Decision support systems(DSS)based on physically based numerical models are standard tools used by water services and utilities.However,few DSS based on holistic approaches combining distributed hydrological,hydraulic...Decision support systems(DSS)based on physically based numerical models are standard tools used by water services and utilities.However,few DSS based on holistic approaches combining distributed hydrological,hydraulic,and hydrogeological models are operationally exploited.This holistic approach was adopted for the development of the AquaVar DSS,used for water resource management in the French Mediterranean Var watershed.The year 2019 marked the initial use of the DSS in its operational environment.Over the next 5 years,multiple hydrological events allowed to test the performance of the DSS.The results show that the tool is capable of simulating peak flows associated with two extreme rainfall events(storms Alex and Aline).For a moderate flood,the real-time functionality was able to simulate forecast discharges 26 h before the flood peak,with a maximum local error of 30%.Finally,simulations for the drought period 2022-2023 highlighted the essential need for DSS to evolve in line with changing climatic conditions,which give rise to unprecedented hydrological processes.The lessons learned from these first 5 years of AquaVar use under operational conditions are synthesized,addressing various topics such as DSS modularity,evolution,data positioning,technology,and governance.展开更多
In order to solve existing problems about the method of establishing traditional system structure of decision support system(DSS), O S chart is applied to describe object oriented system structure of general DSS, an...In order to solve existing problems about the method of establishing traditional system structure of decision support system(DSS), O S chart is applied to describe object oriented system structure of general DSS, and a new method of eight specific steps is proposed to establish object oriented system structure of DSS by using the method of O S chart, which is applied successfully to the development of the DSS for the energy system ecology engineering research of the Wangheqiu country. Supplying many scientific effective computing models, decision support ways and a lot of accurate reliable decision data, the DSS plays a critical part in helping engineering researchers to make correct decisions. Because the period for developing the DSS is relatively shorter, the new way improves the efficiency of establishing DSS greatly. It also makes the DSS of system structure more flexible and easy to expand.展开更多
In order to solve the problem of the maze precision fertilizer,soil fertility evaluation,soil fertility classify and yield projections,the geographic information system with spatial information processing functions,sp...In order to solve the problem of the maze precision fertilizer,soil fertility evaluation,soil fertility classify and yield projections,the geographic information system with spatial information processing functions,spatial data mining techniques with spatial information analysis capabilities,expert system technology in the field of artificial intelligence,traditional information management systems and decision support system were effectively integrated in this study,and the statistical analysis method of GIS and data visualization were combined to design and implement the maize precise intelligent space decision-making system.This system had greatly improved the decision-making ability in agricultural production carried out by agricultural management.展开更多
[Objective] This study was to provide methods to improve the scientificity and informatization level of agricultural decision-making system based on the study of Decision Support System for ＂Northing of Winter Wheat...[Objective] This study was to provide methods to improve the scientificity and informatization level of agricultural decision-making system based on the study of Decision Support System for ＂Northing of Winter Wheat＂ in Hebei Province （DSS- NWWH）. [Method] The functions, development process, operation guidance as well as input and output modes of DSSNWWH were introduced, and the simulated results of the system were verified by comparing with the actual situations. [Result] The decision support system established in this study could predict whether a wheat variety could live through the winter in a certain area of northern Hebei Province, as well as the growth conditions based on the previous meteorological data or local weather forecast, and provided corresponding cultivation and management measures, making it possible for the user to determine whether the variety could be planted in the region based on the predictions. [Conclusion] The established DSSNWWH in this study can effectively help decision makers make decisions, providing scientific instructions for the northing of winter wheat.展开更多
The objectives of this study are to assess land s ui tability and to predict the spatial and temporal changes in land use types (LUTs ) by using GIS-based land use management decision support system. A GIS databas e w...The objectives of this study are to assess land s ui tability and to predict the spatial and temporal changes in land use types (LUTs ) by using GIS-based land use management decision support system. A GIS databas e with data on climate, topography, soil characteristic, irrigation condition, f ertilizer application, and special socioeconomic activities has been developed a nd used for the evaluation of land productivity for different crops by integrati ng with a crop growth model-the erosion productivity impact calculator (EPIC). International food policy simulation model (IFPSIM) is also embedded into GIS fo r the predictions of how crop demands and crop market prices will change under a lternative policy scenarios. An inference engine (IE) including land use choice model is developed to illustrate land use choice behavior based on logit models , which allows to analyze how diversified factors ranging from climate changes, crop price changes to land management changes can affect the distribution of agr icultural land use. A test for integrated simulation is taken in each 0.1° by 0.1° grid cell to predict the change of agricultural land use types at globa l level. Global land use changes are simulated from 1992 to 2050.展开更多
It is important and difficult to control the temperature of mass concrete structure during high arch dam construction.A new method with decision support system is presented for temperature control and crack prevention...It is important and difficult to control the temperature of mass concrete structure during high arch dam construction.A new method with decision support system is presented for temperature control and crack prevention.It is a database system with functions of data storage,information inquiry,data analysis,early warning and resource sharing.Monitoring information during construction can be digitized via this system,and the intelligent analysis and dynamic control of concrete temperature can be conducted.This method has been applied in the construction of the Dagangshan Arch Dam in China and has proven to be very convenient.Based on the decision support of this system and the dynamic adjustment of construction measures,the concrete temperature of this project is well-controlled.展开更多
Highways in mountainous areas are easy to be damaged by such natural disasters as debris flows and landslides and disaster reduction decision support system (DRDSS) is one of the important means to mitigate these disa...Highways in mountainous areas are easy to be damaged by such natural disasters as debris flows and landslides and disaster reduction decision support system (DRDSS) is one of the important means to mitigate these disasters. Guided by the theories and technologies of debris flow and landslide reduction and supported by geographical information system (GIS), remote sensing and database techniques, a DRDSS against debris flow and landslide along highways in mountainous areas has been established on the basis of such principles as pertinence, systematicness, effectiveness, easy to use, open and expandability. The system consists of database, disaster analysis models and decisions on reduction of debris flows and landslides, mainly functioning to zone disaster dangerous degree, analyze debris flow activity, simulate debris flow deposition and diffusion, analyze landslide stability, select optimal highway renovation scheme and plan disaster prevention and control engineering. This system has been applied successfully to the debris flow and landslide treatment works along Palongzangbu Section of Sichuan-Tibet Highway.展开更多
Ballistic missile defense system (BMDS) is important for its special role in ensuring national security and maintaining strategic balance. Research on modeling and simulation of the BMDS beforehand is essential as dev...Ballistic missile defense system (BMDS) is important for its special role in ensuring national security and maintaining strategic balance. Research on modeling and simulation of the BMDS beforehand is essential as developing a real one requires lots of manpower and resources. BMDS is a typical complex system for its nonlinear, adaptive and uncertainty characteristics. The agent-based modeling method is well suited for the complex system whose overall behaviors are determined by interactions among individual elements. A multi-agent decision support system (DSS), which includes missile agent, radar agent and command center agent, is established based on the studies of structure and function of BMDS. Considering the constraints brought by radar, intercept missile, offensive missile and commander, the objective function of DSS is established. In order to dynamically generate the optimal interception plan, the variable neighborhood negative selection particle swarm optimization (VNNSPSO) algorithm is proposed to support the decision making of DSS. The proposed algorithm is compared with the standard PSO, constriction factor PSO (CFPSO), inertia weight linear decrease PSO (LDPSO), variable neighborhood PSO (VNPSO) algorithm from the aspects of convergence rate, iteration number, average fitness value and standard deviation. The simulation results verify the efficiency of the proposed algorithm. The multi-agent DSS is developed through the Repast simulation platform and the constructed DSS can generate intercept plans automatically and support three-dimensional dynamic display of missile defense process.展开更多
Forest ecosystems are our priceless natural resource and are a key component of the global carbon budget. Forest fires can be a hazard to the viability and sustainable management of forests with consequences for natur...Forest ecosystems are our priceless natural resource and are a key component of the global carbon budget. Forest fires can be a hazard to the viability and sustainable management of forests with consequences for natural and cultural environments, economies, and the life quality of local and regional populations. Thus, the selection of strategies to manage forest fires, while considering both functional and economic efficiency, is of primary importance. The use of decision support systems(DSSs) by managers of forest fires has rapidly increased. This has strengthened capacity to prevent and suppress forest fires while protecting human lives and property. DSSs are a tool that can benefit incident management and decision making and policy, especially for emergencies such as natural disasters. In this study we reviewed state-of-the-art DSSs that use: database management systems and mathematical/economic algorithms for spatial optimization of firefighting forces; forest fire simulators and satellite technology for immediate detection and prediction of evolution of forest fires; GIS platforms that incorporate several tools to manipulate, process and analyze geographic data and develop strategic and operational plans.展开更多
By applying the system analysis principle and mathematical modeling technique to knowledge expression system for crop cultural management, the fundamental relationships and quantitative algorithms of wheat growth and ...By applying the system analysis principle and mathematical modeling technique to knowledge expression system for crop cultural management, the fundamental relationships and quantitative algorithms of wheat growth and management indices to variety types, ecological environments and production levels were analysed and extracted, and a dynamic knowledge model with temporal and spatial characters for wheat management(WheatKnow)was developed. By adopting the soft component characteristics as non language relevance , re-utilization and portable system maintenance. and by further integrating the wheat growth simulation model(WheatGrow)and intelligent system for wheat management, a comprehensive and digital knowledge model, growth model and component-based decision support system for wheat management(MBDSSWM)was established on the platforms of Visual C++ and Visual Basic. The MBDSSWM realized the effective integration and coupling of the prediction and decision-making functions for digital crop management.展开更多
With the agricultural development and the modernization of decision-making, it is necessary to establish the agricultural sustainable development decision support system supported by GIS. We set Jianli county as an ex...With the agricultural development and the modernization of decision-making, it is necessary to establish the agricultural sustainable development decision support system supported by GIS. We set Jianli county as an example; our aim is to realize decision spatialiazation with the support of information system, remote sensing and artificial intelligence. The system components are described in the aspects of database, knowledge base, model-base and method-base. This system will provide a workable system for local decision-makers and agricultural management sections.展开更多
This paper presents a Spatial Decision Support System for local governments of developing countries.It allows municipality government,enterprises,scientific community and civil society to address decision problems usi...This paper presents a Spatial Decision Support System for local governments of developing countries.It allows municipality government,enterprises,scientific community and civil society to address decision problems using GIS.The framework is supported by four modules of information technologies:Environmental Decision Support Database,Data Manipulation,Decision Support,and Mapping.A case study is presented covering the implementation of this framework in one municipality of Cuba.An example of land suitability planning for coconut crops is used to evaluate the system performance and usability.Results show local municipalities are able to use this framework to solve local decision problems using state of the art decision making even with low infrastructure development.展开更多
Critical infrastructures（CI） are designated sectors that if incapacitated or destroyed by natural disasters would have a serious impact on national security and economic and social welfare. Due to the interdependenc...Critical infrastructures（CI） are designated sectors that if incapacitated or destroyed by natural disasters would have a serious impact on national security and economic and social welfare. Due to the interdependency of critical infrastructures failure of one infrastructure during a natural disaster such as earthquake or flood may cause failure of another and so on through a cascade or escalating effect. Quantification of these types of interdependencies between critical infrastructures is essential for effective response and management of resources for rescue, recovery, and restoration during times of crises. This paper proposes a new mathematical framework based on an asymmetric relation matrix constructed in a bottom-up approach for modeling and analyzing interdependencies of critical infrastructures. Asymmetric dependency matrices can be constructed using the asymmetric incidence coefficient based on node-level relationships defined between nodes for measuring the strength of interdependency between node and node, node and network, and networks and networks. These asymmetric matrices are further analyzed for ranking infrastructures in terms of their relative importance and for identifying nodes and infrastructure networks that play a critical role in chain effects among infrastructures involved in geo-disaster events such as flooding. Examples of interdependency analysis for the identification of vulnerabilities among fifteen national defense-related infrastructure sectors by the Australian government and a simulated example using the newly developed GIS-based network simulator Geo PN are used to validate and demonstrate the implementation and effectiveness of interdependency analysis methods in analyzing infrastructure interdependency during a flooding event.展开更多
Hydrological models are often linked with other models in cognate sciences to understand the interactions among climate, earth, water, ecosystem, and human society. This paper presents the development and implementati...Hydrological models are often linked with other models in cognate sciences to understand the interactions among climate, earth, water, ecosystem, and human society. This paper presents the development and implementation of a decision support system（DSS） that links the outputs of hydrological models with real-time decision making on social-economic assessments and land use management. Discharge and glacier geometry changes were simulated with hydrological model, water availability in semiarid environments. Irrigation and ecological water were simulated by a new commercial software MIKE HYDRO. Groundwater was simulated by MODFLOW. All the outputs of theses hydrological models were taken as inputs into the DSS in three types of links： regression equations, stationary data inputs, or dynamic data inputs as the models running parallel in the simulation periods. The DSS integrates the hydrological data, geographic data, social and economic statistical data, and establishes the relationships with equations, conditional statements and fuzzy logics. The programming is realized in C＋＋. The DSS has four remarkable features：（1） editable land use maps to assist decision-making;（2） conjunctive use of surface and groundwater resources;（3） interactions among water, earth, ecosystem, and humans; and（4） links with hydrological models. The overall goal of the DSS is to combine the outputs of scientific models, knowledge of experts, and perspectives of stakeholders, into a computer-based system, which allows sustainability impact assessment within regional planning; and to understand ecosystem services and integrate them into land and water management.展开更多
To work efficiently with DSS, most users need assistance in representation conversion, i. e., translating the specific outcome from the DSS into the universal language of visual. In generally, it is much easier to und...To work efficiently with DSS, most users need assistance in representation conversion, i. e., translating the specific outcome from the DSS into the universal language of visual. In generally, it is much easier to understand the results from the DSS if they are translated into charts, maps, and other scientific displays, because visualization exploits human natural ability to recognize and understand visual pattern. In this paper we discuss the concept of visualization for DSS. AniGraftool, a software system, is introduced as an example of Visualized User Interface for DSS.展开更多
The paper proposes an ontology-based multicriteria spatial decision support system(MC-SDSS)for the house selection problem.The house selection ontology serves as a foundation for spatial multicriteria decision analysi...The paper proposes an ontology-based multicriteria spatial decision support system(MC-SDSS)for the house selection problem.The house selection ontology serves as a foundation for spatial multicriteria decision analysis(MCDA)in the house selection domain.It is built using the Web Ontology Language(OWL).The ontology represents the spatial MCDA knowledge associated with house selection using semantic machine-interpretable concepts and relationships in such a way that they can be used by machines not just for display purposes,but also for processing,automation,integration,and reuse across applications.It contains concepts(or classes)including quantitative and qualitative criteria(objectives and attributes),decision alternatives(houses for sale),criterion weights,and location attributes of the decision alternatives.The concepts are organized into a hierarchical classification structure using the Analytic Hierarchy Process.To evaluate the decision alternatives,a set of rules is implemented within the OWL knowledge base with the Semantic Web Rule Language.The rules are expressed as combinations of the OWL concepts and their properties.The paper illustrates an implementation of the proposed ontology-based MC-SDSS architecture using a case study of house selection in the City of Tehran,Iran.展开更多
Attention is concentrated on how to perform the innovative design during the process of pumping unit conceptual design, and how to enhance design efficiency and inspire creativity. Aiming at the shortages of conceptua...Attention is concentrated on how to perform the innovative design during the process of pumping unit conceptual design, and how to enhance design efficiency and inspire creativity. Aiming at the shortages of conceptual design, introducing the theory of inventive problem solving （TRIZ） into the mechanical product design for producing innovative ideas, and using the advanced computer-aided technique, the intelligent decision support system （IDSS） based on TRIZ （TRIZ-IDSS） has been constructed. The construction method, system structure, conceptual production, decisionmaking and evaluation of the problem solving subsystem are discussed. The innovative conceptual design of pumping units indicates that the system can help the engineers open up a new space of thinking, overcome the thinking inertia, and put forward innovative design concepts. This system also can offer the scientific instructions for the innovative design of mechanical products.展开更多
Tourism is rapidly becoming a sustainable pathway toward economic prosperity for host countries and communities. Recent advances in information and communications technology, the smartphone, the Internet and Wi-Fi hav...Tourism is rapidly becoming a sustainable pathway toward economic prosperity for host countries and communities. Recent advances in information and communications technology, the smartphone, the Internet and Wi-Fi have given a boost to the tourism industry. The city bus tour （CBT） service is one of the most successful businesses in the tourism industry. However, there exists no smart decision support system determining the most efficient way to plan the itinerary of a CBT. In this research, we report on the ongoing development of a mobile application （app） and a website for tourists, hoteliers and travel agents to connect with city bus operators and book/purchase the best CBT both in terms of cost and time. Firstly, the CBT problem is formulated as an asymmetric sequential three-stage arc routing problem. All places of interest （PoI） and pickup/dropout points are identified with arcs of the network （instead of nodes）, each of which can be visited at least once （instead of exactly once）. Secondly, the resulting pure integer programming （IP） problem is solved using a leading optimization soft- ware known as General Algebraic Modeling System （GAMS）. The GAMS code developed for this project returns： （1） the exact optimal solution identifying the footprints of the city bus relative to all the arcs forming the minimal cost network; （2） the augmenting paths corre- sponding to the pickup stage, the PoI visiting stage and the drop-off stage. Finally, we demonstrate the applicability of the mobile app/website via a pilot study in the city of Melbourne （Australia）. All the computations relative to the initial tests show that the ability of the app to answer users＇ inquiries in a fraction of a minute.展开更多
The concept of organization decision support system （ODSS） is defined according to practical applications and novel understanding. And a framework for ODSS is designed. The framework has three components： infrastru...The concept of organization decision support system （ODSS） is defined according to practical applications and novel understanding. And a framework for ODSS is designed. The framework has three components： infrastructure, decision-making process and decision execution process. Infrastructure is responsible to transfer data and information. Decision-making process is the ODSS＇s soul to support decision-making. Decision execution process is to evaluate and execute decision results derived from decision-making process. The framework presents a kind of logic architecture. An example is given to verify and analyze the framework. The analysis shows that the framework has practical values, and has also reference values for understanding ODSS and for theoretical studies.展开更多
The prompt spread of Coronavirus(COVID-19)subsequently adorns a big threat to the people around the globe.The evolving and the perpetually diagnosis of coronavirus has become a critical challenge for the healthcare se...The prompt spread of Coronavirus(COVID-19)subsequently adorns a big threat to the people around the globe.The evolving and the perpetually diagnosis of coronavirus has become a critical challenge for the healthcare sector.Drastically increase of COVID-19 has rendered the necessity to detect the people who are more likely to get infected.Lately,the testing kits for COVID-19 are not available to deal it with required proficiency,along with-it countries have been widely hit by the COVID-19 disruption.To keep in view the need of hour asks for an automatic diagnosis system for early detection of COVID-19.It would be a feather in the cap if the early diagnosis of COVID-19 could reveal that how it has been affecting the masses immensely.According to the apparent clinical research,it has unleashed that most of the COVID-19 cases are more likely to fall for a lung infection.The abrupt changes do require a solution so the technology is out there to pace up,Chest X-ray and Computer tomography(CT)scan images could significantly identify the preliminaries of COVID-19 like lungs infection.CT scan and X-ray images could flourish the cause of detecting at an early stage and it has proved to be helpful to radiologists and the medical practitioners.The unbearable circumstances compel us to flatten the curve of the sufferers so a need to develop is obvious,a quick and highly responsive automatic system based on Artificial Intelligence(AI)is always there to aid against the masses to be prone to COVID-19.The proposed Intelligent decision support system for COVID-19 empowered with deep learning(ID2S-COVID19-DL)study suggests Deep learning(DL)based Convolutional neural network(CNN)approaches for effective and accurate detection to the maximum extent it could be,detection of coronavirus is assisted by using X-ray and CT-scan images.The primary experimental results here have depicted the maximum accuracy for training and is around 98.11 percent and for validation it comes out to be approximately 95.5 percent while statistical parameters like sensitivity and specificity for training is 98.03 percent and 98.20 percent respectively,and for validation 94.38 percent and 97.06 percent respectively.The suggested Deep Learning-based CNN model unleashed here opts for a comparable performance with medical experts and it ishelpful to enhance the working productivity of radiologists. It could take the curvedown with the downright contribution of radiologists, rapid detection ofCOVID-19, and to overcome this current pandemic with the proven efficacy.展开更多
文摘Decision support systems(DSS)based on physically based numerical models are standard tools used by water services and utilities.However,few DSS based on holistic approaches combining distributed hydrological,hydraulic,and hydrogeological models are operationally exploited.This holistic approach was adopted for the development of the AquaVar DSS,used for water resource management in the French Mediterranean Var watershed.The year 2019 marked the initial use of the DSS in its operational environment.Over the next 5 years,multiple hydrological events allowed to test the performance of the DSS.The results show that the tool is capable of simulating peak flows associated with two extreme rainfall events(storms Alex and Aline).For a moderate flood,the real-time functionality was able to simulate forecast discharges 26 h before the flood peak,with a maximum local error of 30%.Finally,simulations for the drought period 2022-2023 highlighted the essential need for DSS to evolve in line with changing climatic conditions,which give rise to unprecedented hydrological processes.The lessons learned from these first 5 years of AquaVar use under operational conditions are synthesized,addressing various topics such as DSS modularity,evolution,data positioning,technology,and governance.
文摘In order to solve existing problems about the method of establishing traditional system structure of decision support system(DSS), O S chart is applied to describe object oriented system structure of general DSS, and a new method of eight specific steps is proposed to establish object oriented system structure of DSS by using the method of O S chart, which is applied successfully to the development of the DSS for the energy system ecology engineering research of the Wangheqiu country. Supplying many scientific effective computing models, decision support ways and a lot of accurate reliable decision data, the DSS plays a critical part in helping engineering researchers to make correct decisions. Because the period for developing the DSS is relatively shorter, the new way improves the efficiency of establishing DSS greatly. It also makes the DSS of system structure more flexible and easy to expand.
基金Supported by National"863"High-tech Project(2006AA10A309)Jilin Technology Gallery Key Project(20060213)~~
文摘In order to solve the problem of the maze precision fertilizer,soil fertility evaluation,soil fertility classify and yield projections,the geographic information system with spatial information processing functions,spatial data mining techniques with spatial information analysis capabilities,expert system technology in the field of artificial intelligence,traditional information management systems and decision support system were effectively integrated in this study,and the statistical analysis method of GIS and data visualization were combined to design and implement the maize precise intelligent space decision-making system.This system had greatly improved the decision-making ability in agricultural production carried out by agricultural management.
基金Supported by the Technology R&D Program of Hebei Province,China~~
文摘[Objective] This study was to provide methods to improve the scientificity and informatization level of agricultural decision-making system based on the study of Decision Support System for ＂Northing of Winter Wheat＂ in Hebei Province （DSS- NWWH）. [Method] The functions, development process, operation guidance as well as input and output modes of DSSNWWH were introduced, and the simulated results of the system were verified by comparing with the actual situations. [Result] The decision support system established in this study could predict whether a wheat variety could live through the winter in a certain area of northern Hebei Province, as well as the growth conditions based on the previous meteorological data or local weather forecast, and provided corresponding cultivation and management measures, making it possible for the user to determine whether the variety could be planted in the region based on the predictions. [Conclusion] The established DSSNWWH in this study can effectively help decision makers make decisions, providing scientific instructions for the northing of winter wheat.
文摘The objectives of this study are to assess land s ui tability and to predict the spatial and temporal changes in land use types (LUTs ) by using GIS-based land use management decision support system. A GIS databas e with data on climate, topography, soil characteristic, irrigation condition, f ertilizer application, and special socioeconomic activities has been developed a nd used for the evaluation of land productivity for different crops by integrati ng with a crop growth model-the erosion productivity impact calculator (EPIC). International food policy simulation model (IFPSIM) is also embedded into GIS fo r the predictions of how crop demands and crop market prices will change under a lternative policy scenarios. An inference engine (IE) including land use choice model is developed to illustrate land use choice behavior based on logit models , which allows to analyze how diversified factors ranging from climate changes, crop price changes to land management changes can affect the distribution of agr icultural land use. A test for integrated simulation is taken in each 0.1° by 0.1° grid cell to predict the change of agricultural land use types at globa l level. Global land use changes are simulated from 1992 to 2050.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.50909078)the National Basic Research Program of China("973"Program,No.2013CB035900)
文摘It is important and difficult to control the temperature of mass concrete structure during high arch dam construction.A new method with decision support system is presented for temperature control and crack prevention.It is a database system with functions of data storage,information inquiry,data analysis,early warning and resource sharing.Monitoring information during construction can be digitized via this system,and the intelligent analysis and dynamic control of concrete temperature can be conducted.This method has been applied in the construction of the Dagangshan Arch Dam in China and has proven to be very convenient.Based on the decision support of this system and the dynamic adjustment of construction measures,the concrete temperature of this project is well-controlled.
基金Supported by the Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences(KZCX2-306)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(90202007)
文摘Highways in mountainous areas are easy to be damaged by such natural disasters as debris flows and landslides and disaster reduction decision support system (DRDSS) is one of the important means to mitigate these disasters. Guided by the theories and technologies of debris flow and landslide reduction and supported by geographical information system (GIS), remote sensing and database techniques, a DRDSS against debris flow and landslide along highways in mountainous areas has been established on the basis of such principles as pertinence, systematicness, effectiveness, easy to use, open and expandability. The system consists of database, disaster analysis models and decisions on reduction of debris flows and landslides, mainly functioning to zone disaster dangerous degree, analyze debris flow activity, simulate debris flow deposition and diffusion, analyze landslide stability, select optimal highway renovation scheme and plan disaster prevention and control engineering. This system has been applied successfully to the debris flow and landslide treatment works along Palongzangbu Section of Sichuan-Tibet Highway.
文摘Ballistic missile defense system (BMDS) is important for its special role in ensuring national security and maintaining strategic balance. Research on modeling and simulation of the BMDS beforehand is essential as developing a real one requires lots of manpower and resources. BMDS is a typical complex system for its nonlinear, adaptive and uncertainty characteristics. The agent-based modeling method is well suited for the complex system whose overall behaviors are determined by interactions among individual elements. A multi-agent decision support system (DSS), which includes missile agent, radar agent and command center agent, is established based on the studies of structure and function of BMDS. Considering the constraints brought by radar, intercept missile, offensive missile and commander, the objective function of DSS is established. In order to dynamically generate the optimal interception plan, the variable neighborhood negative selection particle swarm optimization (VNNSPSO) algorithm is proposed to support the decision making of DSS. The proposed algorithm is compared with the standard PSO, constriction factor PSO (CFPSO), inertia weight linear decrease PSO (LDPSO), variable neighborhood PSO (VNPSO) algorithm from the aspects of convergence rate, iteration number, average fitness value and standard deviation. The simulation results verify the efficiency of the proposed algorithm. The multi-agent DSS is developed through the Repast simulation platform and the constructed DSS can generate intercept plans automatically and support three-dimensional dynamic display of missile defense process.
基金co-financed by the European Union(European Social Fund-ESF)and Greek national funds through the Operational Program‘‘Education and Lifelong Learning’’of the National Strategic Reference Framework(NSRF)-Research Funding Program:Thales.Investing in knowledge society through the European Social Fund
文摘Forest ecosystems are our priceless natural resource and are a key component of the global carbon budget. Forest fires can be a hazard to the viability and sustainable management of forests with consequences for natural and cultural environments, economies, and the life quality of local and regional populations. Thus, the selection of strategies to manage forest fires, while considering both functional and economic efficiency, is of primary importance. The use of decision support systems(DSSs) by managers of forest fires has rapidly increased. This has strengthened capacity to prevent and suppress forest fires while protecting human lives and property. DSSs are a tool that can benefit incident management and decision making and policy, especially for emergencies such as natural disasters. In this study we reviewed state-of-the-art DSSs that use: database management systems and mathematical/economic algorithms for spatial optimization of firefighting forces; forest fire simulators and satellite technology for immediate detection and prediction of evolution of forest fires; GIS platforms that incorporate several tools to manipulate, process and analyze geographic data and develop strategic and operational plans.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(30030090)the National 863 Program,China(2001AA115420,2001AA245041).
文摘By applying the system analysis principle and mathematical modeling technique to knowledge expression system for crop cultural management, the fundamental relationships and quantitative algorithms of wheat growth and management indices to variety types, ecological environments and production levels were analysed and extracted, and a dynamic knowledge model with temporal and spatial characters for wheat management(WheatKnow)was developed. By adopting the soft component characteristics as non language relevance , re-utilization and portable system maintenance. and by further integrating the wheat growth simulation model(WheatGrow)and intelligent system for wheat management, a comprehensive and digital knowledge model, growth model and component-based decision support system for wheat management(MBDSSWM)was established on the platforms of Visual C++ and Visual Basic. The MBDSSWM realized the effective integration and coupling of the prediction and decision-making functions for digital crop management.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (4 98710 71)
文摘With the agricultural development and the modernization of decision-making, it is necessary to establish the agricultural sustainable development decision support system supported by GIS. We set Jianli county as an example; our aim is to realize decision spatialiazation with the support of information system, remote sensing and artificial intelligence. The system components are described in the aspects of database, knowledge base, model-base and method-base. This system will provide a workable system for local decision-makers and agricultural management sections.
基金This paper has been supported by the project 2009DFA13000 funded by the Ministry of Science and Technology of the People’s Republic of China.The authors want to thank the researchers from Instituto de Investigaciones en Fruticultura Tropical,Republic of Cuba,in special Dr Jorge Cuetothe staff of Nipe-Sagua-Baracoa mountain office,and the government of Baracoa for their kind support and advice.
文摘This paper presents a Spatial Decision Support System for local governments of developing countries.It allows municipality government,enterprises,scientific community and civil society to address decision problems using GIS.The framework is supported by four modules of information technologies:Environmental Decision Support Database,Data Manipulation,Decision Support,and Mapping.A case study is presented covering the implementation of this framework in one municipality of Cuba.An example of land suitability planning for coconut crops is used to evaluate the system performance and usability.Results show local municipalities are able to use this framework to solve local decision problems using state of the art decision making even with low infrastructure development.
基金finically supported by a project “Modeling Infrastructure Interdependency for Emergency Management Using a Network-Centric Spatial Decision Support System Approach” awarded jointly by the Natural Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC)the Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness Canada (PSEPC) (No.JIIRP 312733-04)
文摘Critical infrastructures（CI） are designated sectors that if incapacitated or destroyed by natural disasters would have a serious impact on national security and economic and social welfare. Due to the interdependency of critical infrastructures failure of one infrastructure during a natural disaster such as earthquake or flood may cause failure of another and so on through a cascade or escalating effect. Quantification of these types of interdependencies between critical infrastructures is essential for effective response and management of resources for rescue, recovery, and restoration during times of crises. This paper proposes a new mathematical framework based on an asymmetric relation matrix constructed in a bottom-up approach for modeling and analyzing interdependencies of critical infrastructures. Asymmetric dependency matrices can be constructed using the asymmetric incidence coefficient based on node-level relationships defined between nodes for measuring the strength of interdependency between node and node, node and network, and networks and networks. These asymmetric matrices are further analyzed for ranking infrastructures in terms of their relative importance and for identifying nodes and infrastructure networks that play a critical role in chain effects among infrastructures involved in geo-disaster events such as flooding. Examples of interdependency analysis for the identification of vulnerabilities among fifteen national defense-related infrastructure sectors by the Australian government and a simulated example using the newly developed GIS-based network simulator Geo PN are used to validate and demonstrate the implementation and effectiveness of interdependency analysis methods in analyzing infrastructure interdependency during a flooding event.
基金supported by German-Sino bilateral collaboration research project SuMaRiO funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Researchthe support of NSFC-UNEP Project (41361140361): Ecological Responses to Climatic Change and Land-cover Change in Arid and Semiarid Central Asia during the Past 500 Years
文摘Hydrological models are often linked with other models in cognate sciences to understand the interactions among climate, earth, water, ecosystem, and human society. This paper presents the development and implementation of a decision support system（DSS） that links the outputs of hydrological models with real-time decision making on social-economic assessments and land use management. Discharge and glacier geometry changes were simulated with hydrological model, water availability in semiarid environments. Irrigation and ecological water were simulated by a new commercial software MIKE HYDRO. Groundwater was simulated by MODFLOW. All the outputs of theses hydrological models were taken as inputs into the DSS in three types of links： regression equations, stationary data inputs, or dynamic data inputs as the models running parallel in the simulation periods. The DSS integrates the hydrological data, geographic data, social and economic statistical data, and establishes the relationships with equations, conditional statements and fuzzy logics. The programming is realized in C＋＋. The DSS has four remarkable features：（1） editable land use maps to assist decision-making;（2） conjunctive use of surface and groundwater resources;（3） interactions among water, earth, ecosystem, and humans; and（4） links with hydrological models. The overall goal of the DSS is to combine the outputs of scientific models, knowledge of experts, and perspectives of stakeholders, into a computer-based system, which allows sustainability impact assessment within regional planning; and to understand ecosystem services and integrate them into land and water management.
文摘To work efficiently with DSS, most users need assistance in representation conversion, i. e., translating the specific outcome from the DSS into the universal language of visual. In generally, it is much easier to understand the results from the DSS if they are translated into charts, maps, and other scientific displays, because visualization exploits human natural ability to recognize and understand visual pattern. In this paper we discuss the concept of visualization for DSS. AniGraftool, a software system, is introduced as an example of Visualized User Interface for DSS.
文摘The paper proposes an ontology-based multicriteria spatial decision support system(MC-SDSS)for the house selection problem.The house selection ontology serves as a foundation for spatial multicriteria decision analysis(MCDA)in the house selection domain.It is built using the Web Ontology Language(OWL).The ontology represents the spatial MCDA knowledge associated with house selection using semantic machine-interpretable concepts and relationships in such a way that they can be used by machines not just for display purposes,but also for processing,automation,integration,and reuse across applications.It contains concepts(or classes)including quantitative and qualitative criteria(objectives and attributes),decision alternatives(houses for sale),criterion weights,and location attributes of the decision alternatives.The concepts are organized into a hierarchical classification structure using the Analytic Hierarchy Process.To evaluate the decision alternatives,a set of rules is implemented within the OWL knowledge base with the Semantic Web Rule Language.The rules are expressed as combinations of the OWL concepts and their properties.The paper illustrates an implementation of the proposed ontology-based MC-SDSS architecture using a case study of house selection in the City of Tehran,Iran.
文摘Attention is concentrated on how to perform the innovative design during the process of pumping unit conceptual design, and how to enhance design efficiency and inspire creativity. Aiming at the shortages of conceptual design, introducing the theory of inventive problem solving （TRIZ） into the mechanical product design for producing innovative ideas, and using the advanced computer-aided technique, the intelligent decision support system （IDSS） based on TRIZ （TRIZ-IDSS） has been constructed. The construction method, system structure, conceptual production, decisionmaking and evaluation of the problem solving subsystem are discussed. The innovative conceptual design of pumping units indicates that the system can help the engineers open up a new space of thinking, overcome the thinking inertia, and put forward innovative design concepts. This system also can offer the scientific instructions for the innovative design of mechanical products.
文摘Tourism is rapidly becoming a sustainable pathway toward economic prosperity for host countries and communities. Recent advances in information and communications technology, the smartphone, the Internet and Wi-Fi have given a boost to the tourism industry. The city bus tour （CBT） service is one of the most successful businesses in the tourism industry. However, there exists no smart decision support system determining the most efficient way to plan the itinerary of a CBT. In this research, we report on the ongoing development of a mobile application （app） and a website for tourists, hoteliers and travel agents to connect with city bus operators and book/purchase the best CBT both in terms of cost and time. Firstly, the CBT problem is formulated as an asymmetric sequential three-stage arc routing problem. All places of interest （PoI） and pickup/dropout points are identified with arcs of the network （instead of nodes）, each of which can be visited at least once （instead of exactly once）. Secondly, the resulting pure integer programming （IP） problem is solved using a leading optimization soft- ware known as General Algebraic Modeling System （GAMS）. The GAMS code developed for this project returns： （1） the exact optimal solution identifying the footprints of the city bus relative to all the arcs forming the minimal cost network; （2） the augmenting paths corre- sponding to the pickup stage, the PoI visiting stage and the drop-off stage. Finally, we demonstrate the applicability of the mobile app/website via a pilot study in the city of Melbourne （Australia）. All the computations relative to the initial tests show that the ability of the app to answer users＇ inquiries in a fraction of a minute.
基金This project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (70371052).
文摘The concept of organization decision support system （ODSS） is defined according to practical applications and novel understanding. And a framework for ODSS is designed. The framework has three components： infrastructure, decision-making process and decision execution process. Infrastructure is responsible to transfer data and information. Decision-making process is the ODSS＇s soul to support decision-making. Decision execution process is to evaluate and execute decision results derived from decision-making process. The framework presents a kind of logic architecture. An example is given to verify and analyze the framework. The analysis shows that the framework has practical values, and has also reference values for understanding ODSS and for theoretical studies.
基金Data and Artificial Intelligence Scientific Chair at Umm AlQura University.
文摘The prompt spread of Coronavirus(COVID-19)subsequently adorns a big threat to the people around the globe.The evolving and the perpetually diagnosis of coronavirus has become a critical challenge for the healthcare sector.Drastically increase of COVID-19 has rendered the necessity to detect the people who are more likely to get infected.Lately,the testing kits for COVID-19 are not available to deal it with required proficiency,along with-it countries have been widely hit by the COVID-19 disruption.To keep in view the need of hour asks for an automatic diagnosis system for early detection of COVID-19.It would be a feather in the cap if the early diagnosis of COVID-19 could reveal that how it has been affecting the masses immensely.According to the apparent clinical research,it has unleashed that most of the COVID-19 cases are more likely to fall for a lung infection.The abrupt changes do require a solution so the technology is out there to pace up,Chest X-ray and Computer tomography(CT)scan images could significantly identify the preliminaries of COVID-19 like lungs infection.CT scan and X-ray images could flourish the cause of detecting at an early stage and it has proved to be helpful to radiologists and the medical practitioners.The unbearable circumstances compel us to flatten the curve of the sufferers so a need to develop is obvious,a quick and highly responsive automatic system based on Artificial Intelligence(AI)is always there to aid against the masses to be prone to COVID-19.The proposed Intelligent decision support system for COVID-19 empowered with deep learning(ID2S-COVID19-DL)study suggests Deep learning(DL)based Convolutional neural network(CNN)approaches for effective and accurate detection to the maximum extent it could be,detection of coronavirus is assisted by using X-ray and CT-scan images.The primary experimental results here have depicted the maximum accuracy for training and is around 98.11 percent and for validation it comes out to be approximately 95.5 percent while statistical parameters like sensitivity and specificity for training is 98.03 percent and 98.20 percent respectively,and for validation 94.38 percent and 97.06 percent respectively.The suggested Deep Learning-based CNN model unleashed here opts for a comparable performance with medical experts and it ishelpful to enhance the working productivity of radiologists. It could take the curvedown with the downright contribution of radiologists, rapid detection ofCOVID-19, and to overcome this current pandemic with the proven efficacy.
