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Machine learning-enhanced Monte Carlo and subset simulations for advanced risk assessment in transportation infrastructure
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作者 Furquan AHMAD Pijush SAMUI S.S.MISHRA 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第2期690-717,共28页
The maintenance of safety and dependability in rail and road embankments is of utmost importance in order to facilitate the smooth operation of transportation networks.This study introduces a comprehensive methodology... The maintenance of safety and dependability in rail and road embankments is of utmost importance in order to facilitate the smooth operation of transportation networks.This study introduces a comprehensive methodology for soil slope stability evaluation,employing Monte Carlo Simulation(MCS)and Subset Simulation(SS)with the"UPSS 3.0 Add-in"in MS-Excel.Focused on an 11.693-meter embankment with a soil slope(inclination ratio of 2H:1V),the investigation considers earthquake coefficients(kh)and pore water pressure ratios(ru)following Indian zoning requirements.The chance of slope failure showed a considerable increase as the Coefficient of Variation(COV),seismic coefficients(kh),and pore water pressure ratios(ru)experienced an escalation.The SS approach showed exceptional efficacy in calculating odds of failure that are notably low.Within computational modeling,the study optimized the worst-case scenario using ANFIS-GA,ANFIS-GWO,ANFIS-PSO,and ANFIS-BBO models.The ANFIS-PSO model exhibits exceptional accuracy(training R2=0.9011,RMSE=0.0549;testing R2=0.8968,RMSE=0.0615),emerging as the most promising.This study highlights the significance of conducting thorough risk assessments and offers practical insights into evaluating and improving the stability of soil slopes in transportation infrastructure.These findings contribute to the enhancement of safety and reliability in real-world situations. 展开更多
关键词 Monte Carlo simulation subset simulation Machine Learning Seismic coefficient
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Random dynamic analysis of vertical train–bridge systems under small probability by surrogate model and subset simulation with splitting 被引量:11
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作者 Huoyue Xiang Ping Tang +1 位作者 Yuan Zhang Yongle Li 《Railway Engineering Science》 2020年第3期305-315,共11页
The response of the train–bridge system has an obvious random behavior.A high traffic density and a long maintenance period of a track will result in a substantial increase in the number of trains running on a bridge... The response of the train–bridge system has an obvious random behavior.A high traffic density and a long maintenance period of a track will result in a substantial increase in the number of trains running on a bridge,and there is small likelihood that the maximum responses of the train and bridge happen in the total maintenance period of the track.Firstly,the coupling model of train–bridge systems is reviewed.Then,an ensemble method is presented,which can estimate the small probabilities of a dynamic system with stochastic excitations.The main idea of the ensemble method is to use the NARX(nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous input)model to replace the physical model and apply subset simulation with splitting to obtain the extreme distribution.Finally,the efficiency of the suggested method is compared with the direct Monte Carlo simulation method,and the probability exceedance of train responses under the vertical track irregularity is discussed.The results show that when the small probability of train responses under vertical track irregularity is estimated,the ensemble method can reduce both the calculation time of a single sample and the required number of samples. 展开更多
关键词 Train–bridge system Ensemble method Surrogate model Nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous input subset simulation with splitting Small probability
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Computer Simulation on Quasi-ellipsoidal Gear Transmission
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作者 李瑰贤 刘俐平 +1 位作者 李华敏 毕诸明 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 1995年第4期42-45,共4页
Quasi-ellipsoidal gear transmission mechanism, which is the newest transmission mechanism used for robot flexible wrist at present, has simple structure, light weight,small dimension, high sensitivity and can accurate... Quasi-ellipsoidal gear transmission mechanism, which is the newest transmission mechanism used for robot flexible wrist at present, has simple structure, light weight,small dimension, high sensitivity and can accurately carry out the motion transmission in all-direction. It is a new type of transmission used for robot flexible wrist at present. Different from ordinary transmission mechanisms it is a spatial mesh with double DOF. Its design is complicated, and there are many approximate treatments in checking interference of flank and distribution of teeth. The purpose of this paper is to verify the reliability of the design by means of computer simulation. 展开更多
关键词 ss: Flexible WRIST quasi-ellipsoidal GEAR TRANSMIssION COMPUTER simulation
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A Molecular Dynamics Simulation for Periodic Boundary Condition in the Bending Process of Ag/Ni Composite Interfaces
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作者 罗旋 费维栋 +1 位作者 钱革非 李超 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 1996年第4期69-72,共4页
A MolecularDynamicsSimulationforPeriodic BoundaryConditionintheBendingProcessofAg/NiCompositeInterfacesLUOXu... A MolecularDynamicsSimulationforPeriodic BoundaryConditionintheBendingProcessofAg/NiCompositeInterfacesLUOXuan;FEIWeidong;QIA... 展开更多
关键词 ss: PERIODIC BOUNDARY CONDITION MOLECULAR DYNAMICS simulation COMPOSITE interface
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Multiprocessing and Dataflow Processing Architecture of a Pixel Processor and Its VHDL Simulation Strategy
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作者 董社勤 陈爽 +1 位作者 鲁杰峰 高国安 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 1996年第4期49-53,共5页
The design of a pixel processor of a real-time CIG (Computer Image Generation) system is summarized. The system has been brought into use. In order to adopt ASIC (Application-Specific integrated Circuit) technology in... The design of a pixel processor of a real-time CIG (Computer Image Generation) system is summarized. The system has been brought into use. In order to adopt ASIC (Application-Specific integrated Circuit) technology in the design of the new system, the VHDL (Very high speed integrated circuit Hardware Description Language) is used and a re-design and simulation strategy is planed. 展开更多
关键词 ss: Computer graghic hardware real-time image generation system CIG VHDL PIXEL PROCEssOR simulation
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Identification of Subset Autoregressive Model Using Simulaated Annealing
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作者 Zhu Xiangyang & Zhong Binglin Department of Mechanical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, P. R. China 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 1997年第3期43-50,共8页
This paper deals with identification of subset autoregressive time series model. A simulated annealing based on approach for deter min ing the optimal subset of regression terms included in the subset autogressive m... This paper deals with identification of subset autoregressive time series model. A simulated annealing based on approach for deter min ing the optimal subset of regression terms included in the subset autogressive model is introduced. Numerical examples are given to show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm. 展开更多
关键词 subset autogressive model IDENTIFICATION Simulated annealing.
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Numerical Simulation of Al-Si Alloys Filling in EPC Processes
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作者 魏尊杰 安阁英 常庆明 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 1995年第3期75-78,共4页
NumericalSimulationofAl-SiAlloysFillinginEPCProcessesWEIZunJie;ANGeying;CHANGQingming魏尊杰,安阁英,常庆明(Dept.ofMate... NumericalSimulationofAl-SiAlloysFillinginEPCProcessesWEIZunJie;ANGeying;CHANGQingming魏尊杰,安阁英,常庆明(Dept.ofMaterialEngineering,H... 展开更多
关键词 ss:Evaporative PATTERN CASTING numerical simulation FILLING process
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High Temperature Rapid Tempering Process of SS400 Steel With Thermomechanical Simulation Tester
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作者 XING Shu-qing CHEN Zheng-zong +1 位作者 MA Yong-lin LI Hui-qin 《Journal of Iron and Steel Research International》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2012年第2期43-49,共7页
The effect of refined precipitations and dispersed phases on the toughness of SS400 steel was investigated by rapid tempering with thermomechanical simulation tester, and the electromagnetic induction rapid tempering ... The effect of refined precipitations and dispersed phases on the toughness of SS400 steel was investigated by rapid tempering with thermomechanical simulation tester, and the electromagnetic induction rapid tempering process was simulated. The conventional tempering and rapid tempering process were proceeded respectively, and both samples were quenched in 10~ of agitated iced brine. The tempering temperatures were designed as 560, 620 and 680℃, respectively. Rapid tempering specimens were heated at a heating rate of 20 ℃/s, and all samples of these three tempering temperatures were maintained 30, 40 and 50 s with the Gleeble1500-D tester, respectively. The impact test at --40 ℃ were carried out on a Charpy impact machine (CBD-300) with a maximum measurement range of 300 J and the microstructures were analyzed in detail using optical microscope (OM) and scanning electron microscope (SEM). The experiment results show that the upper bainite, martensite and small amount of austenite were obtained in the rapidly quenched samples. In comparison to the conventional process, the matrix microstructure was changed from the larger size and bulk ferrite to the refined banding structure, and the cementites were obviously refined and precipitated inside the grains and along the grain boundaries. The cryogenic impact test implies that the maximum values of impact toughness with holding time of 30 or 50 s are achieved at tempering temperature of 620℃. Furthermore, a favorite value of impact toughness with holding time of 40 s is available. 展开更多
关键词 ss400 steel rapid tempering process thermomechanical simulation tester PRECIPITATION cryogenic impact toughness
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Reliability analysis of small failure probability based on subset simulation method
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作者 Hongtao WANG Ketema Mikiyas Solomon Tirfe Natnael Ayicheluhem 《Mechanical Engineering Science》 2022年第1期6-13,共8页
In the engineering.to ensure the quality and safety,it is necessary to carry out reliability analysis on it.When conducting reliability analysis in engineering.a 1arge rumber of small1 failure probability problems wil... In the engineering.to ensure the quality and safety,it is necessary to carry out reliability analysis on it.When conducting reliability analysis in engineering.a 1arge rumber of small1 failure probability problems will be encountered.For such problems,the traditional Monte Carlo method needs a 1ot of samples,and the calculation efficiency is extremely 1ow,while the subset sinmulation method can efficiently estimate the relLability index of the small failure probability problem with litle samples.Therefore,this paper takes the application of the subset simulation method in the reliability analysis of the small failure probability structure as the object,constructs the reliability analysis method of the single failure mode of the system and applies the method to a mathematical example and a single-story gate.Through the rigid frame example,it can be seen that this method is beneficial to improve the calculation efficiency and accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 subset simulation small faiure probabiliy failure mode reliability analysis
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Reliability Research of Wireless Energy Transmitting Urethral Valve Based on FTA-AK-SS
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作者 YIN Mao LI Xiao 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 2025年第4期815-824,共10页
Aimed at the problem of the low computational efficiency of the existing urethral-valve reliability analysis,an efficient reliability analysis method of the wireless energy-transmitting urethral-valve(WETUV)was propos... Aimed at the problem of the low computational efficiency of the existing urethral-valve reliability analysis,an efficient reliability analysis method of the wireless energy-transmitting urethral-valve(WETUV)was proposed.The method is called FTA-AK-SS,based on the active learning Kriging(AK)model,subset simulation(SS)algorithm,and fault tree analysis(FTA).According to the principle of FTA,we established the fault tree model of the WETUV to determine its minimum cut set and bottom events.Then we defined the random variables affecting its reliability.The U learning function was used to selectively add the sample points of random variables to update the initial Kriging surrogate model.At the same time,combined with the SS algorithm,the reliability and sensitivity analyses of the WETUV were realized.The result shows that compared with the traditional Monte Carlo simulation and FTA-Kriging-SS methods,the proposed method significantly improves the calculation efficiency of the WETUV under the premise of ensuring calculation accuracy.The reliability of the WETUV is greatly affected by the rubber pad’s aging,the receiver coil’s corrosion,and the position deviation.This study can provide a new way to realize a high-efficiency reliability calculation and analysis for urethral valves. 展开更多
关键词 urethral-valve RELIABILITY active learning Kriging(AK) fault tree analysis(FTA) subset simulation(ss)
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PCA-SS-LSSVM在循环冷却水结垢预测中的应用 被引量:2
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作者 董超 胡艳珍 李晨光 《化工自动化及仪表》 CAS 2017年第11期1056-1060,共5页
采用主成分分析-分散搜索算法-最小二乘向量机(PCA-SS-LSSVM)算法对某石化企业近几年的生产数据进行建模预测。经过实验仿真表明:该算法能及时准确地预测粘附速率。
关键词 PCA-ss-LssVM算法 循环冷却水 结垢 动态建模 动态仿真
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ZigBee网络路由协议SS-Cluster的设计实现 被引量:1
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作者 邓胡滨 李健 《计算机工程与设计》 CSCD 北大核心 2014年第7期2289-2294,共6页
为了解决AODVjr等协议在节点数不多的ZigBee网络中存在资源开销高、效率低以及ZigBee网络在小范围应用场合缺乏相应协议支持的问题,提出并设计了SS-Cluster(small-scale cluster)路由协议。基于树形ZigBee网络拓扑,结合"分簇设计思... 为了解决AODVjr等协议在节点数不多的ZigBee网络中存在资源开销高、效率低以及ZigBee网络在小范围应用场合缺乏相应协议支持的问题,提出并设计了SS-Cluster(small-scale cluster)路由协议。基于树形ZigBee网络拓扑,结合"分簇设计思想",通过引入全新设计的两种簇类邻居表和路由缓冲表为SS-Cluster提供数据结构支持,设计了不同于其它路由协议的运行机制并详细阐述了实现算法。通过与两个典型路由协议LEACH和AODVjr在Omnet++平台上的仿真综合比较,比较结果验证了该协议的性能。 展开更多
关键词 ZIGBEE网络 ss-Cluster协议 分簇路由协议 AODVj r协议 OMNET++仿真
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SS_8一系油压减振器仿真软件的开发 被引量:1
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作者 柯坚 庄元顺 +1 位作者 杨炯 樊友权 《机床与液压》 北大核心 2004年第9期148-150,共3页
根据我国提速机车广泛应用的SS8一系油压减振器的结构和应用特征 ,成功开发了减振器仿真软件 ,本文论述了仿真软件的特点 ,并用大量试验结果与仿真结果作了分析比较 ,证实其结果是一致的 ,该仿真系统的应用为提速机车减振器的开发提供... 根据我国提速机车广泛应用的SS8一系油压减振器的结构和应用特征 ,成功开发了减振器仿真软件 ,本文论述了仿真软件的特点 ,并用大量试验结果与仿真结果作了分析比较 ,证实其结果是一致的 ,该仿真系统的应用为提速机车减振器的开发提供了有力的工具 。 展开更多
关键词 油压减振器 数值仿真 ss8机车
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基于SS-TFN耦合模型的潜在地震次生火灾风险评估 被引量:4
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作者 王飞 张辉 +1 位作者 王威 崔金涛 《科学技术与工程》 北大核心 2019年第22期389-394,共6页
由于地震灾害及次生火灾在演化过程所产生的交叉性、耦合性和复杂性等特征,导致次生火灾一般呈高斯分布或近似高斯分布,特别当研究区域内样本数据精度不高或信息不足时,利用传统评估模型及方法有一定的局限性.在Monte Carlo随机模拟基础... 由于地震灾害及次生火灾在演化过程所产生的交叉性、耦合性和复杂性等特征,导致次生火灾一般呈高斯分布或近似高斯分布,特别当研究区域内样本数据精度不高或信息不足时,利用传统评估模型及方法有一定的局限性.在Monte Carlo随机模拟基础上,结合三角模糊数理论,建立地震次生火灾潜在风险评估的随机模拟-三角模糊理论(SS-TFN)耦合模型,首先,利用专家意见和AHP法来确定指标权重度量值,然后,利用具有11级划分标准的模糊语义,定量描述城市地震次生火灾灾害风险评估指标的风险级别和风险重要性,其次,建立研究区域内待评城市综合风险取值的置信区间范围,最后,对研究区域各城市的次生火灾状况进行综合评估.研究结果表明:经耦合模型模拟实验20000次时,其计算结果已收敛,可得各城市的系统综合风险模拟值的置信水平95%下的置信区间值,可为抗震防灾规划提供相关决策支持. 展开更多
关键词 地震次生火灾 潜在风险 ss-TFN耦合模型 随机模拟
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基于IDEPSO-SS的多工况转向架构架可靠性分析 被引量:6
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作者 智鹏鹏 王悦东 +2 位作者 汪忠来 李永华 张明 《中国铁道科学》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2021年第2期134-143,共10页
基于子集模拟(Subset Simulation,SS)方法求解结构失效概率,再采用改进差分进化粒子群算法(IDEPSO)优化每层样本个数和初始条件概率,以获得单工况下结构最优失效概率,并结合几何分析确定联合失效概率,计算多工况下结构失效概率,确定最... 基于子集模拟(Subset Simulation,SS)方法求解结构失效概率,再采用改进差分进化粒子群算法(IDEPSO)优化每层样本个数和初始条件概率,以获得单工况下结构最优失效概率,并结合几何分析确定联合失效概率,计算多工况下结构失效概率,确定最优失效次序。以某型转向架构架为研究对象,先采用SS方法建立构架各工况下每层样本个数和初始条件概率关于结构失效概率的响应面代理模型;再采用IDEPSO算法计算各工况下每层样本个数和初始条件概率的最优值,计算构架单工况下最优失效概率;最后,采用几何分析确定多工况下的联合失效概率,并结合二阶窄边界法和最优准则获得构架多工况下最优可靠度和最优失效次序。结果表明:基于IDEPSO-SS获得的单工况构架最优失效概率,在保证计算精度的同时,较传统方法计算效率提高了96%;最优失效次序下构架的多工况失效概率高于传统方法,提高了多工况转向架构架可靠性分析的准确性。 展开更多
关键词 改进差分进化 粒子群 子集模拟 转向架 构架 可靠性分析 失效概率
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京沪高速铁路跨阳澄湖特大桥不同施工方案SS浓度场模拟研究 被引量:2
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作者 席英伟 付永胜 《四川环境》 2012年第1期12-16,共5页
为了对比京沪高铁双排筑坝围堰施工和钢栈桥施工两种施工方案对阳澄湖西湖湖区SS浓度场的影响程度,探讨阳澄湖大桥施工方式对阳澄湖SS浓度场的影响规律,开展阳澄湖现状水质监测,采用Delft-3D可视水动力-水质联合模拟软件系统对SS浓度场... 为了对比京沪高铁双排筑坝围堰施工和钢栈桥施工两种施工方案对阳澄湖西湖湖区SS浓度场的影响程度,探讨阳澄湖大桥施工方式对阳澄湖SS浓度场的影响规律,开展阳澄湖现状水质监测,采用Delft-3D可视水动力-水质联合模拟软件系统对SS浓度场进行模拟研究。结果表明,相对于栈桥施工,双排筑坝围堰施工对水体SS浓度影响较小,对阳澄湖水环境保护作用明显。 展开更多
关键词 京沪高铁 阳澄湖 Delft-3D ss浓度场 软件模拟
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Sensitivity of Sample for Simulation-Based Reliability Analysis Methods 被引量:2
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作者 Xiukai Yuan Jian Gu Shaolong Liu 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2021年第1期331-357,共27页
In structural reliability analysis,simulation methods are widely used.The statistical characteristics of failure probability estimate of these methods have been well investigated.In this study,the sensitivities of the... In structural reliability analysis,simulation methods are widely used.The statistical characteristics of failure probability estimate of these methods have been well investigated.In this study,the sensitivities of the failure probability estimate and its statistical characteristics with regard to sample,called‘contribution indexes’,are proposed to measure the contribution of sample.The contribution indexes in four widely simulation methods,i.e.,Monte Carlo simulation(MCS),importance sampling(IS),line sampling(LS)and subset simulation(SS)are derived and analyzed.The proposed contribution indexes of sample can provide valuable information understanding the methods deeply,and enlighten potential improvement of methods.It is found that the main differences between these investigated methods lie in the contribution indexes of the safety samples,which are the main factors to the efficiency of the methods.Moreover,numerical examples are used to validate these findings. 展开更多
关键词 Reliability analysis Monte Carlo simulation importance sampling line sampling subset simulation
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The Application of UBET in Backward Simulation of a Blade 被引量:1
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作者 王真 薛克敏 +1 位作者 刘英伟 王昊 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 1996年第1期78-82,共5页
A UBET backward simulation system, which has been used to simulate the forging process of a blade, is developed. It has been proved to be helpful to shape the preform of a blade accurately and properly. This paper emp... A UBET backward simulation system, which has been used to simulate the forging process of a blade, is developed. It has been proved to be helpful to shape the preform of a blade accurately and properly. This paper emphasizes on the deductions and solutions of the velocity field, strain-rate field, plastic power and friction power between elements and the dies during simulation. 展开更多
关键词 ss: UBET BLADE BACKWARD simulation
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THE FEATURE SUBSET SELECTION ALGORITHM 被引量:3
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作者 Liu Yongguo Li Xueming Wu Zhongfu (Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044) 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2003年第1期57-61,共5页
The motivation of data mining is how to extract effective information from huge data in very large database. However, some redundant and irrelevant attributes, which result in low performance and high computing comple... The motivation of data mining is how to extract effective information from huge data in very large database. However, some redundant and irrelevant attributes, which result in low performance and high computing complexity, are included in the very large database in general.So, Feature Subset Selection (FSS) becomes one important issue in the field of data mining. In this letter, an FSS model based on the filter approach is built, which uses the simulated annealing genetic algorithm. Experimental results show that convergence and stability of this algorithm are adequately achieved. 展开更多
关键词 Feature subset selection Las Vegas algorithm Genetic algorithms Simulated annealing
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基于传播矩阵法改进的SS及其前驱波合成算法
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作者 王培锋 周勇 徐敏 《地球物理学报》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2022年第10期3900-3911,共12页
410 km和660 km地幔间断面在地球内部动力学研究中具有重要意义.在研究地幔间断面的方法中,SS前驱波由于具有全球采样优势得以广泛应用.SS及其前驱波模拟可利用有限差分和谱元法等数值模拟方法,它们在模拟全球尺度地震波传播时具有高精... 410 km和660 km地幔间断面在地球内部动力学研究中具有重要意义.在研究地幔间断面的方法中,SS前驱波由于具有全球采样优势得以广泛应用.SS及其前驱波模拟可利用有限差分和谱元法等数值模拟方法,它们在模拟全球尺度地震波传播时具有高精度的特点,但往往计算量很大.因此,该类方法难以应用于反射点广泛分布的情形.而基于传播矩阵发展的SS及其前驱波模拟方法在保持高精度计算的同时,可大幅提高计算效率.本文针对SS及其前驱波的传播特征,改进了基于传播矩阵方法的波形合成算法FASHSHWF.通过简单层状模型对该算法进行了测试,验证了算法及相应程序的正确性.计算效率测试表明改进算法相较常规传播矩阵算法可节约50%以上的计算时间.通过与AxiSEM计算的波形对比,验证了FASHSHWF用于SS及其前驱波模拟的有效性.在上述工作的基础上,本文进一步探讨了新算法在研究全球近地表结构对地幔间断面复杂性探测影响中的应用. 展开更多
关键词 ss前驱波 地幔间断面 传播矩阵 波形模拟
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