Feel for boulders while crossing the river. ---Deng Xiaoping After a 20-year track record of extraordinary successes, however, China’sleaders now confront the toughest issues since reforms began in 1978. The domes-ti...Feel for boulders while crossing the river. ---Deng Xiaoping After a 20-year track record of extraordinary successes, however, China’sleaders now confront the toughest issues since reforms began in 1978. The domes-tic economic growth rate is declining, and the surrounding region is confronting展开更多
This study presents a comprehensive analysis of 132 tornadic events in northeastern China from 2004 to 2023,utilizing radar and ERA5 reanalysis data to investigate the climatology,environmental drivers,and synoptic li...This study presents a comprehensive analysis of 132 tornadic events in northeastern China from 2004 to 2023,utilizing radar and ERA5 reanalysis data to investigate the climatology,environmental drivers,and synoptic linkages with Northeast China cold vortices(NCCVs)of tornadic storms under different convective modes.Results reveal that discrete storms account for 70%of events,with clustered cells(CC)being the most frequent mode,while significant tornadoes(EF2+)are primarily associated with isolated cells(IC)and broken lines(BL).The storm mode distribution in northeastern China resembles that of the central United States but with a higher proportion of CC and lower IC.In contrast,southern China exhibits a higher frequency of quasi-linear(QL)modes(>50%),similar to European patterns.Although no single parameter clearly differentiates between all tornado modes,distinct morphological characteristics emerge through specific parameter combinations:NL modes are characterized by high 0-1 km storm-relative helicity(SRH1)and humidity but low 0-6 km shear(SR6),whereas IC modes display contrasting features with low SRH1 and high CAPE.Notably,83%of tornadoes are associated with NCCVs,preferentially forming in southeastern/southwestern quadrants.Strong tornadoes favor southeastern quadrants,while NCCV intensity correlates with tornadic distance from vortex centers.Three characteristic synoptic configurations emerge:(T1)strong deep vortices with vertically aligned cold troughs,generating southeast-dominant tornado clusters characterized by a high proportion of BL and QL modes;(T2)weaker vortices featuring sub-synoptic troughs,with southern-distributed events dominated by a predominance of the CC mode;(T3)transverse-trough systems exhibiting CAPE-SRH decoupling and reduced tornadic activity.This study enhances our understanding of tornadoes in northeastern China,informing future research on formation mechanisms,prediction methods,and disaster prevention strategies.展开更多
In this study,we analyze the impact of the May 2024 geomagnetic storm on the thermospheric mass density by using TianMu-1 constellation satellite(TM02,TM06,TM07,TM11,TM15)observations.These observations reveal intense...In this study,we analyze the impact of the May 2024 geomagnetic storm on the thermospheric mass density by using TianMu-1 constellation satellite(TM02,TM06,TM07,TM11,TM15)observations.These observations reveal intense large-scale traveling atmospheric disturbances(TADs)originating at high latitudes and propagating equatorward.Observations by TM02 captured the evolution of a TAD structure:An initial amplitude of~3.89×10^(-12)kg/m^(3)at hundred-kilometer scale subsequently intensified to 4.78×10^(-12)kg/m^(3),with the spatial extent expanding to the thousand-kilometer level.Significant hemispheric asymmetry was observed:the absolute density was higher predominantly in the northern hemisphere(TM02,TM06,TM07,TM11),whereas the difference in the relative density consistently showed greater enhancements in the southern hemisphere across all satellites,with the maximum north-south density differences exceeding 195%-640%above 60°latitude.In conjunction with SuperDARN(Super Dual Auroral Radar Network)observations,this striking hemispheric asymmetry can likely be attributed to disparities in plasma convection patterns between the two hemispheres.Furthermore,density perturbation characteristics exhibited strong local time(LT)dependence:Near noon(~10.7 LT,TM02 descending),the northern hemisphere onset preceded the southern onset.Conversely,near dusk(~17.6 LT,TM15 descending),the southern onset led the northern onset by approximately 3 hours.Ascending orbits(TM02,TM06,TM07,TM15)typically yielded larger global density enhancements compared with smaller southern-confined enhancements during descending orbits.Satellite TM11 showed comparable perturbations in both ascending and descending orbits.By leveraging its unique orbital architecture,the TianMu-1 constellation enables global near-simultaneous multi-LT sampling,providing a robust data foundation for both scientific research and engineering applications.展开更多
This article investigates the combination of magnetic data from the MSS-1 and Swarm satellites for improved investigations of Earth’s magnetic field and Geospace.The study highlights the complementary nature of polar...This article investigates the combination of magnetic data from the MSS-1 and Swarm satellites for improved investigations of Earth’s magnetic field and Geospace.The study highlights the complementary nature of polar-orbiting(Swarm)and low-inclination(MSS-1)satellites in geomagnetic modelling and monitoring large-scale magnetospheric contributions.Data from close encounters between MSS-1 and Swarm(intersatellite distance<100 km)confirm the excellent data quality of the two satellite missions(<1 nT median difference in scalar intensity F)and allow for data calibration and validation and investigations of in-situ ionospheric currents.The reason for a small but consistent difference(F as measured by MSS-1 is 0.5 to 1.0 nT larger than that measured by Swarm)is unknown.Combining MSS-1’s low-inclination data with Swarm’s near-polar observations significantly enhances the spatial-temporal resolution of Earth’s magnetic field models,allowing for new opportunities for studying both rapid core field variations at low latitudes and the local-time dependence of large-scale magnetospheric current systems.A joint analysis of magnetic data from six satellites during the May 2024 geomagnetic storm reveals a clear dawn-dusk asymmetry,with equatorial magnetic disturbances during dusk being approximately 150 nT more negative than during dawn.展开更多
Hurricanes are one of the most destructive natural disasters that can cause catastrophic losses to both communities and infrastructure.Assessment of hurricane risk furnishes a spatial depiction of the interplay among ...Hurricanes are one of the most destructive natural disasters that can cause catastrophic losses to both communities and infrastructure.Assessment of hurricane risk furnishes a spatial depiction of the interplay among hazard,vulnerability,exposure,and mitigation capacity,crucial for understanding and managing the risks hurricanes pose to communities.These assessments aid in gauging the efficacy of existing hurricane mitigation strategies and gauging their resilience across diverse climate change scenarios.A systematic review was conducted,encompassing 94 articles,to scrutinize the structure,data inputs,assumptions,methodologies,perils modelled,and key predictors of hurricane risk.This review identified key research gaps essential for enhancing future risk assessments.The complex interaction between hurricane perils may be disastrous and underestimated in the majority of risk assessments which focus on a single peril,commonly storm surge and flood,resulting in inadequacies in disaster resilience planning.Most risk assessments were based on hurricane frequency rather than hurricane damage,which is more insightful for policymakers.Furthermore,considering secondary indirect impacts stemming from hurricanes,including real estate market and business interruption,could enrich economic impact assessments.Hurricane mitigation measures were the most under-utilised category of predictors leveraged in only 5%of studies.The top six predictive factors for hurricane risk were land use,slope,precipitation,elevation,population density,and soil texture/drainage.Another notable research gap identified was the potential of machine learning techniques in risk assessments,offering advantages over traditional MCDM and numerical models due to their ability to capture complex nonlinear relationships and adaptability to different study regions.Existing machine learning based risk assessments leverage random forest models(42%of studies)followed by neural network models(19%of studies),with further research required to investigate diverse machine learning algorithms such as ensemble models.A further research gap is model validation,in particular assessing transferability to a new study region.Additionally,harnessing simulated data and refining projections related to demographic and built environment dynamics can bolster the sophistication of climate change scenario assessments.By addressing these research gaps,hurricane risk assessments can furnish invaluable insights for national policymakers,facilitating the development of robust hurricane mitigation strategies and the construction of hurricane-resilient communities.To the authors’knowledge,this represents the first literature review specifically dedicated to quantitative hurricane risk assessments,encompassing a comparison of Multi-criteria Decision Making(MCDM),numerical models,and machine learning models.Ultimately,advancements in hurricane risk assessments and modelling stand poised to mitigate potential losses to communities and infrastructure both in the immediate and long-term future.展开更多
Timely and accurate forecasting of storm surges can effectively prevent typhoon storm surges from causing large economic losses and casualties in coastal areas.At present,numerical model forecasting consumes too many ...Timely and accurate forecasting of storm surges can effectively prevent typhoon storm surges from causing large economic losses and casualties in coastal areas.At present,numerical model forecasting consumes too many resources and takes too long to compute,while neural network forecasting lacks regional data to train regional forecasting models.In this study,we used the DUAL wind model to build typhoon wind fields,and constructed a typhoon database of 75 processes in the northern South China Sea using the coupled Advanced Circulation-Simulating Waves Nearshore(ADCIRC-SWAN)model.Then,a neural network with a Res-U-Net structure was trained using the typhoon database to forecast the typhoon processes in the validation dataset,and an excellent storm surge forecasting effect was achieved in the Pearl River Estuary region.The storm surge forecasting effect of stronger typhoons was improved by adding a branch structure and transfer learning.展开更多
This study utilizes radio occultation observations from the Macao Science Satellite-1 mission(MSS-1)to investigate ionospheric response to the May 2024 G5 geomagnetic storm within the South Atlantic Anomaly(SAA)region...This study utilizes radio occultation observations from the Macao Science Satellite-1 mission(MSS-1)to investigate ionospheric response to the May 2024 G5 geomagnetic storm within the South Atlantic Anomaly(SAA)region.The distinctive data from MSS-1,complemented by observations from the ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)and the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology,Ionosphere,and Climate follow-on satellite mission(COSMIC-2),reveal a super plasma fountain effect during the main phase of the storm.This effect was marked by peaks in the equatorial ionization anomaly that extended beyond their typical latitude range.The MSS-1 observations,particularly in the northern hemisphere of the SAA region,confirm the role of prompt penetration electric fields in driving ionospheric disturbances and amplifying scintillation at higher altitudes.The study also identifies a decrease in total electron content and a reduction in scintillation occurrence during the recovery phase of the storm.The results demonstrate the pivotal role that MSS-1 observations can play,when combined with ground-based and COSMIC-2 observations,in providing a more comprehensive understanding of ionospheric response to severe geomagnetic storms.展开更多
Strong flares and/or coronal mass ejections(CMEs) could bring us disastrous space weather,destroy crucial technology in space,and cause a large-scale blackout during some extreme cases.They frequently cause geomagneti...Strong flares and/or coronal mass ejections(CMEs) could bring us disastrous space weather,destroy crucial technology in space,and cause a large-scale blackout during some extreme cases.They frequently cause geomagnetic storms,which is a sudden disturbance of the Earth's magnetosphere.It is well accepted that CMEs play a dominant role in causing geomagnetic storms by a direct impact,but it is still not very clear regarding their association with solar flares.The association would be helpful for forecasting geomagnetic storms directly from flares,which are much easier to observe.The Macao Science Satellite-1(MSS-1) mission,with the scientific aim of studying the origin and evolution of the geomagnetic field,is able to accurately measure the vector geomagnetic field.Besides,it measures rapid spectral evolution of the solar X-ray irradiance of solar flares.In this study,we analyzed measurements by MSS-1 during a series of X-class flares in October of 2024,and saw the relationship between the flares and the associated geomagnetic storms.The observations support that the major geomagnetic storms tend to be associated with flares' duration in addition to flare class.We also find that long duration ones have radiated more energy in the extreme ultraviolet waveband.Being equally important,our results show that the magnetic fields measured by MSS-1,especially its external(e_(1)^(0)) coefficient,can well be used for monitoring the geomagnetic disturbance.展开更多
The Michelson Interferometer for Global High-resolution Thermospheric Imaging(MIGHTI)onboard the Ionospheric Connection Explorer(ICON)satellite offers the opportunity to investigate the altitude profile of thermospher...The Michelson Interferometer for Global High-resolution Thermospheric Imaging(MIGHTI)onboard the Ionospheric Connection Explorer(ICON)satellite offers the opportunity to investigate the altitude profile of thermospheric winds.In this study,we used the red-line measurements of MIGHTI to compare with the results estimated by Horizontal Wind Model 14(HWM14).The data selected included both the geomagnetic quiet period(December 2019 to August 2022)and the geomagnetic storm on August 26-28,2021.During the geomagnetic quiet period,the estimations of neutral winds from HWM14 showed relatively good agreement with the observations from ICON.According to the ICON observations,near the equator,zonal winds reverse from westward to eastward at around 06:00 local time(LT)at higher altitudes,and the stronger westward winds appear at later LTs at lower altitudes.At around 16:00 LT,eastward winds at 300 km reverse to westward,and vertical gradients of zonal winds similar to those at sunrise hours can be observed.In the middle latitudes,zonal winds reverse about 2-4 h earlier.Meridional winds vary more significantly than zonal winds with seasonal and latitudinal variations.According to the ICON observations,in the northern low latitudes,vertical reversals of meridional winds are found at 08:00-13:00 LT from 300 to 160 km and at around 18:00 LT from 300 to 200 km during the June solstice.Similar reversals of meridional winds are found at 04:00-07:00 LT from 300 to 160 km and at 22:00-02:00 LT from 270 to 200 km during the December solstice.In the southern low latitudes,meridional wind reversals occur at 08:00-11:00 LT from 200 to 160 km and at 21:00-02:00 LT from 300 to 200 km during the June solstice.During the December solstice,reversals of the meridional wind appear at 20:00-01:00 LT below 200 km and at 06:00-11:00 LT from 300 to 160 km.In the northern middle latitudes,the northward winds are dominant at 08:00-14:00 LT at 230 km during the June solstice.Northward winds persist until 16:00 LT at 160 and 300 km.During the December solstice,the northward winds are dominant from 06:00 to 21:00 LT.The vertical variations in neutral winds during the geomagnetic storm on August 26-28 were analyzed in detail.Both meridional and zonal winds during the active geomagnetic period observed by ICON show distinguishable vertical shear structures at different stages of the storm.On the dayside,during the main phase,the peak velocities of westward winds extend from a higher altitude to a lower altitude,whereas during the recovery phase,the peak velocities of the westward winds extend from lower altitudes to higher altitudes.The velocities of the southward winds are stronger at lower altitudes during the storm.These vertical structures of horizontal winds during the storm could not be reproduced by the HWM14 wind estimations,and the overall response to the storm of the horizontal winds in the low and middle latitudes is underestimated by HWM14.The ICON observations provide a good dataset for improving the HWM wind estimations in the middle and upper atmosphere,especially the vertical variations.展开更多
Control signaling is mandatory for the operation and management of all types of communication networks,including the Third Generation Partnership Project(3GPP)mobile broadband networks.However,they consume important a...Control signaling is mandatory for the operation and management of all types of communication networks,including the Third Generation Partnership Project(3GPP)mobile broadband networks.However,they consume important and scarce network resources such as bandwidth and processing power.There have been several reports of these control signaling turning into signaling storms halting network operations and causing the respective Telecom companies big financial losses.This paper draws its motivation from such real network disaster incidents attributed to signaling storms.In this paper,we present a thorough survey of the causes,of the signaling storm problems in 3GPP-based mobile broadband networks and discuss in detail their possible solutions and countermeasures.We provide relevant analytical models to help quantify the effect of the potential causes and benefits of their corresponding solutions.Another important contribution of this paper is the comparison of the possible causes and solutions/countermeasures,concerning their effect on several important network aspects such as architecture,additional signaling,fidelity,etc.,in the form of a table.This paper presents an update and an extension of our earlier conference publication.To our knowledge,no similar survey study exists on the subject.展开更多
A thyroid storm(TS)or thyrotoxic crisis is an infrequent,life-threatening endocrinological emergency due to the worsening of the hyperthyroid state.Thyroid hormones(THs)influence almost all the body cells and tissues&...A thyroid storm(TS)or thyrotoxic crisis is an infrequent,life-threatening endocrinological emergency due to the worsening of the hyperthyroid state.Thyroid hormones(THs)influence almost all the body cells and tissues'differentiation,growth,and energy metabolism.Consequently,excess THs are expected to lead to profound organ function,regulation,and hemodynamic changes.In addition to their roles in metabolism and thermoregulation,THs play critical role in maintaining cardiovascular homeostasis through both genomic and non-genomic mechanisms.Receptors for THs are expressed in myocardial and vascular endothelial tissues,allowing fluctuations in circulating hormone levels to directly influence cardiovascular function.Excess TS induces a hyper-dynamic cardiovascular state,characterized by increased ventricular contractility and improved systolic and diastolic performance.The chronotropic and inotropic properties of THs result in dysregulation of blood pressure,heart rate,contractility,cardiac output,and systemic vascular resistance.This could lead to serious consequences such as cardiomyopathy,heart failure,and life-threatening arrhythmia,ultimately contributing to cardiocirculatory collapse and cardiac death.The management of TS necessitates a systematic approach that emphasizes the significance of resuscitation and identification of the underlying causes.It is crucial to prioritize assessing cardiac function in patients with TS.This review explores the clinical impact of TS on the heart and its clinical repercussions,emphasizing the intricate molecular and pathophysiological mechanisms and the interplay between TS and key cardiovascular parameters.This review summarizes the current knowledge of pathophysiology,pharmacological and mechanical interventions,ranging from beta-blocker use to the surgical approach.展开更多
Storm surge events(SSEs)involve multiple hazard-causing factors,such as surges,extreme rainfall,strong winds,waves,and ocean currents,which have destructive impacts on coastal regions.For a quantitative multi-hazard a...Storm surge events(SSEs)involve multiple hazard-causing factors,such as surges,extreme rainfall,strong winds,waves,and ocean currents,which have destructive impacts on coastal regions.For a quantitative multi-hazard assessment of SSEs,this study introduced the concept of the storm surge event seawater-atmosphere system(SSE-SAS)and proposed the system energy equivalence(SEE)model from a systemic energy perspective.SEE was obtained by employing a parameterization approach,and the hazard index(HI)and the concept of most significant hazard(MSH)were adopted to evaluate the severity of SSE-SAS.SEE at five stations in the Shandong Peninsula was calculated from 2005 to 2019,and probability analysis and hazard assessment were further conducted.Results show that the SEE of SSE-SAS ranges from 0.029×10^(3) to 30.418×10^(3) J/m^(2),and it exhibits an insignificant decreasing trend from 2005 to 2019.The SEE of SSE-SAS in the west of the Shandong Peninsula is greater than that in the east.Moreover,storm waves,storm surges,and storm rainfall are the major contributors to SEE,which exhibit different spatial patterns and characters in different SSE-SAS types.The HI of SSE-SAS at five stations is no more than medium hazard level,with MSH at return periods of 2-to 4-year level.This study provides a new approach for quantifying multi-hazard SSEs,which offers scientific insights for regional multi-hazard risk reduction and mitigation efforts.展开更多
The 16th sessions of the Conference of the Parties(COP16)to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification(UNCCD)concluded in Riyadh,Saudi Arabia,on 14 December 2024.Centred around the theme Our Land Our Futu...The 16th sessions of the Conference of the Parties(COP16)to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification(UNCCD)concluded in Riyadh,Saudi Arabia,on 14 December 2024.Centred around the theme Our Land Our Future,the conference adopted 39 resolutions addressing drought response,scientific innovation,dust storms,and future budgeting after 13 days of deliberations.These efforts have set a new blueprint for combating desertification and land degradation worldwide,opening a fresh chapter in global cooperation.展开更多
The local time-stepping(LTS)algorithm is an adaptive method that adjusts the time step by selecting suitable intervals for different regions based on the spatial scale of each cell and water depth and flow velocity be...The local time-stepping(LTS)algorithm is an adaptive method that adjusts the time step by selecting suitable intervals for different regions based on the spatial scale of each cell and water depth and flow velocity between cells.The method can be optimized by calculating the maximum power of two of the global time step increments in the domain,allowing the optimal time step to be approached throughout the grid.To verify the acceleration and accuracy of LTS in storm surge simulations,we developed a model to simulate astronomical storm surges along the southern coast of China.This model employs the shallow water equations as governing equations,numerical discretization using the finite volume method,and fluxes calculated by the Roe solver.By comparing the simulation results of the traditional global time-stepping algorithm with those of the LTS algorithm,we find that the latter fit the measured data better.Taking the calculation results of Typhoon Sally in 1996 as an example,we show that compared with the traditional global time-stepping algorithm,the LTS algorithm reduces computation time by 2.05 h and increases computation efficiency by 2.64 times while maintaining good accuracy.展开更多
Arid West Asia(AWA)is a critical hub of the Silk Road and one of the primary dust source regions in the Northern Hemisphere.Dust storms in AWA emitting substantial dust particles into the atmosphere,significantly infl...Arid West Asia(AWA)is a critical hub of the Silk Road and one of the primary dust source regions in the Northern Hemisphere.Dust storms in AWA emitting substantial dust particles into the atmosphere,significantly influencing air quality,climate change and marine productivity.However,the variability of dust storm activity in this region during the Holocene,particularly its links to vegetation and hydroclimatic changes,remains debated,hindering our understanding of the interconnected dynamics between climate change and surface environments.This study reconstructs dust storm variations in AWA over the past 9000 years using geochemical analyses(trace elements,Sr-Nd isotopes)from a well-dated,high-resolution sediment core from the Almalou Peatland,located on the western Iranian Plateau.Our results reveal a decline in dust storm frequency from the early to mid-Holocene,a minimum occurrence during the mid-Holocene,and a significant increase in the late Holocene.Provenance analysis indicates that the primary dust sources were the arid regions of Mesopotamia,located upwind of the study area.A comparison with proxy records and paleoclimate models suggests an inverse relationship between dust storm activity and regional hydroclimatic and vegetation changes,along with a positive correlation with wind speeds.The concentration of dust storms during the wetter month of May highlights wind speed as a more critical driving factor.Moreover,given the dominant influence of the subtropical high on hydroclimatic conditions and wind speeds in AWA,we propose that this system is the key regulator of regional dust storm dynamics.Our findings provide new insights into the drivers of dust storm activity in AWA and hold implications for developing targeted dust storm management strategies.展开更多
To investigate the effect of typhoon path translation on storm surge augmentation,the storm surge during Typhoon 1909 Lekima in the East China Sea is simulated using Delft 3D.The model sets up three scenarios to analy...To investigate the effect of typhoon path translation on storm surge augmentation,the storm surge during Typhoon 1909 Lekima in the East China Sea is simulated using Delft 3D.The model sets up three scenarios to analyze the path’s effect on storm surge in the Shandong Peninsula Sea by shifting the typhoon path to the east and west.Results show that the areas of maximum storm surge in each scenario are located on both sides of the typhoon path and shift along with its movement.When the typhoon path shifts eastward,the maximum storm surge intensifies at Zhifu Island station 8 hours earlier.Conversely,a westward shift in the typhoon track leads to a maximum storm surge increase at Shidao Island station 12 hours earlier.Other scenarios exhibit minimal deviation from the original route.Typhoons penetrating deep inland can induce substantial storm surges,with the most extensive surge area situated in the western part of the Shandong Peninsula.展开更多
Objective Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)is a major health concern in northwest China;however,the impact of particulate matter(PM)exposure during sand-dust storms(SDS)remains poorly understood.Therefore,th...Objective Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)is a major health concern in northwest China;however,the impact of particulate matter(PM)exposure during sand-dust storms(SDS)remains poorly understood.Therefore,this study aimed to investigate the association between PM exposure on SDS days and COPD hospitalization risk in arid regions.Methods Data on daily COPD hospitalizations were collected from 323 hospitals from 2018 to 2022,along with the corresponding air pollutant and meteorological data for each city in Gansu Province.Employing a space-time-stratified case-crossover design and conditional Poisson regression,we analyzed 265,379 COPD hospitalizations.Results PM exposure during SDS days significantly increased COPD hospitalization risk[relative risk(RR)for PM2.5,lag 3:1.028,95%confidence interval(CI):1.021–1.034],particularly among men and the elderly,and during the cold season.The burden of PM exposure on COPD hospitalization was substantially high in Northwest China,especially in the arid and semi-arid regions.Conclusion Our findings revealed a positive correlation between PM exposure during SDS episodes and elevated hospitalization rates for COPD in arid and semi-arid zones in China.This highlights the urgency of developing region-specific public health strategies to address adverse respiratory outcomes associated with SDS-related air quality deterioration.展开更多
In September 2020,a pioneering observational network of three X-band phased-array radars(XPARs)was established in Xiamen,a subtropical coastal and densely populated city in southeastern China.Statistically,this study ...In September 2020,a pioneering observational network of three X-band phased-array radars(XPARs)was established in Xiamen,a subtropical coastal and densely populated city in southeastern China.Statistically,this study demonstrated that the XPAR network outperforms single S-band radar in revealing the warm-season convective storms in Xiamen in a fine-scale manner.The findings revealed that convective activity in Xiamen is most frequent in the central and northern mountainous regions,with lower frequency observed in the southern coastal areas.The diurnal pattern of convection occurrence exhibited a unimodal distribution,with a peak in the afternoon.The frequent occurrence of convective storms correlates well in both time and space with the active terrain uplift that occurs when the prevailing winds encounter mountainous areas.Notably,September stands apart with a bimodal diurnal pattern,featuring a prominent afternoon peak and a significant secondary peak before midnight.Further examination of dense rain gauge data in Xiamen indicates that high-frequency areas of short-duration heavy rainfall largely coincide with regions of active convective storms,except for a unique rainfall hotspot in southern Xiamen,where moderate convection frequency is accompanied by substantial rainfall.This anomalous rainfall,predominantly nocturnal,appears less influenced by terrain uplift and exhibits higher precipitation efficiency than daytime rainfall.These preliminary findings offer insights into the characteristics of convection occurrence in Xiamen's subtropical coastal environment and hold promise for enhancing the accuracy of convection and precipitation forecasts in similar environments.展开更多
The North Pacific storm track(NPST)is a high-frequency area of extratropical cyclones and an important channel for water vapor and energy transfer between low and mid–high latitudes.Previous weather and dynamic studi...The North Pacific storm track(NPST)is a high-frequency area of extratropical cyclones and an important channel for water vapor and energy transfer between low and mid–high latitudes.Previous weather and dynamic studies in this region have made significant progress,but due to the lack of ocean surface rainfall observation data,there is a lack of statistical research on precipitation in this area.In this study,statistical research on the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of NPST rainfall was conducted based on GPM DPR(Global Precipitation Measurement Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar)observation data and ERA5 atmospheric parameters,and analysis and explanations are provided based on the atmospheric parameters.The study found that,compared to low-pressure systems,pressure gradients have a greater impact on cyclone activity and rainfall distribution.This feature,along with the meridional distribution of high atmospheric water vapor in the North Pacific Ocean and low in the north,collectively leads to the offset of high-frequency rainfall areas relative to storm tracks.The distribution of sea surface temperatures in the North Pacific Ocean affects the zonal distribution of storm tracks,causing weather disturbances and precipitation along the storm tracks to exhibit a northward extension from west to east.This study deepens our understanding of the role of NPST in global-scale water vapor and energy balance,and is of great significance for improving the prediction accuracy of climate models with respect to rainfall generated by extratropical cyclones.展开更多
文摘Feel for boulders while crossing the river. ---Deng Xiaoping After a 20-year track record of extraordinary successes, however, China’sleaders now confront the toughest issues since reforms began in 1978. The domes-tic economic growth rate is declining, and the surrounding region is confronting
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42305013)Joint Research Project for Meteorological Capacity Improvement(Grant Nos.23NLTSQ002 and 24NLTSQ001)+2 种基金China Meteorological Administration Tornado Key Laboratory(Grant No.TKL202307)the China Meteorological Administration Youth Innovation Team Fund(Grant No.CMA2024QN05)a research project of the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Science(Grant No.2023Z019)。
文摘This study presents a comprehensive analysis of 132 tornadic events in northeastern China from 2004 to 2023,utilizing radar and ERA5 reanalysis data to investigate the climatology,environmental drivers,and synoptic linkages with Northeast China cold vortices(NCCVs)of tornadic storms under different convective modes.Results reveal that discrete storms account for 70%of events,with clustered cells(CC)being the most frequent mode,while significant tornadoes(EF2+)are primarily associated with isolated cells(IC)and broken lines(BL).The storm mode distribution in northeastern China resembles that of the central United States but with a higher proportion of CC and lower IC.In contrast,southern China exhibits a higher frequency of quasi-linear(QL)modes(>50%),similar to European patterns.Although no single parameter clearly differentiates between all tornado modes,distinct morphological characteristics emerge through specific parameter combinations:NL modes are characterized by high 0-1 km storm-relative helicity(SRH1)and humidity but low 0-6 km shear(SR6),whereas IC modes display contrasting features with low SRH1 and high CAPE.Notably,83%of tornadoes are associated with NCCVs,preferentially forming in southeastern/southwestern quadrants.Strong tornadoes favor southeastern quadrants,while NCCV intensity correlates with tornadic distance from vortex centers.Three characteristic synoptic configurations emerge:(T1)strong deep vortices with vertically aligned cold troughs,generating southeast-dominant tornado clusters characterized by a high proportion of BL and QL modes;(T2)weaker vortices featuring sub-synoptic troughs,with southern-distributed events dominated by a predominance of the CC mode;(T3)transverse-trough systems exhibiting CAPE-SRH decoupling and reduced tornadic activity.This study enhances our understanding of tornadoes in northeastern China,informing future research on formation mechanisms,prediction methods,and disaster prevention strategies.
基金funded by the TianMu-1 Constellation Atmospheric Density Detector(Grant No.E3C1162110).
文摘In this study,we analyze the impact of the May 2024 geomagnetic storm on the thermospheric mass density by using TianMu-1 constellation satellite(TM02,TM06,TM07,TM11,TM15)observations.These observations reveal intense large-scale traveling atmospheric disturbances(TADs)originating at high latitudes and propagating equatorward.Observations by TM02 captured the evolution of a TAD structure:An initial amplitude of~3.89×10^(-12)kg/m^(3)at hundred-kilometer scale subsequently intensified to 4.78×10^(-12)kg/m^(3),with the spatial extent expanding to the thousand-kilometer level.Significant hemispheric asymmetry was observed:the absolute density was higher predominantly in the northern hemisphere(TM02,TM06,TM07,TM11),whereas the difference in the relative density consistently showed greater enhancements in the southern hemisphere across all satellites,with the maximum north-south density differences exceeding 195%-640%above 60°latitude.In conjunction with SuperDARN(Super Dual Auroral Radar Network)observations,this striking hemispheric asymmetry can likely be attributed to disparities in plasma convection patterns between the two hemispheres.Furthermore,density perturbation characteristics exhibited strong local time(LT)dependence:Near noon(~10.7 LT,TM02 descending),the northern hemisphere onset preceded the southern onset.Conversely,near dusk(~17.6 LT,TM15 descending),the southern onset led the northern onset by approximately 3 hours.Ascending orbits(TM02,TM06,TM07,TM15)typically yielded larger global density enhancements compared with smaller southern-confined enhancements during descending orbits.Satellite TM11 showed comparable perturbations in both ascending and descending orbits.By leveraging its unique orbital architecture,the TianMu-1 constellation enables global near-simultaneous multi-LT sampling,providing a robust data foundation for both scientific research and engineering applications.
基金the China National Space Administration (CNSA) and the Macao Foundation for operating the MSS-1satelliteThis work has been carried out as part of ESA’s Swarm DISC activities funded by ESA contract no.4000109587.
文摘This article investigates the combination of magnetic data from the MSS-1 and Swarm satellites for improved investigations of Earth’s magnetic field and Geospace.The study highlights the complementary nature of polar-orbiting(Swarm)and low-inclination(MSS-1)satellites in geomagnetic modelling and monitoring large-scale magnetospheric contributions.Data from close encounters between MSS-1 and Swarm(intersatellite distance<100 km)confirm the excellent data quality of the two satellite missions(<1 nT median difference in scalar intensity F)and allow for data calibration and validation and investigations of in-situ ionospheric currents.The reason for a small but consistent difference(F as measured by MSS-1 is 0.5 to 1.0 nT larger than that measured by Swarm)is unknown.Combining MSS-1’s low-inclination data with Swarm’s near-polar observations significantly enhances the spatial-temporal resolution of Earth’s magnetic field models,allowing for new opportunities for studying both rapid core field variations at low latitudes and the local-time dependence of large-scale magnetospheric current systems.A joint analysis of magnetic data from six satellites during the May 2024 geomagnetic storm reveals a clear dawn-dusk asymmetry,with equatorial magnetic disturbances during dusk being approximately 150 nT more negative than during dawn.
基金supported by the Centre for Advanced Modelling and Geospatial Information Systems(CAMGIS),University of Technology Sydney(UTS),Australia and was supported by the Research Training Program(RTP)of the Australian Government.
文摘Hurricanes are one of the most destructive natural disasters that can cause catastrophic losses to both communities and infrastructure.Assessment of hurricane risk furnishes a spatial depiction of the interplay among hazard,vulnerability,exposure,and mitigation capacity,crucial for understanding and managing the risks hurricanes pose to communities.These assessments aid in gauging the efficacy of existing hurricane mitigation strategies and gauging their resilience across diverse climate change scenarios.A systematic review was conducted,encompassing 94 articles,to scrutinize the structure,data inputs,assumptions,methodologies,perils modelled,and key predictors of hurricane risk.This review identified key research gaps essential for enhancing future risk assessments.The complex interaction between hurricane perils may be disastrous and underestimated in the majority of risk assessments which focus on a single peril,commonly storm surge and flood,resulting in inadequacies in disaster resilience planning.Most risk assessments were based on hurricane frequency rather than hurricane damage,which is more insightful for policymakers.Furthermore,considering secondary indirect impacts stemming from hurricanes,including real estate market and business interruption,could enrich economic impact assessments.Hurricane mitigation measures were the most under-utilised category of predictors leveraged in only 5%of studies.The top six predictive factors for hurricane risk were land use,slope,precipitation,elevation,population density,and soil texture/drainage.Another notable research gap identified was the potential of machine learning techniques in risk assessments,offering advantages over traditional MCDM and numerical models due to their ability to capture complex nonlinear relationships and adaptability to different study regions.Existing machine learning based risk assessments leverage random forest models(42%of studies)followed by neural network models(19%of studies),with further research required to investigate diverse machine learning algorithms such as ensemble models.A further research gap is model validation,in particular assessing transferability to a new study region.Additionally,harnessing simulated data and refining projections related to demographic and built environment dynamics can bolster the sophistication of climate change scenario assessments.By addressing these research gaps,hurricane risk assessments can furnish invaluable insights for national policymakers,facilitating the development of robust hurricane mitigation strategies and the construction of hurricane-resilient communities.To the authors’knowledge,this represents the first literature review specifically dedicated to quantitative hurricane risk assessments,encompassing a comparison of Multi-criteria Decision Making(MCDM),numerical models,and machine learning models.Ultimately,advancements in hurricane risk assessments and modelling stand poised to mitigate potential losses to communities and infrastructure both in the immediate and long-term future.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42076214)Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(Grant No.ZR2024QD057).
文摘Timely and accurate forecasting of storm surges can effectively prevent typhoon storm surges from causing large economic losses and casualties in coastal areas.At present,numerical model forecasting consumes too many resources and takes too long to compute,while neural network forecasting lacks regional data to train regional forecasting models.In this study,we used the DUAL wind model to build typhoon wind fields,and constructed a typhoon database of 75 processes in the northern South China Sea using the coupled Advanced Circulation-Simulating Waves Nearshore(ADCIRC-SWAN)model.Then,a neural network with a Res-U-Net structure was trained using the typhoon database to forecast the typhoon processes in the validation dataset,and an excellent storm surge forecasting effect was achieved in the Pearl River Estuary region.The storm surge forecasting effect of stronger typhoons was improved by adding a branch structure and transfer learning.
基金support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42274027)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universitiessupported also by the Macao Foundation。
文摘This study utilizes radio occultation observations from the Macao Science Satellite-1 mission(MSS-1)to investigate ionospheric response to the May 2024 G5 geomagnetic storm within the South Atlantic Anomaly(SAA)region.The distinctive data from MSS-1,complemented by observations from the ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)and the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology,Ionosphere,and Climate follow-on satellite mission(COSMIC-2),reveal a super plasma fountain effect during the main phase of the storm.This effect was marked by peaks in the equatorial ionization anomaly that extended beyond their typical latitude range.The MSS-1 observations,particularly in the northern hemisphere of the SAA region,confirm the role of prompt penetration electric fields in driving ionospheric disturbances and amplifying scintillation at higher altitudes.The study also identifies a decrease in total electron content and a reduction in scintillation occurrence during the recovery phase of the storm.The results demonstrate the pivotal role that MSS-1 observations can play,when combined with ground-based and COSMIC-2 observations,in providing a more comprehensive understanding of ionospheric response to severe geomagnetic storms.
基金funded by NSFC under grants 12250014, 42250101 and 12403068supported by youth funding of Jiangsu province BK20241707+1 种基金supported by the Macao FoundationXinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region for the support through “Tianchi Talent” special expert project。
文摘Strong flares and/or coronal mass ejections(CMEs) could bring us disastrous space weather,destroy crucial technology in space,and cause a large-scale blackout during some extreme cases.They frequently cause geomagnetic storms,which is a sudden disturbance of the Earth's magnetosphere.It is well accepted that CMEs play a dominant role in causing geomagnetic storms by a direct impact,but it is still not very clear regarding their association with solar flares.The association would be helpful for forecasting geomagnetic storms directly from flares,which are much easier to observe.The Macao Science Satellite-1(MSS-1) mission,with the scientific aim of studying the origin and evolution of the geomagnetic field,is able to accurately measure the vector geomagnetic field.Besides,it measures rapid spectral evolution of the solar X-ray irradiance of solar flares.In this study,we analyzed measurements by MSS-1 during a series of X-class flares in October of 2024,and saw the relationship between the flares and the associated geomagnetic storms.The observations support that the major geomagnetic storms tend to be associated with flares' duration in addition to flare class.We also find that long duration ones have radiated more energy in the extreme ultraviolet waveband.Being equally important,our results show that the magnetic fields measured by MSS-1,especially its external(e_(1)^(0)) coefficient,can well be used for monitoring the geomagnetic disturbance.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China (Grant No.2022YFF0503700)the special funds of Hubei Luojia Laboratory (Grant No.220100011)+1 种基金supported by the International Space Science Institute–Beijing(ISSI-BJ) project“The Electromagnetic Data Validation and Scientific Application Research based on CSES Satellite”and ISSI/ISSI-BJ project,“Multi-Scale Magnetosphere–Ionosphere–Thermosphere Interaction.”
文摘The Michelson Interferometer for Global High-resolution Thermospheric Imaging(MIGHTI)onboard the Ionospheric Connection Explorer(ICON)satellite offers the opportunity to investigate the altitude profile of thermospheric winds.In this study,we used the red-line measurements of MIGHTI to compare with the results estimated by Horizontal Wind Model 14(HWM14).The data selected included both the geomagnetic quiet period(December 2019 to August 2022)and the geomagnetic storm on August 26-28,2021.During the geomagnetic quiet period,the estimations of neutral winds from HWM14 showed relatively good agreement with the observations from ICON.According to the ICON observations,near the equator,zonal winds reverse from westward to eastward at around 06:00 local time(LT)at higher altitudes,and the stronger westward winds appear at later LTs at lower altitudes.At around 16:00 LT,eastward winds at 300 km reverse to westward,and vertical gradients of zonal winds similar to those at sunrise hours can be observed.In the middle latitudes,zonal winds reverse about 2-4 h earlier.Meridional winds vary more significantly than zonal winds with seasonal and latitudinal variations.According to the ICON observations,in the northern low latitudes,vertical reversals of meridional winds are found at 08:00-13:00 LT from 300 to 160 km and at around 18:00 LT from 300 to 200 km during the June solstice.Similar reversals of meridional winds are found at 04:00-07:00 LT from 300 to 160 km and at 22:00-02:00 LT from 270 to 200 km during the December solstice.In the southern low latitudes,meridional wind reversals occur at 08:00-11:00 LT from 200 to 160 km and at 21:00-02:00 LT from 300 to 200 km during the June solstice.During the December solstice,reversals of the meridional wind appear at 20:00-01:00 LT below 200 km and at 06:00-11:00 LT from 300 to 160 km.In the northern middle latitudes,the northward winds are dominant at 08:00-14:00 LT at 230 km during the June solstice.Northward winds persist until 16:00 LT at 160 and 300 km.During the December solstice,the northward winds are dominant from 06:00 to 21:00 LT.The vertical variations in neutral winds during the geomagnetic storm on August 26-28 were analyzed in detail.Both meridional and zonal winds during the active geomagnetic period observed by ICON show distinguishable vertical shear structures at different stages of the storm.On the dayside,during the main phase,the peak velocities of westward winds extend from a higher altitude to a lower altitude,whereas during the recovery phase,the peak velocities of the westward winds extend from lower altitudes to higher altitudes.The velocities of the southward winds are stronger at lower altitudes during the storm.These vertical structures of horizontal winds during the storm could not be reproduced by the HWM14 wind estimations,and the overall response to the storm of the horizontal winds in the low and middle latitudes is underestimated by HWM14.The ICON observations provide a good dataset for improving the HWM wind estimations in the middle and upper atmosphere,especially the vertical variations.
基金the Deanship of Graduate Studies and Scientific Research at Qassim University for financial support(QU-APC-2024-9/1).
文摘Control signaling is mandatory for the operation and management of all types of communication networks,including the Third Generation Partnership Project(3GPP)mobile broadband networks.However,they consume important and scarce network resources such as bandwidth and processing power.There have been several reports of these control signaling turning into signaling storms halting network operations and causing the respective Telecom companies big financial losses.This paper draws its motivation from such real network disaster incidents attributed to signaling storms.In this paper,we present a thorough survey of the causes,of the signaling storm problems in 3GPP-based mobile broadband networks and discuss in detail their possible solutions and countermeasures.We provide relevant analytical models to help quantify the effect of the potential causes and benefits of their corresponding solutions.Another important contribution of this paper is the comparison of the possible causes and solutions/countermeasures,concerning their effect on several important network aspects such as architecture,additional signaling,fidelity,etc.,in the form of a table.This paper presents an update and an extension of our earlier conference publication.To our knowledge,no similar survey study exists on the subject.
文摘A thyroid storm(TS)or thyrotoxic crisis is an infrequent,life-threatening endocrinological emergency due to the worsening of the hyperthyroid state.Thyroid hormones(THs)influence almost all the body cells and tissues'differentiation,growth,and energy metabolism.Consequently,excess THs are expected to lead to profound organ function,regulation,and hemodynamic changes.In addition to their roles in metabolism and thermoregulation,THs play critical role in maintaining cardiovascular homeostasis through both genomic and non-genomic mechanisms.Receptors for THs are expressed in myocardial and vascular endothelial tissues,allowing fluctuations in circulating hormone levels to directly influence cardiovascular function.Excess TS induces a hyper-dynamic cardiovascular state,characterized by increased ventricular contractility and improved systolic and diastolic performance.The chronotropic and inotropic properties of THs result in dysregulation of blood pressure,heart rate,contractility,cardiac output,and systemic vascular resistance.This could lead to serious consequences such as cardiomyopathy,heart failure,and life-threatening arrhythmia,ultimately contributing to cardiocirculatory collapse and cardiac death.The management of TS necessitates a systematic approach that emphasizes the significance of resuscitation and identification of the underlying causes.It is crucial to prioritize assessing cardiac function in patients with TS.This review explores the clinical impact of TS on the heart and its clinical repercussions,emphasizing the intricate molecular and pathophysiological mechanisms and the interplay between TS and key cardiovascular parameters.This review summarizes the current knowledge of pathophysiology,pharmacological and mechanical interventions,ranging from beta-blocker use to the surgical approach.
基金supported by the Key Laboratory of Coastal Science and Integrated Management,Ministry of Natural Resources(No.2022COSIMQ002)the Shandong Provincial Social Science Planning Research Project(No.22CXSXJ15)+1 种基金the Guangxi Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science,Guangxi Academy of Sciences(No.GXKLHY21-04)the Hainan Province Marxism Project General Program(No.2023HNMGC03).
文摘Storm surge events(SSEs)involve multiple hazard-causing factors,such as surges,extreme rainfall,strong winds,waves,and ocean currents,which have destructive impacts on coastal regions.For a quantitative multi-hazard assessment of SSEs,this study introduced the concept of the storm surge event seawater-atmosphere system(SSE-SAS)and proposed the system energy equivalence(SEE)model from a systemic energy perspective.SEE was obtained by employing a parameterization approach,and the hazard index(HI)and the concept of most significant hazard(MSH)were adopted to evaluate the severity of SSE-SAS.SEE at five stations in the Shandong Peninsula was calculated from 2005 to 2019,and probability analysis and hazard assessment were further conducted.Results show that the SEE of SSE-SAS ranges from 0.029×10^(3) to 30.418×10^(3) J/m^(2),and it exhibits an insignificant decreasing trend from 2005 to 2019.The SEE of SSE-SAS in the west of the Shandong Peninsula is greater than that in the east.Moreover,storm waves,storm surges,and storm rainfall are the major contributors to SEE,which exhibit different spatial patterns and characters in different SSE-SAS types.The HI of SSE-SAS at five stations is no more than medium hazard level,with MSH at return periods of 2-to 4-year level.This study provides a new approach for quantifying multi-hazard SSEs,which offers scientific insights for regional multi-hazard risk reduction and mitigation efforts.
文摘The 16th sessions of the Conference of the Parties(COP16)to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification(UNCCD)concluded in Riyadh,Saudi Arabia,on 14 December 2024.Centred around the theme Our Land Our Future,the conference adopted 39 resolutions addressing drought response,scientific innovation,dust storms,and future budgeting after 13 days of deliberations.These efforts have set a new blueprint for combating desertification and land degradation worldwide,opening a fresh chapter in global cooperation.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52071306)the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(No.ZR2019MEE050)the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province(No.LZ22E090003).
文摘The local time-stepping(LTS)algorithm is an adaptive method that adjusts the time step by selecting suitable intervals for different regions based on the spatial scale of each cell and water depth and flow velocity between cells.The method can be optimized by calculating the maximum power of two of the global time step increments in the domain,allowing the optimal time step to be approached throughout the grid.To verify the acceleration and accuracy of LTS in storm surge simulations,we developed a model to simulate astronomical storm surges along the southern coast of China.This model employs the shallow water equations as governing equations,numerical discretization using the finite volume method,and fluxes calculated by the Roe solver.By comparing the simulation results of the traditional global time-stepping algorithm with those of the LTS algorithm,we find that the latter fit the measured data better.Taking the calculation results of Typhoon Sally in 1996 as an example,we show that compared with the traditional global time-stepping algorithm,the LTS algorithm reduces computation time by 2.05 h and increases computation efficiency by 2.64 times while maintaining good accuracy.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42201170Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by CAST,No.2022QNRC001。
文摘Arid West Asia(AWA)is a critical hub of the Silk Road and one of the primary dust source regions in the Northern Hemisphere.Dust storms in AWA emitting substantial dust particles into the atmosphere,significantly influencing air quality,climate change and marine productivity.However,the variability of dust storm activity in this region during the Holocene,particularly its links to vegetation and hydroclimatic changes,remains debated,hindering our understanding of the interconnected dynamics between climate change and surface environments.This study reconstructs dust storm variations in AWA over the past 9000 years using geochemical analyses(trace elements,Sr-Nd isotopes)from a well-dated,high-resolution sediment core from the Almalou Peatland,located on the western Iranian Plateau.Our results reveal a decline in dust storm frequency from the early to mid-Holocene,a minimum occurrence during the mid-Holocene,and a significant increase in the late Holocene.Provenance analysis indicates that the primary dust sources were the arid regions of Mesopotamia,located upwind of the study area.A comparison with proxy records and paleoclimate models suggests an inverse relationship between dust storm activity and regional hydroclimatic and vegetation changes,along with a positive correlation with wind speeds.The concentration of dust storms during the wetter month of May highlights wind speed as a more critical driving factor.Moreover,given the dominant influence of the subtropical high on hydroclimatic conditions and wind speeds in AWA,we propose that this system is the key regulator of regional dust storm dynamics.Our findings provide new insights into the drivers of dust storm activity in AWA and hold implications for developing targeted dust storm management strategies.
基金supported by the Yantai Science,Technology and Innovation Development Programme(Nos.2023 JCYJ094,2023JCYJ097)the Major Research Grant from the Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)(No.42330406)。
文摘To investigate the effect of typhoon path translation on storm surge augmentation,the storm surge during Typhoon 1909 Lekima in the East China Sea is simulated using Delft 3D.The model sets up three scenarios to analyze the path’s effect on storm surge in the Shandong Peninsula Sea by shifting the typhoon path to the east and west.Results show that the areas of maximum storm surge in each scenario are located on both sides of the typhoon path and shift along with its movement.When the typhoon path shifts eastward,the maximum storm surge intensifies at Zhifu Island station 8 hours earlier.Conversely,a westward shift in the typhoon track leads to a maximum storm surge increase at Shidao Island station 12 hours earlier.Other scenarios exhibit minimal deviation from the original route.Typhoons penetrating deep inland can induce substantial storm surges,with the most extensive surge area situated in the western part of the Shandong Peninsula.
基金supported by the Innovative Talent Project of Lanzhou City,Lanzhou Science and Technology Bureau(2022-RC-42)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,Lanzhou University,China(lzujbky-2021-ey07,lzujbky-2024-it59,lzujbky-2025-it29)the Gansu Province Postgraduate Innovation Star Program(2025CXZX-018).
文摘Objective Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)is a major health concern in northwest China;however,the impact of particulate matter(PM)exposure during sand-dust storms(SDS)remains poorly understood.Therefore,this study aimed to investigate the association between PM exposure on SDS days and COPD hospitalization risk in arid regions.Methods Data on daily COPD hospitalizations were collected from 323 hospitals from 2018 to 2022,along with the corresponding air pollutant and meteorological data for each city in Gansu Province.Employing a space-time-stratified case-crossover design and conditional Poisson regression,we analyzed 265,379 COPD hospitalizations.Results PM exposure during SDS days significantly increased COPD hospitalization risk[relative risk(RR)for PM2.5,lag 3:1.028,95%confidence interval(CI):1.021–1.034],particularly among men and the elderly,and during the cold season.The burden of PM exposure on COPD hospitalization was substantially high in Northwest China,especially in the arid and semi-arid regions.Conclusion Our findings revealed a positive correlation between PM exposure during SDS episodes and elevated hospitalization rates for COPD in arid and semi-arid zones in China.This highlights the urgency of developing region-specific public health strategies to address adverse respiratory outcomes associated with SDS-related air quality deterioration.
基金Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province(2023J011338)Guided Foundation of Xiamen Science and Technology Bureau(3502Z20214ZD4009,3502Z20214ZD4010)+1 种基金Key Projects of East China Phased Array Weather Radar Application Joint Laboratory(EPJL_RP2025010)National Natural Science Foundation of China(41905049)。
文摘In September 2020,a pioneering observational network of three X-band phased-array radars(XPARs)was established in Xiamen,a subtropical coastal and densely populated city in southeastern China.Statistically,this study demonstrated that the XPAR network outperforms single S-band radar in revealing the warm-season convective storms in Xiamen in a fine-scale manner.The findings revealed that convective activity in Xiamen is most frequent in the central and northern mountainous regions,with lower frequency observed in the southern coastal areas.The diurnal pattern of convection occurrence exhibited a unimodal distribution,with a peak in the afternoon.The frequent occurrence of convective storms correlates well in both time and space with the active terrain uplift that occurs when the prevailing winds encounter mountainous areas.Notably,September stands apart with a bimodal diurnal pattern,featuring a prominent afternoon peak and a significant secondary peak before midnight.Further examination of dense rain gauge data in Xiamen indicates that high-frequency areas of short-duration heavy rainfall largely coincide with regions of active convective storms,except for a unique rainfall hotspot in southern Xiamen,where moderate convection frequency is accompanied by substantial rainfall.This anomalous rainfall,predominantly nocturnal,appears less influenced by terrain uplift and exhibits higher precipitation efficiency than daytime rainfall.These preliminary findings offer insights into the characteristics of convection occurrence in Xiamen's subtropical coastal environment and hold promise for enhancing the accuracy of convection and precipitation forecasts in similar environments.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42275140,42230612,91837310,41675041,and 92037000)the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research(STEP)program(Grant No.2019QZKK0104)。
文摘The North Pacific storm track(NPST)is a high-frequency area of extratropical cyclones and an important channel for water vapor and energy transfer between low and mid–high latitudes.Previous weather and dynamic studies in this region have made significant progress,but due to the lack of ocean surface rainfall observation data,there is a lack of statistical research on precipitation in this area.In this study,statistical research on the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of NPST rainfall was conducted based on GPM DPR(Global Precipitation Measurement Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar)observation data and ERA5 atmospheric parameters,and analysis and explanations are provided based on the atmospheric parameters.The study found that,compared to low-pressure systems,pressure gradients have a greater impact on cyclone activity and rainfall distribution.This feature,along with the meridional distribution of high atmospheric water vapor in the North Pacific Ocean and low in the north,collectively leads to the offset of high-frequency rainfall areas relative to storm tracks.The distribution of sea surface temperatures in the North Pacific Ocean affects the zonal distribution of storm tracks,causing weather disturbances and precipitation along the storm tracks to exhibit a northward extension from west to east.This study deepens our understanding of the role of NPST in global-scale water vapor and energy balance,and is of great significance for improving the prediction accuracy of climate models with respect to rainfall generated by extratropical cyclones.