Vitrimers belong to a class of polymeric materials capable of bond exchange reactions,showing great promise for environmental protection and sustainable development.However,studies on the coupling mechanism between th...Vitrimers belong to a class of polymeric materials capable of bond exchange reactions,showing great promise for environmental protection and sustainable development.However,studies on the coupling mechanism between the bond exchange kinetics and segmental dynamics near the glass transition temperature(T_(g))remain scarce.Herein,we employed molecular dynamics simulations to investigate the dynamic heterogeneity of the segment motion and bond exchange in vitrimers.The simulation results revealed that the bond exchange energy barrier exerts a much stronger influence on the bond exchange kinetics than on the segmental dynamics.At lower temperatures,slower segmental relaxation further constraind the bond exchange rate.Additionally,increasing the bond exchange energy barrier markedly enhanced the dynamic heterogeneity of segment motion.A close correlation was observed between heterogeneity and bond exchange.This study elucidated the coupling mechanism between bond exchange and segmental dynamics at the molecular scale,thereby providing a theoretical basis for designing vitrimer materials with tunable dynamic properties.展开更多
The stochastic extended finite-fault simulation method(EXSIM)is a widely used tool in seismological research,with applications in ground motion prediction and simulation,seismic hazard analysis,and engineering studies...The stochastic extended finite-fault simulation method(EXSIM)is a widely used tool in seismological research,with applications in ground motion prediction and simulation,seismic hazard analysis,and engineering studies.However,recent studies have revealed a significant limitation:EXSIM tends to overpredict ground motions in the low-to-intermediate frequency range,particularly for large thrust earthquakes that are often characterized by a double-corner-frequency source model.To address this issue and enhance simulation accuracy,this study introduces two key improvements:(1)a novel asperity-distributed stress-drop composite fault model and(2)a hybrid application of EXSIM with the composite fault model.The proposed method is validated through its application to the 2013 M_(w)6.7 Lushan earthquake that occurred in China and six thrust earthquakes with an M_(w)≥6.5 in Japan.By comparing the simulated ground motions with recorded data,the results demonstrate that the improved method achieves consistent accuracy across the high-and low-frequency spectrum(combined goodness-of-fit:CGOF<0.35).This study significantly broadens the applicability of stochastic finite-fault simulations,enabling more reliable predictions for a wider range of seismic scenarios,including complex thrust faulting events.展开更多
We develop and implement a Stochastic Discrete Event Simulation(SDES)algorithm to model the housing re-covery trajectory after an extreme event.The algorithm models discrete events and their underlying uncertainties i...We develop and implement a Stochastic Discrete Event Simulation(SDES)algorithm to model the housing re-covery trajectory after an extreme event.The algorithm models discrete events and their underlying uncertainties in each construction phase.Specifically,the algorithm is developed for the Government Assisted Owner Driven(GAOD)reconstruction system to simulate long-term recovery trajectory.SDES,as a flexible modeling approach,can simulate any housing recovery scenario that follows phased reconstruction.The 2015 M 7.8 Gorkha earthquake sequence in Nepal is considered the extreme event,with 796,245 buildings requiring reconstruction.We present some recovery trajectories from severely hit,crisis hit,and earthquake hit parishes,comparing them with the actual reconstruction progress.We also assess quality and improvement of reconstructed buildings using seismic fragility functions,compared to pre-earthquake constructions.Housing recovery uncertainties are dissected in relation to reconstruction pace.We conclude that the vast majority of the reconstructed buildings followed the Build Back Better(BBB)approach and missed the opportunity to pursue the Build Back Resilient(BBR)approach due to multifaceted challenges ranging from unclear policies to economic constraints.We critically assess the GAOD vs Owner Driven(OD)recovery framework and conclude that insurance-supported and technically assisted OD approach could be the most suitable model for post extreme event housing recovery.展开更多
The March 28,2025 Myanmar earthquake generated ground shaking that was perceptible throughout Myanmar and adjacent regions.This study simulated three-component ground motions across the affected region using an improv...The March 28,2025 Myanmar earthquake generated ground shaking that was perceptible throughout Myanmar and adjacent regions.This study simulated three-component ground motions across the affected region using an improved stochastic finite-fault method to systematically assess seismic impacts.Observed near-field recordings at MM.NGU station was used to determine the reliability of the theoretically derived stress drop as input for simulation.Far-field recordings constrained the frequency-dependent S-wave quality factors(Q(f)=283.305f^(0.588))for anelastic attenuation modeling.Comparisons of peak accelerations between simulation and empirical ground-motion models showed good agreement at moderate-to-large distances.However,lower near-fault simulations indicate a weaker-than-average source effect.Analysis of simulated instrumental seismic intensity revealed key patterns.Maximum intensity(Ⅹ)occurred in isolated patches within the ruptured fault projection,correlating with shallow high-slip areas.TheⅨ-intensity zone formed a north-south elongated band centered on fault projection.Significant asymmetry inⅧ-intensity distribution perpendicular to the fault strike was observed,with a wider western extension attributed to lower shear-wave velocities west of the fault.Supershear rupture behavior enhanced ground motions,expanding intensity ranges by~20%compared to sub-shear rupture.This study reveals the integrated effects of fault geometry,slip spatial distribution,rupture velocity,and site condition in governing ground motion patterns.展开更多
In recent years,three-dimensional reconstruction technologies that employ multiple cameras have continued to evolve significantly,enabling remote collaboration among users in extended Reality(XR)environments.In additi...In recent years,three-dimensional reconstruction technologies that employ multiple cameras have continued to evolve significantly,enabling remote collaboration among users in extended Reality(XR)environments.In addition,methods for deploying multiple cameras for motion capture of users(e.g.,performers)are widely used in computer graphics.As the need to minimize and optimize the number of cameras grows to reduce costs,various technologies and research approaches focused on Optimal Camera Placement(OCP)are continually being proposed.However,as most existing studies assume homogeneous camera setups,there is a growing demand for studies on heterogeneous camera setups.For instance,technical demands keep emerging in scenarios with minimal camera configurations,especially regarding cost factors,the physical placement of cameras given the spatial structure,and image capture strategies for heterogeneous cameras,such as high-resolution RGB cameras and depth cameras.In this study,we propose a pre-visualization and simulation method for the optimal placement of heterogeneous cameras in XR environments,accounting for both the specifications of heterogeneous cameras(e.g.,field of view)and the physical configuration(e.g.,wall configuration)in real-world spaces.The proposed method performs a visibility analysis of cameras by considering each camera’s field-of-view volume,resolution,and unique characteristics,along with physicalspace constraints.This approach enables the optimal position and rotation of each camera to be recommended,along with the minimum number of cameras required.In the results of our study conducted in heterogeneous camera combinations,the proposed method achieved 81.7%~82.7%coverage of the target visual information using only 2~3 cameras.In contrast,single(or homogeneous)-typed cameras were required to use 11 cameras for 81.6%coverage.Accordingly,we found that camera deployment resources can be reduced with the proposed approaches.展开更多
This study presents an effective hybrid simulation approach for simulating broadband ground motion in complex near-fault locations.The approach utilizes a deterministic approach based on the spectral element method(SE...This study presents an effective hybrid simulation approach for simulating broadband ground motion in complex near-fault locations.The approach utilizes a deterministic approach based on the spectral element method(SEM),which is used to simulate low-frequency ground motion(f<1 Hz)by incorporating an innovative efficient discontinuous Galerkin(DG)method for grid division to accurately model basin sedimentary layers at reduced costs.It also introduces a comprehensive hybrid source model for high-frequency random scattering and a nonlinear analysis module for basin sedimentary layers.Deterministic outcomes are combined with modified three-dimensional stochastic finite fault method(3D-EXSIM)simulations of high-frequency ground motion(f>1 Hz).A fourth-order Butterworth filter with zero phase shift is employed for time-domain filtering of low-and high-frequency time series at a crossover frequency of 1 Hz,merging the low and high-frequency ground motions into a broadband time series.Taking an Ms 6.8 Luding earthquake,as an example,this hybrid method was used for a rapid and efficient simulation analysis of broadband ground motion in the region.The accuracy and efficiency of this hybrid method were verified through comparisons with actually observed station data and empirical attenuation curves.Deterministic method simulation results revealed the effects of mountainous topography,basin effects,nonlinear effects within the basin’s sedimentary layers,and a coupling interaction between the basin and the mountains.The findings are consistent with similar studies,showing that near-fault sedimentary basins significantly focus and amplify strong ground motion,and the soil’s nonlinear behavior in the basin influences ground motion to varying extents at different distances from the fault.The mountainous topography impacts the basin’s response to ground motion,leading to barrier effects.This research provides a scientific foundation for seismic zoning,urban planning,and seismic design in nearfault mountain basin regions.展开更多
In many service delivery systems,the quantity of available resources is often a decisive factor of service quality.Resources can be personnel,offices,devices,supplies,and so on,depending on the nature of the services ...In many service delivery systems,the quantity of available resources is often a decisive factor of service quality.Resources can be personnel,offices,devices,supplies,and so on,depending on the nature of the services a system provides.Although service computing has been an active research topic for decades,general approaches that assess the impact of resource provisioning on service quality matrices in a rigorous way remain to be seen.Petri nets have been a popular formalism for modeling systems exhibiting behaviors of competition and concurrency for almost a half century.Stochastic timed Petri nets(STPN),an extension to regular Petri nets,are a powerful tool for system performance evaluation.However,we did not find any single existing STPN software tool that supports all timed transition firing policies and server types,not to mention resource provisioning and requirement analysis.This paper presents a generic and resource oriented STPN simulation engine that provides all critical features necessary for the analysis of service delivery system quality vs.resource provisioning.The power of the simulation system is illustrated by an application to emergency health care systems.展开更多
This paper analyzes the dynamic characteristics of the variations of the beach volumes for three level zonesof the Yanjing Beach in the Shuidong Bay of the western Guangdong Province by using the methods of dynamic sy...This paper analyzes the dynamic characteristics of the variations of the beach volumes for three level zonesof the Yanjing Beach in the Shuidong Bay of the western Guangdong Province by using the methods of dynamic systemanalysis and the multi-dimensional spectral estimation. The results show that the variations of the beach volume arecharaCterized by the multiband oscillations with a dominant semimonth period. Upwards the low tide level, the beachtends to be stable. The estimates of the partial coherences and the partial phases indicate that the variations of thebeach volumes are mainly the results of the direct actions of the waves which are influenced by the tidal level changesand driven by the wind stress. The simulation results of the beach volume series for different beach heart zones bythreshold mixed regressive models indicate that the influence of the tide on the variations of the beach volumes is weakened and the direct actions of the wave energy and the wind stress are apparently enhanced with the increase of thebeach height.(This project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.)展开更多
Using a heterogeneity stochastic frontier model(HSFM),we empirically investigated the economic efficiency of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei from 2003 to 2016 and its influencing factors.The key findings of the paper lie in:1)i...Using a heterogeneity stochastic frontier model(HSFM),we empirically investigated the economic efficiency of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei from 2003 to 2016 and its influencing factors.The key findings of the paper lie in:1)in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,the overall economic and technological efficiency tended to increase in a wavelike manner,economic growth slowed down,and there was an obvious imbalance in economic efficiency between the different districts,counties and cities;2)the heterogeneity stochastic frontier production functions(SFPFs)of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei were different from each other,and investment was still an important impetus of economic growth in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei;3)economic efficiency was positively correlated with economic agglomeration,human capital,industrial structure,infrastructure,the informatization level,and institutional factors,but negatively correlated with the government role and economic opening.The following policy suggestions are offered:1)to improve regional economic efficiency and reduce the economic gap in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,governments must reduce their intervention in economic activities,stimulate the potentials of labor and capital,optimize the structure of human resources,and foster new demographic incentives;2)governments must guide economic factors that are reasonable throughout Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and strengthen infrastructure construction in underdeveloped regions,thus attaining sustainable economic development;3)governments must plan overall economic growth factors of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and promote reasonable economic factors(e.g.,labor,resources,and innovations)across different regions,thus attaining complementary advantages between Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei.展开更多
Unexpected noise in reservoir stochastic simulation realization may be too high to make the realization useful, especially when there is a lack of hard data. Through discussing the uncertainties, we present two ways t...Unexpected noise in reservoir stochastic simulation realization may be too high to make the realization useful, especially when there is a lack of hard data. Through discussing the uncertainties, we present two ways to control the uncertainty ratio that is brought by the algorithm of stochastic simulation. By reasonably reducing the random value of the stochastic simulation result, the unexpected values introduced by the residual that associates with random series can be controlled. Another way when the data disperse unevenly is to control the stochastic simulation order by grouping the points that need to be simulated to make those points which can be simulated by more neighborhood hard data calculated first. Both methods do not go against the core stochastic simulation algorithm.展开更多
Wind field simulation in the surface layer is often used to manage natural resources in terms of air quality,gene flow(through pollen drift),and plant disease transmission(spore dispersion).Although Lagrangian stochas...Wind field simulation in the surface layer is often used to manage natural resources in terms of air quality,gene flow(through pollen drift),and plant disease transmission(spore dispersion).Although Lagrangian stochastic(LS)models describe stochastic wind behaviors,such models assume that wind velocities follow Gaussian distributions.However,measured surface-layer wind velocities show a strong skewness and kurtosis.This paper presents an improved model,a non-Gaussian LS model,which incorporates controllable non-Gaussian random variables to simulate the targeted non-Gaussian velocity distribution with more accurate skewness and kurtosis.Wind velocity statistics generated by the non-Gaussian model are evaluated by using the field data from the Cooperative Atmospheric Surface Exchange Study,October 1999 experimental dataset and comparing the data with statistics from the original Gaussian model.Results show that the non-Gaussian model improves the wind trajectory simulation by stably producing precise skewness and kurtosis in simulated wind velocities without sacrificing other features of the traditional Gaussian LS model,such as the accuracy in the mean and variance of simulated velocities.This improvement also leads to better accuracy in friction velocity(i.e.,a coupling of three-dimensional velocities).The model can also accommodate various non-Gaussian wind fields and a wide range of skewness–kurtosis combinations.Moreover,improved skewness and kurtosis in the simulated velocity will result in a significantly different dispersion for wind/particle simulations.Thus,the non-Gaussian model is worth applying to wind field simulation in the surface layer.展开更多
Simulation for stochastic wind field is very important in analyzing dynamic responses of large complex structures due to strong wind.The typical simulation method is the spectrum representation method (SRM),but the SR...Simulation for stochastic wind field is very important in analyzing dynamic responses of large complex structures due to strong wind.The typical simulation method is the spectrum representation method (SRM),but the SRM has drawbacks of inferior precision in lower frequency and slow calculating speed.In view of this,the modified Fourier spectrum method (MFSM) is introduced into the simulation of stochastic wind field in this paper.In this method,phase information of wind velocity time history is determined by cross power spectral density (CPSD) between adjacent points,and the wind velocity time history with time and space correlation is generated by iterative modification for CPSD considering auto power spectral density (APSD).Simulation of the wind field for a long-span bridge is undertaken to verify the effectiveness of the MFSM.Simulation results of the SRM and the MFSM are compared.It can be concluded that the MFSM is more accurate and has higher calculation speed than the SRM.展开更多
Simulation of a class of delay stochastic system with distributed parameter is discussed. Difference schemes for the numerical computation of delay stochastic system are obtained. The precision of the difference schem...Simulation of a class of delay stochastic system with distributed parameter is discussed. Difference schemes for the numerical computation of delay stochastic system are obtained. The precision of the difference scheme and the efficiency of the difference scheme in simulation of delay stochastic system with distributed parameter are analyzed. Examples are given to illustrate the application of the method.展开更多
Presented here is an L-leap method for accelerating stochastic simulation of well-stirred chemically reacting systems, in which the number of reactions occurring in a reaction channel with the largest propensity funct...Presented here is an L-leap method for accelerating stochastic simulation of well-stirred chemically reacting systems, in which the number of reactions occurring in a reaction channel with the largest propensity function is calculated from the leap condition and the number of reactions occurring in the other reaction channels are generated by using binomial random variables during a leap. The L-leap method can better satisfy the leap condition. Numerical simulation results indicate that the L-leap method can obtain better performance than established methods.展开更多
Markov random fields(MRF) have potential for predicting and simulating petroleum reservoir facies more accurately from sample data such as logging, core data and seismic data because they can incorporate interclass re...Markov random fields(MRF) have potential for predicting and simulating petroleum reservoir facies more accurately from sample data such as logging, core data and seismic data because they can incorporate interclass relationships. While, many relative studies were based on Markov chain, not MRF, and using Markov chain model for 3D reservoir stochastic simulation has always been the difficulty in reservoir stochastic simulation. MRF was proposed to simulate type variables(for example lithofacies) in this work. Firstly, a Gibbs distribution was proposed to characterize reservoir heterogeneity for building 3-D(three-dimensional) MRF. Secondly, maximum likelihood approaches of model parameters on well data and training image were considered. Compared with the simulation results of MC(Markov chain), the MRF can better reflect the spatial distribution characteristics of sand body.展开更多
In this paper, we develop a modified accelerated stochastic simulation method for chemically reacting systems, called the ＂final all possible steps＂ （FAPS） method, which obtains the reliable statistics of all spec...In this paper, we develop a modified accelerated stochastic simulation method for chemically reacting systems, called the ＂final all possible steps＂ （FAPS） method, which obtains the reliable statistics of all species in any time during the time course with fewer simulation times. Moreover, the FAPS method can be incorporated into the leap methods, which makes the simulation of larger systems more efficient. Numerical results indicate that the proposed methods can be applied to a wide range of chemically reacting systems with a high-precision level and obtain a significant improvement on efficiency over the existing methods.展开更多
The stochastic finite-fault simulation method was applied to synthesize the horizontal ground acceleration seismograms produced by the MW6.1 Ludian earthquake on August 3,2014.For this purpose,we produced first a tota...The stochastic finite-fault simulation method was applied to synthesize the horizontal ground acceleration seismograms produced by the MW6.1 Ludian earthquake on August 3,2014.For this purpose,we produced first a total of 200 kinematic source models for the Ludian event,which are characterized by the heterogeneous slip on the conjugated ruptured fault and the slip-dependent spreading of the rupture front.The results indicated that the heterogeneous slip and the spatial extent of the ruptured fault play dominant roles in the spatial distribution of ground motions in the near-fault area.The peak ground accelerations(PGAs)and 5%-damped pseudospectral accelerations(PSAs)at periods shorter than 0.5 s estimated on the resulting synthetics generally match well with the observations at stations with Joyner-Boore distances(RJB)greater than 20 km.The synthetic PGVs and PSAs at periods of 0.5 s and 0.75 s are in good agreement with predicted medians by the Yu14 model(Yu et al.,2014).However,the synthetic results are generally much lower than the predicted medians by BSSA14 model(Boore et al.,2014).Moreover,the ground motion variability caused by the randomness in the source rupture process was evaluated by these synthetics.The standard deviations of PSAs on the base-10 logarithmic scale,Sigma[log10(PSA)],are closely dependent on either the spectral period or the RJB.The Sigma[log10(PSA)]remains a constant approximately 0.55 at periods shorter than 0.1 s,and then increase continuously up to^0.13 as the period increases from 0.1 to 2.0 s.The Sigma[log10(PSA)]values at periods of 0.1‒2.0 s show the downward tendency as the RJB values increase.However,the Sigma[log10(PSA)]values at periods shorter than 0.1 s decrease as the RJB values increase up to^50 km,and then increase with the increasing RJB.Furthermore,we found that the ground-motion variability shows the significant dependence on the azimuth.展开更多
Copula functions have been widely used in stochastic simulation and prediction of streamflow.However,existing models are usually limited to single two-dimensional or three-dimensional copulas with the same bivariate b...Copula functions have been widely used in stochastic simulation and prediction of streamflow.However,existing models are usually limited to single two-dimensional or three-dimensional copulas with the same bivariate block for all months.To address this limitation,this study developed a mixed D-vine copula-based conditional quantile model that can capture temporal correlations.This model can generate streamflow by selecting different historical streamflow variables as the conditions for different months and by exploiting the conditional quantile functions of streamflows in different months with mixed D-vine copulas.The up-to-down sequential method,which couples the maximum weight approach with the Akaike information criteria and the maximum likelihood approach,was used to determine the structures of multivariate Dvine copulas.The developed model was used in a case study to synthesize the monthly streamflow at the Tangnaihai hydrological station,the inflow control station of the Longyangxia Reservoir in the Yellow River Basin.The results showed that the developed model outperformed the commonly used bivariate copula model in terms of the performance in simulating the seasonality and interannual variability of streamflow.This model provides useful information for water-related natural hazard risk assessment and integrated water resources management and utilization.展开更多
Many studies revealed that the Earth medium＇s lateral heterogeneity can cause considerable effects on the co- and post-seismic deformation field. In this study, the threedimensional finite element numerical method ar...Many studies revealed that the Earth medium＇s lateral heterogeneity can cause considerable effects on the co- and post-seismic deformation field. In this study, the threedimensional finite element numerical method are adopted to quantify the effects of lateral heterogeneity caused by material parameters and fault dip angle on the co- and postseismic deformation in the near- and far-field. Our results show that： 1） the medium＇s lateral heterogeneity does affect the co-seismic deformation, with the effects increasing with the medium＇s lateral heterogeneity caused by material parameters; 2） the Lame parameters play a more dominant role than density in the effects caused by lateral heterogeneity; 3） when a fault＇s dip angle is smaller than 90, the effects of the medium＇s lateral heterogeneity on the hanging wall are greater than on the footwall; 4） the impact of lateral heterogeneity caused by the viscosity coefficient on the post-seismic deformation can affect a large area, including the near- and far-field.展开更多
To reveal the low growth rate of Acidithiobacillus ferrooxidans, a stochastic growth model was proposed to analyze growth curves of these bacteria in a batch culture. An algorithm was applied to simulate the bacteria ...To reveal the low growth rate of Acidithiobacillus ferrooxidans, a stochastic growth model was proposed to analyze growth curves of these bacteria in a batch culture. An algorithm was applied to simulate the bacteria population during lag and exponential phase. The results show that the model moderately fits the experimental data. Further, the mean growth constant （K） of growth curves is obtained by fitting the logarithm of the simulating population data versus the generation numbers with the different initial population number （N0） and initial mean activity of population （A0）. When No is 300 and 700 respectively, the discrepancy of K value is only 0.91%, however, A0 is 0.34 and 0.38 respectively, the discrepancy of K value is 19.53%. It suggests that the effect of A0 on the lag phase exceeds No, though both parameters could shorten the lag phase by increasing their values.展开更多
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52173020 and 52573023)。
文摘Vitrimers belong to a class of polymeric materials capable of bond exchange reactions,showing great promise for environmental protection and sustainable development.However,studies on the coupling mechanism between the bond exchange kinetics and segmental dynamics near the glass transition temperature(T_(g))remain scarce.Herein,we employed molecular dynamics simulations to investigate the dynamic heterogeneity of the segment motion and bond exchange in vitrimers.The simulation results revealed that the bond exchange energy barrier exerts a much stronger influence on the bond exchange kinetics than on the segmental dynamics.At lower temperatures,slower segmental relaxation further constraind the bond exchange rate.Additionally,increasing the bond exchange energy barrier markedly enhanced the dynamic heterogeneity of segment motion.A close correlation was observed between heterogeneity and bond exchange.This study elucidated the coupling mechanism between bond exchange and segmental dynamics at the molecular scale,thereby providing a theoretical basis for designing vitrimer materials with tunable dynamic properties.
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China under Grant No.2022YFC3003601National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.52478570+1 种基金Heilongjiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation Outstanding Youth Program under Grant No.J020245002the Key Research and Development Program of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps under Grant No.2024AB077。
文摘The stochastic extended finite-fault simulation method(EXSIM)is a widely used tool in seismological research,with applications in ground motion prediction and simulation,seismic hazard analysis,and engineering studies.However,recent studies have revealed a significant limitation:EXSIM tends to overpredict ground motions in the low-to-intermediate frequency range,particularly for large thrust earthquakes that are often characterized by a double-corner-frequency source model.To address this issue and enhance simulation accuracy,this study introduces two key improvements:(1)a novel asperity-distributed stress-drop composite fault model and(2)a hybrid application of EXSIM with the composite fault model.The proposed method is validated through its application to the 2013 M_(w)6.7 Lushan earthquake that occurred in China and six thrust earthquakes with an M_(w)≥6.5 in Japan.By comparing the simulated ground motions with recorded data,the results demonstrate that the improved method achieves consistent accuracy across the high-and low-frequency spectrum(combined goodness-of-fit:CGOF<0.35).This study significantly broadens the applicability of stochastic finite-fault simulations,enabling more reliable predictions for a wider range of seismic scenarios,including complex thrust faulting events.
文摘We develop and implement a Stochastic Discrete Event Simulation(SDES)algorithm to model the housing re-covery trajectory after an extreme event.The algorithm models discrete events and their underlying uncertainties in each construction phase.Specifically,the algorithm is developed for the Government Assisted Owner Driven(GAOD)reconstruction system to simulate long-term recovery trajectory.SDES,as a flexible modeling approach,can simulate any housing recovery scenario that follows phased reconstruction.The 2015 M 7.8 Gorkha earthquake sequence in Nepal is considered the extreme event,with 796,245 buildings requiring reconstruction.We present some recovery trajectories from severely hit,crisis hit,and earthquake hit parishes,comparing them with the actual reconstruction progress.We also assess quality and improvement of reconstructed buildings using seismic fragility functions,compared to pre-earthquake constructions.Housing recovery uncertainties are dissected in relation to reconstruction pace.We conclude that the vast majority of the reconstructed buildings followed the Build Back Better(BBB)approach and missed the opportunity to pursue the Build Back Resilient(BBR)approach due to multifaceted challenges ranging from unclear policies to economic constraints.We critically assess the GAOD vs Owner Driven(OD)recovery framework and conclude that insurance-supported and technically assisted OD approach could be the most suitable model for post extreme event housing recovery.
基金National Key R&D Program of China under Grant No.2022YFC3003601。
文摘The March 28,2025 Myanmar earthquake generated ground shaking that was perceptible throughout Myanmar and adjacent regions.This study simulated three-component ground motions across the affected region using an improved stochastic finite-fault method to systematically assess seismic impacts.Observed near-field recordings at MM.NGU station was used to determine the reliability of the theoretically derived stress drop as input for simulation.Far-field recordings constrained the frequency-dependent S-wave quality factors(Q(f)=283.305f^(0.588))for anelastic attenuation modeling.Comparisons of peak accelerations between simulation and empirical ground-motion models showed good agreement at moderate-to-large distances.However,lower near-fault simulations indicate a weaker-than-average source effect.Analysis of simulated instrumental seismic intensity revealed key patterns.Maximum intensity(Ⅹ)occurred in isolated patches within the ruptured fault projection,correlating with shallow high-slip areas.TheⅨ-intensity zone formed a north-south elongated band centered on fault projection.Significant asymmetry inⅧ-intensity distribution perpendicular to the fault strike was observed,with a wider western extension attributed to lower shear-wave velocities west of the fault.Supershear rupture behavior enhanced ground motions,expanding intensity ranges by~20%compared to sub-shear rupture.This study reveals the integrated effects of fault geometry,slip spatial distribution,rupture velocity,and site condition in governing ground motion patterns.
基金supported by the 2024 Research Fund of University of Ulsan.
文摘In recent years,three-dimensional reconstruction technologies that employ multiple cameras have continued to evolve significantly,enabling remote collaboration among users in extended Reality(XR)environments.In addition,methods for deploying multiple cameras for motion capture of users(e.g.,performers)are widely used in computer graphics.As the need to minimize and optimize the number of cameras grows to reduce costs,various technologies and research approaches focused on Optimal Camera Placement(OCP)are continually being proposed.However,as most existing studies assume homogeneous camera setups,there is a growing demand for studies on heterogeneous camera setups.For instance,technical demands keep emerging in scenarios with minimal camera configurations,especially regarding cost factors,the physical placement of cameras given the spatial structure,and image capture strategies for heterogeneous cameras,such as high-resolution RGB cameras and depth cameras.In this study,we propose a pre-visualization and simulation method for the optimal placement of heterogeneous cameras in XR environments,accounting for both the specifications of heterogeneous cameras(e.g.,field of view)and the physical configuration(e.g.,wall configuration)in real-world spaces.The proposed method performs a visibility analysis of cameras by considering each camera’s field-of-view volume,resolution,and unique characteristics,along with physicalspace constraints.This approach enables the optimal position and rotation of each camera to be recommended,along with the minimum number of cameras required.In the results of our study conducted in heterogeneous camera combinations,the proposed method achieved 81.7%~82.7%coverage of the target visual information using only 2~3 cameras.In contrast,single(or homogeneous)-typed cameras were required to use 11 cameras for 81.6%coverage.Accordingly,we found that camera deployment resources can be reduced with the proposed approaches.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.U2139208 and 52278516Key Laboratory of Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration,China Earthquake Administration under Grant No.2024D15Key Laboratory of Soft Soil Characteristic and Engineering Environment,Tianjin Chengjian University under Grant No.2022SCEEKL003。
文摘This study presents an effective hybrid simulation approach for simulating broadband ground motion in complex near-fault locations.The approach utilizes a deterministic approach based on the spectral element method(SEM),which is used to simulate low-frequency ground motion(f<1 Hz)by incorporating an innovative efficient discontinuous Galerkin(DG)method for grid division to accurately model basin sedimentary layers at reduced costs.It also introduces a comprehensive hybrid source model for high-frequency random scattering and a nonlinear analysis module for basin sedimentary layers.Deterministic outcomes are combined with modified three-dimensional stochastic finite fault method(3D-EXSIM)simulations of high-frequency ground motion(f>1 Hz).A fourth-order Butterworth filter with zero phase shift is employed for time-domain filtering of low-and high-frequency time series at a crossover frequency of 1 Hz,merging the low and high-frequency ground motions into a broadband time series.Taking an Ms 6.8 Luding earthquake,as an example,this hybrid method was used for a rapid and efficient simulation analysis of broadband ground motion in the region.The accuracy and efficiency of this hybrid method were verified through comparisons with actually observed station data and empirical attenuation curves.Deterministic method simulation results revealed the effects of mountainous topography,basin effects,nonlinear effects within the basin’s sedimentary layers,and a coupling interaction between the basin and the mountains.The findings are consistent with similar studies,showing that near-fault sedimentary basins significantly focus and amplify strong ground motion,and the soil’s nonlinear behavior in the basin influences ground motion to varying extents at different distances from the fault.The mountainous topography impacts the basin’s response to ground motion,leading to barrier effects.This research provides a scientific foundation for seismic zoning,urban planning,and seismic design in nearfault mountain basin regions.
文摘In many service delivery systems,the quantity of available resources is often a decisive factor of service quality.Resources can be personnel,offices,devices,supplies,and so on,depending on the nature of the services a system provides.Although service computing has been an active research topic for decades,general approaches that assess the impact of resource provisioning on service quality matrices in a rigorous way remain to be seen.Petri nets have been a popular formalism for modeling systems exhibiting behaviors of competition and concurrency for almost a half century.Stochastic timed Petri nets(STPN),an extension to regular Petri nets,are a powerful tool for system performance evaluation.However,we did not find any single existing STPN software tool that supports all timed transition firing policies and server types,not to mention resource provisioning and requirement analysis.This paper presents a generic and resource oriented STPN simulation engine that provides all critical features necessary for the analysis of service delivery system quality vs.resource provisioning.The power of the simulation system is illustrated by an application to emergency health care systems.
文摘This paper analyzes the dynamic characteristics of the variations of the beach volumes for three level zonesof the Yanjing Beach in the Shuidong Bay of the western Guangdong Province by using the methods of dynamic systemanalysis and the multi-dimensional spectral estimation. The results show that the variations of the beach volume arecharaCterized by the multiband oscillations with a dominant semimonth period. Upwards the low tide level, the beachtends to be stable. The estimates of the partial coherences and the partial phases indicate that the variations of thebeach volumes are mainly the results of the direct actions of the waves which are influenced by the tidal level changesand driven by the wind stress. The simulation results of the beach volume series for different beach heart zones bythreshold mixed regressive models indicate that the influence of the tide on the variations of the beach volumes is weakened and the direct actions of the wave energy and the wind stress are apparently enhanced with the increase of thebeach height.(This project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.)
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41771131,41301116,41877523)Premium Funding Project for Academic Human Resources Development in Beijing Union University(No.BPHR2017CS13)
文摘Using a heterogeneity stochastic frontier model(HSFM),we empirically investigated the economic efficiency of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei from 2003 to 2016 and its influencing factors.The key findings of the paper lie in:1)in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,the overall economic and technological efficiency tended to increase in a wavelike manner,economic growth slowed down,and there was an obvious imbalance in economic efficiency between the different districts,counties and cities;2)the heterogeneity stochastic frontier production functions(SFPFs)of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei were different from each other,and investment was still an important impetus of economic growth in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei;3)economic efficiency was positively correlated with economic agglomeration,human capital,industrial structure,infrastructure,the informatization level,and institutional factors,but negatively correlated with the government role and economic opening.The following policy suggestions are offered:1)to improve regional economic efficiency and reduce the economic gap in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,governments must reduce their intervention in economic activities,stimulate the potentials of labor and capital,optimize the structure of human resources,and foster new demographic incentives;2)governments must guide economic factors that are reasonable throughout Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and strengthen infrastructure construction in underdeveloped regions,thus attaining sustainable economic development;3)governments must plan overall economic growth factors of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and promote reasonable economic factors(e.g.,labor,resources,and innovations)across different regions,thus attaining complementary advantages between Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei.
文摘Unexpected noise in reservoir stochastic simulation realization may be too high to make the realization useful, especially when there is a lack of hard data. Through discussing the uncertainties, we present two ways to control the uncertainty ratio that is brought by the algorithm of stochastic simulation. By reasonably reducing the random value of the stochastic simulation result, the unexpected values introduced by the residual that associates with random series can be controlled. Another way when the data disperse unevenly is to control the stochastic simulation order by grouping the points that need to be simulated to make those points which can be simulated by more neighborhood hard data calculated first. Both methods do not go against the core stochastic simulation algorithm.
基金financial support for this research from a USDA-AFRI Foundational Grant (Grant No. 2012-67013-19687)from the Illinois State Water Survey at the University of Illinois at Urbana—Champaign
文摘Wind field simulation in the surface layer is often used to manage natural resources in terms of air quality,gene flow(through pollen drift),and plant disease transmission(spore dispersion).Although Lagrangian stochastic(LS)models describe stochastic wind behaviors,such models assume that wind velocities follow Gaussian distributions.However,measured surface-layer wind velocities show a strong skewness and kurtosis.This paper presents an improved model,a non-Gaussian LS model,which incorporates controllable non-Gaussian random variables to simulate the targeted non-Gaussian velocity distribution with more accurate skewness and kurtosis.Wind velocity statistics generated by the non-Gaussian model are evaluated by using the field data from the Cooperative Atmospheric Surface Exchange Study,October 1999 experimental dataset and comparing the data with statistics from the original Gaussian model.Results show that the non-Gaussian model improves the wind trajectory simulation by stably producing precise skewness and kurtosis in simulated wind velocities without sacrificing other features of the traditional Gaussian LS model,such as the accuracy in the mean and variance of simulated velocities.This improvement also leads to better accuracy in friction velocity(i.e.,a coupling of three-dimensional velocities).The model can also accommodate various non-Gaussian wind fields and a wide range of skewness–kurtosis combinations.Moreover,improved skewness and kurtosis in the simulated velocity will result in a significantly different dispersion for wind/particle simulations.Thus,the non-Gaussian model is worth applying to wind field simulation in the surface layer.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.90915004)the Six Talents Peak in Jiangsu Province(No.2008178)the 333 High-Level Talent Training Project of Jiangsu Province,China
文摘Simulation for stochastic wind field is very important in analyzing dynamic responses of large complex structures due to strong wind.The typical simulation method is the spectrum representation method (SRM),but the SRM has drawbacks of inferior precision in lower frequency and slow calculating speed.In view of this,the modified Fourier spectrum method (MFSM) is introduced into the simulation of stochastic wind field in this paper.In this method,phase information of wind velocity time history is determined by cross power spectral density (CPSD) between adjacent points,and the wind velocity time history with time and space correlation is generated by iterative modification for CPSD considering auto power spectral density (APSD).Simulation of the wind field for a long-span bridge is undertaken to verify the effectiveness of the MFSM.Simulation results of the SRM and the MFSM are compared.It can be concluded that the MFSM is more accurate and has higher calculation speed than the SRM.
文摘Simulation of a class of delay stochastic system with distributed parameter is discussed. Difference schemes for the numerical computation of delay stochastic system are obtained. The precision of the difference scheme and the efficiency of the difference scheme in simulation of delay stochastic system with distributed parameter are analyzed. Examples are given to illustrate the application of the method.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.30571059)the National High-Tech Research and Development Program of China(No.2006AA02Z190).
文摘Presented here is an L-leap method for accelerating stochastic simulation of well-stirred chemically reacting systems, in which the number of reactions occurring in a reaction channel with the largest propensity function is calculated from the leap condition and the number of reactions occurring in the other reaction channels are generated by using binomial random variables during a leap. The L-leap method can better satisfy the leap condition. Numerical simulation results indicate that the L-leap method can obtain better performance than established methods.
基金Project(2011ZX05002-005-006)supported by the National "Twelveth Five Year" Science and Technology Major Research Program,China
文摘Markov random fields(MRF) have potential for predicting and simulating petroleum reservoir facies more accurately from sample data such as logging, core data and seismic data because they can incorporate interclass relationships. While, many relative studies were based on Markov chain, not MRF, and using Markov chain model for 3D reservoir stochastic simulation has always been the difficulty in reservoir stochastic simulation. MRF was proposed to simulate type variables(for example lithofacies) in this work. Firstly, a Gibbs distribution was proposed to characterize reservoir heterogeneity for building 3-D(three-dimensional) MRF. Secondly, maximum likelihood approaches of model parameters on well data and training image were considered. Compared with the simulation results of MC(Markov chain), the MRF can better reflect the spatial distribution characteristics of sand body.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.30571059)the National High-Tech Research and Development Program of China(No.2006AA02Z190)
文摘In this paper, we develop a modified accelerated stochastic simulation method for chemically reacting systems, called the ＂final all possible steps＂ （FAPS） method, which obtains the reliable statistics of all species in any time during the time course with fewer simulation times. Moreover, the FAPS method can be incorporated into the leap methods, which makes the simulation of larger systems more efficient. Numerical results indicate that the proposed methods can be applied to a wide range of chemically reacting systems with a high-precision level and obtain a significant improvement on efficiency over the existing methods.
基金supported by the Science Foundation of the Institute of Engineering Mechanics,China Earthquake Administration(No.2018B03)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51808514).
文摘The stochastic finite-fault simulation method was applied to synthesize the horizontal ground acceleration seismograms produced by the MW6.1 Ludian earthquake on August 3,2014.For this purpose,we produced first a total of 200 kinematic source models for the Ludian event,which are characterized by the heterogeneous slip on the conjugated ruptured fault and the slip-dependent spreading of the rupture front.The results indicated that the heterogeneous slip and the spatial extent of the ruptured fault play dominant roles in the spatial distribution of ground motions in the near-fault area.The peak ground accelerations(PGAs)and 5%-damped pseudospectral accelerations(PSAs)at periods shorter than 0.5 s estimated on the resulting synthetics generally match well with the observations at stations with Joyner-Boore distances(RJB)greater than 20 km.The synthetic PGVs and PSAs at periods of 0.5 s and 0.75 s are in good agreement with predicted medians by the Yu14 model(Yu et al.,2014).However,the synthetic results are generally much lower than the predicted medians by BSSA14 model(Boore et al.,2014).Moreover,the ground motion variability caused by the randomness in the source rupture process was evaluated by these synthetics.The standard deviations of PSAs on the base-10 logarithmic scale,Sigma[log10(PSA)],are closely dependent on either the spectral period or the RJB.The Sigma[log10(PSA)]remains a constant approximately 0.55 at periods shorter than 0.1 s,and then increase continuously up to^0.13 as the period increases from 0.1 to 2.0 s.The Sigma[log10(PSA)]values at periods of 0.1‒2.0 s show the downward tendency as the RJB values increase.However,the Sigma[log10(PSA)]values at periods shorter than 0.1 s decrease as the RJB values increase up to^50 km,and then increase with the increasing RJB.Furthermore,we found that the ground-motion variability shows the significant dependence on the azimuth.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52109010)the Postdoctoral Science Foundation of China(Grant No.2021M701047)the China National Postdoctoral Program for Innovative Talents(Grant No.BX20200113).
文摘Copula functions have been widely used in stochastic simulation and prediction of streamflow.However,existing models are usually limited to single two-dimensional or three-dimensional copulas with the same bivariate block for all months.To address this limitation,this study developed a mixed D-vine copula-based conditional quantile model that can capture temporal correlations.This model can generate streamflow by selecting different historical streamflow variables as the conditions for different months and by exploiting the conditional quantile functions of streamflows in different months with mixed D-vine copulas.The up-to-down sequential method,which couples the maximum weight approach with the Akaike information criteria and the maximum likelihood approach,was used to determine the structures of multivariate Dvine copulas.The developed model was used in a case study to synthesize the monthly streamflow at the Tangnaihai hydrological station,the inflow control station of the Longyangxia Reservoir in the Yellow River Basin.The results showed that the developed model outperformed the commonly used bivariate copula model in terms of the performance in simulating the seasonality and interannual variability of streamflow.This model provides useful information for water-related natural hazard risk assessment and integrated water resources management and utilization.
基金co-supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41431069)the State Key Development Program for Basic Research of China (2013CB733304, 2013CB733303)+1 种基金the Doctoral Fund of Ministry of Education of China (20110141130010)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation funded project (2013M542062)
文摘Many studies revealed that the Earth medium＇s lateral heterogeneity can cause considerable effects on the co- and post-seismic deformation field. In this study, the threedimensional finite element numerical method are adopted to quantify the effects of lateral heterogeneity caused by material parameters and fault dip angle on the co- and postseismic deformation in the near- and far-field. Our results show that： 1） the medium＇s lateral heterogeneity does affect the co-seismic deformation, with the effects increasing with the medium＇s lateral heterogeneity caused by material parameters; 2） the Lame parameters play a more dominant role than density in the effects caused by lateral heterogeneity; 3） when a fault＇s dip angle is smaller than 90, the effects of the medium＇s lateral heterogeneity on the hanging wall are greater than on the footwall; 4） the impact of lateral heterogeneity caused by the viscosity coefficient on the post-seismic deformation can affect a large area, including the near- and far-field.
基金Project(50321402) supported by the Science Fund for Creative Research Groups of China project(2004CB619204) sup-ported by the National Key Fundamental Research Development Programof China
文摘To reveal the low growth rate of Acidithiobacillus ferrooxidans, a stochastic growth model was proposed to analyze growth curves of these bacteria in a batch culture. An algorithm was applied to simulate the bacteria population during lag and exponential phase. The results show that the model moderately fits the experimental data. Further, the mean growth constant （K） of growth curves is obtained by fitting the logarithm of the simulating population data versus the generation numbers with the different initial population number （N0） and initial mean activity of population （A0）. When No is 300 and 700 respectively, the discrepancy of K value is only 0.91%, however, A0 is 0.34 and 0.38 respectively, the discrepancy of K value is 19.53%. It suggests that the effect of A0 on the lag phase exceeds No, though both parameters could shorten the lag phase by increasing their values.
