A computer analysis of solar heating has been performed for Palestine. Results are presented for a prototype building using either fuel oil or gas under different heating loads in three climatic regions （Jordan valle...A computer analysis of solar heating has been performed for Palestine. Results are presented for a prototype building using either fuel oil or gas under different heating loads in three climatic regions （Jordan valley, coastal, and hilly）. Cumulative cost flows are compared for the life-cycle present value technique. Optimum design magnitudes are determined for maximum life-cycle savings. The payback period for capital invested in a solar system, and total savings are found for the optimum conditions. Variations of system performance are estimated. The effects of collector slope, proportionate storage tank volume, heat-exchanger parameters, and the design load on system performance are studied. Finally the economics of solar heating in Palestine are discussed and recommendations are made for increased utilization of solar energy.展开更多
Traditional oilfields face increasing extraction challenges, primarily due to reservoir quality degradation and production decline, which are further exacerbated by volatile international crude oil prices—illustrated...Traditional oilfields face increasing extraction challenges, primarily due to reservoir quality degradation and production decline, which are further exacerbated by volatile international crude oil prices—illustrated by Brent Crude’s trajectory from pandemic-induced negative pricing to geopolitically driven surges exceeding USD 100 per barrel. This study addresses these complexities through an integrated methodological framework applied to medium-permeability sandstone reservoirs in the Xinjiang oilfield by combining advanced numerical simulations with multivariate regression analysis. The methodology employs Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) to stratify geological parameter distributions and constructs heterogeneous reservoir models using Petrel software, rigorously validated through historical production data matching. Production forecasting integrates numerical simulation and Decline Curve Analysis (DCA), while investment estimation utilizes Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression to correlate engineering parameters with drilling and completion costs. Economic evaluation incorporates Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling and breakeven analysis, establishing techno-economic boundaries via oil price sensitivity analysis ranging from USD 40 to 90 per barrel. Visualization tools, including 3D heatmaps, delineate nonlinear interactions among engineering, geological, and investment datasets under economic constraints. Key findings demonstrate that for the target reservoirs, as oil prices increase from USD 40 to USD 90 per barrel, the minimum economic thickness threshold decreases from approximately 5.7 m to about 2.5 m, with model prediction errors consistently below 25% across validation datasets. This framework provides scientifically grounded decision support for optimizing capital allocation and offers actionable insights to enhance undeveloped hydrocarbon development planning amid market uncertainty. Ultimately, it supports national energy security through technically robust and economically viable resource exploitation strategies.展开更多
文摘A computer analysis of solar heating has been performed for Palestine. Results are presented for a prototype building using either fuel oil or gas under different heating loads in three climatic regions （Jordan valley, coastal, and hilly）. Cumulative cost flows are compared for the life-cycle present value technique. Optimum design magnitudes are determined for maximum life-cycle savings. The payback period for capital invested in a solar system, and total savings are found for the optimum conditions. Variations of system performance are estimated. The effects of collector slope, proportionate storage tank volume, heat-exchanger parameters, and the design load on system performance are studied. Finally the economics of solar heating in Palestine are discussed and recommendations are made for increased utilization of solar energy.
文摘Traditional oilfields face increasing extraction challenges, primarily due to reservoir quality degradation and production decline, which are further exacerbated by volatile international crude oil prices—illustrated by Brent Crude’s trajectory from pandemic-induced negative pricing to geopolitically driven surges exceeding USD 100 per barrel. This study addresses these complexities through an integrated methodological framework applied to medium-permeability sandstone reservoirs in the Xinjiang oilfield by combining advanced numerical simulations with multivariate regression analysis. The methodology employs Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) to stratify geological parameter distributions and constructs heterogeneous reservoir models using Petrel software, rigorously validated through historical production data matching. Production forecasting integrates numerical simulation and Decline Curve Analysis (DCA), while investment estimation utilizes Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression to correlate engineering parameters with drilling and completion costs. Economic evaluation incorporates Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling and breakeven analysis, establishing techno-economic boundaries via oil price sensitivity analysis ranging from USD 40 to 90 per barrel. Visualization tools, including 3D heatmaps, delineate nonlinear interactions among engineering, geological, and investment datasets under economic constraints. Key findings demonstrate that for the target reservoirs, as oil prices increase from USD 40 to USD 90 per barrel, the minimum economic thickness threshold decreases from approximately 5.7 m to about 2.5 m, with model prediction errors consistently below 25% across validation datasets. This framework provides scientifically grounded decision support for optimizing capital allocation and offers actionable insights to enhance undeveloped hydrocarbon development planning amid market uncertainty. Ultimately, it supports national energy security through technically robust and economically viable resource exploitation strategies.
