A four-dimensional variational （4D-Var） data assimilation method is implemented in an improved intermediate coupled model （ICM） of the tropical Pacific. A twin experiment is designed to evaluate the impact of the ...A four-dimensional variational （4D-Var） data assimilation method is implemented in an improved intermediate coupled model （ICM） of the tropical Pacific. A twin experiment is designed to evaluate the impact of the 4D-Var data assimilation algorithm on ENSO analysis and prediction based on the ICM. The model error is assumed to arise only from the parameter uncertainty. The ＂observation＂ of the SST anomaly, which is sampled from a ＂truth＂ model simulation that takes default parameter values and has Gaussian noise added, is directly assimilated into the assimilation model with its parameters set erroneously. Results show that 4D-Var effectively reduces the error of ENSO analysis and therefore improves the prediction skill of ENSO events compared with the non-assimilation case. These results provide a promising way for the ICM to achieve better real-time ENSO prediction.展开更多
Aircraft ground movement plays a key role in improving airport efficiency,as it acts as a link to all other ground operations.Finding novel approaches to coordinate the movements of a fleet of aircraft at an airport i...Aircraft ground movement plays a key role in improving airport efficiency,as it acts as a link to all other ground operations.Finding novel approaches to coordinate the movements of a fleet of aircraft at an airport in order to improve system resilience to disruptions with increasing autonomy is at the center of many key studies for airport airside operations.Moreover,autonomous taxiing is envisioned as a key component in future digitalized airports.However,state-of-the-art routing and scheduling algorithms for airport ground movements do not consider high-fidelity aircraft models at both the proactive and reactive planning phases.The majority of such algorithms do not actively seek to optimize fuel efficiency and reduce harmful greenhouse gas emissions.This paper proposes a new approach for generating efficient four-dimensional trajectories(4DTs)on the basis of a high-fidelity aircraft model and gainscheduling control strategy.Working in conjunction with a routing and scheduling algorithm that determines the taxi route,waypoints,and time deadlines,the proposed approach generates fuel-efficient 4DTs in real time,while respecting operational constraints.The proposed approach can be used in two contexts:①as a reactive decision support tool to generate new trajectories that can resolve unprecedented events;and②as an autopilot system for both partial and fully autonomous taxiing.The proposed methodology is realistic and simple to implement.Moreover,simulation studies show that the proposed approach is capable of providing an up to 11%reduction in the fuel consumed during the taxiing of a large Boeing 747-100 jumbo jet.展开更多
As coal mining progresses to greater depths,controlling the stability of surrounding rock in deep roadways has become an increasingly complex challenge.Although four-dimensional(4D)support theoretically offers unique ...As coal mining progresses to greater depths,controlling the stability of surrounding rock in deep roadways has become an increasingly complex challenge.Although four-dimensional(4D)support theoretically offers unique advantages in maintaining the stability of rock mass,the disaster evolution processes and multi-source information response characteristics in deep roadways with 4D support remain unclear.Consequently,a large-scale physical model testing system and self-designed 4D support components were employed to conduct similarity model tests on the surrounding rock failure process under unsupported(U-1),traditional bolt-mesh-cable support(T-2),and 4D support(4D-R-3)conditions.Combined with multi-source monitoring techniques,including stress–strain,digital image correlation(DIC),acoustic emission(AE),microseismic(MS),parallel electric(PE),and electromagnetic radiation(EMR),the mechanical behavior and multi-source information responses were comprehensively analyzed.The results show that the peak stress and displacement of the models are positively correlated with the support strength.The multi-source information exhibits distinct response characteristics under different supports.The response frequency,energy,and fluctuationsof AE,MS,and EMR signals,along with the apparent resistivity(AR)high-resistivity zone,follow the trend U-1>T-2>4D-R-3.Furthermore,multi-source information exhibits significantdifferences in sensitivity across different phases.The AE,MS,and EMR signals exhibit active responses to rock mass activity at each phase.However,AR signals are only sensitive to the fracture propagation during the plastic yield and failure phases.In summary,the 4D support significantlyenhances the bearing capacity and plastic deformation of the models,while substantially reducing the frequency,energy,and fluctuationsof multi-source signals.展开更多
Cross-cultural management is often regarded as a discipline of international management focusing on cultural encounters between the organization and the nation-state, and providing tools to tackle cultural difl＇erenc...Cross-cultural management is often regarded as a discipline of international management focusing on cultural encounters between the organization and the nation-state, and providing tools to tackle cultural difl＇erences seen as sources of conflict, friction or misunderstanding. Based on Greet Hofstede＇ s Cultural Model, this paper attempts to shed some light on effective corporation management through cultural analysis of the difl＇erences between China and western countries. The paper puts more emphasis on the impact of cultural compatibility on effective corporation man- agement through the case study of China, Japan, Germany and America. The author argues that managers and employ- ees involved in companies with diverse cultural backgrounds should be integrated and developed into a specific local context through interlocking their cultural identifications and the organizational practices.展开更多
This study examines the performance of coupling the deterministic four-dimensional variational assimilation system （4DVAR） with an ensemble Kalman filter （EnKF） to produce a superior hybrid approach for data assim...This study examines the performance of coupling the deterministic four-dimensional variational assimilation system （4DVAR） with an ensemble Kalman filter （EnKF） to produce a superior hybrid approach for data assimilation. The coupled assimilation scheme （E4DVAR） benefits from using the state-dependent uncertainty provided by EnKF while taking advantage of 4DVAR in preventing filter divergence： the 4DVAR analysis produces posterior maximum likelihood solutions through minimization of a cost function about which the ensemble perturbations are transformed, and the resulting ensemble analysis can be propagated forward both for the next assimilation cycle and as a basis for ensemble forecasting. The feasibility and effectiveness of this coupled approach are demonstrated in an idealized model with simulated observations. It is found that the E4DVAR is capable of outperforming both 4DVAR and the EnKF under both perfect- and imperfect-model scenarios. The performance of the coupled scheme is also less sensitive to either the ensemble size or the assimilation window length than those for standard EnKF or 4DVAR implementations.展开更多
The four-dimensional(4D) printing technology, as a combination of additive manufacturing and smart materials, has attracted increasing research interest in recent years. The bilayer structures printed with smart mater...The four-dimensional(4D) printing technology, as a combination of additive manufacturing and smart materials, has attracted increasing research interest in recent years. The bilayer structures printed with smart materials using this technology can realize complicated deformation under some special stimuli due to the material properties.The deformation prediction of bilayer structures can make the design process more rapid and thus is of great importance. However, the previous works on deformation prediction of bilayer structures rarely study the complicated deformations or the influence of the printing process on deformation. Thus, this paper proposes a new method to predict the complicated deformations of temperature-sensitive 4D printed bilayer structures,in particular to the bilayer structures based on temperature-driven shape-memory polymers(SMPs) and fabricated using the fused deposition modeling(FDM) technology. The programming process to the material during printing is revealed and considered in the simulation model. Simulation results are compared with experiments to verify the validity of the method. The advantages of this method are stable convergence and high efficiency,as the three-dimensional(3D) problem is converted to a two-dimensional(2D) problem.The simulation parameters in the model can be further associated with the printing parameters, which shows good application prospect in 4D printed bilayer structure design.展开更多
A large amount of progress has achieved in neuroscience,however,there is still a lack of reasonable model for the storage/output(S/O)of life information.The cyclical motion of cardio-and pulmonary-myocyte is a typical...A large amount of progress has achieved in neuroscience,however,there is still a lack of reasonable model for the storage/output(S/O)of life information.The cyclical motion of cardio-and pulmonary-myocyte is a typical process of the life information S/O,while the opening and closing sites of Ca^(2+)ion channels during the motion can form a genetically programmed time-dependent three-dimensional(3D)pattern.Those phenomena indicate a strong correlation of the information S/O model of these myocytes with the time-sequence 3D patterns.Therefore,based on the time-dependent Ca^(2+)fluorescence imaging during the motion of cardio-and pulmonary-myocyte,here we suggest a four-dimensional(4D)code of information S/O model in cell and nervous system.Further from the fact of pulmonary myocyte motion able to be controlled by brain,it is deduced that the 4D code in brain has a role of controlling muscles through a pathway of the central nervous system,peripheral nervous system,neuromuscular junction,and muscle cells.In addition,we also suggested the 4D code of non-innate skill that can be programmed by the learning/training of a long time(~3 years),such as walking,writing,painting,sports,speech,singing,and dancing.Noticeably,this 4D S/O model is reasonable for the ultralow energy consumption of life information transmission.展开更多
Seasonal and interannual changes in the Earth's gravity field are mainly due to mass exchange among the atmosphere,ocean,and continental water sources.The terrestrial water storage changes,detected as gravity chan...Seasonal and interannual changes in the Earth's gravity field are mainly due to mass exchange among the atmosphere,ocean,and continental water sources.The terrestrial water storage changes,detected as gravity changes by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment(GRACE) satellites,are mainly caused by precipitation,evapotranspiration,river transportation and downward infiltration processes.In this study,a land data assimilation system LDAS-G was developed to assimilate the GRACE terrestrial water storage(TWS) data into the Community Land Model(CLM3.5) using the POD-based ensemble four-dimensional variational assimilation method PODEn4 DVar,disaggregating the GRACE large-scale terrestrial water storage changes vertically and in time,and placing constraints on the simulation of vertical hydrological variables to improve land surface hydrological simulations.The ideal experiments conducted at a single point and assimilation experiments carried out over China by the LDAS-G data assimilation system showed that the system developed in this study improved the simulation of land surface hydrological variables,indicating the potential of GRACE data assimilation in large-scale land surface hydrological research and applications.展开更多
The Lujiang-Zongyang volcano-structural depression resulted from the combined action of tectonism and volcanism. Its evolution progressed through five stages from 190 to 105 Ma B.P., during which nine types of metal a...The Lujiang-Zongyang volcano-structural depression resulted from the combined action of tectonism and volcanism. Its evolution progressed through five stages from 190 to 105 Ma B.P., during which nine types of metal and pyrite deposits were formed. These deposits show obvious regularities in the temporal-spatial distribution and have certain genetic relation, forming a minerogenetic series related to shoshonite within or around the volcano-structural depression on the basement that sank for a long period of time. This paper suggests a four-dimensional model of the formation and evolution of a typical volcano-structural depression and its related mineralizalion in a transition belt from the active margins to the inner part of a plate under alternating shear-compressive and shear-extensional stress conditions, but predominantly shear-extensional stress conditions.展开更多
Time-dependent structure analysis theory has been proved to be more accurate and reliable compared to commonly used methods during construction. However, so far applications are limited to partial period and part of t...Time-dependent structure analysis theory has been proved to be more accurate and reliable compared to commonly used methods during construction. However, so far applications are limited to partial period and part of the structure because of immeasurable artificial intervention. Based on the building informa-tion model (BIM) and four-dimensional (4D) technology, this paper proposes an improves structure analysis method, which can generate structural geometry, resistance model, and loading conditions automatically by a close interlink of the schedule information, architectural model, and material properties. The method was applied to a safety analysis during a continuous and dynamic simulation of the entire construction process. The results show that the organic combination of the BIM, 4D technology, construction simulation, and safety analysis of time-dependent structures is feasible and practical. This research also lays a foundation for further researches on building lifecycle management by combining architectural design, structure analysis, and construction management.展开更多
Numerical weather prediction(NWP)is the core technology for weather forecast and disaster prevention and mitigation.The research and operational applications of NWP have always been highly valued in China,and have ach...Numerical weather prediction(NWP)is the core technology for weather forecast and disaster prevention and mitigation.The research and operational applications of NWP have always been highly valued in China,and have achieved great progress with an appreciable international influence in the theories,algorithms,and operational system developments.This paper first summarizes the scientific and technological evolution of NWP in China,and then focuses on the current status and recent updates of the two homemade global NWP systems:GRAPES(Global/Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System)and YHGSM(YinHe Global Spectral Model).(1)GRAPES possesses both deterministic and ensemble forecast systems,with global(regional)model versions running on 12-50-km(3-10-km)resolutions.Significant improvements have been made on its dynamic core,four-dimensional variational(4D-Var)assimilation,satellite and radar data assimilation,ensemble forecast,and cloud microphysics schemes,and so on.It is capable to perform subseasonal to seasonal forecast and has incorporated an atmospheric chemistry model,typhoon numerical forecast model,and ocean wave model.(2)YHGSM continues to follow the development route of spectral models,featured prominently with a dry-mass conserved spectral dynamical core,ensemble 4D-Var assimilation,coupled ocean-land-atmosphere ensemble forecast,and the medium-term and monthly-extended global high-resolution forecast as the baseline.These NWP systems autonomouly developed by the China Meteorological Administration and the national defense insitution benefit from long-term adherence to the national science and technology development strategies and close research to operation practices.展开更多
Numerical weather prediction(NWP) is a core technology in weather forecast and disaster mitigation. China’s NWP research and operational applications have been attached great importance by the meteorological communit...Numerical weather prediction(NWP) is a core technology in weather forecast and disaster mitigation. China’s NWP research and operational applications have been attached great importance by the meteorological community.Fundamental achievements have been made in the theories, methods, and NWP model development in China, which are of certain international impacts. In this paper, the scientific and technological progress of NWP in China since1949 is summarized. The current status and recent progress of the domestically developed NWP system-GRAPES(Global/Regional Assimilation and Pr Ediction System) are presented. Through independent research and development in the past 10 years, the operational GRAPES system has been established, which includes both regional and global deterministic and ensemble prediction models, with resolutions of 3-10 km for regional and 25-50 km for global forecasts. Major improvements include establishment of a new non-hydrostatic dynamic core, setup of four-dimensional variational data assimilation, and development of associated satellite application. As members of the GRAPES system, prediction models for atmospheric chemistry and air pollution, tropical cyclones, and ocean waves have also been developed and put into operational use. The GRAPES system has been an important milestone in NWP science and technology in China.展开更多
A regional surface carbon dioxide （C02） flux inversion system, the Tan-Tracker-Region, was developed by incor- porating an assimilation scheme into the Community Multiscale Air Quality （CMAQ） regional chemical tra...A regional surface carbon dioxide （C02） flux inversion system, the Tan-Tracker-Region, was developed by incor- porating an assimilation scheme into the Community Multiscale Air Quality （CMAQ） regional chemical transport model to resolve fine-scale CO2 variability over East Asia. The proper orthogonal decomposition-based ensemble four-dimensional variational data assimilation approach （POD-4DVar） is the core algorithm for the joint assimilation framework, and simultaneous assimilations of CO2 concentrations and surface CO2 fluxes are applied to help reduce the uncertainty in initial CO2 concentrations. A persistence dynamical model was developed to describe the evolu- tion of the surface CO2 fluxes and help avoid the ＂signal-to-noise＂ problem; thus, CO2 fluxes could be estimated as a whole at the model grid scale, with better use of observation information. The performance of the regional inversion system was evaluated through a group of single-observation-based observing system simulation experiments （OSSEs）. The results of the experiments suggest that a reliable performance of Tan-Tracker-Region is dependent on certain assimilation parameter choices, for example, an optimized window length of approximately 3 h, an ensemble size of approximately 100, and a covariance localization radius of approximately 320 km. This is probably due to the strong diurnal variation and spatial heterogeneity in the fine-scale CMAQ simulation, which could affect the perform- ance of the regional inversion system. In addition, because all observations can be artificially obtained in OSSEs, the performance of Tan-Tracker-Region was further evaluated through different densities of the artificial observation net- work in different CO2 flux situations. The results indicate that more observation sites would be useful to systematic- ally improve the estimation of CO2 concentration and flux in large areas over the model domain. The work presented here forms a foundation for future research in which a thorough estimation of CO2 flux variability over East Asia could be performed with the regional inversion system.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41490644,41475101 and 41421005)the CAS Strategic Priority Project(the Western Pacific Ocean System+2 种基金Project Nos.XDA11010105,XDA11020306 and XDA11010301)the NSFC-Shandong Joint Fund for Marine Science Research Centers(Grant No.U1406401)the NSFC Innovative Group Grant(Project No.41421005)
文摘A four-dimensional variational （4D-Var） data assimilation method is implemented in an improved intermediate coupled model （ICM） of the tropical Pacific. A twin experiment is designed to evaluate the impact of the 4D-Var data assimilation algorithm on ENSO analysis and prediction based on the ICM. The model error is assumed to arise only from the parameter uncertainty. The ＂observation＂ of the SST anomaly, which is sampled from a ＂truth＂ model simulation that takes default parameter values and has Gaussian noise added, is directly assimilated into the assimilation model with its parameters set erroneously. Results show that 4D-Var effectively reduces the error of ENSO analysis and therefore improves the prediction skill of ENSO events compared with the non-assimilation case. These results provide a promising way for the ICM to achieve better real-time ENSO prediction.
基金This work was funded by the UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council(EP/N029496/1,EP/N029496/2,EP/N029356/1,EP/N029577/1,and EP/N029577/2).
文摘Aircraft ground movement plays a key role in improving airport efficiency,as it acts as a link to all other ground operations.Finding novel approaches to coordinate the movements of a fleet of aircraft at an airport in order to improve system resilience to disruptions with increasing autonomy is at the center of many key studies for airport airside operations.Moreover,autonomous taxiing is envisioned as a key component in future digitalized airports.However,state-of-the-art routing and scheduling algorithms for airport ground movements do not consider high-fidelity aircraft models at both the proactive and reactive planning phases.The majority of such algorithms do not actively seek to optimize fuel efficiency and reduce harmful greenhouse gas emissions.This paper proposes a new approach for generating efficient four-dimensional trajectories(4DTs)on the basis of a high-fidelity aircraft model and gainscheduling control strategy.Working in conjunction with a routing and scheduling algorithm that determines the taxi route,waypoints,and time deadlines,the proposed approach generates fuel-efficient 4DTs in real time,while respecting operational constraints.The proposed approach can be used in two contexts:①as a reactive decision support tool to generate new trajectories that can resolve unprecedented events;and②as an autopilot system for both partial and fully autonomous taxiing.The proposed methodology is realistic and simple to implement.Moreover,simulation studies show that the proposed approach is capable of providing an up to 11%reduction in the fuel consumed during the taxiing of a large Boeing 747-100 jumbo jet.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.U22A20598 and 52104107)the"Qinglan Project"of Jiangsu Colleges and Universities,Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program of Jiangsu Province(Grant No.TJ-2023-086).
文摘As coal mining progresses to greater depths,controlling the stability of surrounding rock in deep roadways has become an increasingly complex challenge.Although four-dimensional(4D)support theoretically offers unique advantages in maintaining the stability of rock mass,the disaster evolution processes and multi-source information response characteristics in deep roadways with 4D support remain unclear.Consequently,a large-scale physical model testing system and self-designed 4D support components were employed to conduct similarity model tests on the surrounding rock failure process under unsupported(U-1),traditional bolt-mesh-cable support(T-2),and 4D support(4D-R-3)conditions.Combined with multi-source monitoring techniques,including stress–strain,digital image correlation(DIC),acoustic emission(AE),microseismic(MS),parallel electric(PE),and electromagnetic radiation(EMR),the mechanical behavior and multi-source information responses were comprehensively analyzed.The results show that the peak stress and displacement of the models are positively correlated with the support strength.The multi-source information exhibits distinct response characteristics under different supports.The response frequency,energy,and fluctuationsof AE,MS,and EMR signals,along with the apparent resistivity(AR)high-resistivity zone,follow the trend U-1>T-2>4D-R-3.Furthermore,multi-source information exhibits significantdifferences in sensitivity across different phases.The AE,MS,and EMR signals exhibit active responses to rock mass activity at each phase.However,AR signals are only sensitive to the fracture propagation during the plastic yield and failure phases.In summary,the 4D support significantlyenhances the bearing capacity and plastic deformation of the models,while substantially reducing the frequency,energy,and fluctuationsof multi-source signals.
文摘Cross-cultural management is often regarded as a discipline of international management focusing on cultural encounters between the organization and the nation-state, and providing tools to tackle cultural difl＇erences seen as sources of conflict, friction or misunderstanding. Based on Greet Hofstede＇ s Cultural Model, this paper attempts to shed some light on effective corporation management through cultural analysis of the difl＇erences between China and western countries. The paper puts more emphasis on the impact of cultural compatibility on effective corporation man- agement through the case study of China, Japan, Germany and America. The author argues that managers and employ- ees involved in companies with diverse cultural backgrounds should be integrated and developed into a specific local context through interlocking their cultural identifications and the organizational practices.
基金sponsored by the U.S. National Science Foundation (Grant No.ATM0205599)the U.S. Offce of Navy Research under Grant N000140410471Dr. James A. Hansen was partially supported by US Offce of Naval Research (Grant No. N00014-06-1-0500)
文摘This study examines the performance of coupling the deterministic four-dimensional variational assimilation system （4DVAR） with an ensemble Kalman filter （EnKF） to produce a superior hybrid approach for data assimilation. The coupled assimilation scheme （E4DVAR） benefits from using the state-dependent uncertainty provided by EnKF while taking advantage of 4DVAR in preventing filter divergence： the 4DVAR analysis produces posterior maximum likelihood solutions through minimization of a cost function about which the ensemble perturbations are transformed, and the resulting ensemble analysis can be propagated forward both for the next assimilation cycle and as a basis for ensemble forecasting. The feasibility and effectiveness of this coupled approach are demonstrated in an idealized model with simulated observations. It is found that the E4DVAR is capable of outperforming both 4DVAR and the EnKF under both perfect- and imperfect-model scenarios. The performance of the coupled scheme is also less sensitive to either the ensemble size or the assimilation window length than those for standard EnKF or 4DVAR implementations.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52130501 and 52075479)the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2018YFB1700804)。
文摘The four-dimensional(4D) printing technology, as a combination of additive manufacturing and smart materials, has attracted increasing research interest in recent years. The bilayer structures printed with smart materials using this technology can realize complicated deformation under some special stimuli due to the material properties.The deformation prediction of bilayer structures can make the design process more rapid and thus is of great importance. However, the previous works on deformation prediction of bilayer structures rarely study the complicated deformations or the influence of the printing process on deformation. Thus, this paper proposes a new method to predict the complicated deformations of temperature-sensitive 4D printed bilayer structures,in particular to the bilayer structures based on temperature-driven shape-memory polymers(SMPs) and fabricated using the fused deposition modeling(FDM) technology. The programming process to the material during printing is revealed and considered in the simulation model. Simulation results are compared with experiments to verify the validity of the method. The advantages of this method are stable convergence and high efficiency,as the three-dimensional(3D) problem is converted to a two-dimensional(2D) problem.The simulation parameters in the model can be further associated with the printing parameters, which shows good application prospect in 4D printed bilayer structure design.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Nos.2021YFA1200404 and 2018YFA0208502)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51973227,21988102,and T224100002).
文摘A large amount of progress has achieved in neuroscience,however,there is still a lack of reasonable model for the storage/output(S/O)of life information.The cyclical motion of cardio-and pulmonary-myocyte is a typical process of the life information S/O,while the opening and closing sites of Ca^(2+)ion channels during the motion can form a genetically programmed time-dependent three-dimensional(3D)pattern.Those phenomena indicate a strong correlation of the information S/O model of these myocytes with the time-sequence 3D patterns.Therefore,based on the time-dependent Ca^(2+)fluorescence imaging during the motion of cardio-and pulmonary-myocyte,here we suggest a four-dimensional(4D)code of information S/O model in cell and nervous system.Further from the fact of pulmonary myocyte motion able to be controlled by brain,it is deduced that the 4D code in brain has a role of controlling muscles through a pathway of the central nervous system,peripheral nervous system,neuromuscular junction,and muscle cells.In addition,we also suggested the 4D code of non-innate skill that can be programmed by the learning/training of a long time(~3 years),such as walking,writing,painting,sports,speech,singing,and dancing.Noticeably,this 4D S/O model is reasonable for the ultralow energy consumption of life information transmission.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41075062,91125016)the National Basic Research Program of China(Grants Nos.2010CB951001,2010CB428403)
文摘Seasonal and interannual changes in the Earth's gravity field are mainly due to mass exchange among the atmosphere,ocean,and continental water sources.The terrestrial water storage changes,detected as gravity changes by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment(GRACE) satellites,are mainly caused by precipitation,evapotranspiration,river transportation and downward infiltration processes.In this study,a land data assimilation system LDAS-G was developed to assimilate the GRACE terrestrial water storage(TWS) data into the Community Land Model(CLM3.5) using the POD-based ensemble four-dimensional variational assimilation method PODEn4 DVar,disaggregating the GRACE large-scale terrestrial water storage changes vertically and in time,and placing constraints on the simulation of vertical hydrological variables to improve land surface hydrological simulations.The ideal experiments conducted at a single point and assimilation experiments carried out over China by the LDAS-G data assimilation system showed that the system developed in this study improved the simulation of land surface hydrological variables,indicating the potential of GRACE data assimilation in large-scale land surface hydrological research and applications.
文摘The Lujiang-Zongyang volcano-structural depression resulted from the combined action of tectonism and volcanism. Its evolution progressed through five stages from 190 to 105 Ma B.P., during which nine types of metal and pyrite deposits were formed. These deposits show obvious regularities in the temporal-spatial distribution and have certain genetic relation, forming a minerogenetic series related to shoshonite within or around the volcano-structural depression on the basement that sank for a long period of time. This paper suggests a four-dimensional model of the formation and evolution of a typical volcano-structural depression and its related mineralizalion in a transition belt from the active margins to the inner part of a plate under alternating shear-compressive and shear-extensional stress conditions, but predominantly shear-extensional stress conditions.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 50478015) the National Technological Support Program for the 11th Five-Year Plan of China (No. 2006BAJ10B07)
文摘Time-dependent structure analysis theory has been proved to be more accurate and reliable compared to commonly used methods during construction. However, so far applications are limited to partial period and part of the structure because of immeasurable artificial intervention. Based on the building informa-tion model (BIM) and four-dimensional (4D) technology, this paper proposes an improves structure analysis method, which can generate structural geometry, resistance model, and loading conditions automatically by a close interlink of the schedule information, architectural model, and material properties. The method was applied to a safety analysis during a continuous and dynamic simulation of the entire construction process. The results show that the organic combination of the BIM, 4D technology, construction simulation, and safety analysis of time-dependent structures is feasible and practical. This research also lays a foundation for further researches on building lifecycle management by combining architectural design, structure analysis, and construction management.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2021YFC3101500).
文摘Numerical weather prediction(NWP)is the core technology for weather forecast and disaster prevention and mitigation.The research and operational applications of NWP have always been highly valued in China,and have achieved great progress with an appreciable international influence in the theories,algorithms,and operational system developments.This paper first summarizes the scientific and technological evolution of NWP in China,and then focuses on the current status and recent updates of the two homemade global NWP systems:GRAPES(Global/Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System)and YHGSM(YinHe Global Spectral Model).(1)GRAPES possesses both deterministic and ensemble forecast systems,with global(regional)model versions running on 12-50-km(3-10-km)resolutions.Significant improvements have been made on its dynamic core,four-dimensional variational(4D-Var)assimilation,satellite and radar data assimilation,ensemble forecast,and cloud microphysics schemes,and so on.It is capable to perform subseasonal to seasonal forecast and has incorporated an atmospheric chemistry model,typhoon numerical forecast model,and ocean wave model.(2)YHGSM continues to follow the development route of spectral models,featured prominently with a dry-mass conserved spectral dynamical core,ensemble 4D-Var assimilation,coupled ocean-land-atmosphere ensemble forecast,and the medium-term and monthly-extended global high-resolution forecast as the baseline.These NWP systems autonomouly developed by the China Meteorological Administration and the national defense insitution benefit from long-term adherence to the national science and technology development strategies and close research to operation practices.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2017YFC1501900)Middle-and Long-term Development Strategic Research Project of the Chinese Academy of Engineering(2019-ZCQ-06)。
文摘Numerical weather prediction(NWP) is a core technology in weather forecast and disaster mitigation. China’s NWP research and operational applications have been attached great importance by the meteorological community.Fundamental achievements have been made in the theories, methods, and NWP model development in China, which are of certain international impacts. In this paper, the scientific and technological progress of NWP in China since1949 is summarized. The current status and recent progress of the domestically developed NWP system-GRAPES(Global/Regional Assimilation and Pr Ediction System) are presented. Through independent research and development in the past 10 years, the operational GRAPES system has been established, which includes both regional and global deterministic and ensemble prediction models, with resolutions of 3-10 km for regional and 25-50 km for global forecasts. Major improvements include establishment of a new non-hydrostatic dynamic core, setup of four-dimensional variational data assimilation, and development of associated satellite application. As members of the GRAPES system, prediction models for atmospheric chemistry and air pollution, tropical cyclones, and ocean waves have also been developed and put into operational use. The GRAPES system has been an important milestone in NWP science and technology in China.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41130528)National High Technology Research and Development Program of China(2013AA122002)+1 种基金Strategic Priority Research Program-Climate Change:Carbon Budget and Relevant Issues(XDA05040404)National Key Technology Research and Development Program of China(2016YFC0202103)
文摘A regional surface carbon dioxide （C02） flux inversion system, the Tan-Tracker-Region, was developed by incor- porating an assimilation scheme into the Community Multiscale Air Quality （CMAQ） regional chemical transport model to resolve fine-scale CO2 variability over East Asia. The proper orthogonal decomposition-based ensemble four-dimensional variational data assimilation approach （POD-4DVar） is the core algorithm for the joint assimilation framework, and simultaneous assimilations of CO2 concentrations and surface CO2 fluxes are applied to help reduce the uncertainty in initial CO2 concentrations. A persistence dynamical model was developed to describe the evolu- tion of the surface CO2 fluxes and help avoid the ＂signal-to-noise＂ problem; thus, CO2 fluxes could be estimated as a whole at the model grid scale, with better use of observation information. The performance of the regional inversion system was evaluated through a group of single-observation-based observing system simulation experiments （OSSEs）. The results of the experiments suggest that a reliable performance of Tan-Tracker-Region is dependent on certain assimilation parameter choices, for example, an optimized window length of approximately 3 h, an ensemble size of approximately 100, and a covariance localization radius of approximately 320 km. This is probably due to the strong diurnal variation and spatial heterogeneity in the fine-scale CMAQ simulation, which could affect the perform- ance of the regional inversion system. In addition, because all observations can be artificially obtained in OSSEs, the performance of Tan-Tracker-Region was further evaluated through different densities of the artificial observation net- work in different CO2 flux situations. The results indicate that more observation sites would be useful to systematic- ally improve the estimation of CO2 concentration and flux in large areas over the model domain. The work presented here forms a foundation for future research in which a thorough estimation of CO2 flux variability over East Asia could be performed with the regional inversion system.
