This study explored the observation strategy and effectiveness of synoptic-scale adaptive observations for improving sea fog prediction in coastal regions around the Bohai Sea based on a poorly predicted fog event wit...This study explored the observation strategy and effectiveness of synoptic-scale adaptive observations for improving sea fog prediction in coastal regions around the Bohai Sea based on a poorly predicted fog event with cold-front synoptic pattern(CFSP).An ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation system for the Weather Research and Forecasting model was adopted with ensemble sensitivity analysis(ESA).By comparing observation impacts(estimated from a 40-member ensemble with ESA)among different meteorological observation variables and pressure levels,the temperature at 850 hPa and surface layer(850 hPa-and-surface temperature)was selected as the target observation type.Additionally,the area with large observation impacts for this observation type was predicted in the transition region of the surface low–high system.This area developed southward with the low and moved eastward with the low–high system,which could be explained by the main features of CFSP.Moreover,both experiments assimilating synthetic and real observations showed that assimilating 850 hPa-and-surface temperature observations generally yielded better fog coverage forecasts in areas with greater observation impacts than areas with smaller impacts.However,the effectiveness of adaptive observations was reduced when real observations rather than synthetic observations were assimilated,which is possibly due to factors such as observation and model errors.The main conclusions above were verified by another typical fog event with CFSP characteristics.Results of this study highlight the importance of improved initial conditions in the transition region of the low–high system for improving fog prediction and provide scientific guidance for implementing an observation network for fog forecasting over the Bohai Sea.展开更多
Objective weather classification methods have been extensively applied to identify dominant ozone-favorable synoptic weather patterns(SWPs),however,the consistency of different classification methods is rarely examine...Objective weather classification methods have been extensively applied to identify dominant ozone-favorable synoptic weather patterns(SWPs),however,the consistency of different classification methods is rarely examined.In this study,we apply two widely-used objective methods,the self-organizing map(SOM)and K-means clustering analysis,to derive ozone-favorable SWPs at four Chinese megacities in 2015-2022.We find that the two algorithms are largely consistent in recognizing dominant ozone-favorable SWPs for four Chinese megacities.In the case of classifying six SWPs,the derived circulation fields are highly similar with a spatial correlation of 0.99 between the two methods,and the difference in themean frequency of each SWP is less than 7%.The six dominant ozone-favorable SWPs in Guangzhou are all characterized by anomaly higher radiation and temperature,lower cloud cover,relative humidity,and wind speed,and stronger subsidence compared to climatology mean.We find that during 2015-2022,the occurrence of ozone-favorable SWPs days increases significantly at a rate of 3.2 days/year,faster than the increases in the ozone exceedance days(3.0 days/year).The interannual variability between the occurrence of ozone-favorable SWPs and ozone exceedance days are generally consistent with a temporal correlation coefficient of 0.6.In particular,the significant increase in ozone-favorable SWPs in 2022,especially the Subtropical High type which typically occurs in September,is consistent with a long-lasting ozone pollution episode in Guangzhou during September 2022.Our results thus reveal that enhanced frequency of ozone-favorable SWPs plays an important role in the observed 2015-2022 ozone increase in Guangzhou.展开更多
Large-scale synoptic patterns significantly affect meteorological conditions and air pollution,yet their impacts on the vertical distribution of formaldehyde(HCHO)and nitrogen dioxide(NO_(2))have been little studied.F...Large-scale synoptic patterns significantly affect meteorological conditions and air pollution,yet their impacts on the vertical distribution of formaldehyde(HCHO)and nitrogen dioxide(NO_(2))have been little studied.From 1 June 2020 to 31 December 2021,Multi-AXis-Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy(MAX-DOAS)was used to observe NO_(2) and HCHO vertical profiles in three typical environments of Shanghai,China,representing urban,suburban and coastal rural environments,respectively.HCHO level is the highest at suburban site,NO_(2) is the highest at urban site.HCHO is mainly distributed between 0 and 1 kmin altitude,and NO_(2) is concentrated near the ground.The ratio of HCHO to NO_(2) is used to identify ozone formation regimes,ozone sensitivities vary with environmental area,season and altitude.The principal component analysis in the T-mode approach and typhoon“In-Fa”case is applied to analyze the effects of synoptic patterns on HCHO and NO_(2) vertically.HCHO concentrations show a pattern of low-pressure type>uniform-pressure type>high-pressure type at each altitude layer,while NO_(2) concentrations follow the opposite pattern.Meteorological factors(especially radiation,temperature,relative humidity,cloud cover and wind),external transport and initial emissions contribute to the differences in HCHO and NO_(2) levels across synoptic types.The“In-Fa”case shows how this special synoptic pattern elevates HCHO and NO_(2) levels by improving meteorological conditions,boosting biogenic precursors and shifting air mass directions.This study assesses the impacts of synoptic patterns on HCHO and NO_(2) vertical distribution in Shanghai,offering insights into understanding causes of pollution.展开更多
The Sichuan Basin(SCB),China has a high incidence of extremely persistent heavy rainfall(EPHR)events.The EPHR events from 2009 to 2019 in the SCB were mainly concentrated over the northern and northwestern windward sl...The Sichuan Basin(SCB),China has a high incidence of extremely persistent heavy rainfall(EPHR)events.The EPHR events from 2009 to 2019 in the SCB were mainly concentrated over the northern and northwestern windward slopes and the central basin.They occurred from June to September,but especially in July,and peaked at 0300 LST.ERA5 reanalysis data and objective classification were used to investigate the synoptic patterns and their effects.There were three synoptic patterns during EPHR events,all accompanied by a Southwest Vortex.The location and intensity of the Southwest Vortex,thermal forcing of the Tibetan Plateau(TP),and low-level winds can greatly affect the intensity and spatial distribution of EPHR.When the Southwest Vortex was located in the western SCB and there were southerly low-level jets(LLJs),convergence and upslope wind would lead to EPHR over the northwestern or northern windward slopes.If there was no LLJ and the whole SCB was under the center of the Southwest Vortex,nocturnal EPHR was controlled by the internal circulation of the Southwest Vortex and the updraft generated by the thermal forcing of the TP,and the rainfall was weaker.The southeastern entrance of the SCB was a key area where the low-level wind dominated the nocturnal peak of EPHR.The nocturnal strengthened southeasterly wind in the key area is attributable to inertial oscillation,and the topographic friction plays an essential role in transporting momentum and moisture into the basin by generating easterly and northeasterly ageostrophic winds.展开更多
By applying the convolution-based Hilbert transform in the zonal direction on six-hourly streamfunction fields at200 h Pa, we present the climatology and trends of the local wave period, and zonal and meridional phase...By applying the convolution-based Hilbert transform in the zonal direction on six-hourly streamfunction fields at200 h Pa, we present the climatology and trends of the local wave period, and zonal and meridional phase speeds, of Rossby waves over the globe during the solstice seasons of 1979–2023. While partly similar to and inspired by Fragkoulidis and Wirth(2020), our method differs in its ability to cover both planetary-scale and synoptic-scale waves over not only the extratropics, but also the tropics and subtropics. Based on a physically reasonable global distribution of wave periods, our key new finding is a robust prolonging of wave periods over most regions of the tropics and subtropics during both solstice seasons of 1979–2023, except for the tropical Atlantic, which experiences a shortened wave period during June–July–August of 1979–2022. Both the prolonging and shortening of wave periods are mainly associated with the changes in planetary-scale waves. Regionally varying trends of the zonal phase speed(Cpx) of synoptic waves are consistent in sign with, but smaller in magnitude than, the trends of local zonal wind, confirming the conclusion of Wu and Lu(2023)on the opposite effects of zonal wind and the meridional gradient of potential vorticity on Cpx. Meanwhile, the Cpx trends of planetary-scale waves are relatively weak, and do not exhibit a robust relation with the trend of zonal wind. These new results are helpful toward better understanding the changes in atmospheric waves and extreme events under global warming.展开更多
Urbanization’s impact on pre-monsoon extreme rainfall in the Greater Bay Area(GBA),coastal South China(SC),and its relation to different synoptic systems remains understudied.This research investigates urbanization e...Urbanization’s impact on pre-monsoon extreme rainfall in the Greater Bay Area(GBA),coastal South China(SC),and its relation to different synoptic systems remains understudied.This research investigates urbanization effects on premonsoon rainfall using hourly station observations and Weather Research and Forecasting model with the Single Layer Urban Canopy Model(WRF-SLUCM)simulations.Observations show stronger pre-monsoon extreme rainfall in GBA cities than surrounding rural areas,with the urban heat island(UHI)intensifying the urban rainfall intensity and probability.Extreme cases were classified into frontal and shear-line warm-sector types.Enhanced urban rainfall due to UHI was more pronounced under shear-line and warm-sector systems.Four frontal and four shear-line cases were dynamically downscaled using WRF-SLUCM,and four parallel experiments were conducted:“Nourban”(urban areas replaced by cropland),“AH0”,“AH100”,and“AH300”[normal land use,with the diurnal maximum anthropogenic heat(AH)set to 0,100,and 300 W m^(−2)in SLUCM,respectively].In frontal cases,significantly reduced urban rainfall in AH0 is due to decreased(enhanced)surface evaporation(wind divergence)in cities compared to cropland.Strong northerly winds and cold-air intrusion suppress the UHI in AH0 and AH100 during the rainfall process;enhanced urban rainfall occurs only in AH300.In contrast,for shear-line cases,urban friction and UHI promote local convection and wind convergence,increasing urban rainfall significantly in all urban experiments compared to Nourban.Overall,urbanization’s influence on SC’s premonsoon extreme rainfall is highly sensitive to the type of synoptic systems,necessitating further investigation of urban rainfall in this season.展开更多
Mêdog,located at the entrance of the water vapour channel of the Yarlung Zangbo Grand Canyon,and it has the highest rainfall and lowest elevation on the Tibetan Plateau(TP).The droplet size distribution(DSD)and m...Mêdog,located at the entrance of the water vapour channel of the Yarlung Zangbo Grand Canyon,and it has the highest rainfall and lowest elevation on the Tibetan Plateau(TP).The droplet size distribution(DSD)and microphysical processes associated with rainfall usually exhibit different characteristics under different synoptic patterns.In this study,an objective classification method is used to categorize the synoptic patterns that affect heavy rainfall(daily rainfall amounts>10 mm)in Mêdog into four patterns:southwest airflow(SWA),southern-branch trough(SBT),intense baroclinicity(IBC),and terrain-forced precipitation(TFP).SWA occurs most frequently(approximately 70%)with a mean daily rainfall of~22 mm,while TFP has the lowest occurrence frequency(7.7%)but the highest mean daily rainfall(29 mm).Both SBT and IBC exhibit occurrence frequencies around 12%.Among these patterns,the SWA pattern predominantly occurs during the monsoon season with abundant moisture and the lowest concentration of small raindrops.In contrast,the TFP pattern exhibits the highest concentration of large raindrops and the widest DSD spectrum,which can be attributed to the frequent convective activities in this area.As a result,compared with those of the other three synoptic patterns,the TFP pattern exhibits a larger mass-weighted mean diameter(D_(m))and higher rain rate(R).For stratiform rainfall,the difference in D_(m)among the four synoptic patterns can be neglected.The largest(smallest)average lgNW-value is observed in the SWA(IBC)pattern.Regarding convective rainfall,IBC dominated by northerly cold air exhibits mixed-phase processes characterized by larger raindrops and lower concentrations,resembling continental-like rainfall.In contrast,SWA occurring in monsoon season shows high concentrations of small raindrops,deeming it similar to maritime-like rainfall.In terms of the derived relationships,there are significant differences in the D_(m)-R andμ-Λrelationships among the four synoptic patterns.In addition,the diurnal variation in the DSD is analyzed in terms of the four synoptic patterns.These findings can improve the understanding of the microphysical processes of heavy rainfall events under different synoptic patterns and provide a reference for microphysical parameterizations of numerical models.展开更多
In July 2021,a catastrophic extreme precipitation(EP)event occurred in Henan Province,China,resulting in considerable human and economic losses.The synoptic pattern during this event is distinctive,characterized by th...In July 2021,a catastrophic extreme precipitation(EP)event occurred in Henan Province,China,resulting in considerable human and economic losses.The synoptic pattern during this event is distinctive,characterized by the presence of two typhoons and substantial water transport into Henan.However,a favorable synoptic pattern only does not guarantee the occurrence of heavy precipitation in Henan.This study investigates the key environmental features critical for EP under similar synoptic patterns to the 2021 Henan extreme event.It is found that cold clouds are better aggregated on EP days,accompanied by beneficial environment features like enhanced moisture conditions,stronger updrafts,and greater atmospheric instability.The temporal evolution of these environmental features shows a leading signal by one to three days.These results suggest the importance of combining the synoptic pattern and environmental features in the forecasting of heavy precipitation events.展开更多
Meteorological conditions are vital to PM_(2.5)and ozone(O_(3))complex pollution.Herein,the T-mode principal com-ponent analysis method was employed to objectively classify the 925-hPa geopotential height field of Don...Meteorological conditions are vital to PM_(2.5)and ozone(O_(3))complex pollution.Herein,the T-mode principal com-ponent analysis method was employed to objectively classify the 925-hPa geopotential height field of Dongying from 2017 to 2022.Synoptic patterns associated with four pollution types-namely,PM_(2.5)-only pollution,O_(3)-only pollution,Co-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution,Non-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution-were characterized at different time scales.The results indicated that synoptic classes conducive to PM_(2.5)-only pollution were“high-pressure top front”,“offshore high-pressure rear”,and“high-pressure inside”,while those conducive to O_(3)-only pollution were“offshore high-pressure rear”,“subtropical high”,and“high and low systems”.The Co-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution were influenced by high pressure,and the Non-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution were linked to precipitation and strong northerly winds.The variation in dominant synoptic patterns is crucial in the frequency changes of the four pollution types,which was further validated through the analysis of typical cases.Under the favorable meteorological conditions of high-pressure control with strong northerly winds or a subtropical high and inverted trough both with strong precipitation,there is potential to achieve coordinated control of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)in Dongying.Additionally,measures like artificially manipulating local humidity could be adopted to alleviate pollution levels.This study reveals the importance of comprehending the meteorological factors contributing to the formation of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)complex pollution for the improvement of urban air quality in the Bohai Rim region of China when emissions are high and the concentration of air pollutants exhibits high meteorological sensitivity.展开更多
This study investigates the synoptic Arctic sea ice variation during the summer half year based on a regional daily sea ice concentration(SIC)tendency index during 1979-2021.Results indicate an enhancement in synoptic...This study investigates the synoptic Arctic sea ice variation during the summer half year based on a regional daily sea ice concentration(SIC)tendency index during 1979-2021.Results indicate an enhancement in synoptic SIC variation over the Pacific sector of Arctic Ocean,with the maximum amplitude concentrating along the sea ice edge to covering a larger domain.Most synoptic severe sea ice variations occur for a single day or 2-3 d,typically starting after mid-June and ending in mid-November over Beaufort-Chukchi seas.However,there is a clear shift in ending time over the East Siberian-Laptev seas from early October to early November.Further analysis suggests that wind-driven sea ice drift may significantly contribute to the amplification of synoptic sea ice variation.This result contributes to our understanding of regional Arctic sea ice predictability,particularly in relation to the Arctic northeast shipping passage.展开更多
This research work involves a comparative study of satellite rainfall and synoptic observations in the Republic of Guinea over a 30-year period.The methodology used consists,firstly,in assessing rainfall trends over t...This research work involves a comparative study of satellite rainfall and synoptic observations in the Republic of Guinea over a 30-year period.The methodology used consists,firstly,in assessing rainfall trends over the study period in Guinea’s four natural regions,using the temporal averages of the three stations located in each region.Secondly,we calculated the correlations between synoptic and satellite observation data,in order to determine the links between them on the basis of data analysis.The results for synoptic stations on average seasonal rainfall cycles and satellite products show that in Lower Guinea,the CRU(Climatic Research Unit)and GPCC(Global Precipitation Climatology Center)data are good estimates of observations.In the Fouta Djallon region,they also estimate observations well,but at two synoptic stations,with the exception of Mamou,they underestimate them.In Upper Guinea,during the monsoon period,satellites give a good estimate of rainfall in this area.In the forest region,these products show highly variable behavior,sometimes underestimating and sometimes overestimating observations,depending on the stations in the zone.展开更多
In order to evaluate the precipitation forecast performance of mesoscale numerical model in Northeast China,mesoscale model in Liaoning Province and T213 model,and improve the ability to use their forecast products fo...In order to evaluate the precipitation forecast performance of mesoscale numerical model in Northeast China,mesoscale model in Liaoning Province and T213 model,and improve the ability to use their forecast products for forecasters,the synoptic verifications of their 12 h accumulated precipitation forecasts of 3 numerical modes from May to August in 2008 were made on the basis of different systems impacting weather in Liaoning Province.The time limitations were 24,36,48 and 60 h.The verified contents included 6 aspects such as intensity and position of precipitation center,intensity,location,scope and moving velocity of precipitation main body.The results showed that the three models had good forecasting capability for precipitation in Liaoning Province,but the cupacity of each model was obviously different.展开更多
Since the interaction between atmospheric synoptic eddy （SE） （2-8 days） activity and low-frequency （LF） （monthly） flow （referred to as SELF） plays an essential role in generating and maintaining dominant cli...Since the interaction between atmospheric synoptic eddy （SE） （2-8 days） activity and low-frequency （LF） （monthly） flow （referred to as SELF） plays an essential role in generating and maintaining dominant climate modes, an evaluation of the performance of BCC_CSMI.I（m） in simulating the SE feedback onto the LF flow is given in this paper. The model captures well the major spatial features of climatological eddy vorticity forcing, eddy-induced growth rate, and patterns of SELF feedback for the climate modes with large magnitudes in cold seasons and small magnitudes in warm seasons for both the Northern and Southern Hemisphere. As in observations, the eddy-induced growth rate and SELF feedback patterns in the model also show positive SE feedback. Overall, the relationships between SE and LF flow show that BCC_CSM1. l（m） satisfactorily captures the basic features of positive SE feedback, which demonstrates the simulation skill of the model for LF variability. Specifically, such an evaluation can help to find model biases of BCC_CSM1.1 （m） in simulating SE feedback, which will provide a reference for the model＇s application.展开更多
Knowledge of the statistical characteristics of inversions and their effects on aerosols under different large-scale synoptic circulations is important for studying and modeling the diffusion of pollutants in the boun...Knowledge of the statistical characteristics of inversions and their effects on aerosols under different large-scale synoptic circulations is important for studying and modeling the diffusion of pollutants in the boundary layer. Based on results gen- erated using the self-organizing map （SOM） weather classification method, this study compares the statistical characteristics of surface-based inversions （SBIs） and elevated inversions （EIs）, and quantitatively evaluates the effect of SBIs on aerosol condensation nuclei （CN） concentrations and the relationship between temperature gradients and aerosols for six prevailing synoptic patterns over the the Southern Great Plains （SGP） site during 2001-10. Large-scale synoptic patterns strongly influ- ence the statistical characteristics of inversions and the accumulation of aerosols in the low-level atmosphere. The activity, frequency, intensity, and vertical distribution of inversions are significantly different among these synoptic patterns. The verti- cal distribution of inversions varies diurnally and is significantly different among the different synoptic patterns. Anticyclonic patterns affect the accumulation of aerosols near the ground more strongly than cyclonic patterns. Mean aerosol CN con- centrations increase during SBIs compared to no inversion cases by 16.1%, 22.6%, 24.5%, 58.7%, 29.8% and 23.7% for the six synoptic patterns. This study confirms that there is a positive correlation between temperature gradients and aerosol CN concentrations near the ground at night under similar large-scale synoptic patterns. The relationship is different for different synoptic patterns and can be described by linear functions. These findings suggest that large-scale synoptic patterns change the static stability of the atmosphere and inversions in the lower atmosphere, thereby influencing the diffusion of aerosols near the ground.展开更多
Summer precipitation over the Yangtze River basin(YRB)in 2020 experienced a strong subseasonal and synoptic fluctuation in addition to contributing to an exceptionally large seasonal mean precipitation.The cause of th...Summer precipitation over the Yangtze River basin(YRB)in 2020 experienced a strong subseasonal and synoptic fluctuation in addition to contributing to an exceptionally large seasonal mean precipitation.The cause of this higher-frequency fluctuation is examined based on observational analyses.Apart from the continuous northward movement of the climatological mei-yu rainband,the mei-yu rainbelt in the summer of 2020 experienced multiple northward and southward swings.The cause of the swings was attributed to the subseasonal variability of southerly winds to the south and northeasterly winds to the north of the YRB.In addition,synoptic-scale variability,characterized by the eastward propagation of low-level cyclonic vorticity and precipitation anomalies,was also commonplace in the summer of 2020.While the strengthening of both the subseasonal and synoptic variabilities in the summer of 2020 was attributed to the increase of the background mean moisture,the synoptic variability was greatly affected by the subseasonal rainfall variability.As a result,both the synoptic-scale and subseasonal variabilities contributed to the north-south swings of the rainbelt.The large-scale modulations by both the seasonal mean and subseasonal anomalies provide insight regarding the optimization of issuing accurate,extended-range forecasts of extreme weather events.展开更多
Fogs observed over Incheon international airport （IIA） in the west coast of Korea from January 2002 to August 2006 are classified into categories of coastal fog, cold sea fog, and warm sea fog based on the areal ext...Fogs observed over Incheon international airport （IIA） in the west coast of Korea from January 2002 to August 2006 are classified into categories of coastal fog, cold sea fog, and warm sea fog based on the areal extent of the fogs and the difference between the air temperature （T ） and the SST, i.e., cold sea fog if TSST = T -SST 〉 0~0C and warm sea fog if TSST 〈 0~0C. The numbers of coastal, cold, and warm sea fog cases are 64, 26, and 9. Coastal fogs form most frequently in winter, while cold sea fogs occur mostly in summer and warm sea fogs are observed from January to May but not in November and December. On average the air gets colder by 1.6~0C during the three hours leading up to the coastal fog formation, and an additional cooling of 1.1~0C occurs during the fog. The change in the dew point temperature （T_d） is minimal except during the fog （0.6~0C）. Decreases in T for the cold and warm sea fogs are relatively smaller. The average Td is higher than SST during the cold sea fog periods but this T_d is more than 4~0C higher than that for the corresponding non-fog days, suggesting that cold sea fogs be formed by the cooling of already humid air （i.e., T_d〉SST）. Increases of T_d are significant during the warm sea fog periods （1.4~0C）, implying that effcient moisture supply is essential to warm sea fog formation. Four major synoptic patterns are identified in association with the observed fogs. The most frequent is a north Pacific high that accounts for 38% of cases. Surface or upper inversions are present in 77%, 69%, and 81% of the fog periods for coastal, cold, and warm sea fogs, respectively.展开更多
Synoptic patterns identified by an automated procedure employing principal- component analysis and a two-stage cluster analysis, and backward trajectory analysis clustered by the HYSPLIT4.9 model were used to examine ...Synoptic patterns identified by an automated procedure employing principal- component analysis and a two-stage cluster analysis, and backward trajectory analysis clustered by the HYSPLIT4.9 model were used to examine air quality patterns over¨ Uru¨mqi, China, one of the most heavily polluted cities in the world. Six synoptic patterns representing different atmospheric circulation patterns and air-mass characteristics were classified during the winter heating periods from 2001 to 2008, and seven trajectory clusters representing different paths of air masses arriving at ürümqi were calculated during the winter heating periods from 2005 to 2008. Then air quality was evaluated using these two approaches, and significant variations were found across both synoptic patterns and trajectory clusters. The heaviest air-pollution episodes occurred when ürümqi was either in an extremely cold, strong anticyclone or at the front of a migrating cyclone. Both conditions were characterized by with light winds, cold, wet surface air, and relatively dry upper air. ürümqi was predominately influenced by air masses from the southwest and from local areas. Air pollution index （API） levels were highest for air masses originating from the southwest with a longer path or for the local area, because of transport from semi-desert/desert regions by strong winds and because of local heavy pollution emissions, respectively. The interactions between these two analytical approaches showed that poor diffusion conditions, together with local circulation, enhanced air pollution, besides, regional air-mass transport caused by strong winds contributed to serious air quality under relatively good diffusion conditions.展开更多
The fog occurs frequently over the Yellow Sea in spring（April–May）, a climatical period of Asian monsoon transition. A comprehensive survey of the characteristic weather pattern and the air-sea condition is provide...The fog occurs frequently over the Yellow Sea in spring（April–May）, a climatical period of Asian monsoon transition. A comprehensive survey of the characteristic weather pattern and the air-sea condition is provided associated with the fog for the period of 1960–2006. The sea fog is categorized by airflow pathways of backward trajectory cluster analysis with the surface observations derived from international comprehensive oceanatmosphere dataset（I_COADS） I_COADS datasets and contemporaneous wind fields from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction（NCEP）/National Center for Atmospheric Research（NCAR） reanalysis. On the basis of the airflow paths, the large-scale lower-tropospheric circulation patterns and the associated surface divergence,the distribution of a vertical humidity, the horizontal water vapor transportation and the air-sea temperature difference are investigated and the major findings are summarized as follows.（1） Four primary clusters of the airflow paths that lead to spring sea fog formation are identified. They are originated from the northwest, east,southeast and southwest of the Yellow Sea, respectively.（2） Springtime Yellow Sea fog occurs under two typical weather patterns： the Yellow Sea high（YSH） and cyclone and anticyclone couplet（CAC）. Each pattern appears by about equal chance in April but the YSH occurrence drops to around one third and the CAC rises to around two third of chance in May.（3） The common feature in the two types of synoptic conditions is that surface divergence center is located over the Yellow Sea.（4） For the YSH type of fog, water vapor comes mainly from local evaporation with a well-defined dry layer present in the lower atmosphere; for the CAC type of fog, however, water vapor comes mainly from areas outside the Yellow Sea with a thick surface layer of high humidity.（5） With the differences in weather patterns and its associated vertical distribution of the humidity and the transportation of water vapor, there are two types of sea fogs. Most fogs of the CAC types are ＂warm＂ fog, while fogs of YSH type have nearly equal chance to be ＂warm＂ and ＂cold＂ fog.展开更多
The effects of aerosol-radiation interactions(ARI)are not only important for regional and global climate,but they can also drive particulate matter(PM)pollution.In this study,the ARI contribution to the near-surface f...The effects of aerosol-radiation interactions(ARI)are not only important for regional and global climate,but they can also drive particulate matter(PM)pollution.In this study,the ARI contribution to the near-surface fine PM(PM_(2.5))concentrations in the Guanzhong Basin(GZB)is evaluated under four unfavorable synoptic patterns,including“northlow”,“transition”,“southeast-trough”,and“inland-high”,based on WRF-Chem model simulations of a persistent heavy PM pollution episode in January 2019.Simulations show that ARI consistently decreases both solar radiation reaching down to the surface(SWDOWN)and surface temperature(TSFC),which then reduces wind speed,induces sinking motion,and influences cloud formation in the GZB.However,large differences under the four synoptic patterns still exist.The average reductions of SWDOWN and daytime TSFC in the GZB range from 15.2%and 1.04°C in the case of the“transition”pattern to 26.7%and 1.69°C in the case of the“north-low”pattern,respectively.Furthermore,ARI suppresses the development of the planetary boundary layer(PBL),with the decrease of PBL height(PBLH)varying from 18.7%in the case of the“transition”pattern to 32.0%in the case of the“north-low”pattern.The increase of daytime near-surface PM_(2.5)in the GZB due to ARI is 12.0%,8.1%,9.5%,and 9.7%under the four synoptic patterns,respectively.Ensemble analyses also reveal that when near-surface PM_(2.5)concentrations are low,ARI tends to lower PM_(2.5)concentrations with decreased PBLH,which is caused by enhanced divergence or a transition from divergence to convergence in an area.ARI contributes 15%-25%toward the near-surface PM_(2.5)concentrations during the severe PM pollution period under the four synoptic patterns.展开更多
Initial mesoscale vortex effects on the tropical cyclone （TC） motion in a system where three components coexist （i.e., an environmental vortex （EV）, a TC, and mesoscale vortices） were examined using a barotropic...Initial mesoscale vortex effects on the tropical cyclone （TC） motion in a system where three components coexist （i.e., an environmental vortex （EV）, a TC, and mesoscale vortices） were examined using a barotropic vorticity equation model with initial fields where mesoscale vortices were generated stochastically. Results of these simulations indicate that the deflection of the TC track derived from the initial mesoscale vortices was clearly smaller than that from the beta effect in 60% of the cases. However, they may have a more significant impact on the TC track under the following circumstances. First, the interaction between an adjacent mesoscale vortex and the TC causes the emergence of a complicated structure with two centers in the TC inner region. This configuration may last for 8 h, and the two centers undergo a cyclonic rotation to make the change in direction of the TC motion. Second, two mesoscale vortices located in the EV circulation may merge, and the merged vortex shifts into the EV inner region, intensifying both the EV and steering flow for the TC, increasing speed of the TC.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41705081)the Shandong Natural Science Foundation Project(Grant No.ZR2019ZD12)the Laoshan Laboratory(Grant No.LSKJ202202203).
文摘This study explored the observation strategy and effectiveness of synoptic-scale adaptive observations for improving sea fog prediction in coastal regions around the Bohai Sea based on a poorly predicted fog event with cold-front synoptic pattern(CFSP).An ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation system for the Weather Research and Forecasting model was adopted with ensemble sensitivity analysis(ESA).By comparing observation impacts(estimated from a 40-member ensemble with ESA)among different meteorological observation variables and pressure levels,the temperature at 850 hPa and surface layer(850 hPa-and-surface temperature)was selected as the target observation type.Additionally,the area with large observation impacts for this observation type was predicted in the transition region of the surface low–high system.This area developed southward with the low and moved eastward with the low–high system,which could be explained by the main features of CFSP.Moreover,both experiments assimilating synthetic and real observations showed that assimilating 850 hPa-and-surface temperature observations generally yielded better fog coverage forecasts in areas with greater observation impacts than areas with smaller impacts.However,the effectiveness of adaptive observations was reduced when real observations rather than synthetic observations were assimilated,which is possibly due to factors such as observation and model errors.The main conclusions above were verified by another typical fog event with CFSP characteristics.Results of this study highlight the importance of improved initial conditions in the transition region of the low–high system for improving fog prediction and provide scientific guidance for implementing an observation network for fog forecasting over the Bohai Sea.
基金supported by the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research project (No.2020B0301030004)the Key-Area Research and Development Program of Guangdong Province (No.2020B1111360003)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.42105103)the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation (No.2022A1515011554).
文摘Objective weather classification methods have been extensively applied to identify dominant ozone-favorable synoptic weather patterns(SWPs),however,the consistency of different classification methods is rarely examined.In this study,we apply two widely-used objective methods,the self-organizing map(SOM)and K-means clustering analysis,to derive ozone-favorable SWPs at four Chinese megacities in 2015-2022.We find that the two algorithms are largely consistent in recognizing dominant ozone-favorable SWPs for four Chinese megacities.In the case of classifying six SWPs,the derived circulation fields are highly similar with a spatial correlation of 0.99 between the two methods,and the difference in themean frequency of each SWP is less than 7%.The six dominant ozone-favorable SWPs in Guangzhou are all characterized by anomaly higher radiation and temperature,lower cloud cover,relative humidity,and wind speed,and stronger subsidence compared to climatology mean.We find that during 2015-2022,the occurrence of ozone-favorable SWPs days increases significantly at a rate of 3.2 days/year,faster than the increases in the ozone exceedance days(3.0 days/year).The interannual variability between the occurrence of ozone-favorable SWPs and ozone exceedance days are generally consistent with a temporal correlation coefficient of 0.6.In particular,the significant increase in ozone-favorable SWPs in 2022,especially the Subtropical High type which typically occurs in September,is consistent with a long-lasting ozone pollution episode in Guangzhou during September 2022.Our results thus reveal that enhanced frequency of ozone-favorable SWPs plays an important role in the observed 2015-2022 ozone increase in Guangzhou.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2023YFC3705301)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.22176037,42075097,22376030,42375089,and 21976031).
文摘Large-scale synoptic patterns significantly affect meteorological conditions and air pollution,yet their impacts on the vertical distribution of formaldehyde(HCHO)and nitrogen dioxide(NO_(2))have been little studied.From 1 June 2020 to 31 December 2021,Multi-AXis-Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy(MAX-DOAS)was used to observe NO_(2) and HCHO vertical profiles in three typical environments of Shanghai,China,representing urban,suburban and coastal rural environments,respectively.HCHO level is the highest at suburban site,NO_(2) is the highest at urban site.HCHO is mainly distributed between 0 and 1 kmin altitude,and NO_(2) is concentrated near the ground.The ratio of HCHO to NO_(2) is used to identify ozone formation regimes,ozone sensitivities vary with environmental area,season and altitude.The principal component analysis in the T-mode approach and typhoon“In-Fa”case is applied to analyze the effects of synoptic patterns on HCHO and NO_(2) vertically.HCHO concentrations show a pattern of low-pressure type>uniform-pressure type>high-pressure type at each altitude layer,while NO_(2) concentrations follow the opposite pattern.Meteorological factors(especially radiation,temperature,relative humidity,cloud cover and wind),external transport and initial emissions contribute to the differences in HCHO and NO_(2) levels across synoptic types.The“In-Fa”case shows how this special synoptic pattern elevates HCHO and NO_(2) levels by improving meteorological conditions,boosting biogenic precursors and shifting air mass directions.This study assesses the impacts of synoptic patterns on HCHO and NO_(2) vertical distribution in Shanghai,offering insights into understanding causes of pollution.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42330610 and 42075010)。
文摘The Sichuan Basin(SCB),China has a high incidence of extremely persistent heavy rainfall(EPHR)events.The EPHR events from 2009 to 2019 in the SCB were mainly concentrated over the northern and northwestern windward slopes and the central basin.They occurred from June to September,but especially in July,and peaked at 0300 LST.ERA5 reanalysis data and objective classification were used to investigate the synoptic patterns and their effects.There were three synoptic patterns during EPHR events,all accompanied by a Southwest Vortex.The location and intensity of the Southwest Vortex,thermal forcing of the Tibetan Plateau(TP),and low-level winds can greatly affect the intensity and spatial distribution of EPHR.When the Southwest Vortex was located in the western SCB and there were southerly low-level jets(LLJs),convergence and upslope wind would lead to EPHR over the northwestern or northern windward slopes.If there was no LLJ and the whole SCB was under the center of the Southwest Vortex,nocturnal EPHR was controlled by the internal circulation of the Southwest Vortex and the updraft generated by the thermal forcing of the TP,and the rainfall was weaker.The southeastern entrance of the SCB was a key area where the low-level wind dominated the nocturnal peak of EPHR.The nocturnal strengthened southeasterly wind in the key area is attributable to inertial oscillation,and the topographic friction plays an essential role in transporting momentum and moisture into the basin by generating easterly and northeasterly ageostrophic winds.
基金the support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 42175070)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 42288101)supported by the National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project “Earth System Numerical Simulation Facility” (Earth Lab)。
文摘By applying the convolution-based Hilbert transform in the zonal direction on six-hourly streamfunction fields at200 h Pa, we present the climatology and trends of the local wave period, and zonal and meridional phase speeds, of Rossby waves over the globe during the solstice seasons of 1979–2023. While partly similar to and inspired by Fragkoulidis and Wirth(2020), our method differs in its ability to cover both planetary-scale and synoptic-scale waves over not only the extratropics, but also the tropics and subtropics. Based on a physically reasonable global distribution of wave periods, our key new finding is a robust prolonging of wave periods over most regions of the tropics and subtropics during both solstice seasons of 1979–2023, except for the tropical Atlantic, which experiences a shortened wave period during June–July–August of 1979–2022. Both the prolonging and shortening of wave periods are mainly associated with the changes in planetary-scale waves. Regionally varying trends of the zonal phase speed(Cpx) of synoptic waves are consistent in sign with, but smaller in magnitude than, the trends of local zonal wind, confirming the conclusion of Wu and Lu(2023)on the opposite effects of zonal wind and the meridional gradient of potential vorticity on Cpx. Meanwhile, the Cpx trends of planetary-scale waves are relatively weak, and do not exhibit a robust relation with the trend of zonal wind. These new results are helpful toward better understanding the changes in atmospheric waves and extreme events under global warming.
基金supported by CUHK Strategic Impact Enhancement Fund(project no.3135536)Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(2023B1515020029).
文摘Urbanization’s impact on pre-monsoon extreme rainfall in the Greater Bay Area(GBA),coastal South China(SC),and its relation to different synoptic systems remains understudied.This research investigates urbanization effects on premonsoon rainfall using hourly station observations and Weather Research and Forecasting model with the Single Layer Urban Canopy Model(WRF-SLUCM)simulations.Observations show stronger pre-monsoon extreme rainfall in GBA cities than surrounding rural areas,with the urban heat island(UHI)intensifying the urban rainfall intensity and probability.Extreme cases were classified into frontal and shear-line warm-sector types.Enhanced urban rainfall due to UHI was more pronounced under shear-line and warm-sector systems.Four frontal and four shear-line cases were dynamically downscaled using WRF-SLUCM,and four parallel experiments were conducted:“Nourban”(urban areas replaced by cropland),“AH0”,“AH100”,and“AH300”[normal land use,with the diurnal maximum anthropogenic heat(AH)set to 0,100,and 300 W m^(−2)in SLUCM,respectively].In frontal cases,significantly reduced urban rainfall in AH0 is due to decreased(enhanced)surface evaporation(wind divergence)in cities compared to cropland.Strong northerly winds and cold-air intrusion suppress the UHI in AH0 and AH100 during the rainfall process;enhanced urban rainfall occurs only in AH300.In contrast,for shear-line cases,urban friction and UHI promote local convection and wind convergence,increasing urban rainfall significantly in all urban experiments compared to Nourban.Overall,urbanization’s influence on SC’s premonsoon extreme rainfall is highly sensitive to the type of synoptic systems,necessitating further investigation of urban rainfall in this season.
基金funded by the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research(STEP)program,Grant No.2019QZKK0105Basic Research Fund of CAMS(2023Z009)Science and Technology Development Fund of Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences(2023KJ041).
文摘Mêdog,located at the entrance of the water vapour channel of the Yarlung Zangbo Grand Canyon,and it has the highest rainfall and lowest elevation on the Tibetan Plateau(TP).The droplet size distribution(DSD)and microphysical processes associated with rainfall usually exhibit different characteristics under different synoptic patterns.In this study,an objective classification method is used to categorize the synoptic patterns that affect heavy rainfall(daily rainfall amounts>10 mm)in Mêdog into four patterns:southwest airflow(SWA),southern-branch trough(SBT),intense baroclinicity(IBC),and terrain-forced precipitation(TFP).SWA occurs most frequently(approximately 70%)with a mean daily rainfall of~22 mm,while TFP has the lowest occurrence frequency(7.7%)but the highest mean daily rainfall(29 mm).Both SBT and IBC exhibit occurrence frequencies around 12%.Among these patterns,the SWA pattern predominantly occurs during the monsoon season with abundant moisture and the lowest concentration of small raindrops.In contrast,the TFP pattern exhibits the highest concentration of large raindrops and the widest DSD spectrum,which can be attributed to the frequent convective activities in this area.As a result,compared with those of the other three synoptic patterns,the TFP pattern exhibits a larger mass-weighted mean diameter(D_(m))and higher rain rate(R).For stratiform rainfall,the difference in D_(m)among the four synoptic patterns can be neglected.The largest(smallest)average lgNW-value is observed in the SWA(IBC)pattern.Regarding convective rainfall,IBC dominated by northerly cold air exhibits mixed-phase processes characterized by larger raindrops and lower concentrations,resembling continental-like rainfall.In contrast,SWA occurring in monsoon season shows high concentrations of small raindrops,deeming it similar to maritime-like rainfall.In terms of the derived relationships,there are significant differences in the D_(m)-R andμ-Λrelationships among the four synoptic patterns.In addition,the diurnal variation in the DSD is analyzed in terms of the four synoptic patterns.These findings can improve the understanding of the microphysical processes of heavy rainfall events under different synoptic patterns and provide a reference for microphysical parameterizations of numerical models.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Pro-gram of China(Grant No.2022YFC3003902)the National Natu-ral Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42075146 and 42275006).
文摘In July 2021,a catastrophic extreme precipitation(EP)event occurred in Henan Province,China,resulting in considerable human and economic losses.The synoptic pattern during this event is distinctive,characterized by the presence of two typhoons and substantial water transport into Henan.However,a favorable synoptic pattern only does not guarantee the occurrence of heavy precipitation in Henan.This study investigates the key environmental features critical for EP under similar synoptic patterns to the 2021 Henan extreme event.It is found that cold clouds are better aggregated on EP days,accompanied by beneficial environment features like enhanced moisture conditions,stronger updrafts,and greater atmospheric instability.The temporal evolution of these environmental features shows a leading signal by one to three days.These results suggest the importance of combining the synoptic pattern and environmental features in the forecasting of heavy precipitation events.
基金jointly supported by the Ministry of Ecology and Environment of the People’s Republic of China[grant number DQGG202121]the Dongying Ecological and Environmental Bureau[grant number 2021DFKY-0779]。
文摘Meteorological conditions are vital to PM_(2.5)and ozone(O_(3))complex pollution.Herein,the T-mode principal com-ponent analysis method was employed to objectively classify the 925-hPa geopotential height field of Dongying from 2017 to 2022.Synoptic patterns associated with four pollution types-namely,PM_(2.5)-only pollution,O_(3)-only pollution,Co-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution,Non-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution-were characterized at different time scales.The results indicated that synoptic classes conducive to PM_(2.5)-only pollution were“high-pressure top front”,“offshore high-pressure rear”,and“high-pressure inside”,while those conducive to O_(3)-only pollution were“offshore high-pressure rear”,“subtropical high”,and“high and low systems”.The Co-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution were influenced by high pressure,and the Non-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution were linked to precipitation and strong northerly winds.The variation in dominant synoptic patterns is crucial in the frequency changes of the four pollution types,which was further validated through the analysis of typical cases.Under the favorable meteorological conditions of high-pressure control with strong northerly winds or a subtropical high and inverted trough both with strong precipitation,there is potential to achieve coordinated control of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)in Dongying.Additionally,measures like artificially manipulating local humidity could be adopted to alleviate pollution levels.This study reveals the importance of comprehending the meteorological factors contributing to the formation of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)complex pollution for the improvement of urban air quality in the Bohai Rim region of China when emissions are high and the concentration of air pollutants exhibits high meteorological sensitivity.
基金supported by S&T Development Fund of CAMS(Grant no.2023KJ018)Basic Research Fund of CAMS(Grant nos.2023Z015 and 2023Z025)Key Laboratory of Polar Atmosphere-ocean-ice System for Weather and Climate,Ministry of Education,China.
文摘This study investigates the synoptic Arctic sea ice variation during the summer half year based on a regional daily sea ice concentration(SIC)tendency index during 1979-2021.Results indicate an enhancement in synoptic SIC variation over the Pacific sector of Arctic Ocean,with the maximum amplitude concentrating along the sea ice edge to covering a larger domain.Most synoptic severe sea ice variations occur for a single day or 2-3 d,typically starting after mid-June and ending in mid-November over Beaufort-Chukchi seas.However,there is a clear shift in ending time over the East Siberian-Laptev seas from early October to early November.Further analysis suggests that wind-driven sea ice drift may significantly contribute to the amplification of synoptic sea ice variation.This result contributes to our understanding of regional Arctic sea ice predictability,particularly in relation to the Arctic northeast shipping passage.
文摘This research work involves a comparative study of satellite rainfall and synoptic observations in the Republic of Guinea over a 30-year period.The methodology used consists,firstly,in assessing rainfall trends over the study period in Guinea’s four natural regions,using the temporal averages of the three stations located in each region.Secondly,we calculated the correlations between synoptic and satellite observation data,in order to determine the links between them on the basis of data analysis.The results for synoptic stations on average seasonal rainfall cycles and satellite products show that in Lower Guinea,the CRU(Climatic Research Unit)and GPCC(Global Precipitation Climatology Center)data are good estimates of observations.In the Fouta Djallon region,they also estimate observations well,but at two synoptic stations,with the exception of Mamou,they underestimate them.In Upper Guinea,during the monsoon period,satellites give a good estimate of rainfall in this area.In the forest region,these products show highly variable behavior,sometimes underestimating and sometimes overestimating observations,depending on the stations in the zone.
文摘In order to evaluate the precipitation forecast performance of mesoscale numerical model in Northeast China,mesoscale model in Liaoning Province and T213 model,and improve the ability to use their forecast products for forecasters,the synoptic verifications of their 12 h accumulated precipitation forecasts of 3 numerical modes from May to August in 2008 were made on the basis of different systems impacting weather in Liaoning Province.The time limitations were 24,36,48 and 60 h.The verified contents included 6 aspects such as intensity and position of precipitation center,intensity,location,scope and moving velocity of precipitation main body.The results showed that the three models had good forecasting capability for precipitation in Liaoning Province,but the cupacity of each model was obviously different.
基金supported by the National Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41375062)the National Basic(973)Research Program of China(Grant No.2015 CB453203)+1 种基金a China Meteorological Administration(CMA)Special Project(Grant No.GYHY201406022)a CMA Key Project of Meteorological Prediction[Grant No.YBGJXM(2017)05]
文摘Since the interaction between atmospheric synoptic eddy （SE） （2-8 days） activity and low-frequency （LF） （monthly） flow （referred to as SELF） plays an essential role in generating and maintaining dominant climate modes, an evaluation of the performance of BCC_CSMI.I（m） in simulating the SE feedback onto the LF flow is given in this paper. The model captures well the major spatial features of climatological eddy vorticity forcing, eddy-induced growth rate, and patterns of SELF feedback for the climate modes with large magnitudes in cold seasons and small magnitudes in warm seasons for both the Northern and Southern Hemisphere. As in observations, the eddy-induced growth rate and SELF feedback patterns in the model also show positive SE feedback. Overall, the relationships between SE and LF flow show that BCC_CSM1. l（m） satisfactorily captures the basic features of positive SE feedback, which demonstrates the simulation skill of the model for LF variability. Specifically, such an evaluation can help to find model biases of BCC_CSM1.1 （m） in simulating SE feedback, which will provide a reference for the model＇s application.
基金sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (Grant Nos. 2010CB950804 and 2013CB955801)+1 种基金the "Strategic Priority Research Program" of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. XDA05100300)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41305011)
文摘Knowledge of the statistical characteristics of inversions and their effects on aerosols under different large-scale synoptic circulations is important for studying and modeling the diffusion of pollutants in the boundary layer. Based on results gen- erated using the self-organizing map （SOM） weather classification method, this study compares the statistical characteristics of surface-based inversions （SBIs） and elevated inversions （EIs）, and quantitatively evaluates the effect of SBIs on aerosol condensation nuclei （CN） concentrations and the relationship between temperature gradients and aerosols for six prevailing synoptic patterns over the the Southern Great Plains （SGP） site during 2001-10. Large-scale synoptic patterns strongly influ- ence the statistical characteristics of inversions and the accumulation of aerosols in the low-level atmosphere. The activity, frequency, intensity, and vertical distribution of inversions are significantly different among these synoptic patterns. The verti- cal distribution of inversions varies diurnally and is significantly different among the different synoptic patterns. Anticyclonic patterns affect the accumulation of aerosols near the ground more strongly than cyclonic patterns. Mean aerosol CN con- centrations increase during SBIs compared to no inversion cases by 16.1%, 22.6%, 24.5%, 58.7%, 29.8% and 23.7% for the six synoptic patterns. This study confirms that there is a positive correlation between temperature gradients and aerosol CN concentrations near the ground at night under similar large-scale synoptic patterns. The relationship is different for different synoptic patterns and can be described by linear functions. These findings suggest that large-scale synoptic patterns change the static stability of the atmosphere and inversions in the lower atmosphere, thereby influencing the diffusion of aerosols near the ground.
基金This work was jointly supported by China National Key R&D Program 2018YFA0605604,NSFC grants(Grant No.42088101,41875069),NSF AGS-2006553NOAA NA18OAR4310298.This is SOEST contribution number 11413,IPRC contribution number 1541,and ESMC number 357.
文摘Summer precipitation over the Yangtze River basin(YRB)in 2020 experienced a strong subseasonal and synoptic fluctuation in addition to contributing to an exceptionally large seasonal mean precipitation.The cause of this higher-frequency fluctuation is examined based on observational analyses.Apart from the continuous northward movement of the climatological mei-yu rainband,the mei-yu rainbelt in the summer of 2020 experienced multiple northward and southward swings.The cause of the swings was attributed to the subseasonal variability of southerly winds to the south and northeasterly winds to the north of the YRB.In addition,synoptic-scale variability,characterized by the eastward propagation of low-level cyclonic vorticity and precipitation anomalies,was also commonplace in the summer of 2020.While the strengthening of both the subseasonal and synoptic variabilities in the summer of 2020 was attributed to the increase of the background mean moisture,the synoptic variability was greatly affected by the subseasonal rainfall variability.As a result,both the synoptic-scale and subseasonal variabilities contributed to the north-south swings of the rainbelt.The large-scale modulations by both the seasonal mean and subseasonal anomalies provide insight regarding the optimization of issuing accurate,extended-range forecasts of extreme weather events.
基金supported by Grant No. R01-2008-000-12073-0 from the Basic Research Program of Korea Science & Engineering Foundation
文摘Fogs observed over Incheon international airport （IIA） in the west coast of Korea from January 2002 to August 2006 are classified into categories of coastal fog, cold sea fog, and warm sea fog based on the areal extent of the fogs and the difference between the air temperature （T ） and the SST, i.e., cold sea fog if TSST = T -SST 〉 0~0C and warm sea fog if TSST 〈 0~0C. The numbers of coastal, cold, and warm sea fog cases are 64, 26, and 9. Coastal fogs form most frequently in winter, while cold sea fogs occur mostly in summer and warm sea fogs are observed from January to May but not in November and December. On average the air gets colder by 1.6~0C during the three hours leading up to the coastal fog formation, and an additional cooling of 1.1~0C occurs during the fog. The change in the dew point temperature （T_d） is minimal except during the fog （0.6~0C）. Decreases in T for the cold and warm sea fogs are relatively smaller. The average Td is higher than SST during the cold sea fog periods but this T_d is more than 4~0C higher than that for the corresponding non-fog days, suggesting that cold sea fogs be formed by the cooling of already humid air （i.e., T_d〉SST）. Increases of T_d are significant during the warm sea fog periods （1.4~0C）, implying that effcient moisture supply is essential to warm sea fog formation. Four major synoptic patterns are identified in association with the observed fogs. The most frequent is a north Pacific high that accounts for 38% of cases. Surface or upper inversions are present in 77%, 69%, and 81% of the fog periods for coastal, cold, and warm sea fogs, respectively.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program (also called 973 Program) of China (Grant No 2007CB407303)the Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No KZCX2-YW-Q02-03)
文摘Synoptic patterns identified by an automated procedure employing principal- component analysis and a two-stage cluster analysis, and backward trajectory analysis clustered by the HYSPLIT4.9 model were used to examine air quality patterns over¨ Uru¨mqi, China, one of the most heavily polluted cities in the world. Six synoptic patterns representing different atmospheric circulation patterns and air-mass characteristics were classified during the winter heating periods from 2001 to 2008, and seven trajectory clusters representing different paths of air masses arriving at ürümqi were calculated during the winter heating periods from 2005 to 2008. Then air quality was evaluated using these two approaches, and significant variations were found across both synoptic patterns and trajectory clusters. The heaviest air-pollution episodes occurred when ürümqi was either in an extremely cold, strong anticyclone or at the front of a migrating cyclone. Both conditions were characterized by with light winds, cold, wet surface air, and relatively dry upper air. ürümqi was predominately influenced by air masses from the southwest and from local areas. Air pollution index （API） levels were highest for air masses originating from the southwest with a longer path or for the local area, because of transport from semi-desert/desert regions by strong winds and because of local heavy pollution emissions, respectively. The interactions between these two analytical approaches showed that poor diffusion conditions, together with local circulation, enhanced air pollution, besides, regional air-mass transport caused by strong winds contributed to serious air quality under relatively good diffusion conditions.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.41275025the Special Fund for Strategic Pilot Technology of Chinese Academy of Sciences under contract No.XDA11010403the National Key Basic Research Program(973 Progrom)of China under controut No.2014CB953903
文摘The fog occurs frequently over the Yellow Sea in spring（April–May）, a climatical period of Asian monsoon transition. A comprehensive survey of the characteristic weather pattern and the air-sea condition is provided associated with the fog for the period of 1960–2006. The sea fog is categorized by airflow pathways of backward trajectory cluster analysis with the surface observations derived from international comprehensive oceanatmosphere dataset（I_COADS） I_COADS datasets and contemporaneous wind fields from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction（NCEP）/National Center for Atmospheric Research（NCAR） reanalysis. On the basis of the airflow paths, the large-scale lower-tropospheric circulation patterns and the associated surface divergence,the distribution of a vertical humidity, the horizontal water vapor transportation and the air-sea temperature difference are investigated and the major findings are summarized as follows.（1） Four primary clusters of the airflow paths that lead to spring sea fog formation are identified. They are originated from the northwest, east,southeast and southwest of the Yellow Sea, respectively.（2） Springtime Yellow Sea fog occurs under two typical weather patterns： the Yellow Sea high（YSH） and cyclone and anticyclone couplet（CAC）. Each pattern appears by about equal chance in April but the YSH occurrence drops to around one third and the CAC rises to around two third of chance in May.（3） The common feature in the two types of synoptic conditions is that surface divergence center is located over the Yellow Sea.（4） For the YSH type of fog, water vapor comes mainly from local evaporation with a well-defined dry layer present in the lower atmosphere; for the CAC type of fog, however, water vapor comes mainly from areas outside the Yellow Sea with a thick surface layer of high humidity.（5） With the differences in weather patterns and its associated vertical distribution of the humidity and the transportation of water vapor, there are two types of sea fogs. Most fogs of the CAC types are ＂warm＂ fog, while fogs of YSH type have nearly equal chance to be ＂warm＂ and ＂cold＂ fog.
基金This work is financially supported by the National Key R&D Plan(Grant No.2017YFC0210000)the Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.XDB40030200)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41975175)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China。
文摘The effects of aerosol-radiation interactions(ARI)are not only important for regional and global climate,but they can also drive particulate matter(PM)pollution.In this study,the ARI contribution to the near-surface fine PM(PM_(2.5))concentrations in the Guanzhong Basin(GZB)is evaluated under four unfavorable synoptic patterns,including“northlow”,“transition”,“southeast-trough”,and“inland-high”,based on WRF-Chem model simulations of a persistent heavy PM pollution episode in January 2019.Simulations show that ARI consistently decreases both solar radiation reaching down to the surface(SWDOWN)and surface temperature(TSFC),which then reduces wind speed,induces sinking motion,and influences cloud formation in the GZB.However,large differences under the four synoptic patterns still exist.The average reductions of SWDOWN and daytime TSFC in the GZB range from 15.2%and 1.04°C in the case of the“transition”pattern to 26.7%and 1.69°C in the case of the“north-low”pattern,respectively.Furthermore,ARI suppresses the development of the planetary boundary layer(PBL),with the decrease of PBL height(PBLH)varying from 18.7%in the case of the“transition”pattern to 32.0%in the case of the“north-low”pattern.The increase of daytime near-surface PM_(2.5)in the GZB due to ARI is 12.0%,8.1%,9.5%,and 9.7%under the four synoptic patterns,respectively.Ensemble analyses also reveal that when near-surface PM_(2.5)concentrations are low,ARI tends to lower PM_(2.5)concentrations with decreased PBLH,which is caused by enhanced divergence or a transition from divergence to convergence in an area.ARI contributes 15%-25%toward the near-surface PM_(2.5)concentrations during the severe PM pollution period under the four synoptic patterns.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40775038,40875031 and 40975036)
文摘Initial mesoscale vortex effects on the tropical cyclone （TC） motion in a system where three components coexist （i.e., an environmental vortex （EV）, a TC, and mesoscale vortices） were examined using a barotropic vorticity equation model with initial fields where mesoscale vortices were generated stochastically. Results of these simulations indicate that the deflection of the TC track derived from the initial mesoscale vortices was clearly smaller than that from the beta effect in 60% of the cases. However, they may have a more significant impact on the TC track under the following circumstances. First, the interaction between an adjacent mesoscale vortex and the TC causes the emergence of a complicated structure with two centers in the TC inner region. This configuration may last for 8 h, and the two centers undergo a cyclonic rotation to make the change in direction of the TC motion. Second, two mesoscale vortices located in the EV circulation may merge, and the merged vortex shifts into the EV inner region, intensifying both the EV and steering flow for the TC, increasing speed of the TC.
