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Dynamic modeling of a three-dimensional braided composite thin plate considering braiding directions 被引量:1
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作者 Chentong GAO Huiyu SUN +1 位作者 Jianping GU W.M.HUANG 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 2025年第1期123-138,共16页
Currently,there are a limited number of dynamic models available for braided composite plates with large overall motions,despite the incorporation of three-dimensional(3D)braided composites into rotating blade compone... Currently,there are a limited number of dynamic models available for braided composite plates with large overall motions,despite the incorporation of three-dimensional(3D)braided composites into rotating blade components.In this paper,a dynamic model of 3D 4-directional braided composite thin plates considering braiding directions is established.Based on Kirchhoff's plate assumptions,the displacement variables of the plate are expressed.By incorporating the braiding directions into the constitutive equation of the braided composites,the dynamic model of the plate considering braiding directions is obtained.The effects of the speeds,braiding directions,and braided angles on the responses of the plate with fixed-axis rotation and translational motion,respectively,are investigated.This paper presents a dynamic theory for calculating the deformation of 3D braided composite structures undergoing both translational and rotational motions.It also provides a simulation method for investigating the dynamic behavior of non-isotropic material plates in various applications. 展开更多
关键词 three-dimensional(3D)braided composite braiding direction composite thin plate large overall motion dynamic model
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Digital reconstruction of three-dimensional contours and its application to microstructural evaluation of postblast rock fissure surfaces
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作者 Yanbing Wang Zhaoyang Wang +1 位作者 Dairui Fu Mingwei Gang 《Deep Underground Science and Engineering》 2025年第2期316-328,共13页
Fracture surface contour study is one of the important requirements for characterization and evaluation of the microstructure of rocks.Based on the improved cube covering method and the 3D contour digital reconstructi... Fracture surface contour study is one of the important requirements for characterization and evaluation of the microstructure of rocks.Based on the improved cube covering method and the 3D contour digital reconstruction model,this study proposes a quantitative microstructure characterization method combining the roughness evaluation index and the 3D fractal dimension to study the change rule of the fracture surface morphology after blasting.This method was applied and validated in the study of the fracture microstructure of the rock after blasting.The results show that the fracture morphology characteristics of the 3D contour digital reconstruction model have good correlation with the changes of the blasting action.The undulation rate of the three-dimensional surface profile of the rock is more prone to dramatic rise and dramatic fall morphology.In terms of tilting trend,the tilting direction also shows gradual disorder,with the tilting angle increasing correspondingly.All the roughness evaluation indexes of the rock fissure surface after blasting show a linear and gradually increasing trend as the distance to the bursting center increases;the difference between the two-dimensional roughness evaluation indexes and the three-dimensional ones of the same micro-area rock samples also becomes increasingly larger,among which the three-dimensional fissure roughness coefficient JRC and the surface roughness ratio Rs display better correlation.Compared with the linear fitting formula of the power function relationship,the three-dimensional fractal dimension of the postblast fissure surface is fitted with the values of JRC and Rs,which renders higher correlation coefficients,and the degree of linear fitting of JRC to the three-dimensional fractal dimension is higher.The fractal characteristics of the blast-affected region form a unity with the three-dimensional roughness evaluation of the fissure surface. 展开更多
关键词 cube covering method evaluation of damage characterization fractal dimension roughness three-dimensional contour scanning
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Three-Level Intrusion Detection Model for Wireless Sensor Networks Based on Dynamic Trust Evaluation
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作者 Xiaogang Yuan Huan Pei Yanlin Wu 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第9期5555-5575,共21页
In the complex environment of Wireless Sensor Networks(WSNs),various malicious attacks have emerged,among which internal attacks pose particularly severe security risks.These attacks seriously threaten network stabili... In the complex environment of Wireless Sensor Networks(WSNs),various malicious attacks have emerged,among which internal attacks pose particularly severe security risks.These attacks seriously threaten network stability,data transmission reliability,and overall performance.To effectively address this issue and significantly improve intrusion detection speed,accuracy,and resistance to malicious attacks,this research designs a Three-level Intrusion Detection Model based on Dynamic Trust Evaluation(TIDM-DTE).This study conducts a detailed analysis of how different attack types impact node trust and establishes node models for data trust,communication trust,and energy consumption trust by focusing on characteristics such as continuous packet loss and energy consumption changes.By dynamically predicting node trust values using the grey Markov model,the model accurately and sensitively reflects changes in node trust levels during attacks.Additionally,DBSCAN(Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise)data noise monitoring technology is employed to quickly identify attacked nodes,while a trust recovery mechanism restores the trust of temporarily faulty nodes to reduce False Alarm Rate.Simulation results demonstrate that TIDM-DTE achieves high detection rates,fast detection speed,and low False Alarm Rate when identifying various network attacks,including selective forwarding attacks,Sybil attacks,switch attacks,and black hole attacks.TIDM-DTE significantly enhances network security,ensures secure and reliable data transmission,moderately improves network energy efficiency,reduces unnecessary energy consumption,and provides strong support for the stable operation of WSNs.Meanwhile,the research findings offer new ideas and methods for WSN security protection,possessing important theoretical significance and practical application value. 展开更多
关键词 Wireless sensor networks intrusion detection dynamic trust evaluation data noise detection trust recovery mechanism
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An improved open-top dynamic chambers method for measuring the exchange fluxes of N_(2)O,NO and NH_(3) from farmland
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作者 Minhang Tan Yining Hu +6 位作者 Yifei Song Zixuan Huang Yujing Mu Junfeng Liu Chenglong Zhang Pengfei Liu Yuanyuan Zhang 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 2026年第1期535-545,共11页
The application of nitrogen fertilizers in agricultural fields can lead to the release of nitrogen-containing gases(NCGs),such as NO_(x),NH_(3) and N_(2)O,which can significantly impact regional atmospheric environmen... The application of nitrogen fertilizers in agricultural fields can lead to the release of nitrogen-containing gases(NCGs),such as NO_(x),NH_(3) and N_(2)O,which can significantly impact regional atmospheric environment and con-tribute to global climate change.However,there remain considerable research gaps in the accurate measurement of NCGs emissions from agricultural fields,hindering the development of effective emission reduction strategies.We improved an open-top dynamic chambers(OTDCs)system and evaluated the performance by comparing the measured and given fluxes of the NCGs.The results showed that the measured fluxes of NO,N_(2)O and NH_(3)were 1%,2%and 7%lower than the given fluxes,respectively.For the determination of NH_(3) concentration,we employed a stripping coil-ion chromatograph(SC-IC)analytical technique,which demonstrated an absorption efficiency for atmospheric NH_(3) exceeding 96.1%across sampling durations of 6 to 60 min.In the summer maize season,we utilized the OTDCs system to measure the exchange fluxes of NO,NH_(3),and N_(2)O from the soil in the North China Plain.Substantial emissions of NO,NH_(3) and N_(2)O were recorded following fertilization,with peaks of 107,309,1239 ng N/(m^(2)·s),respectively.Notably,significant NCGs emissions were observed following sus-tained heavy rainfall one month after fertilization,particularly with NH_(3) peak being 4.5 times higher than that observed immediately after fertilization.Our results demonstrate that the OTDCs system accurately reflects the emission characteristics of soil NCGs and meets the requirements for long-term and continuous flux observation. 展开更多
关键词 Open-top dynamic chambers Nitrogen-containing gases Soil emissions North China Plain Method evaluation
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Three-dimensional dynamics of supported pipes conveying fluid 被引量:9
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作者 L.Wang T.L.Jiang H.L.Dai 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第6期1065-1074,共10页
This paper deals with the three-dimensional dynamics and postbuckling behavior of flexible supported pipes conveying fluid, considering flow velocities lower and higher than the critical value at which the buckling in... This paper deals with the three-dimensional dynamics and postbuckling behavior of flexible supported pipes conveying fluid, considering flow velocities lower and higher than the critical value at which the buckling instability occurs. In the case of low flow velocity, the pipe is stable with a straight equilibrium position and the dynamics of the system can be examined using linear theory. When the flow velocity is beyond the critical value, any motions of the pipe could be around the postbuckling configuration(non-zero equilibrium position) rather than the straight equilibrium position, so nonlinear theory is required. The nonlinear equations of perturbed motions around the postbuckling configuration are derived and solved with the aid of Galerkin discretization. It is found, for a given flow velocity,that the first-mode frequency for in-plane motions is quite different from that for out-of-plane motions. However, the second-or third-mode frequencies for in-plane motions are approximately equal to their counterparts for out-of-plane motions, keeping almost constant values with increasing flow velocity. Moreover, the orientation angle of the postbuckling configuration plane for a buckled pipe can be significantly affected by initial conditions, displaying new features which have not been observed in the same pipe system factitiously supposed to deform in a single plane. 展开更多
关键词 Pipe conveying fluid three-dimensional dynamics INSTABILITY Natural frequency Postbuckling configuration
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Three-dimensional Computational Fluid Dynamics Modeling of Two-phase Flow in a Structured Packing Column 被引量:4
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作者 张小斌 姚蕾 +1 位作者 邱利民 张学军 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第9期959-966,共8页
Characterizing the complex two-phase hydrodynamics in structured packed columns requires a power- ful modeling tool. The traditional two-dimensional model exhibits limitations when one attempts to model the de- tailed... Characterizing the complex two-phase hydrodynamics in structured packed columns requires a power- ful modeling tool. The traditional two-dimensional model exhibits limitations when one attempts to model the de- tailed two-phase flow inside the columns. The present paper presents a three-dimensional computational fluid dy- namics (CFD) model to simulate the two-phase flow in a representative unit of the column. The unit consists of an CFD calculations on column packed with Flexipak 1Y were implemented within the volume of fluid (VOF) mathe- matical framework. The CFD model was validated by comparing the calculated thickness of liquid film with the available experimental data. Special attention was given to quantitative analysis of the effects of gravity on the hy- drodynamics. Fluctuations in the liquid mass flow rate and the calculated pressure drop loss were found to be quali- tatively in agreement with the experimental observations. 展开更多
关键词 structured packing column two-phase flow computational fluid dynamics three-dimension
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A dynamic evaluation technique for assessing gas output from coal seams during commingling production within a coalbed methane well: a case study from the Qinshui Basin 被引量:3
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作者 Chuan Wu Chengxiang Yuan +2 位作者 Guojun Wen Lei Han Haojie Liu 《International Journal of Coal Science & Technology》 EI 2020年第1期122-132,共11页
Gas drainage is carried out based on output from each coal bed throughout commingling production of coalbed methane(CBM).A reasonable drainage process should therefore initially guarantee main coal bed production and ... Gas drainage is carried out based on output from each coal bed throughout commingling production of coalbed methane(CBM).A reasonable drainage process should therefore initially guarantee main coal bed production and then enhance gas output from other beds.Permanent damage can result if this is not the case,especially with regard to fracture development in the main gas-producing coal bed and can greatly reduce single well output.Current theoretical models and measuring devices are inapplicable to commingled CBM drainage,however,and so large errors in predictive models cannot always be avoided.The most effective currently available method involves directly measuring gas output from each coal bed as well as determining the dominant gas-producing unit.A dynamic evaluation technique for gas output from each coal bed during commingling CBM production is therefore proposed in this study.This technique comprises a downhole measurement system combined with a theoretical calculation model.Gas output parameters(i.e.,gas-phase flow rate,temperature,pressure)are measured in this approach via a downhole measurement system;substituting these parameters into a deduced theoretical calculation model then means that gas output from each seam can be calculated to determine the main gas-producing unit.Trends in gas output from a single well or each seam can therefore be predicted.The laboratory and field test results presented here demonstrate that calculation errors in CBM outputs can be controlled within a margin of 15%and therefore conform with field use requirements. 展开更多
关键词 Commingling production Gas output dynamic evaluation Coalbed methane Qinshui Basin
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Science Letters:Dynamic concision for three-dimensional reconstruction of human organ built with virtual reality modelling language (VRML) 被引量:3
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作者 禹正杨 郑树森 +2 位作者 陈雷霆 何晓乾 王建军 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science B(Biomedicine & Biotechnology)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2005年第7期611-616,共6页
This research studies the process of 3D reconstruction and dynamic concision based on 2D medical digital images using virtual reality modelling language (VRML) and JavaScript language, with a focus on how to realize t... This research studies the process of 3D reconstruction and dynamic concision based on 2D medical digital images using virtual reality modelling language (VRML) and JavaScript language, with a focus on how to realize the dynamic concision of 3D medical model with script node and sensor node in VRML. The 3D reconstruction and concision of body internal organs can be built with such high quality that they are better than those obtained from the traditional methods. With the function of dynamic concision, the VRML browser can offer better windows for man-computer interaction in real-time environment than ever before. 3D reconstruction and dynamic concision with VRML can be used to meet the requirement for the medical observation of 3D reconstruction and have a promising prospect in the fields of medical imaging. 展开更多
关键词 Virtual Reality Modelling Language (VRML) Direct texture mapping three-dimensional reconstruction dynamic concision
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Dynamic Evaluation on Regional Tourism Competitiveness:Urban Agglomeration of Shandong Peninsula,Eastern China 被引量:2
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作者 Li Xue Dong Suocheng +1 位作者 Jin Xianfeng Zhang Guanghai 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2009年第3期30-41,共12页
The article establishes the appraisal index system for entire urban agglomeration and its interior cities individually,concretely including five aspects:driving forces for tourism development,the level of tourism deve... The article establishes the appraisal index system for entire urban agglomeration and its interior cities individually,concretely including five aspects:driving forces for tourism development,the level of tourism development,tourism impacts,tourism economic connection and tourism contributions of different cities to the whole urban agglomeration.As tourism competitiveness has the characteristics of comprehensiveness,systematicness and dynamicness,the article attempts to apply the structural prediction means of system dynamics to evaluating tourism competitiveness,aiming to provide some research methods and analysis ideas for tourism competitiveness measurement and trends analysis in urban agglomeration.Taking Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration as the study area,the article simulates and analyzes the tourism competitiveness trend of the whole region and its interior cities from 2005 to 2020,and the result reflects that integrated development and regional combination of tourism are important means to upgrade tourism competitiveness in this region. 展开更多
关键词 regional tourism competitiveness system dynamics dynamic evaluation Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration
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Research on entropy weight variation evaluation method for wind power clusters based on dynamic layered sorting 被引量:2
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作者 Yansong Gao Lifu A +4 位作者 Chenxu Zhao Xiaodong Qin Ri Na An Wang Shangshang Wei 《Global Energy Interconnection》 EI CSCD 2024年第5期653-666,共14页
This paper presents an evaluation method for the entropy-weighting of wind power clusters that comprehensively evaluates the allocation problems of wind power clusters by considering the correlation between indicators... This paper presents an evaluation method for the entropy-weighting of wind power clusters that comprehensively evaluates the allocation problems of wind power clusters by considering the correlation between indicators and the dynamic performance of weight changes.A dynamic layered sorting allocation method is also proposed.The proposed evaluation method considers the power-limiting degree of the last cycle,the adjustment margin,and volatility.It uses the theory of weight variation to update the entropy weight coefficients of each indicator in real time,and then performs a fuzzy evaluation based on the membership function to obtain intuitive comprehensive evaluation results.A case study of a large-scale wind power base in Northwest China was conducted.The proposed evaluation method is compared with fixed-weight entropy and principal component analysis methods.The results show that the three scoring trends are the same,and that the proposed evaluation method is closer to the average level of the latter two,demonstrating higher accuracy.The proposed allocation method can reduce the number of adjustments made to wind farms,which is significant for the allocation and evaluation of wind power clusters. 展开更多
关键词 Wind power clusters Entropy-weighting method Comprehensive evaluation dynamic layered sorting
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Tourism Destination Eco-Security and Its Dynamic Evaluation Method 被引量:1
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作者 SU Qiaolan 《Journal of Landscape Research》 2013年第Z1期35-37,40,共4页
Ecological security of tourism destination is an important factor for the sustainable development of tourism industry, and many tourism destinations are threatened by various ecological problems. A complete understand... Ecological security of tourism destination is an important factor for the sustainable development of tourism industry, and many tourism destinations are threatened by various ecological problems. A complete understanding of eco-security situation is the foundation of maintaining sustainable development for tourism destinations. However, study on tourism destination eco-security has remained in the initial stage, based on domestic and international researches, the connotations and dynamic characteristics of tourism destination eco-security were discussed. Then, evaluation method of tourism destination eco-security and standard system were proposed, also dynamic evaluation method of tourism destination eco-safety based on the situation evaluation and trend was analyzed. 展开更多
关键词 TOURISM DESTINATION Eco-security P-S-R MODE dynamic evaluation
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Three-dimensional coordinates test method with uncertain projectile proximity explosion position based on dynamic seven photoelectric detection screen 被引量:2
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作者 Han-shan Li Xiao-qian Zhang 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2022年第9期1643-1652,共10页
To objectively obtain the three-dimensional coordinates of the projectile fuze proximity explosion when projectile intersects the head of missile target, we propose a dynamic seven photoelectric detection screen test ... To objectively obtain the three-dimensional coordinates of the projectile fuze proximity explosion when projectile intersects the head of missile target, we propose a dynamic seven photoelectric detection screen test method, which is made up of six plane detection screens and a flash photoelectric dynamic detection screen. The three-dimensional coordinates calculation model of the projectile proximity explosion position based on seven plane detection screens with dynamic characteristics is established.According to the relation of the dynamic seven photoelectric detection screen planes and the time values,the analytical function of the projectile proximity explosion position parameters under non-linear motion is derived. The projectile signal filtering method based on discrete wavelet transform is explored in this work. Additionally, the projectile signal recognition algorithm using an improved particle swarm is proposed. Based on the characteristics of the time duration and the signal peak error for the projectile passing through the detection screen, the signals attribution of the same projectile passing through six detection screens are analyzed for obtaining precise time values of the same projectile passing through the detection screens. On the basis of the projectile fuze proximity explosion test, the linear motion model and the proposed non-linear motion model are used to calculate and compare the same group of projectiles proximity explosion position parameters. The comparison of test results verifies that the proposed test method and calculation model in this work accurately obtain the actual projectile proximity explosion position parameters. 展开更多
关键词 dynamic multi-screen array plane Flash photoelectric detection target Projectile signal processing Particle swarm Proximity explosion fuze three-dimensional coordinate
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A dynamic performance evaluation method based on SD-BSC 被引量:1
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作者 滕春贤 潘晓东 胡宪武 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2007年第3期398-403,共6页
Taking into consideration the disadvantage of Balanced Scorecard(BSC)not being able to reflect time delay,nonlinear problems of causal relationship and being lack of effective simulation,we combined it with the charac... Taking into consideration the disadvantage of Balanced Scorecard(BSC)not being able to reflect time delay,nonlinear problems of causal relationship and being lack of effective simulation,we combined it with the characteristics of the System Dynamics(SD).Basing on the background of manufacturing enterprises,through SD integrating with the BSC we established a new performance evaluation method-SD-BSC method to overcome the disadvantage of BSC.A performance evaluation model of SD-BSC is provided and the simulation results are analyzed which show different production policies will lead to different customer's satisfaction degrees.The SD-BSC dynamic performance evaluation method can reflect dynamic,complex causal feedback relationship and time delay,so it compensates for the disadvantage of traditional financial performance evaluation method,and at the same time makes the BSC perfect. 展开更多
关键词 performance evaluation Balanced Scorecard System dynamics SD-BSC
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Dynamic Evaluation Strategies for Multiple Aircrafts Formation Using Collision and Matching Probabilities 被引量:1
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作者 Hongbo Zhao Yongming Wen +1 位作者 Sentang Wu Jia Deng 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第4期890-904,共15页
Configuration evaluation is a key technology to be considered in the design of multiple aircrafts formation(MAF)configurations with high dynamic properties in engineering applications.This paper deduces the relationsh... Configuration evaluation is a key technology to be considered in the design of multiple aircrafts formation(MAF)configurations with high dynamic properties in engineering applications.This paper deduces the relationship between relative velocity,dynamic safety distance and dynamic adjacent distance of formation members,then divides the formation states into collision-state and matching-state.Meanwhile,probability models are constructed based on the binary normal distribution of relative distance and relative velocity.Moreover,configuration evaluation strategies are studied by quantitatively analyzing the denseness and the basic capabilities according to the MAF collision-state probability and the MAF matching-state probability,respectively.The scale of MAF is grouped into 5 levels,and previous lattice-type structures are extended into four degrees by taking the relative velocities into account to instruct the configuration design under complex task conditions.Finally,hardware-in-loop(HIL)simulation and outfield flight test results are presented to verify the feasibility of these evaluation strategies. 展开更多
关键词 Collision-state probability dynamic configuration evaluation matching-state probability multiple aircrafts formation
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From the new Austrian tunneling method to the geoengineering condition evaluation and dynamic controlling method 被引量:1
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作者 Yanjun Shang Kun Li +1 位作者 Wantong He Chunbo Sheng 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第4期366-372,共7页
The new Austrian tunneling method (NATM) is widely applied in design and construction of underground engineering projects. When the type and distribution of unfavorable geological bodies (UGBs) associated with the... The new Austrian tunneling method (NATM) is widely applied in design and construction of underground engineering projects. When the type and distribution of unfavorable geological bodies (UGBs) associated with their influences on geoengineering are complicated or unfortunately are overlooked, we should pay more attentions to internal features of rocks grades IV and V (even in local but mostly controlling zones). With increasing attentions to the characteristics, mechanism and influences of engineering construction-triggered geohazards, it is crucial to fully understand the disturbance of these geohazards on project construction. A reasonable determination method in construction procedure, i.e. the shape of working face, the type of engineering support and the choice of feasible procedure, should be considered in order to mitigate the construction-triggered geohazards. Due to their high sensitivity to groundwater and in-situ stress, various UGBs exhibit hysteretic nature and failure modes. To give a complete understanding on the internal causes, the emphasis on advanced comprehensive geological forecasting and overall reinforcement treatment is therefore of more practical significance. Compre- hensive evaluation of influential factors, identification of UGB, and measures of discontinuity dynamic controlling comprises the geoengineering condition evaluation and dynamic controlling method. In a case of a cut slope, the variations of UGBs and the impacts of key environmental factors are presented, where more severe construction-triggered geohazards emerged in construction stage than those predicted in design and field investigation stages. As a result, the weight ratios of different influential factors with respect to field investigation, design and construction are obtained. 展开更多
关键词 Unfavorable geological body (UGB)Multi-factor interaction matrix Discontinuity dynamic controlling (DDC)Cut slope Geoengineering condition evaluation and dynamic controlling (GEDC) method
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A grey dynamic model for the evaluation of regional sustainable development and its empirical study 被引量:1
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作者 Jiang Minghui Chen Wei 《Ecological Economy》 2007年第4期443-455,共13页
Currently, traditional development issues, such as economic stagnation, as well as new challenges like environmental degradation and globalization, need attention. Sustainable development, including economic, environm... Currently, traditional development issues, such as economic stagnation, as well as new challenges like environmental degradation and globalization, need attention. Sustainable development, including economic, environmental, and social elements, is a main goal of decision-makers. The key to sustainable decision-making is to evaluate and forecast the status quo of sustainable development. Policy makers need a tool based on scientific information to forecast the effects of future actions on sustainability and make policies for sustainable development. This paper analyzes the relation of the economy, environment and social welfare by the grey dynamic model. The proposed method uses time series and basic indicators of ecological system, including economic, environmental and social sub-systems. It is applied to Heilongjiang Province and Jiangsu Province. The results have proved different status quo of sustainable development in these two regions, and suggestions are proposed, such as optimization of industrial structure and eco-industrial development. The conclusion is that there is no unique sustainable path, and accordingly, policy makers should choose different criteria and strategies to make efficient sustainable decisions for each region. 展开更多
关键词 Sustainable development Indicators of ecological system Grey dynamic evaluation
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Tide forecasting method based on dynamic weight distribution for operational evaluation
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作者 Shao-wei QIU Zeng-chuan DONG +2 位作者 Fen XU Li SUN Sheng CHEN 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS 2009年第1期25-31,共7页
Through analysis of operational evaluation factors for tide forecasting, the relationship between the evaluation factors and the weights of forecasters was examined. A tide forecasting method based on dynamic weight d... Through analysis of operational evaluation factors for tide forecasting, the relationship between the evaluation factors and the weights of forecasters was examined. A tide forecasting method based on dynamic weight distribution for operational evaluation was developed, and multiple-forecaster synchronous forecasting was realized while avoiding the instability cased by only one forecaster. Weights were distributed to the forecasters according to each one's forecast precision. An evaluation criterion for the professional level of the forecasters was also built. The eligibility rates of forecast results demonstrate the skill of the forecasters and the stability of their forecasts. With the developed tide forecasting method, the precision and reasonableness of tide forecasting are improved. The application of the present method to tide forecasting at the Huangpu Park tidal station demonstrates the validity of the method. 展开更多
关键词 tide forecasting method operational evaluation dynamic weight distribution evaluation factor
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Dynamic evaluation of groundwater resources in Zhangye Basin
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作者 LiNa Mi HongLang Xiao +1 位作者 ZhengLiang Yin ShengChun Xiao 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 CSCD 2016年第3期250-262,共13页
Groundwater resource is vital to the sustainable development of socio-economics in arid and semi-arid regions of Northwest China. An estimation of the groundwater resources variation in Zhangye Basin was made during 1... Groundwater resource is vital to the sustainable development of socio-economics in arid and semi-arid regions of Northwest China. An estimation of the groundwater resources variation in Zhangye Basin was made during 1985-2013 based on long-term groundwater observation data and geostatistical method. The results show that from 1985 to 2013, groundwater storage exhibited tremendous dissimilarity on temporal and spatial scale for the whole Zhangye Basin, especially before and after implementation of the water diversion policy. Trend of groundwater storage varied from quick to slow decline or increase. The accumulative groundwater storage decreased nearly 47.52~ 108 m3, and annual average depletion rate reached 1.64x 108 m3/a. Among which, the accumulative groundwater storage of the river and well water mixed irrigation district decreased by 37.48x 108 m3, accounting for about 78.87% of the total groundwater depletion of the Zhangye Basin. Accumulative depletion of groundwater storage varied in respective irrigation districts. Though groundwater resources depletion rate slowed down from 2005, the overall storage in the whole basin and re- spective districts during 1985-2013 was still in a severe deficit such that, the groundwater resource was in a rather negative balance, which could threaten the local aquifer. This is the joint effect of climate change and human activities, however human activities, such as water diversion policy and groundwater exploitation, became increasingly intense. Our research results could provide a reasonable estimation for the groundwater balance in Zhangye Basin, providing a scientific basis for water resources unified planning and, this method can provide a relatively reliable way of estimation for large scale groundwater resources. 展开更多
关键词 groundwater resources dynamic evaluation grotmdwater storage Zhangye Basin
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CONVOLUTION OF THE IMPACT THREE-DIMENSIONAL ELASTO-DYNAMICS AND DYNAMIC STRESS INTENSITY FACTOR FOR AN ELLIPTIC CRACK
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作者 孙竹凤 范天佑 吴祥法 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2002年第3期302-308,共7页
This paper presents a formulation for three-dimensional elasto-dynamics with an elliptic crack based on the Laplace and Fourier transforms and the convolution theorem. The dynamic stress intensity factor for the crack... This paper presents a formulation for three-dimensional elasto-dynamics with an elliptic crack based on the Laplace and Fourier transforms and the convolution theorem. The dynamic stress intensity factor for the crack is determined by solving a Fredholm integral equation of the first kind. The results of this paper are very close to those given by the two-dimensional dual integral equation method. 展开更多
关键词 dynamic loading three-dimensional elliptic crack dynamic stress intensity factor
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Dynamic probability evaluation of safety levels of earth-rockfill dams using Bayesian approach
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作者 Zi-wu FAN Shu-hai JIANG Ming ZHANG 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS 2009年第2期61-70,共10页
In order to accurately predict and control the aging process of dams, new information should be collected continuously to renew the quantitative evaluation of dam safety levels. Owing to the complex structural charact... In order to accurately predict and control the aging process of dams, new information should be collected continuously to renew the quantitative evaluation of dam safety levels. Owing to the complex structural characteristics of dams, it is quite difficult to predict the time-varying factors affecting their safety levels. It is not feasible to employ dynamic reliability indices to evaluate the actual safety levels of dams. Based on the relevant regulations for dam safety classification in China, a dynamic probability description of dam safety levels was developed. Using the Bayesian approach and effective information mining, as well as real-time information, this study achieved more rational evaluation and prediction of dam safety levels. With the Bayesian expression of discrete stochastic variables, the a priori probabilities of the dam safety levels determined by experts were combined wfth the likelihood probability of the real-time check information, and the probability information for the evaluation of dam safety levels was renewed. The probability index was then applied to dam rehabilitation decision-making. This method helps reduce the difficulty and uncertainty of the evaluation of dam safety levels and complies with the current safe decision-making regulations for dams in China. It also enhances the application of current risk analysis methods for dam safety levels. 展开更多
关键词 dynamic probability evaluation dam safety levels Bayesian approach sorting decision-making dam rehabilitation and reinforcement
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