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VARIATIONAL ANALYSIS FOR THE MAXIMAL TIME FUNCTION IN NORMED SPACES
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作者 Ziyi ZHOU Yi JIANG 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第5期1696-1706,共11页
For a general normed vector space,a special optimal value function called a maximal time function is considered.This covers the farthest distance function as a special case,and has a close relationship with the smalle... For a general normed vector space,a special optimal value function called a maximal time function is considered.This covers the farthest distance function as a special case,and has a close relationship with the smallest enclosing ball problem.Some properties of the maximal time function are proven,including the convexity,the lower semicontinuity,and the exact characterizations of its subdifferential formulas. 展开更多
关键词 maximal time function SUBDIFFERENTIAL normal cone nonsmooth analysis
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Time function of surface subsidence based on Harris model in mined-out area 被引量:7
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作者 Liu Xinrong Wang Junbao +2 位作者 Guo Jianqiang Yuan Hong Li Peng 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI 2013年第2期251-254,共4页
The surface subsidence is a common environmental hazard in mined-out area. Based on careful analysis of the regularity of surface subsidence in mined-out area, we proposed a new time function based on Harris curve mod... The surface subsidence is a common environmental hazard in mined-out area. Based on careful analysis of the regularity of surface subsidence in mined-out area, we proposed a new time function based on Harris curve model in consideration of the shortage of current surface subsidence time functions. By analyzing the characteristics of the new time function, we found that it could meet the dynamic process, the velocity change process and the acceleration change process during surface subsidence. Then its rationality had been verified through project cases. The results show that the proposed time function model can give a good reflection of the regularity of surface subsidence in mined-out area and can accurately predict surface subsidence. And the prediction data of the model are a little greater than measured data on condition of proper measured data quantity, which is safety in the engineering. This model provides a new method for the analysis of surface subsidence in mined-out area and reference for future prediction, and it is valuable to engineering application. 展开更多
关键词 Mined-out area Surface subsidence time function Harris model Prediction
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Source time functions of the 1999, Jiji (Chi-Chi) earthquake from GDSN long period waveform data using aftershocks as empirical Green's functions 被引量:1
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作者 许力生 G.Patau 陈运泰 《Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition)》 EI CSCD 2002年第2期121-133,共13页
A large earthquake (Mw=7.6) occurred in Jiji (Chi-Chi), Taiwan, China on September 20, 1999, and was followed by many moderate-size shocks in the following days. Two of the largest aftershocks with the magnitudes of M... A large earthquake (Mw=7.6) occurred in Jiji (Chi-Chi), Taiwan, China on September 20, 1999, and was followed by many moderate-size shocks in the following days. Two of the largest aftershocks with the magnitudes of Mw=6.1 and Mw=6.2, respectively, were used as empirical Green's functions (EGFs) to obtain the source time functions (STFs) of the main shock from long-period waveform data of the Global Digital Seismograph Network (GDSN) including IRIS, GEOSCOPE and CDSN. For the Mw=6.1 aftershock of September 22, there were 97 pairs of phases clear enough from 78 recordings of 26 stations; for the Mw=6.2 aftershock of September 25, there were 81 pairs of phases clear enough from 72 recordings of 24 stations. For each station, 2 types of STFs were retrieved, which are called P-STF and S-STF due to being from P and S phases, respectively. Totally, 178 STF individuals were obtained for source-process analysis of the main shock. It was noticed that, in general, STFs from most of the stations had similarities except that those in special azimuths looked different or odd due to the mechanism difference between the main shock and the aftershocks; and in detail, the shapes of the STFs varied with azimuth. Both of them reflected the stability and reliability of the retrieved STFs. The comprehensive analysis of those STFs suggested that this event consisted of two sub-events, the total duration time was about 26 s, and on the average, the second event was about 7 s later than the first one, and the moment-rate amplitude of the first event was about 15% larger than that of the second one. 展开更多
关键词 Jiji (Chi-chi) earthquake long-period waveform source time function
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Source parameters determination for earthquakes in Kushiro,Japan considering source time function
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作者 Lifen Zhang Wulin Liao +2 位作者 Guichun Wei Jinggang Li Qiuliang Wang 《Earthquake Science》 CSCD 2012年第2期137-142,共6页
This paper applies a new formulation to do moment tensor inversion for earthquakes in the Kushiro area of Japan. Comparing with conventional moment tensor inversion method, the new one takes the effect of source time ... This paper applies a new formulation to do moment tensor inversion for earthquakes in the Kushiro area of Japan. Comparing with conventional moment tensor inversion method, the new one takes the effect of source time function into consideration. For the inversion, best solution is obtained by minimizing the difference between the observed seismograms and the synthetic ones. And the best-fitting focal depth is determined from the variance reduction. The results indicate that half duration of source time function is proportional to the magnitude of earthquakes. Large earthquakes have long half duration, whereas that of moderate-small earthquakes is comparatively shorter. The focal mechanisms of all three earthquakes are of thrust fault type, which is mainly ascribed to the collision of the North American plate with the Eurasia plate in the late Cretaceous or Paleogene. 展开更多
关键词 moment tensor inversion half duration source time function Kushiro
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Ultrawideband high density polymer-based spherical array for real-time functional optoacoustic micro-angiography
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作者 Pavel V.Subochev XoséLuís Deán-Ben +13 位作者 Zhenyue Chen Maxim B.Prudnikov Vladimir A.Vorobev Alexey A.Kurnikov Anna G.Orlova Anna S.Postnikova Alexey V.Kharitonov Mikhail D.Proyavin Roman I.Ovsyannikov Anatoly G.Sanin Mikhail Y.Kirillin Francisco Montero de Espinosa Ilya V.Turchin Daniel Razansky 《Light(Science & Applications)》 2025年第9期2489-2502,共14页
Owing to its unique ability to capture volumetric tomographic information with a single light flash,optoacoustic(OA)tomography has recently demonstrated ultrafast imaging speeds ultimately limited by the ultrasound ti... Owing to its unique ability to capture volumetric tomographic information with a single light flash,optoacoustic(OA)tomography has recently demonstrated ultrafast imaging speeds ultimately limited by the ultrasound time-of-flight.The method's scalability and the achievable spatial resolution are yet limited by the narrow bandwidth of piezo-composite arrays currently employed for OA signal detection.Here we report on the first implementation of high-density spherical array technology based on flexible polyvinylidene difluoride films featuring ultrawideband(0.3-40 MHz)sub mm^(2)area elements,thus enabling real-time multi-scale volumetric imaging with 22-35μm spatial resolution,superior image fidelity and over an order of magnitude signal-to-noise enhancement compared to piezo-composite equivalents.We further demonstrate five-dimensional(spectroscopic,time-resolved,volumetric)imaging capabilities by visualizing fast stimulus-evoked cerebral oxygenation changes in mice and performing real-time functional angiography of deep human micro-vasculature.The new technology thus leverages the true potential of OA for quantitative high-resolution visualization of rapid bio-dynamics across scales. 展开更多
关键词 real time functional optoacoustic micro angiography volumetric tomographic information flexible polyvinylidene difluoride films flexible polyvinyl spatial resolution ULTRAWIDEBAND ultrasound time flight high density polymer based spherical array
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Algorithm for computing time correlation functions in non-stationary complex dynamic systems
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作者 Jiu Zhang Lifu Jin +4 位作者 Bo Zheng Xiongfei Jiang Tingting Chen Cong Xu Yanqing Hu 《Chinese Physics B》 2025年第3期77-83,共7页
For non-stationary complex dynamic systems,a standardized algorithm is developed to compute time correlation functions,addressing the limitations of traditional methods reliant on the stationary assumption.The propose... For non-stationary complex dynamic systems,a standardized algorithm is developed to compute time correlation functions,addressing the limitations of traditional methods reliant on the stationary assumption.The proposed algorithm integrates two-point and multi-point time correlation functions into a unified framework.Further,it is verified by a practical application in complex financial systems,demonstrating its potential in various complex dynamic systems. 展开更多
关键词 complex dynamic systems non-stationary states time correlation functions
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Applying the Liouville–Lanczos method of time-dependent density-functional theory to warm dense matter
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作者 Zhandos A.Moldabekov Sebastian Schwalbe +3 位作者 Thomas Gawne Thomas R.Preston Jan Vorberger Tobias Dornheim 《Matter and Radiation at Extremes》 2025年第4期44-57,共14页
Ab initio modeling of dynamic structure factors(DSF)and related density response properties in the warm dense matter(WDM)regime is a challenging computational task.The DSF,convolved with a probing X-ray beam and instr... Ab initio modeling of dynamic structure factors(DSF)and related density response properties in the warm dense matter(WDM)regime is a challenging computational task.The DSF,convolved with a probing X-ray beam and instrument function,is measured in X-ray Thom-son scattering(XRTS)experiments,which allow the study of electronic structure properties at the microscopic level.Among the various ab initio methods,linear-response time-dependent density-functional theory(LR-TDDFT)is a key framework for simulating the DSF.The standard approach in LR-TDDFT for computing the DSF relies on the orbital representation.A significant drawback of this method is the unfavorable scaling of the number of required empty bands as the wavenumber increases,making LR-TDDFT impractical for modeling XRTS measurements over large energy scales,such as in backward scattering geometry.In this work,we consider and test an alternative approach to LR-TDDFT that employs the Liouville–Lanczos(LL)method for simulating the DSF of WDM.This approach does not require empty states and allows the DSF at large momentum transfer values and over a broad frequency range to be accessed.We compare the results obtained from the LL method with those from the solution of Dyson’s equation using the standard LR-TDDFT within the projector augmented-wave formalism for isochorically heated aluminum and warm dense hydrogen.Additionally,we utilize exact path integral Monte Carlo results for the imaginary-time density-density correlation function(ITCF)of warm dense hydrogen to rigorously benchmark the LL approach.We discuss the application of the LL method for calculating DSFs and ITCFs at different wavenumbers,the effects of pseudopotentials,and the role of Lorentzian smearing.The successful validation of the LL method under WDM conditions makes it a valuable addition to the ab initio simulation landscape,supporting experimental efforts and advancing WDM theory. 展开更多
关键词 ab initio dynamic structure factors dsf Liouville Lanczos method simulating ds ab initio methodslinear response warm dense matter time dependent density functional theory density response properties
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Source time functions of the Gonghe,China earthquake retrieved from long-period digital waveform data using empirical Green's function technique 被引量:6
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作者 许力生 陈运泰 《Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition)》 CSCD 1996年第2期209-222,共14页
An earthquake of Ms= 6, 9 occurred at the Gonghe, Qinghai Province, China on April 26, 1990. Three larger aftershocks took place at the same region, Ms= 5. 0 on May 7, 1990, Ms= 6. 0 on Jan. 3, 1994 and Ms= 5. 7on Feb... An earthquake of Ms= 6, 9 occurred at the Gonghe, Qinghai Province, China on April 26, 1990. Three larger aftershocks took place at the same region, Ms= 5. 0 on May 7, 1990, Ms= 6. 0 on Jan. 3, 1994 and Ms= 5. 7on Feb. 16, 1994. The long-period recordings of the main shock from China Digital Seismograph Network (CDSN) are deconvolved for the source time functions by the correspondent0 recordings of the three aftershocks asempirical Green's functions (EGFs). No matter which aftershock is taken as EGF, the relative source time functions (RSTFs) Obtained are nearly identical. The RSTFs suggest the Ms= 6. 9 event consists of at least two subevents with approximately equal size whose occurrence times are about 30 s apart, the first one has a duration of 12 s and a rise time of about 5 s, and the second one has a duration of 17 s and a rise time of about & s. COmParing the RSTFs obtained from P- and SH-phases respectively, we notice that those from SH-phases are a slightly more complex than those from p-phases, implying other finer subevents exist during the process of the main shock. It is interesting that the results from the EGF deconvolution of long-Period way form data are in good agreement with the results from the moment tensor inversion and from the EGF deconvolution of broadband waveform data. Additionally, the two larger aftershocks are deconvolved for their RSTFs. The deconvolution results show that the processes of the Ms= 6. 0 event on Jan. 3, 1994 and the Ms= 5. 7 event on Feb. 16,1994 are quite simple, both RSTFs are single impulses.The RSTFs of the Ms= 6. 9 main shock obtained from different stations are noticed to be azimuthally dependent, whose shapes are a slightly different with different stations. However, the RSTFs of the two smaller aftershocks are not azimuthally dependent. The integrations of RSTFs over the processes are quite close to each other, i. e., the scalar seismic moments estimated from different stations are in good agreement. Finally the scalar seismic moments of the three aftershocks are compared. The relative scalar seismic moment Of the three aftershocks deduced from the relative scalar seismic moments of the Ms=6. 9 main shock are very close to those inverted directly from the EGF deconvolution. The relative scalar seismic moment of the Ms =6. 9 main shock calculated using the three aftershocks as EGF are 22 (the Ms= 6. 0 aftershock being EGF), 26 (the Ms= 5. 7 aftershock being EGF) and 66 (the Ms= 5. 5 aftershock being EGF), respectively. Deducingfrom those results, the relative scalar sesimic moments of the Ms= 6. 0 to the Ms= 5. 7 events, the Ms= 6. 0 tothe Ms= 5. 5 events and the Ms= 5. 7 to the Ms= 5. 5 events are 1. 18, 3. 00 and 2. 54, respectively. The correspondent relative scalar seismic moments calculated directly from the waveform recordings are 1. 15, 3. 43, and 3. 05. 展开更多
关键词 Gonghe earthquake empirical Green' function waveform data source time function.
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The optimum source-time function for generating finite-difference synthetic seismograms
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作者 Abdolrahim JAVAHERIAN(Institute of Geophysics,the University Of Tehran, P.O.Box 14155-6466 Tehran,Islamic Republic of Iran) 《Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition)》 CSCD 1994年第1期23-31,共9页
A source-time function plays an important role in generating finite-difference synthetic seismograms.In this regard,we consider the amplitude spectra of five different time functions.This investigation shows that when... A source-time function plays an important role in generating finite-difference synthetic seismograms.In this regard,we consider the amplitude spectra of five different time functions.This investigation shows that when the high-frequency signals of the time function carry more power than the main signal,the tailing phenomena would be associated with the main signal which is not desirable in producing finite-difference synthetic seismograms.It is illustrated that the time function denoted by is the optimal source-time function among those examined in this paper for generating finite-difference synthetic seismograms.This matter is also verified by making finite-difference synthetic seismograms over an elastic earth model consisting of a layer over a half space. 展开更多
关键词 source-time function FINITE-DIFFERENCE synthetic seismograms
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Fast Evaluation of Time-Domain Green Function for Finite Water Depth 被引量:3
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作者 滕斌 韩凌 勾莹 《海洋工程:英文版》 2003年第3期417-426,共10页
For computation of large amplitude motions of ships fastened to a dock, a fast evaluation scheme is implemented for computation of the time-domain Green function for finite water depth. Based on accurate evaluation of... For computation of large amplitude motions of ships fastened to a dock, a fast evaluation scheme is implemented for computation of the time-domain Green function for finite water depth. Based on accurate evaluation of the Green function directly, a fast approximation method for the Green function is developed by use of Chebyshev polynomials. Examinations are carried out of the accuracy of the Green function and its derivatives from the scheme. It is shown that when an appropriate number of polynomial terms are used, very accurate approximation can be obtained. 展开更多
关键词 Green function time-DOMAIN finite water depth
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Modified Functional Projective Synchronization of the Unidirectional and Bidirectional Hybrid Connective Star Network with Coupling Time-Delay 被引量:4
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作者 LI Dekui 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS CSCD 2019年第4期321-328,共8页
An unidirectional and bidirectional hybrid connective star network model with coupling time-delay is constructed in this paper. According to synchronization error systems, adaptive controllers for each node are struct... An unidirectional and bidirectional hybrid connective star network model with coupling time-delay is constructed in this paper. According to synchronization error systems, adaptive controllers for each node are structured by using the linear system stability method and the Lyapunov stability method. These adaptive controllers can realize the modified functional projective synchronization between each node of star network and an isolated node by argument and analysis. Finally, the corrective and effective of the adaptive controllers are illustrated by some numerical examples. 展开更多
关键词 star network UNIDIRECTIONAL and BIDIRECTIONAL HYBRID connection time-delay MODIFIED functionAL projective synchronization
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The Application of Multiquadric Function Fitting to Borehole Strain Time Series Data Processing 被引量:1
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作者 Peng Zhao Zhang Lei +1 位作者 Chen Zhiyao Lv Pingji 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2017年第2期239-246,共8页
Based on the existing continuous borehole strain observation,the multiquadric function fitting method was used to deal with time series data. The impact of difference kernel function parameters was discussed to obtain... Based on the existing continuous borehole strain observation,the multiquadric function fitting method was used to deal with time series data. The impact of difference kernel function parameters was discussed to obtain a valuable fitting result,from which the physical connotation of the original data and its possible applications were analyzed.Meanwhile,a brief comparison was made between the results of multiquadric function fitting and polynomial fitting. 展开更多
关键词 Multiquadric function fitting Kernel function Borehole strain time series
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Lumped Time Distribution Function of Dynamic Equilibrium System and Its Application in Calculating Molecular Weight Distribution of Polymer
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作者 李洪泊 孙建中 +2 位作者 刘青 翁志学 潘祖仁 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2002年第2期212-217,共6页
The lumped time distribution functions were proposed, which can be used for describing the dynamicsystems with two or more than two states of the end of growing polymer chain during chain addition polymerization.Numer... The lumped time distribution functions were proposed, which can be used for describing the dynamicsystems with two or more than two states of the end of growing polymer chain during chain addition polymerization.Numerical analysis of the lumped time distribution functions was carried out. The method for calculating molecularweight distribution of polymer in the stable free radical polymerization and more general cases was developed basedon the lumped time distribution functions. 展开更多
关键词 lumped time distribution function molecular weight distribution dynamic system
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Generation of endurance time excitation functions using spectral representation method
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作者 Parsa Parvanehro Mohammad Safi 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第2期441-452,共12页
In this study,application of the spectral representation method for generation of endurance time excitation functions is introduced.Using this method,the intensifying acceleration time series is generated so that its ... In this study,application of the spectral representation method for generation of endurance time excitation functions is introduced.Using this method,the intensifying acceleration time series is generated so that its acceleration response spectrum in any desired time duration is compatible with a time-scaled predefined acceleration response spectrum.For this purpose,simulated stationary acceleration time series is multiplied by the time dependent linear modulation function,then using a simple iterative scheme,it is forced to match a target acceleration response spectrum.It is shown that the generated samples have excellent conformity in low frequency,which is useful for nonlinear endurance time analysis.In the second part of this study,it is shown that this procedure can be extended to generate a set of spatially correlated endurance time excitation functions.This makes it possible to assess the performance of long structures under multi-support seismic excitation using endurance time analysis. 展开更多
关键词 endurance time analysis endurance time excitation functions spatial variation of seismic ground motions multi-support excitation spectral representation method
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A time-dependent density functional theory investigation of plasmon resonances of linear Au atomic chains 被引量:1
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作者 刘丹丹 张红 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2011年第9期345-349,共5页
We report theoretical studies on the plasmon resonances in linear Au atomic chains by using ab initio time- dependent density functional theory. The dipole responses are investigated each as a function of chain length... We report theoretical studies on the plasmon resonances in linear Au atomic chains by using ab initio time- dependent density functional theory. The dipole responses are investigated each as a function of chain length. They converge into a single resonance in the longitudinal mode but split into two transverse modes. As the chain length increases, the longitudinal plasmon mode is redshifted in energy while the transverse modes shift in the opposite direction (blueshifts). In addition, the energy gap between the two transverse modes reduces with chain length increasing. We find that there are unique characteristics, different from those of other metallic chains. These characteristics are crucial to atomic-scale engineering of single-molecule sensing, optical spectroscopy, and so on. 展开更多
关键词 plasmon resonance time-dependent density functional theory longitudinal plasmonmode transverse plasmon mode
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Adaptive Time Frequency Distribution Based on Linear Chirp Modulated Gaussian Functions 被引量:3
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作者 Shi-wei Ma Guang-hua Chen +1 位作者 Jia-mei Deng Jia-lin Cao 《Advances in Manufacturing》 2000年第1期31-37,共7页
We propose a method that uses linear chirp modulated Gaussian functions as the elementary functions, by adaptively adjusting variances, time frequency centers and sweep rates, to decompose signals. By taking WVD, an ... We propose a method that uses linear chirp modulated Gaussian functions as the elementary functions, by adaptively adjusting variances, time frequency centers and sweep rates, to decompose signals. By taking WVD, an improved adaptive time frequency distribution is developed, which is non negative, free of cross term interference, and of better time frequency resolution. The paper presents an effective numerical algorithm to estimate the optimal parameters of the basis. Simulations indicate that the proposed approach is effective in analyzing signal's time frequency behavior. 展开更多
关键词 adaptive time frequency distribution elementary function subspace decomposition STFT WVD
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Chiroptical properties of artemisinin and artemether investigated using time-dependent density functional theory 被引量:3
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作者 Li Li Bei-Bei Yang Yi-Kang Si 《Chinese Chemical Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第12期1586-1590,共5页
Chiroptical properties including electronic circular dichroism(ECD) and optical rotatory dispersion(ORD) of artemisinin and artemether have been fully studied using quantum-chemical calculation based on time-depen... Chiroptical properties including electronic circular dichroism(ECD) and optical rotatory dispersion(ORD) of artemisinin and artemether have been fully studied using quantum-chemical calculation based on time-dependent density functional theory.Both theoretical ECD and ORD of these two compounds were in good match with the experimental data.ECD spectrum of artemether could be totally attributed to the peroxide group,and that of artemisinin was an overlay of contribution from δ-lactone and peroxide moieties,which leading to a positive maximum at 260 nm.Our results showed that peroxide group could produce a broad ECD band in the far-UV region originated from electron transitions of HOMO →LUMO,HOMO-1 →LUMO and HOMO-2 →LUMO in the case of artemether.This work provided a theoretical interpretation of the ECD behavior of peroxide bond. 展开更多
关键词 Chiroptical properties Artemisinin Peroxide group Absolute configuration time-dependent density functional theory
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Simulation study of the effects of time delay on the correlation function of a bistable system with correlated noises
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作者 杜鲁春 戴祖诚 梅冬成 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2010年第8期151-155,共5页
The effects of time delay on the fluctuation properties of a bistable system are investigated by simulating its normalised correlation function C(s). Three cases including linear delay, cubic delay and global delay ... The effects of time delay on the fluctuation properties of a bistable system are investigated by simulating its normalised correlation function C(s). Three cases including linear delay, cubic delay and global delay in the system are considered respectively. The simulation results indicate that the linear delay enhances the fluctuation of the system (reduces the stability of the system) while the cubic delay and global delay weaken it (enforce the stability of the system), and the effect of cubic delay is more pronounced than the linear delay and global delay. 展开更多
关键词 bistable system time delay correlation function
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Envelope Functions of Time Histories in Seismic Safety Evaluation and Scenario Earthquakes
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作者 Shen Jianwen Yu Zhan Shi Shuzhong 《Earthquake Research in China》 2008年第3期297-303,共7页
It has been a period of time since the concept of scenario earthquake was proposed, but this concept has rarely been used in seismic safety evaluation in China since then. Meanwhile, because of the uncertainties of ma... It has been a period of time since the concept of scenario earthquake was proposed, but this concept has rarely been used in seismic safety evaluation in China since then. Meanwhile, because of the uncertainties of magnitudes-distances pairs, there is large arbitrariness while determining the envelope function of time histories in seismic hazard analysis. In this paper, we describe a method to control the envelope functions of the time histories by introducing the most-likely combinations of magnitude and distance of the scenario earthquakes based on a probabilistic method, revise the software of the ellipse model for seismic hazard analysis, and give a computation example. 展开更多
关键词 Scenario earthquake Envelope functions of time history Seismic hazard analysis
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Modeling Breast Cancer Incidence Rates: A Comparison between the Components of Functional Time Series (FTS) Model Applied on Karachi (Pakistan) and US Data
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作者 Farah Yasmeen 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 2016年第8期524-533,共10页
Several studies showed that the breast cancer incidence rates are higher in high-income (developed) countries, due to the link of breast cancer with several risk factors and the presence of systematic screening polici... Several studies showed that the breast cancer incidence rates are higher in high-income (developed) countries, due to the link of breast cancer with several risk factors and the presence of systematic screening policies. Some of the authors suggest that lower breast cancer incidence rates in low-income (developing) countries probably reflect international variation in hormonal factors and accessibility to early detection facilities. Recent studies showed that the breast cancer increased rapidly among women in Pakistan (a developing country) and it became the first malignancy among females of Pakistan. Although, the incidence rates may contain important evidence for understanding and control of the disease;however in Pakistan, the breast cancer incidence data have never been available in the last five decades since independence;rather, only hospital-based data are available. In this study, we intend to apply Functional Time Series (FTS) models to the breast cancer incidence rates of United State (developed country), and to see the difference between various components (age and time) of Functional Time Series (FTS) models applied independently on the breast cancer incidence rates of Karachi (Pakistan) and US. Past studies have already suggested that the incidence of US breast cancer cases was expected to increase in the coming decades. A progressive increase in the number of new cases is already predetermined by the high birth rate that occurred during the middle part of the century, and it will lead to nearly a doubling in the number of cases in about 4 decades. We also obtain 15 years predictions of breast cancer incidence rates in United States and compare them with the forecasts of incidence curves for Karachi. Development of methods for cancer incidence trend forecasting can provide a sound and accurate foundation for planning a comprehensive national strategy for optimal partitioning of research resources between the need for development of new treatments and the need for new research directed toward primary preventive measures. 展开更多
关键词 Breast Neoplasm EPIDEMIOLOGY Screening and Early Detection INCIDENCE functional time Series Forecasts
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