accurate understanding of the crustal movement features.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2023YFF1204803)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province,China(Grant No.BK20190736)+1 种基金the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Grant No.NJ2024029)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.81701346 and 62201265).
文摘The natural visibility graph method has been widely used in physiological signal analysis,but it fails to accurately handle signals with data points below the baseline.Such signals are common across various physiological measurements,including electroencephalograph(EEG)and functional magnetic resonance imaging(fMRI),and are crucial for insights into physiological phenomena.This study introduces a novel method,the baseline perspective visibility graph(BPVG),which can analyze time series by accurately capturing connectivity across data points both above and below the baseline.We present the BPVG construction process and validate its performance using simulated signals.Results demonstrate that BPVG accurately translates periodic,random,and fractal signals into regular,random,and scale-free networks respectively,exhibiting diverse degree distribution traits.Furthermore,we apply BPVG to classify Alzheimer’s disease(AD)patients from healthy controls using EEG data and identify non-demented adults at varying dementia risk using resting-state fMRI(rs-fMRI)data.Utilizing degree distribution entropy derived from BPVG networks,our results exceed the best accuracy benchmark(77.01%)in EEG analysis,especially at channels F4(78.46%)and O1(81.54%).Additionally,our rs-fMRI analysis achieves a statistically significant classification accuracy of 76.74%.These findings highlight the effectiveness of BPVG in distinguishing various time series types and its practical utility in EEG and rs-fMRI analysis for early AD detection and dementia risk assessment.In conclusion,BPVG’s validation across both simulated and real data confirms its capability to capture comprehensive information from time series,irrespective of baseline constraints,providing a novel method for studying neural physiological signals.
基金The National High Technology Research and Devel-opment Program of China (863Program) (No2006AA04Z416)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No50538020)
文摘Aiming at the problem of on-line damage diagnosis in structural health monitoring （SHM）, an algorithm of feature extraction and damage alarming based on auto-regressive moving-average （ARMA） time series analysis is presented. The monitoring data were first modeled as ARMA models, while a principalcomponent matrix derived from the AR coefficients of these models was utilized to establish the Mahalanobisdistance criterion functions. Then, a new damage-sensitive feature index DDSF is proposed. A hypothesis test involving the t-test method is further applied to obtain a decision of damage alarming as the mean value of DDSF had significantly changed after damage. The numerical results of a three-span-girder model shows that the defined index is sensitive to subtle structural damage, and the proposed algorithm can be applied to the on-line damage alarming in SHM.
基金Supported by Student Research Fund of Agricultural University of Hebei(cxzr2014023)Technology Fund of Agricultural University of Hebei(ZD201406)~~
文摘The research conducted prediction on changes of atmosphere pollution during July 9, 2014-July 22, 2014 with SPSS based on monitored data of O3 in 13 successive weeks from 6 sites in Baoding City and demonstrated prediction effect of ARIMA model is good by Ljung-Box Q-test and R2, and the model can be used for prediction on future atmosphere pollutant changes.
基金Supported by National High Technology Research and Develop Program of China(No.2012AA012301)the CAS/SAFEA International Partnership Program for Creative Research Teams
文摘To improve the path slack of Field Programmable Gate Array(FPGA), this paper proposes a timing slack optimization approach which utilizes the hybrid routing strategy of rip-up-retry and pathfinder. Firstly, effect of process variations on path slack is analyzed, and by constructing a collocation table of delay model that takes into account the multi-corner process, the complex statistical static timing analysis is successfully translated into a simple classical static timing analysis. Then, based on the hybrid routing strategy of rip-up-retry and pathfinder, by adjusting the critical path which detours a long distance, the critical path delay is reduced and the path slack is optimized. Experimental results show that, using the hybrid routing strategy, the number of paths with negative slack can be optimized(reduced) by 85.8% on average compared with the Versatile Place and Route(VPR) timing-driven routing algorithm, while the run-time is only increased by 15.02% on average.
文摘In this paper, we propose a cross reference method for nonlinear time series analyzing in semi blind case, that is, the dynamic equations modeling the time series are known but the corresponding parameters are not. The tasks of noise reduction and parameter estimation which were fulfilled separately before are combined iteratively. With the positive interaction between the two processing modules, the method is somewhat superior. Some prior work can be viewed as special cases of this general framework. The simulations for noise reduction and parameter estimation of contaminated chaotic time series show improved performance of our method compared with previous work.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61273236)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(No.BK2010239)the Ph.D.Programs Foundation of Ministry of Education of China(No.200802861061)
文摘This paper presents a novel approach to identify and correct the gross errors in the microelectromechanical system （MEMS） gyroscope used in ground vehicles by means of time series analysis. According to the characteristics of autocorrelation function （ACF） and partial autocorrelation function （PACF）, an autoregressive integrated moving average （ARIMA） model is roughly constructed. The rough model is optimized by combining with Akaike＇s information criterion （A/C）, and the parameters are estimated based on the least squares algorithm. After validation testing, the model is utilized to forecast the next output on the basis of the previous measurement. When the difference between the measurement and its prediction exceeds the defined threshold, the measurement is identified as a gross error and remedied by its prediction. A case study on the yaw rate is performed to illustrate the developed algorithm. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach can effectively distinguish gross errors and make some reasonable remedies.
基金The Key Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China Under Grant No.50538020 the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars Under Grant No.50725828+2 种基金 the National Natural Science Foundation of China Under Grant No.50978056the National Natural Science Foundation of China for Young Scholars Under Grant No.50908046 the Ph.D.Programs Foundation of Ministry of Education of China (No.200802861012)
文摘The rigid central buckle employed in the Runyang Suspension Bridge (RSB) was the first time it was used in a suspension bridge in China. By using a spectral representation method and FFT technique combined with measured data,a 3D fluctuating wind field considering the tower wind effect is simulated. A novel FE model for buffeting analysis is then presented,in which a specific user-defined Matrix27 element in ANSYS is employed to simulate the aeroelastic forces and its stiffness or damping matrices are parameterized by wind velocity and vibration frequency. A nonlinear time history analysis is carried out to study the influence of the rigid central buckle on the wind-induced buffeting response of a long-span suspension bridge. The results can be used as a reference for wind resistance design of long-span suspension bridges with a rigid central buckle in the future.
文摘The seismic capacity curves of three types of buildings including frame,frame-shear wall and shear wall ob- tained by pushover analysis under different lateral load patterns are compared with those from nonlinear time history analy- sis.Based on the numerical results obtained a two-phase load pattern:an inverted triangle(first mode)load pattern until the base shear force reaches β times its maximum value,V_(max)followed by a(x/H)~α form,here β and α being some coeffi- cients depending on the type of the structures considered,is proposed in the paper,which can provide excellent approxima- tion of the seismic capacity curve for low-to-mid-rise shear type buildings.Furthermore,it is shown both the two-phase load pattern proposed and the invariant uniform pattern can be used for low-to-mid-rise shear-bending type and low-rise bending type of buildings.No suitable load patterns have been found for high-rise buildings.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61571088)the State High-Tech Development Plan(the 863 Program)(2015AA7031093B2015AA8098088B)
基金TheNationalNaturalScienceFoundationofChina (No .2 96 770 0 4)
文摘The effects of the calorimetric buffer solutions were investigated while the two colorimetric reactions of AI-ferron complex and Fe-ferron complex occurred individually, and the effects of the testing wavelength and the pH of the solutions were also investigated. A timed complexatian colorimetric analysis method of Al-Fe-ferron in view of the total concentration of {AI + Fe} was then established to determine the species distribution of polymeric Al-Fe. The testing wavelength was recommended at 362 net and the testing pH value was 5. With a comparison of the ratios of n(Al)/n(Fe), the standard adsorption curves of the polymeric Al-Fe solutions were derived from the experimental results. Furthermore, the solutions' composition were carious in both the molar n(Al)/n(Fe) ratios, i.e. 0/0, 5/5, 9/1 and 0/10, and the concentrations associated with the total ( Al + Fe which ranged from 10(-5) to 10(-4) mol/L..
文摘Based on the concept of structural passive control,a new type of slit shear wall,with improved seismic performance when compared to an ordinary solid shear wall,was proposed by the authors in 1996.The idea has been verified by a series of pseudo-static and dynamic tests.In this paper a macro numerical model is developed for the wall element and the energy dissipation device.Then,nonlinear time history analysis is carried out for a 10-story slit shear wall model tested on a shaking table.Furthermore,the seismic input energy and the individual energy dissipated by the components are calculated by a method based on Newmark-β assumptions for this shear wall model,and the advantages of this shear wall are further demonstrated by the calculation results from the viewpoint of energy.Finally,according to the seismic damage criterion on the basis of plastic accumulative energy and maximum response,the optimal analysis is carried out to select design parameters for the energy dissipation device.
基金Foundation item: Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 51279130 and No. 51239008
文摘In this study, the coupled heave-pitch motion equations of a spar platform were established by considering lst-order and 2nd-order random wave loads and the effects of time-varying displacement volume and transient wave elevation. We generated random wave loads based on frequency-domain wave load transfer functions and the Joint North Sea Wave Project (JONSWAP) wave spectrum, designed program codes to solve the motion equations, and then simulated the coupled heave-pitch motion responses of the platform in the time domain. We then calculated and compared the motion responses in different sea conditions and separately investigated the effects of 2nd-order random wave loads and transient wave elevation. The results show that the coupled heave-pitch motion responses of the platform are primarily dominated by wave height and the characteristic wave period, the latter of which has a greater impact. 2nd-order mean wave loads mainly affect the average heave value. The platform's pitch increases after the 2nd-order low frequency wave loads are taken into account. The platform's heave is underestimated if the transient wave elevation term in the motion equations is neglected.
基金co-supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China-China(No.11302011)the Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education-China(No.20131102120051)
文摘A flight dynamics model based on elastic blades for helicopters is developed.Modal shape analysis is used to describe the rotating elastic blades for the purpose of reducing the elastic degrees of freedom for blades.The analytical result is employed to predict the rotor forces and moments.The equilibrium equation of the flight dynamics model is then constructed for the elastic motion for blades and the rigid motion for other parts.The nonlinear equation is further simplified,and the gradient descent algorithm is adopted to implement the trim simulation.The trim analysis shows that the effect of blade elasticity on the accuracy of rotor forces and moments is apparent at high speed,and the proposed method presents good accuracy for trim performance.The timedomain response is realized by a combination of the Newmark method and the adaptive RungeKutta method.The helicopter control responses of collective pitch show that the response accuracy of the model at a yaw-and-pitch attitude is improved.Finally,the influence of blade elasticity on the helicopter dynamic response in low-altitude wind shear is investigated.An increase in blade elasticity reduces the oscillation amplitude of the yaw angle and the vertical speed by more than 70%.Compared with a rigid blade,an elastic blade reduces the vibration frequency of the angular velocity and results in a fast return of the helicopter to its stable flight.
基金partly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [81773370 and 82173638]the Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province [TD2019H001]
文摘Objective To recognize the spatial and temporal characteristics of iodine deficiency disorders(IDD),China national IDD surveillance data for the years of 1995–2018 were analyzed.Methods Time series analysis was used to describe and predict the IDD related indicators,and spatial analysis was used to analyze the spatial distribution of salt iodine levels.Results In China,the median urinary iodine concentration increased in 1995–1997,then decreased to adequate levels,and are expected to remain appropriate in 2019–2022.The goiter rate continually decreased and is expected to be maintained at a low level.Since 2002,the coverage rates of iodized salt and the consumption rates of qualified iodized salt(the percentage of qualified iodized salt in all tested salt) increased and began to decline in 2012;they are expected to continue to decrease.Spatial epidemiological analysis indicated a positive spatial correlation in 2016–2018 and revealed feature regarding the spatial distribution of salt related indicators in coastal areas and areas near iodine-excess areas.Conclusions Iodine nutrition in China showed gradual improvements.However,a recent decline has been observed in some areas following changes in the iodized salt supply in China.In the future,more regulations regarding salt management should be issued to strengthen IDD control and prevention measures,and avoid the recurrence of IDD.
基金Projects(51678071,51278071)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProjects(14KC06,CX2015BS02)supported by Changsha University of Science&Technology,China
文摘Due to the disturbances arising from the coherence of reflected waves and from echo noise,problems such as limitations,instability and poor accuracy exist with the current quantitative analysis methods.According to the intrinsic features of GPR signals and wavelet time–frequency analysis,an optimal wavelet basis named GPR3.3 wavelet is constructed via an improved biorthogonal wavelet construction method to quantitatively analyse the GPR signal.A new quantitative analysis method based on the biorthogonal wavelet(the QAGBW method)is proposed and applied in the analysis of analogue and measured signals.The results show that compared with the Bayesian frequency-domain blind deconvolution and with existing wavelet bases,the QAGBW method based on optimal wavelet can limit the disturbance from factors such as the coherence of reflected waves and echo noise,improve the quantitative analytical precision of the GPR signal,and match the minimum thickness for quantitative analysis with the vertical resolution of GPR detection.
基金Supported by the Key Scientific Research Project of Universities in Henan Province,No.21A330004Natural Science Foundation in Henan Province,No.222300420265.
文摘BACKGROUND Hepatitis B(HB)and hepatitis C(HC)place the largest burden in China,and a goal of eliminating them as a major public health threat by 2030 has been set.Making more informed and accurate forecasts of their spread is essential for developing effective strategies,heightening the requirement for early warning to deal with such a major public health threat.AIM To monitor HB and HC epidemics by the design of a paradigmatic seasonal autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average(SARFIMA)for projections into 2030,and to compare the effectiveness with the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average(SARIMA).METHODS Monthly HB and HC incidence cases in China were obtained from January 2004 to June 2023.Descriptive analysis and the Hodrick-Prescott method were employed to identify trends and seasonality.Two periods(from January 2004 to June 2022 and from January 2004 to December 2015,respectively)were used as the training sets to develop both models,while the remaining periods served as the test sets to evaluate the forecasting accuracy.RESULTS There were incidents of 23400874 HB cases and 3590867 HC cases from January 2004 to June 2023.Overall,HB remained steady[average annual percentage change(AAPC)=0.44,95%confidence interval(95%CI):-0.94-1.84]while HC was increasing(AAPC=8.91,95%CI:6.98-10.88),and both had a peak in March and a trough in February.In the 12-step-ahead HB forecast,the mean absolute deviation(15211.94),root mean square error(18762.94),mean absolute percentage error(0.17),mean error rate(0.15),and root mean square percentage error(0.25)under the best SARFIMA(3,0,0)(0,0.449,2)12 were smaller than those under the best SARIMA(3,0,0)(0,1,2)12(16867.71,20775.12,0.19,0.17,and 0.27,respectively).Similar results were also observed for the 90-step-ahead HB,12-step-ahead HC,and 90-step-ahead HC forecasts.The predicted HB incidents totaled 9865400(95%CI:7508093-12222709)cases and HC totaled 1659485(95%CI:856681-2462290)cases during 2023-2030.CONCLUSION Under current interventions,China faces enormous challenges to eliminate HB and HC epidemics by 2030,and effective strategies must be reinforced.The integration of SARFIMA into public health for the management of HB and HC epidemics can potentially result in more informed and efficient interventions,surpassing the capabilities of SARIMA.
