There are three primary methodologies employed to determine real estate value in the appraisal industry： the cost approach, the sales approach and the income approach. The definition of market value is defined as： ...There are three primary methodologies employed to determine real estate value in the appraisal industry： the cost approach, the sales approach and the income approach. The definition of market value is defined as： ＂a type of value, stated as an opinion that includes a set of assumptions concerning the market＂. Unfortunately, untrained and unlicensed appraisers provided opinions using primarily the sales approach or market data approach and virtually ignored the other two methodologies. The ensuing game of ＂Can You Top This＂ resulted in creating an out-of-control real estate market driven by unregulated fiduciaries as appraisers.展开更多
In the field of statistical mechanics and system science, it is acknowledged that the financial crisis has a profound influence on stock market. However, the influence of total asset of enterprise on stock quote was n...In the field of statistical mechanics and system science, it is acknowledged that the financial crisis has a profound influence on stock market. However, the influence of total asset of enterprise on stock quote was not considered in the previous studies. In this work, a modified cross-correlation matrix that focuses on the influence of total asset on stock quote is introduced into the analysis of the stocks collected from Asian and American stock markets, which is different from the previous studies. The key results are obtained as follows. Firstly, stock is more greatly correlated with big asset than with small asset. Secondly, the higher the correlation coefficient among stocks, the larger the eigenvector is. Thirdly, in different periods, like the pre-subprime crisis period and the peak of subprime crisis period, Asian stock quotes show that the component of the third eigenvector of the cross-correlation matrix decreases with the asset of the enterprise decreasing.Fourthly, by simulating the threshold network, the small network constructed by 10 stocks with large assets can show the large network state constructed by 30 stocks. In this research we intend to fully explain the physical mechanism for understanding the historical correlation between stocks and provide risk control strategies in the future.展开更多
In order to study the universality of the interactions among different markets, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix of the price of the Chinese and American bank stocks. We then find that the stock prices of the e...In order to study the universality of the interactions among different markets, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix of the price of the Chinese and American bank stocks. We then find that the stock prices of the emerging market are more correlated than that of the developed market. Considering that the values of the components for the eigenvector may be positive or negative, we analyze the differences between two markets in combination with the endogenous and exogenous events which influence the financial markets. We find that the sparse pattern of components of eigenvectors out of the threshold value has no change in American bank stocks before and after the subprime crisis. However, it changes from sparse to dense for Chinese bank stocks. By using the threshold value to exclude the external factors, we simulate the interactions in financial markets.展开更多
This article proposes to assess the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis on the exchange rate channel in 6 countries of the Euro-Med zone. To do this, our analysis is based on three evaluation methods that allow us ...This article proposes to assess the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis on the exchange rate channel in 6 countries of the Euro-Med zone. To do this, our analysis is based on three evaluation methods that allow us to conclude that the exchange rate channel is better evaluated by the non-linear approach of the countries studied. Thus, the depreciation of the exchange rate adopted by the countries of the Med zone did worse macroeconomic stability and economic convergence.展开更多
The root causes of subprime crisis are analyzed based on the introduction of the definition and features of subprime mortgage loans:firstly,a loose financial supervision and regulation environment leads to weak risk a...The root causes of subprime crisis are analyzed based on the introduction of the definition and features of subprime mortgage loans:firstly,a loose financial supervision and regulation environment leads to weak risk awareness;secondly,the highly complex financial products enlarge the risk. Taking into account that our rural finance is characterized by vast territory,scattered distribution of population,small economic scale and insufficient mortgage,it is pointed out that rural finance has different development rules and patterns from urban finance. On the basis of introducing that there is an insufficient amount of formal finance in our rural finance and our informal finance is under a long-term suppression,the great significance of financial innovation to rural finance is discussed:firstly,it effectively increases financial supply;secondly,it gradually regulates and develops the informal finance. The enlightenment of subprime crisis to our rural financial innovation is explored:firstly,financial innovation is the driving force of rural financial development;secondly,to strengthen risk awareness is a prerequisite for financial innovation;thirdly,a flexible and effective supervision and regulation system is an effective approach to preventing financial risks.展开更多
In Sunset Park,the contemporary American writer Paul Auster reveals the political,economic and social problems that have surfaced in America in the wake of the 9/11 incident.Focusing on the image of people on the edge...In Sunset Park,the contemporary American writer Paul Auster reveals the political,economic and social problems that have surfaced in America in the wake of the 9/11 incident.Focusing on the image of people on the edge of the city,the author describes how they rebuild their lives after illegally living in an abandoned apartment in Sunset Park,using the art and the community as a spiritual refuge to seek comfort and heal wounds,reconstruct self-identity,and fight against the unfair society.This article analyzes the characteristics of the community in the novel Sunset Park,to interpret its functions,and to show the healing power of a caring community.展开更多
What began as a downturn in the US housing sector in the summer of 2007 had mushroomed into a global financial crisis by September 2008： the most severe since the 1930s. Developing countries, including China and Indi...What began as a downturn in the US housing sector in the summer of 2007 had mushroomed into a global financial crisis by September 2008： the most severe since the 1930s. Developing countries, including China and India, at first seemingly sheltered from the worst of the turmoil, have not been immune to the contagion＇s spillover effects. What are China and India＇s precise vulnerabilities, and what can each do to better insulate their economies from the vagaries of global financial marker turmoil？ Equally important, what long-term strategies must each country adopt to make their economies more resilient to global market downturns？展开更多
The financial turbulence caused by the U.S.subprime crisis has a far-reaching impact on the global financial system and economic development.Based on an in-depth analysis of the cause of U.S.subprime crisis and its ef...The financial turbulence caused by the U.S.subprime crisis has a far-reaching impact on the global financial system and economic development.Based on an in-depth analysis of the cause of U.S.subprime crisis and its effects on China and global economy,in combi-nation with the current status of China's telecom sector,this article puts forward policy suggestions for the de-velopment and regulation of China's telecom sector.展开更多
After fierce competition, Obama won the presidential race and was successfully elected as the firstAfrican-American President in US history. Unlike his predecessors, his success is primarily dependent on personalstrug...After fierce competition, Obama won the presidential race and was successfully elected as the firstAfrican-American President in US history. Unlike his predecessors, his success is primarily dependent on personalstruggle rather than renowned family background or remarkable personal political experience andaccomplishments; the change in US political environment reflected by the case is defined as ＂The ObamaPhenomenon＂. The Obama Phenomenon is the product of a variety of factors： The values of Individualism alongwith the philosophy of Pragmatism have built the macro-environment for it; Obama＇s elite political backgroundand his excellent personal strengths have laid the foundation for his success; the mistakes in domestic and foreignaffairs made by the Bush Administration made the Republican Party lose popular support, which removed theobstacles to Obama＇s success. This paper is to explore the reasons for Obama＇s success so as to contribute to abetter understanding of the changes in US society, in particular its political environment, excavate the impetus forthe changes, and rationally predict its展开更多
The outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis is a historic event,marking the end of the excessive consumption model and laissez-faire capitalism.It also marked the collapse of the old economic structure,ushering in a ...The outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis is a historic event,marking the end of the excessive consumption model and laissez-faire capitalism.It also marked the collapse of the old economic structure,ushering in a period of dramatic adjustment and turbulence.For the next few years,China may suffer a significant drop in domestic and foreign demand as well as industrial growth rate.The subprime mortgage crisis has reduced resident income expectancy,therefore slashing people's spending on entertainment,tourism,education,communication,etc.However,in the long term,China has huge potential for economic growth.In order to reduce the risks and seize the opportunities,we need to take positive measures to stimulate domestic demand,accelerate economic restructuring,and maintain stable and rapid economic growth.展开更多
Recently, global financial crisis or meltdown rocked the international financial market. This havoc was the result of the reckless use of financial derivatives that received spontaneous patronization from the financia...Recently, global financial crisis or meltdown rocked the international financial market. This havoc was the result of the reckless use of financial derivatives that received spontaneous patronization from the financial whiz, but it is strange to discover that those proponents of market economy embarked on policy that was purely Keynesian in principle. The episode started in August 2007 with the collapse of subprime mortgage market and reached its climax during August 2008. Central banks in many countries of the western world intervened in the market to pump additional fund to give buoyancy in the credit market. The crisis encapsulated with the queer idea of financial instruments and multiple origins related to subprime mortgage left its trail in both developed and developing countries. Thus, an elaborate analysis of the causal link among various innovative instruments highlighting a mismatch between academic doctrine and real-life perspective and the inadequacy of the institutional arrangements supposed to tame the volatility of the market may be a useful guide to financial analysts and policy planners. The purpose of this paper is to highlight systemic gaps in the meltdown and redefine the contour of macroeconomics most appropriate to weather such catastrophe in the future.展开更多
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationships among the variables, and how interest rate, unemployment, stock market, and consumer confidence affect housing market index （HM1） in the U.S.. We constru...The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationships among the variables, and how interest rate, unemployment, stock market, and consumer confidence affect housing market index （HM1） in the U.S.. We construct vector autoregression （VAR） model with variables such as unemployment rate （UMR）, consumer confidence index （CCI）, the Dow Jones industrial index （DJI）, and interest rate, etc., to forecast the HMI. Our model and analysis show that U.S. HMI very sensitive to unemployment and interest rates. Every 1% moves in unemployment and interest rates will result in HMI to move in the opposite direction by 11.7% and 11.4% respectively. However, changes in CCI and stock mark index have only minor impacts on HMI--0.49% and 0.3%, changes for 1% fluctuation in CCI and DJI. Our research also shows that relationships among these variables associated with housing market are very stable in the long run.展开更多
This paper develops a model where two lenders to subprime borrowers compete with the interest rates charged and the severity of loan covenants. The model has a stable equilibrium, which demonstrates how an increase in...This paper develops a model where two lenders to subprime borrowers compete with the interest rates charged and the severity of loan covenants. The model has a stable equilibrium, which demonstrates how an increase in the number of borrowers or an increase in the cost of meeting covenants will reduce the severity of the covenants required by lenders, and each of these changes will increase the difference in the severity of the loan covenant levels. An increase in the expected losses to the lender from relaxing covenants will increase the severity of loan covenants, and this will also make the levels of severity more dispersed. Additional analysis demonstrates how exogenous shifts affect the interest rates charged by the lenders and their profits展开更多
The subprime mortgage crisis and the resultant inflationary monetary policy in the USA have left the Chinese economy subject to four risks in particular. First, China＇s exports to the USA might continue to decline. S...The subprime mortgage crisis and the resultant inflationary monetary policy in the USA have left the Chinese economy subject to four risks in particular. First, China＇s exports to the USA might continue to decline. Second in the medium term, the higher US inflation rate will lead to a weak dollar, which will negatively affect China＇s exports. Third in the long term, when the US Federal Reserve decreases money supply to control inflation, the US economy might enter another recession, hurting China ＂s exports further. Fourth, China＇s foreign exchange reserve assets might suffer heavy losses when the US inflation rate rises. Conventional foreign exchange investment strategies are insufficient for dealing with these four risks. Investment by China in the major US banks is suggested in the present paper. This strategy would mitigate if not eliminate all four risks. China could gain considerable financial returns on investments with only moderate risk.展开更多
The US subprime crisis （financial crisis） highlights the failure of existing mechanisms of financial regulation to prevent systemic risk. Reflection shows that the fundamental causes of the subprime crisis are large...The US subprime crisis （financial crisis） highlights the failure of existing mechanisms of financial regulation to prevent systemic risk. Reflection shows that the fundamental causes of the subprime crisis are largely attributable to financial corruption arising from grave violations of financial information disclosure. Information supervision is an important check on financial corruption in that it serves as a means of regulating financial information disclosure and through transparency, reducing the demand for and supply of corruption. Drawing upon the recent reform of the US financial regulatory system and grounding ourselves on Chinese practice, we believe the reconstruction of the financial regulatory system should center on information supervision, with a focus on improving the system of information disclosure for financial bodies, building a unified financial information platform and an effective information-sharing mechanism, and integrating all supervisory resources into a unified and powerful force against financial corruption.展开更多
文摘There are three primary methodologies employed to determine real estate value in the appraisal industry： the cost approach, the sales approach and the income approach. The definition of market value is defined as： ＂a type of value, stated as an opinion that includes a set of assumptions concerning the market＂. Unfortunately, untrained and unlicensed appraisers provided opinions using primarily the sales approach or market data approach and virtually ignored the other two methodologies. The ensuing game of ＂Can You Top This＂ resulted in creating an out-of-control real estate market driven by unregulated fiduciaries as appraisers.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.11705042 and 71874172)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant Nos.2018T110040 and 2016M590041)+2 种基金the Fundamental Research Funds for Central Universities,China(Grant No.JZ2018HGTB0238)Curriculum Planning and Design Research Project,China(Grant No.102-033119)the Teaching Quality and Teaching Reform Project,China(Grant No.JYQZ1815)
文摘In the field of statistical mechanics and system science, it is acknowledged that the financial crisis has a profound influence on stock market. However, the influence of total asset of enterprise on stock quote was not considered in the previous studies. In this work, a modified cross-correlation matrix that focuses on the influence of total asset on stock quote is introduced into the analysis of the stocks collected from Asian and American stock markets, which is different from the previous studies. The key results are obtained as follows. Firstly, stock is more greatly correlated with big asset than with small asset. Secondly, the higher the correlation coefficient among stocks, the larger the eigenvector is. Thirdly, in different periods, like the pre-subprime crisis period and the peak of subprime crisis period, Asian stock quotes show that the component of the third eigenvector of the cross-correlation matrix decreases with the asset of the enterprise decreasing.Fourthly, by simulating the threshold network, the small network constructed by 10 stocks with large assets can show the large network state constructed by 30 stocks. In this research we intend to fully explain the physical mechanism for understanding the historical correlation between stocks and provide risk control strategies in the future.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.11275186,91024026,and FOM2014OF001)the University of Shanghai for Science and Technology(USST)of Humanities and Social Sciences,China(Grant Nos.USST13XSZ05 and 11YJA790231)
文摘In order to study the universality of the interactions among different markets, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix of the price of the Chinese and American bank stocks. We then find that the stock prices of the emerging market are more correlated than that of the developed market. Considering that the values of the components for the eigenvector may be positive or negative, we analyze the differences between two markets in combination with the endogenous and exogenous events which influence the financial markets. We find that the sparse pattern of components of eigenvectors out of the threshold value has no change in American bank stocks before and after the subprime crisis. However, it changes from sparse to dense for Chinese bank stocks. By using the threshold value to exclude the external factors, we simulate the interactions in financial markets.
文摘This article proposes to assess the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis on the exchange rate channel in 6 countries of the Euro-Med zone. To do this, our analysis is based on three evaluation methods that allow us to conclude that the exchange rate channel is better evaluated by the non-linear approach of the countries studied. Thus, the depreciation of the exchange rate adopted by the countries of the Med zone did worse macroeconomic stability and economic convergence.
文摘The root causes of subprime crisis are analyzed based on the introduction of the definition and features of subprime mortgage loans:firstly,a loose financial supervision and regulation environment leads to weak risk awareness;secondly,the highly complex financial products enlarge the risk. Taking into account that our rural finance is characterized by vast territory,scattered distribution of population,small economic scale and insufficient mortgage,it is pointed out that rural finance has different development rules and patterns from urban finance. On the basis of introducing that there is an insufficient amount of formal finance in our rural finance and our informal finance is under a long-term suppression,the great significance of financial innovation to rural finance is discussed:firstly,it effectively increases financial supply;secondly,it gradually regulates and develops the informal finance. The enlightenment of subprime crisis to our rural financial innovation is explored:firstly,financial innovation is the driving force of rural financial development;secondly,to strengthen risk awareness is a prerequisite for financial innovation;thirdly,a flexible and effective supervision and regulation system is an effective approach to preventing financial risks.
文摘In Sunset Park,the contemporary American writer Paul Auster reveals the political,economic and social problems that have surfaced in America in the wake of the 9/11 incident.Focusing on the image of people on the edge of the city,the author describes how they rebuild their lives after illegally living in an abandoned apartment in Sunset Park,using the art and the community as a spiritual refuge to seek comfort and heal wounds,reconstruct self-identity,and fight against the unfair society.This article analyzes the characteristics of the community in the novel Sunset Park,to interpret its functions,and to show the healing power of a caring community.
文摘What began as a downturn in the US housing sector in the summer of 2007 had mushroomed into a global financial crisis by September 2008： the most severe since the 1930s. Developing countries, including China and India, at first seemingly sheltered from the worst of the turmoil, have not been immune to the contagion＇s spillover effects. What are China and India＇s precise vulnerabilities, and what can each do to better insulate their economies from the vagaries of global financial marker turmoil？ Equally important, what long-term strategies must each country adopt to make their economies more resilient to global market downturns？
文摘The financial turbulence caused by the U.S.subprime crisis has a far-reaching impact on the global financial system and economic development.Based on an in-depth analysis of the cause of U.S.subprime crisis and its effects on China and global economy,in combi-nation with the current status of China's telecom sector,this article puts forward policy suggestions for the de-velopment and regulation of China's telecom sector.
文摘After fierce competition, Obama won the presidential race and was successfully elected as the firstAfrican-American President in US history. Unlike his predecessors, his success is primarily dependent on personalstruggle rather than renowned family background or remarkable personal political experience andaccomplishments; the change in US political environment reflected by the case is defined as ＂The ObamaPhenomenon＂. The Obama Phenomenon is the product of a variety of factors： The values of Individualism alongwith the philosophy of Pragmatism have built the macro-environment for it; Obama＇s elite political backgroundand his excellent personal strengths have laid the foundation for his success; the mistakes in domestic and foreignaffairs made by the Bush Administration made the Republican Party lose popular support, which removed theobstacles to Obama＇s success. This paper is to explore the reasons for Obama＇s success so as to contribute to abetter understanding of the changes in US society, in particular its political environment, excavate the impetus forthe changes, and rationally predict its
文摘The outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis is a historic event,marking the end of the excessive consumption model and laissez-faire capitalism.It also marked the collapse of the old economic structure,ushering in a period of dramatic adjustment and turbulence.For the next few years,China may suffer a significant drop in domestic and foreign demand as well as industrial growth rate.The subprime mortgage crisis has reduced resident income expectancy,therefore slashing people's spending on entertainment,tourism,education,communication,etc.However,in the long term,China has huge potential for economic growth.In order to reduce the risks and seize the opportunities,we need to take positive measures to stimulate domestic demand,accelerate economic restructuring,and maintain stable and rapid economic growth.
文摘Recently, global financial crisis or meltdown rocked the international financial market. This havoc was the result of the reckless use of financial derivatives that received spontaneous patronization from the financial whiz, but it is strange to discover that those proponents of market economy embarked on policy that was purely Keynesian in principle. The episode started in August 2007 with the collapse of subprime mortgage market and reached its climax during August 2008. Central banks in many countries of the western world intervened in the market to pump additional fund to give buoyancy in the credit market. The crisis encapsulated with the queer idea of financial instruments and multiple origins related to subprime mortgage left its trail in both developed and developing countries. Thus, an elaborate analysis of the causal link among various innovative instruments highlighting a mismatch between academic doctrine and real-life perspective and the inadequacy of the institutional arrangements supposed to tame the volatility of the market may be a useful guide to financial analysts and policy planners. The purpose of this paper is to highlight systemic gaps in the meltdown and redefine the contour of macroeconomics most appropriate to weather such catastrophe in the future.
文摘The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationships among the variables, and how interest rate, unemployment, stock market, and consumer confidence affect housing market index （HM1） in the U.S.. We construct vector autoregression （VAR） model with variables such as unemployment rate （UMR）, consumer confidence index （CCI）, the Dow Jones industrial index （DJI）, and interest rate, etc., to forecast the HMI. Our model and analysis show that U.S. HMI very sensitive to unemployment and interest rates. Every 1% moves in unemployment and interest rates will result in HMI to move in the opposite direction by 11.7% and 11.4% respectively. However, changes in CCI and stock mark index have only minor impacts on HMI--0.49% and 0.3%, changes for 1% fluctuation in CCI and DJI. Our research also shows that relationships among these variables associated with housing market are very stable in the long run.
文摘This paper develops a model where two lenders to subprime borrowers compete with the interest rates charged and the severity of loan covenants. The model has a stable equilibrium, which demonstrates how an increase in the number of borrowers or an increase in the cost of meeting covenants will reduce the severity of the covenants required by lenders, and each of these changes will increase the difference in the severity of the loan covenant levels. An increase in the expected losses to the lender from relaxing covenants will increase the severity of loan covenants, and this will also make the levels of severity more dispersed. Additional analysis demonstrates how exogenous shifts affect the interest rates charged by the lenders and their profits
文摘The subprime mortgage crisis and the resultant inflationary monetary policy in the USA have left the Chinese economy subject to four risks in particular. First, China＇s exports to the USA might continue to decline. Second in the medium term, the higher US inflation rate will lead to a weak dollar, which will negatively affect China＇s exports. Third in the long term, when the US Federal Reserve decreases money supply to control inflation, the US economy might enter another recession, hurting China ＂s exports further. Fourth, China＇s foreign exchange reserve assets might suffer heavy losses when the US inflation rate rises. Conventional foreign exchange investment strategies are insufficient for dealing with these four risks. Investment by China in the major US banks is suggested in the present paper. This strategy would mitigate if not eliminate all four risks. China could gain considerable financial returns on investments with only moderate risk.
文摘The US subprime crisis （financial crisis） highlights the failure of existing mechanisms of financial regulation to prevent systemic risk. Reflection shows that the fundamental causes of the subprime crisis are largely attributable to financial corruption arising from grave violations of financial information disclosure. Information supervision is an important check on financial corruption in that it serves as a means of regulating financial information disclosure and through transparency, reducing the demand for and supply of corruption. Drawing upon the recent reform of the US financial regulatory system and grounding ourselves on Chinese practice, we believe the reconstruction of the financial regulatory system should center on information supervision, with a focus on improving the system of information disclosure for financial bodies, building a unified financial information platform and an effective information-sharing mechanism, and integrating all supervisory resources into a unified and powerful force against financial corruption.
