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Analysis of Stakeholders in Off-Grid Power Generation and Research on Business Models in Laos
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作者 Chattouphonh Nakhavith Hung Dechun 《Journal of Energy and Power Engineering》 2025年第3期106-114,共9页
This study explores off-grid power generation business models in the Lao People's Democratic Republic(Lao PDR),with the objective of identifying viable pathways to expand energy access in rural and underserved reg... This study explores off-grid power generation business models in the Lao People's Democratic Republic(Lao PDR),with the objective of identifying viable pathways to expand energy access in rural and underserved regions.The research aims to analyze and evaluate various business models in terms of their technical,economic,and social viability within the unique geographic and policy context of Lao PDR.There are two level of the research objectives:High Level Objectives(HLO)and Concreted Research Objectives(CRO).For HLO is that an appropriated off-grid power generation business model for Laos supports the Lao PDR Government’s commitment to promote an inclusive green growth development agenda that ensures lowered GHG emissions and increased energy efficiency.The Lao PDR National Determined Contribution(NDC)to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC)notes the country’s ambitious plans to lower energy consumption and reduce GHG emissions.While the CRO are focused on learning strategies,regulation and practical lessons from other countries the ASEAN region on the off-grid development and business model.To analyze and investigate the environmental strategy of business model under external and internal context and related and considered factors.And finally,this is to conclude and recommend the off-grid power generation business model as the research conclusion,which will become a support mechanism for the companies to operate consistently over many years into the future according to ambitious goal for supplying modern and save energy for rural families by 2030. 展开更多
关键词 Off-grid power generation business mode Lao PDR renewable energy energy access green growth climate change mitigation stakeholder analysis
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Hydrodynamic Analysis of a Semi-submersible Wind-Tidal Combined Power Generation Device 被引量:2
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作者 Yong Ma Chao Hu +2 位作者 Binghao Zhou Lei Li Youwei Kang 《Journal of Marine Science and Application》 CSCD 2019年第1期72-81,共10页
Energy shortages and environmental pollution are becoming increasingly severe globally. The exploitation and utilization of renewable energy have become an effective way to alleviate these problems. To improve power p... Energy shortages and environmental pollution are becoming increasingly severe globally. The exploitation and utilization of renewable energy have become an effective way to alleviate these problems. To improve power production capacity, power output quality, and cost effectiveness, comprehensive marine energy utilization has become an inevitable trend in marine energy development. Based on a semi-submersible wind-tidal combined power generation device,a three-dimensional frequency domain potential flow theory is used to study the hydrodynamic performance of such a device. For this study, the RAOs and hydrodynamic coefficients of the floating carrier platform to the regular wave were obtained. The influence of the tidal turbine on the platform in terms of frequency domain was considered as added mass and damping. The direct load of the tidal turbine was obtained by CFX.FORTRAN software was used for the second development of adaptive query workload aware software, which can include the external force. The motion response of the platform to the irregular wave and the tension of the mooring line were calculated under the limiting condition(one mooring line breakage). The results showed that the motion response of the carrier to the surge and sway direction is more intense, but the swing amplitude is within the acceptable range. Even in the worst case scenario, the balance position of the platform was still in the positioning range, which met the requirements of the working sea area. The safety factor of the mooring line tension also complied with the requirements of the design specification. Therefore, it was found that the hydrodynamic performance and motion responses of a semi-submersible wind-tidal combined power generation device can meet the power generation requirements under all design conditions, and the device presents a reliable power generation system. 展开更多
关键词 power generation device Coupling hydrodynamic analysis AQWA Mooring line tension Motion response Hydrodynamic analysis power generation device
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Electric power generation technology of natural gas pressure reduction:Insights from black box-gray box hierarchical exergy analysis and evaluation method 被引量:1
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作者 Zhi-Dong Li Qing-Lin Cheng +4 位作者 You-Wang Chen Jiang-Dong Wei Li-Li Lv Hao Wu Yang Liu 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2022年第1期329-338,共10页
Based on the“three box”exergy analysis model,a black box-gray box hierarchical exergy analysis and evaluation method is put forward in this paper,which is applied to evaluate the power generation technology of diffe... Based on the“three box”exergy analysis model,a black box-gray box hierarchical exergy analysis and evaluation method is put forward in this paper,which is applied to evaluate the power generation technology of differential pressure produced by natural gas expansion.By using the exergy analysis theory,the black box-gray box hierarchical exergy analysis models of three differential pressure power generation technologies are established respectively.Firstly,the“black box”analysis models of main energy consuming equipment are established,and then the“gray box”analysis model of the total system is established.Based on the calculation results of exergy analysis indexes,the weak energy consumption equipment in the whole power generation process is accurately located.Taking a gas field in southwest China as an example,the comprehensive energy consumption evaluation of the three power generation technologies is carried out,and the technology with the best energy consumption condition among the three technologies is determined.Finally,the rationalization improvement measures are put forward from improving the air tightness,replacing the deflector and reducing the flow loss. 展开更多
关键词 Expansion differential pressure power generation Black box-gray box hierarchy Exergy analysis method Weak link of energy consumption
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Short-Term Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation Based on LMD Permutation Entropy and Singular Spectrum Analysis 被引量:1
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作者 Wenchao Ma 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2023年第7期1685-1699,共15页
The power output state of photovoltaic power generation is affected by the earth’s rotation and solar radiation intensity.On the one hand,its output sequence has daily periodicity;on the other hand,it has discrete ra... The power output state of photovoltaic power generation is affected by the earth’s rotation and solar radiation intensity.On the one hand,its output sequence has daily periodicity;on the other hand,it has discrete randomness.With the development of new energy economy,the proportion of photovoltaic energy increased accordingly.In order to solve the problem of improving the energy conversion efficiency in the grid-connected optical network and ensure the stability of photovoltaic power generation,this paper proposes the short-termprediction of photovoltaic power generation based on the improvedmulti-scale permutation entropy,localmean decomposition and singular spectrum analysis algorithm.Firstly,taking the power output per unit day as the research object,the multi-scale permutation entropy is used to calculate the eigenvectors under different weather conditions,and the cluster analysis is used to reconstruct the historical power generation under typical weather rainy and snowy,sunny,abrupt,cloudy.Then,local mean decomposition(LMD)is used to decompose the output sequence,so as to extract more detail components of the reconstructed output sequence.Finally,combined with the weather forecast of the Meteorological Bureau for the next day,the singular spectrumanalysis algorithm is used to predict the photovoltaic classification of the recombination decomposition sequence under typical weather.Through the verification and analysis of examples,the hierarchical prediction experiments of reconstructed and non-reconstructed output sequences are compared.The results show that the algorithm proposed in this paper is effective in realizing the short-term prediction of photovoltaic generator,and has the advantages of simple structure and high prediction accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 Photovoltaic power generation short term forecast multiscale permutation entropy local mean decomposition singular spectrum analysis
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The Hidden-Layers Topology Analysis of Deep Learning Models in Survey for Forecasting and Generation of the Wind Power and Photovoltaic Energy
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作者 Dandan Xu Haijian Shao +1 位作者 Xing Deng Xia Wang 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2022年第5期567-597,共31页
As wind and photovoltaic energy become more prevalent,the optimization of power systems is becoming increasingly crucial.The current state of research in renewable generation and power forecasting technology,such as w... As wind and photovoltaic energy become more prevalent,the optimization of power systems is becoming increasingly crucial.The current state of research in renewable generation and power forecasting technology,such as wind and photovoltaic power(PV),is described in this paper,with a focus on the ensemble sequential LSTMs approach with optimized hidden-layers topology for short-term multivariable wind power forecasting.The methods for forecasting wind power and PV production.The physical model,statistical learningmethod,andmachine learning approaches based on historical data are all evaluated for the forecasting of wind power and PV production.Moreover,the experiments demonstrated that cloud map identification has a significant impact on PV generation.With a focus on the impact of photovoltaic and wind power generation systems on power grid operation and its causes,this paper summarizes the classification of wind power and PV generation systems,as well as the benefits and drawbacks of PV systems and wind power forecasting methods based on various typologies and analysis methods. 展开更多
关键词 Deep learning wind power forecasting PV generation and forecasting hidden-layer information analysis topology optimization
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Thermo-Dynamical Analysis on Electricity-Generation Subsystem of CAES Power Plant
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作者 Wenyi Liu Gang Xu Yongping Yang 《Journal of Power and Energy Engineering》 2014年第4期729-734,共6页
Besides pumped hydropower, Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES) is the other solution for large energy storage capacity. It can balance fluctuations in supply and demand of electricity. CAES is essential part of smart... Besides pumped hydropower, Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES) is the other solution for large energy storage capacity. It can balance fluctuations in supply and demand of electricity. CAES is essential part of smart power grids. Linked with the flow structure and dynamic characteristic of electricity generation subsystem and its components, a simulation model is proposed. Thermo-dynamical performance on off-design conditions have been analyzed with constant air mass flux and constant gas combustion temperature. Some simulation diagrams of curve are plotted too. The contrast of varied operation mode thermal performance is made between CAES power plant and simple gas turbine power plant. 展开更多
关键词 ELECTRICITY generation Sub-System CAES power PLANT Thermal Performance Simulation analysis OFF-DESIGN Conditions
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Influences of Institutional Pressures on Corporate Social Performance: Empirical Analysis on the Panel Data of Chinese Power Generation Enterprises
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作者 Lin Han Zhengpei Yang 《Chinese Business Review》 2016年第8期361-378,共18页
Institutional theory has proved the influence of institutional pressures on organization practices and structures. Meanwhile, with the soaring use of corporate social performance (CSP), more researchers are focusing... Institutional theory has proved the influence of institutional pressures on organization practices and structures. Meanwhile, with the soaring use of corporate social performance (CSP), more researchers are focusing on exploring the relationship between institution pressures and CSP which is still not completely understood yet. Against this background, the paper aims to fill the gap through generally hypothesizing that different types of institutional pressures individually and collectively affect CSP via the mediating effect of corporate environmental strategy. First, based on the previous and extensive literature review, the theoretical framework and research hypotheses are constructed. Next, canonical correlation analysis about the panel data of 51 Chinese large-scale power generation enterprises from 2004 to 2009 is made to test the relevant hypotheses. Finally, based on the data analysis results, the study draws some conclusions and policy implications for promoting the CSP of Chinese enterprises, including enhancing the steering function of government policies and industry regulations and emphasizing the intermediary role of media. 展开更多
关键词 institutional pressures corporate environmental strategy corporate social performance panel data Chinese power generation enterprises canonical correlation analysis
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Analysis of Distributed Photovoltaic Power Generation Operation Control Technology
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作者 LIUJie DINGGuanhao 《外文科技期刊数据库(文摘版)工程技术》 2022年第3期014-017,共4页
In recent years, in the process of low-carbon economy construction in China, the original power generation mode has been changed, and photovoltaic power generation technology has been adopted, which has promoted the r... In recent years, in the process of low-carbon economy construction in China, the original power generation mode has been changed, and photovoltaic power generation technology has been adopted, which has promoted the rapid development of related industries. When constructing a new generation mode, there are high requirements for the application of various equipments. Among them, the generator set belongs to special equipment, which needs to be managed in order to realize the scientific utilization of energy and the protection of surrounding environment. At present, China has gradually expanded the construction scale of related industries, and at the same time introduced more advanced technology, and carried out all-round control on the power generation mode. This paper analyzes and discusses the operation control technology of distributed photovoltaic power generation. 展开更多
关键词 DISTRIBUTED photovoltaic power generation operation control technology analysis and discussion
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Very Short-Term Generating Power Forecasting for Wind Power Generators Based on Time Series Analysis
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作者 Atsushi Yona Tomonobu Senjyu +1 位作者 Funabashi Toshihisa Chul-Hwan Kim 《Smart Grid and Renewable Energy》 2013年第2期181-186,共6页
In recent years, there has been introduction of alternative energy sources such as wind energy. However, wind speed is not constant and wind power output is proportional to the cube of the wind speed. In order to cont... In recent years, there has been introduction of alternative energy sources such as wind energy. However, wind speed is not constant and wind power output is proportional to the cube of the wind speed. In order to control the power output for wind power generators as accurately as possible, a method of wind speed estimation is required. In this paper, a technique considers that wind speed in the order of 1 - 30 seconds is investigated in confirming the validity of the Auto Regressive model (AR), Kalman Filter (KF) and Neural Network (NN) to forecast wind speed. This paper compares the simulation results of the forecast wind speed for the power output forecast of wind power generator by using AR, KF and NN. 展开更多
关键词 Very SHORT-TERM AHEAD Forecasting WIND power generation WIND SPEED Forecasting Time SERIES analysis
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Multi-objective optimization and evaluation of supercritical CO_(2) Brayton cycle for nuclear power generation 被引量:5
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作者 Guo-Peng Yu Yong-Feng Cheng +1 位作者 Na Zhang Ping-Jian Ming 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期183-209,共27页
The supercritical CO_(2) Brayton cycle is considered a promising energy conversion system for Generation IV reactors for its simple layout,compact structure,and high cycle efficiency.Mathematical models of four Brayto... The supercritical CO_(2) Brayton cycle is considered a promising energy conversion system for Generation IV reactors for its simple layout,compact structure,and high cycle efficiency.Mathematical models of four Brayton cycle layouts are developed in this study for different reactors to reduce the cost and increase the thermohydraulic performance of nuclear power generation to promote the commercialization of nuclear energy.Parametric analysis,multi-objective optimizations,and four decision-making methods are applied to obtain each Brayton scheme’s optimal thermohydraulic and economic indexes.Results show that for the same design thermal power scale of reactors,the higher the core’s exit temperature,the better the Brayton cycle’s thermo-economic performance.Among the four-cycle layouts,the recompression cycle(RC)has the best overall performance,followed by the simple recuperation cycle(SR)and the intercooling cycle(IC),and the worst is the reheating cycle(RH).However,RH has the lowest total cost of investment(C_(tot))of$1619.85 million,and IC has the lowest levelized cost of energy(LCOE)of 0.012$/(kWh).The nuclear Brayton cycle system’s overall performance has been improved due to optimization.The performance of the molten salt reactor combined with the intercooling cycle(MSR-IC)scheme has the greatest improvement,with the net output power(W_(net)),thermal efficiencyη_(t),and exergy efficiency(η_(e))improved by 8.58%,8.58%,and 11.21%,respectively.The performance of the lead-cooled fast reactor combined with the simple recuperation cycle scheme was optimized to increase C_(tot) by 27.78%.In comparison,the internal rate of return(IRR)increased by only 7.8%,which is not friendly to investors with limited funds.For the nuclear Brayton cycle,the molten salt reactor combined with the recompression cycle scheme should receive priority,and the gas-cooled fast reactor combined with the reheating cycle scheme should be considered carefully. 展开更多
关键词 Supercritical CO_(2)Brayton cycle Nuclear power generation Thermo-economic analysis Multi-objective optimization Decision-making methods
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Coupling effect of evaporation and condensation processes of organic Rankine cycle for geothermal power generation improvement 被引量:4
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作者 YANG Hua MENG Nan LI Tai-lu 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第12期3372-3387,共16页
Organic Rankine cycle(ORC)is widely used for the low grade geothermal power generation.However,a large amount of irreversible loss results in poor technical and economic performance due to its poor matching between th... Organic Rankine cycle(ORC)is widely used for the low grade geothermal power generation.However,a large amount of irreversible loss results in poor technical and economic performance due to its poor matching between the heat source/sink and the working medium in the condenser and the evaporator.The condensing temperature,cooling water temperature difference and pinch point temperature difference are often fixed according to engineering experience.In order to optimize the ORC system comprehensively,the coupling effect of evaporation and condensation process was proposed in this paper.Based on the laws of thermodynamics,the energy analysis,exergy analysis and entropy analysis were adopted to investigate the ORC performance including net output power,thermal efficiency,exergy efficiency,thermal conductivity,irreversible loss,etc.,using geothermal water at a temperature of 120℃as the heat source and isobutane as the working fluid.The results show that there exists a pair of optimal evaporating temperature and condensing temperatures to maximize the system performance.The net power output and the system comprehensive performance achieve their highest values at the same evaporating temperature,but the system comprehensive performance corresponds to a lower condensing temperature than the net power output. 展开更多
关键词 Organic Rankine cycle geothermal power generation coupling effect of evaporation and condensation exergy analysis
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Analysis of Electromagnetic Performance of Modulated Coaxial Magnetic Gears Used in Semi-Direct Drive Wind Turbines 被引量:2
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作者 Jungang Wang Liqun Qian +1 位作者 Shuairui Xu Ruina Mo 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2021年第2期251-264,共14页
Wind turbine is a key device to realize the utilization of wind energy,and it has been highly valued by all countries.But the mechanical gear transmission of the existing wind power device has the disadvantages of hig... Wind turbine is a key device to realize the utilization of wind energy,and it has been highly valued by all countries.But the mechanical gear transmission of the existing wind power device has the disadvantages of high vibration and noise,high failure rate,and short service time.Magneticfield modulation electromagnetic gear transmission is a new non-contact transmission method.However,the conventional modulation magnetic gear has low torque density and torque defects with largefluctuations.In order to overcome the gear transmis-sion problems of the existing semi-direct drive wind power generation machinery and improve the electromag-netic performance of the traditional magnetic gear transmission,this paper proposes a new transmission scheme of a non-contact semi-direct drive wind generator with a surface mount Halbach array modulated mag-netic gear method,and considers the electromagnetic properties of the semi-direct drive modulation magnetic gear of the wind turbine.Thefinite element software is used to construct the model of the surface-mounted Halbach array magnetic gear and the conventional gear,analyzed the distribution of magneticfield lines of the two magnetic gears,calculated the air gap magneticflux density of the inner and outer air gap,and obtained the main harmonics of the inner and outer air gap magnetic density;calculated the static torque and steady-state operating torque of the inner and outer rotors in the model,compared the air gapflux density,harmonics and torque of the magnetic gears.The simulation results show that the magneticfield modulation type mag-netic gear of the surface mount Halbach array magnetic gear method improves the magnetic induction wave-form of the inner and outer air gap,reduces the pulse torquefluctuation,and has a 60%higher static torque.Applying it to semi-direct drive wind power generation equipment not only overcomes the shortcomings of mechanical gears,but also has higher electromagnetic performance.Therefore,the surface-mounted Halbach array modulated magnetic gear can be used to replace the mechanical gearbox in the semi-direct drive wind power generation equipment. 展开更多
关键词 Wind power generation gear box magnetic gear finite element analysis
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LCOE Analysis of Solar Tracker Application in China 被引量:1
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作者 Qingcai Liu Xuechun Wan 《Computational Water, Energy, and Environmental Engineering》 2020年第4期87-100,共14页
In China, systemic techno-economic analysis for solar tracker has been absent. To fill the blank, by taking the economic analysis of solar tracker application as the research object and using the LCOE method widely us... In China, systemic techno-economic analysis for solar tracker has been absent. To fill the blank, by taking the economic analysis of solar tracker application as the research object and using the LCOE method widely used internationally, the techno-economic analysis model of solar tracker was established according to conditions in China. Influence factors on LCOE were analyzed by using the established model, and the relationship between each cost factor and the cost component of energy leveling of tracker was further studied. In addition, the calculation method of investment payback period based on energy leveling analysis was established, and the influence of various factors on investment payback period was revealed through an example calculation. The research results will help to measure the economy of tracker application more accurately and comprehensively, and promote the popularization and application of solar tracker. The economic analysis model of solar tracker application was established by using LCOE method. The influence factors and cost component of LCOE were analyzed with the model. The payback period of solar tracker investment was also analyzed based on LCOE method. 展开更多
关键词 Solar Energy PV power generation Solar Tracker LCOE Techno-Economic analysis
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Historical Satellite Data Analysis to Enhance Climate Change Adaption and Hydrologic Models in Egypt
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作者 Mariam G. Salem Eman A. H. El-Sayed 《Journal of Power and Energy Engineering》 2017年第8期56-71,共16页
Egypt suffers from the impacts of climate change. Adaption plans should solve the shortage in water resources and increase the use of renewable energy. Detailed data on rainfall as non conventional water and detailed ... Egypt suffers from the impacts of climate change. Adaption plans should solve the shortage in water resources and increase the use of renewable energy. Detailed data on rainfall as non conventional water and detailed data on potential renewable energy are important. The added value of this research is to investigate the suitability of satellite data locally in North Sinai in Egypt. The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellites and available data from ground rain gauges are studied at North Sinai of Egypt. Local multiplication factors and correlation equations on a monthly basis were developed based on short term historical data. General equation based on short term data was developed to enhance TRMM data for the rainy season to minimize spatial and temporal errors. This equation would be very useful, especially in the ungauged areas in North Sinai to adjust TRMM rainfall data. TRMM data are spatially distributed, so it enhances the hydrology models for runoff estimation. This runoff could be used as non conventional water resource. The runoff was estimated in the RasSudr area in the 2010 storm to be 3.6 (m3/s). The hydropower of this runoff was estimated and ranged from 15,135 to 57,352 (kWh). The solar energy is studied from (NASA) satellite data. The monthly averaged solar energy was estimated to get possible generated power from the solar panel at locations of rainfall ground stations. The generated solar energy would supply self-sufficient energy for ground stations measuring instruments rather than batteries. The results show that a small solar panel project of 200 (m2) could safe electric network power by generating about 20,385 (kWh/year). The results of this study could help in enhancing adapting plans for climate change and runoff estimation model that needs grid data, especially in the area lacking ground data. 展开更多
关键词 TROPICAL RAINFALL Measuring Mission Data analysis Hydrologic Model Bias Factor RENEWABLE power generation Climate Change RS GIS
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Artificial Intelligence Generative Model in Power System Security and Stability Analysis: An Overview
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作者 Yuxin Dai Jun Zhang +7 位作者 Peidong Xu Tianlu Gao Haoran Zhang Hao Liu Ke Zhang Hang Zhao Zeyu Mu Chenglong Xu 《The International Journal of Intelligent Control and Systems》 2025年第1期63-75,共13页
The field of artificial intelligence generated content(AIGC)is currently experiencing rapid development,attracting the attention of both academic and industrial communities.This article summarizes the development of s... The field of artificial intelligence generated content(AIGC)is currently experiencing rapid development,attracting the attention of both academic and industrial communities.This article summarizes the development of several mainstream models in the AIGC field,as well as their research and application status in areas such as image generation and text generation.Additionally,as an emerging form of internet technology,this article analyzes the research status and application prospects of AIGC in traditional industrial fields using the power system as an example.Finally,this article summarizes in detail the shortcomings of generative models and identifies research directions for future study,to promote the development of AIGC technology and its deep integration with traditional industrial applications,to facilitate industrial technological transformation and upgrading. 展开更多
关键词 Artificial intelligence generated content(AIGC) diffusion model generative adversarial network variational autoencoder power system steady-state security analysis transient stability assessment
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Research on solar aided coal-fired power generation system and performance analysis 被引量:31
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作者 YANG YongPing CUI YingHong +3 位作者 HOU HongJuan GUO XiYan YANG ZhiPing WANG NinLing 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2008年第8期1211-1221,共11页
Integrating solar power utilization systems with coal-fired power units, the solar aided coal-fired power generation (SACPG) shows a significant prospect for the large-scale utilization of solar energy and energy savi... Integrating solar power utilization systems with coal-fired power units, the solar aided coal-fired power generation (SACPG) shows a significant prospect for the large-scale utilization of solar energy and energy saving of thermal power units. The methods and mechanism of system integration were studied. The parabolic trough solar collectors were used to collect solar energy and the integration scheme of SACPG system was determined considering the matching of working fluid flows and energy flows. The thermodynamic characteristics of solar thermal power generation and their effects on the performance of thermal power units were studied, and based on this the integration and optimization model of system structure and parameters were built up. The integration rules and coupling mecha- nism of SACPG systems were summarized in accordance with simulation results. The economic analysis of this SACPG system showed that the solar LEC of a typical SACPG system, considering CO2 avoidance, is 0.098 $/kW·h, lower than that of SEGS, 0.14 $/kW·h. 展开更多
关键词 SOLAR THERMAL power generation coal-fired power PLANT system integration performance analysis
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Very Short-term Probabilistic Prediction for Regional Wind Power Generation Based on OPNPIs
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作者 Yan Zhou Yonghui Sun +3 位作者 Sen Wang Rabea Jamil Mahfoud Dongchen Hou Jianxi Wang 《CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems》 2026年第2期803-812,共10页
Due to the uncertainty and fluctuation of wind power generation,probabilistic prediction for regional wind power generation is critical to accurately quantify the uncertainty of meaningful information to the dispatchi... Due to the uncertainty and fluctuation of wind power generation,probabilistic prediction for regional wind power generation is critical to accurately quantify the uncertainty of meaningful information to the dispatching departments of power grid.This paper proposes an approach of very short-term probabilistic prediction for regional wind power generation based on optimal performance-based nonparametric prediction intervals(OPNPIs).First,the deterministic prediction for regional wind power generation considering the division of wind farms based on the detrending-based partial cross-correlation analysis(DPCCA)is studied.Based on the deterministic prediction and its prediction errors,the OPNPIs are proposed considering the reliability and overall performance for the uncertainty analysis.Furthermore,a regulating coefficient is studied to further enhance the performance of PIs.Effectiveness of the proposed method is verified through multistep PIs of 15-minute based on the real wind power generation data. 展开更多
关键词 Detrending-based partial cross-correlation analysis Huber-based approach nonparametric prediction intervals overall performance regional wind power generation
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Thermo-economic analysis of a direct supercritical CO_(2) electric power generation system using geothermal heat 被引量:1
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作者 Xingchao WANG Chunjian PAN +4 位作者 Carlos EROMERO Zongliang QIAO Arindam BANERJEE Carlos RUBIO-MAYA Lehua PAN 《Frontiers in Energy》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第2期246-262,共17页
A comprehensive thermo-economic model combining a geothermal heat mining system and a direct supercritical CO_(2) turbine expansion electric power generation system was proposed in this paper.Assisted by this integrat... A comprehensive thermo-economic model combining a geothermal heat mining system and a direct supercritical CO_(2) turbine expansion electric power generation system was proposed in this paper.Assisted by this integrated model,thermo-economic and optimization analyses for the key design parameters of the whole system including the geothermal well pattern and operational conditions were performed to obtain a minimal levelized cost of electricity(LCOE).Specifically,in geothermal heat extraction simulation,an integrated wellbore-reservoir system model(T2Well/ECO_(2)N)was used to generate a database for creating a fast,predictive,and compatible geothermal heat mining model by employing a response surface methodology.A parametric study was conducted to demonstrate the impact of turbine discharge pressure,injection and production well distance,CO_(2) injection flowrate,CO_(2) injection temperature,and monitored production well bottom pressure on LCOE,system thermal efficiency,and capital cost.It was found that for a 100 MWe power plant,a minimal LCOE of$0.177/kWh was achieved for a 20-year steady operation without considering CO_(2) sequestration credit.In addition,when CO_(2) sequestration credit is$1.00/t,an LCOE breakeven point compared to a conventional geothermal power plant is achieved and a breakpoint for generating electric power generation at no cost was achieved for a sequestration credit of $2.05/t. 展开更多
关键词 geothermal heat mining supercritical CO_(2) power generation thermo-economic analysis optimization
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Energy Conversion and Transmission of Electric Power Generation through Water Evaporation
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作者 CHEN Liang WANG Lu +2 位作者 WANG Xinyi ZHANG Bo LI Zhen 《Journal of Thermal Science》 2025年第2期413-428,共16页
Water is a recyclable resource and the largest energy carrier on Earth.New hydropower generation technologies hold great promise for the future.However,there is a lack of evaluation standards for power generation perf... Water is a recyclable resource and the largest energy carrier on Earth.New hydropower generation technologies hold great promise for the future.However,there is a lack of evaluation standards for power generation performance.And,the mechanism of hydrovoltaic power generation lacks systematic clarity.In this study,a thermodynamic analysis method about hot and humid air energy conversion based on the principle of hydropower generation is established.To author's knowledge,it is the first time that the maximum available energy of hydropower generation is analyzed by exergy and parametric calculations.The greater the difference,the higher the available energy.Also,a series of experiments were conducted to explore the power generation device materials,structural composition,and structural parameters,further clarifying the principle of electricity generation.And,the influence of temperature and relative humidity on the power generation performance was also studied.The increase in temperature can effectively increase the output electrical performance of the power generation.The open-circuit voltage and short-circuit current of water evaporation power generation with Al_(2)O_(3)nanoparticles are higher than 2.5 V and 150 nA respectively.Through analysis,we propose relevant application strategies to provide theoretical and practical support for the development of green energy. 展开更多
关键词 exergy analysis green energy new hydropower generation flexible power generation devices
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Optimization design of natural gas differential pressure power generation under flow fluctuation
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作者 Xiaohua Zhu Wenyang He +1 位作者 Qinglong Lei Quan Liu 《Petroleum》 2025年第2期226-233,共8页
Double carbon"is a two-stage carbon emission reduction goal proposed by China,and differential pressure power generation,as anatural gas(NG)residual pressure energy power generation technology,can effectively uti... Double carbon"is a two-stage carbon emission reduction goal proposed by China,and differential pressure power generation,as anatural gas(NG)residual pressure energy power generation technology,can effectively utilize natural gas residual pressure energy and also realize zero carbon emission.Aiming at the problemof low efficiency of differential pressure power generation due to thelarge fluctuation of natural gas flow rate,this paper calculates thepotential of differential pressure power generation by using theexergy analysis method and confirms the feasibility of differentialpressure power generation.Meanwhile,three optimization schemesare proposed to enhance the efficiency of pressure energy utilizationin the purification plant,and economic analysis is used to comparethe optimization results.Calculation results show that:when theaverage flow rate of natural gas is 300×10^(4)m^(3)/d,the theory ofusing differential pressure power generation can convert 647.3×10^(4)kW·h of electric energy per year,while the case's annualpower generation is 376.3×10^(4)kW·h,which accounts for 58%ofthe theory;optimization results show that:the optimize the duration of power generation scheme,continuous power generationscheme,and high efficiency power generation scheme increase theannual power generation compared to the case by 5%,9%,and 11%,and the net profit increases by 1.6%,4.9%,and 10%respectively;therefore,it is feasible to adopt natural gas differential pressurepower generation technology in purification plant,in which thepayback period of high-efficiency power generation scheme is theshortest,only 3.24 years. 展开更多
关键词 Clean energy Differential pressure power generation EXPANDER Economic analysis
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